← The Herd with Colin Cowherd
The Herd with Colin Cowherd
Hoops Tonight - Can Wemby's Spurs win title? Warriors next move, Jaylen Brown MVP case, KD's weakness | NBA Mailbag
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Jason
This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.
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Jason
Thy ticket lady, Jennifer of Coolidge. Well, many thanks, good sir. Here is my Discover card. They accept Discover at Renaissance Fair? Yeah, they do here. Discover is accepted at the places I love to shop. Get it with the times.
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Jason (Host - Hoops Tonight)
With the times.
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Yeah, and it sounds pretty good, right?
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Jason (Host - Hoops Tonight)
Based on the February 2025 Nielsen report. The volum. All right, welcome to HOOPS tonight here at the volume heavy Friday, everybody. Hope all of you guys had an incredible week. It is a mailbag day. It's been a few weeks since we've had a mailbag and so as a result we got a ton of questions to get to. I've got 15 questions today. We're gonna be bouncing all around the league, hitting all sorts of topics you guys know the drill. Before we get started, subscribe to the Hoops Tonight YouTube channel so you don't miss any more of our videos. Make sure you guys like this video and sign up for post notifications. That helps us a lot. And then last but not least, if you guys want to get questions into our mailbags, go to our full episodes on YouTube. Go into the comments underneath those videos and write mailbag colon. Write your question that helps me sort through as I'm going through the comments, and we'll get to them mostly on Fridays throughout the remainder of the season. All right, let's talk some basketball. First question. Hey, Jason, love the show. Watch every single one. Thanks for the support. My question is, how is Cade and Jaylen Brown not two of the top three MVP front runners? I thought MVP was most valuable player to your team. Cade doesn't even have a 20 point scorer on his team and nobody thought he would be first in the East. And JB lost his whole starting five from last year and everyone thought they were tanking. But they are number two in the east and my pick goes in my pick to go to the finals. What's your thoughts on that? Keep up the great work, my friend. Thanks again for the support. This is an interesting question, and this has been a popular topic over the course of the last few days, as for one, Shea looked like he was running away with it, but then suddenly Luca kind of made a run at it. Wemby has made a run at it, and I think both of those guys have compelling cases. I still think Shay's in the lead, but then we had that Mike Wilbon quote that came out and he's an actual voter who came out and said that he plans on voting for Jaylen Brown. And then he said, basically said, don't even consider Luca because he only plays one side of the floor. And so we've seen all sorts of different angles come at this over the course of the last few days. And so I think it's worth diving into now. In yesterday's show, or I should say Wednesday's show, I talked more about why Chase number one, why I have Wemby number two, why I have Luca number three. But I want to zoom in on why I think there's a large gap between Luke at number three and guys like Cade and Jalen coming after that point. And the answer is pretty simple when you talk about these teams and why they have successes. When you dig into the Thunder, for example, they have been utterly devoid of ball handling this year. And you have the, you have the, the injury to A.J. mitchell that took place through the year, the, the multiple hamstring injuries for J Dub and a lot of ball handling responsibility has fallen on Shay. So that can be similar to Cade. Right. But there is a kind of, in my opinion, a three step process to becoming the mvp, or should say a three criteria method to evaluating mvp. An mvp. Those of you guys who've been listening to this show over the years, I've been pretty consistent about this. I think MVP is a combination of who's the best player in the league, who's the best player on the best team and who is the most valuable player to their team. It's those three things. And when you look at Cade, obviously you've got the, the best player on the best team case in the sense that the Pistons are the number one seed in the Eastern Conference and the certainly in terms of just how many impressive wins they've had this year, that's a strong case for him. But he's very weak in the other two areas in the sense that one, no one even considers Cade close to that top tier of superstars. He's firmly in the second tier, somewhere between like the 7th, 8th, 7th to 13th, 14th best player in the league, depending on who you ask. Right. Like I have on the upper side of that. But no one's going to put him even in the same conversation as Wemby Shea, Luka, Giannis Jokic, the actual top tier stars in the league. So Cade does not have a strong is he a best player in the world type of guy case. Right. So that undercuts him then on the most valuable player piece. The problem is, is that the Pistons. I talked about this after, after in one of the shows earlier this week, Monday or Tuesday, I can't remember exactly which one. But the star of the Pistons is their defense. They win games primarily because of their defense. They maul you physically with ball pressure and then they do a lot of damage on the offensive glass as well. It's a size and physicality based team. Kate obviously is very valuable to the Pistons. I don't want to undercut his case, but because he's weak in the value side and because he's weak in the is he actually among the best players in the league side? He's weak in two out of the three areas, which puts him pretty far down that list. Right. Same thing goes for Jaylen Brown. No one's going to consider him in the conversation among the best players in the world. He is firmly a second tier star, like I said, somewhere in that 6, 7 to 13, 14 range, depending on who you ask, Right. And then in terms of value, the Celtics have actually been better when he's off the floor this year than when he's on. And when I look at the Celtics and I think about why they're so good this year, it's a lot to do with Joe Missoula and their system and the continuity of the players that have been around for a long time and the way that they play on offense and how good they are with their physical ball pressure and the margins that they win, like their corner crashes and the damage they do on the offensive glass to mitigate some of their issues that they've had. Defensive rebounding. Like when I talk about the Celtics and the reasons why they win, Jaylen Brown is just further down the list than the guys that are above him in the MVP case. So when I look at Cade and. And Jalen Brown, because they're not considered among the very best players in the world