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FantasyPros - The Biggest Fantasy Football Questions For Each Team in Week 6 (Ep. 1765)
00:56:35
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- [00:00]
Derek Brown
This is an I heart podcast. If you smoke or dip, I'm going.
- [00:07]
Seth Wilcock
To give you a few good reasons to try Zynn Zyn Nicotine Pouches. First, it's America's number one nicotine pouch brand, and Zynn offers a robust rewards program. There's a lot of options for nicotine.
- [00:18]
Derek Brown
Satisfaction, but there's only one Zyn.
- [00:20]
Seth Wilcock
So if you go to zyn.com find that's z y n.com find to to find Zen at a store near you. This product does contain nicotine. Nicotine is an addictive chemical. All right, and welcome into the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football podcast. It's the week six Key Questions episode where we'll break down the biggest fantasy football storylines for all 14 remaining games. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock, and back with me again are both mine and your friends, including the Wiley vet of the fantasy pro staff, who is so dang efficient and at his job that he usually cuts out for nine holes on Friday. Pat, how are you today? And are we once again hitting the sticks later on here?
- [01:01]
Pat Fitzmorris
We are going to hit the links. Son is home for college break, so, you know, go out there with him and let him out. Drive me by 50, 60 yards on every hole and, yeah, doing good. So most efficient. Does that mean I average, you know, 9.6 yards per putt? Assignments.
- [01:19]
Seth Wilcock
Yes.
- [01:19]
Pat Fitzmorris
Like that. All right.
- [01:20]
Seth Wilcock
Yeah, the, the keyboard. The keyboard, the words per minute is good with you fit. So I'm a slow worker, so never. I don't think I'll ever be able to hit the links on a Friday. But hoping one day eventually we can get out there. We're also tapping back into the big and bald brain of a man who can't wait to get to the weekend so he can catch up on the new Love Is Blind, Temptation island, and of course, the Golden Bachelor. He's Derek Brown. Happy Friday, brother.
- [01:45]
Derek Brown
I'm out. I hate reality tv, Seth, you know this. I hate it with a passion.
- [01:53]
Seth Wilcock
Just give it a shot. Just give it a shot.
- [01:55]
Derek Brown
That's how we're starting this show. That's how we're starting this show. Reality, bro. Come on. No, no, no. At least if we're going to go with something like. Aren't you going to give me all your Jersey Shore quotes?
- [02:08]
Seth Wilcock
No, I think I emptied the clip yesterday on the Twitch stream for that.
- [02:12]
Derek Brown
Well, you got to show the good people your Jersey Shore tattoo. I mean, well, that might be.
- [02:17]
Seth Wilcock
That might be on the of later today. So fpof. Keep. Keep that.
- [02:21]
Derek Brown
Only fantasy Pros.
- [02:23]
Seth Wilcock
Yes. Yes. Busy weekend for me as well. Breakfast with the grandparents tomorrow, friends diaper party on Saturday as well. And then local watering holes on at night for, for my friend's band playing. Do you guys. I know, I know. Did you guys do diaper parties when you had kids or is that just like a young millennial trendy thing now?
- [02:46]
Pat Fitzmorris
Trendy millennial.
- [02:47]
Derek Brown
That's a millennial Pinterest. Like gotta celebrate every single thing. Kind of like. No, man. Like I remember gender reveal parties, like started like all that kind of stuff. Like started whenever I think we had our third kid and my wife tells me about it, I'm like, so we can't just like send a text? We can't just call people anymore? Like, wait, we got, we got to have a party about it? Like, okay, okay.
- [03:14]
Seth Wilcock
It's basically a glorified reason to get together with your buddies and drink beer. Everyone brings a pack of diapers and a 30 pack. So it's, you know, I'm about it. Yeah, exactly. Exactly. Today's program does look like this, folks. We'll go inside the fantasy football and betting storylines for the weekend that can help you make any last minute lineup decisions. And before jumping in, quick shout out to everyone riding with us on the Fancy Pros YouTube channel or the audio feed. Thank you so much for all the support so far this season. Please do us a quick favor. Give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy this type of content and make sure you subscribe if you're new. Word on street is when we get to 300k subs we we will be launching dbro's new show where he reacts to the latest in reality tv. So help us bring that. That's.
- [03:57]
Derek Brown
That's only going to be streamed on. Only fantasy pros just knows you could sub now hit me up DM in the discord.
- [04:05]
Seth Wilcock
Also be sure to check out our weekly and rest of season consensus rankings@fantasypros.com rankings. And gentlemen, let's go ahead and get to the storylines where we're going to start across the pond, the Denver Broncos against the New York jets in London, 9:30am Eastern Time. And what I want to know is rookie will have a better performance. RJ Harvey or Mason Taylor. It's been a really slow start for RJ Harvey, averaging just 8.3 fantasy points per game on 9.2 touches per game as well. But the jets are a sensational matchup for running backs, landing him as the ECR RB 37. Mason Taylor, meanwhile, the hot name on the block after a three game stretch where he totaled 25 targets. But he has a pretty neutral matchup against the Broncos currently ECR tight end 13. So Fitz having less of an attachment to these players as Debro might who do you think shows up overseas on Sunday morning?
- [04:59]
Derek Brown
Damn out of here.
- [05:00]
Pat Fitzmorris
Debro likes both of these guys. He has been banging the drum for Mason Taylor in our waiver article for a couple of weeks now and that's the way I'm going here Seth. Like it has to be Taylor. He is The jets number two pass catcher now behind Garrett Wilson. Taylor is 14 catches and 19 targets over the last two weeks. Garrett Wilson has something like a 30% target Share this season, but Wilson is going to be seeing a lot of shutdown corner Patrick Certain junior this week. That could mean Justin Fields has to go somewhere else with the ball, which could mean an abundant target supply for Mason Taylor and I had hoped we were going to see a role expansion for RJ Harvey. He had a season high 41% Snapchat in week four. 18 touches, 98 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown. And then big letdown last week Harvey played 15 snaps for a 20% snap share, seven touches, 30 yards. The usage spike in week four was just the result of a blowout. The Broncos beat the Bengals 28 to 3 and all of the Broncos other games have been one score games and Harvey has not reached even a 1/3 snapshare in any of them.
- [06:09]
Seth Wilcock
Derek, what do you think? Here we're picking between your firstborn RJ Harvey and your new adoptive son Mason Taylor.
- [06:15]
Derek Brown
I think I'm skipping the diaper party man. Dude, seriously, like I, I, I'm going Mason Taylor. That's the easy call here for me. And like it's just RJ Harvey's just not playing enough. Like we thought like he was going to get unleashed after the big game. And then Sean Payton goes back to the three man backfield and it's Tyler bidet cutting into RJ Harvey. 50 I said it right that time cutting into RJ Harvey's playing time and it's just tough to watch man. Like he can't score fantasy points if you're not on the field. And yeah, he's not on the field but right now I'm staring at a hard rock bet the over 34 and a half -115 for receiving yards for Mason Taylor. Give me that all day. And okay, to Fitzy's point, it's not only the market share of targets that Mason Taylor has had for the last three games. It's also the matchup, man. Like Denver's kind of neutral versus tight ends, but it's the coverage matchup. So they run the same the ninth highest single high rate in the NFL over the last two weeks. Mason Taylor versus single high. And this is not something that tight ends don't get targeted versus single high all the time. Like that's not something that happens like so I want to bring this up right now, but Mason Taylor over those last two games versus single high, 30.8% target share, 2.6 yards per route run and he has a 33% first reach here. So he's going to get used in this game. And I mean guys like if it's not Mason Taylor overs that we're betting this week, every single week, the receiving yardage line bet the unders on the wide receiver one and Patrick certain shadow coverage. It just keeps paying, baby.
