C (2:25)

Yeah, it's always Derek One of those situations where you don't want to overreact to what you see in weeks Week one but you also can't underreact to some of the usage you do see. So it's a great balance, it's a great line we try to walk and excited to do it here with you again in week two. Quick shout out to everyone before we get going for either tuning in on The Fantasy Pros YouTube channel or the audio feed. We see you. We appreciate you. Easiest free way to support us. Give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy this type of content and make sure you're subscribing to the channel if you're new as well. Also, if you want a chance to win a signed Jamar Chased Bengals jersey for free courtesy of our friends over@pristineauction.com all you need to do is head to fancyprose.com contest and complete the form by doing either a Download that Fancy Pros app, b leave a review for this podcast or c follow us on x Instagram or TikTok antasypros. The more actions you complete, the more entries you're going to receive and we will be announcing a winner right here on the podcast. So make sure you ring that bell so you can so you can't miss on any episodes we have coming out and when we announce that winner. If you are that lucky winner. So Dbro, let's go ahead. Let's jump right into it with your must start quarterback for Week 2 of the season.

D (3:36)

Dude, it's gotta be Deck Prescott. He is a QB12 and ACR right now and I know I'm kind of cheating because supposed to, you know the crooks of this video is to pick somebody outside the top 10 and he's right there in the borderline. But this all comes back to when discussing about players that should have had a big game and things didn't go their way. Dak Prescott has to be the poster guy for this. Like he is the one leading the conversation. When you're a quarterback that led the NFL in yards lost in week one due to drops with 61 passing yards lost and we can talk about multiple touchdowns lost because whether it was Dak not, you know, hitting a seam ball perfectly or guys dropping it or bang bang plays and then not holding on, Dak was so close to a monster game and I'm going right back to the well man, like looking at Dak Prescott again. Sixth in catchable target rate, third in hero throw rate in week one. You marry this with the Giants defense and secondary that really didn't. They didn't show up, man. They weren't this defense that we thought we were going to get this year in 2025. And I know again it's one game, but I think Dak Prescott comes ready this week. Man, like the secondary for the Giants just didn't hold up great last week. I know it was versus Jaden Daniels, but Dak Prescott is still incredible, incredibly talented. Dallas is going to be chucking the ball and the Giant secondary last week gave up the 11th highest yards per attempt. And for as good as this defensive line is supposedly going to be this year, Seth had the eighth lowest pressure rate last week. So that Prescott should have time in the pocket. As long as CD Lamb doesn't drop every target thrown his way. Should have a big game.

C (5:09)

Yeah, the big question I think, as you alluded to there is will the New York Giants front get to this younger Dallas Cowboys offensive line who I will say they played really well in that opening game against the Eagles. Obviously Jalen Carter, you know, throwing himself out of that game early in that one I think helped. But you know, the Tylers, the Guytons, the Smiths, the Bookers on that offensive line really held themselves up well. And I'm not afraid of this giant secondary at all. So if Dak Prescott has the time and CD Lamb can make some catches and George Pickens can get a couple calls going his way. Nobody gets worse calls in the NFL than George Pickens, by the way. I mean, this guy has lost so many yards and touchdowns over the years to some passing interferences or you know, bad calls.

D (5:52)

Steelers homerism kind of seeping into the show quite early. Man.

C (5:56)

Jeez.

D (5:57)

Thought we would have gotten like take four or five before that possibly came up. But hey, here we are.

C (6:01)

Yeah, here we are, baby. But Dak Prescott is in for DBRO at the must start quarterback position. Let's move to running backs where you're in on a different Denver Broncos running back here in week number two.

D (6:13)

Dude, I feel like Sean Payton is just designed to hurt me. Last week I talked about R.J. harvey and nobody, nobody out there, I see you all in the comments and blah blah, blah. Like nobody thought the Denver backfield was going to enter week one as a three headed committee. Like Tyler Beatty being part of this was not in, in the cards at all. And so you know, the Harvey call, like, I mean, dude, come on, he was the best guy on the field last week for the Denver Broncos. I would have put his name Back in here. But like, I don't know what his snap sha snapshare looks like in week two. Whereas I'm going to go with JK Dobbins here, RB27 and ECR. I think he honestly should be an RB2 in rankings this week. And looking at what his role is while like, we're still trying to figure out. Okay, Sean, use RJ Harvey. Come on, come on. Do it, do it. Now we know what J.K. dobbins is going to do in this backfield, and that was very apparent in week one play. 53% of the snaps led the backfield and snaps. Saw all three of the team's red zone carries.

C (7:13)

Yep.