and because they're not as valuable to their teams as some of the other guys on that list, that's what keeps them lower in a lower tier than the other guys in the list. So when I get to the top guys, right? When I'm talking Shay, when I'm talking Nicole Jokic, when I'm talking Victor Wembanyama, when I'm talking Luka Doncic, and I think Jokic is clearly on the bottom side of that. He missed a large chunk of games this year, and since he came back from his knee injury, he hasn't been very good. Jokic was like clear MVP candidate before his knee injury, and had he not gotten hurt and sustained that play throughout the end of the season, I think he would have been neck and neck with Shay, and I think the Nuggets would probably be higher in the standings. Right? But we gotta. We gotta take the YIC piece and set it aside that this tail end of the season just hasn't been as good for him as. As he was to start the year. I think. I think he's above Cade and Jaylen Brown, but I think he's clearly below the Luca Wemby, Shake Gilders, Alexander group. So. But in that group, all four of them have legitimate cases to be the best player in the world. You can talk to. You can make a case that Wemby's the best player in the world. I wouldn't make that case because I think that's a playoff case, as we've talked about. So to Me, Wemby's not going to get that recognition until. Until he makes that case in the postseason. But you can make the case. Wemby's the best player in the world. You can make the case. Luke is the best player in the world. With the way he's been playing over the last month and a half, you can make the case Shay is the best player in the world. I think he probably has the best case right now in terms of the regular season. And obviously, like you, Jokic in that group, obviously, because he's been recognized as the best player in the world for several years at this point. So they all have really strong cases in that department. Then you dig into, like, best player on the best team conversation. This is what puts Luca, to me, below the victor Wembanyama Shake else Alexander tier. Shay and Wemby are the two guys that check the box of, like, could he be potentially the best player in the world? And is this the best basketball team in the world? The spurs have a legitimate case to be the best basketball team in the world. They've been one of the most. The two or three most impressive teams in the league this year. Same with Oklahoma City. So Oklahoma City and San Antonio have the team success. Then you dig into the on off numbers, and all of those guys, Luka, Shay, Wemby, really strong on off numbers. Luka at the bottom of that group. The Lakers are better this year. When Luka's on the floor versus offensive Shay, they're about, what, six or seven points better per 100 possessions when he's on versus off, actually, I think it's eight or nine. I think it's like nine points per 100 possessions. And then Wemby, it's like plus 17, right? So, like, when I'm looking at Jalen Brown and Kate Cunningham in those three categories, they're really only strong in the team success category compared to their peers. Wemby and Shay, my two. The two guys that I think have the best chance to win it are candidates for best player in the world, clearly playing for teams that have had an enormous amount of team success and that are in that top tier and are deeply, profoundly valuable to their teams. And so they check all three of those boxes, and that gives them a substantial edge. That's why, to me, Kate and Jalen Brown are far off of that tier. Next question. Hey, Jason, with all the injuries piling up, do you think it would be a good idea for the warriors to just sit Steph Curry the rest of the season and look ahead to next year. My concern is that with so many guys out, the entire offense falls on his shoulders and the last thing we need is Steph overexerting himself and ending with a season ending injury. It's not, it's just not worth the risk at this point. On top of that, do you think it would actually be a good opportunity for the warriors to make a move for Giannis Antenna Kounmpo, with the buck situation being what it is, could Golden State put together a package worth considering pair Giannis with Steph next season on a healthier roster? He could absolutely be lethal if they go that route. What do you think are the realistic chances next season? So first of all, there are three steps to that. Number one, should they shut down Step for the year? To me it's 100% about what he feels like if and Steve Kerr actually said as much last night. But like, or two nights ago. But like if Steph is 100% and he's like, my knees good, let's play basketball then what do you have to lose? Go play basketball. Like there's I just like we're going to, just like we talked about with Giannis on, on Wednesday's show, like trying to tell a super competitive player to go sit down and not play basketball when he's healthy and can play basketball is bullshit, frankly. Like I'm not okay with that. So like if Steph's 100%, go for it. But yeah, if he's experiencing discomfort in his knee, especially now that Moses Moody is out, you have no shot. So what's the point? Don't risk over hurting, overexerting and injuring Steph if he's not ready to go. So all whether or not he plays before the end of the season to me is like, is he 100% or not? If he's 100%, yes. Play him. If he's not, no, sit him down and make a run next season. Second part of this, Giannis, I talked about this at the deadline. To me, Giannis makes the most sense for a trade destination after he leaves Milwaukee. As you dig around the league like, I don't understand the Knicks part because I don't think they have enough to offer. I just don't understand why Milwaukee would want to do that. I just don't think they would get enough back. Same goes for Miami, although Miami can offer a little bit more, but I don't know why Giannis would want to go there. I don't think Miami would be close to good enough with Giannis right Minnesota. I don't know why Minnesota would do it. Anthony Edwards is this young, ascending star. Don't sell your future and massively shorten your window when you've got an ascending star in his early 20s. I, I, I've hated that move from the start. Golden State toes the line of like, can offer a massive amount of draft compensation to Milwaukee to help reset their future to where like, Milwaukee would actually get a ton back and feel like, hey, to be able to go to their fans and be like, hey, we lost Giannis, but we got this massive trove of first round draft picks for a team that's probably going nowhere in the long run in terms of like after the Giannis, Steph phase. This is great for us. Let's do this. So it makes sense for, for Milwaukee, for Golden State now especially that Moses Moody is out. Your future is looking extremely bleak. You don't have a single guy that is like a legitimate foundational piece to build around for the future. So like you got nothing to lose. You got Steph, who's going to turn 39 