
Loading summary
Colin Cowherd
You can count on T Mobile to help keep you connected from big cities to small towns on America's largest 5G network. Switch the T Mobile keep your phone and they'll pay it off up to 800 bucks per line via prepaid card. Learn more@t mobile.com heap and switch up to four lines via virtual prepaid card. Allow 15 days qualifying unlock device credit service port in 90 plus days with device and eligible carrier and timely redemption. Acquired card has no cash access and expires in six months. With AMEX Platinum you get priority notified with global dining access by Resi so you can get first dibs if a spot opens up at restaurants and compliments to the chef turns into compliments to your Platinum card. That's the powerful backing of American Express. Terms apply. Learn more@american express.com withamx hey, it's Bobby Bones.
Bobby Bones
Join me and former NFL quarterback Matt Castle every Wednesday for our new podcast, Lots to say with Bobby Bones and Matt Castle. Between us, we have over 17,500 passing yards, multiple new bestsellers, and one mirrorball trophy from Dancing with the Star. So where else you gonna find a show with that much athleticism and football insight? We talk sports, but we talk pop culture and music and a little bit everything. Listen to Lots to Say with Bobby Bones and Matt Castle on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Katie Couric
Hey everyone, it's Katie Couric. Well, the election is in the home stretch right in time for a new season of my podcast. Next question. I'm bringing in some foks friends of Katie's to help me out like Ezra Klein, Jen Psaki, Asted Herndon. But we're also going to have some fun thanks to some of my friends like Samantha Bee and Charlamagne the God. We're going to take some viewer questions as well. I mean, isn't that what democracy is all about? Check out our new season of Next Question with me, Katie Couric on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.
Colin Cowherd
The Volume. All right, Chad Millman, co host of the favorites Sharper Square. All odds provided by DraftKings. So I had a rare, I don't think I had an undefeated week this year, 3 and O last week. And I think it's actually easier in the playoffs. I've had back to back weeks because the quarterbacks are all, you know, it's sudden death. It's the best quarterbacks. You know, it's, it's, it's. I want to start with this, before we start with anything, you know, there's this sense that, you know, Kansas City, Jason McIntyre's on this thing about the calls going a certain way. And I always point back, Kansas City's gotten the benefit of the calls. Well, my argument is we all know coaching matters more in football than managing in baseball or coaching in basketball. We know coaching college or pro. We've seen Jim Harbaugh take over the worst defense, make it the best. Coaching matters in football more than other sports. You have like a phone book that offensive players have to memorize and system scheme culture building. And I remember when I lived in Connecticut watching all the Patriot games and I can remember watching for years and it just popping into my head when they were playing a team and a team fumbled, I'm like, God, I don't think the Patriots have fumbled since Thanksgiving. And you went back and looked and they literally were the team in the league that didn't fumble. And I'd ask Patriot players about this, they're like, oh yeah, Bill would not let you stretch for extra yards. That was a fine, that was a suspension. You could only do it if it was fourth down in the end zone, otherwise you were not allowed to stretch. And I look at the Chiefs and I say to myself, really good coaches are really good teachers. And you can teach your way out of penalties with good communication, thorough repetition. Damian Woody always told me Patriot practice was different than every other practice. His Detroit, his Jets practices. So what your take on that the Chiefs get all the calls because if you go back and look at the penalties during the New England era, they were less penalized as well.
Chad Millman
I think it's bullshit. I think it's media constructed argument because people are looking for reasons as to why the Chiefs keep winning other than they have a generationally great quarterback, a generationally if not historically great coach. Our mutual friend Ryan Marcillo had a great stat on his podcast the other day. The past two years Kansas City opponents have been flagged for 48 penalties in the fourth quarter in ot of one score games. Colin, how many have the Chiefs had in the same period? 1247. So let's knock it off, okay? What you have in the Chiefs are a coach who has found the perfect cheat code for his scheme. He's got a guy who is ultra competitive who can make magical plays, who by the way, as Tom Brady pointed out on your show, having to defend Patrick Mahomes for four downs in the playoffs is just so freaking hard. You don't get to seven conference championship games because people are calling penalties against the opponents more often. Ask Lamar Jackson. LaMar Jackson has two MVPs. He might get a third. He should get a third. How many AFC title games has he played in? How many Super Bowls does he played in? He is as brilliant an athlete and as brilliant a quarterback as there is in the NFL. He's not getting there. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs do something different and I think it, I think it's in the head of every single team they play.