D (7:13)

Has got 18 touches. So you're talking about a player that probably ends up somewhere in that 15 to 17 touch count, most of that being on early downs if he's going to get the money touches near the goal line. He looked good on a per carry basis. He had a 19% miss. Missed tackles, forest rate, 2.63 yards after contact per attempt. And with Bon's struggles, this is another thing just looking at in my mind's eye of how this game could go. I think Denver could lean on their ground game this week with Bo Nick struggling out the gate. Indy, like they just absolutely crushed the Dolphins last week. So we really didn't see the Dolphins able to really just invest in the running game, lean on the running game because they were down bad and down bad quickly that we just didn't see it. But this is also an indie run defense set that last week gave up the highest yards of the contact per attempt, the sixth highest rushing success rate, and they had the 11th lowest stuff rate. So if Denver wants to lean into the ground game with Harvey and Dobbins this week, they should be able to do it, man, with a lot of success.

C (8:14)

Yeah, we need Tyler Batty out of there. I'm so sick. Whether it's him or whether it's, you know, in the past been Julian McLaughlin, there's always this third guy just taking a couple of these snaps and taking a couple targets away. And Jake, I think it's going to.

D (8:26)

Happen, but I don't know if it happens this week for Harvey.

C (8:29)

I think you just come to a point where you got to play your better players. And Dobbins and Harvey are both a step ahead of him in my opinion. And Derek, I really have a lot of respect for this call because, you know, we have to be willing as fantasy analysts and managers to adjust our priors. And I think you and I and a lot of us here at FP were very high on Harvey this off season. But right now it's one of those situations where it looks like Sean Payton is going to trust the steadier hand, the older veteran here in JK Dobbins, the 53% of snaps they bowed and tell that story as well as those red zone stats that you're talking about as well. So you, you know, I, I think it, you know, a lot of respect coming your way to just correcting, you know, maybe some of our earlier thinking here. And I think there is still a day for RJ Harvey. I just don't think it's here in week two.

D (9:13)

Yeah, I agree. And, and I think this backfield is going to evolve as we move through the season. I think Harvey is going to still be the leader of this backfield and I never said that Dobbins wasn't going to have a role in this backfield. I always thought he was going to have an early down role because Harvey wasn't a guy that I thought Sean Payton was going to load up with 25 carries or 25 touches on a weekly basis. So I always thought this is going to be a split backfield. But yeah man, like I think Harvey's eventually going to own the backfield in the sense of like he's not like Tyler B is going to go away. I think this is going to be a two headed backfield. But yes, Dobbins right now the matchup is there, the workload is there and people need to sit here and wake up like again, he's still being ranked as an RB3. I think that's wrong, man. I think that his workload is, is safe and I think you're looking at a floor of 12 touches and probably more of like a median of 15 to 17. And if he's getting the guy like the, the red zone carries then you're looking at 15 to 17 with touchdown equity. That's an RB2, dude.

C (10:11)

Let's move to your second. Must start running back here, Derek. And it's a player that I think a lot of fantasy managers are going to have a hard time trusting after a very dud, not only in week one but in the opener there on Friday night.

D (10:24)

So I'm gonna caveat this with. There is some risk here and I'm not going to shy away from that because the risk we saw it, I mean it's prevalent based off of what happened on week one. Seth. And that's Isaiah Pacheco. So he's RB32 in ECR. So like the ECR is is, you know, I mean the ranking itself shows you that there is risk here with people ranking him as an RB3. There's RB2 top 15 upside if you're playing Pacheco this week. Now I'm not gonna say the downside is not there because what we saw in week one could easily happen in week two if the game script goes sideways. The Eagles put up a ton of points and the Chiefs find themselves trailing. And and the other part of this, if Andy Reid wants to Andy Reid as hard as he can Andy Reid and just go away from the running game when last week it was working. But KC it's like I just don't understand if you're the Chiefs, okay, the game is not out of reach. It's close. You're having a lot of success running the ball on the ground with Pacheco and yet you lose worthy and you think the idea is that we need to sit here and win this game by feeding 16 targets to Hollywood Brown. I, I can't square that. And I'm not saying that this doesn't go sideways for Pacheco but if KC does what I think they should do and leans on their ground game this week and the and Pacheco is spearheading that he's going to walk away with a really strong day. Seth for look 51% of the snaps last week he only got seven touches and 28 total yards. I'm not telling anybody. That's great. If they would have given him more of the backfield and more of the touches last week, he would have had a much stronger game. On a per touch basis he looked good dude. 20% missed tackle rate 3.2 yards after contact per 10th and I know I'm talking about at 5 carries but still he did look good in the work that he got. And Philly, you can attack them on the ground man 6 lowest stuff rate in week one. 7th highest charge of to contact per attempt allowed. So if if you're KC the way that I think they should attack this game and I'm not saying don't throw the freaking ball. I understand they're going to have to pass but they need to come out and they need to lean on the run, chew up some clock, keep the Eagles offense off the field and use Pacheco. And I'm not one of these old boomers. I'm like establish the run. But they should be running the ball and they should feature Pacheco this week. If they do that. He's going to have a good game.

