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The Herd with Colin Cowherd
Sharp or Square - FINAL NFL WEEK 14 BETS - Bengals-Bills, Texans-Chiefs, Colts-Jaguars, Steelers-Ravens, Saints-Bucs and more
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- [00:00]
Jenna Kim Jones
This is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human.
- [00:07]
Malcolm Gladwell
Get your mother lovin ears on because your big time radio DJs got news. PayPal lets you choose how you want to pay for all the stuff. With PayPal I can pay in store, pay online, or pay overtime.
- [00:20]
Chad Millman
What's that?
- [00:21]
Malcolm Gladwell
You want this translated into song? I hope you're sitting down. You can pay your own way. You keep those ears on, you hear? You don't just pay baby. PayPal. Learn more@paypal.com hey Jason Timf here.
- [00:36]
Chad Millman
The NBA on Prime is back with.
- [00:37]
Malcolm Gladwell
An exciting week of Emirates NBA cup action. The knockout rounds begin with quarterfinal double.
- [00:42]
Chad Millman
Headers on Tuesday and Wednesday night.
- [00:44]
Malcolm Gladwell
Then it's the semifinal doubleheader on Saturday.
- [00:46]
Chad Millman
And it all culminates with the championship game next Tuesday night only on Prime. If you're not a Prime member, sign up to get a 30 day free trial to get started today. Restrictions apply. See Amazon.com Amazon prime for details.
- [01:02]
Malcolm Gladwell
So let me get this straight. Your company has data here, there and everywhere, but your AI can't use the data because it's here, there and everywhere? Seems like something's missing. Every business has unique data. IBM helps your AI access your data wherever it lives. To change how you do business, let's create Smile to Business IBM.
- [01:31]
Jenna Kim Jones
Stay cozy, stay home and save big online during Lowe's December deal drops because honestly, why go anywhere when the deals come to you? Check this out. Lowe's is going to give you two free select tools from dewalt, Craftsman or Cobalt when you buy a select battery or combo kit. Yep, two tools free. It's basically a holiday miracle. Plus rewards members get free standard shipping all month long. Yet another reason not to leave your couch. Kick back, click around. Let the savings roll in. Shop. New December deal drops on Lowe's.com every week this month. Fresh deals, cozy vibes. Zero effort.
- [02:06]
Simon Hunter
This is Sophie Cunningham and West Wilson.
- [02:09]
Malcolm Gladwell
From Show Me Something.
- [02:10]
Jenna Kim Jones
The second the weather drops, I'm instantly in holiday mode. Sweaters, comfort food, all of it. And nothing hits better on a cold day than unwrapping an Arby's Classic Roast Beef Facts.
- [02:21]
Chad Millman
When that tender, slow roast beef is warm and juicy, it's like soul therapy. And if you're feeling a little extra rol like we usually are, go for.
- [02:29]
Jenna Kim Jones
The double dude Double Roast Beef, Double beef and Cheddar. Twice the meat, twice the happiness.
- [02:35]
Chad Millman
You know what you want? Get an Arby's Double Roast Beef or a double beef and Cheddar in store or delivered today.
- [02:42]
Jenna Kim Jones
Available for a limited time at participating Locations while supplies last.
- [02:47]
Chad Millman
Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by Hard Rock Bat. We are part of the Voluum Podcast network. This is the show that makes the squares sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Millman. I am joined as always by my co host, my companion, my bff, my compadre professional better Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon.
- [03:09]
Simon Hunter
Chad. Let's get into it. How was your night, brother?
- [03:13]
Chad Millman
Dude, look at this. It's so weird. It's so weird.
- [03:19]
To root for a school that.
- [03:23]
In football is literally the second losing his program in NFL history, to love the school, to love the fight song so much and to see this team that has been so historically bad. When I had gone to so many games where we'd start off the season 3, 0 and then we'd play Michigan, Ohio State, Iowa, whoever in that rinky dink Memorial stadium and it'd be empty except for me and one other guy, my buddy Matt. And like, we'd get blown out and that would be the season. And we were physically dominant on the offensive line. We were strategically brilliant. We had mistakes, we got breaks. There was pageantry. The idea that there is a generation of people right now who are going to grow up thinking Indiana football is an exciting thing to experience, that Indiana tailgates on a Saturday afternoon in Bloomington are all of a sudden something people want to go to that college game day and big noon kickoff are going to want to start the season at Indiana. Like it's insanity to me. The Indiana fight song being sung on national television at the end of that game. Even my wife was happy for me. Like, it's just, it, it's, it's remarkable. It's the number of texts I'm getting for congratulations when all I did was sit on my couch and watch the game. Amazing kudos to you for giving out the Hoosiers 24 hours before the game.