Colin Cowherd
Well, let's start off with the Commanders and the Eagles. I'm going to take Philadelphia -6. I'm also going to take the over. I do think they've played twice. Philadelphia should have won twice, but Jalen got hurt. Kenny Pickett came in. So I think the number I look at over two games is average yards per carry and it's five and a half yards for Philadelphia. Well, that, that's just, that's a physical mismatch. The O line for Philadelphia is almost better to a man than the D line for Washington. That's not going to change. That's not scheme. The guards for Philadelphia are like six, seven and a half. It's like the biggest guards in league history. They're, they're four of their offensive linemen are like arguably the best in the NFL at their position. So they will run the ball and they will move the ball. But I do think the commanders will have to score and know it going in. So they'll take chances. They'll do some four down stuff. So my take is it's a fairly high scoring game which makes me more comfortable laying the six with Philadelphia Sharper Square.
Chad Millman
So it was sharp at four and a half. It's gotten to six. It actually got up to six and a half. And wise guys have been buying back and in a lot of the conversations I've had this week and Simon Hunter and I talked about this on the favorites today when we sort of bring in the feedback from professional betters. They were liking Washington and it honestly doesn't make sense to me or to Simon and apparently to you either. Last week people were coming in and they were hammering the Rams. I loved the Eagles all week and if not for Jake Elliott missing a couple extra points, that game is not a push. It's a cover for the Eagles. Yeah, same thing this week. I don't get it. I feel like there's so much recency bias in relation to Jaden Daniels and both of these games. Weirdly, there is so much public support for the road underdogs against the higher seeds because of the status of the quarterbacks and the seasons they're having. Josh Allen is having a better year than Patrick Mahomes, Jaden Daniels having a better year than Jaylen Herz. But people are forgetting that this Eagles team is not built around Jaylen Herz. Right. It's built around Saquon Barkley. And one of the things that I tried to unpack this week when I was thinking about this game is the Eagles win so often with explosive plays. We saw it this past weekend, two huge runs from Barkley, a great run from Herz. That's how they're scoring touchdowns. Right. Earlier in the season in November in Philadelphia against the Commanders. The Eagles were losing most of that game. I was at that game. They won that game because Saquon Bardley had two long touchdown runs. So you think about explosive play as well. Is that random? Can you predict it? I think it's more random when it's quarterbacks throwing long touchdown passes where the circumstances have to be perfect. It's less random when it's your running back who has an offensive line that is as dominant as you just talked about. Who's, by the way, his rushing prop is 100 north of 130 yards, which DraftKings has announced is the highest total they've ever had for a rushing prop in the years that they've been doing business. So I'm with you, man. I like the Eagles. I think it's the right spot. I think they're the better team. I tend to favor the dominant physical team. So, yeah.
Colin Cowherd
Is there a prop you could give our audience that you like? I like the over in this game, but a prop you like Zach Ertz.
Chad Millman
Over three and a half receptions. I think that the Eagles defensively on the edges at cornerback, Quinrion Mitchell is supposed to play. We already know about Cooper Dean in the slot. Darius Slay, obviously on the other side. That's where Jaden Daniels, who was already predisposed to wanting to go to Zach ertz, if Terry McLaurin isn't available, isn't open. I think that that's where the off opportunities are going to be. So, Zachary, it's over three and a half.
Colin Cowherd
You know, it's interesting, I was talking on the show today, 10 years ago, Peyton Manning, Big Ben and Brady were these iconic legends past their prime. In fact, Peyton was in Denver. But you, I remember thinking at the time, jesus, what is the league going to do? What is the league going to do? And now we've got Lamar Mahomes Allen and throw in Burrow. Yeah, and but in the NFC, 10 quarterbacks in the last 10 Super bowl appearances for NFC teams, it's a lot of rotational quarterbacks. That's why it almost feels like Jaden Daniels has a shot. Hertz would be the second time for him. So I do I said this today is I watch Jaden Daniels and I feel like the NFC got their Mahomes, that everybody will they'll be tailing Washington going forward. I don't think it's a particularly warm take. I feel like he is either Lamar or Mahomes. But the NFC has had this sort of golf an older Stafford, a prickly Aaron, Russell Wilson, aging Kyler Murray's talented. But there's just been a lot of these qualifiers and they haven't had their no issues. Low maintenance, high thrower, good mover. I think he's the Mahomes of the nfc.