- [07:43]
Seth Wilcock
It absolutely does. And sticking with the theme of tight ends, let's get to the one o' clock slate with the Arizona Cardinals at the Colts. Which tight end do you prefer this week and rest of season? Trey McBride or Tyler Warren? McBride currently is tight end four in fantasy points per game, averaging just over 12 and a half points. Warren tight end three in points per game, averaging 13.3. On paper, the Cardinals are a much more advantageous tight end matchup. But is that where you're heading? Derrick Brown side.
- [08:12]
Derek Brown
I could tell from Fitzy. Sly Grant. I know where he's going. I'm gonna go Trey McBride. I, I, I know his role where we have other talented past catchers with the Colts. I know McBride's role in this offense and he's the unquestioned number one. And has it been pretty. No, because Kyler Murray is not playing good football. Kyler Murray hasn't played good football too. Yeah. So I mean this all comes down to its schedule. It is a definitive higher floor for targets on a weekly basis. Now we can talk about the effectiveness of those targets and everything ad nauseam, but I'll still go to Lee McBride. Although I will say the answer is really both.
- [08:47]
Seth Wilcock
Okay, Fitz Warner McBride for you this week and rest of season.
- [08:50]
Pat Fitzmorris
I love this question, Seth. And there is no way you could tell it was concocted by a Penn State fan. Yes.
- [08:57]
Derek Brown
Out of 15. Adam baby, let's go.
- [09:00]
Pat Fitzmorris
And it is a totally fair question. I mean, you mentioned Tyler Warren is averaging more fantasy points per game. And yes, I have been contending for a while now that the national Trey McBride lobby has been grossly overselling McBride's VI value. In fact, Seth, at the Fantasy Football Expo in Canton, Ohio, a couple months ago, I was at George's Lounge, our favorite place, arguing with half the bar that Trey McBride should not have been considered the tight end one in fantasy.
- [09:27]
Derek Brown
I I was there as a witness. 3am was doing it. Still doing it.
- [09:31]
Pat Fitzmorris
Debro was part of it. I mean, I was like John Wick fighting half the bar. Like I had I had to argue with our 6 foot 8 friend Andrew, aka Disco, aka Big Draft Energy from Big Drafters HQ. I think I was also arguing with John Daigle and Ian Haritz. And of course I was arguing with Debro, the head of the national Trey McBride lobby. Uh, but you know what, Seth? For the the rest of the 2025 season, I'm still going to roll with Trey McBride over Warren just on sheer target and catch volume. McBride is averaging 8.4 targets and 5.8 catches a game. He's had at least five catches in every game, only 6.2 targets per game for Warren, and has not had more than six targets in any of his last three.
- [10:14]
Derek Brown
Three.
- [10:15]
Pat Fitzmorris
But this is close. I might even pivot to Tyler Warren and standard scoring. And if Kyler Murray is in fact out, I I would rather have Warren in my lineup this week. But for the season as a whole, I'll I'll still take Trey McBride over Warren. But I guarantee you, Seth, that Warren will be ahead of Trey McBride in my 2026 draft rankings. Not even a question.
- [10:35]
Derek Brown
Let's go. Okay, Fitzy threw me a curveball there. I was not expecting that. I thought this was going to be like Tyler Warren. Easy season for Fitzy.
- [10:42]
Seth Wilcock
I know I gave him a little soft toss and he he still w veteran man.
- [10:48]
Derek Brown
All of it.
- [10:50]
Seth Wilcock
Let's get to the Rams against the Ravens. No worm on the show, so you'd have to talk about this one. Thankfully. Will Matthew Stafford go over plus 150 or under minus 192 and a half passing touchdowns this weekend against the Raven secondary and is he a must start? Is the question here, gentlemen? The Ravens have paced as the second best matchups for opposing quarterbacks this season. They've allowed eight passing touchdowns in the past two weeks alone. So Fitz over under for Stafford and is he in your lineups this week if you have him?
- [11:23]
Pat Fitzmorris
Well Seth, since I knew this question was coming, I had to do the math on it before answering. And since joining the Rams in 2021, Stafford has thrown three or more touchdown passes in 17 of his 62 regular season starts at 27.4%. The under looks like the better percentage play here, but nine of the games where Stafford had three or more touchdown passes came in his first season with the Rams. 2021 that was the crazy Cooper cup season. Cup had 145 catches and almost 2,000 yards. Stafford had three or more touchdowns in more than half of his starts that year. And maybe this is playing out as another 2021 type of setup for Stafford with Puka Nakua going wild every week and Devonte Adams still playing like a star. Stafford also has momentum and matchup on his side this week. He's thrown three touchdown passes in each of his last two games and the Ravens defense is a tire fire right now. But look Seth, I do not like making bets with odds of -190. If I do it better be close to a sure thing and this is not close to a sure thing this under and it's way more fun to take the over at +1.50 and then rub it in our guy Worm's face after it hits. So yeah, I'll take the over here. And is Stafford a must start? Like I think I've got him sort of. He's QB9 I think for me this week. So I don't know. I guess I'm I'm not starting him over guys like Drake May or some of the tip Top guys. But I think if you have Stafford in most cases you are probably starting him.
- [12:58]
Seth Wilcock
Derek, you've been pounding the table for Stafford for a few weeks now in some good matchups. Are you once again doing it here in week six?
- [13:05]
Derek Brown
No, absolutely. I mean I've got him QB9 with Fitzy I think. But here's the interesting lace of guys that that I would be starting Matthew Stafford over Daniel Jones. I'm starting Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams, Jordan Love, Justin Fields, Jared Goff, even though I like golf this week Matthew stafford like he's QB9. But those are a number of the names where people could be having lineup decisions and I'm starting Stafford over all of them. Like the Raven second is terrible. I'll take the over reluctantly. Again like with Fitzy and his wonderful analysis here, it's like two and a half over two and a half passing touchdowns is is tough. But I mean Stafford probably gets there this week. I mean if Adams was still banged up, he was out of the lineup or something then I wouldn't. But with all of his weapons pretty pretty much healthy. I mean Tutu Atwell is now dealing with a hamstring issue. Tyler Higby I don't know if we're gonna see him this week, but they're talking about getting Terence Ferguson more involved, so that's good. So Stafford, yeah, like he's about as close to a mustard as you can get, like as a top 10 fantasy quarterback. And I think he's going to crush man the Baltimore Ravens defense. I don't even have to give you any numbers here. They stink. Simply stink.