next season. Why not pair him with Giannis? There's a really nice natural basketball fit there. Giannis would step in and they'd immediately become a relevant team in the Western Conference. So Giannis gets to play serious basketball. Him and Steph are this fantastic fit. It's a high risk proposition for Golden State because Giannis is injury prone. But, but what does Golden State have to lose? It's the one situation that actually seems to make sense to me for both sides. Milwaukee gets a bunch of draft compensation, Giannis gets to play serious basketball. Golden State can actually afford to absorb the risk because they're not going anywhere anyway, right? Like, it's not like they have a, a foundational star where they could use those four first round picks to build around him in the coming seasons. Like you're starting from scratch no matter what. And let's say you have Giannis and it's a two year window and you win or you lose, whatever, but then it's post Giannis, right? You can flip Giannis and maybe get something small back. Probably not close to what you sent out, but you can get something small back. Steph retires, then what you can do is you can have two years where you eat every bad contract in the league and just take on draft picks for two years. You suck and you eat all these bad contracts. But, but you build your draft trove back up and then you get a chance to go for it. But at the same time, you're faithful to Steph Curry. You gave him his final chance to try to compete for a championship. To me, it's the one situation that makes a ton of sense. A lot. There was a lot of this, like, oh, why are we trying to force Giannis to the warriors thing going on around the deadline. I was like, this just makes the most sense. It's not forcing anything. It's like the warriors are old and desperate. They have draft compensation to. To offer Milwaukee. Giannis and Steph are a natural basketball fit. Like, why the hell not, right? So, like, I actually think it makes a ton of sense now. If they go that route, what are their chances look like next season? It all depends on how they can fill out the rest of the roster. Obviously, losing a guy like Moses Moody would really hurt you in that case. But, like, you instantly become a favorable destination for your veteran minimum contracts for your mid level exceptions, right? Like there you. Maybe you can convince a guy like LeBron to come over if you're lucky. Like maybe Jimmy Butler, if he isn't used as the. I think you'd probably have to be used as the trade piece. But like, there's. You just. It just depends on how you round out the rest of the roster. But they would certainly go up from where they've been to in that, like, middle tier in the Western Conference. And from there it's like, good luck dealing with Stefan Giannis in a playoff series if they're both healthy when they get there. So I would be. It would be foolish to count them out. I'm super excited to tell you guys about our partnership with Vuori. Those of you guys who are familiar with Vuori have noticed I've been wearing it on the show a ton over the last few years. It's become a workhorse for me. Today I'm wearing the seaside pullover hoodie, one that I just got that I've really enjoyed. I wore it out on a cold, windy day the other day and it was super warm and comfortable throughout. They make all sorts of stuff. I love their athleisure stuff. I wear that stuff on the show all the time. You've seen me wear the Ponto Performance T shirt, an excellent T shirt. 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Albertsons and Safeway is Stock up savings time now through March 31st. Spring in for storewide deals that earn four times the points. Look for in store tags to earn on eligible items from Hunts, Nerds, Pillsbury, Lowry's, Breyers, Quaker and Culture Pop. Then clip the offer in the app for automatic event long savings. Stack up those rewards to save even more. Enjoy savings on top of savings when you shop in store or online for easy drive up and go, pick up or delivery restrictions apply. See website for full terms and conditions.
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Jason (Host - Hoops Tonight)
Aside from the injuries, the warriors continue to be a confusing team to watch. They can beat teams like Denver and Houston, keep it close with Oklahoma City and New York, but then they lose to the Jazz and the Bulls and were blown out by Boston this week. Why are they so inconsistent? It seems like this has been a trend ever since the 2022 championship. Is there something larger at work here? Curious to hear your thoughts. Love the show. Thanks again for the support. This to me is pretty simple. So like you're building around ball handling right now because Steph is out in the form of like Brandon Pajemski and d' Anthony Melton and you know you're. What's his name, the lacrosse player. I'm blanking on his name. Pat Spencer. I don't know why I was blanking on his name there for a second. But you're working with younger inconsistent ball handlers, right? D Anthony Melton's not young, but obviously he's more of a role player and so you give him a bunch of on ball responsibility, it's going to be up and down. You know, generally speaking in the NBA, the difference between the awesome players and the bad players isn't necessarily potential. There are a lot of guys around the league like I've watched d' Angelo Russell have games where like I'm like oh my God, like he, you know, 27 points and 11 assists. Like he's this incredible ball handler, right? Like I've seen Najee Marshall go for massive games as an on ball player, right? Like even just within the warriors, we've seen Brandon Pajemski have great nights. We've seen Pat Spencer have great nights. There are guys all around the league that on Any given night can give you 30, or on any given night can give you 10 assists, right? Like it's just about making the reads. I remember the first time we watched Andrew Nemhard go into Golden State and rip the war years apart. This is a few years back. And I'm like, holy shit. This Andrew Nemhard guy can like hit, pull up threes, hit mid range jumpers, make all the passing reads and pick and roll. Like there's 50, 60 guys in the league that can handle the basketball and run 30, pick and rolls in a game and run good offense. Maybe even more than that. The difference between the guys that are making $40 million a year doing it and the guys that aren't is consistency. And so yeah, like that's going to be the nature of Golden State while Steph's out. And I'd argue it's been the nature when Steph's been in because the secondary ball handling piece has been inconsistent at times, right? So like ultimately what's happening is some nights Pat, Pat Spencer can get the job done, some nights Brandon Pajemski can get the job done, sometimes they can't. And that's kind of what separates them from those upper tier guys. And that's just the reality of life without Steph Curry in the lineup. Next question. Is Jokic making it a big deal to get a trip? Making