- [04:57]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, I wish I could take credit for it, but yeah, that's just following very smart people. Smart money. But yeah, it's. It's what draws people into college football. I know it's a sport that gets a lot of hate because it's so top heavy and you know, you give teams hard times because it's like, you know, if you're a die hard Arkansas fan, what is that? Life. You're never going to be relevant. But this is the exact scenario why you never give up. Right. If you get the right coach with the right kind of NL money, we should start with the top of that. Yeah, yeah. And the coach is the most Important part, anything is possible in college football, right? If you can strike getting the coach before they leave for the big time school, you can do it. You might become a big time school. He signed now for a long time. So yeah, I just, I can't get over the turnaround if he's doing this with, you know, three, four star, two star recruits, couple five star now are going to start rolling in. It's, it's bizarre whenever a college basketball school like Duke is now a team winning their conferences in football. It's, it's Duke, Indiana. It's, it's a bizarre time right now in the college football space. I love it.
- [06:00]
Chad Millman
Freaking bizarro world nil money transfer portal. Go hire an old coach who's proven in it, he can win the, the money does the recruiting for you. There's a blueprint here that's really, really fascinating.
- [06:14]
But it's not what we're talking about today, Simon, because this is the semi stripped down in the room eavesdropping version of sharp or square. You and I are gonna make our final five picks. And the good news now this is the first Sunday with our brand new pick em contest. We are all playing from the exact same lines, folks. Final reminder, final reminder. You still got time. You can sign up now for free. Make your picks and compete directly with me and Simon to earn your shot at our grand prize, a trip for two to the incredible Seminole Hard Rope Hotel and Casino in sunny South Florida. Go to sharporsquare.thevolume.com that's sharp or square.thevolume.com if you want to know me and Simon, our team name, chad and Simon BFFs. Because that's who we are. Are you ready, my BFF, my brother to get into it for Today, Sunday, week 14. You ready?
- [07:19]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, buddy.
- [07:20]
Chad Millman
All right, here we go. Games we zeroed in on the other day, Indy at Jacksonville. Look, I think we both come around. We're on Jacksonville at this point. I've actually bet Jacksonville on the money line. I didn't even bother with the spread. There might be massive thunderstorms and rain in this game.
- [07:42]
I don't love Trevor Lawrence in any scenario, but I'm just sort of going to lean into it. I'm going to lean into the storm. I'm going to be like, you know, in Caddyshack, it's like the hard stuff's not coming down for a while. Go Jags. I just, I'm too worried about Daniel Jones. They've also got injuries along the Defensive line, the Colts, which I think is impactful for them. So we're going to stay on the Jacks.
- [08:06]
Simon Hunter
Yeah. On the Jags. But it's definitely a type of game where, you know, you don't want to make a huge position on it because of what Chad just talked about. You're. You're factoring an unknown factor into a game where we've seen it time and time again. It's not a strength at all for Trevor Lawrence to play in bad weather. I mean, just off top of my head, the one that really pops up because I'm an Eagles fan, is that game with the Jaguars and the Eagles. Jaguars dominating the game, beating the Eagles. And I think he had four fumbles. He might have lost three of them against Eagles, and Eagles came back and won that game the second half. So I, I don't love it for our, our Trevor Lawrence belief in bet here, but the truth still holds true, which is I think this is a Jaguars team. It's going to give real problems. Daniel Jones, that offense on the cold side, on the offensive side, I still think they'll be able to take advantage of this cold secondary. So like Chad said, it's. If it's going to be one of our five, we kind of want it to be perfect scenario with this Jaguars team because we both have such reservations about backing Trevor Lawrence. So this kind of gives us the out here. If we do not want to put this in one of our five, just because it makes me leave confidence knowing that's going to be really bad weather down there.
- [09:14]
Chad Millman
All right, well, we don't have to do it. We don't have to do it. Tennessee or Cleveland? Another game we don't have to do. Cleveland is a 3 1/2 point favorite. We both bet Cleveland here. You had the line of the week on Thursday where you're just like, we seem to get so locked in on these games. We talk ourselves into it. Are we going to try to talk ourselves out of it on Sunday? The line has moved from three and a half to four. There are fours in the world and it's been trending in that direction over the last 24 hours. So I feel a little bit better that the money is starting to come in on Cleveland. I don't think it's just public money. I think it's professionals betting on the Browns.
- [09:56]
But do we like it enough to put it in?
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Simon Hunter
Yeah. I've dug in all week about how I just love this Browns team because it's really a bet to me on their defense. And shockingly, there are some four and a half popping up there. So like Chad said, there is not just professional money. Obviously, public money is coming in here on this Browns team. And I think it's because people are seeing the weather report this morning, which is cold, freezing side where snow and rain and just bad winds right now, what they're predicting for Cleveland. So it's another game where we can lean into it, trust his defense. And we talked about. They just simply got outplayed by their own special teams last week. This Browns team. Right. I think if you go back and watch it, Chad gave up the station. Every drive felt like it started. Their own side, their own 50 for the 49ers. Right. The 49ers kept being the Eagle and the Browns 40. The Browns 30. You know, coach was going for on the Browns doing 30 and gave the 49ers a start on their own 30. So it's a little scary knowing that Shador Sanders is such a big favorite here, Chad. But I told you, this to me, is not him being a big number here. This is this big number is this defense. This is purely a defensive number. And it's all about what we're confident in.