- [14:12]
Seth Wilcock
They absolutely do. And before we keep it moving, today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock Bet. The Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook app is top rated, probably because there are so many promos and so much to bet. If you're doing some fancy research for Sunday, don't forget to check out those player odds to score on the Hard Rock Bet app. And if you want to ride the hot hand, look at the Hard Rock Bet Stats Hub. Fancy Pros has CMC Christian McCaffrey as our consensus third ranked running back this week. He's reached the end zone in seven straight October games. Or if you want a sleeper cream, Hunt is buried down at number 34 in the ECR rankings. But Hunt loves October. According to Hard Rock Bet Stats Hub, he has scored a touchdown in seven straight October games. He scored twice last week and he hit pater again. You can bet this streak and find more insights any day on the Hard Rock Bet app. And if you haven't tried your first bet on Hard Rock Bet yet, then don't worry, there's still time. You can get $150 in bonus bets if you win. Just place a five dollar bet and if it hits, you're not only going to get your winnings, but you're gonna get $150 $50 back in bonus bets. So go ahead, download the Hard Rock Bet app today and make your first.
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Derek Brown
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Seth Wilcock
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- [17:21]
Derek Brown
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- [17:32]
Pat Fitzmorris
That was my other big takeaway from that game.
- [17:34]
Derek Brown
What was that?
- [17:35]
Seth Wilcock
Oh, my.
- [17:36]
Derek Brown
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- [17:42]
Pat Fitzmorris
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- [17:43]
Derek Brown
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- [17:56]
Pat Fitzmorris
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- [17:59]
Seth Wilcock
Let's head to the north shore of the Ohio river where the Cleveland Browns are against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Akashire. Gentlemen, are you starting or rostering anyone in this game aside from the running backs Quinshot Judkins and Jalen Warren and wide receiver DK Metcalf? These are really consolidated offenses. The defenses are certainly rounded into form as well. So, dbro, are you starting or rostering anyone aside from the big three here?
- [18:25]
Derek Brown
So, actually, and this, I'm going out on a limb here. I'm kind of like optimistic about the Cleveland Browns pass catchers this week. Oh, David and Joku had a huge target share last week and Dylan Gabriel's first start, 24.2%. He got almost a 29% first read share it is a very, very good matchup for David and Joku. So I mean the Steelers have given up the third most fantasy points per game to tight end. So in Joku if you need a tight end option, I'm riding with him this week and I think there's flexible for Jerry Judy and Isaiah Bond here. I mean let's not kid ourselves. The Pittsburgh Steelers secondary has not played well. I know Joey Porter's getting healthier and maybe they're rounding into form a little bit. But Jerry Judy, I mean he leads his team in deep targets and that's really what I want to focus on for him. And Isaiah Bond is both those guys have been one and two for the passing attack for, for deep targets and the Steelers have given up the third highest decompletion rate and the fifth most deep passing yards per game this season. So if there was ever a game where I'm not telling you to feel good about flexing either one of these guys, but I think they are flex viable this week considering the matchup. Jerry Judy and Isaiah Bond if you're in a pinch, yeah, you can play them this week.
- [19:36]
Seth Wilcock
What about you Fitzy? Are you firing anyone up from Cleveland.
- [19:39]
Pat Fitzmorris
Or Pittsburgh here on the Steelers side, maybe Kenneth Gainwell in a deep league or if you're getting just wrecked by injuries like Gainwell had that big game against the Vikings in Ireland with Jalen Warren out a couple of weeks ago. Maybe he gets double digit targets this week against the Browns if, if the Steelers sort of make this like a 6040 backfield in, in Warren's favor. But we do know it's a tough with the Browns whose run defense is just terrific on the Brown side, I'd definitely be willing to start Najoku. Six catches for 67 yards and a touchdown on nine targets in Dylan Gabriel's first start. And Gabriel targeted his tight ends 13 times against the Vikings last week and his wide receivers only 10 times. So maybe Najoku is going to be Gabriel security blanket. And Debro pointed out the matchup with the Steelers looks pretty good. I, I just, I don't know if I'm ready to go to any of the wide receivers with the Browns until we start seeing Dylan Gabriel, you know, doing a little more work with those guys.
- [20:43]
Seth Wilcock
Is it back to Najoku over Fanon for both of you guys rest of season?
- [20:47]
Pat Fitzmorris
I think so, yeah.
- [20:48]
Seth Wilcock
Okay.
- [20:48]
Derek Brown
It is for me and the reason I didn't bring up Fan and although I highlighted the really Good matchup for tight ends versus because duty dropped below a 50% snapshare last week. So if he's not running routes, like, you have to be out there, much like talked about RJ Harvey, you got to run routes, you got to play snaps. If you're not doing that, you can't score fantasy points. Just a reality.
- [21:07]
Pat Fitzmorris
So Finan's a really nice asset for Dynasty. I think you should be happy if you've got him on your roster. But for redraft, I think he's pretty marginal.
- [21:14]
Derek Brown
Well, so just real fast, do you think there's any chance they trade in Joku with them selling off Joe Flacco? Like, that's the only reason where I got a few questions in the discord, and people are like, do I drop him? And I'm like, if you need the space, drop him. But if you've got like a spot where you. You can hold him right now, I'm not willing to say that the Browns will not trade in Joku considering the state of their roster and how they are moving forward. Just like the Joe Flacco trade away, like that signals something.
- [21:44]
Pat Fitzmorris
Yeah, it's possible. I'm trying to look up the terms of David Najoku's contract here.
- [21:50]
Derek Brown
He's a free agent after this year.
- [21:51]
Pat Fitzmorris
He is. Then it's entirely possible.
- [21:54]
Derek Brown
Yeah.
- [21:55]
Seth Wilcock
Who needs a tight end? I'm trying to think off the top of the dome. Who would Charger interest Chargers?
- [21:59]
Derek Brown
Say hi.
- [22:00]
Seth Wilcock
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
- [22:03]
Pat Fitzmorris
And one who can. One who can block, which would really help the Chargers with their tackle.
- [22:07]
Seth Wilcock
Good point. Yeah. All right, let's go ahead and get to the Seattle Seahawks against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Rank these flex options, boys. Cooper cup averaging 8.6 fantasy points per game. ECR wide receiver, 39. Zach Charbonnet averaging just about nine fantasy points per game. ECR RB 29. And then Travis Hunter. Still pushing that agenda here, folks. 6.8 fantasy points per game, ECR 49. Fitz, are you starting any of these options at Flex and rank them for me one through three, please?
- [22:37]
Pat Fitzmorris
Man, I'm not excited about starting any of them, Seth, but I would rank them. I'd put Charbonnet at the top just for the possible touchdown outlook. Like, he does seem to be their preferred goal line guy. Cup versus Hunter is close. Like, I'll put Cup second here behind Charbonnet, with the caveat that if I'm a big underdog, I would play Hunter. Hoping to get lucky and hit on a big player, too, because you're not getting any 60 yard splash plays from Cooper cup at this point. Unless you know, multiple defenders fall down on him. One thing about Hunter and I'd be curious to see if if Debro agrees with this or just thinks I'm overthinking it. But would that little trade we saw between the Jaguars and the Browns exchanging quarterbacks Tyson Campbell goes to the Browns. Greg Newsom goes to the Jaguars. Campbell multiple years left on his deal. Newsom in the final year of his I wonder you bro, if you're a Travis Hunter investor in dynasty, is this maybe a sign that Hunter's going to be playing More cornerback in 2026 since Newsom may or may not be there? Like if they don't sign Newsom to a contract extension lickety split, I would be really worried if I were a Travis Hunter dynasty stakeholder.