it not that big of a deal to get a triple double anymore? Or is it just not that big of a deal when he gets one because he averages it? I do still see social posts go crazy when a player gets one, but it's just another game for Joker. Does that take away from the triple double at all as he isn't always flashy and sometimes he always play, Sometimes he even plays bad for his standards and still ends up with one. Curious your take. This is the classic problem that has been the case forever in the NBA, which is the greatest players in the league are so consistently great that they become almost, we, we become numb to it, right? Like I, I'm recording this on Wednesday. I watched the Sun's Nuggets game this morning and like Jokic was incredible in that game, like absolutely incredible. But like it wasn't a game where he had 35 points, right? So like it's not the game that gets the type of recognition that other games gets. But like we take for granted the fact that a lot of those top tier guys are generally incredible every single night. The second piece of it is there's levels to it. I deal with this With Luca fans all the time, they go, oh, he had 35, nine and seven last night. And I'll be like, yeah, he was really good. But, like, I've seen Luca be a lot better. Like, there's levels that he can get to that are above that, right? So, like, we get numb to it. The best players in the world, specifically the top tier guys, even when they're not on their best night, can really fill the box score, which can also kind of make it difficult to judge their, like, true best performances versus some of their more mediocre performances. Right? But, like, that's just the issue with everybody. Jokic, just like LeBron over the years, just like Shay does now, just like Luca does now, just like Giannis has always done, like Wemby to this day, like, or Wemby kind of joining the conversation now at this point. Like, when you're in that top tier, we get numb to your success, and all of a sudden the stuff that sticks out isn't your average performances, it's your extraordinary performances. And that's just kind of the nature of what comes with the standard, the standard of the best player in the world conversation. Are the Rockets problems, coaching problems, or roster construction problems? Secondly, should the Rockets trade Shengun for Giannis, possibly run a lineup with him at the five, making them much better defensively and giving you more on, off and more consistency? Thank you. Love the show. Thanks for the kind words. So I would argue that it's both. You know, there's a. A lack of, a depth of ball handling and shooting talent for Houston. There's a. You know, one of the things with Dylan Brooks that was underrated is it wasn't just that he was this great defender. Dylan Brooks had ball skills. He could knock down an open catch and shoot three. He was good at driving closeouts and making the next decision in the chain. You take Fred Van Vliet out of the equation. He's another, like, very good ball handler, passer. And so as you took those guys out and KD is very much a pure scorer, he's not the best ball handler, not the best passer in the world. As a team, their amount of ball handling and shooting talent has dipped from where it was last season. And so that has made it really difficult for them to convert four on three. So some of its roster, some of its injury, like the fret, the injury to Fred Van Vliet was really devastating for this team. Right. And like I said, I definitely think that the Rockets, over the course of the next few trade cycles, will be looking to supplement this team with ball handling and shooting. But there is a coaching piece there. I saw this hilarious tweet the other day that was basically like IME Udoka's half game halftime adjustments is basically just to call you a I just died laughing when I saw it because it's so funny. Because that's basically Emei Udoka, right? Like he famously turned around the Boston Celtics in the 2022 season in large part by making them tougher. He took a group that was not achieving what they were capable of relative to their talent and he got them to be tougher and to play harder, to be more physical. And I think there's real value there. But like the Houston in particular, their guys are already pretty tough, so it wasn't really a toughness issue. It's more of an organization issue there. And that's not to say that there's no value in having IME and his ability to motivate you in his ability, ability to make sure you play hard on most nights, like that sort of thing. But like IME clearly is the kind of head coach that's more of a motivator and needs to be anchored by a refined offensive tactician. And so that'll be the thing. Like if you're running an email Udoka led staff, you got to get him an assistant that can help him with the X's and O side of it because that's clearly something that he needs support with. Next question. Hey Jason, in your opinion, which dysfunctional player slash team trait is more damning to these respective coaches overall process and game plan? The fact that the Timberwolves can't run effective pick and roll with Rudy since he's unable to catch consistent passes in the nail with Coach Finch, or the fact that KD has constant mental breakdowns when he sees the double is most likely forcing a turnover on that possession with Ime Udoka. So again, both have been disappointing. I've been very disappointed in the ability of Houston to weaponize KD's attention that he gets as a scorer into easier opportunities, but I actually think the Finch stuff is worse. And the reason why is like coaching can only take you so far. Like yes, Katie turns the ball over way too much against traps, but I've seen a lot of possessions where Katie draws the double and does get rid of the basketball and sparks the four on three and they just don't convert it in large part because of that lack of aggregate ball handling and shooting talent that we talked about earlier. What bothers me with Minnesota is they have a ton of ball handling and shooting. They have a lot of guys who can dribble, shoot and pass and they've got a ton of shooting. And so this is where I put, put it more on Coach Finch where like we know with Rudy, like he can't catch and finish in traffic, but if he's wide open, he can catch and dunk everything. And so I do wish that there were some more complications added into their pick and roll. So for instance, instead of just spread ball screens, maybe more sequences were Rudy is involved in a three man dribble, handoff style action where there's lots of ball and player movement and he's slipping out of it so that when he catches on the roll, there's more space to operate because the defense is more warped. The defense is more challenged in the amount of action that they're trying to defend. More stack, pick and roll. More situations where you try to create more separation between Rudy and the traffic around the basket. In general, I think Coach Finch has done a poor job of organizing the