← The Herd with Colin Cowherd
The Herd with Colin Cowherd
Sharp or Square - Sharp NFL Wild Card Weekend Bets: Rams-Panthers, Packers-Bears, Bills-Jaguars, Niners-Eagles, Chargers-Patriots, Texans-Steelers
00:56:15
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This is Sophie Cunningham and West Wilson.
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From Show Me Something.
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Lenovo.
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B
Welcome to Sharper Square presented by Hard Rock that we are part of the Volume Podcast network. This is the show that makes the squares sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Millman. I'm joined as always by my co host, my bff, my companion, my compadre professional better Simon Hunter. Hello Simon.
- [02:26]
A
Chad. We were at the beginning of, I guess you could say the best football week of the year. And it starts tonight with college football. Obviously it's not your team. You're tomorrow night. But how you feeling buddy? 24:36 hours out. What Are we at.
- [02:38]
B
Dude, it's. It's probably the greatest 24 hours of football opportunity in my life. I will fly to Atlanta immediately after the show for the college Football playoff semifinal between Oregon and America's sweethearts, the Indiana Hoosiers. I will tell you, there have been a lot of talk about ratings, and ratings have been great for the college football playoffs. I think Indiana has truly become America's team. Like, people are so captured by the story, the turnaround by Signetti. Matt Mitchell, a regular better of Indiana football and a day one super fan of coach Kurt Signetti. Best of luck to all the Hoosiers, which is everybody right now.
- [03:32]
A
Nothing gets people excited like winning. It's pretty simple.
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D
I win.
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B
Google me now.
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D
It may piss a few people off, but so what? This is the entertainment business.
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A
We had to wake some people up and create some excitement. Whatever you knew about Indiana in the.
- [03:48]
D
Past, you got to raise the table.
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E
Now you're messing with a son of a bitch. Now you're messing with a son of.
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B
Matt Mitchell has been texting us constantly in the middle of these Indiana games of like the live bets he's making. I'm going to be in Atlanta. I can't freaking wait. I'm going with my buddy Matt. This is a guy who, we went to college together. We grew up together. I went to every Bears game growing up with him. Like, this is my sports compadre. He is the Simon Hunter of the rest of my life. You know, going to these games and sharing these experiences. Simon, will the wise guys be with us this upcoming Friday night?
- [04:39]
A
I think so right now, buddy. It is. They're. They're very heavy on Oregon. You know the deal. It's hard to beat a team twice in college football. It's just the way it is, right? These, these teams, they adjust and you know, the Indiana Hoosiers, this run you're on, it's with a bunch of one, two, three star players. I know a lot of them are older, right? You have a lot of like 25, 25 year olds. And that's been the, the cheat code. You guys are just so smart. And Signetti just out coaches his opponents. But as we sit here right now, I have talked to some pros who they're basically just playing possum. They're lying and waiting, hoping the three would pop. And I've seen a couple groups already move on the Indiana -3 and a half. So now it's going up back to four. So like I said, for five days is all Oregon from the Pros, they were just telling me like you got to be on Oregon here. I don't want to be on Oregon. I've always wanted to back you be with Indiana. I've just been winning on them. It's been fun to bet them. They just, like I said, they just feel so well coached and yeah, it'll be interesting what, what happens tomorrow with the lineman. But if you see it keep going up, that is professional money coming in here. They like I said, they were hoping to get the three. I don't think it's ever going to get there. I think this is too talented of a team. The public is just too heavy on Indiana as well. So interesting. If it gets to four and a half at any point, maybe then I would take Oregon. But my three and a half. I'm happy taking the Hoosiers here.
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D
Relentless tenacity.
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A
Nobody flinched. Yeah, I'm sure you're happy to know I've, I've talked to a bunch of people in the NFL and I mean people have been talking about it now for a couple days. Apparently Signetti is like, I don't even care about the NFL. I am a college guy. This is where I want to be. I have zero interest. And then I saw Saban yesterday. I might have been on McAfee show who I've always anything that man says I take very, very serious. He just knows these guys. And he said honestly, he's not smoking Signetti about going the NFL. But he said the jump if you've never been there, it's too extreme. Like he'd already been saving said he already been the NFL for six years. That's why he didn't mind coming into the league signal he's never been in the NFL. He's a college guy through and through. So I'd be very happy if I'm Indiana Hoosier fan. It just sounds like this guy loves it there and he's not going to leave where I in the back of my mind I was like, I would be shocked if he stays. He's just too talented. But it looks like you guys might have struck gold. Chad, one of the best coaches in college football is going to stay now a big time school like you said, big time ratings for a big time school here for the Hoosiers. So I guess this is the world we're living in now. It's just bizarre. I can't believe it.
- [07:04]
B
I was never worried about Signetti leaving Indiana once he signed the deal to stay and didn't really get tempted by Penn State. In my head, he's 60 something years old. I feel like we got eight more years of Signetti dominance. What's so fascinating to me about this team is that he has been able to keep his assistance, offensive coordinator and defensive coordinator together going back to his days coaching at James Madison and before that, like these guys have been with him for a while. The fact that they stick around is fascinating to me. It also speaks so much about who Signetti is as a coach, the kind of program he runs, the kind of lifestyle he wants his coaches to lead, why people buy into what he's selling. And I've bought in. I'm all in. I love this team, I love this school. I can't wait to get there. Go iu.
- [08:03]
A
You signed a new eight year deal. Congratulations on that. You know, some people say, well you're gonna be a hot commodity and blah blah, blah. The fact of the matter is we're the emerging superpower in college football. Why would I leave? What's your confident level though? Would you be like you have 80% belief you're going to win in win this game?
- [08:22]
B
My confident level is more irrational than Matt Mitchell and the Buffalo Bills this week. And you know how he is feeling. I, I was lacking a ton of confidence before the playoffs began because I really thought we wanted that Ohio State game so badly and winning it would be sort of the, the, the apex of what we were thinking about. But then I watched Signetti and like it's just not how he thinks. Nothing is going to be good enough. He has decided to will Indiana into a place of prominence and relevance and he knows that's not going to happen unless they win a national title. And the blood of Alabama is amazing. But it also said to me, and we've seen this with college football teams in the past when they get rolling, it's not like the NFL where it's a little bit more week to week. Like these teams get rolling and, and they are so freaking good. They are so physical, they are so fast, they are so technically sound. They're so well coached. It's just a joy to watch them. Like they don't give up a yard. You saw that multiple times. So, you know, I think Oregon's got.
- [09:24]
A
Some, got some guys. You guys don't have these five star players. It's, it's bizarre world but it's amazing. I just will say on the other game because I know people, we gone this long while talking college football. I do know pros who have come in on Ole Miss, but I Would tell you more pros have lined up on Miami, but from my point of view, I. I hate Lane Kiffin. He's everything I hate about football. These guys with these egos treating people like trash just for their own benefit there. He's everything that's wrong with society. Honestly, I know it's a bit much for Lane Kiffin, but he's been a piece of ever since he's been in my life. Like the Tennessee stuff from back in the day. Never liked him. Think he's super fake. People buy into it, especially the media. I am dying. I love you, Chad. I hope Indiana wins and all your dreams are fulfilled. I'm dying for Ole Miss to win it all and just shove it down that man's face. I just. He's disgusting. Like, him leaving, being like, I need to go to LSU to win it all. Please, Ole Miss. I know it's not looking good because like I said, the pros are on Miami. But please, Ole Miss, fulfill your destiny. At least make it to the finals and play Indiana.