- [23:50]
Derek Brown
I don't think you're crazy at all. When I saw that trade I thought two things. Tyson Campbell obviously is not jiving with this new new regime because they were not the ones that gave him the contract. So I think that's one. And then part and parcel with that too. I think yeah, Travis Hunter I think is probably going to be playing more corner and here's the thing, I think he should be playing more corner. I brought up my concern Seth, you you listen to this on the NFL draft show I brought up my concerns about Travis Hunter and his route running and abilities as a wide receiver. And this is not saying that the kid can't grow into being a stellar wide receiver, but he's very raw in those aspects and the Jags need to stop playing the middle here and pick a freaking lane. You either want a marginally good player on both sides of the ball, but you are stealing his ability away to possibly be elite on one side of the ball by doing what you're doing right now. I said in the pre draft process and I'll say it again here, like they need to pick a freaking lane. The whole like dual threat, whatever sounds good on paper but in reality sake no it's not. You're stunning the growth of a player. But getting back to this, yeah I I would just take the the Darth throw upside of Travis Hunter. In saying all of that I would take the Darth row upside. I don't want to play any of these guys but if I have to play one, if I have to put play any of them, I would take the Darth throw upside of Travis Hunter only because Seattle has given up the seventh most PPR points per target and and the fifth most receiving yards per game to opposing slot receivers. So that's why I would go with Travis Hunter on this one. Zach Charbonnet is the second guy here and this in like fits the outline. It's just touchdown hunting. The matchup's not good. He gets a goal line towed in probably like 40, 50 total yards. You're, you're getting double digit points out of him. And I don't want to play Cooper Cup. I mean Seth, we talked about Cooper cup last week and the matchup was fantastic for him and he was good, but he wasn't great. Yeah, exactly. It was, it was very much ish. Like if you played him in a PPR league you were like okay, cool, that's wide receiver three flexish worthy. But do I want to play him in a bad matchup where the Jags have given up the second fewest PPR points per target to slot receivers? Heck no. No.
- [25:59]
Seth Wilcock
All right, let's go ahead and get to south beach where the Chargers come to town to face the Dolphins. Which recently promoted player will have the better game? Malik Washington or Hassan Hassan Haskins? Washington somehow scored more fantasy points in games with Tyreek Hill active than the four point stinker he threw out last week. He is now ECR wide receiver 52. After getting top 36 buzz a week ago, Haskins has now moved up to ECR RB32 and likely going to garner the start here under his former college coach Jim Harbaugh. Debro, do you have a lean? Whether it's Haskins or Washington who has the better game this weekend?
- [26:36]
Derek Brown
I'll go with Haskins and again I'm just touchdown hunting here. I mean he's, he's the Chargers. Zach Charbonnet for me, I mean it's really just hope he gets a goal line carry, he converts, he gets 40, 50 total yards. And you, you enjoy that type of stat line. It just comes down to like I don't have any faith in Hasan Haskins to hold this role. I think we've seen enough of him in his NFL career and I know it's been very, very little but like dude65, some are out of carries in his career. He's got two runs of 10 plus yards. He doesn't break tackles at a high rate. I think until Amari on Hampton. If I want to bet on Talon, I will side with Kamani Vidal here. But Haskins in this game, you just pray him for a touchdown. I'll go with him.
- [27:16]
Seth Wilcock
What about you, Fitz?
- [27:17]
Pat Fitzmorris
Yeah, I have to agree on Haskins. I think he's probably the guy to bet on in the Chargers backfield this week. And this is coming from a Kamani Vidal truther. But like Haskins is the only Charger running back left on their team right now who was on the opening day roster. And as you mentioned Seth like he played for Jim Harbot. Michigan had 1300 rushing yards and 20 touchdown runs in his final college season. There doesn't have much pass catching potential. I'm sure someone else is going to be playing on obvious passing downs for the chargers, but at £228 I think he goes like it's a pretty safe bet. Haskins is going to be the goal line guy, as Debro said. So you're betting on the touchdown thing. Like Malik Washington's average depth of target is 4.9 yards this year. Pretty incredible feat last week of catching four passes for zero yards. That's where the four points came from. Just empty PPR calories, man. There's just not a lot of big play potential within a dot that low. So Washington could maybe get you five or six catches on a good day, but he's probably not giving you much in the way of yardage and not a great bet for a touchdown either.
- [28:25]
Derek Brown
Fitz is going to shove Malik Washington into the Wando Robinson hurt locker that exists in his house.
- [28:31]
Pat Fitzmorris
Man, I and I got way too cute with Malik Washington the rankings last week. Like I thought he could be a top 40 guy. Yeah, not so much.
- [28:39]
Seth Wilcock
Okay. All right, well let's go ahead and keep it moving here folks. But before we do, I wanted to remind you that you can let Autopilot manage your fantasy football lineup automatically so you never have to worry about last minute changes. Auto swap in active players to ensure your lineup is always optimized even when you can't be online. Take control with the flexibility to approve lineup changes via email or let Autopilot handle everything. Stay ahead with my Playbook Autopilot available now for Fancy Pros Premium subscribers@fantasypros.com MyPlaybook or on the FancyProse app. Try Premium for free by claiming your free three day trial of Fantasy Pros Premium at fancyprose.com Premium. Also, we have a special offer for you to unlock all of Betting Pro's Premium features for free. Download the Betting Pros app today using the promo code FP1 month. Again, that's FP1 month. You're going to get access to tools like the same Game Parlay tool, the Prop Bet Analyzer and the Prize Picks Prop Bet Cheat Sheet. Don't miss out try it for free. Now available on iOS and Android. Let's get to some more one o' clock games here with the Dallas Cowboys against the Carolina Panthers. And is this the Teteroa McMillan breakout game? And is he a must start? The Cowboys have been the best matchup for opposing wide receivers, allowing 45 points per game to the position, including an average of two receiving touchdowns. We have TMAC currently as the wide receiver 11 in ECR. His prop bets include over under 64 and a half receiving yards, over under five and a half reception and in any time touchdown at plus 1:40. So Fitz, are you firing up McMillan and expecting this is where we see him come alive.
- [30:25]
Pat Fitzmorris
He is a must start and I do hope the matchup with Dallas helps propel him to a big day. But then again, four of the Panthers five games this season, Bryce Young has thrown for fewer than 200 yards. So yeah, can't go all in. But I do feel reasonably good about McMillan going over 64.5 receiving yards. That's, that's the prop I'd take here.
- [30:50]
Seth Wilcock
What about you, D?
- [30:51]
Derek Brown
Bro, I'm with Fitzy and all of that. I'm not touching. Dude, when you get into the anytime touchdowns and they're like below like 2 plus 200 plus 300, just count me out on them. I mean it's, the market's too much like fine, we can use that and say okay, I hope he scores a touchdown, but it's not something I'm ever gonna bet. I'll take the over. I mean I'm fine with actually taking the over on the 5.5 receptions and the, the receiving yardage market here just because of the volume and the matchup is just absolutely fantastic for Ted. And the one other point I'll make here, Bryce Young has been horrible. But I, I do, I will say that Outside of Tedro McMillan, what other options has he had to throw to like Xavier Leggett at this point in his career? We should understand he's just not it like the first round capital was testing combine, all that kind of stuff. I was never that much in on him as a prospect.
- [31:45]
Seth Wilcock
Just overpay.
