The Herd with Colin Cowherd: "Sharp or Square – NFL Week 7 Reactions"

Hosts: Chad Millman & Simon Hunter
Date: October 20, 2025

Episode Overview

In this episode of Sharper Square, Chad Millman and Simon Hunter break down the reactions and betting angles from NFL Week 7. They dissect wild finishes (notably Broncos-Giants), examine their own betting records and process, and dish out praise and criticism for coaches and teams alike. The guys also share regrets, early leans for next week, and listener questions—including which teams they’re ready to ban from betting. As always, the focus is on helping “squares” get sharper while giving betting aficionados deep insight and laughs.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Broncos-Giants: The Wildest Game of the Week

[00:58] The crew waited on the conclusion, calling it a “game… nobody wanted to win.”
- Broncos won 33–32 after a frantic, mistake-laden final quarter.
- The game had a “26–8” comeback and multiple late lead changes.
Quote:
- "That game had everything of both teams going out of their way to make the biggest mistakes possible." — Chad Millman [01:10]

2. Week 7 Betting Recap: Wins, Losses & Lessons

[02:00] Personal record update: 1–2 with key action left on Lions and Texans.
- Big wins: Browns (Chad’s “choice”).
- Bad misses: Titans (brass balls pick), Chargers.
- Regrets about biting on “big dog” sides.
- Relief at avoiding Raiders, Jets, and Saints.
[03:42] “We nearly talked ourselves out of a bet we loved, and thank God we didn’t.” — Chad on Cleveland.

3. Cleveland Browns–Dolphins: Ugly but Profitable

[03:23–07:18]
- Millman and Hunter break down Cleveland’s defense, wet conditions, and the “dream scenario” of a Dolphins offense imploding—highlighted by penalty-prone Dolphins DT Zach Sieler.
- Miami’s offense benched Tua after three INTs.
- “We’ve chosen the Browns in the right spot at the right time.” — Chad [05:41]
- Mike McDaniel’s status and Miami’s future as a bottom-feeder discussed.
- Chad jokes about McDaniel possibly not making it to Tuesday after his sideline demeanor [07:35].

Notable Quote:
“I feel like we’ve now gotten lucky—no, not lucky, but we’ve chosen the Browns in the right spot at the right time." — Chad Millman [06:13]

4. Titans–Patriots: Betting Bad Teams & Dead Cat Bounces

[08:40–15:10]
- The “brass balls” bet on Tennessee plus the points fails.
- Both hosts dissect how they “fell into bad habits,” reversed original leans on the Patriots, and paid for it — a classic “don’t bet on bad teams” segment.
- Chad’s Cam Ward “Heimlich maneuver poster” story sums up QB ineptitude and the risks of gambling on terrible teams.
- “That cat, no bounce. Just a dead... dead cat lying on the side of the road. So sad.” — Chad [14:15]

5. Chargers–Colts: Fading Fast

[15:10–22:09]
- Another bet they regret.
- Millman: Chargers lack grit, the bet “dead halfway through the first quarter.”
- Herbert’s gaudy stats mask real issues: red zone INTs, OL woes, and a defense that cannot get stops.
- “Is Justin Herbert just destined to be in the Chargers tree… guys who throw for a lot of yards and never get beyond a championship game?” — Chad [22:09]

6. Bears–Saints: Ugly Wins and Growth

[26:15–31:59]
- Bears win their fourth in a row but leave Chad “sick” as a fan.
- Credit to Ben Johnson’s run game & a rebuilt O-line.
- Caleb Williams, shaky in bad weather; the defense and ground game are the reasons for this streak.
- “This is what you want—the new NFL is the run game and defense, and you guys have it in spades.” — Simon [28:33]

7. Eagles–Vikings: Philly Gets a Break

[31:59–34:54]
- Hurts throws for 326 yards/3 TDs, but Philly wins ugly.
- Vikings’ red zone inefficiency (5 field goals, 1 TD) cited as decisive.
- Simon not convinced by the win, worries about O-line and run game.
- “This is not how the Eagles want to win… Still, as an Eagles fan, major, major issues.” — Simon [33:44]
- Devonta Smith’s career day: 183 yards.

8. Cowboys-Commanders: Dak Playing Out of His Mind

[36:09–39:12]
- Dak Prescott’s resurgence—the hosts joke about how overlooked he’s been, now in the MVP conversation.
- Dallas’ offense and Brian Schottenheimer’s value dissected:
  - “As the only guy here that thought Dak was worthy of being top 10, I feel pretty good about my preseason love.” — Simon [38:05]
- Praise for CeeDee Lamb, Pickens, Ferguson.

