The Favorites - NFL Betting Recap Week 15

Summary

Podcast Summary: The Favorites - NFL Betting Recap Week 15

Release Date: December 16, 2024
Hosts: Jeff Schwartz, Chad Millman, and Simon Hunter
Presented by: bet365 and The Volume Podcast Network

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Introduction

In this episode of The Favorites - NFL Betting Recap Week 15, hosts Jeff Schwartz and Chad Millman, alongside co-host Simon Hunter, delve deep into their top five NFL betting picks for the week. They provide a comprehensive analysis of why certain bets fell short, dissect pivotal game moments, and discuss their strategies moving forward into Week 16.

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Week 15 Betting Picks Overview

Jeff Schwartz opens the discussion by reflecting on the challenges faced in Week 15. He mentions, “We avoided our worst instincts. We did not include the Panthers as short favorites or the Titans as big home dogs or even the Giants as 16 and a half point underdogs” (03:22). Despite their cautious approach, most of their selected teams self-destructed during critical game moments, with the exception of the Cleveland Browns.

Chad Millman expresses frustration over their picks, especially concerning the Browns, Steelers, and Colts. He remarks, “Why do we even involve in this game? Why do I have money on this game?” (07:22). The hosts had confidence in their initial selections but witnessed unexpected turnovers and strategic errors that compromised their bets.

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Detailed Analysis of Key Games

Cleveland Browns (+4.5)

The Browns were placed in the early window of a tough season marked by bad luck and poor decisions. Jeff notes, “The Browns are in a season of bad luck and bad calls” (03:22). Despite their efforts, turnovers plagued their gameplay, leading to missed opportunities and ultimately, a disappointing performance. Chad adds, “The Browns had a kick return. So it was just like we couldn't get anything going with that Browns offense” (07:22).

Pittsburgh Steelers (+5.5)

The Steelers were another major disappointment. Jeff critiques their defensive lapses, stating, “They had a bunch of turnovers, bunch of fumbles, bunch of interceptions. It just, it all went the Chiefs way” (07:22). Chad echoes this frustration, emphasizing the team's inability to maintain composure: “The Steelers third and nine inside the red zone... they get a touchdown” (08:50).

Indianapolis Colts (+4.5)

The Colts showed initial promise with Jonathan Taylor’s standout performances. However, pivotal mistakes derailed their chances. Jeff recounts, “Jonathan Taylor just drops the ball a foot before he crosses the goal line to put The Colts up 20 to 7” (07:22). Chad laments, “They kept cutting back to it on TV... did not get close to that cover” (10:35).

Detroit Lions (+2.5)

The Lions came close to covering their spread but ultimately fell short. Jeff describes the game’s critical moments, “The Lions give up a third and four... the Colts give up a 60-yard hunt return that leads to a Broncos touchdown” (20:14). Chad expresses disappointment over their offensive struggles: “It was just a miserable experience to watch” (07:22).

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5)

Although initially considered, the Jaguars were nearly excluded from the picks due to Jeff’s frustration with coaching decisions. Jeff criticizes the Jaguars' coach, stating, “If I made Jags better... it's dumbfounding, truly dumbfounding” (11:07). Despite the challenges, Jeff and Chad discuss the potential of the Jaguars overcoming their issues.

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Notable Game Moments and Plays

• Lions’ Onside Kick: The Lions' attempt to regain possession was a critical misstep that contributed to their downfall. Jeff highlights, “The Lions finally cut it to 10 with 12 minutes left... they go for an onside kick” (07:22).

• Chiefs’ Dominance: Kansas City's ability to capitalize on turnovers was a recurring theme. Jeff notes, “They had got a bunch of fumbles, bunch of interceptions” (08:50), while Chad adds, “They only had 10 or 11 turnovers... really ugly, sloppy game” (07:22).

• Colts’ Jonathan Taylor Play: A decisive moment where Taylor's fumble shifted the game's momentum. Jeff comments, “Jonathan Taylor... drops the ball a foot before he crosses the goal line” (07:22), and Chad reinforces the impact, “It was that Jonathan Taylor walk-in touchdown untouched” (20:35).

