NBA Analyst (29:29)
All right, before we get out of here today, let's talk a little bit about Houston and Minnesota. This is one of the strangest games that I can ever remember watching. I actually was watching this game live with my wife. I had to get up really early this morning, so I was like, I'm going to watch this game. It'll just kind of help me with my process tomorrow morning. A lot of times I watch film in the morning, but last night I was watching the game. I turned this game off twice. The Timberwolves controlled it throughout. Kevin Durant, Reed shepherd both had disaster jump shooting games. Minnesota had this like balanced two way attack that was working. Jaden McDaniels was fantastic. His offensive improvement has been so much fun to watch this year. Julius Randle kind of had a rough shooting night, but he got going late in the game. The Wolves went up by 11 with three minutes left. And I turned the game off and I was like, all right, I've seen enough to get through this particular game. Let's relax. We put on How I met your mother. We've been rewatching. We usually watch some sort of brainless TV right before bed to help us calm our brains down and go to sleep. And so we put on How I met your mother. And then a few minutes later, I peek at the score and Kevin Durant's heading to the foul line on an away from the play foul with a chance to tie the game and get the ball back. And I'm like, what the hell happened, right? So I immediately go back and I rewind to where the run started and try to diagnose what happened. And the Rockets just reached this insane level defensively in large part because Shangoon was an absolute wrecking ball flying around up at the level, at the level of screens, like hard switching onto the perimeter with physicality. He was helping at the rim. I've talked a lot about how Sengun is a bad defender, but he's not like other bad defenders that are physically limited. It's mostly a process thing for him and like a technique thing. He's athletic, he should be a good defensive player. And he flashed that ceiling at the end of regulation there, flying around the perimeter. He made two insane help side blocks. This one where he recovered at the rim and blocked with two hands, had another one that saved the game after KD had yet another sloppy turnover against a double team on the final player regulation. It's crazy to watch because like Shane Goon single handedly wrecked the Minnesota offense down the stretch of regulation and got his team back into the game. And again, you got to try to bottle that up. If you're Shang Goon because that's the difference between like a flawed player that probably can't win a championship and the version of Shangun that can lead Houston to a championship. One day Kevin Durant started hitting shots that unlocked the Shangoon in the pocket stuff. Both him and KD had ridiculous poster dunks in that run and we ended up in overtime. Special shout out to Rudy Gobert by the way, who had an insane ISO stop against Kevin Durant. Kind of got crossed up but his recovery athleticism is amazing and he actually blocked Katie at a pull up which is something you just don't see very often. And that saved the Wolves from a potential disaster in that final sequence. The Rockets then immediately blitz the Wolves to start overtime. It was a 26 to 2 run, turning an 11 point deficit into a 13 point lead in less than six minutes of game clock. Reed shepherd kind of takes a bad three but to get an offensive rebound and he finally hits one, a wide open one on the left wing. KD gets another transition dunk off their defense. Then KD hits a pull up three in Julius Randall's face. Reed shepherd jumps a dho, kind of a sloppy DHO from Kyle Anderson where he didn't make enough contact and he left a gap. Reed shepherd shot it, went down the other end, dropped it off to Amend Thompson for a dunk. And then Houston caps off the run with yet another KD Shangun two man game where he hit Shangun in the pocket for yet another dunk. They're up 13am I turn off the game again. We go back over to how I met your mother. So like a half hour later I'm literally getting ready for bed and I get a text from Yovon Buha. We have a pod that we do twice a week. It's with Trevor Lane and it's called Lakers Collective. And we just talk Lakers and our producer texts us and he just asks for like a rundown. He in the format of the show, they have like a little segment rundown on the left side. So he'll text us usually the night before the show. And I'll just be like, hey, what are the topics for tomorrow? And whoever, whichever one of us three is available, we'll just send over what we think the topics are. And so Yovon ends up sending a list of four topics. And one of them is like after Houston loses tonight, they're very likely to get the six seed. And that means that they're most likely going to match up with the lakers in the first round. What does that matchup look like etc. So I read that and I'm immediately like, oh, Yovon must not have seen the comeback. So I, I go to text him back and tell him to fix it, but then I'm like, let me just go to the ESPN app just in case. And Houston blew it again. I couldn't believe it when I saw the app, the score in the app. So of course I get my laptop out and I pull up the film and it was an absolute catastrophe. Starts with like this sloppy defensive possession. They double Julius Randall on the right side and then they both rotate to the left wing. They send two defenders over to the left wing in rotation. So kind of a sloppy rotation leaves Mike Conley wide open in the corner. He knocks down a three, Jabari Smith misses a wide open three. And then Shangun gets lazy and misses a box out on a Julius Randall missed right handed layup. Kyle Anderson gets an easy put back plus the foul. Suddenly it's a seven point game. And that's usually how these kinds of comebacks start. It's. It usually is like a couple of lazy possessions that turn an insurmountable lead into something achievable. And that's what it was. A quick two play, three play sequence where like you have a sloppy double, a guy misses an open shot which ain't your fault, and then you have a missed box out. And like Banks 13 point game turns into a 7 point game. Suddenly Minnesota believes they can win. Right then Julius Randle throws some token ball pressure against Shangun. I don't know why Sengun is bringing the ball up the floor, but Shangun's bringing the ball before Julius Randall ball pressures him. Does a great job holding his ground. Julius was fantastic down the stretch of this game. Beats Shangun to the spot several times and forces Shangun into an eight second violation. So the Wolves get the ball back. Reed Shepherd's playing some denial at the top of the key. Dante Divincenzo