Chad Millman
What's really going to be interesting I agree with everything you said. What's going to be interesting is next year. Next year the Commanders are already 16 to 1 to win the Super Bowl. That feels very aggressive. Weren't we saying the same things about CJ Stroud exactly a year ago? And did CJ Stroud not come back down to earth? Did defenses not spend an off season figuring out that he's not great against certain defenses, that it's going to be challenging for him to succeed at the level that he did in his rookie year? And he didn't. Not saying he's not great, not saying he's going to be great. But of all the great quarterbacks you just mentioned, when the season began, CJ Stroud was on that list. Now he's not. So next year is there going to be an opportunity to fade the Commanders? In reality, the Commander should probably be seven, seven and a half point underdogs in this game. The Eagles are dominant physically on the defensive side of the ball and on the offensive side of the ball, the Commanders are not going to have their right guard, Sam Cosby, who's their best offensive lineman. The Eagles best defensive lineman is Jalen Carter. And normally you're not going to worry about a right guard being out as being a challenge for your pass protection. But when Jalen Carter is rushing up the middle, your right guard might be the guy who needs to grab a piece of him every once in a while. You're now not going to have a guy. And so all of a sudden these things change. You're already getting the benefit. I think of Jaden Daniels being Someone who people believe is a cheat code, and they're overvaluing that in the scope of the entire game.
Colin Cowherd
Yeah. I will say, though, that C.J. stroud didn't have the mobility edge, which I've always thought mobility's best for a quarterback in the first two years, because as you're learning NFL coverages and waiting for the light to go on, you can just pick up first downs moving, whereas CJ Stroud is going to pick up first downs throwing. And so he is much more susceptible. As coverages get more sophisticated, you face better teams. He had injuries on the O line. They didn't have protection. I think running quarterbacks, Lamar, he never really dipped. Mahomes, Allen, they just kept getting better. Goff was. Com. Was beholden to how good his O line was. You know, bad. Whitworth good. Whitworth leaves not as good. Or around that time when Whitworth was aging. And then he goes to Detroit. Not good. Early line got better. He's better. So I think. I think jaden. I think C.J. stroud's NFL comp was golf. And like Goff, he deteriorates with really bad line play significantly, whereas I think Jaden is Lamar and Mahomes where it's just ascension because he moves the chains while he's figuring out defenses, and it takes about even. Mahomes said it was the beginning of year three when everything just sort of slowed down. So I. I don't think. I think he's. I think we're really looking at something special here.
Chad Millman
I don't disagree. I think the guy is a brilliant player, and I think it's more evidence that you want to get quarterbacks who have a lot of experience playing in college, who've taken a lot of snaps, who've played a lot of games. That's always been a threshold for GMs and coaches who are looking to draft quarterbacks. I remember when Philip Rivers came out, he had played so many games in college, people didn't really know who he was at NC State. I know I'm throwing a name out there from like 25 years ago, but I remember this so clearly. I was at ESPN the Magazine and we were doing a draft issue, and it was the first time I ever heard a scout talk about the importance of seeing quarterbacks on tape with a lot of games as they get older. And we're seeing that with Jaden Daniels. Like, his experience level keeps him from being really frightened in these experiences because he's so much older than the average quarterback coming out and he's had so many more snaps and he understands the rhythm of the game and understands the moment a little bit better in addition to his unbelievable talent. But I can guarantee you right now we can set a number on it. The number of times. We'll set it at seven and a half at this time next year. How many times over the course of Sharper Square have I said to you, well, commanders are overvalued here because Jaden Daniels is getting too much credit and too much attention? I guarantee I'm going to say that on an every other week basis to you on this show.
Colin Cowherd
Let's go, afc. I'm riding with the Bills. I have for the last month. I feel they're the best team in football. The Rams had to play a perfect game at home to slip by, and the Rams, I think, were a very good team at the end. I'll take the one and a half again. I think there's going to be points scored. I think there's limitations on stopping Allen and Mahomes. I think you get into these games, coaches are more willing. Brady and Andy Reid are more willing to take risks. It's sudden death. You empty the playbook because you have two weeks to prepare for the Super Bowl. So just empty the playbook. I take the over 47 and a half bills plus one and a half. I can absolutely see Kansas City winning. I think this is the best version of Buffalo for two reasons. One, they do not turn it over. They're not heavily penalized and you can't get the Josh Allen. They're the mature version, which Baltimore hasn't become yet with Lamar. They're still, like, I've said this before, Buffalo's always been a Ferrari with Josh Allen. They just no longer get speeding tickets. They don't make the mistakes. They don't get caught. Like, they slow down in front of the cops. So they don't. They. They have all the talent, but they don't have that sort of in Baltimore's trying to work their self out of this. That's sort of like we can't slow down. We just. We go 100 miles an hour. So I think they've become. They've become the Chiefs. And I think eventually they're going to beat the Chiefs, which they have in the regular season. Sharper Square Bills plus the points.