team offensively and motivating them. So like, I've actually talked about this a lot. I think, I think Minnesota's next step after the season is to move on at the head coach and to get somebody who's a little bit more of an offensive tactician and a better motivator or at least a different voice in that locker room. So like, I actually find the stuff with Minnesota to be more disappointing because of the talent. Like, I look at Houston and I go, this roster is fundamentally flawed. I look at Minnesota and I go, this is a championship level roster and Coach Finch is just not getting them to play hard and they're playing really stupid offense and I wish that they would clean some of that stuff up. All right, a couple spurs questions. As a Spurs fan, I truly appreciate your basketball analysis in today's media that's full of hot takes and people who don't watch the games. Thank you so much for the kind words. My question is about Darren Fox. To me, his performance is pivotal to the spurs playoff success, but his regular season performance is so far and slightly below expectation. To me, I know part of the reason is that his usage is low and that he plays off ball a lot. But when he runs the offense, he is a bit careless with the ball and with his passes and his shooting is still inconsistent. But maybe I just have too high of an expectation of him or I didn't watch other teams to evaluate him in a broader context. So what's Your thoughts on Fox's performance this season and do you worry about it when it comes to the playoffs? And if he can't be the second best player on a championship team, how would his max contract affect the spurs future team building? So the important detail is that, the important detail is that you have to go with what was available. Like it'd be great if instead of Dear and Fox it was, you know, a higher level guard. Like if it was Jalen Brunson for example, right? Like it'd be great if you had a better player than de' Aaron Fox. But the bottom line is you get what you pay for. Darren Fox was available. He was available at a price point that was closer to like what, actually less than what, like the Orlando Magic paid for Desmond Bain. Right. So like part of it is, is like San Antonio wanted to maintain flexibility for the future, but they also wanted to accelerate the timeline to match the level that Wemby was playing at. Dear and Fox to me, perfectly fit that kind of like middle ground in the sense that he, he was achievable, he was affordable, relative and he fit the skill set really well. And this is the important detail. So like when you really dig into Dear and Fox's strengths on defense, for example, what's Dear and Fox's best strength? He's not a physical ball pressure guard who's going to keep the ball in front all game long. They call him swipe up. He's a, he's an aggressive turnover forcing guard that complements Victor Wembanyama's rim protection really well right on the offensive end of the floor. He is a pick and roll player that makes it really difficult to switch, right. So like he's going to face a lot of drop coverage style looks which is going to unlock Victor Weminyama as a role man. And as I've talked about a lot over the course of the last few years, one of Dear and Fox's sneaky strengths is cross court passing. And when you have a big man in Victor Weyama who has so much role gravity going towards the rim that he's consistently drawing tags. We talked about this in the Tuesday pod. Like Victor women, Yama is helping the spurs generate the most corner threes in the history of the NBA who's going to make those passes? And obviously Steph Castle can make them. Steph Castle's a very gifted passer, but Dear and Fox is one of the very best like skip cross court passers in the league. So again, like when you dig into it and I get it he's going to be very expensive on this new deal. But like when you really dig into it and the way he compliments Victor with his on ball defense, the way that he compliments Victor offensively as a pick and roll player and with his cross court passing, it was like a confluence of factors that I thought made him a worthwhile risk for the Spurs. Now, as I've talked about, he's not going to be as good as some of the guards that he goes against. If he ends up in a series with Shay, he's not as good as Shay if he ends up in a series with, if he ends up in a series with Luca, he's not as good as Luca, right? If he ends up in a series with Denver, like he may not even be as good as Jamal Murray, right. Like it's going to be tough in the sense that he's not as good as some of the other ball handlers in the league. But the idea is if Victor ascends to that top tier superstar level, is he fine as a number two? And I think he is, especially as a stop gap between where they are now and where Steph Castle projects to be. And I think Steph Castle projects to be a top 15 player in the league sooner than later. So I, I generally speaking, like, I think inconsistency is going to be part of it. He's going to have playoff games where he doesn't play super well, but the spurs aren't incredibly dependent on him the way that the Lakers are on Luca, the way that Oklahoma City is on a guy like Shea. It made sense to me given the trajectory the spurs were on, the complimentary fit with Dear and Fox and ultimately he's going to be the guy that the spurs lean on a lot. I've talked about this like, I think there's a version of this story where Steph struggles in the postseason shooting the basketball, where Wemby's on ball stuff doesn't work and he functions more as a role man. And like you're going to be really glad you have Dear and Fox, even if he's not as good as some of the other guys around the league. You're going to be really glad you have Darren Fox when some of these playoff games slow down. And I do think from that one Warrior series that we saw that he did a pretty good job getting past his initial defender in compromising the defense. Jason, I think I may watch Wemby differently because I'm 5 foot 8 and I always had to make up for My lack of size with skill. When I watch him, I obviously see the talent, but I don't instinctively feel impressed in the same way that most people seem to. A lot of his defensive impact to me looks like geometry. Huge wingspan, huge standing reach, automatic rim deterrence on offense, things like lob, gravity, finishing above the rim can also seem more tool based than skill based. Can you make the basketball case for what separates his actual skill processing and technique from things that are mostly a result from being 74 with ridiculous length? So I think first of all it gets complicated because one of the big pieces of it is his mobility. And if you've done any research, if you watched any of the videos, like Victor Wemanyama works extremely hard on flexibility and pliability. There are a lot of big dudes out there who are stiff who can't move, right? I mean there's that giant dude who plays for Florida who like isn't even in their regular rotation because he doesn't