• Jets’ Coaching Decisions: Jeff expresses strong disapproval of the Jaguars' coaching choices, particularly the decision to go for a touchdown instead of a safer play, leading to frustration with coach Jeff Ulbricht.

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Insights and Lessons Learned

Avoiding Risky Bets: Both hosts acknowledge the importance of steering clear of underperforming teams and avoiding the temptation to bet on teams with unfavorable odds. Chad mentions, “We have to avoid Pittsburgh. We have to avoid Cleveland” (31:03), emphasizing the need for strategic restraint.

Analyzing Team Performance: The hosts stress the significance of understanding team dynamics, player performances, and coaching strategies. Jeff reflects, “We’ve been trying to put more favorites in because the favorites have been hitting” (54:54), highlighting their shift towards more reliable betting options.

Emotional Resilience: The discussion underscores the emotional toll of losing bets and the necessity to maintain composure. Chad shares his struggle, “I was cursing your name right from the get go” (07:22), illustrating the personal impact of unfavorable outcomes.

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Upcoming Week 16 Considerations

As the hosts look ahead to Week 16, they evaluate potential bets and adjustments based on the previous week's experiences. Key points include:

• Green Bay Packers (-2.5): Hoping for a stellar performance from Jordan Love to salvage their betting strategy. Jeff implores, “Jordan Love, play like you've never played” (34:46).

• Tampa Bay vs. Chargers: Chad and Jeff discuss the unpredictability of the Chargers due to Herbert’s injury and the potential value in Tampa Bay’s performance. Chad advises, “I wish we got Tampa in there” (33:04).

• Pittsburgh vs. Ravens: Despite past setbacks, there’s contemplation about betting on the Steelers as underdogs based on historical performance. Jeff notes the potential for standalone bets: “Matt Mitchell is saying we might be good with standalone with Saturday games” (43:23).

• Miami Dolphins vs. 49ers: The Dolphins are considered a favorable bet against a struggling 49ers team, with Jeff supporting, “I would take Miami at home against bad teams is what you do” (49:35).

• Bucks vs. Cowboys: Chad expresses hesitation due to recent performances but acknowledges the Cowboys' offensive prowess. He confides, “I hate it because it's like I want to take the Cowboys” (52:01).

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Conclusion

In wrapping up the Week 15 recap, Jeff Schwartz summarizes the key takeaways, emphasizing the volatility of NFL betting and the importance of informed decision-making. Chad Millman and Jeff acknowledge the unpredictability of sports betting, reinforcing their commitment to refining their strategies for future weeks.

Jeff concludes, “The dogs got pretty smoked for the most part this week, and that’s what’s going to be really tough for me and you to avoid” (54:54). The hosts encourage listeners to stay tuned for further analyses and to approach betting with caution and insight.

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Notable Quotes

• Chad Millman (07:22): “Why do we even involve in this game? Why do I have money on this game?”

• Jeff Schwartz (03:22): “We avoided our worst instincts. We did not include the Panthers as short favorites or the Titans as big home dogs.”

• Jeff Schwartz (11:07): “If I made Jags better... it's dumbfounding, truly dumbfounding.”

• Chad Millman (07:22): “It was just a miserable experience to watch.”

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Final Thoughts

The Favorites - NFL Betting Recap Week 15 offers an in-depth exploration of the uncertainties and challenges inherent in sports betting. Through candid discussions and detailed game analyses, Jeff Schwartz and Chad Millman provide valuable insights for bettors navigating the unpredictable landscape of NFL wagers.

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For more episodes and detailed analyses, subscribe to The Favorites on iHeartRadio, Apple Podcasts, or your preferred podcast platform.

Transcript

[Chad Millman]

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[Jeff Schwartz]

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[Chad Millman]

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[Adnan Virk]

What's up everybody? Adnan Virk here to tell you about a new podcast. It's NHL Unscripted with Virk and Demers.

[Jason Demers]

Jason Demers here. And after playing 700 NHL games, I got a lot of dirty laundry to air out.

[Adnan Virk]

Hey, I got a lot to say here too, okay? Each week we'll get together to chat about the sport that we love.

