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Simon Hunter
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Chad Millman
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This is Sophie Cunningham from Show Me.
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Chad Millman
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West, you already know I'm obsessed with those steak nuggets. They've been flying off the menu. It's honestly one of Arby's biggest hits in years and everyone's been talking about it.
Simon Hunter
Yeah, the hype is real, but they're not stopping there. Arby's just dropped their next heavy hitter, the deep fried turkey sandwich lineup.
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Simon Hunter
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Chad Millman
Liberty, Liberty, Liberty Liberty Savings vary underwritten.
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Chad Millman
Welcome to Sharper Square presented by Hard Rock that we are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the show that makes the square sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Millman. I am joined on this fine Sunday morning post Thanksgiving, as always by my bff, my companion, my compadre, my co host, professional better Simon Hunter. Hello, son Oyman.
Simon Hunter
Chad. How we doing, brother?
Chad Millman
You've met my dad. We took a classic picture where it looks like we're just Russian nesting dolls from my dad to you to me. And then on Friday or Thursday, I'm sitting with my dad on the couch, he's visiting from Chicago and I get a text from your dad wishing me a happy Thanksgiving. Including a placemat that you made when you were three years old that has a little pumpkin on it that is clearly laminated and indestructible that I know you're eating off of every Thanksgiving. Your parents are the freaking best.
Simon Hunter
Yeah, it's was that 32 years old now. Doesn't look a day older. Like it. Like, I mean, just classic. Looks exactly like the day I made it. And yeah, my mom makes me eat off at every Thanksgiving, so can't break the ritual.
Chad Millman
The pumpkin is bright, bright orange. It's as if. It's as if it was drawn yesterday. Happy Thanksgiving to everybody. We missed you all. On Thursday will be the semi stripped down in the room eavesdropping version of Sharper Square that we normally do on Sundays. As we narrow down our five final picks, we are also going to have our moneyline parlays and the biggest bets. Just because we didn't get to do those on Thursday, we're skipping sharp calls this week just because it's so late in the game. We want to, we want to get through the show and get it out for people so they can activate on today's ideas. Are you ready, Simon?
Simon Hunter
Let's get it.
Chad Millman
All right. We've been talking about Houston And Indy. The big news this week was that Daniel Jones may be playing on a fractured fibula and C.J. stroud is back. So this number has moved aggressively from four and a half to four to three and a half to three in favor of the. It's in the direction of the Texans. The Texans are now three point underdogs. They are streaking, they're coming off big wins. They are putting themselves back in position to win this division and be in the playoff hunt. If they can win today against Indianapolis. What are we thinking? I got thoughts. I know you got thoughts.
Simon Hunter
Yeah, I love the Colts coming in this week. I thought this would be a great match for them. A lot of their strengths are a lot of Houston's weaknesses. But you're telling me I got a back, a quarterback playing on potentially a broken leg. And the coach said there's stuff they can do offensively. Scheme it up so that he's not running with the ball or taking hits. And it's like, isn't that what makes Daniel Jones a serviceable quarterback? The guy can take big hits and stand in the pocket and make big time throws and when he can, he uses his legs. That's a big weapon of his game. So I hate this feel, feel so bad for this Colts team. They went all out. You know, they try to address the defense and you know, I thought that was gonna be the strength of this game, right? You'd have two really good corners against a Houston team that wants to push the ball downfield. That's CJ strength. So brutal loss for this Colts team. Just having that injury to Daniel Jones and you know, Tyler Warren popped up on the injury list as well. So you know, their stud tight end now is banged up as well and potentially miss this game. So for us in the contest, it's four and a half. I feel like we have to play that even though people can't play that line now, you know, if you're asking me am I going to play Houston plus three, I'd much rather have that ticket than the Colts at minus three. But we're obviously in a unique position where we get a better number in our contest. So four and a half. If you get that in your pickpools, your contest, I feel like you have to play that on Houston. If not, you just want to avoid it because Houston now is so publicly dog. Everyone knows what we know, right? They all know this injury to Daniel Jones. I totally get it like this. Numbers moved a ton. It's usually the exact spot. Divisionally, the Colts do Bounce back and win. But I just, I can't trust backing a banged up Dino Jones against the best defense in all football.