9. Other Notables: Packers-Cardinals, Raiders-Chiefs, Panthers-Jets

[39:47–41:24]
- Packers “do not look very good,” multiple weeks.
- Jacoby Brissette “should be starting” over Kyler Murray?
- Chiefs roll, Jets lose as home favorites to Carolina—marked as a “huge win” for Dave Canales (Panthers coach).

10. Shame, Shame, Shame & Hero of the Week

[41:24–45:18]
- Shame picks:
  - Chad: Chargers—“Shame on us for continuing to invest in the Chargers.”
  - Simon: Giants—"Shame on the Giants. That felt like the game for your season… a disaster loss."
- Hero picks:
  - Both: Browns/Cleveland defense for coming through on a “gross” but correct call.

11. Early Leans for Next Week

[48:14–51:57]
- Lines Discussed:
  - Saints (+6.5) vs. Bucs - “Only pros grabbing Saints at this point.” [48:18]
  - Ravens (-6.5) vs. Bears - “Bad spot for the Bears. Can’t stop the run. Ravens most likely with Derrick Henry.” [48:59]
  - Pittsburgh (+3) vs. Green Bay - “We gotta do that.” — Chad [49:22]
  - Eagles (-7) vs. Giants - Hesitation but interest if line moves.
  - Chiefs-Commanders watch due to QB uncertainty.
  - Patriots (-6.5) vs. Browns - “I don’t bet Browns on the road. Their defense has not traveled.”
  - Denver (-3) vs. Dallas - “The pros are coming in early on Denver… but I can’t do it yet with Bo Nix.” — Simon [51:38]

12. Fan Listener Q&A & “Ban List”

[26:15; 47:42]
- Viewers ask: Which teams are they blacklisting from betting?
  - Titans and Chargers are consensus “never bet again” choices.
  - Simon: “We could just start fading the Titans. It’s a cash cow.”

Notable Quotes & Moments

On betting ugly games:
“Let me do the work here. It’s my responsibility. It’s too gross.” — Chad (Browns bet) [04:44]
After Cam Ward’s fifth fumble:
“That is exactly what happens to bad teams. And that’s what happens when you bet bad teams.” — Chad [13:15]
About the Chargers:
“Their defense is pathetic. The coaching was pathetic. The play was pathetic. This team, shame on them. Shame on them for wasting our time today.” — Chad [41:24]
On Giants’ collapse:
“Shame on the Giants. That felt like the type of game for your season... That is a disaster loss and huge, huge win for Denver.” — Simon [42:45]

Timestamps of Key Segments

Start & Show Setup: 00:35
Broncos-Giants Recap: 00:58–03:21
Betting Recap and Process: 03:21–06:35
Browns-Dolphins Analysis: 03:42–08:40
Titans-Patriots Breakdown: 08:40–15:10
Chargers-Colts Breakdown: 15:10–22:09
Bears-Saints Discussion: 26:15–31:59
Eagles-Vikings Recap: 31:59–34:54
Cowboys-Commanders Discussion: 36:09–39:12
Shame & Hero Picks: 41:24–45:18
Early Leans for Next Week: 48:14–51:57

Flow & Tone

The episode is lively, irreverent, and self-deprecating, dense with betting talk but always relatable for both sharps and squares. The co-hosts let their fandom show—Chad as a tortured Bears fan, Simon as a critical Eagles supporter. They strike a balance between honest frustration about misses and humor about the pitfalls of betting, especially when repeatedly burned by the same unreliable teams.

Summary for Non-Listeners

If you missed this episode, you’ll learn:

Which NFL Week 7 bets succeeded or failed—and why.
The agony and comedy of betting on bad teams (see: Chargers, Titans).
How the Browns and their defense keep paying out in spots the hosts love.
Why the Bears’ newfound winning ways are still (painfully) ugly for fans.
Caution against getting suckered in by dead cat bounces and “must-win” narratives.
Early look-ahead to Week 8’s most appealing betting lines—and some emerging “do not bet” teams (hello, Titans and Chargers).
That betting, as ever, is as much about reading the board as reading human nature.

Listen to Sharper Square for more weekly betting wisdom, laughs, and maybe a little self-flagellation.

The Herd with Colin Cowherd: "Sharp or Square – NFL Week 7 Reactions"

Hosts: Chad Millman & Simon Hunter
Date: October 20, 2025

Episode Overview

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Broncos-Giants: The Wildest Game of the Week

[00:58] The crew waited on the conclusion, calling it a “game… nobody wanted to win.”
- Broncos won 33–32 after a frantic, mistake-laden final quarter.
- The game had a “26–8” comeback and multiple late lead changes.
Quote:
- "That game had everything of both teams going out of their way to make the biggest mistakes possible." — Chad Millman [01:10]

2. Week 7 Betting Recap: Wins, Losses & Lessons

[02:00] Personal record update: 1–2 with key action left on Lions and Texans.
- Big wins: Browns (Chad’s “choice”).
- Bad misses: Titans (brass balls pick), Chargers.
- Regrets about biting on “big dog” sides.
- Relief at avoiding Raiders, Jets, and Saints.
[03:42] “We nearly talked ourselves out of a bet we loved, and thank God we didn’t.” — Chad on Cleveland.