[Jason Demers]

Tons of guests are going to join in too. But we're not just going to be talking hockey, folks. We're talking movies. We're talking tv, food and Adnan's favorite wrestling. It's all on Le Table.

[Adnan Virk]

Listen to NHL Unscripted with Virk and demers and the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Justin Pennick]

What's up everyone? It's Justin Penic from John Boy Media, the host of the Football Today podcast with Bobby Skinner and Chris Rose. We roll three times a week on Mondays, on Wednesdays, on Fridays, breaking down everything you need to know about the NFL. We're gearing up for the NFL playoffs. I hope you can join us. Join in with us three times a week. Listen to Football Today on the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. We'll be glad you did.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Welcome to the Favorites the podcast presented by bet365. We are part of the volume podcast network live from our Tommy John Home Studios. I am Chad Millman of the Action Network. This is our Sunday night episode. We're going to review the faves five picks we put into the contest. We're going to dissect why we left games without preview the early lines we already like for week 16. I'm joined as always by my co host, my companion, my compadre, my bff Professional Better Simon Hunter Hello Simon.

[Chad Millman]

Hello Chad. Well look, I'm looking.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Here's the upside. We avoided our worst instincts. We did not include the Panthers as short favorites or the Titans as big home dogs or even the giants at as 16 and a half point underdogs. We nearly included the Jags at 3 and a half but we avoided that. However. However, every team we did choose today in what is an 04 start basically self destructed at the exact same time. Except for the Cleveland Browns only because they were in the early window in a season of bad luck and bad calls. This one was truly special. I'm going to recap just a couple of them because like to do it in each individual game almost feels like we're not doing it justice because you need to absorb them all to truly understand how epic all this was. The Lions finally cut it to 10 with 12 minutes left in the third and the fourth. They go for an onside kick. The Steelers are driving down 2013 inside the red zone in the third quarter. Najee Harris just drops a lateral. Eagles go on to score, take a two touchdown lead. Jonathan Taylor of the Colts. We have the Colts plus four and a half. Just drops the ball a foot before he crosses the goal line to put The Colts up 20 to 7. They don't score again the rest of the game. Jameis throws multiple picks into the Chiefs end zone. If you haven't figured it out already, we had the Browns plus four and a half, the Steelers five and a half, the Colts four and a half and Detroit two and a half in the day games. Thank God we have Green Bay tonight. Thank God. Like my wife and I have a list of shows we want to watch right now. Bad Sisters, Lioness say Nothing. No good deed. Thank God I'm not going to watch this game tonight. We're going to dig into everything plus a discussion on the Jags who, by the way, probably should have covered if not for a meltdown type call by Jeff Ulbricht of the jets, which was truly idiotic. Catch every episode of the favorites live on YouTube. For those enjoying on YouTube, don't forget to give us a like and subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page. As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is presented by bet365 and now new bet365. Customers get $150 in bonus bets. When you bet $5. Sign up using promo code. Favorites deposit $10. Place a bet for $5 to get $150 in bonus bets. Those bonus bets can be used on spreads, totals, player props, futures and more. Whatever the moment, it's Never ordinary. At bet365 must be 21 or older and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia or 18 and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem. Call 1-800- GAMBLER or 1-800-BITS OFF in Iowa. Terms, conditions, restrictions apply. We're going to begin this painful process. Simon, Kansas City, Cleveland so we had the Browns four and a half. We nearly kicked this one out for Jacksonville this morning. It really came down to Jacksonville, Cleveland and Pittsburgh for our final two. I don't even know. I mean, there's so much to say. I just want to get your take before we dig in because I've unloaded so much epically bad beats in the last five minutes.