Chad Millman
Tyler Warren has an illness. He's listed as questionable. I did take a piece of the Texans at +3 just because. Why not? I love their defense. I like them at home. I'm worried about the Daniel Jones capabilities with the full spectrum that has made him so good. This also gives a little bit of insight into. He's been struggling since that bye week. He hasn't been as good. We saw him just completely crater against the Chiefs. I wonder if this leg has something to do with it. San Francisco at Cleveland. Cleveland plus five and a half. This was Chad's choice. It moved as low as four and a half before bouncing back up. Dude, I'm not gonna lie to you. I got Cleveland at six and a half. I liked him at six. I made him Chad's choice at five and a half. I have bet into the Browns. I have bet into the Browns money line. Myles Garrett, I think has 14 sacks in like the last five games. Something crazy like that. I'm not even exaggerating most sacks in a five game period since 1982 when sacks started becoming official stat. Still loving the Browns here. Love them.
Simon Hunter
Yeah. And you saw the big movement. Honestly, based off what we predicted that was going to be the weather for today. We, we have gotten some word that there was a big snowstorm coming yesterday. I'm sure people saw that watching all the college football and the hope was there's gonna be lake effect snow and wind for a lot of these games today and Cleveland was one of them. Now they're kind of saying it's not going to be as bad, Chad. So I feel like that's why the numbers come back up. But I still think this favors this Cleveland team and their defense and everything. They are. And it is unfortunate, right, that it didn't lean into the weather because I could have seen this getting to three, three and a half if it was really bad. Just because the Browns, they, they're in the unique spot, they don't want to pass the ball. They really don't. As much as you could say, well, Sanders looked better against the Raiders. That's in an indoor controlled environment. This is going to be something totally different than something he's never experienced either. Right. This is a guy coming from Colorado, which, yeah, you can say, well, he played out in the cold. We all know there's different types of cold and snow and that lake effect, that wind, that feeling of being in Cleveland, it's going to be much different than playing in the cold in Colorado. So you know, this matchup to me favored the Browns in many ways defensively. We like the matchup for them offensively against a 49ers team that, you know, we've talked about. They've been missing pieces, solid's kept it together, but the one thing you can say is you can run against this team. So Cleveland had opportunity here to kind of steal this game. And like we both talked about, we're. We're a little bit blind to it. We love this team in this matchup and all the trends about fading this 49ers team after wins and covers, it's just a spot we love. And I'm shocked the public loves it too. I think because of the weather. Like this isn't that big of a discrepancy. Right? It's not like all the money is on this 49ers team. It's pretty evenly split and most books you look at. So still love the Browns. Like you said, it's. We wish it had gotten back to six. We always love getting the six. But five and a half, I'm not gonna let that scare me off. I'd still take the Browns of that number.
Chad Millman
Atlanta at the New York Jets. Surprisingly, this was our brass balls. When it was two and a half, we said it was two and a half. It was on Tuesday. All week we said this is getting a three, this is getting a three. This is getting a three. It finally popped a three yesterday. On Saturday I've betted at two and a half. I've betted at three. I've bet the jets money line. Maybe I'm too over ambitious in my beliefs because I'm not back in Kirk Cousins on the road after a so so performance without Drake London again. And the jets defense is effective at stopping the run and that's going to be the Falcon strength here. So give me the jets plus three. Rah rah. Jets. Jets. Jets. Jets. I can't believe that our confidence levels are so high on the Browns. And are you with me on the Jets?