- [11:02]
Jenna Kim Jones
Right.
- [11:02]
Simon Hunter
We literally dove into this exact position. I don't know, it feels like 10 years ago, but it was probably four or five weeks ago on Miami versus Brown's team in this exact spot.
- [11:13]
Chad Millman
With Dylan Gabriel.
- [11:15]
Simon Hunter
Right, With Gabriel, which is no different than Sanders. My model literally has a difference of half a point between these two guys. So it's. If we believe in a Chad, we're simply betting a good number, which Hard Rock is right now, minus three and a half because this number is going to four and a half forward a lot of books, and we're banking on this defense in this weather at home, it just feels like a unique spot. So I'm still in on it. I don't know if you're. If you want to join me. Like, I've joked about it. I. I AM probably over 100 on this Tennessee team these last two years. But I just feel like this is a unique spot. Back on this Browns team, we have.
- [11:45]
Chad Millman
No rhythm when it comes to the Tennessee Titans.
- [11:47]
Simon Hunter
None.
- [11:47]
Chad Millman
Zero. We. We. We cannot catch the falling knife on this team. But. But we have a lot of rhythm with the Browns.
- [11:56]
Simon Hunter
Yeah.
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Chad Millman
And so.
- [11:59]
I've. I'm still on it. I've bet into it. I'm not walking away from it. Let's just commit to it.
- [12:05]
Simon Hunter
Let's put it in three and a half.
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Chad Millman
Put it in number of moves. Yeah, let's own it. Because don't forget, these lines are dynamic in this contest. So you can start betting it as soon as the lines open and up until kickoff. And if you decide to make changes along the way, you're going to have to make changes to everything. So it's part of the sort of gamification of this contest. Miami at the New York Jets. This was Chad's choice to two and a half in the contest. Not the best number because it's been three for much of the week. I still love it. I bet the Jets. I bet the jets at 3. I bet the jets at 3. On Wednesday, I bet the jets at 3, I think again on Thursday. I bet the Jets. Money line.
- [12:48]
I'm all in on the jets here and maybe I'm making a mistake, maybe I'm sort of overenthusiastic, but I. I just don't see how a Jets team that was a two and a half point underdog on the road against the Dolphins in Week 4 is now still as bad as that jets team in week four when we've all seen the issues the Dolphins have as well. So the line hasn't changed in 10 weeks. It doesn't make any sense to me.
- [13:19]
Simon Hunter
Yeah. And unfortunately, this is the one of the games that won't be affected by the cold or bad weather. I think it's going to get up above 40 here in Jersey by kickoff. Sunny skies, no rain, no snow, none of that, which is something I honestly was hoping for in this matchup. I thought it was going to play into our favor, especially if, you know, early in the week we were talking. It was supposed to be in the 20s, low 30s in this matchup, which, you know, we all know the stats, too. It tends to struggle in this exact climate, but I love it. It's. It's a pros, pros game. It's truly all. It's just pro money on the Jets.
- [13:49]
Chad Millman
Yep.
- [13:50]
Simon Hunter
All the other money is all public money on this Miami team, and for good reason. Right. Miami, they have as much crap as we like giving them. We thought they're deader than dead. Right. They kind of given up on the season and they've totally not turned it around. But they've at least showed up for their head coach here down the stretch right after they fired their general manager. I think they've won three of their last four. So it's a unique spot here for this Miami team that, you know, I think the public is starting to finally believe in them. Where we Talked about this jets game. We were never gonna be able to avoid it. We like the number. This probably should be closer to a pick. It's totally overreacted to the public, to me on this Miami side and the flip side, Taylor, we've got the stats. Tyrod Taylor, last eight starts, seven, zero and one against the spread. It's just continually undervalued against the public and we've been backing them along this whole stretch. So nothing's changed here, right? We like the number. Like you said, perfect world. Just like last week we would have loved to gotten this to a three and a half. That would have been a really safe, secure number. It's never gotten there. Like you said, the threes come down to two and a half and almost every book. So we'll take down the contest and not get scared off by this number.
- [14:52]
Chad Millman
We will not be scared off because we think the jets are going to win this game outright. New Orleans at Tampa Bay the line is currently eight and a half. The Saints are eight and a half point underdog. Simon this is gonna be our rockin a hard place hard rock bet of the week.
- [15:11]
Malcolm Gladwell
I wanna rock.
