Mike Pesca (1:52)
I always find that you have the facts, they have the narrative. One side's narrative was innocent citizen who never wished anyone harm and was in no way impeding the police was trying to remove herself from a tense situation where her First Amendment rights were protected. The other narrative was domestic terrorist. Oh, God, is that overwrought? Find myself laughing or crying as I say it. Domestic terrorist aiming a car at law enforcement. And since we're dealing with that particular narrative, not just aiming, but hitting a member of law enforcement, I'm not going to use this space to say the truth is somewhere in between. I probably concocted the two narratives so that the truth would have to be in between. But there are very strong versions of the narrative of each side that don't maybe commit to the most extreme portions, like saying domestic terrorist. But the ultimate truth is that the way narrative will work in this case is that if a fair adjudication of Officer Ross's culpability is ever undertaken, it will hinge mightily on the narrative or story in Officer Ross's head. Did he have an objectively reasonable belief that his life was in danger or that serious bodily harm was at stake? That's the Supreme Court standard. The reason it's a narrative is that the words objectively and reasonable might seem like they're the opposite of subjective, but they're not. The law's use of the word objectively, in fact, relies a lot on subjectivity. The court also asks, could an officer reasonably perceive the actions as a threat? And so that does kind of depend on a story. Maybe the story that Ross knows to tell which will get him off. Or maybe, to be fair, the actual story that actually occurred to him is something like, I was standing in front of the car and the wheels turned at me and I jumped back. Or maybe I was brushed back and definitely thought I was going to be run over. His story or narrative will rule the day. Not just because he says so. They add some layers, like, well, judged against the perceptions of a reasonable officer on the scene. But his perception is important. And the way he conveys his perception or even constructs his perception is narrative. I do think in the case of this shooting, everyone who's talking about narrative, they're not trying to trick you or win the day, but they are engaged in a little bit of faux sophistication on emphasizing narrative as being so important. It is true. Yeah, it's true. You're thinking this, that if one of the competing descriptions takes hold among the vast majority of citizens, that'll mean something. That'll move the political and prosecutorial decisions along, nudge them, but it won't be dispositive. Let's say the JD Vance Christi Noem narrative loses that. The vast majority of Americans see this shooting very much like they saw the George Floyd murder as murder by law enforcement. But that won't change everything. The administration could still, and I predict they will, decline to bring charges. Then they'll maybe have to take more heat. If it's an unpopular decision, they could still take the decision. And what if the pure protester narrative takes hold that this was murder, this was maybe cold blooded murder? The protests will continue. And then what? Then what happens when the protests continue? Will buildings burn and the system will reform? We have a pretty good case study on that in the exact same location. It didn't happen when the narrative over George Floyd did take hold exactly as I described it. You don't need me to tell you we're polarized. There's enough ambiguity in the video to give staunch Trump defenders something to hang on to, ensuring that this is another area of deep disagreement. And I also think a lot of people, including the 44% of Americans who approve of Trump's handling of immigration, will say, well, you know, no, I. This is terrible. And I don't think it was a fair shooting. I don't think it was a proper shooting. But then they'll take a middle narrative where they say, yeah, but still. Or don't let this one outlier define the entire policy. That I agree with a member of the 44%, not a small percentage, though. The minority will say, this sort of middle narrative, that's the kind of thing that humans use all the time to console ourselves a little. I call it the yes, but narrative. And you could say it allows us to countenance cognitive dissonance. Or you could say it allows us to navigate the ambiguities that exist in the world. I also think that a debate about narrative is a somewhat weak proxy for the debate about policy. And if one narrative wins, it probably won't change opinions, it will just confirm them, and it probably won't change policy. Almost definitely won't. Narrative, in the end, is but one input and not a huge one on the question of policy. Of course, narrative is also the default way that we as a species experience the world. On the show today, it is a spiel about two or maybe three of the other gigantic stories that I do think you need to pay attention to in the news and a little bit of how to pay attention to them. But first, Seamus McLerney, former FBI agent, is here to talk about busting the Mafia. He is the author of Flipping Capo, how the FBI Dismantled the Real Sopranos. True Work. I'm wearing True Work now. It's fashionable, but it gets the job done. And that's how it was started. The founder was a guy who worked in the trades who said, why am I always wearing jeans? Maybe back then they said dungarees. They get wet. They don't really work for me. So they made comfortable, capable, ready for work. Whatever the day throws at you. I have. I could list all the gear. I got this. 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Go to homeserve.com to find the plan that's right for you. That's homeserve.com not available everywhere. Most plans range from 499 to 11 99amonth. Your first year terms apply on covered repairs. Seamus McLerney is a longtime FBI agent and is the author of a new book called Flipping Capo how the FBI Dismantled the Real Sopranos. You have to say the real Sopranos. But when he was doing it, it was much more impressive than interacting with a TV show that would exist a few years hence. When he was doing it, he was going right at the core of the very potent, very dangerous, very disruptive New York Mafia, the Decaval Conte family, who were the New Jersey affiliates of the genovese family. Seamus McElhenny, welcome to the Gist.