C (12:46)

Yeah, I mean we saw Javante Williams last week fall into the end zone twice against the Eagles, obviously Jaylen Carter again, not in that mix. And you know, I've kind of been pretty vocal that I never thought Pacheco was going to have this 70 to 80% Snapchat that he was seeing early last year. But how did the Eagles win that Super Bowl? Well, well, the Chiefs just didn't run the ball, man. They, they had, you know, I think Pacheco and Kareem Hunt both, you know, combined for under 10 carries in that super bowl game back in February. So it's very dangerous if they want to continue to let the Eagles chew clock of their own. I think you fight fire with fire here and it could be a good situation for him. I just hope he's getting a little bit more of the share there. But it does look like it is a little bit of a three headed monster there. Your guy Burchard Smith even, you know, popping in and out a little bit here and there. So I am excited and like I think this is one of those situations without Worthy, without Rasheed Rice. Like Pacheco in my opinion is their second best offensive player outside of Patrick Mahomes. And you know, kind of depending what you feel about Travis Kelsey right now.

D (13:49)

Yeah, I mean, plus vibe check Travis Kelsey. Like in a game where Worthy goes out, he's basically a ghost. He's yelling at their offensive line. None of it looked good. Like they. Come on, man. Super bowl rematch, they gotta, they can't get boxed here. They, they cannot get absolutely just crushed here. And if they decide to try to go past heavy and do all this stuff, they probably are. But we'll see how it goes, man. I think Pacheco could still walk away with a good game though.

C (14:19)

Before we keep it moving, I wanted to remind everyone that you can dominate your fans football league with fantasy pros premium now available free for six months when you deposit and place your first wager on on any of our partner sportsbooks. The easiest way to get full access to our top fantasy football tools all season long is doing this promo right now. Go to fantasypros.com premium to get yourself started. All right, Dbro, we're on to your must start wide receivers for week number two of the NFL season and you're going back to the well with someone you were high on coming into week one.

D (14:51)

I mean it didn't leave let us down in week one, man. It was one of the one of the good calls of the week. And I don't understand what people are looking at to rank Keenan Allen as the wide receiver 38 in ECR. Like, what did you see out of the Chargers offense, people?

C (15:07)

Right.

D (15:07)

To rank Keenan Allen as a wide receiver.

C (15:10)

4.

D (15:11)

Going into week two, he was the wide receiver 10 in fantasy. Last week he led the Chargers in targets among 77 qualifying wide receivers. Seth Keenan Allen 23rd in separation, 10th and route win rate. He had a 26.5% target share, 2.1 yards per route run. And this week he gets a Raiders secondary that gave up the eighth most fantasy points and the ninth most receiving yards to wide receivers in week one. And I'm not scared of any corner on that freaking depth chart. Fire up Keenan Allen as a wide receiver too, with confidence this week. All in, dude.

C (15:51)

Yeah, I mean I loved the route participation last week. I loved the target share form as well. And it was something that you hit on in the off season. I think when we were doing a lot of Our Q&As over there on Twitch TV fantasypros is that Keenan Allen has this trust of Justin Herbert. He has the trust of this organization.

D (16:08)

He's not dust.

C (16:09)

No, no. And we saw it down the stretch last year. We saw it in week one. And this is the same Raiders secondary that while I like their up front pass rush presence, I don't trust the secondary. I mean we saw Booty last week go for over 100 yards on six receptions. Stefan Diggs, even though he didn't look at 100, wasn't playing a ton, still double digit fantasy points for him. Demario Douglas had seven targets in that game as well. Didn't really make anything do with them. But I think there's big games waiting for really all the Chargers pass catchers. And for Keenan Allen to be ranked this low feels like a bit of a. A miss. I don't say a mishap, but you know, definitely an overlook by some of the rankers.

D (16:46)

Yeah, it, it definitely is, man. But I mean again, we talked about this in draft season when I said as soon as they signed Keenan Allen, ADP wasn't going to catch up.

C (16:53)

Yep.