- [15:15]
Chad Millman
You talked about the Saints a bunch on Thursday. It took me a minute to come around. I am on the Saints now. I bet the Saints at plus eight and a half. I bet the Saints on the money line. Oh God yeah. Just for fun, just a little taste. Not like, listen. Not like you know, college tuition money, just like you know, a burrito bowl chipotle.
- [15:42]
But I just sort of feel like the Bucks have not been playing up to the level that everyone thinks they are. And the Saints. I'm not going into the oh, the Saints are more competitive than you think, but their underlying metrics aren't as bad as you think. So I'm not uncomfortable playing the big number here in the division A game that was much more competitive than the score indicated the last time these two played.
- [16:08]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, and I love it too because it's back in this Saints team. We're. We're either going to be in a really close back door type of game where they do have an opportunity or.
- [16:18]
Chad Millman
It'S dead in the first quarter.
- [16:19]
Simon Hunter
Exactly. We will either or we'll be down 30 nothing in the first half and just getting totally blown out. So these are the gross ugly dogs. I like betting getting gave out that stat on Tuesday. Again, we didn't really talk much Thursday because I think like you said, it wasn't much on your radar but I, I did quietly love it. I look at this One where it's. It's purely best based off just kind of like that jets game where the public continues to undervalue the Saints team. And we've gone back now last couple years. You know, this Saints team divisionally on the road is an underdog. They're 80 against the spread. So they've had a run here these last three, four years where they keep getting undervalued by the general public. They go on the road in their division, which we joke all the time, the NFC South. No one knows what's going to happen. But you can't bank on taking the dogs a lot of these matchups. Right. And we've kind of had that proven out. So you said it best the last time they played. They got blown out, I think, 3 to 23, something like that. And.
- [17:13]
Chad Millman
But it was not a 233 game. That was a. The score was 23 3. The circumstances that led to it being 22 to 3, 23 to 3 were not dominanced by the Bucks. It was fluky plays a lot of luck. They were only winning seven or three at half and that was because of a pick six. Like nobody was playing well in that game.
- [17:35]
Simon Hunter
I was gonna say total meltdown by the Saints if you go back and watch it. But we do give some grace. That was when we think Baker had an injury he didn't disclose and he was fighting through. And they had a bunch of injuries obviously to the offense. No Godwin, no Mike Evans, no Buck Irving. So yeah, this matchup for me, it's really just backing about the public just moving this number too much and overrating this Bucks team that yes, they're going to be better now. They have a lot of their guys back, but that defense there, there ain't no guy coming off the bench that's going to save this deeper for this Bucks team. They have been terrible against the run and they've really struggled this season with teams that can push the ball downfield, which, you know, as much crap we'd like to give Shock. He's actually been pretty good watching the ball downfield consistently. So, yeah, we both love this number and really it's about the line plus eight and a half at every book. I can't avoid it another game. I just love on this, this dog and I'm glad we at least have one road team we're here backing.
- [18:27]
Chad Millman
Warren Sapp is not walking through that door.
- [18:30]
I put Houston plus three and a half at Kansas City on this list.
- [18:35]
Simon Hunter
Wow.
- [18:36]
Chad Millman
This.
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Simon Hunter
This.
- [18:37]
Chad Millman
This number was four and a half At a book on Saturday afternoon. I don't know if you saw that I grabbed Houston and at four and a half, it's now back down to three and a half at most places. You know, I just wanted to. To throw it in there because we're getting the better defense in the contest. We're getting the better defense and the hook against a team that has basically played all close games this year. Whether we think the Chiefs will win a close game and there'll be some regression to the mean in a positive way or they're going to lose a close game. Getting the hook feels important to me in this contest, especially when we know the Chiefs are not going to have their starting left tackle. They might not have their starting right tackle. He was doubtful slash out on the injury list yesterday. So they're going to be playing two backup tackles for protecting Patrick Mahomes against possibly the best pass rush and definitely the best defense in the NFL Sunday night.
- [19:37]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, but again, it's no different than Dallas Lions game, Chad. And it's something where we joke about it, but if the line just seems off and there's something fishy and it's. It's what, week 14 here. You got to trust your instincts here. So I get where you're taking position on Houston. Everything you said is true. I just, I want people to be weary of this, this game. Because what Chad just said. Why is this not keep. It was moving to three. Like I got a bunch of threes on the Chiefs. It was moving in the three, two and a half direction. Now their left and right tackle might be out and it's going up before four and a half, so be careful. I'm. I'm on the Chiefs. I guess we're just split here. Like you said, everything is very logical. You said in Houston, they have the best unit on the field. Obviously in this defense, they're just incredible. This, this actually is a pretty good match for them. But I think on the flip side, this is the exact type of game Spags gets right against this Houston offense. So to, to me, it's going to be the type of game that you know is going to be one in the red zone. And I think Chiefs, Mahomes, they take advantage of this Houston team in the red zone. On the flip side, I think Houston continues to struggle in the red zone. So I get Chad's perspective here, people, but just be careful. There's something very fishy about this number and the way it's moving where I'm on the Chiefs, but very, very Leaky, confident. You can hear my voice. I just. Yeah, I don't trust this Chiefs team at all. But it's just like the lines. I'm simply playing a fishy spot on a team that historically tends to bounce back in this exact spot.