move well enough, right? So like having Victor Wembanyama B7.4 is not anything unless he can be mobile, right? Like even just look at like Kristaps Porzingis is okay, mobile, but he's got ridiculous size. But ever since his injury when he was younger, he hasn't been as mobile as he used to be. And so he's kind of stuck being a drop coverage. Big Victor women Yama can fly around on the perimeter and really move. So I, I think he deserves a lot of credit for his overall athleticism separate from his like just measurable physical traits. Secondly, like guys, if you're under the impression that these guys are relatable, I don't know what to tell you. Like Steph Curry's six three, if you guys went to go play pickup basketball, those of you guys who go play at your LA Fitness or your pickup run or whatever it might be, and Steph Curry showed up, you'd be like, holy, that dude's big. Like everything's relative at the NBA level. So like, to me it's okay to be like this 74 guy running around is super impressive. Similar to like this 69 freight train. LeBron James running around is super impressive, right? Like, I'm with you. That there's a skill element that gets super appealing. That's why a guy like Giannis hasn't resonated as much with casual fans as outside of Milwaukee, right? But like, I think that that in general in the NBA, if you're thinking that these guys are something we can relate to, like even Damian Lillard is like 6:2 and can jump out of the damn gym like Damian Lillard in his prime could throw the ball down through his legs like he's an insane athlete. So I think, I think some of us, we need, we need to adjust our, our kind of vision of reality of what the NBA is like. Today's show is brought to you by presenting sponsor Hard Rock Bet, Florida's Sportsbook. If your bracket is already busted, you're not alone. But don't worry, you can still call the next big upset and turn your picks into payday on Hard Rock Bet all tournament long. Hard Rock Bet is rolling out daily dance and boosts featuring a live profit boost and a parlay profit boost every single day. That's more ways to shoot your shot and cash in with boosted odds and you know those heart stopping zero on the clock moments. Now they pay. Hard Rock Bet is giving out $25 bonus bets throughout the tournament if a team you bet to win or cover hits a buzzer beater. If you haven't joined Hard Rock Bet yet, now's the time to check in the game. New signups can double their winnings on their first 10 bets max $50. 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Hi there. We're trying to get to the state fairgrounds.
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How is their signal out here?
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Jason (Host - Hoops Tonight)
Last Spurs Question what kind of conversations do you think we'll be having in June if the spurs win at all? First of all, I think we're way ahead of ourselves here. I think the spurs can win it all. I think Wemby can be the best player in the world, but the NBA playoffs are a totally different beast. They're officiated completely differently. There's a lot of really good, experienced teams in the field this year. Everybody pumped the brakes. Let's see what happens. But if the spurs win at all, it does get really interesting. The main thing that I think about is one, obviously you have the Wemby trajectory stuff and what that could mean for him all time if he's that far ahead of schedule. But the second piece of it to me is like the, the rivalry between Oklahoma City and San Antonio. Like, Oklahoma City kind of needs to win this one because as the years go by, OKC is in a later stage of their roster where they're going to have to start shedding talent soon because they have to pay everybody. San Antonio is in a phase where they still have a few years here before they're going to have to start breaking up their talent. So, like, if the spurs get this one, that's what gets scary for a team like Oklahoma City. Because as the years go by, whatever perceived talent gap is actually going to favor San Antonio over the course of the next few seasons because of where they're at in their payroll. Next question. Hey Jason, I've been loving your analysis and personality since I found your channel. Thank you for the kind words. Why is the head why is it the head coaches seem to be recycled more in the NBA compared to the NFL? Is it due to the specifics of each coach's ideal scheme slash system needing more specific players on the roster and so they're given more chances with different organizations saying, hey, our roster is closer to what this coach likes to run. Why don't we care? We don't care if he was fired and he wasn't given a fair shake with that roster. Thank you for your time and keep up the good work. So first of all, I'm actually not 100% sure if there is if there what the stats are in terms of the recycling of head coaches. But. Well, I'll just accept this premise for the sake of your question. Like, let's just say separate from the NFL, why is it that NBA coaches tend to be recycled? And I really think it comes down to the head coach in the NBA is just the easiest thing to swap out when you're looking at a situation that's not going right. So for instance, like, let's take Minnesota, for example. You have Anthony Edwards, you have Julius Randall, you have Jaden McDaniels, you have Rudy Gobert, you've got your core, right? And like it's very possible that the players are flawed in some way or another. But like, once you start talking about like, should we break up this star pairing? It gets really tricky because of agency politics and how are you going to get your next star? And like, it can be a lot more of a commitment to decide to shake up your roster than it is to be like, let's change this one dude at the top who's not tied to the cap at all whatsoever. I can pay four or five coaches at a time. If I fire people, who cares. Like, I can easily swap a coach just by throwing money at the problem. Whereas if I make roster changes, I've got to. I've got to find someone who's willing to trade for Julius Randle. I've got to potentially put draft picks on the table. It gets much more complicated changing over the roster. And so I think a lot of teams look at their situation and they go, hey, it would be easier if we just change our coach. Then you get to the point having to do with the urgency of the situation. So say you're Minnesota. Like, when you're. We do see younger coaches get opportunities. Like, I think Boston's a great example, right? Like, they fire Eme Udoka because of the scandal, and they end up giving a shot to a guy like Joe Missoul and it pays off. And for the record, I actually think teams should do that sort of thing. More like, let's get the guy that we think is best for our team, regardless of reputation and more just look at skill set, right? But a lot of teams look at the situation and they go, okay, we've got a team that's going to compete this year. Do we want to take a shot on a young coach? Why