- [31:45]
Derek Brown
I mean yeah, and Jatavian Sanders got hurt. Tommy Trimble is who he is. I think the one thing that, that will could help Bryce massively, I think Jalen Coker is going to be back this week and I think having another like a valid number two receiving option next to Tedro McMillan can help McMillan and help Bryce Young and help this offense. And I know that's putting a lot at the feet of Jalen Coker, but the kid's freaking talented man. And when you got no other freaking options, I mean it's not hard for defenses to key on one player so I think that can definitely help tet in the matchups also. Awesome.
- [32:16]
Seth Wilcock
So let's go ahead and get to the bayou for the Saints who will be hosting the New England Patriots. Better flex play here Jim's Travion Henderson or Kendra Miller Alvin Kamara injured his ankle Wednesday at practice. He was limited on Thursday. Hendo currently 8.2 fantasy points per game. He's RB30 in ECR. And Kendra Miller he has seen double digit touches in back to back games, averaging 9.2 fantasy points per game and has an ECR ranking of RB38. On paper the Saints are a much better matchup for running backs, allowing nearly 23 fantasy points per game to the position Fitz I can't even believe we're having this conversation, but here we are. Is it Kendra Miller for you at flex or is it Trayvon Henderson?
- [32:58]
Pat Fitzmorris
Well, if the Camara injury were serious then like this would be a conversation worth having. But right now it's being reported as not very concerning. So it seems like Camara is going to play like guys. Guys play through low ankle injuries. If it's a low ankle, and it seems like it is in this case, Camara's probably going to play and Kendra Miller has looked good in recent weeks, but we just can't count on adequate touch volume and he also has a pretty tough matchup. The New England Run D is pretty legit, so I know Treveon Henderson investors are very disappointed in his usage and with good reason. The hope here is that the next Ramond Ray Stevenson fumble leads to a big usage spike for Henderson. And and really that probably should have happened already since Ramon Dre has lost three fumbles in his last three games. But it turns out that Mike Vrabel is a more forgiving fellow than you might have imagined just looking at him.
- [33:55]
Seth Wilcock
What about you Derek Miller or Hendo Fitzy?
- [33:58]
Derek Brown
Did you hear the quote from Vrabel too where he was talking to the media about Ramon Dre, where he was like the fumbles are not just a Ramon Dre problem, they're the other guys on the team problem. Like they should be blocking guys, they shouldn't hit him and all kinds of stuff like keeping up hard for Ramondra Ray. I mean dude, we talked about this on last week's episode. Like I I don't know why they will not give the ball to Trayvon Henderson. I don't know why Trayvon's not breaking tackles. Like, none of this is working out for us right now. Like, I love the kid as a prospect, loved his talent, and it's just, it's not going that way. I don't want to play either one of these guys. Like, Travian's not getting it done. Ramandre could put the ball on the ground as many times apparently as he wants to, and he still gets the goal line. Totes. Like, yeah, like Henderson played 65% of the snapshot in last week's game and it didn't freaking matter. Like after Ramandre fumbled and Antonio Gibson was out of the game, that was Henderson snapshare and he still didn't get the work at the goal line. So I don't want to play Henderson and I don't want to play Kendra Miller. Like, Camara's, like not a hundred percent, but I do. Like I'm with Fitzy. I think he plays and stuff, but this is just not a good matchup for Kendra Miller. Like New England 4th fewest run at rushing yards per game 6 lowest explosive run rate. When you're making all of your fantasy point production on the early downs, it's a horrible matchup for that.
- [35:13]
Seth Wilcock
So you went down the third door. You just, you just said neither. You didn't even answer the question. Love that. Let's get to the Titans here against the Raiders. What are the keys to this game? For going over 40 and a half for the point total. And are you starting anyone in this matchup? Aside for running back Ashton Genti, Derek.
- [35:34]
Derek Brown
So for this to go over the 40 and a half, I mean really, Tony Pollard's got to produce and really ignite this Titans rushing attack. I mean, Tony Pollard's been good, but the offensive line, the passing attack, nothing else is giving him any kind of help. So. But look, the Raiders can't stop anybody on the ground. I mean they're allowing the hot dual highest missed tackle rate. 10 Thai shards at a contact per 10. So power's got to have a good day. I think that can happen. And Calvin really has to look like, okay, last week was not just a fluke and the Raiders secondary could allow that. Like they've given up the 6 most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers. So for this to hit the over, this Titans offense has to show some kind of life. And honestly, Gino Smith has got to play better than replacement level quarterback player. We might see Kenny Pickett this week.
- [36:24]
Seth Wilcock
Who Knows what about you, Fitzgerald?
- [36:28]
Pat Fitzmorris
Yeah. So I think the obvious key is decent quarterback playing this game, Geno Smith looking something like the Geno Smith we saw in Seattle. And hopefully Cam Ward can do his part too. But I think the secret key to this game going over, let's face it, might be a well timed turnover or two that gives these offenses short fields to work with because we're probably not getting many 70 or 80 yard touchdown drives in this game.
- [36:53]
Derek Brown
Fair.
- [36:54]
Seth Wilcock
Very, very fair. Where's Ashton Genti for you guys this week? Is he in that RB1 tier or is he a little bit below it?
- [37:03]
Derek Brown
What about you? I've got him at RB9 right now. I think the past game utility we saw last week is real and it's.
- [37:11]
Pat Fitzmorris
Probably here to stay RB12 for me.
- [37:13]
Seth Wilcock
Okay.
- [37:14]
Pat Fitzmorris
Just, you know, I still worry a little about that Raiders offensive line even in a. Yeah decent matchup. No Colton Miller, that doesn't help. Oh, and by the way, like which guys would I start? I mean other than Genty. Like I'd start. I think I'd still start Jacoby Myers despite the bad two week stretch he's had. And I would start Tony Pollard.
- [37:35]
Seth Wilcock
Okay. Okay, that. Yeah, that's pretty much it. No Calvin Ridley for you this week, guys?
- [37:41]
Pat Fitzmorris
No, he was he up until that big game last week he had just been a train wreck with drops man.
- [37:46]
Derek Brown
I think he's flex viable but do I want to play him? No. It just comes down to like. Like which bad match would bad option on your fantasy roster do you feel best about? I mean Ridley's maybe at the top of that heap, but it's not good.
- [37:58]
Seth Wilcock
Okay. Okay. If you want a chance to win a signed AJ Brown Eagles jersey for free courtesy of our friends over@pristine auction.com, all you need to do is head to fantasypros.com contest and complete the form. You can either download the Fantasy Pros app, leave a review for the podcast, or follow us on x Instagram or TikTok. We're at Fantasy Pros. The more actions you complete, the more entries you're gonna receive and we will announce a winner right here on the program nearing the beginning of next month. So if you're watching on YouTube, please be sure to ring the bell so you can be alerted when new episodes are up and to claim your prize if you are that lucky winner. All right, let's get to some late afternoon games with the San Francisco 49ers at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Which award front runner shows out for fantasy managers the most this weekend? Gents, BAKER, Mayfield here, MVP candidates plus 650 right now in that market. He's been awesome for fantasy as well. Quarterback for 21.2 fantasy points per game. ECR QB7AMecca Abuka now minus money, minus 110 for offensive rookie of the year. Unbelievable run for the former Buckeye here. Wide Receiver 3, averaging 20.6 fantasy points per game. ECR Wide Receiver 4 this week. And then of course Christian McCaffrey, comeback player, the year favorite, plus 200 RB1, averaging 24.8 points per game. To no surprise, he is the RB1 in ECR once again this week. So Fitz, which award front runner do you think has a big showing here for fantasy managers?