- [21:03]
Chad Millman
I'm only on the Texans at four and a half. I, I've. I'm. I'm kind of agnostic or ambivalent about it. At three and a half.
- [21:11]
Simon Hunter
Three and a half on the Chief. Honestly, it's not scared me, but it's like, again, I just to be one of our five, it's like, man, I really wish you came in super confident with the Chief, so I could have backed you up here, but it sucks for split, so I guess we'll just avoid it.
- [21:26]
Chad Millman
Well, look, I think we have three games we're agreed on so far. Cleveland, the jets and the Saints. Boy, that's a. A magnificent trio. That's like the Indiana University football team of the 1970s trio right there. So now we got to make.
- [21:42]
Simon Hunter
What's Atlanta in this contest?
- [21:44]
Chad Millman
Atlanta is. Hold on.
- [21:47]
Simon Hunter
Half.
- [21:47]
Chad Millman
Now, I think Atlanta, six and a half. So this is where it gets tricky, right? Because Atlanta, which we. Which I liked a lot.
- [21:55]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, that's a very, very sharp. A lot of sharps. I know. Like Atlanta. I do not see it.
- [22:01]
Chad Millman
Drake, I, I backed out of it because Drake, London's not playing and I, I'm not going to buy in to Drake, London.
- [22:10]
Buffalo and Cincinnati. Cincinnati, six and a half.
- [22:15]
That's interesting to me.
- [22:18]
Simon Hunter
You want that six and a half.
- [22:20]
Chad Millman
I like Cincinnati at six and a half.
- [22:22]
Simon Hunter
All right, that could be 20 years.
- [22:24]
Chad Millman
But, but the other games that we've liked all week, Baltimore, we've liked all week. It's up to six and a half in the contest.
- [22:33]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, I wouldn't let that. I mean, again, very smart professionals have taken the six, the six and a half on Pittsburgh. So that could be my little bit hesitation. And I don't know if you saw. Lamar apparently got stepped on in practice and he missed the day. And he did come back, I believe on Thursday or Friday he did practice, but it's not. Again, I, I wish I could be more confident betting this Ravens team, but the historical data just shows, like Pittsburgh as a dog here, you're supposed to blindly bet it, but I just, I can't get there. It just sucks. It's a bad number. Like five and a half. I'd honestly make us put this Ravens game. Game in six and a half. If we can't find anything else. I'll put it in. But it's. It's obviously not that good of a number.
- [23:16]
Chad Millman
The Jags, by the way, in the contest are two and a half. So that to me changes the calculus a little bit.
- [23:24]
Simon Hunter
Jags are two and a half in the contest.
- [23:29]
That's crazy. Yeah. Cause Hard Rock is one and a half here, but yeah, I mean, I could. I could get into it. God damn it. This weather, though, it does. I'm trying to keep perspective. It's like we're betting Trevor in the rain, but that's a great number.
- [23:41]
Chad Millman
The other game that I want to bring up, I know we're, we're bouncing around here, but we're looking at contest lines. The Las Vegas Raiders are now eight and a half.
- [23:52]
Against.
- [23:54]
Okay, good. I'm glad. I. Listen, you mentioned the Raiders the other day. I don't want to do it, but I wanted to respect the mention.
- [24:01]
Simon Hunter
But I told you I got, I got more invested in Denver's money line, so I just, I don't want to be sweating that. All right, well, I've already succumbed. I'm probably gonna lose that money. But my God, we got some tough.
- [24:12]
Chad Millman
Choices to make then. So, like.
- [24:15]
Simon Hunter
Yeah, like, again, I don't know if you're gonna like these games.
- [24:19]
Like, we're supposed to be betting Green Bay.
- [24:23]
Like, you know, we're supposed to be betting Green Bay, but it's a hard spot because it's like Green Bay has not covered this number at all all season. Bears have lived up, like expectations. I mean, they've gone far and above what we all predicted. They've been covering a machine. I just don't get why this number is not budged all week. If anything, it's going to seven at a couple books.
- [24:46]
Chad Millman
Yeah, I saw that.
- [24:47]
Simon Hunter
And it's been never ending amounts of Bears money. I went to the book on Tuesday. Both guys in front of me in the line were betting the Bears. I went to the book on Wednesday. Four different people in the line were talking about this Bears, how much I love the Bears. It's never ending amount of love. I'm just saying. For the general book on this bear as well. So again, we don't have to get there. I know you don't love it because you're. You weren't, you know, I bet the.