don't we get JB Bickerstaff to come in and coach the Detroit Pistons? Because we're on this shorter timeline and we're trying to make something happen right now and we can't afford the risk of messing around with the younger coach. I mean, we even like it. It's even like with the Steelers. Going after Mike McCarthy in the NFL is actually a similar example. It's like, I think they look at it and they go like, do we want to take a risk with the younger coach or do we want to try to go with somebody that we is a known commodity in that sense. I think there's like, in the NBA in particular, there's like a player buy in part of it, too. That gets fascinating. So, like, I think, I think it. Coaches get scared if they're like, take Minnesota, for example. Let's say they fire Chris Finch. They're going to be looking at the situation and they're going to go like, man, Mike Annori Might be the guy, but he's been around for a while. What if the players don't listen to him? Right. And so I think it gets super easy when an experienced head coach who's been in charge of multiple franchises get becomes available for an owner to be like, let's just put this guy in there because he'll be able to step into that locker room and all those guys will at least have a certain amount of respect with him. But to your point, I don't think it should be that way. If I was running an NBA team, I would run an interview process more geared towards what you're saying, like talent fit rather than experience. And I would trust that like that coach would be able to win over the locker room with his personality and with his work ethic, not necessarily his reputation. And I'd use Joe Missoula as an example with how fast he was able to turn it over and JJ Redick as well. And with the Lakers, I think those are two good recent examples. Five more quick ones. What do you think is the Thunder's biggest weakness? They have better shooting and three good on ball guards improving from the previous biggest weakness last year and early in the season. To me it's just they're small on the perimeter. The Isaiah Hartenstein piece gives them a little more resilience on the front line. I'd add J. Will to this as well. Jay Will's just got a big frame and him becoming a reliable three point shooter, just a better all around basketball player has made him a legitimate rotation option for them. So they're a little less susceptible in the front court than they used to be. But like especially when they go small with Chad at the center and a lot of their perimeter looks in general, they're just kind of small and thin on the perimeter and so that makes them vulnerable to the bigger ball handlers around the league. Guys like ant Julius, Jaden McDaniels, LeBron James, Luga Doncic, Aaron Gordon, you know, like, like even Jamal Murray a little bit like they just have a little bit more susceptibility to like bigger, stronger perimeter players because they're not particularly big on the perimeter. The rare Jazz fan here. With the Jazz seemingly ready to do something other than Tank next year, how would you approach this summer? Are there any moves you would make in preparation for playing real basketball? 26, 27 with this roster? Really interesting question. I don't want to get too far into specific players because one, we don't know where the Jazz are going to end in the lottery yet. And so which guy they get, like, whether they get a Darren Peterson or like, you know, a Darius A Cuff or even if they get the number one pick, you know, we don't know what they're going to end up with. So that makes it a little bit hard. And we also don't necessarily know who's going to be available both via trade or restricted free agency, things like that this summer. So, like, we'll get into more specifics when we get into the summer. But as I dug into the payroll earlier this morning, the two main things I think they're really going to need to look at is one, some sort of like unscreenable perimeter defender and then to just overall perimeter jump shooting. And the reason why I feel that way is if the strength of your roster is your front court and you're going to be playing a lot of looks with Lori and Jaren Jackson and Walker Kessler, then in theory, like, you're not going to be very fast. You're going to be big, right? So your base scheme is probably going to involve either a lot of switching or a lot of zone because you're just going to want to lean towards your bigs, being able to be big and not have to cover a lot of ground, right? But you want to have some scheme versatility. And so if you had the ability to put a specific type of guard defender on an opposing point guard, think as an archetype, think Davion Mitchell. And Davion's on an expiring deal next year at like 12 million. So maybe you can make a deal, who knows? But like, you have Davion Mitchell and you go, hey, dude, chase that dude around. Do not switch anything. Fight through every screen. That way you can keep your bigs back. That would give you some scheme versatility versus quick guards. Whereas if you're switching everything and it's like Keonte George and let's say Darren Peterson gets drafted by the Jazz and he's a good defender, but he's not ready to like be a shutdown chase over screens guy yet. A quick guard could pick it apart by like targeting specific matchups or like, if a team shoots the ball well enough, maybe they could pick apart your zone. You want some scheme versatility. So having some sort. And I don't know if Isaiah Collier is that guy yet. And so that's where it gets tricky. But if you have a bowling ball unscreenable type of guard, that could go a long way towards your screen scheme versatility. And then again, like Walker Kessler has shown some ability to shoot, but I don't think he's going to be guarded out there. Jaren Jackson has improved as a shooter, but he still doesn't get really guarded that well like a shooter. So any sort of counterbalance to your size in the form of reliable jump shooting talent would go a long way. But I personally am very excited to watch the Jazz next year. As a Jazz fan, you should be very excited. I'm really curious to see how Danny Ainge rounds out the roster. That's going to be a fun team to watch next year. All right, three more quick ones. Would you ever consider having Nick Wright on the pot? Would love to see you both in your takes on the Lakers and the NBA playoff preview. Thanks for your time. We are working on it and I think we're going to have it happen. So I'm not sure at which point in the next couple of weeks it'll probably be a mix of like playoff previews, some Lakers, some. I'm curious to debate Victor Women, Yama with him too. So we'll get into that when we have the chance. But I'm in touch with Nick Wright's producer and we're working on it. I think. I think we're just more figuring out scheduling at this point. So Nick Wright will most likely be on in the next couple of weeks. I'm just not sure when. When I do know, I'll let you guys know. Next question. Do you guys have any or do