- [39:30]
Pat Fitzmorris
Oh, man, I'll say all of them. I think it's going to be a pretty good game for all these guys. But if I had to drill down and pick one. McCaffrey, like the, the crazy target volume is there every week. He is averaging 10.4 targets and has not had fewer than seven targets in any game this season. McCaffrey is averaging 77.4 receiving yards a game and he's had more than 80 receiving yards in three straights. And the 49ers still have a lot of injured pass catchers. Like we don't know if Juwan Jennings or Ricky Pierce all are going to go in this one. George Kittle is still out, so it's hard to see McCaffrey's target load being reduced.
- [40:10]
Seth Wilcock
You said early in draft season that you're not playing to get second. You're not playing not to get last. You're playing to win. And that's why you were so heavy on Kamara in your pre draft rankings. Is it still him here in week six that you think has the big game between himself, Mecca and Baker?
- [40:26]
Derek Brown
Yeah, I mean, I'll, I'll echo Fitzy here. I think all three of them have really good games. If I've got to pick one guy, I think it's Baker Mayfield, dude. I just think he's playing absolutely fantastic football. And for all of us, myself included, that said, in draft season and we are all like, oh, regression, regression, regression for Baker Mayfield. Baker Mayfield is spitting in all of our faces, dude. Like, he does not care. He's running, he's making huge plays. I mean, dude, he's willing this team to victory. He is playing with a chip on his shoulder and it is so freaking fun to see, man. Like, I can't wait to see what this offense looks like with Mike Evans back in the fold. Like him fully healthy and him and a Mecca Buka like at full steam, baby. So with Baker, the way that he is playing right now, six most passing yards per game, he's second in hero throw rate. The 49ers pass defense also, they, they've got some holes in the armor here. They've given up the 12th high, 12th most passing touchdowns and 11th highest success rate per drop back. So I think Baker just keeps getting it done.
- [41:25]
Seth Wilcock
Dude, Baker keeps bacon. I love it, man. He has become just such an, like, I don't want to call him an icon, but like he, he really is like outside those like top quarterbacks in the league, there's no one better to root for than Baker right now.
- [41:37]
Derek Brown
Dude, I love his interview. The quote that he gave this week when he was talking about, people were talking about his mindset early in his career versus now and they were like, you know, it's funny like when you win and you're more established and you're a veteran and you're playing well, how cockiness and all this kind of stuff turned into moxie and then you got that dog in you. He's like, I've been the same player the entirety of my career. And I'm like, yeah, he has. And it's funny how the narrative switches never change.
- [42:05]
Seth Wilcock
Baker Mayfield never change, baby. Let's get to title town here with the Cincinnati Bengals on the road to face the Packers. Does Joe Flacco fix the Bengals skill players? That is the key question for this game. The packers are a pretty neutral matchup for opposing wide receivers. Slightly negative for running backs. Chase Brown, RB32 on the season, averaging just under double digit PPR points per game. Jamar Chase, wide receiver, nine on the season, still averaging 17.4 fantasy points per game. And then T. Higgins, also really underperforming. Wide receiver 48, averaging just over eight fantasy points per game. Derek, is Joe Flacco the key to fix the Bengals offense and skill players for fantasy?
- [42:45]
Derek Brown
Hell no. This isn't the right, the right Joe. This isn't the Joe that can fix that. Sorry, I, I've seen it out there like in the fantasy streets. People like, oh, Joe Flacco writing in to save the day. And I'm like, would it be Joe Rogan?
- [42:58]
Seth Wilcock
Joe Pizza P I I' what changes.
- [43:01]
Derek Brown
Here that that really makes people feel so good about Joe Flacco? The offensive line? Or did they trade for two or three offensive lineman? Did I miss that news because did they get a new play caller that's actually going to do motion and play action and give the quarterback easy buttons.
- [43:17]
Pat Fitzmorris
No.
- [43:18]
Derek Brown
So they're not going to do all of that. No. Joe Flack. Dude, the magic that everybody clings to about Joe Flacco in the. In a few years ago with the Cleveland Browns is gone. Dude, it is gone. Amongst 40 qualifying quarterbacks, Joe Flacco is dead last in yards per attempt. He has the 8th worst catchable target rate, and now he's going from one team and the Cleveland Browns that allowed the 13th highest pressure rate over expectation to the Cincinnati Bengals, which have allowed the fourth highest pressure rate over expectation. And people think this is going to work out well. It's not.
- [43:53]
Seth Wilcock
It.
- [43:54]
Derek Brown
It's not. I don't feel any better about Chase Brown. I don't feel any better about T. Higgins. I don't want to start any freaking Bengal outside of Jamar Chase. That's how I felt then, that's how I feel now. No changes.
- [44:06]
Seth Wilcock
Pat, you've been pretty adamant pretty much all season long that you don't think this Bengals offense can ever get right despite the signal callers because of how bad that line is. Does that remain the case here with Flacco under center?
- [44:17]
Pat Fitzmorris
Yeah, I mean, Flacco is just handling pressure so poorly, like this year and last year, really. And the Bengals have allowed a. They've allowed pressure on 27.6% of their drop backs. That's the second highest rate in the league behind only the Titans. You know, Flacco, 5.1 yards per attempt as G Bro noted, two touchdowns, six interceptions, passer rating of 60.3 before being benched, which is like, that's the kind of passer rating you get when you just spike a ball in the dirt. So Debro asked, though, what, like, what's the one thing that. Has anything changed for Flacco? I guess the one thing you could point to is that instead of he's swapping out Jerry Judy and Cedric Tillman slash Isaiah Bond for Jamar Chase and T. Higgins. So, I mean, that's the one shred of hope you're clinging to if you drafted Jamar Chase or T. Higgins, that, you know, Flacco shows out a little bit more with an upgrade in pass catcher. But, I mean, as far as something to cling on to, it's. It's basically like the piece of wreckage that Rose was clinging to at the end of Titanic. You know, it's like there's. There's not much here and things probably aren't going to go well for both of the people clinging to that. That record.
- [45:34]
Derek Brown
Jamar Chase is not letting anybody else on that table. I'm just telling you.
- [45:38]
Seth Wilcock
Yeah, I. I'm specifically concerned for D. Higgins just because his ADA is so high and I don't think Flacco have the time to get the ball down to him deep.
- [45:45]
Derek Brown
Like.
- [45:45]
Seth Wilcock
Like, why don't they ever do any design plays for T. Higgins, like closer to the line of scrimmage. I get that. He's like a downfield option, but Zach.
- [45:52]
Derek Brown
Taylor, dude, he's horrible. He's horrible.
- [45:56]
Pat Fitzmorris
Joe.
- [45:56]
Derek Brown
Joe had a really good call and I want to get Yalls thoughts on this. Joe Brady is the next coach for the Cincinnati Bank.
- [46:04]
Seth Wilcock
That would be fun. Reunited.
- [46:06]
Derek Brown
I would be so in for that next year. Oh, my gosh.
- [46:12]
Seth Wilcock
Here for it.
- [46:12]
Derek Brown
I'm here for.