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B
I will tell you, I just don't think the name brand schools mean much anymore when it comes to college football. You're seeing it every day. Like, you get the right coach and enough money and anyone will go, right.
- [10:38]
A
Coach or Mark Cuban. You're good.
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B
Yeah, it's totally true. All right, let's get to some NFL because we got a lot of. A lot of conversations to have. We talked a lot about totals the other day and you were all over the unders. And so our friends at Killer Sports, they emailed me and they sent some stats to support a lot of what we discussed. All wild card games since 2001 have gone under the total 59 of the time. If it's the first meeting of the season between the two teams, the under improves to 76%. So that's Jackson, Buffalo, Jacksonville, Buffalo, Philadelphia, San Francisco, New England, the Chargers, Pittsburgh, Houston. We're going to dig into the unders for the totals for all of those games. This is our Thursday wild card episode. We will narrow down the options for our final five picks for the contest that is still ongoing. Reminder, subscribe to Sharper Square, YouTube, Apple Pods, Spotify, Simon. We did a show on Tuesday, which means over the last 48 hours, you have been getting an earful from your friends in the professional betting community. They got feedback. We want to share it. It's time for shortcuts.
- [11:53]
A
I have to answer this phone.
- [11:55]
E
All right.
- [11:58]
A
Rain, rain telephone ring Somebody said baby, what you doing? Yeah, I guess it'll Be a rapid fire version because like you said, we're about to really dive into these games here. So I don't want to give too much away. Yeah. The broad strokes, what the pros are at or I guess I could. I should start with the games are split Jags. Bill's very split between the pros. I know grow groups on both sides. I would honestly be shocked to see that number move either way if that number touches two on either side. I think you see just a, A lot of money come from professional groups where there it's the Jags plus two and a half or if somehow it flipped. The bill is getting up to one and a half or plus two and a half. Shockingly Patriots, Chargers, tons of back and forth between professionals. A very split game as well where I thought it was just gonna be all Chargers. But I know some guys who really love this pictures team. Obviously they've made a lot of money off them betting this year and they do think Drake May is him and this is a great matchup for him. And the defense of the Patriots. Right. We've talked. That's not. They're not the greatest defense, but they're going against the worst offensive line in all football. So that's a, that's a fun game to dive into games I think I, you know, basically nailed with where the pros are going to be at. Where the Eagles, Pittsburgh and you know, I hate to say it, Chad, Green Bay. I always. I thought Green.
- [13:12]
B
I've been seeing it. I've been seeing it all week. We're gonna dig in on that.
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A
And again, I don't want to give up too much. We're about to dive into it. But shockingly, there is some respected money coming on that Panther side because there's a lot of trends and other stuff that favor them. But I've become even more bullish with you on this. Ramps themselves. Oh, good.
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B
Because I was worried about that.
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A
Yeah, let's. Let's get to it.
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B
All right, so look, the first game, don't forget, don't forget where that. This week, this week we are doing our normal. We are doing a Saturday morning show. Saturday morning we're going to preview all the games for the weekend and then we will do a Monday review show instead of our normal Sunday review show. We will recap how we've done and preview anything remaining for the Texans and the Steelers. Next week, same thing, Saturday morning show. Then we'll do a Sunday night show after all the games wrap. So a little bit of an adjusted schedule. We'll keep reminding people. All right, get the show Sharper Square. YouTube subscribe like the video. Here we go. Los Angeles Rams at the Carolina Panthers. The line is ticked up a little bit to ten and a half. The total is 46 and a half. It's the same as it was the other day. Contest includes totals for all the games. I was really worried because the other day I listened back to the show to listen to all the fantastic ear candy that Matt Mitchell put in special for the wild card and it was awesome. I encourage everyone to listen to the audio versions just because they're great.
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A
Let's go.
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B
Matt, you were not enthusiastic about my chat's choice on the Rams and so tell me how you've come around.
- [15:12]
A
I've come around that I bet it but I was just, I just thought there's other games I was hoping you would love more just because I am a little lukewarm on this one and I just knew this would be a ton of stuff going against and it's like all right, I gotta wait for our guy. Evan Abrams put out his article so I can start seeing what these are because I couldn't find too many numbers going against the Rams or this, this Panthers team. And you know Evan's the best. He's gonna deep dive on stuff and he had one that jumped out right away. Since the 1970 merger, teams that closes a four point favorite or more on the road in the playoffs are one and eight against the spread. Losing their last eight games against the spread. The last cover came in 1971 by John.
- [15:52]
B
I don't like that.
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A
I know. And that's what I'm like. I saw that type of stat and then my right away though in my mind Chad was the books know that as well. Like they didn't need to hang this at minus 10, minus 10 and a half. They easily could have made this seven seven and a half because these teams have already played. The Panthers literally beat this Rams team. They're always going to get Panther money. I'm just shocked they hung at this high like we said they they didn't zero adjustment off their model. That really kind of showed me that feels like they know Devonte Adams is going to be back for this matchup.
- [16:24]
B
Well, he did practice.
- [16:25]
A
Yes. And that's participation like I talked about. The guy literally led the league in touchdowns with 14. He hasn't played since November. That's how incredible pace he was on. He probably would have finished with 17 or 18 touchdowns if he had played the full season. He just A huge weapon for that offense. And, you know, all these trends, it just keeps backing up Carolina, right? This huge home dog. And it keeps reminding me of this Rams team. This is such a unique spot. They're like, they. They should not be the fifth seed. They should be the one seed. Like all the things they had to break against them, all those stupid games. They blew the Eagles, the Seahawks, this Panthers team, they should have won this game. They're just.
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B
The Niners.
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A
Yeah, the Niners. They're not like other fifth seeds. I mean, they lost the Mac Jones. I mean, that was crazy.
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B
Mac Jones be like 15 and 2.
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E
Yeah.
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A
So that's what, like, I. Again, Evan killed me. Evan had all these trends. It's like Panthers, Panthers faces. And I was like, you know what? I'm not going to do it. I'm going to stay with Chad. Take this Rams team here. They're the better team. I know there's a little bit of weather coming in here as well. If people want the honest truth. I know pros who are just hammering this under. Like I've talked about these, these outdoor unders. It's. You're asking a lot of Bryce Young in his first playoff game to match the pace that Stafford's gonna set. Even if Stafford comes out slow, which he has these last couple weeks. But like I said, I think it's a devonte Adams thing. It's just. It's just been different without him once he gets into a role. So, yeah, it's. It's crazy. We're taking the truck is better the week, Chad. But I. I'm with you. It's minus 10 at Hard Rock. That's two good of a number to pass on.
- [18:03]
B
Evan has his trends. There's always a counter trend, right? So killer sports. The killer sports teams playing their first playoff game after winning no more than six games the season before. 21 and 38 against the spread. Carolina, Chicago, Jacksonville, New England, San Francisco. We like. We like the other side in every one of those games. This is the only one we're waffling playoff teams that lost to an opponent in their most recent meeting that occurred in week nine or beyond. You talked about this the other day. 61, 39 against the spread, Green Bay and the Rams. So I still like it. Here's what's interesting for the contest. We could easily go 5 unders if we want. Do you know what I mean? So if we decide, all right, like, at the end of the day, we just like the unders better than we like the sides. We can Totally do that. But I am not waffling on this game. I feel, I feel ebullient.