[Chad Millman]

I got nothing to say. This is your baby. I told you. Can we just avoid this game? And you push it all week. You put it in there. You got to live with it. It was, you know, you knew right away too. It was a bad bet where that guy on that first punt fumbling that ball. It's just I once again said to myself, why are we even involved in this game? Why do I have money on this game? Why do I have to watch this game? I was cursing your name right from the get go because I just said I knew we should have just avoided it. We can't get a read on either of those teams. We knew the Chiefs were eventually going to be the right side and the Browns had just about everything go wrong. Winston had the Winston game that we fear, which is can't stop making stupid turnovers and can't be consistent at all and was just never in rhythm. And I mean, they benched him, what, midway through or early in the third quarter? So yeah, terrible game, terrible spot. The Chiefs. Long overdue for them just to catch catch a break in a game where they get a Bunch of turnovers, which, and we talked about it going to that game, I think they only had 10 or 11 turnovers. And yeah, they had got a bunch of fumbles, bunch of interceptions. It just, it all went the Chiefs way other than obviously the Mahomes injury, but it seems like he avoided anything serious after getting X rays done. So yeah, just a really ugly, sloppy game. What did they win? 21 to 7. And the. The Browns had a kick return. So it was just like we couldn't get anything going with that Browns offense. So it was just a miserable experience to watch.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Well, look, with both Pittsburgh and Kansas City, we feel like we've been tempting fate. We're by continuing to bet on the trends. In the case of Kansas City, fading them as favorites of more than 3. We thought last week was the spot to back Kansas City. To your credit. To your credit. When we wrote down the Browns on Tuesday, your note, I remember I wrote it down. Avoid. It's gross. I think personally, me and Kevin Stefanski, we've both been seduced by Jamis. I don't know if that'll be the case going forward because Dorian Thompson Robinson did take over the game. The Browns fumbled the first punt of the game. The Chiefs scored a touchdown off that late in the first half, Jameis threw into double coverage in the Chiefs end zone from the Kansas City 35, was picked blowing a scoring chance. Later in the first half, he made an inaccurate throw to Nick Chubb. Nick Bolton intercepted. Chiefs score a touchdown. Second half, they're driving again. Jameis throws another pick from the Chiefs 35 into their end zone. I just feel the Browns defense, they only gave up, I think seven points, you know, like they scored 14 points off of James turnovers. I will say this, I bet on The Jags at three and a half and at 3:30 this afternoon, the Jags were winning and the browns were down 14. I still felt like the Browns had a better chance to cover. I did not. I never believed in the Jags in that game. Never once did I believe in them. I just assumed it was going to go badly for them.

[Chad Millman]

Well, it makes you feel better. You have a terrible read on the board right now. But you nailed that one then because they were up five and I think the Action app gave them a 70% chance of covering the three and a half. And yeah, they're up five with five minutes to go. And I was not cursing your name, but I was just like, God damn it, Jeff, why do you make this so hard? I just was begging for you for Multiple times to take the Browns out and just put the Jackson because I felt like it was a better number. But yeah, you got lucky. You got the gambling gods on your side because that was the flukiest dumb coaching jets moment, the reason that they covered that number.

[Jeff Schwartz]

So we got to talk about that for a second. I mean, I'm not going to lie to you. Even though I bet on the Jag, I bet on the Jags in that game. I was really hoping Ulbricht was stupid enough to go for a touchdown so I did not have to eat it with the Jags cover in that game because what a fucking idiot. Yeah, that, that is like, that is why this team has been failing. I mean, they've been failing for a lot of reasons, but the fact that he let them go for a touchdown with a minute five left and the Jags having two timeouts instead of just kneeling down and making them take the timeouts and kicking the game winning field goal with no time left. If I made Jags better, who like had really gone all in on that? I'm watching that like with a pit in my stomach knowing there's nothing you can do to get out of the way of that. It was dumbfounding, truly dumbfounding.