- [25:09]
Chad Millman
Bears on the money line.
- [25:10]
Simon Hunter
Listen, I told you I made that bet. The Chad Norman bet the. The Bears money line with Indiana Hooers money line. But my God, this number is. It's the fishiest line of the week.
- [25:21]
Chad Millman
Simon, do you see this? Do you see this? You see this? You know what's underneath it, by the way? Do you know what's underneath it?
- [25:27]
Jenna Kim Jones
Hold on.
- [25:28]
Simon Hunter
Bears T shirt.
- [25:30]
Chad Millman
All right.
- [25:30]
Simon Hunter
Dad's showing me his nipples, people.
- [25:32]
Chad Millman
So I got the Bears T shirt and the Indiana hoodie.
- [25:36]
Simon Hunter
I root for.
- [25:37]
Chad Millman
I root for champions, but I don't want to put put him in the contest.
- [25:41]
Simon Hunter
What's our favorite, though? We need to get a favorite in here, Chad, because we last week.
- [25:45]
Chad Millman
I know, I know.
- [25:46]
Simon Hunter
We looked and we got smoked.
- [25:47]
Chad Millman
Listen, we loved the. Well, we have Cleveland in. Don't forget.
- [25:50]
Simon Hunter
Right. Okay, okay.
- [25:52]
Chad Millman
Look, look, I'll say something crazy here.
- [25:55]
Simon Hunter
Say it.
- [25:56]
Chad Millman
Okay. We love the Rams at seven and a half. And we bet it at seven and a half. It's at nine and a half because there's a bunch of.
- [26:04]
Injuries for the Cardinals. Why not the Rams? Nine and a half right now. Terrible number. But I think if they win, this is going to be a blowout.
- [26:14]
Simon Hunter
All right, I can be talked into it. I'm heavily invested in the Rams. I'll do that.
- [26:18]
Chad Millman
All right, so.
- [26:20]
I will take a sec message here from Hard Rock bet. Today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock bet. The holidays are here and the sports schedule is packed tighter than Santa's gift bag week 15. Football, bowl games, NBA, college hoops, hockey. The whole sports sleigh is loaded. And on Hard Rock Bet, there's always something to unwrap and bet on. New customers can sign up and bet $5 on any game. If it wins, you'll find $150 in bonus bets on top of your winning stuffed in your stocking. Now that's holiday magic. Not sure what to place your first bet on? Hard Rock Bet just launched a brand new for you page, making it easier to find all your favorite teams, players and leagues all in one place. The Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook app is the only legal sportsbook anytime you're in the beautiful state of Florida. And it's also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, Colorado and Michigan. Coming soon to more states, too. Plus, Hard Rock Bet offers new promos daily. So whenever you're listening, just open the app and check out what you've got. Any day of the week, download the Hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit payable and bonus bets. Not a cash offer. Offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida, offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital LLC and all other states must be 21 or over and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia to play terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida, call 1833-PLAY WISE in Indiana. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-809-with-IT gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee and Virginia.
- [28:17]
Malcolm Gladwell
Hello.
- [28:17]
Chad Millman
Hello.
- [28:18]
Malcolm Gladwell
I'm Malcolm Gladwell, host of the podcast Smart Talks with IBM. I'm I recently sat down with IBM's chairman and CEO Arvind Krishna, and I asked him how can companies use AI to its fullest potential to create smarter business? My one advice to them Pick areas you can scale. Don't pick the shiny little toys on the side. For example, if anybody has more than 10% of what they had for customer service 10 years ago, they're already five years behind. If anybody is not using AI to make their developers who write software 30% more productive today, with the goal of being 70% more productive.
- [29:04]
Chad Millman
Yeah. Wow.
- [29:06]
Malcolm Gladwell
So we are not asking our clients to be the first experiment on it. We say you can leverage what we did. We are happy to bring out all our learnings, including what needs to change in the process. Because the biggest change is not technology. It's getting people to accept that there's a different way to do things. To listen to the full conversation, visit IBM.com smarttalks.
- [29:34]
Odoo/AWS/Liberty Mutual Announcer
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- [30:36]
Jenna Kim Jones
Cozy, stay home and save big online during Lowe's December deal drops. Because honestly, why go anywhere when the deals come to you? Check this out. Lowes is Going to give you two free select tools from dewalt, Craftsman or Cobalt when you buy a select battery or combo kit. Yep, two tools free. It's basically a holiday miracle. Plus, rewards members get free standard shipping all month long. Yet another reason not to leave your couch. Kick back, click around, let the savings roll in. Shop. New December deal drops on Lowe's.com every week. This month, fresh deals, cozy vibes, zero effort. Breaking news, everybody. Not everything is terrible. I repeat, not everything is terrible. The Ripple Effect with Jenna Kim Jones is proof that the Internet, it hasn't ruined humanity entirely.