Simon Hunter
I'm with you. I'm definitely not as confident. There's other dogs I like more this week. Honestly, now that we're here on Sunday. I still like the jets, still bet them but it's. It's gonna be a tough choice to make. Chad. Because they're two and a half. They're three and a half. For our contest I would happily put them in. But at two and a half I don't know how much I love it because I really honestly always say with this jets team, I need every point. And yes, it's really been true. Like last week I think they were 13 and a half or 14 that the spread literally landed on three. So like they're that type of team. They play up to that number. You do need the best number you can possibly get with this jets team. And yeah, two and a half for our contest. I. I'm still. I bet it two and a half. So it's like I do believe in it, but I don't know if it's one of my five favorite bets of this week. I'll be honest with you.
Chad Millman
All right, well then let's transition to. I'm going to throw a curveball at Matt Mitchell here, so hopefully he can throw the graphic up.
Simon Hunter
Sure. He's loving that, Jeff.
Chad Millman
Right? Exactly. From his current location inside the hotel lobby trying to beat a snowstorm. Jacksonville Jaguars visiting the Tennessee Titans. The Titans are six point dogs. I throw it up because you brought it up right before we came on the air. We know that the Titans are the side here. The number has come down from six to six and a half or from six and a half to six. Everyone is talking about. Cam Ward is progressing. He's starting to play a little bit better. I don't know that I'm seeing that. What I'm seeing is that Cam Ward is backdoor covering the past three weeks because other teams are giving up the points because they're up by so many scores. They're not worried about losing the game. But you at least intimated you don't mind the Titans here.
Simon Hunter
No. Again, this is following really respected money and talking to guys. This would have been definitely been on sharp calls is a very sharp side this Titans team, especially if you can get the six and a half. Now I'm looking now I'm assuming most people won't be able to. The best I'm seeing is six and yeah, like Hard Rock, they're. They're down at six now, so it just seems like the professionals have hit it. It's the best you might be able to get is six. This really is a little bit what you talked about. Right. They've been backdooring teams but we talk all the time when teams backdoor consistently. It's. Yeah, it's a lot of luck but also just shows how the market continues to undervalue them. Right. They keep hitting that certain number and it's not like they're covering by a ton.
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Simon Hunter
Like you just said, they're backdooring by either half a point or a point. So the books have been really sharp on it. The professionals have been all over and like we said, we keep missing it. This is, we talked earlier in the week. This is either Tennessee or nothing at all for either of us. I still like Tennessee, still like the number if it's six and a half. Chad, I feel like we have to put in the contest just over certain other games where we're playing a good number against a Jaguars team that, you know, we keep talking about Trevor Lawrence. I mean they stole one last week for sure, right? He had four turnovers and they were able to not only win that game, but cover as well. So getting a big key number here in a divisional matchup, I mean, maybe I can help us avoid it because there's other dogs I like more and we just, we know it's just going to eventually gonna catch up to Tennessee. They just can't keep covering these insane back doors. But in this matchup here with the run defense they have with Jeffrey Simmons back and they're making Trevor Lawrence one dimensional. I feel like this is the exact type of team we like to back against the Jaguars. So yeah, it's, it's a hard one to get away from. Where I didn't love it early in the week, simply bet it because it was a good number. And the more pros I talked to and why they tell me they love it and they love this matchup, it kind of makes more sense why Tennessee is the sharp side here.
Chad Millman
The one thing that worries me is Tennessee has been getting back doors when they've been much bigger favorites. We're talking about double digit favorites this week. You know, it's, it's under a touchdown. I think it shows how little respect the professional community is has for the Jags, which we've been talking about all year. Trevor Lawrence, just not an effective quarterback. They're winning in spite of him, not because of him.
Simon Hunter
Well, better. The public is the opposite. They are all in on this Jags team. Like between the Moneyline parlays the teasers do, this is one of the top three, four biggest bets by the way.
Chad Millman
Then we're all in on Tennessee and we're all in on Tennessee. Moneyline.
Simon Hunter
Yeah, might have to be.