back, cuts him, gets the layup on the right side of the rim, reverse around Changun, all of a sudden it's a five point game more good Randall defense. Shangun ends up another kind of sloppy double team sequence where for some reason Amend Thompson was in the left corner. And this is another thing that drives me crazy with the Ime Udoka situation. They've struggled so much with capitalizing on these four on threes just because of simple spacing stuff. Kind of tag that and hold it for later because I want to talk about how like dumb Houston can be sometimes and just in terms of their collective basketball iq, but amen. Thompson ends up catching in the corner, wide open, doesn't want to shoot it for obvious reasons. He dumps it to Shangun. Shangun has to throw like a kind of a late non advantage post up against Randall. Randall just stonewalls him again, forces him into a tough kind of hook underneath the basket. He smokes it. So Minnesota gets the ball back and then Changun, who again was great on defense to start, missed box outright, had it took a bad angle on the Dante DiVincenzo back cut, gets beat on the right side of the rim. Then Julius Randle smokes him with another left hand to drive to the basket because he takes a bad angle. So for all the good defense at the end of regulation, the Shangun bad defense comes back in overtime. Randle gets that lefty layup, now we're back within three. Then Kevin Durant turns it over on a double team again, just loses the basketball and throws it right to the other team. Dante DiVincenzo comes off a dribble handoff coming from underneath the basket, hits a three, this game is tied. Then Sengun tries to ISO Randle again. Randle defends him really well again, really strong technique on defense, beating him to spots, disrupting his base, being very physical again. When you're playing post players, you can't really bother them up top because they usually have a size advantage. You want to get up underneath them, you want to bother their base, force them into tougher hooks that are further from the basket that are off balance. Forces him into a really tough long hook. He misses it. Then Randle games him with a pull up jumper over Jayshawn Tate in the middle of the lane. He actually tied off the game with a great vertical contest of Durant at the rim that I did not think was a foul, but he got called a foul and Kevin Durant went over there and missed the free throws and the Wolves end up winning. Absolute insanity. Games like that are actually the hardest to analyze because there's no real narrative flavor flow to it. It looked like the Wolves were the better team throughout. So I suppose you could say the Wolves should have won and they did. But Houston looked like the best team in the world there for like six minutes and then they just completely implode right back. It was one of the crazier games I've ever seen. We even got Go Bear fouling out on kind of iffy call where him and Shane Goon just got tangled up. I didn't really like falling Gobert on, out, out on a play like that. And then we had a terrible Scott Foster rejection of Nas Reed because he got his feelings hurt. I don't know, just classic Scott Foster. But that ejection was ridiculous. It was just an insane game. My takeaways are pretty simple from this one on the Wolves front, I continue to really like this team. I just think that when they ratchet things up defensively, they're one of the best two or three defenses in the league. Even Randall, who's been so bad at times, was fantastic down the stretch defensively and can be really good when he wants to be. You have Go Bear switchability, which is a huge part of their versatility. That huge block on KD at the end of regulation. They're just as high a defensive ceiling team as we have in the NBA. And they have all that aggregate offensive talent, all that ball handling and shooting and athleticism that makes them so hard to guard on the other end of the floor. But the Rockets, it is a doomed combination of stars that can't really handle the ball in an incredibly low amount of aggregate skill and IQ off of them. Doris Burke was calling this out through the game. It was amazing how often you would just have bad decision making off of their stars. Jayshawn Tate takes a horrible right corner three towards the end of regulation where you're like, what are you doing? There's all this time on the shot clock. It's just a bad shot. Amend Thompson had a short roll read in the middle of the floor where he missed Jabari Smith wide open in the right wing. Amen Thompson spotting up in the left corner off of a KD double team, a spot where he cannot be a threat. That's why when I look at like the playoff matchups, like, I think the Lakers are a lot better than they were last year and I do think that they would be more competitive against the Timberwolves than they were last year. I think even Timberwolves fans would agree with that. But like, I think the I the Wolves absolutely scare me more as a playoff team because I know what their ceiling looks like and I know they have the combination of what you need on both ends of the floor to be a real problem in a playoff series. I don't think the Lakers are guaranteed to beat the Rockets. I just won't make that mistake anymore, especially with how big and physical they are, because we've just seen so many examples in NBA history of just how different the playoffs are when the whistle changes. So I'm not going to sit here and be like, oh, the Lakers are guaranteed to beat Houston. I would favor them, but I would not write the Rockets off in that series. But they are unquestionably the worst team in that tier simply because of the fact that they are not smart enough or skilled enough as a basketball team to solve the puzzles that you have to solve in the NBA playoffs and as a Laker fan again. And they're not guaranteed to get the three seed either. Denver has a super easy schedule. Down the stretch. Denver could win out and the Lakers could drop two games against Oklahoma City and all of a sudden one more loss and they're in the four seed. So it's not guaranteed by any means. But if the Lakers can hold on to that three seed, Houston is absolutely the best possible matchup for them because they are just not smart enough to solve those puzzles that you run into in the NBA playoffs. All right, guys, that's all I have for today. As always, I sincerely appreciate you guys for supporting us and supporting the show. We have a mailbag coming out tomorrow and then obviously we have a tournament weekend. I'm excited to watch Arizona tonight in their matchup with Arkansas. Let's just pray that we don't get killed by Darius Acuff, but I hope everyone has a fun weekend watching hoops. Enjoy the mailbag tomorrow and I will see you guys on Monday.