Chad Millman
Sharp. Ish. It's been an interesting number. It opened at one and a half. And even though the majority of the money, which indicates professional betters like the Bills and the majority of the tickets, which also indicates the public likes the Bills. It's kind of stuck at one and a half. In fact, there's been a little bit of sort of juice movement, meaning they're making it more expensive to bet the one and a half on the Chiefs because they want you to take that one and a half because pretty soon they're going to go to two. I think that you're on the professional side, not in a dominant way. I'm going to play devil's advocate. Everything you're saying is right. Josh Allen gets out of the pocket. To me, he's as frightening as and frustrating as Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes. And their running game this year has been so freaking good. They played the number one team in defensive rush success rate in the Broncos and crush them on the ground. They played the number two team in defensive rush success rate in the Ravens and crushed them on the ground. The Chiefs are not nearly as good at defending the run as either the Ravens or the Broncos. And they're going to have to figure out how to manage Josh Allen when it's third and one or fourth and one, who's clearly unstoppable, how they're going to have to manage James Cook. All that is true. There is zero evidence, Colin, that Patrick Mahomes is going to lose this game. Zero. Like in November, on in games where the weather is 40 degrees or less, 23 and 2 in his career. The last loss was to Tom Brady in 2019. He's won 20 in a row. Andy Reid with Mahomes with an extra day of rest. Just one extra day of rest, which he has. 20 and three. 14 and one at home. Like, it's just, why would I want to do this? I've been given every opportunity to bet the Chiefs as a short home dog. Patrick Mahomes. Seven straight AFC title games, three Super Bowls in the past five years, going for third in a row. He is going to challenge Tom Brady as the greatest quarterback who's ever played. And he might do it before he's 32 years old. Like, what am I doing here? Why would I bet against Patrick Mahomes? I had a buddy call me the other day and tell me I'm all over the Bills. I'm like, why? And why would you do that with confidence? Like, you just can't. It's hard. I get it. I'm afraid of it. But there's no way I'm betting against Patrick Mahomes. There is no way. But, yeah, I like the overture.
Colin Cowherd
NFL playoffs. We're talking about NFL playoffs. You bet we are. Get in on the action at DraftKings Sportsbook, an official sports betting partner of the NFL. Scoring touch touchdowns is a key to winning in the NFL playoffs, and the key to you scoring big is betting on them at DraftKings, the number one place to bet touchdowns. If you're ready to place your first bet, make it really simple. A player scoring a touchdown. Go to DraftKingsportsbooks app. Download it. Make your pick. Here's another reason to watch your favorite players crush it on the playoffs. If you're a new customer, you bet five bucks. That's it. Five bucks. Get 200 in bonus bets instantly by betting just five bucks. So score big. Draft King Sportsbook during the playoffs. Download the app, use the code Colin C O L I N. That will get you 200 bucks in bonus bets. So if you want $200 in bonus bets, you gotta put in the code colin only on DraftKingsportsbook. The crown is yours. Gambling problem call 1-800- gambler in New York, call 877-8-Hopeny or text hopeny 467-369 in Connecticut. Help is available for problem gambling. Call 888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org Please play responsibly on behalf of Boot Hill casino and res. 21 and over. Age and eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Void In Ontario, bonus bets expire 168 hours after issuance. For additional terms and responsible gaming resources, see DKNG Co Audio. You can count on T Mobile to help keep you connected from big cities to small towns on America's largest 5G network. Switch the T Mobile, keep your phone and they'll pay it off up to 800 bucks per line via prepaid card. Learn more@t mobile.com heap and switch up to four lines via virtual prepaid card. Allow 15 days qualifying unlock device credit service port in 90 plus days with device and eligible carrier and timely redemption. Required card has no cash access and expires in six months. Hey hey folks. This message brought to you by the one and only official whiskey of the Colin Coward Podcast, Green River Whiskey. Now here's a story that'll knock your socks off. Picture this. Founded way back in 1885, Green River Whiskey is OG Kentucky Cool, the 10th oldest distillery in the state. And get this. It was so valuable back in the day that 20 barrels of the good stuff were traded for shares in a gold mine. That's liquid gold. Literally. But like any great drama, tragedy struck in 1917 with a fire that almost wiped it off the map. Cue the hero music. It was rebuilt on the same hallowed grounds, let me tell you better than ever. So whether you're sipping their single barrel bourbon or a smooth straight rye, know you're raising a glass to history, folks. Here's to Green River Whiskey, where rich flavor meets richer stories. Hop on over to greenriverwhiskey.com, discover a legend in a bottle today. Cheers to that. A product of Green River Distilling Company, Owensboro, Kentucky. Alcohol by volume varies by product. Greenriverwhiskey.com, please drink responsibly With AMEX Platinum, you can enjoy access to dedicated card member entrances at select events because skipping the line makes you the star of game day. That's the powerful backing of American Express. Terms apply. Learn more@americanexpress.com with AmEx card member entrance access not limited to AMEX Platinum Card.