Chad Millman
I want to bring up Minnesota is now a 12 point underdog at Seattle. It's been announced they're starting Max Brosmer. Max Brosmer, the undrafted free agent. It's not a must have for me. You didn't like it on Tuesday. I just want to reiterate it's a huge number against a Brian Flores defense that does exactly what Sam Darnold hates to face constant pressure. So whatever Max Brosmer does, I don't know that the Seahawks are ever going to be so far ahead that the back door isn't in play here.
Simon Hunter
Yeah, a funny line where some really sharp books have already moved Seattle to 13. So that means there is professional money coming in on the Seahawks team. But even. Yeah, Chad, like I really had a blind spot to this. I was just going to avoid it. Probably take Seattle a couple of teasers or some just bet their number down to five and a half and you're right, like Minnesota, they should know Darnold's weaknesses. It should be the exact game they can capitalize on. Just I have a hard time bend to a quarterback I know zero about and even going to watch some of his tape I remember I was watching for 10 minutes. What am I even doing? I can't take anything away from this kid's tape in college. So it's. It's a crazy spot right now for this Minnesota team. Like, like you said, if you're making this bet, as much as respect we have for kfc, this is a Brian Flores bet. You're betting this defense to show up here and steal this game and keep it close so I get recovered from. I just, I'm not. I've not bet this one. I don't really have any confidence in this Viking side.
Chad Millman
All right. Buffalo at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh has come down from three and a half to three. Aaron Rodgers is playing with the fractured wrist. Buffalo is missing both of its starting tackles. The Steelers are missing their starting left tackle. So. And they're also missing one of their key defensive tackles across their front four. It feels like this number is being dictated by injuries and who's on the field and who's not on the field. I think the best of the number at three has passed. You could have gotten at three and a half all week on the Steelers at the three. It's it for me. It ends up not having any value.
Simon Hunter
Okay. I'm shocked by that. This is another pro side. Tons of pros I talk who love a Steelers team even at three. And I think the reason is very telling. Like if you're just Joe Public walking off the street, you might. You are seeing minus three on Josh Allen against either Mason Rudolph or Aaron Rodgers. This is going to be one of the more public sides bet right this Bills team for sure. And you know Even yesterday I was in the books, you know, that I. State Michigan game was a huge game. Talking to different bookmakers running around, and it's like they're all telling me how it's just all Buffalo money. And I go, why don't you give me a three and a half then? Don't you need. And they just gave me a look of like, we know we're doing here. So I think the books really trust Pittsburgh here. They like this number. And I know it's hard to believe, just like it was hard to believe betting against the Chiefs on Thanksgiving on that Cowboys team. But, like, I feel like we've seen the page turn this year, Chad. Like these teams of last year that we keep giving this respect and credit to, they're just not hitting like they were last year, right? Like, we kept, we keep thinking the Chiefs are going to turn it around, right? The Chiefs can lose this one. That's. We. Every week we say that the Chiefs can't lose this one, right? They need to win this one to make the playoffs. And they keep losing. And it feels the same for this Bills team. Like, this Bills team are going to be very desperate. I know that. Like, they need this game, obviously, but Pittsburgh is just as desperate. They were watching that Ravens game as well. They know this is all in their own hands as well. This is that game. They, they tend to win with Tomlin. And you know, the only hesitation I have here is what I'm. I'm sure you're experiencing as well. We're missing the best of the number and we're going against Josh Allen at not a great number. So, you know, I'm happy it's moved so much. I talked earlier in the week. I, I thought Pittsburgh at three and a half or four was a great number. Our contest is three and a half. I'm. I'm really tempted to make us put it in just because it is such a good number, but really, really telling here. If you look at the splits, it's like 70, 80 of the tickets are on the bills. 70, 80 of the money is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. So this is the definition of pros versus Joes. And I, I get why people want to be on the Bills here, but it feels like if, if either team could lose either tackles. Yes, it's a negative that the Pittsburgh has lost a guy on their offensive line. You know, T.J. watt isn't lining up against that, that, that line. Like, that's the issue of the Bills is they lost two tackles and now TJ can pick either side, whatever guy he thinks he has the best advantage of and sure you can scheme against that and you have Josh Allen who's a freak athlete and get out of it. But of all the guys can match up and give him problems. This is the perfect matchup for us with Pittsburgh's defense against a guy like him. So, um, I think there's a lot of ways Pittsburgh can neuter Josh Allen's athletic ability. And yeah, I'm going to trust the pros here and back that number at three with the Steelers team.