- [46:15]
Seth Wilcock
Let's go ahead. Let's get to Sunday night football. Detroit Lions against the Kansas City Chiefs. Carrie Underwood, I think she sings that song. Is that right, D? Bro, can you do a little Carrie Underwood impression for us?
- [46:26]
Derek Brown
You're asking the wrong person for that. Fitzy could do that way better than I can.
- [46:31]
Pat Fitzmorris
No, leave me out of this.
- [46:32]
Derek Brown
I can't even. I couldn't even tell you one Carrie Underwood song. I will leave it to you, Seth.
- [46:39]
Seth Wilcock
Oh, okay. Well, I am the country kid, so it makes sense this morning.
- [46:43]
Derek Brown
By the way, what was that? I said flannel and all, for everybody watching.
- [46:47]
Seth Wilcock
Yeah, it's chilly out here. It's chilly out here. I. I will say, I think the Thursday Night Football song is my favorite with Chris Stapleton and Snoop Dogg. I think that one gets my 101 of the intro songs.
- [47:00]
Derek Brown
Such an odd mix. I've never heard it, but. Good Lord.
- [47:03]
Seth Wilcock
You haven't heard it. It's good.
- [47:04]
Derek Brown
I think it sounds like such an odd mix. That's like if you put T. Pain and Rob Zombie together, like, what are we doing? What?
- [47:10]
Seth Wilcock
Pat, have you heard it? Do you like it?
- [47:11]
Pat Fitzmorris
No, I've not. I'm. Now I'm anxious to.
- [47:14]
Seth Wilcock
It's not.
- [47:15]
Pat Fitzmorris
I'm glad.
- [47:15]
Derek Brown
Pat's anxious too. I'm fine.
- [47:19]
Seth Wilcock
The question here, gentlemen. We're going to do a little draft. The quarterbacks, Mahomes Goff, off the board, tight ends, Kelsey laporta, gone. Wide receiver, ones for both teams. Xavier Worthy and Amon Ross. St. Brown. You can't draft them. Who are you drafting out of the remaining players to put into your lineups this week? Fit start with you.
- [47:36]
Pat Fitzmorris
Oh, man. Like I. I know who the chalk is. I think of the guys you didn't mention, but I'm Actually, I guess, yeah.
- [47:43]
Seth Wilcock
The Detroit running back should probably be off the board too. Apologies.
- [47:48]
Pat Fitzmorris
Yeah, that's all right. So I'm going to go with Tyquan Thornton here. And Thornton has scored a touchdown in three of his last four games. He's had 59 or more receiving yards in three of his last four games. Like he's been a sneaky, usable fantasy asset. And I don't think he's found his way into many lineups, but maybe he should find out your way his way into your lineup this week if you've got him. Because look, this lion secondary, no D.J. reed, no Terry and Arnold, I think one of their backup cornerbacks is, is out too for this game. Like that is a really banged up secondary. So, you know, I know Xavier Worthy not fully healthy yet, still another week away from the return of Rasheed Rice. I think Taekwond Thornton might have a good day again.
- [48:38]
Seth Wilcock
Debra, who are you drafting?
- [48:40]
Derek Brown
Well, I was going to say Dave Montgomery, but now we're giving it.
- [48:42]
Seth Wilcock
Yeah, that's a low hanging fruit.
- [48:44]
Pat Fitzmorris
I know.
- [48:45]
Derek Brown
And I was trying to pick it and eat it. Okay, I was very fine to pick it and eat it, but to Fitzy's point, yeah, I'll go Taekwond Thornton or it's, it's Cream Hunt just shooting for the touchdown here. But to Fitzy's point, I mean, Terry on Arnold, out. DJ Reed is out, you've got Vonte, Maddox is questionable. Rocky Sin, we know his game. He tries to press you at the line. He doesn't have the wheels to run with these guys. So I'll go Taekwond Thornton. I mean, we know his role in this offense and I don't even know if he gets a 50 snapshare depending on Worthy. If Worthy is out, then that obviously rises. But we also know his role in this offense and that is he's going to be the field stretcher. So even if it's only three to four targets, if he makes good on two of those, that can make your fantasy day.
- [49:29]
Seth Wilcock
So quick sidebar on Kareem Hunt. And it kind of ties back to my friend who is having the diaper party this weekend. He sends me a screenshot Monday night that he accidentally placed a bet. He was trying to do first time touchdown parlay for Ramandre and Kareem Hunt, but he actually did two touchdowns each and then he cashed out of it after he realized his mistake. It would, it was a five dollar bet that would have paid out 15 grand and he took a 50 cent loss just to cash it out. So wow, pour one out for Zach. That was.
- [49:59]
Derek Brown
Redo the bet. Redo the bet.
- [50:01]
Pat Fitzmorris
I mean I talk about someone who's going to have regrets if that one hits and you know, what did you say? 7 straight Kareem Hunt October games with the touchdown. Like Reggie Jackson is going to have to relinquish his Mr. October title to to Kareem Hunt so. Man, I would have just rode with the five dollar bet.
- [50:24]
Derek Brown
I know your friend to put that bed back in. He'll be very happy. Like I'm not telling you. I'm not out here forecasting that, but it's not crazy.
- [50:33]
Seth Wilcock
Yeah, yeah. Let it ride again.
- [50:37]
Derek Brown
It's not. It's not crazy.
- [50:39]
Seth Wilcock
I know, I know. Poor guy could have paid for his baby's delivery right there in one one one wager.
- [50:45]
Derek Brown
It's a lot of diapers, dude.
- [50:47]
Seth Wilcock
It is. It is. Let's get to Monday Night Football where we have two games starting with the Buffalo Bills against the Atlanta Falcons. Which former first round tight end do you trust more? Duncan Cade or Kyle Pitts? Kincaid, currently the tight end for right now averaging 13.3 points per game was limited in practice Thursday and the Falcons are the worst matchups for opposing tight ends. Pitts meanwhile tight end 14 averaging 11 and a half points per game. But the Bills the second worst matchup for tight end. So ECR has concave four spots above pits at tight end eight. Do you agree with that ranking fits?
- [51:22]
Pat Fitzmorris
Yeah, I guess I do. Wait, I'm sorry, who do we have in ECR higher can.
- [51:27]
Seth Wilcock
Can K to 8 pits at 12.
- [51:29]
Pat Fitzmorris
Yeah, I think that's kind of in line with what I have.
- [51:31]
Seth Wilcock
Okay.
- [51:32]
Pat Fitzmorris
And like I'm a Pitts guy and I think if I was betting on who would get more targets this game, I would bet pits but more better touchdown potential. With Dalton Kincaid, he's had three in five games. He's getting his targets from Josh Allen and I like Michael Pennix but you know we know who the better quarterback in this matchup is and Kincaid's been like sneaky efficient this year. He is averaging 12 yards per target and his three touchdowns this season. It is already outdone his touchdown totals from his first two years in the league. Wow. Two each.
- [52:04]
Seth Wilcock
Wow. Insane. Derek, what about you here? Kincaid or Pitts? I mean both terrible matchups but might be a sneaky spot for one of them.