Bobby Bones
Hey, it's Bobby Bones. Join me and former NFL quarterback Matt Castle every Wednesday for our new podcast, Lots to say with Bobby Bones and Matt Cass. Between us, we have over 17,500 passing yards, multiple New York Times bestsellers, and one mirror ball trophy from Dancing with the Star. So where else are you gonna find a show with that much athleticism and football insight? Based in Nashville, we're more than just your basic NFL show. We talk sports, but we talk pop culture and music and a little bit of everything because we got lots to say. I texted you and you texted me back. Now, I don't know if you have the update, but like, all the little thumbs up and heart and stuff, like it's all colored. They changed it and the heart's a little pink. It felt like I told you I loved you. I'm going to be honest, it was a little pink.
Colin Cowherd
There was something sentimental when you, when you send it. It was like, do I send the heart now?
Bobby Bones
I don't like the color edition.
Colin Cowherd
It's extremely pink.
Bobby Bones
Listen to Lots to Say with Bobby Bones and Matt Castle on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Colin Cowherd
So I saw a story this week, and apparently sometimes in the media, I think media people like to be viewed as smart and they, they try to figure stuff out. I'm. I'm guilty of this. I'm always trying to figure out theories or why, and sometimes the answer is always the simple answer. So I saw a story this week and it just made me laugh where the college football game was down 3 million viewers and everybody was flummoxed. And I'm like, guys, men, Like Trump. Statistically in this election. Young men love Trump, young men love football. Inauguration Day was Monday. That's the day of the national championship. And so the number was down about 3 million viewers, especially when Notre Dame fell behind 31 to 7. That's the answer, right? Like it wasn't that we hate Ohio State and Notre Dame. It was every four years an inauguration with a polarizing Trump, who for the record does very well in this election with young men.
Chad Millman
Yeah, I saw the numbers too. It's so funny you say that, cuz I saw the numbers this morning and I saw a story, just the headline, you know, down whatever percent it was 10% or whatever it was, right, 12%. And as soon as I clicked on it, I'm like, someone's going to try to explain why this is, this isn't rocket science trying to find patterns. When you do year over year comps, you can do year over comps year over year comps with every podcast in the volume network. You can do it with your show. The circumstances are always different. We do this at action all the time too. How come this Monday night game is down from the year before? Well, who was the matchup? Was it a game where you had, was it a night where you had two Monday night games being played instead of one? Because when you have two Monday night games, traffic sometimes dips a little bit because attention is diverted and games start a little bit earlier so people aren't online as early. Like there's so many easy to unpack answers to so many of the questions that are asked in sports. It's phenomenal that we try to make it as complicated as we do. And to your point about politics mixing with sports and impacting sports, two years ago, 93 of the top 100 broadcasts in the United States were sports. This past year, in 2024, 81 of the top 100. Do you know why? Because there were so many debates and so many political events that we're leading the coverage that we're getting so many more viewers. So of course there's going to be changes on a year to year basis because of the overall world and what's happening, not because of anything about myopically what we think of Ohio State or Notre Dame.
Colin Cowherd
Well, I worked in local TV for over a decade and so I still, you know, I still have friends in local tv. Not as many, many have retired or done other things or moved on, but you know, it's like you're gonna notice over the next 10 years there'll be a little bit of renaissance in local TV ratings. Why? Because of climate change. And whenever you have severe weather or disasters, local reporters are better than national reporters. They've built trust with the audience and they know the terrain. A Dallas reporter, a Chicago, Minneapolis, Los Angeles, New York reporter. If something happened to the Brooklyn Bridge, forget CNN. I'm watching the local guys, right? So LA local news ratings went up 400% over the last two weeks. And I watched the coverage. It was significantly better than cnn. And it's not a political. It was significantly better than all national coverage because the local reporters, they all live in these towns and they just know the topography and the canyons and the history. And so you're gonna watch local TV ratings and you can call it whatever you want, but we're just getting more severe weather. It snowed in Pensacola, a foot, whatever. LA had a blizzard two years ago, whatever. So, yeah, I think most of the stuff is fairly explainable. So when local TV ratings have a renaissance here in the next decade, that's mostly what it's gonna be.