Chad Millman
All right. Last game we've been talking about that. We intimated on Tuesday and hinted that we would like it's going to be our Rock in a hard place Hard Rock Bet of the Week the New York Football Giants. They are seven point underdogs at Hard Rock at the New England Patriots on Monday night. They are seven and a half in a lot of places. I believe Simon and I have both bet into the seven and a half. I'm speaking for you, but we did like it a lot on Tuesday. I did bet it at seven and a half. Jackson dart is back. I think the bigger issue for us is that the entire left side of the Patriots offensive line is injured, including Will Campbell and the Giants defensive line is able between Thibodeau, Burns Carter to get some kind of pass rush and scheme something up. New defensive coordinator for the Giants this week. I think they'll be more aggressive. Rock in a hard place. Hard Rock Bet of the Week New York Giants plus seven and a half Monday night at New England.
Simon Hunter
Yet another game. We're going to talk sharp calls. This was a huge one. Tons of calls, balls about it. Tons of love for this Giants team, which we knew right. The pros have been over. The Giants feels like all season even though they're not winning, right? 2 and 10. They've been a covering machine and I again I always love different aspects of games and thinking about storylines people aren't thinking about. And the biggest one for me here is this. This week feels like it's going to decide the coach of the year. And I know it sounds stupid but like Ben Johnson to me just took a huge step ahead of Rabel at this point as incredibly crazy Rabel has done, right? This is a team that I think they had the third worst record in all football last season. They've had a really easy schedule and we all know that where the Bears their schedule is only going to get harder, right? That Eagles one was huge because they know they have such a hard divisional schedule. Coming up, this is the type of game where like we've talked about, like we put a little on the Giants money line because this is exact type of game that could get stolen from this Patriots team, right? They are very banged up on the offensive line. And we've seen this. This Giants team just does not quit. They play hard in every game. So, yeah, it's seven or hard rock. Chad just said it. You can shop around, people. There's so many seven halves out there. I could see this getting down to six and a half and, you know, give out a shout out to my guy, Dr. Nick from Action. He, he gave me amazing stat about this Giants team and basically in his luck rankings, Chad in his week 13. So he's been doing, I think now for three years. He's never lost on a side which is kind of shocking. It just usually works out where the luck catches up to teams. In this, this week, this is his biggest one, his favorite one this week is this discrepancy of this Giants team versus doing the team where we've talked about this, doing the team has been incredibly lucky that a lot of things are broken their way. And the flip side, this giant team, think of all the games they've blown at the end of the games, right? They've had so much bad luck if things not break their way. I mean, even that Lions game, like, they felt like they should have won that a thousand different ways. So, you know, the fact that Dart's back, I feel more confident because we don't have to worry about the ups and downs of Winston. Where we know this rookie, he might have one or two turners with us, that's always a negative with him. But the fact that we can use his legs, which they want to do offensively, you've seen that, how they draw a place for him offensively using his legs. I think that's going to be a huge advantage against I know a team that, you know, honestly, their only real weakness, in my opinion is the linebackers. I just think they have really, really slow linebackers. And you've seen that time and time again when teams rush outside or different distant usage of their tight ends or the quarterback running, their tight ends usually beat the linebackers. So again, this Patriots team, just so well coached, the only real weakness I can take away from them is there's the linebackers. And I think the Giants would attack that. So, yeah, this key number like we always talk about, you can get seven hard rock, shop around. Go get that hook. Get that seven and a half.