you have any desire becoming a part of an NBA team's coaching staff or broadcasting? I really appreciate your eye and knowledge of the game. Keep doing great stuff for the NBA. Jt, thanks so much for the kind words. I would love to work for an NBA team. I've talked about this before. If I actually got a legitimate opportunity to work for an NBA team that paid me well because it just would be tough for me to give up my job to go take some entry level, like, you know, work in the film room kind of thing. But that's how you do it. Like if you want to work for an NBA team, you got to go work in the film room and do like dirty work for a long time for a little bit of money. If you want to kind of work your way up there and like, it's just I couldn't do that and do what I do. So, like, it's completely unrealistic. But I would do it if I ever got the opportunity. Like if I got an opportunity. Especially like, I think. I think coaching is very parochial. So it's super unlikely. But even if I got an offer to go work for a front office, I would take it in, like, a real context, not in, like, some entry level context, because I just want to work in the NBA and I want to be a part of a team, and I'm competitive. And, like, here's the thing. Like, my job requires me to be critical of NBA players, otherwise my show has no credibility. I have to be critical of NBA players, but I don't want to be. They're NBA players. You have any? As a person who played basketball my entire life, like, you don't think I have an enormous amount of respect for those guys? You don't think, like. Think about, like, a player that I get, I've been super critical of over the years. Let's just take a random example. Like Russell Westbrook, for example. I was super critical of him when he was with the Lakers. Like, you don't think I was a big Russell Westbrook fan when I was young? Like. Like, Russell Westbrook was like a hero of mine when I was a kid, just like every other young basketball player. So, like, part of it is just the nature of my job dictates that I'm critical in answer, and I praise and I criticize. That's the nature of. Of the profession, right? But, like, if I worked for a team, I wouldn't have to do that anymore. And I could channel my love for basketball, my passion for basketball tactics, and all these, like, different intricacies, and I could channel it into a team context competitively and be a part of an ultimate goal that a team is trying to pursue. So, like, I would take that sort of opportunity in a heartbeat if it came up. It's just incredibly unrealistic. So, like, the truth is, you guys are probably stuck with me for a very long time. Last question. Hi, Jason. I will need more time of you explaining why you didn't like AD Astra. Keep up the great work and thank you for all the analysis you do. Thanks again for the kind words. So a couple things, like, it just kind of felt like it had these weird phases. You obviously have the main plot line, which centers around the. The Brad pit psych evals, his relationship with his father, and this weird thing that's happening out at Neptune or. Or whatever it is, right? But then you have these, like, weird detours. Like the whole, like, moon lander or moon, moon rover gun scene just kind of felt like this weird separate entity. The commercial flight to the moon, the. The weird, like, SOS call where the monkey is killing all the astronauts on board that weird traveling space station. Like, it just kind of felt like they were using weird plot devices to fit in some special effects. So, like, it kind of felt like it had some fluff and some filler that didn't make a ton of sense take for a counterexample like Project Hail Mary, a movie I really enjoyed every thing felt like less like a plot device and more like there was one clear plot device in Project Hail Mary and that was the. The communication piece. Like, they were like, here's this five minute scene where we show these basic interactions and now we just all as the audience have to accept that these dudes can talk to each other. Which I had no problem with because, like, they tried to make a whole movie about that. It's called Arrival, where they dig into how complex language structure is. And if you really want to dig into that, it'll take you two hours just to do that. And none of us have time for that, right? So, like, in the context of that movie. So I accepted that plot device more as just like a, hey, let's establish that these two people, these two beings, can communicate with each other verbally so that we can watch this damn movie and not have to sit, sit through them dealing with the chore of trying to learn how to communicate with each other. Right? So, like, I was accepting of that plot device. Ad Astra felt like it was filled with lots of plot devices just to drop in certain special effects. Whereas Project Hail Mary, aside from that one language plot device, everything felt like it was moving the plot forward in a really genuine way. And so it just felt like it had some filler. It wasn't my favorite Brad Pitt part. Like, I'm a huge Brad Pitt fan. My wife had this comment. I thought it was funny. She was like, she's like, this is the kind of part that like, Ben Affleck should have done. I was dying laughing because, like, there's not a whole lot of expression. Everything's very deadpan, which is like, right up the Ben Affleck alley. Whereas Brad Pitt has a lot more range and what he can show emotionally and that sort of thing. So like, and just, he just has more of a cool factor. So, like, it was kind of a weird part for Brad too. And then the story was kind of like anticlimactic as well when they get to the end. So like, just one of my favorite movie, I gave it a second shot. I love sci fi too. I'm not going to sit here and act like I didn't and still enjoy parts of the movie. It just the the visuals and things like that. But like it was a distant last place compared to a lot of those. Like whether it what's the movie with Matt Damon on Mars like that one the Martian or even Arrival or Project Hail Mary. You know the, the. I just thought that those movies were far better than Ad Astra. All right guys, that's all I have for today. As always, I sincerely appreciate you guys for supporting us and supporting the show. I hope all of you guys have a wonderful weekend and I will see you guys on Monday.
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Hey, it's Ryan Seacrest for Albertsons and Safeway. It's Stock up savings time now through March 31st. Spring in for storewide deals and earn four times the points. Look for in store tags to earn on eligible items from Hunts, Nerds, Pillsbury, Lowry's, Breyers, Quaker and Culture Pop. Then clip the offer in the app for automatic event long savings. Stack up those rewards to save even more. Enjoy savings on top of savings when you shop in store or online for easy drive up and go pick up or delivery restrictions apply. See website for full terms and conditions.
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