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A
Weather doesn't make you a little nervous dome team outside in the weather?
- [19:06]
B
No. The Rams are a really good running team.
- [19:09]
A
It's true. Now I'm with you on it. It's just, it's not one of my five biggest bets, obviously, including totals. But yeah, I've come around the sense that I, I, I was just like, this number is so big. Shouldn't we just blindly take the Panthers and I've come around to your side of no, this is a really, really legit Rams team that's playing against a competition that's they're far superior of the the Panthers. Everything broke right for them to even make it with a losing record in that terrible division. And I hope I'm not eating these words come Saturday night.
- [19:39]
B
Well, I hope so, too. On Thursday, this game, the Green Bay packers at the Chicago.
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A
Baby, don't you want to go.
- [19:57]
D
Cry.
- [20:00]
A
Baby, don't you want to go.
- [20:05]
E
Back.
- [20:05]
B
To that same old place Sweet home On Thursday, the Bears were the favorite. Yeah, the packers are now the favorite. And it's settled with the packers, like at one one and a half in most places. You noted this is a wise guy play. I think we all expected it to be a wise guy play. The total is ticked down about half a point from 46 to 45 and a half. The same trend I just talked about with the Panthers being a playoff team that hadn't won more than six games the year before, 2138. Same trend I talked about with the Rams, a playoff team that most recently lost to the team they're playing week nine or later, 6139 against the spread, everything trending in the packers direction, along with the fact The Bears were 1 and 1 against the packers this year and needed miraculous comebacks the final stages of both games just to get to that.
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C
Yeah.
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A
And you could also say, you know, Jordan Love hasn't played in a couple weeks. Could be Rusty Caleb, as bad as he's looked in certain games, he always eventually finds it. And that's been the most important, important part about him. He's as bad as he's been in certain games. He doesn't turn the ball over. Your defense gets the turnovers. Like there is the magic is there for the Bears. But I don't know how many other times in our life we'll see a two seed as a home dog. Yeah, it's the the line's telling you something. When they're when they're moving this much and it's still money and the tickets pouring on the Bears, it's not good. And I, I know Chad feels that right now like this is not where you want to be with your team in the playoffs and you have home field advantage. And like you said, the, the packers have outplayed them like that. That game they stole what a take an onside kick. I mean it was the most insane maracas comeback. And that's another thing I'll say though with the Bears like as much as the packers have owned them, the packers have not. I mean the Bears have not played their best game at all either matchups against this packers team. They just have not. And you know, you could say, well they've struggled in their division all year. That is true. Right. They struggle with the Lions. They weren't dominant against the Vikings or the Bears. As great as they've been this year, they've been much better outside their division. It's just a horrible, horrible first matchup for them and it sounds stupid. Leflore shockingly is the oldest coach at 46 in the playoffs. In the NFC experience. He's been in the playoffs. Right. This is Ben Johnson's first go in the playoffs and that just cracked on. When someone said that to me, I had to look it up. I was like there's no way he's the oldest coach of 46. He is. Just because the AFC people know it's like, you know, bunch of, you know, Sean Payton's probably 60 something. You just have a lot more mature coach of the AFC with NFC it's all these young pups and LaFleur now is a seasoned vet even though he's not really done much in the playoffs. At least he's won a couple games with Jordan Love. So I know Chad, it's painful but you've read it like there's a bunch of trends that favor this, this Packer side and that one I always give up the top. It's, it's you know, first time starter Caleb Williams in the playoffs. You know, it's a lot of historical data. We can go back a long time. 20 and 40 straight up a quarterback in this exact position that Caleb Williams in. So you know, I, I wanted to get there in the Bears but the more I talked to the pros, I saw where they were going with it. I did grab some more Green Bay plus one and a half. I'd still grab it now minus one and a half. As long as it doesn't go above Two. I think you're getting a good number on Green Bay and I'm sorry, Chad, I, I know this is probably just back to my. You could be like this guy who cares anyway. But I hate it that it's broken this way because I, I did have a glimmer of hope where maybe Jordan Love doesn't play is Malik and or even if Malik was banged up, they'd have to go with the other backup and it's like, oh my God, this is going to be perfect for the Bears. It's going the other way. The. The Green Bay apparently has gotten much healthier. Josh Jacobs off the injury report. On the flip side, the Bears had a ton. A ton of guys didn't practice because they just went through an absolute battle with the lines three days before. So it. It's the NFL. I don't want to say they screwed you guys, but putting this game on a Saturday, it's not great. It is not great for the Bears.
- [24:20]
B
It's.
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A
It's tough.
- [24:23]
B
I don't know if we can put this in a contest.
- [24:27]
A
Yeah, I get it. I mean it's your team. I get it. Like I can't know where. We both love the under so we could easily.
- [24:32]
B
I love the other one.
- [24:33]
A
Yeah, I loved under as well. I think either Jordan Love or Caleb totally doesn't know show. That's. That's my prediction for this one of these quarterbacks because Jordan Love that's some real him not playing weeks. He's in zero rhythm. You know it's. I believe Watson is going to play but that, that is a big deal for a guy like him coming in totally no rhythm where Caleb, like I said, he's been inconsistent but you watch that fourth quarter against the Lions when he gets going. Caleb looks like a top 10 quarterback. Just no one better than him. I mean him and Loveland, all of it. The connection. It's been crazy but like I said, you guys have a ton of guys now in the injury report and just feels like the Bears are getting healthy at the exact right time after that bye week.
- [25:16]
F
In the heat of battle, your squad relies on you. Don't let them down. Unlock elite gaming tech@lenovo.com Dominate every match with next level speed, seamless streaming and performance that won't quit. Push your gameplay beyond performance with Intel Core Ultra processors for the next next era of gaming. Upgrade to smooth high quality streaming with Intel Wi Fi 6e and maximize game performance with enhanced overclocking. Win the tech search power up@lenovo.com Lenovo.
- [25:42]
A
Lenovo.
- [25:46]
E
This is Sophie Cunningham and Wes Wilson.
- [25:49]
C
From Show Me Something.
- [25:50]
E
When the weather gets cold, I immediately turn into holiday mode. Sophie I want comfort food, cozy blankets and literally anything warm.
- [25:57]
C
Same and nothing. Nothing warms you up faster than opening a classic Arby's roast beef.
- [26:03]
E
It's like edible comfort, slow roasted, tender, juicy. It's basically a heated blanket you can eat.
- [26:09]
C
It's like soul therapy. And if you're feeling a little extra like we usually are, go for the double Arby's double roast beef. You guessed it, stacked tall with double the meat.
- [26:18]
E
Or go full chaos like me and grab the double beef and cheddar warm beef, cheddar cheese sauce dripping red ranch onions, and again, double the meat.
- [26:27]
C
Holiday season is stressful. Treat yourself to something great. You know what you want. Get an Arby's double roast beef or a double beef and cheddar in store or delivered today.