- [52:12]
Derek Brown
Yeah, I'll echo everything Fitzy just said. I mean I'm tying it to the quarterback that I believe in more. Both These have been historically terrible matchups, especially Buffalo for tight ends for the last like two to three years. So it's not just a one year, one year sample with this. And Kincaid has been freaking awesome on a per route basis like amongst 40 qualifying tight ends. I mean, I hate the fact that he still doesn't have like a 70 or 75 route share. I absolutely freaking hate it. But the other point of this is we are seeing a breakout season from him even in limited capacity. This is a massive breakout season for him. Like amongst 40 qualifying tight ends, he's fourth in target per route run rate. He's second and receiving yards per game and he leads all tight ends and yards per route run. So I'm just going to go with quarterback play efficiency. He's on a hot streak. I've got him at tight end nine for the week. Just other guys splitting matchups and stuff like that. That I like. Fitzy, where do you have Kyle Pitts ranked this week? Because I don't have him inside of my top 15, I think. Or I'm bumping him down.
- [53:17]
Seth Wilcock
Dude.
- [53:18]
Pat Fitzmorris
Yeah, I mean you make a good point about the matchup. The Bills have been pretty tough on tight ends. I've got him. I've got him tight end 11, but I've got him like right ahead of Darren Waller, whose matchup I also hate because he's going to get a lot of Derwin James this week.
- [53:31]
Derek Brown
Yep. So question, would you play David and Joker or Kyle Pitts?
- [53:35]
Pat Fitzmorris
I've gotten a Joker ranked higher.
- [53:37]
Derek Brown
Juwan Johnson or Kyle Pitts?
- [53:39]
Pat Fitzmorris
Oh, Kyle Pitts. Come on.
- [53:43]
Seth Wilcock
I know it, I know it.
- [53:44]
Derek Brown
I'm gonna go with Juwan, but I think it's close.
- [53:46]
Seth Wilcock
Oh, even with Taysom Hill back? I don't know.
- [53:53]
Derek Brown
Yeah, Again, he's not playing any snaps either.
- [53:56]
Seth Wilcock
I love how I was one year too early on Kincaid. Man, I had Kincaid everywhere last year. I was so bullish on him and just wasn't seeing the field enough.
- [54:04]
Derek Brown
Dude. I've tried to trade him away in our dynasty league fits like so many different times and every time I put him on the block it's like crickets. Crickets. Okay, fine. I guess I'll keep him.
- [54:16]
Seth Wilcock
Yeah, we need, we need the other tight end there out of the mix. I feel like for him to really, it has to go for him to be.
- [54:25]
Derek Brown
The problem is Jackson Hawes is so freaking good. They've been running so much 12 and 13. Because Jackson Hawes is, he is as a rookie a top five run blocking tight end in the League. And I know that sounds crazy, but he has been freaking awesome. Awesome.
- [54:43]
Seth Wilcock
I love Jack. I love Jackson Hawes, man, you know, you know me, I'm a big Georgia Tech guy. So anytime you can get someone like.
- [54:49]
Derek Brown
That collegiate program, you're not like, you're a big Penn State guy, you're a big Georgia Tech guy. Like, like, I would say those are my two favorites.
- [54:56]
Seth Wilcock
Like. Well, I also like Toledo, so.
- [54:59]
Derek Brown
Yeah, like Maryland. It's okay, you know.
- [55:02]
Seth Wilcock
No, no, no. Never. Never. I don't like any other Big Ten. Let's route it out here with the Chicago Bears against the Washington Commanders. The second and final Monday Night Football game kicks off 8:15pm Eastern Time. Does the Jacori Crosky merit train, the Bill Kraski merit train, keep rolling here. Coming off a career high 27 fantasy points. And where are you ranking him this week in a matchup against the defense, allowing the fourth most fantasy points per game to the opposing running backs. Derek Brown, let's start with you.
- [55:33]
Derek Brown
I want to bury the lead. I want to hear Fitzy's thoughts on this before I wait.
- [55:37]
Seth Wilcock
Okay.
- [55:38]
Derek Brown
Okay. I want to hear Fitzy because Fitzy, I, I've been seasoned to Bill. I've been seasoned to Bill like you have been. I, I loved him as a prospect. I loved him way back. So like, I, I will admit maybe there's been some bias for me, but I, I love the talent, I love the kid. I want to hear Fitzy's take before mine because I'm gonna love him. So.
- [55:57]
Pat Fitzmorris
All right. I'm not, I'm not anti bell. No, no.
- [56:02]
Derek Brown
You are a more even keeled person. Everybody knows, like, look, like I, I like my guys and I'm aggressive on stuff.
- [56:09]
Pat Fitzmorris
So. Yeah, I mean, I, I do like him. This week I've got him. RB17. So the, the Bears are giving up the fourth most fantasy points to running backs. Chris Rodriguez is banged up, might not play. The Commanders have a pretty good offensive line and you know, right now Bill is just, he's been really good. He just needed that playing time boost and he got it last week against the Chargers. He's leading the NFL in yards per carry at 6.6 and rushing success. Right. Which is like over 70%, which is really good for a running back. He even gave us a little bit of pass catching productivity last week against the Chargers, which is really encouraging because that's the one thing we thought that maybe he wouldn't give us it all. So, yeah, RB17 and like that might even be a little conservative.
- [56:57]
Seth Wilcock
Derek, where are you at on him right now? If he if Fitz is RV17, I have to imagine you're at least up in that 15 range.
- [57:03]
Derek Brown
Maybe I have met RB13 I think okay rates them I think the Bears and this is this is partially because yes I Bill is really freaking good and I I wonder how much the early season usage and the split up of this backfill. Yeah sure it's a rookie like trying to get his legs under him in his first season but it's also I wonder how much like what we don't know about like how the injury stuff earlier in the year, maybe that played more of a role because yeah, dude, like last week he played a season high percentage of snaps. He had a season high route share. He had a season high target share. I think all of those things are here to stay. The Bears cannot stop anybody on the ground. Bill is arguably one of the most efficient running backs in the NFL. Like 47 qualifying backs. He's second in explosive run rate. He's third in yards of the contact per attempt. We all saw Ash and Genty and the fact that the Raiders do not have an offensive line not matter when Ashton Genti dropped three touchdowns on their head and looked like the stud we all knew he was. Bill is going to gash them this week. Chicago's giving up the second most rushing yards and the highest the highest missed tackle rate in the NFL. He is going to go wild. I've got him at RB13.
- [58:14]
Seth Wilcock
Awesome. Well, great stuff today gentlemen. That is going to do it for us on this episode of the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football Podcast. Please comment down below your answers to any of these burning questions. And while you're here, make sure you're smashing that like button and subscribing to the channel if you're new. For my friends Pat Fitzmorris and Downtown Derrick Brown, I'm Seth Wilcock. Take care, y'.
- [58:33]
Pat Fitzmorris
All.
- [58:34]
Seth Wilcock
Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football Podcast. If you love the show, the best free way to support us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts, at fantasypros.com review or on Spotify. Follow us on X Instagram and TikTok Antasypros and subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube.com fantasypros. If you're a smoker or dipper ready to make a change, you really only need one good reason. But with Zen nicotine pouches, you'll discover many good reasons. Reasons Zyn is America's number one nicotine pouch brand.
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Derek Brown
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Seth Wilcock
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Derek Brown
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Pat Fitzmorris
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Derek Brown
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Pat Fitzmorris
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Derek Brown
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Seth Wilcock
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Derek Brown
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Pat Fitzmorris
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Derek Brown
And official rules, visit toyotasgamedaygiveaways.com this is an iHeart podcast.