- [31:23]
Chad Millman
Let me start by saying it's a great day to be a gray shirt team Rubicon. You know, it truly is a team.
- [31:29]
Simon Hunter
Those folks, myself included, all had one desire, which is helping folks in disaster.
- [31:34]
Chad Millman
Trying to be a little bit of hope in a really, really bad situation.
- [31:37]
Jenna Kim Jones
It's like magic, you guys. So put down your doom scroller and pick up your faith in humanity and join me, Jenna, for the Ripple Effect. It's a reminder that you can start a ripple that changes everything. You really can. We give just that nugget of hope helping other people. For some of our gray shirts, it's during a time when they need help. And by helping others, it helps them. Listen to the ripple Effect with Jenna Kim Jones on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Making the holidays magical for everyone on your list. It's no small feat, but with TJ Maxx, your magic multiplies. With quality finds arriving daily through Christmas Eve, you'll save on luxe cashmere, the latest tech toys and more. So you can check off every name on your list. And trust, treat yourself to a holiday look that'll turn heads. Now you know where to go to make all that holiday magic. It's TJ Maxx. Of course. It's shaping up to be a very magical holiday.
- [32:39]
Chad Millman
All right, brother. So the way I'm looking at it right now, Jacksonville plus two and a half, Cleveland minus three and a half, jets plus two and a half, New Orleans plus eight and a half, L.A. rams minus nine and a half. Those are our five. All right, all right, well, listen, listen. Chad and Simon, BFFs. Just put that into.
- [33:08]
The.
- [33:10]
Sharper Square contest page. Everyone can go sign up sharpersquare.thevolume.com. you still got a chance. You can find Shadow Simon BFF. You'll see our picks dollar there. Simon, one more thing before we get out of here. As a native of England, I know how much you love the actual original football. Please confirm that for me.
- [33:34]
Simon Hunter
I love it.
- [33:35]
Chad Millman
I know you do. I know when. I know when you watch your favorite English Premier League team, you only speak with an English accent. The preeminent international soccer tournament will be hosted right here in America this, this summer. The draw for that tournament, as I said, took place on Friday. It drew more viewers worldwide than the Super Bowl. Seriously, I don't know nearly as much as you do on the subject, but I do know a couple of things. The tournament has expanded, so nearly 50 countries are gonna play 100 total matches. Because America is the host country, the U.S. men's National Team automatically qualifies, which is nice, but I hear he's got big expectations. I saw the coach the other day said he had big, big expectations. Hard RockBet right now you can bet on every single match in the first round. With hundreds of markets available for every single match. Plus you'll find tons of futures, like group winners, top scorer, mvp. Simon, I know you got a whole group of people, like guys who tell you when to bet. Indiana. What are you hearing about early soccer bets people might want to find in the Hard Rock Bet app right now?
- [34:45]
Simon Hunter
I hope maybe I can persuade you to get into it. Because it's in the summer, this is like the prime time to be betting these exact type of spots. Like it's right around NHL NBA playoffs. And this is the tournament, right? This is all the, all the different countries. And Chad just talked about the, the viewership is insane for these type of things. Just, just reading off the list of where these teams are, what groups these teams are going to play in. The better number, the super bowl, it's just, you can't wrap your head around it. How many people are obsessed with this exact tournament? So from the top, the very basic, this is, have you been there before to the party, right? If, and just like if you want a Super bowl in football, it's easier for some reason to win another Super Bowl. It's the same in this tournament. If you've done it before, it's easier to do. And if you haven't, it's basically impossible. You're just, if you're not invited the party, you're never going to do it. So it's very top heavy people. Off the basis. If you just want to pick a team and that's your team for the tournament, the top four, Spain, England, France, Argentina, you can just pick one of them, right? If you want to do that in your future market, that's a move to make right now. When I look at this, there's one group of death. Unfortunately, my favorite team is in that group of death and that is Norway. Norway, which is a team that, if you don't know, they have a guy named Holland. He's the greatest striker in the world. Basically he's mahomes of the sport. Based on Al J and Gettys. Just the best at what he does at a certain position. And in. In this sport, soccer, the whole game could change if you have an unnaturally gifted goal scorer. Because it's so hard to score in this tournament because everyone's just so tight. It's just such a big deal, these guys. So unfortunately they're in the group of death, which is group I. They have France. It's France, Norway and then Senegal, which if you know anything about Senegal, it's an African country that is filthy, filthy at soccer. They are pure Dallas Cowboys. Tons and tons of offense, no defense, and they're really fun. We're in that group. France right now is minus 180. You can get Norway plus 280 at Hard Rock, plus 260 if you want