3. Cleveland Browns–Dolphins: Ugly but Profitable

[03:23–07:18]
- Millman and Hunter break down Cleveland’s defense, wet conditions, and the “dream scenario” of a Dolphins offense imploding—highlighted by penalty-prone Dolphins DT Zach Sieler.
- Miami’s offense benched Tua after three INTs.
- “We’ve chosen the Browns in the right spot at the right time.” — Chad [05:41]
- Mike McDaniel’s status and Miami’s future as a bottom-feeder discussed.
- Chad jokes about McDaniel possibly not making it to Tuesday after his sideline demeanor [07:35].

Notable Quote:
“I feel like we’ve now gotten lucky—no, not lucky, but we’ve chosen the Browns in the right spot at the right time." — Chad Millman [06:13]

4. Titans–Patriots: Betting Bad Teams & Dead Cat Bounces

[08:40–15:10]
- The “brass balls” bet on Tennessee plus the points fails.
- Both hosts dissect how they “fell into bad habits,” reversed original leans on the Patriots, and paid for it — a classic “don’t bet on bad teams” segment.
- Chad’s Cam Ward “Heimlich maneuver poster” story sums up QB ineptitude and the risks of gambling on terrible teams.
- “That cat, no bounce. Just a dead... dead cat lying on the side of the road. So sad.” — Chad [14:15]

5. Chargers–Colts: Fading Fast

[15:10–22:09]
- Another bet they regret.
- Millman: Chargers lack grit, the bet “dead halfway through the first quarter.”
- Herbert’s gaudy stats mask real issues: red zone INTs, OL woes, and a defense that cannot get stops.
- “Is Justin Herbert just destined to be in the Chargers tree… guys who throw for a lot of yards and never get beyond a championship game?” — Chad [22:09]

6. Bears–Saints: Ugly Wins and Growth

[26:15–31:59]
- Bears win their fourth in a row but leave Chad “sick” as a fan.
- Credit to Ben Johnson’s run game & a rebuilt O-line.
- Caleb Williams, shaky in bad weather; the defense and ground game are the reasons for this streak.
- “This is what you want—the new NFL is the run game and defense, and you guys have it in spades.” — Simon [28:33]

7. Eagles–Vikings: Philly Gets a Break

[31:59–34:54]
- Hurts throws for 326 yards/3 TDs, but Philly wins ugly.
- Vikings’ red zone inefficiency (5 field goals, 1 TD) cited as decisive.
- Simon not convinced by the win, worries about O-line and run game.
- “This is not how the Eagles want to win… Still, as an Eagles fan, major, major issues.” — Simon [33:44]
- Devonta Smith’s career day: 183 yards.

8. Cowboys-Commanders: Dak Playing Out of His Mind

[36:09–39:12]
- Dak Prescott’s resurgence—the hosts joke about how overlooked he’s been, now in the MVP conversation.
- Dallas’ offense and Brian Schottenheimer’s value dissected:
  - “As the only guy here that thought Dak was worthy of being top 10, I feel pretty good about my preseason love.” — Simon [38:05]
- Praise for CeeDee Lamb, Pickens, Ferguson.

9. Other Notables: Packers-Cardinals, Raiders-Chiefs, Panthers-Jets

[39:47–41:24]
- Packers “do not look very good,” multiple weeks.
- Jacoby Brissette “should be starting” over Kyler Murray?
- Chiefs roll, Jets lose as home favorites to Carolina—marked as a “huge win” for Dave Canales (Panthers coach).

10. Shame, Shame, Shame & Hero of the Week

[41:24–45:18]
- Shame picks:
  - Chad: Chargers—“Shame on us for continuing to invest in the Chargers.”
  - Simon: Giants—"Shame on the Giants. That felt like the game for your season… a disaster loss."
- Hero picks:
  - Both: Browns/Cleveland defense for coming through on a “gross” but correct call.