Chad Millman
I love that you talk about the weather component of it, because those are the only people I remember growing up when I watched local tv. And even here in West Hartford, where you used to live, like Stacey and I, my wife and I, we love the local weather guy, and I love the local weather guy because he knows our town and he knows all the towns around us, and he knows the difference between here, we're in a valley here, you're a little bit on a hill, so it's going to be a little bit colder here in the morning. You might have a little more frost. I live by what this guy says, and I completely connect with what you're saying. What's actually frightening. I don't know if you saw it this week, but there is one broadcaster that owns a lot of local stations that is letting go of all their local weather people and having a singular sort of source of weather information and segments that is then being distributed out to the local channels. It's sort of like the single service provider within an organization, which is idiotic.
Colin Cowherd
That is the opposite of what I would do over the next 10 years. Get rid of the local sports guys. Love them to death, but everybody's watching some other platform. I want massive weather people locally for the next decade, whatever you want to call it. We're just getting more combustible weather. Hot, cold, wind, rain, whatever.
Chad Millman
It makes no sense. I saw it. I'm like, the one thing people care about is weather. It's the only thing people are Checking for in the morning. That is what can save local television. And you're going out there, you're firing all the weather people. It made zero sense to me. Zero.
Colin Cowherd
Sometimes I wish. Sometimes I wish I was a billionaire. Not because I'd buy a bunch of stuff, because I've never had a second car. I'm not a boat guy. I'm not a jewelry guy or a watch guy. I'm not a collector. I'm really not. I don't care. But there are things I would like, things I would like to do in society they can't afford to do. Like, I'll be honest with you. When Fox created a Weather Channel, I wish I could have been the CEO of Fox's Weather Channel. I would have loved that job. And if it paid what I make and I could still make my mortgage, I've always wanted, like Byron Allen, the former comedian who became a wildly successful entrepreneur, bought the Weather Channel. And I think it's the only time I've ever been jealous of another member of the American media was Byron Allen bought the Weather Channel. And I'm like, damn it.
Chad Millman
By the way, it might be Byron Allen who fired all the local weather people because once all the weather to.
Colin Cowherd
Come from the Weather Channel, that all I know that is, forget Oprah. That's the most successful local media person in the history of our business. He's the one guy I'm jealous of.
Chad Millman
I'm just checking right now. Yeah. Allen Media Group replaces meteorologists, dozens of meteorologists with prerecorded feeds. So I don't know. I think we got to call Byron and we got to tell him we think this is a bad idea and we are very respected and admired members of the media. Do you have a take on the Jaguars firing Trent Balke? The GM and Liam Cohn deciding to go back to the box as an assistant a la Ben Johnson the year before and them not being able to find someone to take that job.
Colin Cowherd
Plot twist. Bucks offensive coach Liam Cohen has now done a U turn. Is speaking with the Jaguars in person for their head coaching job. So when you ask me, what do you make of Trent Balke? This. Tom Pelissero reporting this and Ian Rapoport. This is what I think of Trent. Balky. Balky's there. I'm not interested. Balke fired. Let me. Let me turn around the U Haul and head back to jville.
Chad Millman
Is amazing that that just tells you everything we need to say.
Colin Cowherd
Balky was the orange cone in the road. He was the roadblock.
Chad Millman
But it also Goes even to prove the point, coordinators and job applicants and potential head coaches are willing to be more selective, I think, than they ever have been before. And if they don't feel like they're being set up in the right circumstances, they're not jumping at a job.
Colin Cowherd
Yeah, Cohen's good. Jacksonville. Yeah, no, he's. He's good. I mean, Baker leads the NFL in touchdown passes the last two seasons. I like Mike Evans. I don't like him that much.
Chad Millman
Also, Todd Bowles, just impressive, the fact that he had Canales turn. Turn Baker Mayfield around. Liam Cohen turned Baker Mayfield around. He's going to have to go find him again a new guy if Liam Cohn takes his job. But I'm starting to like Todd Bowles quite a bit as a head coach.
Colin Cowherd
Yeah. His first year in New York, he almost didn't know where to stand. He was such a kind of gentle, low key personality. He was, you know, in the city with Rex Ryan. It was like, where is he? And he spoke like an assistant or a coordinator. He just didn't want to be in front of a microphone. But I always thought he was thoughtful. I thought anytime you heard him talk, he came across as humble and focused. And I also think the Internet doesn't allow this. People improve. People get better. They just. I mean, it's like Brandon Staley's not gonna get a second chance. Maybe as a coordinator, but not as a head coach. But a lot of these guys, Raheem Morris, Todd Bowles, there's something there. There's a reason you hired him. Like, you know, it's almost like when you get a divorce in life. Well, there's a reason you were together for 12 years. I mean, there were some positives there. You produce good kids. You know, you're good co parenting. There's no reason to hate each other. Like, it's. Shit happens. Like, you're in big cities, you have a bad stretch, your quarterback gets hurt, you don't have a backup on the roster. I mean, Mike McDaniel from Miami a year and a half ago was the belle of the ball. And now we're all like, you know, he's kind of. It doesn't feel like he owns the room like Dan Campbell. And I'm not sure if this works. It's the way it works in life sometimes. All right, buddy.