to bet that. And them to win it all, which overall, the whole, you know, Cup, I think they're plus 3,000. A lot of books. It's moved now to 25 to 1. So it's Norway's come down a little bit. People have been hitting that even though they're in the group of death. If you are very lazy American, better. We have done it, people. We are in the exact group you want to bet American. For the first time in my lifetime, this might be our best opportunity in the next 200 years to win this tournament just because at home for us. And they basically laid it out where we're not going to face any good teams for the first month. They've really put us in a nice spot here for the first couple of weeks. And basically USA is in group D. We are plus 120 right now at Hard Rock. I talked to a pro. That makes us minus 200 in this group. That's how bad. Again, I'm not trying to pick on usa. That's just how easy our group is. We don't have any of these big time South America, European teams are our hardest. Competition right now is not even decided yet. It could be Turkey, which again, that doesn't put up a lot of fear in you. Or Paraguay. Those are just not that good of teams. And then fishing out the bottom of the group is Australia. I think they're 8 to 1 win this group. So to me, if you're looking for a very homer bet, I don't hate it. If you want to bet USA to win the World cup, there is a path. I can squint my eyes and see it just because it's a new year. There's 48 teams in this, in this new tournament. The way they've laid it out and these, a lot of these countries have not dealt with America humidity. So I can see the opportunity for America. If you want to bet them the long shot to win it all, I think you can still get them at 66 to 1 or 50 to 1. But to me, group play to win their group plus 120. There's good value there to win them Group D. So really fired up for USA's prospects in this tournament.
- [38:31]
Chad Millman
Listen, United States could be the Indiana of global soccer this year. And reminder, Hard Rock Bet is your betting home for all of this summer's global soccer action. Reminder, our picks are in chad and Simon. BFFs. We're at Jacksonville plus two and a half. That's the number in the contest. We're at Cleveland minus three and a half. New York jets plus two and a half. New Orleans Saints plus eight and a half and the Los Angeles Rams minus nine and a half on the road against the battered Arizona Cardinals. This has been Sharper Square part of the Volume Podcast network. We will be back on Sharper Square tonight 7:30 ish. After the late afternoon America's game between the Bears and the Packers. We'll recap all the misery and glory of the day. Watch or listen on YouTube at sharp or square. Like the video. Subscribe to the channel. Download us from Spotify, Apple Pods. Wherever you get your pods. Rate Review. Subscribe. Leave us five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift. Until next time. Love you.
- [39:38]
Malcolm Gladwell
Okay, this isn't college.
- [39:39]
Simon Hunter
You're not at a home.
- [39:40]
Malcolm Gladwell
College.
- [39:40]
Chad Millman
I understand this is NFL, which stands for not for long when you make them calls. I'll be selling groceries.
- [39:51]
Simon Hunter
And Doug. Here we have the Limu Emu in.
- [39:55]
Odoo/AWS/Liberty Mutual Announcer
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- [39:57]
Simon Hunter
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- [40:02]
Odoo/AWS/Liberty Mutual Announcer
Fascinating. It's accompanied by his natural ally, Doug.
- [40:07]
Simon Hunter
Limu is that guy with the binoculars watching us.
- [40:10]
Malcolm Gladwell
Cut the camera.
- [40:10]
Odoo/AWS/Liberty Mutual Announcer
They see us.
- [40:11]
Chad Millman
Only pay for what you need@liberty mutual.com.
- [40:16]
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- [40:18]
Malcolm Gladwell
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Chad Millman
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- [40:33]
Malcolm Gladwell
All, from highlight reel editing to intense.
- [40:35]
Chad Millman
Player research, so you can be at the top of your game wherever the day takes you. Learn more@snapdragon.com laptops Snapdragon the heart of your PC. Battery life varies significantly based on device settings, usage, and other factors.
- [40:53]
Jenna Kim Jones
Okay, only 10 more presents to wrap. You're almost at the finish line, but first.
- [41:11]
There the last one.
- [41:16]
Enjoy a Coca Cola for a point. Pause that refreshes.
- [41:23]
Malcolm Gladwell
This podcast is sponsored by Total Wireless, the official wireless partner of ufc. When you're streaming the fight or sharing those takedown highlights, you need a wireless provider that keeps you close to the action. With Total Wireless, you're covered by the Verizon 5G network, so you don't have to worry about your connection being knocked out at the biggest moments. It's not something you can usually say about a wireless provider, but Total Wireless really does have your back. They're in your corner every second of the day, so you never miss a thing. Visit totalwireless.com or visit your local Total Wireless store to learn more about how Total Wireless can be in your corner. 5G access requires a 5G capable device and a 5G service area. Additional terms apply. See website for details.
- [42:14]
Odoo/AWS/Liberty Mutual Announcer
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- [42:50]
Jenna Kim Jones
Is an iHeart podcast. Guaranteed human.