- [26:36]
E
Dude, double roast beef, double beef and cheddar. Twice the meat, twice the happiness available for a limited time at participating locations while supplies last.
- [26:46]
D
Bam.
- [26:47]
E
Shop the Sherwin Williams Winter Sale and get 30% off paints and stains. January 9th through the 19th. Whether you're refreshing your interior or exterior, we've got the color colors to bring your vision to life. And with delivery, getting everything to your.
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Door is easier than ever.
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G
A new year doesn't mean erasing who you were. It means honoring what you've survived and choosing how you want to grow. It means giving ourselves permission to feel what we've been holding and knowing that it's okay to ask for help. I'm Mike De la Rocha, host of Sacred Lessons. This podcast is a space for men to talk openly about mental health, grief, relationships, and the patterns we inherit but don't have to repeat. Here. We slow down. We listen. We learn how vulnerable vulnerability becomes strength and how healing happens in community, not in isolation. If you're ready to let go of what no longer serves you and step into the year with clarity, compassion and purpose, Sacred Lessons is your companion on your healing journey. Listen to Sacred lessons with Mike Delaroche on America's number one podcast network, iHeart. Follow Sacred Lessons with Mike Delarocha and start listening on the first free iHeartRadio app today.
- [28:18]
B
Sunday games Buffalo at Jacksonville. Jacksonville's a one point underdog. Total is 52, up about half a point.
- [28:25]
A
To get back in the game The Bills need every bounce of the ball to go their way. You got to believe if you're a Bills fan, don't go away and fasten your seat belt.
- [28:35]
B
The line is moving a little bit in the Jacks direction you indicated. Like it's, it's a little bit less like it's a little bit more like what the Bears was early in the week, waffling back and forth. The under is ticked down a bit. Not surprising given the wild card trends. Matt Mitchell. I've never seen Matt Mitchell this confident about a Bills game. He's usually pretty doom and gloom. There's occasions where he's like, yeah, I never worried about the Bills in this game. But this is a different kind of confidence. And he texted us yesterday from Handle on X called SDQL Guru.
- [29:15]
A
Sounds legit.
- [29:15]
B
Yeah. The note of the jags are 0 and 19 straight up. When the total is higher than 49.
- [29:23]
A
I get it. Why you would send that. I would send that too. It's a good stat.
- [29:25]
B
Total is 52. I think we both feel like our heart, our, our, our heart is saying Bills, but our head is telling us Jacks. And I don't know that we've gotten any insight directionally from professionals in the past 48 hours except maybe a little bit. A little bit of support for the Jacks.
- [29:51]
A
A little bit. But it is very split. This is another game they're not. I don't know anyone any pro wise that's super dug in on either side where, you know, you look at the weaknesses of both teams. But the Bills, like I've said, they have far more Defensively, my favorite thing this week has been. I don't know if it was Bills fans or maybe someone on some show I was listening to, but they basically were like, well, you would be surprised. The Bills actually have one of the best pass defenses in all football. It goes, yeah, buddy. It's because you have the 30th ranked run defense. Teams just run it. And all of a sudden Josh Allen mix performs miracles second half and brings the team back. So that's why the quarterback of the team's never throwing. So that's kind of a lame duck kind of stat. And you know, Bills might be without their best corner, who is a rookie. I think he's in a walking boot. He might miss this game.
- [30:33]
B
He'd been hurt a lot this year. Fast guy, but hurt a lot.
- [30:36]
A
Yeah, they just have had a ton of injuries. That defense has just been so banged up and Yeah, I just, I wanted to, I want to be on the Bills because obviously I want my guy Matt to win. I want Josh Allen to have his moment. Like this feels like it's it, but it just feels like organizational. They failed him again. He doesn't have a number one receiver, you know, does not have a good defense. The Jags have all of that and then some. They have two really good receivers and their defense is top 10 against the run, top 10 against the pass. I don't think they're going up a 90 yard rusher. And you know, this season the Bills though have it right. They have the number one rushing team. They have the best offensive line. That's why like I, I'm more confident betting the over and you know, it's, it's come down. I think it got up to 52 and a half. It's another game that might have rain, so it's dropped back down to 51 and a half. I just, I just can't get over how good this Jags team has been this year and they've been really good against bad defenses. Like that stat he sent us is a good stat. It doesn't ring true with Liam Cohen. Lian Cohen is the ultimate game changer. He's better. I can already say after a year seeing what he did with Trevor Lawrence and this team, he is better than any offensive mind that's ever come through Jacksonville. Even including Doug Peterson, who I think is a great super bowl winning coach. The same Liam runs are so much better. He's just so ahead of it. And the confidence you've seen with Trevor has grown every week. So, you know, I'll give out some more stats from Evan that were just really eye popping to me. I already talked about how you want to bet the dogs in the wild card round. These stats are just incredible. Just I, I love these type of things. So since 2017, the underdog 1638 against the spread, so 61%. You know, in the wild card round it's even better. They're 27 to 15, so 64% since 2017. So you just blindly bet the dog in this round. It's going to work out for you. That's why I was so pissed the Green Bay line flipped because it's like, man, that's going to be a good line. It already matched up the trends. The Jags line here is holding. They're staying as a home dog here and I really like that for us. And I also think to myself, okay, if we're getting the Jags as a dog, if, if I'm not super confident about it. People out there. I'm still going to be taking them at +1. You can easily put the six point teaser, take it up to seven and a half if you want, throw it in with something else. Right. I just talked about Green Bay, some books, they're still plus one half. You can take them back up to seven half as well. Like you don't have to bet the line here. Prefer for people like me that like betting straight numbers and doing pick contests. I, I, if I have to get, if I had to make a pick and it's plus one and a half on the Jags, I'm taking that every time. If the Bills were plus one and a half, I honestly would go Bills. That's how close I have. I literally have it at a pick. But to me this feels like whoever wins this game wins by one point, maybe a late field goal, maybe by two pointer and they win by one. Like something bizarre at the end. It just feels so evenly matched offensively between these two teams where like confidence for me, at the end of day it's going to come down to the Jags defense. I see the Jags defense be able to get stops. I have a hard time seeing the Bills consistently getting stopped. So yeah, it's, it's a great game. It really is. And Josh Allen, he has the ball last. If I'm Matt Mitchell, I would smile and be like, this is what everything I knew was going to happen. I got the ball last with the best quarterback in this game. He should go down and get the field goal and win it. But you don't have a kicker. The, the kicker right now heavily favors the Jags. This guy hits bombs.
- [33:58]
B
Yeah, yeah.
- [33:59]
A
In the rain. So again, it's all the, everything we like about the Bills is simply that O line and Josh Allen, the rest of it is heavily favored to this Jags team. So I'm not gonna get sucked in, Chad. I'm gonna, I'm gonna draw, draw a line here. I'm gonna take the Jags. I'll take them to the point where the line flips. So if you can still, still get the plus one and a half, that to me is the position. If not, just, just take the over. The over here is gonna be the fun play.