Chad Millman
Let's take a quick break from our friends at Hard Rock on the other side. We'll do our final five some Moneyline parlays for the dogs and the faves. Today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock bet. The Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook app is the only legal sports book anytime you're in Florida and it's also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois and Colorado. Coming soon to more states to sign up today and you could score $150 in bonus bets. Just place a five dollar bet. If it hits, you get not only your winnings but also $150 in extra bonus bets. Not sure what to place your first bet on? Head over to the Hard Rock Bet Stats hub and it will help you out. It's loaded with trends, streaks and stuff stats to help guide your picks. Numbers don't lie and neither does the data in there. Check out the Stats hub now. Get the edge and bet with confidence. Hard Rock Bet offers new promos every day plus big legendary reward drops every Thursday like gifts under the tree. So whenever you're listening, just open the app and check out what you've got waiting for for you. Download the Hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit payable in bonus bets. Not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida offered by the Seminole Hard Rock Digital LLC and all other states must be 21 and over and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia. To play terms and conditions imply concerned about gambling in Florida? Call 1-833-PLAY-WISE in Indiana. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-9 with it gambling problem. Call 1-800- gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.
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Chad Millman
All right, we'll do this part quickly. Simon. Biggest bets right now, it's tough to say.
Simon Hunter
Like, I took a large position on the two and a half on Tampa, hoping it was going to be Baker. It is Baker now, and now they're minus three and a half. I wish you could have a ton of confidence on this one. I can't believe this number is not five or six. So I'm a little scared off it because it hasn't moved enough. In my opinion, that is one of my bigger bets. I still like it at my three and a half, but it is very, very public at this point. Pittsburgh plus three. Giants seven and a half. Commanders plus six and a half. Like, I've really, I've loaded up on all these late prime time games today. Again, it's a weird thing where, like, I know it shouldn't scare me, but the fact that four dogs have covered this week, it's making me a little weary because I just. You and Chad talk before the show. I love all the dogs. Like, I love Cleveland. I really do. I really love this jets team that we're talking about. I really love this Tennessee team. So I'm just trying to be careful and not go too big. And, you know, I'm sure, like most people, it's just been a long week of football. Like, I woke up today and I was like, oh, my God, it's still Sunday. Like, we haven't. It's. It's still week 13. So I'm trying to be a little patient here because I just. Some of these lines feel very off and it's all heavily skewed to the dogs for me this week. So, yeah, my, my biggest bets for sure are going to be on those. Those dogs I mentioned.
Chad Millman
Well, speaking of dogs, I made a list of the Moneyline underdog parlay, and I was finding more games where I feel I can see victory for the dogs than I can for the favorites on my list. I have Pittsburgh, I have Cleveland, I have the Jets, I have Houston. And then I put Tennessee just because I have such a bias against the Jags. Anyone you think I should exclude? Anyone we should add?
Simon Hunter
No. And, like I've already, I bet that I got lucky. I made the bet like we gave out on Cincy. I had them thrown in with a couple other teams, just, you know, long shot odds, a couple of nineteen oh ones, twenty to one bets. I have a couple Cincy, a couple Cleveland money lines together. Yeah, it's just, I think we're both on the same page. We think it's gonna be a little bit of a wonky week. We just see there being some upsets this week and obviously if we had known there was gonna be three, three dogs winning out right on Thanksgiving would have been a happy man. And I had one contest, I was left and everyone knows it's a really big survivor pool. You have to make a Thanksgiving pick. And just like every other idiot in the world, we've been saving the Ravens for that game. And it looks like the smartest guys where the people don't pay attention, just pick every week. And the people that just had to roll with the, you know, the dogs on the Thanksgiving game, Cincy Cowboys and yeah, I got knocked down on the Ravens. So I, I, people can tell. I'm just, I just think this is a dog's week. I'm really heavy into the dogs this week. So I, I love this round robin.
Chad Millman
For the favorites I put in favorites probably. I put in Seattle, the charts.
Simon Hunter
Five and a half.
Chad Millman
Seattle at five and a half. I put the Chargers against the Raiders. I did New Miami's money line. Oh, Miami for sure.