Chad Millman
All right, man. See you later.
Colin Cowherd
The Volume.
Bobby Bones
Hey, it's Bobby Bones. Join me and former NFL quarterback Matt Castle every Wednesday for our new podcast, Lots to say with Bobby Bones and Matt Castle. Between us, we have over 17,500 passing yards, multiple New York Times bestsellers, and one mirror ball trophy from Dancing with a Star. So where else are you gonna find a show with that much athleticism and football insight? We talk sports, but we talk pop culture and music and a little bit of everything. Listen to lots to say with Bobby Bones and Matt Castle on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Katie Couric
Hey, everyone, it's Katie Couric. Well, the election is in the home stretch, right in time for a new season of my podcast, Next Question. I'm bringing in some foks friends of Katie's to help me out, like Ezra Klein, Jen Psaki, Asted Herndon. But we're also going to have some fun thanks to some of my friends like Samantha Bee and Charlamagne the God. We're going to take some viewer questions as well. I mean, isn't that what democracy is all about? Check out our new season of Next Question with me, Katie. Katie Couric on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.
Colin Cowherd
Jon Stewart is back at the Daily show, and he's bringing his signature wit and insight straight to your ears with the Daily Show Ears Edition podcast. Dive into John's unique take on the biggest topics in politics, entertainment, sports and more. Joined by the sharp voices of the show's correspondence and contributors. And with extended interviews and exclusive weekly headline roundups, this podcast gives you content you won't find anywhere else. Ready to laugh and stay informed, listen on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. What's up, everyone? It's Justin Penick from John Boy Media, the host of the Football Today podcast with Bobby Skinner and Chris Rose. We roll three times a week, on Mondays, on Wednesdays, on Fridays, breaking down everything you need to know about the NFL. We're gearing up for the NFL playoffs. I hope you can join us. Join in with us three times a week. Listen to Football Today on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcast and you will be glad you did.
Podcast Summary: The Herd with Colin Cowherd
Episode: Colin Cowherd Podcast - Sharp or Square - Betting The AFC + NFC Championship Games! Best Prop Bets, Daniels Set To Be The “Mahomes” Of The NFC?
Release Date: January 24, 2025
In this episode of The Herd with Colin Cowherd, hosts Colin Cowherd and Chad Millman delve into the intricacies of betting on the AFC and NFC Championship Games. They explore team performances, coaching impacts, player prop bets, and the rising star Jaden Daniels, whom Chad posits as the "Mahomes of the NFC." The conversation is rich with statistical analysis, strategic insights, and expert opinions aimed at both casual bettors and seasoned sports enthusiasts.
[02:00] Colin Cowherd:
Colin opens the discussion by emphasizing the paramount importance of coaching in football, stating, “Coaching matters in football more than managing in baseball or coaching in basketball.” He contrasts the disciplined Patriots under Bill Belichick with the Chiefs, arguing that both teams benefit from strategic coaching that minimizes turnovers and penalties.
[04:15] Chad Millman:
Chad counters a prevailing narrative that the Chiefs benefit disproportionately from favorable penalty calls. He presents a compelling statistic: “The past two years Kansas City opponents have been flagged for 48 penalties in the fourth quarter in one-score games, whereas the Chiefs have had only 7 penalties in the same periods.” He attributes the Chiefs' success to their “generationally great quarterback and historically great coach,” dismissing the notion that refereeing bias plays a significant role.
Notable Quote:
Chad Millman [04:15]:
“Let’s knock it off, okay? What you have in the Chiefs are a coach who has found the perfect cheat code for his scheme.”
[06:13] Colin Cowherd:
Colin shares his betting pick for the NFC Championship Game, choosing Philadelphia Eagles at -6 and the over for total points. He highlights the Eagles' dominant offensive line and running game, asserting, “The guards for Philadelphia are like six, seven and a half. It’s like the biggest guards in league history.”
[07:19] Chad Millman:
Chad agrees with the over and provides additional prop bet insights, recommending Zach Ertz to exceed three and a half receptions. He reasons that defensive matchups will create favorable opportunities for Ertz, especially if Terry McLaurin is unavailable.
Notable Quote:
Colin Cowherd [06:13]:
“I take the over 47 and a half Bills plus the points. I can absolutely see Kansas City winning.”