- [34:24]
B
Well, look, you just gave those stats about taking dogs in the wild card and up until this game we're leaning Rams as massive favorites, packers as short favorites. So we're trying to thread a needle here because they don't the wild card. The, the, the Dogs don't cover every game, they just cover a lot of them. So we're playing with fire a little bit on this. I'm going to give you one more stat. Matt Mitchell has said in the script, his head, his heart, all of his organs are saying the Buffalo Bills. And for those who don't know when the Buffalo Bills win playoff games, Matt Mitchell buys cartons of Ben and Jerry's for his entire neighborhood. He goes to the grocery store, buys Ben and Jerry's and just delivers it to his neighbors. So the entire suburbs of Milwaukee are rooting for the Buffalo Bills right now.
- [35:24]
A
My favorite stat I saw from the Packers Bears matchup the last time. The last time the Bears had beat Green Bay in the playoffs. Pearl Harbor. Pearl harbor either just happened or hadn't happened yet. That was the last time the Bears had beat Green Bay in the playoffs. I just love that history.
- [35:42]
B
No, because they beat him in 2010. Who? The Bears beat the packers in the playoffs.
- [35:48]
A
No they didn't. 2010 packers beat the Bears 21 to 14.
- [35:52]
B
They did.
- [35:53]
A
Yeah. Jay colors ass. I know Bears fans hate hearing that. Jay Cutler big ass. Big, big ass.
- [35:59]
B
Yeah. I never liked Jay Cutler betting against teams who have won eight plus straight games in general. Meaning just better get fade. The team that's on the streak 59% regular season or playoffs goes up to 68.
- [36:15]
A
The fading Jag stat that Chad's giving out here.
- [36:17]
B
Yeah, fading the Jacks. Fading the Jacks. I still don't know if the Jags make it into the final five because. Because the totals are available and the totals are just so.
- [36:25]
A
I'm happy with that one. I much rather do Green Bay over that one. I tell you that much.
- [36:30]
B
San Francisco and Philadelphia. Philadelphia's a four and a half point favorite. Still totals 44 and a half. Welcome to Philly. Lane Johnson. That was the tipping point for both of us. Was limited in practice on Wednesday, but Adam Schefter said he is expected to play the line in some places. Did tick up to fives. I'm still with you on the Eagles. I do think he is like Trent Williams for the Niners. This team is just so different when he is in there. From a run blocking perspective and a pass blocking perspective, his replacement just isn't as good. So slight movement down on the total 45 to 44 and a half. Again, same stat I've given you before. This is another one of those games where the team that lost six or more or that only won six games or less the previous season in the playoffs 21:38 against the spread. The Niners apply here. I like them both. I like the side and I like the total. Love the total.
- [37:31]
A
This was my favorite total. Unfortunately, it has come down. I did open 46 and a half and now it's been hit down to 44 and a half. But I just don't know how the 49ers are going to move the ball, especially the fact that Trent Williams has not practiced yet again. Ricky did not practice yet again. So, you know, already, thin red wide receiver. We know how important Trenton is for them at the tackle position. And it's just. It's just a. It's just bad. It's all bad for the 49ers and that they needed that one seed. They needed that bye week. And, you know, they just unfortunately ran into an absolute juggernaut of the Seahawks and the defense, but they really were just unlucky. I mean, you think about that pick, Purdy McCaffrey, that never. McCaffrey never drops those type of balls, let alone does it fall snugly right into this guy's one arm as he's falling out of bounds for the Seahawks. It just. Everything went right for them. So you expect. Well, the 49ers should bounce back, right? I know there's a bunch of stats, too, about teams that score three points the week before. Like, I think it's them Green Bay scored three points and might have been the Chargers. It's basically, if you just blindly bet those teams, it's like a 58 success rate the next game. These are all a little weird because the Chargers sack guys and so did the Green Bay. So I don't really know how much to take from that. It's not like they played bad games. There's a bad taste in their mouth. They simply sack guys. You could say the 49ers. That's not the same. Right? There is a bad taste in their mouth. They are going to be heavily motivated. But I gave you all those stats. They're walking into an absolute bear den here with this. This Eagles team. The Eagles are just an Eagle's nest.
- [38:58]
B
They're walking into an Eagle's nest. They're trying to steal the little eagle baby eggs from the Eagles. And you can't do that with the symbol of America.
- [39:09]
A
It's true.
- [39:10]
B
And America will fight back.
- [39:14]
A
And yeah, it's. It just hurts at home. I've talked about it. 5, 0, straight up, 4 and 1 against the sports right at home. And, you know, in his career, including the regular season, 31 and 5 straight up at home. He's just dominant at home. Hurts. So, you know, I look at this and it's. It's a big number. I get why the public have come in on this Niners team, but the professionals are telling you, right, they keep hitting this number up. I mean, a couple fives popped yesterday. When it came out that Trent wasn't practicing, they came back down. I think if he is. No go. This could keep creeping up. It could close five and a half, six. So if you do like the Niners, I think you can't be patient. I just don't see this coming down. As the Eagles continue to get healthier and the Niners now have two guys they brought in off the street to play linebacker and starting this game like just a nightmare night. And we're scenario if. If Lane is back and they find the run game with Saquon hurts, might only need to throw the ball 10 times. Like, this is the type of game where, I mean, the Seahawks ran for what, 190 the week before? Yeah. This is the type of game where they could do the same exact thing, just run the ball down this. See how the. The 49ers, like I said, they're. They're just banged up. They've lost all these guys from their defense, and it's. It's a lot to overcome. Right. They beat up on these bad teams down the stretch here. They ran into a legit defense. The offense really puttered, and I know they've been keeping it quiet, but McCaffrey didn't look right either. He looked like a guy that. Looks like a guy who have over 400 touches in the season has just been banged up. So I. I know I gave out that step by taking the dogs and this is another favorite here, but it's a favor that's worth it. And obviously they deserve to be the biggest home favorite this week. They're by far the best team with the matchup they got presented to them.
- [40:50]
B
Look, there's so many fucking trends. We're going to end up fading one trend or another here. We're going to step in it with something. Sometimes, Simon, you have to know enough to go against the trend. You don't win big money by just going with the trends all the time. Sometimes you got to get creative. That's what we're doing today.
- [41:12]
A
Not true. I know millionaires who simply bet trends. People do not listen to Chad without a voice. If you dug in and you only bet the dogs wild card, we can do your thing. Don't listen to me. But I just want to put that caveat I, I simply said at the top, you blindly bet the dogs here and we are giving out three favorites at this point. So that's, that's where I'm coming from.
- [41:29]
B
I know billionaires who fade the trends, but we're not going to fade the trend. On this last game on Sunday, Los Angeles Chargers at the New England Patriots. They are three and a half point underdogs. Simon, this is going to be our brass balls bet of the week, presented by Hard Rock Bet.
- [41:50]
A
You know what it takes?
- [41:51]
G
It takes brass balls.
- [41:55]
B
Total is 46 and a half. Zero movement on the line. The total is ticked up a little bit. Half a point. What's interesting is more than 60% of the bets coming in on New England and the line really hasn't budged up to four. Which tells you even though you said there's some wise guys coming into New England here, majority of money coming in on the Chargers and bookmakers not wanting to flip that to four because they know that everybody who has big dollars in their pockets is going to come in and, and take the Chargers in this spot.