Simon Hunter
Gotta do Tampa. Tampa's money line. Like I said Tampa public. But I'm, I'm really bet heavy into it. I can't say that enough. A three, two and a half.
Chad Millman
Seattle, Louisiana. Chargers, Miami, Tampa. Do you want to add anybody else there?
Simon Hunter
Yeah. Like again if we're taking all these big favorites, are we going to throw the Rams five and a half in there as well?
Chad Millman
Like I mean I would do five and a half.
Simon Hunter
Yeah, I wouldn't take the spread. I'm on, I'm on the Carolina there but I just, I could see Carolina finding a way to backdoor that Rams team. And Chad, Chad saved me a lot of money because I, I knew Carolina injuries. I didn't realize how many banged up guys they had on their defensive side. So that's the only reason I, we haven't really talked about that game ever put in our contest. It's just Carolina has so many injuries to overcome. We do love the spot for them but you know, you're going against the MVP and a high powered offense, you're Going to need a lot of your second secondary pieces and it's just. I don't, I don't love that for Carolina.
Chad Millman
All right, final five, New York Giants plus seven and a half. Go get it. Pittsburgh Steelers. There's no three and a half available. We're still on it at three, but it will be three and a half in our contest.
Simon Hunter
Yeah.
Chad Millman
Cleveland Browns plus five and a half across the board. Still love it. Houston, we're getting a little lucky. I bet Houston at plus three, it's four and a half in the contest. We're going to play it. You got to take advantage of those lines. I think it's coming down. Simon to the jets and the Titans. I love the Jets. Love it. I will own it. I will be uncomfortable. I will sit in my misery. It will be no problem for me all day. I will be the only one watching the corner TV game of the jets and the Falcons.
Simon Hunter
So you want to put the. The jets in over. Over Tennessee?
Chad Millman
Yes.
Simon Hunter
All right, let's have a look, see, make sure we get the. The right number. So the jets are two and a half. Tennessee is six and a half, man. I know. So you can do it. If you're gonna. Chad's gonna be the one to be like, this is. I'm taking my stand here. This is the game this week because right now we have Cleveland, Houston, Pittsburgh, Giants in and we'll put the jets as the fifth one.
Chad Millman
Let's do the Jets.
Simon Hunter
Okay.
Chad Millman
All right. It's going to be exciting. Oh my God. It's going to be a miserable Sunday evening. All right. This has been Sharper Square part of the volume podcast network. We will be back On Sharper Square YouTube tonight, 7:30 ish after the latest of the late afternoon games. To recap all the misery and glory of the day, watch or listen on YouTube at Sharper Square. Like this video. Subscribe to the channel. Download us from Spotify, Apple Pods. Wherever you get your pods. Rate, review, subscribe. Leave us five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift. Until next time. Love you.
Simon Hunter
One play at a time for as long as it takes.
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Chad Millman
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Simon Hunter
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Date: November 30, 2025
Hosts: Chad Millman & Simon Hunter
This episode of Sharper Square, recorded post-Thanksgiving, hones in on the sharpest and “squarish” NFL Week 13 sides and totals, focusing on bets, contest picks, and the lines the hosts think public and professional bettors are targeting. Chad Millman and professional bettor Simon Hunter break down significant injury news, market line movements, and offer candid, in-the-weeds handicapping for key games, culminating in their contest “final five” picks and recommended Moneyline parlays.
Tone: Confident, energetic, betting-savvy, occasionally self-deprecating.
(Note: Lines reflect their contest; may be different in markets)
Rationale is strongest on key numbers/value, often leaning into pro-vs-public disparities and injury mismatches.
This episode provides not only a meticulous look at where pro and public betting diverge, but also strong opinions backed by recent news, team trends, and market context. It’s loaded with practical contest advice, warnings about chasing steam after line moves, and candid debate on injury impacts—making it highly actionable for contest and recreational NFL bettors alike.