[10:15] Colin Cowherd:
Colin introduces the topic of Jaden Daniels, suggesting that he could be the Patrick Mahomes of the NFC. He discusses Daniels' leadership and playmaking abilities, drawing parallels to Mahomes' ascension in the league.
[11:31] Chad Millman:
Chad supports this comparison, highlighting Daniels' extensive college experience and his ability to handle high-pressure situations. He emphasizes that Daniels' maturity and understanding of the game set him apart from his peers, making him a formidable quarterback in the NFC.
[14:48] Colin Cowherd:
Colin further elaborates on Daniels' strengths, noting his mobility and adaptability. He contrasts Daniels with C.J. Stroud, arguing that Daniels’ ability to move chains and read defenses gives him an edge that is similar to Mahomes and Lamar Jackson.
Notable Quote:
Chad Millman [16:21]:
“I guarantee I'm going to say that on an every other week basis to you on this show.”
[16:21] Colin Cowherd:
Turning to the AFC Championship, Colin expresses strong confidence in the Buffalo Bills, labeling them as “the best team in football.” He recommends betting on the Bills with a spread of +1.5 and the over for total points, citing their disciplined play and Josh Allen’s effectiveness.
[17:47] Chad Millman:
Chad acknowledges the robustness of the Bills but discusses the shifting betting lines. He points out that while professional betters lean towards the Bills, odds are adjusting to reflect the Chiefs' consistent performance. Chad emphasizes Mahomes' near-perfect playoff record, stating, “There is zero evidence, Colin, that Patrick Mahomes is going to lose this game.”
Notable Quote:
Chad Millman [17:47]:
“Patrick Mahomes, seven straight AFC title games, three Super Bowls in the past five years, going for third in a row. He is going to challenge Tom Brady as the greatest quarterback who’s ever played.”
[25:14] Colin Cowherd:
Colin touches on the relationship between media events and sports viewership, referencing a drop in football game viewers due to competing political events. He humorously attributes the decline to “Trump” and the timing of inauguration day coinciding with the national championship.
[26:21] Chad Millman:
Chad concurs, critiquing how media often overcomplicates viewership trends when simple factors like multiple games or competing events could explain fluctuations.
Notable Quote:
Colin Cowherd [25:14]:
“Like, it wasn’t that we hate Ohio State and Notre Dame. It was every four years an inauguration with a polarizing Trump, who for the record does very well in this election with young men.”
[29:45] Chad Millman:
Chad reflects on the importance of local media, particularly weather reporting, and criticizes corporate decisions to replace local meteorologists with centralized feeds. He underscores the value of localized information in maintaining viewer trust and engagement.
[33:30] Colin Cowherd:
Colin discusses recent coaching changes in the NFL, specifically Trent Balke's firing from the Jaguars and Liam Cohn's potential move back to the box. He emphasizes the resilience and adaptability of coordinators like Todd Bowles, who he believes have strong head coaching potential.
[34:57] Colin Cowherd:
Concluding the conversation, Colin praises Todd Bowles for his thoughtful and humble approach, contrasting him with less adaptable coaches. He underscores the importance of experience and character in coaching, drawing analogies to personal relationships to highlight the complexities of leadership dynamics.
Notable Quote:
Colin Cowherd [34:57]:
“I always thought he was thoughtful. I thought anytime you heard him talk, he came across as humble and focused.”
This episode of The Herd with Colin Cowherd offers a comprehensive analysis of the upcoming AFC and NFC Championship Games through the lens of strategic betting. Colin and Chad provide nuanced insights into team dynamics, coaching impacts, player performances, and broader media influences on sports. Their discussion not only aids listeners in making informed betting decisions but also enriches their understanding of the multifaceted nature of football championships.
Notable Quotes Overview:
Colin Cowherd [02:00]: “Coaching matters in football more than other sports…”
Chad Millman [04:15]: “Let’s knock it off, okay? What you have in the Chiefs are a coach who has found the perfect cheat code for his scheme.”
Chad Millman [16:21]: “I guarantee I'm going to say that on an every other week basis to you on this show.”
Chad Millman [17:47]: “Patrick Mahomes, seven straight AFC title games, three Super Bowls in the past five years, going for third in a row. He is going to challenge Tom Brady as the greatest quarterback who’s ever played.”
Colin Cowherd [25:14]: “Like, it wasn’t that we hate Ohio State and Notre Dame. It was every four years an inauguration with a polarizing Trump…”
Colin Cowherd [34:57]: “I always thought he was thoughtful. I thought anytime you heard him talk, he came across as humble and focused.”
This summary captures the essence of the episode, highlighting key discussions, expert opinions, and strategic insights relevant to the AFC and NFC Championships, as well as broader themes affecting sports viewership and betting.