11. Early Leans for Next Week

[48:14–51:57]
- Lines Discussed:
  - Saints (+6.5) vs. Bucs - “Only pros grabbing Saints at this point.” [48:18]
  - Ravens (-6.5) vs. Bears - “Bad spot for the Bears. Can’t stop the run. Ravens most likely with Derrick Henry.” [48:59]
  - Pittsburgh (+3) vs. Green Bay - “We gotta do that.” — Chad [49:22]
  - Eagles (-7) vs. Giants - Hesitation but interest if line moves.
  - Chiefs-Commanders watch due to QB uncertainty.
  - Patriots (-6.5) vs. Browns - “I don’t bet Browns on the road. Their defense has not traveled.”
  - Denver (-3) vs. Dallas - “The pros are coming in early on Denver… but I can’t do it yet with Bo Nix.” — Simon [51:38]

12. Fan Listener Q&A & “Ban List”

[26:15; 47:42]
- Viewers ask: Which teams are they blacklisting from betting?
  - Titans and Chargers are consensus “never bet again” choices.
  - Simon: “We could just start fading the Titans. It’s a cash cow.”

Notable Quotes & Moments

On betting ugly games:
“Let me do the work here. It’s my responsibility. It’s too gross.” — Chad (Browns bet) [04:44]
After Cam Ward’s fifth fumble:
“That is exactly what happens to bad teams. And that’s what happens when you bet bad teams.” — Chad [13:15]
About the Chargers:
“Their defense is pathetic. The coaching was pathetic. The play was pathetic. This team, shame on them. Shame on them for wasting our time today.” — Chad [41:24]
On Giants’ collapse:
“Shame on the Giants. That felt like the type of game for your season... That is a disaster loss and huge, huge win for Denver.” — Simon [42:45]

Timestamps of Key Segments

Start & Show Setup: 00:35
Broncos-Giants Recap: 00:58–03:21
Betting Recap and Process: 03:21–06:35
Browns-Dolphins Analysis: 03:42–08:40
Titans-Patriots Breakdown: 08:40–15:10
Chargers-Colts Breakdown: 15:10–22:09
Bears-Saints Discussion: 26:15–31:59
Eagles-Vikings Recap: 31:59–34:54
Cowboys-Commanders Discussion: 36:09–39:12
Shame & Hero Picks: 41:24–45:18
Early Leans for Next Week: 48:14–51:57

Flow & Tone

Summary for Non-Listeners

If you missed this episode, you’ll learn:

Which NFL Week 7 bets succeeded or failed—and why.
The agony and comedy of betting on bad teams (see: Chargers, Titans).
How the Browns and their defense keep paying out in spots the hosts love.
Why the Bears’ newfound winning ways are still (painfully) ugly for fans.
Caution against getting suckered in by dead cat bounces and “must-win” narratives.
Early look-ahead to Week 8’s most appealing betting lines—and some emerging “do not bet” teams (hello, Titans and Chargers).
That betting, as ever, is as much about reading the board as reading human nature.

Listen to Sharper Square for more weekly betting wisdom, laughs, and maybe a little self-flagellation.

Sharp or Square - NFL Week 7 Reactions - Giants-Broncos, Cowboys-Commanders, Packers-Cardinals, Saints-Bears, Raiders-Chiefs and more

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Summary

The Herd with Colin Cowherd: "Sharp or Square – NFL Week 7 Reactions"

Episode Overview

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Broncos-Giants: The Wildest Game of the Week

2. Week 7 Betting Recap: Wins, Losses & Lessons

3. Cleveland Browns–Dolphins: Ugly but Profitable

4. Titans–Patriots: Betting Bad Teams & Dead Cat Bounces

5. Chargers–Colts: Fading Fast

6. Bears–Saints: Ugly Wins and Growth

7. Eagles–Vikings: Philly Gets a Break

8. Cowboys-Commanders: Dak Playing Out of His Mind

9. Other Notables: Packers-Cardinals, Raiders-Chiefs, Panthers-Jets

10. Shame, Shame, Shame & Hero of the Week

11. Early Leans for Next Week

12. Fan Listener Q&A & “Ban List”

Notable Quotes & Moments

Timestamps of Key Segments

Flow & Tone

Summary for Non-Listeners

Summary

The Herd with Colin Cowherd: "Sharp or Square – NFL Week 7 Reactions"

Episode Overview

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Broncos-Giants: The Wildest Game of the Week

2. Week 7 Betting Recap: Wins, Losses & Lessons

3. Cleveland Browns–Dolphins: Ugly but Profitable

4. Titans–Patriots: Betting Bad Teams & Dead Cat Bounces

5. Chargers–Colts: Fading Fast

6. Bears–Saints: Ugly Wins and Growth

7. Eagles–Vikings: Philly Gets a Break

8. Cowboys-Commanders: Dak Playing Out of His Mind

9. Other Notables: Packers-Cardinals, Raiders-Chiefs, Panthers-Jets

10. Shame, Shame, Shame & Hero of the Week

11. Early Leans for Next Week

12. Fan Listener Q&A & “Ban List”

Notable Quotes & Moments

Timestamps of Key Segments

Flow & Tone

Summary for Non-Listeners