- [42:33]
A
Yeah. And it's such, it's such a weird thing where, you know, we don't trust Herbert in the playoffs. He's obviously over two and he struggled mightily and been horrible in the playoffs. But I said it's the W know then better than when you don't know. And with, with Drake May, I don't know how he's gonna react to the, to the playoffs where Herbert, as much as I don't want to say it wasn't his fault that Houston game. Yes, he, he played bad. You go back, two of those picks were off his receiver's hands like that just. That should never count. Right. Those ones, we hate those type of picks where it's like you put it right in the guy's face or right in the bread basket. He, you know, tips are right up there. The defender, that happened to him twice the other game. We know, notoriously, me and Chad were on the Jaguars. That wasn't him. His team blew whatever that was a 30 point, 20 point lead at half.
- [43:19]
B
Yeah.
- [43:20]
A
Because of coaching malpractice. He's been great with Harbaugh. Right. And especially. And these exact type of games where he's the underdog. I gave you that stat. This year he's 40 straight up as an underdog. This year he's been winning outright where previous years he would cover. He just would never win out right As a dog when the spread is above three again, it's been a crazy run the last 15 games. He's 13 and two against the spread when the spread is above 15, I mean above three. So you know, I get why the public and some pros are betting Drake May and this Patriots team, we've talked about it right there, such a well coached team. Drake May could be mvp, should be number two in my opinion. But best deep ball thrower in the league this year. I mean what he's done with the pieces around him. The run game is great for the Patriots. You know, Variable has these guys playing at such high level. They have not played any good defenses. Let's be brutally honest here. They have not faced any worthy defenses at all. And you know, as much crap I'm giving that Bills team, that Bills team, that second half, that defense, what they have three or four straight three and outs against this Patriots team. They gave it one big run.
- [44:23]
B
Yeah.
- [44:24]
A
Otherwise the Bills defense showed up and they showed what it's like to have a veteran team that had been there before in big games. Right. And that's why I can't wait to see how Drake Main, this Patriots team reacts because they're not this really widely veteran team. I mean they obviously had the veteran head coaching Rabel and McDaniels but the rest of the team is, is very young. And you know, with Drake maybe I just can't wait to see how he plays against his defense because he's really has been beaten up on very bad defenses. And I talked about Minter, this is one of the best defense, especially defending the deep ball. And you know, at the end of the day they have the 31st ranked run run offense offensive line and the 32nd rank pass blocking offensive line. This Chargers team. So we know what they're going to be trying to do here. And that's basically just having Herbert drop back maybe 50 times and either run the scramble. Exactly. Chad just nailed it. Like that's going to be their game plan here because that's, that's what's going to need to work. Especially I think Hampton might have been a walking boot. He might have rolled his ankle as well last week or the week before. So it's gonna fall on Herbert. I know it's asking a lot but we're getting Herbert as a three and a half point dog. We have to take that against Drake May especially like me and Chad keep talking about making his first start in the playoffs. It's just, it's never easy for these guys. Even if he does win this, I, of all the guys we've talked about, I obviously see him winning this, right? Drake May. I can see them with Variable squeaking out a three point win, but I also could see them laying a total leg and this Chargers team dominated and that Minter defense dominating. So I'm really fired up for this one. I love that you're with me on this for our brass balls. But. And I'm like you, I'm shocked it has not gone down to three. But there is, there is professional money backing this Patriot scene with the public. And if anything, like Chad said, we maybe will get lucky and this pops to four. But I think the books will just hold it steady. They got action both sides. That's what they love, right? They. They don't want to have to make a decision. They can just let this line sit. And yeah, for totals, I think me and Chad are on the same page again. For this one. It's 46 and a half. I can see your quarterback laying a total leg and this being well under that number. So I got this at 42 and a half. Four points is rare for someone like me. So I, I'm a little worried of missing something here, but I haven't gone too heavy on the under here. But I, I still, I do love this total as the under.
- [46:43]
B
We're gonna have some hard decisions to make with these totals because I know.
- [46:48]
A
We'Re gonna you but I'm waiting to see what the weather is. That's why I'm excited for our Saturday morning show. We'll know exactly what the weather would be for these games. The Bears might have some snow. This game might be snow. The Eagles game might be rain. Like, there's a lot of interesting weather.
- [47:00]
B
Carolina. I know.
- [47:02]
A
Yeah, you're right.
- [47:03]
B
Atlanta. On Saturday, when I'm flying back, it's supposed to be, you know, huge thunderstorms. So we'll see. We'll totally see. Let's take a quick break and here's some words from our friends at Hard Rock bet. Today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock bet, Florida's sportsbook and the official sportsbook partner of your favorite Florida teams like the Jags, Bucks, Heat and Magic. The NFL playoffs kick off in just a few days, and it's the perfect time to build the same game parlay on Hard Rock BET and cash in on all the action. Or if you're more into hardwood than the gridiron, you can put up shots on the NBA and college every night. On Hard Rock Bet your home for hoops action all season long. And if you missed the start of the game, don't worry. Hard Rock Bet has live in game betting, so you're never too late to bet any football or hoops game all season. If you haven't tried your first bet on Hard Rock Bet, there's still time for you to get $150 in bonus bets. If you win, just place a $5 bet and if it hits you, get not only your winnings, but an extra $150 in bonus bets. The Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook app is the only legal sportsbook in the beautiful state of Florida. Plus Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois, Colorado and Michigan. Coming soon to more states too. Plus Hard Rock Bet offers new promos every single day, so whenever you're listening, just open the app and check out what you've got. Any day of the week, download the Hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit payable in bonus bets. Not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida Offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital LLC in all other states. Must be 21 or over and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee over or Virginia to play Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida? Call 1833 playwise in Indiana. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-809 with it gambling problem. Call 1-800-GAMBLER in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee and Virginia.
- [49:20]
F
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- [49:46]
A
Lenovo.
- [49:50]
E
This is Sophie Cunningham and Wes.
- [49:52]
C
Wilson from Show Me Something.
- [49:53]
E
When the weather gets cold, I immediately turn into holiday mode. Sophie I want comfort food, cozy blankets and literally anything warm.
- [50:01]
C
Same and nothing. Nothing warms you up faster than opening a classic Arby's Roast beef.
- [50:06]
E
It's like edible comfort, slow roasted, tender, juicy. It's basically a heated blanket you can eat.
- [50:12]
C
It's like soul therapy. And if you're feeling a little extra like we usually are, go for the double Arby's Double Roast Beef. You guessed it, stacked tall with double.
- [50:21]
E
The meat or go full chaos like me and grab the double beef and cheddar, warm beef, cheddar cheese sauce, dripping red ranch onions, and again, double the meat.
- [50:31]
C
Holiday season is stressful. Treat yourself to something great. You know what you want. Get an Arby's double roast beef or a double beef and cheddar in store or delivered today.
- [50:40]
E
Dude, double roast beef, double beef and cheddar. Double. Twice the meat, twice the happiness available for a limited time at participating locations. While supplies last.
- [50:50]
D
Bam.
- [50:50]
G
A new year doesn't mean erasing who you were. It means honoring what you've survived and choosing how you want to grow. It means giving ourselves permission to feel what we've been holding and knowing that it's okay to ask for help. I'm Mike De la Rocha, host of Sacred Lessons. This podcast is is a space for men to talk openly about mental health, grief, relationships, and the patterns we inherit but don't have to repeat. Here we slow down. We listen. We learn how vulnerability becomes strength and how healing happens in community, not in isolation. If you're ready to let go of what no longer serves you and step into the year with clarity, compassion and and purpose, Sacred Lessons is your companion on your healing journey. Listen to Sacred Lessons with Mike Delaroche on America's number one podcast network, iHeart. Follow Sacred Lessons with Mike De la Rocha and start listening on the free iHeartRadio app today.