D (16:53)

To where Keenan Allen should be getting drafted and it still hasn't caught up. People are not putting enough respect on his name and it's like, bro, like just throw all the priors into the trash. Like all the Greg Roman stuff. People in the off season, they're like, oh, they won't be past heavy. Greg Roman never does that. Although we did it for a 10 game stretch last season. They won't do that again. They come out firing. Justin Herbert is in must start territory. He's in the top six quarterbacks ranked for the week. And people like, oh lad McConkey's a wide receiver one, but Keenan Allen can't start him, he's a wide receiver four. Come on dude, people gotta adjust. He's gonna crush again this week.

C (17:33)

I'm so glad we had that conversation in the preseason about hey, maybe lad McConkey isn't the set it and forget it wide receiver one that we are drafting him, you know, most that early best ball season because Keenan Allen is in the mix and it was something we had to take account for. And I moved guys like JSN above him in my rankings. And I'm very happy after week one I did just based on the usage. But Derek, I did allude to him earlier. You're going after one of these Patriots wide receivers that a lot of talk on the Internet about this guy because you know, one time ago he was projected first round pick in the NFL draft, suffered some injuries late in his career at LSU that really pushed him down boards and, and you know, made him fall to the New England Patriots.

D (18:11)

Yeah, going to K Sean Butte here, wide receiver, 53 and ECR. And this comes down to like, yeah, like we could talk about all the things that happen as a prospect off the field stuff crappy testing, when he should have listened to his agent and said like, oh, don't run, don't run. Then yeah, you're slow and you know you're slow, don't run. Just, just don't do it, you know. But looking at him this week, man, like I do have nothing about the Dolphins secondary. Strikes fear into my heart. And what Keisha Boute did in week one I think is more real than it is fake in the sense that yeah, he only earned a 17.4% target share, but he led the team and first reach here with 23.3%. So I think easily this week, like considering the matchup and stuff, we could see his target share creep into the 20s, the mid-20s. If everything goes right, man put up 2.58 yards per route run. His separation score look good, his route win rate, the deeper metrics that I'll look at to evaluate wide receiver play, both were really, really good. And honestly, Seth, maybe we didn't give him enough credence for what he did at the end of last season too. Myself included, man, like I didn't even write him up in the Primer because I didn't know if he was going to be a starting wide receiver in week one. And then I went back and I was writing up this week and I was like, he really had some good games done the back half of last year. Like week 16 through 18 last year I really like we got to give this to his flowers and talk about how this isn't just a one off game. This started last year, week 16 through 18, he had a 21.3% target share, he had 2.79 yards per route run and a 25.8% first read share. Those are all incredibly strong metrics. So you marry that three game sample with what we saw in week one. You got a four game sample which is almost a quarter of a season and you're like, okay, maybe this isn't smoke and mirrors. Maybe this is real and I'm more on the real side than the fake side with looking at his production if he does it two games in a row. Yeah dude, I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm in. I'm in. And, and I mean what, what corner from Miami is, should anybody be worried about for a secondary? They gave up the seven most PPR points per target to perimeter wide receivers in week one. And I know a one game sample, but please tell me, are you worried about a Dolphins corner this week? Seth?

C (20:22)

No, I'm not. And the interesting thing about a prospect like this is when he came into the NFL, I think we all thought he was just going to be someone who probably, you know, floats around a bench and is just kind of a jag, if you would. And late last season you, you said it over 7.5 PPR points in the stretch down there in five of the last 10 games. So he was at least giving you a floor. And I think when you look at this New England Patriots pass catcher group, he's locked into that flanker role, right? Like I, I think he's gonna man that a ton because it's really Matt Collins who's kind of been in and out of the X with Stefan Diggs splitting time as he's getting back.

D (20:56)

Of course you have Pop Nothing Burger right now. Like he's not even running. He didn't even run 10 routes last week. See, people don't need to worry about him either.

C (21:03)

Yeah, so, so I think like I trust Booty at this point more than I think I do someone like Stefan Diggs. I really do. Just because I think he's going to be out there more and he obviously has a connection with Drake May. And I think that was an oversight on yourself, on myself, and really everyone in the fantasy community this offseason. Not giving him enough credence.

D (21:22)

Yeah, dude. I think it's just one of these situations where it was kind of, like, easy for him to kind of get lost in the sauce of it when it's like, they added Stefan Diggs. He's getting the headlines. We think he's gonna be the number one. They added Mack Hollins, they added a talented rookie and Kyle Williams.

C (21:36)

Yep.

D (21:37)

And then everybody goes to Pop Douglas and they say, oh, the New England slot roll with Josh McDaniels. Oh, yesteryear slot receivers. And then it's like with all those narratives and other guys were talking about. None of us were talking about Keisha Boute. None of us, myself included. And so, yeah, I think he just got lost in the mix, lost in the equation. And when you're looking at all these other guys and I'm like, okay, yeah, but they made all these additions. So isn't that also kind of an indictment on Keisha Boute? Yeah, and Keisha Boute, like, in week one was like. And he came back and he, I mean, showed the rapport that he had last year with Drake May and I, again, I think that's more real and there's more substance to that than it.

C (22:17)

Is Fool's gold stick with the New England pass catchers here where while they head to right. Yeah. Who do you have here for your? Must start tight end of week number.

D (22:27)

Two, man, two pats. What could go wrong? I know my Patriots takes did not age well like milk in the sun from week one, but I back in on a man. I honestly would have picked Drake May for this and gone a few different directions if he wasn't QB10 in ECR right now. But this is partially a Miami Dolphins take where I'm not scared about their defense at all. And number two, it's. It's gone under the radar too. That and I know Hunter Henry is ECR. He's tight end 12 right now. I think that's more of a reflection of all of the injuries at the tight end position than it is Hunter Henry. People putting respect on his name when looking at the tight end position because, you know, a lot of people are out there like, oh, man, am I going to play Brain Strange? Am I going to play Harold Fannin, all these other guys off of the waiver wire before Hunter Henry? And I'm like, oh, no, he should be a tight end one this week. He should be a top 10 option. Honestly. Honestly. Because if you look at Hunter Henry, his usage in week one was fantastic. Dude, 17.4 target your heated 1.83 yards per route run. He had 66 receiving yards. That's like if you would have added a touchdown, he'd have been a top five tight end for the freaking week. But because he didn't score a touchdown, it's kind of going under the radar just a little bit. He also got a 21st read share that was tied for second on the team. And now we match this up against the defense for the Dolphins that look I. I talked about, they cannot stop any wide receivers. They can't stop tight ends either. And this is even going back to last year. They allowed the 12th most receiving yards and the 12th most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends last year. Hunter Henry should be a top 10 tight end. He has top five to six upside this week. If he gets in the end zone.

C (24:05)

Yeah, I mean Miami, they allowed Tyler Warren to have the top five day last week at the position.

D (24:10)

Just like a freaking stud. Shout out to you for what did you have in top five in the off season?

C (24:15)

Yeah, shout out to you, man, that.

D (24:17)

Yeah. Talk about some cojones, but the call is. Is looking pretty good for you, Seth.

C (24:23)

I'm feeling good. I'm feeling good with that Penn State bias aside. And Derek, the thing about Hunter Henry that's funny here is I've always compared him a bit to like a toxic X you keep going back to and eventually they keep burning you. But the interesting thing here is we're seeing the usage, right? 93%. We weren't seeing that in terms of snapshare last year. I think there's a clear division that he is the best tight end on this team. For years they kept trying to give us different tight ends in the mix there. Austin Hooper's just a guy, right? Like he's gonna be out there. He's gonna help block sometimes, but. And Drake may man some of his best throws on the day. I know some of his passes were very errant, but some of the best ones were to Hunter Henry. I don't know if you saw that sliding one that he got was on the move. That was excellent.

D (25:06)

So I did and. Go ahead, go ahead, go ahead.

C (25:09)

No, I was gonna say I am excited about Hunter Henry, but it just feels. It feels wrong still. Like I'm going back and I'm gonna get cheated on again or something.

D (25:17)

Shoot, man. I don't think it's gonna happen and the last point I'll make and for everybody it's like, dude, you're bringing up two Patriots. Can we also talk about the volume should be there to support multiple pass catchers this week for a Patriots offense that came out and passed at a top five rate. None of us saw that coming. No, none of us saw that coming. So that also needs to be discussed here too in the sense that, yes, I picked two New England Patriots. The passing volume will be there this week for an offense that like I thought they were probably going to come out and be middle of the road on on passing rate in week one and Josh McDaniel said, oh no baby, we're going to chuck it around the yard. Their top five again this week. Both these guys have like seven to ten target upside this week.

C (26:02)

Yeah, I'm excited to see if some of that stuff is sticky right there. I mean just all across the league. Between the high scoring game in the Steelers jets one in week one, it was really interesting to see some of the those trends. So we'll see what's sticky here. But Deepro, appreciate all your analysis and insight. That is going to do it for us on this episode of the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Football Podcast. Comment down below your favorite Week one must start player. And while you're here, make sure you're smashing that like button and subscribing to the channel. If you're new, we got a ton of content coming out for you each week. We want to make sure you're staying up to date in the fantasy realm. For Derrick Brown, I'm Seth Wilcock. Take care y'. All.

E (26:38)

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