- [51:50]
E
Hi, I'm Dr. Priyanka Walley.
- [51:52]
C
And I'm Hari Kondabolu.
- [51:53]
E
It's a new year and on the podcast Health Stuff, we're resetting the way we talk about our health, which means.
- [51:59]
A
Being honest about what we know, what.
- [52:00]
C
We don't know, and how messy it can all be.
- [52:03]
A
I like to sleep in late and sleep early. Is there a chronotype for that or am I just depressed?
- [52:11]
E
We talk to experts who share real experiences and insight.
- [52:15]
C
You just really need to find where it is that you can have an impact in your own life and just start doing that.
- [52:21]
E
We break down the topics you want.
- [52:23]
B
To know more about sleep, stress, mental.
- [52:26]
C
Health, and how the world around us affects our overall.
- [52:29]
E
We talk about all the ways to keep your body and mind inside and out healthy. We human beings, all we want is connection. We just want to connect with each other.
- [52:39]
C
Health Stuff is about learning, laughing, and feeling a little less alone.
- [52:43]
E
Listen on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [52:49]
B
All right, Simon. Monday Night Football get ready.
- [52:53]
A
Are you ready?
- [52:55]
E
Football.
- [52:59]
B
Pittsburgh Steelers hosting the Houston Texans. The Steelers are three and a half point underdogs. The total is 39 and a half. On this past Monday night, Tuesday night, Tuesday night me and my wife and our younger son went to, you know, Sally's Pizza here in West Harford, Connecticut. You know famous Sally's from New Haven, they got a branch up here on West Hartford. We went to Sally's. They were replaying the Steelers Ravens game from the other night from Sunday night. The last four minutes of that game are freaking bonkers. What happened in that game between the miss extra point, the missed field goal, the multiple touchdowns, the wide open broken play, touchdowns from Zay Flowers, Aaron Rodgers, headset not working in his helmet, him going crazy like just I think they scored something like 30 points in the last four minutes. Like truly astonishing game. If you had said to me before that game that Mike Tomlin was going to still be the coach of the Steelers and John Harbaugh would not be the coach of the Ravens because this was the contrast. As we were watching the end of that game again, my son and I, all the ticker news was about John Harbaugh getting fired. It had just happened. Crazy, crazy turnaround for Mike Tomlin, our rah rah guy and we're gonna back him again this week.
- [54:27]
A
I don't know about you guys but I've been emailing the Browns for an office every day since then and you gotta get a hardball so we can keep our Tomlin horrible.
- [54:35]
B
I'm surprised you're not sending them a letter. I know how much you appreciate a handwritten letter.
- [54:39]
A
Handwritten is only for local. Yeah, but yeah, I, I, I, I can't believe I talked about it. I think two months ago that ex girlfriend on that Reddit post putting all that noise out there how the players did not like hardball and it's crazy how that was end up being true and that we're behind the scenes there was beef because he's been in our, he's been there so long. I, I honestly part of me didn't believe it where it's like how can you hate Harbo? He just seems like a good dude, a nice good guy, that's relatable. But you talk all the time. It's like Andy Reed leading the Eagles. Eventually you just get sick of hearing the same voice. Yeah, you need a change and that's what happened here. That the part will always be mind blowing to me is what did Sean Payton get traded for like a first round pick from the Saints. The Ravens couldn't figure that out. At least A second or third round pick for a coach that's going to be swept up right away. Very bizarre. And that just shows egos, emotion. Apparently Biscay went in there, they said, you're getting rid of Monkin, right? The OC and he basically said, no, I'm. I'm. If you're getting rid of him, you're getting rid of me. And the owner basically said, okay, you're gone. Again, emotions. Guys should have take a beat, trade this guy. So very, very bizarre the way the Ravens handled it. But to this game, Pittsburgh, I feel bad. People complained. I gave out a three and a half and it was gone. I wish everyone could have got it. It's just the way it is though, in the playoffs.
- [56:00]
B
But people also got to recognize that line was plus three and a half, minus 118 before we went on the air. Like there was so much interest from a professional betting community on the Steelers, even before we went on the air. We tried to emphasize it while we're on the air. You gotta act when Simon says it.
- [56:21]
A
Hit three at every book by 6pm so, so I, I get why people are upset, but it's like that's, it's going to be moving. There's just so much money and I, I wouldn't waver at all. I still like Pittsburgh up plus three that this changed. Honestly, nothing for me. Obviously we love the hook. The hook is the best, but the.
- [56:36]
B
Hook will bring you back. John Popper says.
- [56:38]
A
So it doesn't affect me at all. And Chad talk. Chad's talking about the vig. There's a couple books now up to minus 118 on Pittsburgh plus three. So this could easily dip to two and a half. So three, if you missed and you're like, why I missed, I want to wait for the three and a half. I don't know if it gets back there. I really don't. I just think the professionals will keep, keep betting this Pittsburgh line. Somebody got to be all in for everybody to be all in. I gave it all the stats. Like Houston. I know it was a small sample, but CJ Is not as good at home. He's on the road, right? We've now seen struggle two years in a row on the playoffs on the road, albeit against a Ravens team, than a Kansas City team. Really good teams, but Pittsburgh's no different. They're a well coached veteran team at home here in another game where we're expecting the elements, right? It's supposed to be below 40 degrees, a chance of snow. I know people have Been seeing that stat. I didn't really give it out because it does. I don't think it warrants the Chargers or the Rams because are they really a dome team? I feel like it's. It's a little.
- [57:36]
B
I didn't give out that stat because they don't feel like a dome team. To me. That's. It's a quasi domes team.
- [57:43]
A
Houston does like you see that there's big splits between them offensively indoors versus outdoors. That does ring true. So once again another game. Me and Chad both love the under. I think both teams have problems moving the ball offensively. But eventually to me, Rogers will get you. That's why I just have faith in Rogers. He's been there before. It's eventually he's going to get you defensively and they're going to be running the tape of these last couple of months where Houston, as great as they've been, they're very susceptible to deep ball throws. They are the safeties of multiple times, especially against that Colts team. They bid up on the run fakes and they sell out every now for the runs. And Rogers, I mean that's how he beat the, the Ravens last week. Right in that double move.
- [58:25]
B
Yeah.
- [58:25]
A
To get that final touchdown. He knew it. Right. He had the safety sucked up in the one on one and now you're adding in that DK is gonna be back here. So I do, I really do love the Steelers team and that their path for the super bowl and it all starts here. So not shocking to see the public and I think the general media. Right. Picking Houston and then and banking on them because they're a top three defense. You would expect them to play well. But Monday night, the Tomlin Voodoo at home, we all talk too much. Sharp dudes can just see it because sharp dudes don't care what you say anyway. They just watching, you know what I mean? You know I gave up that stat. Whatever. They were 241 the one loss coming during the COVID season. It's just that fans in that stadium, the renegade music going, it's just. It's the feels man. It really is pretty awesome. I. I love the fact that I thought the books would honestly open this at a pick maybe minus one and a half on Houston. They gave us that gift of three and a half and they're still giving you a gift of plus three. So I really love this number for Pittsburgh as people can tell.
- [59:24]
B
Also Houston, eight game winning streak. Time to fade him even better.
- [59:31]
A
Nine game. Even better. I gave you plus that's even worse.
- [59:35]
B
Eight plus 27, 13 against the spread fading. The team had an eight plus game winning streak in the playoffs. All right, I think we got some interesting choices to make for Saturday, especially if we're talking about the totals between the Rams and the Chargers and the Steelers and the Eagles. Like there's some really tempting sides and I am more interested in a lot of these totals. I think that they're playing to our advantage here, so we'll see. Simon, give me some of your biggest bets right now.
- [60:08]
A
Pull up those pants and be a man like Chad said. Nine game win streak. Houston, what they're on teams is a favorite in that exact spot in the playoffs. 5 and 14 against the spread. So Pittsburgh, by far my biggest bet. I love it. Not only the trends did I love it, but I also love the matchup for them. And yeah, plus three, it's gonna end up being my biggest side, right. I wish I could have got more than three and a half, but the books, they just limit early in the week like this now. So I'm hoping come Friday after these college football games, right, I'm gonna hit the books right after this. Hopefully win on Indiana with that extra money and throw it, roll it over here on this Pittsburgh team at plus three. So that's gonna be one of my bigger bets. Eagles minus four and a half. Love that one. Chargers plus three and a half. Absolutely love it for totals. You know, I'm on the Jags over, but that money doesn't compare to what I have on the under for the Eagles game, what I have on the under for this Patriots game, what I have on on the under for that Bears game. Those are my three biggest under bets so far this week. So it'll be interesting. Where we at for the contest. I wouldn't mind putting one of them in for us with one of these totals, but.
- [61:10]
B
Oh, I feel like we're going to have at least two totals in there.
- [61:13]
A
I'm about it. Yeah, I do. I do really like the totals here and this. And typical, I mean, Chad fashion. Those will be the only two games I go over. Yeah, that's just how it goes.
- [61:22]
B
Oh, no, that's a given. I'm not.
- [61:24]
A
I'm already dreading it.
- [61:25]
B
I'm not anticipating anything else other than us being on the wrong side of every trend.
- [61:30]
A
Nah, every single happen. Can't happen. It's our year.
- [61:35]
B
What is our Sharp vs. Square? Since we know, thanks to Chris Sampson at NFL BET Tracks. You dominated me in Sharp vs. Square. You can go first.
- [61:46]
A
Thanks, Chris. I. I don't. I mean I. I don't want to give out Pittsburgh again. Obviously I'll go somewhere different. We did Chargers too. I'll do. I'll. I'll be a homer. I'll go. I'll go Eagles. I'll go Philly.
- [61:57]
B
All right.
- [61:58]
A
Minus four and a half.
- [61:59]
B
Simon is taking Eagles minus four and a half. I am gonna go with the Bears packers under that's one that I can that total. It's a 45 and a half. So I'll take Bears packers under 45 and a half. Okay. I have bit into that a little bit. What should we do for our parlay? The other day I talked about a parlay. We could do the fade the first time playoff quarterback parlay which would mean we're betting the Chargers, we're betting the Rams and we're betting the Packers. But I'm open. I'm open to anything.
- [62:41]
A
Yeah. For me if I. If I'm doing the dog one I would do I. I like rear heads out where I would go Pittsburgh with the Chargers are to our Sunday night. Our Monday night game. If we're doing favorites obviously we love the Rams. You can take them down to two and a half. You don't have to do the money line if you don't want to save some on the juice throw them in with Green Bay. Put them in there with the Eagles. Right. Nice little three teamer. Eagles are I believe are minus 238. Another team where if you want to save on the juice you could do two and a half. I know Jake Elliot. People have major questions about him during the regular season. He's actually automatic in the playoffs. I think in his career he's 17 of 18 for field goals. He's been great postseason wise. Jake Elliott for the Eagles. So yeah it's. It's a funny week where it's like I. I wish I could throw more stuff in the Jags. I'm just so hesitant with it the Jags. I don't know it's. It is crazy the fear that Josh Allen puts into a man.
- [63:33]
B
Oh yeah. Patrick Mahomes.
- [63:36]
A
But yeah if for. For going my favorite two dogs. It's definitely that Pittsburgh and that Chargers line.
- [63:43]
B
All right. I know we're gonna things to focus on Sunday. Rams, Eagles, Chargers, Steelers plus some some unders. So it's gonna be fun.
- [63:55]
A
I'm so excited your travels into your favorite team. My man.
- [63:59]
B
Go Hooers go I you fight fight fight.
- [64:04]
D
Yeah it's pretty simple. I win.
- [64:08]
B
Google me that's it. That's what we got. This has been Sharper Square part of the Volume Podcast network. We will be back on Saturday morning with our final five for the contest. Watch or listen on YouTube at Sharper Square like this video. Subscribe to the channel. Download us from Spotify, Apple Pods wherever you get your pods rate, Review, Subscribe. Leave us five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift until Saturday morning. Love you.
- [64:37]
A
Fasten your seat belts. It's playoff time.
- [64:45]
D
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- [65:17]
A
You can get anything you need for game day delivered with Uber Eats. Well, almost. Almost anything. You can't get a running back, but baby back ribs. Yes, Uber Eats official on demand food.
- [65:28]
B
Delivery partner of the NFL.
- [65:30]
E
This is Sophie Cunningham and West Wilson.
- [65:33]
C
From Show Me Something.
- [65:34]
E
The second the weather drops, I'm instantly in holiday mode. Sweaters, comfort food, all of it. And nothing hits better on a cold day than unwrapping an Arby's Classic Roast Beef Facts.
- [65:45]
C
When that tender slow roast beef is warm and juicy, it's like so whole therapy. And if you're feeling a little extra like we usually are, go for the.
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E
Double Dude Double Roast Beef, Double beef and cheddar. Twice the meat, twice the happiness.
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C
You know what you want. Get an Arby's Double Roast Beef or a double beef and Cheddar. In store or delivered today.
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E
Available for a limited time at participating locations while supplies last.
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C
This is Julian Edelman from Dudes on Dudes with Gronk and Jewels. Sunday mornings I've got my game day ritual Coffee, lucky socks and now new Morning Uncrustable sandwiches.
- [66:24]
G
It's all about that 12 gram protein.
- [66:26]
A
Boost with the new Uncrustables Bright Eyed.
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G
Berry or Up and Apple flavors.
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C
Bright Eye Berries got a feisty receiver.
- [66:37]
A
Energy up an apple. Your classic Do it all tight end.
- [66:42]
C
Soft, pillowy, packed with protein and easy enough for Gronk to grab from the.
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G
Freezer whether you're on the couch, driving to the tailgate or heading to the locker room. New Morning Uncrustable Sandwiches are the MVP of snacks.
- [67:01]
C
Your new Sunday kickoff ritual starts here with new morning Uncrustable sandwiches. Packed with 12 grams of protein, this.
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B
Is an I heart podcast.
- [67:14]
A
Guaranteed human.