[Chad Millman]

That's me. I bet heavy on it. It was one of my biggest bets. It was my biggest bed dog of the day. And yeah, it sucks, but it's like we talk all the time. It's. We got a whale one last week against the jets. This week, by their being idiots in their own right, they somehow covered that number. So yeah, just that's, that's, that's betting, baby. Like I love it. But it's also like you just said, it's sickening where as soon as Devonte Adams caught that ball and there's no one around him, it's like, oh, this is really about to happen. They're not going to cover this number now. So yeah, pretty brutal. No cover Pitt.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia. Steelers were plus five and a half. This was the other game we nearly kicked out for Jacksonville. I felt more strongly about this than Cleveland. It's similar to fading Casey as a favorite. We like to play Mike Tomlin as a dog, period. Even though he hasn't lost in this spot this year. And then Jalen just had his best game of the year. First half, 12 of 13, 146, two touchdowns, AJ 5 for 65 and a touchdown in the first half. I will say Jaden still looks bad if he doesn't get his first Read. But this was about Najee Harris. Fumbles, can't catch the lateral, the Steeler. The Eagles go down. The Steelers have him third and nine inside the red zone. They can't tackle Gainwell after a four yard pass. He gains the first down, they get a touchdown. That's the sort of end of the game to me, but that was really frustrating.

[Chad Millman]

I just do not get this whole Chad Millman is Nick Wright thing you got going on. Jalen Hurts. It's bizarro world. He's bad if he doesn't get his first read. What the hell are you talking about? He was 25 of 32. My favorite was Jalen Hurts was trolling the media, repeating back to them what they're saying about him, that if he doesn't have the first read, he just pulls it down and runs with it. And Chad thought he was being serious and was quoting him to people about that. He's trolling you, Chad. You don't think he makes the read outside the first read? Doesn't seem like it's always aging.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Didn't seem like it today.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah, no, he had a great game, but everyone saw that coming. The book saw it. We just talked about that Line stunk. Another game I wish we had avoided. We didn't, but it was another game. Not that I put in to punish you, but I was like, Chad needs to have this one in. He. He will not get over not having this one. If they, if they, Pittsburgh would have covered and I made you have taken it out. I was like weighing the decision of never hearing the end of it from you especially, I would think Chris Raybone, once he put it in that Google Doc, I was like, God damn it. Now it's guaranteed to be in our faves five. But yeah, it just, I told. I totally saw where you came from. Right. The Tomlin thing about him covering as a dog. But we both knew that was a fishy line and everything that could have gone wrong for Pittsburgh basically went wrong in that game. Right. They had a bunch of stupid fumbles. They were sloppy in a lot of ways. And you know, even how bad they played, it was still 17, 13 and a half. And I was like, maybe we'll get lucky and cover because they played so bad. Nope, they played even worse in the second half. So just a total letdown game let down spot for them. And yeah, they have a brutal stretcher now they get the Ravens and then like five days after that they got to play the Chiefs on Christmas. It's just a brutal spot in the schedule for this Pittsburgh team. Again, Chad, say something nice about Jalen Hurts because they are clearly a class above a lot of teams right now in this league.

[Adnan Virk]

What's up, everybody? Adnan Burke here to tell you about a new podcast from iHeart podcast in the National Hockey League. It's NHL unscripted with Virk and Demers.

[Jason Demers]

Hey, I'm Jason Demers, former 700 game NHL defenseman turned NHL Network analyst, and boy, oh, boy, does daddy have a lot to say.

[Adnan Virk]

I love you, by the way. On NHL Network, we're looking forward to getting together each week to chat and chirp about the sport and all the other things surrounding it that we love. Right?

[Jason Demers]

Yeah, I just met you today, but we're going to have a ton of guests from the colliding worlds of hockey, entertainment and pop culture. And you know what? Tons of back and forth on all things NHL.

[Adnan Virk]

Yeah, you're still going to find out. We're not just hockey talk. We're into all kinds of random stuff on this podcast. Movies, television, food, wrestling, even the stuff that you wear in NHL.

[Jason Demers]

Now you wish you could pull off my short shorts, Ferkey.

[Adnan Virk]

That's sure to cause a ruckus. Listen to NHL Unscripted with Burkin Demers, the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Justin Pennick]

What's going on, everybody? This is Justin Pennick from John Boy Media, the host of the Football Today podcast alongside Bobby Skinner and Chris Rose. We're rolling three times a week, on Mondays, on Wednesdays, on Fridays, breaking down everything you need to know about the NFL. We're talking about the MVP race. Is Josh Allen going to pull it out? Lamar Jackson? Can Saquon Barkley even break the rushing record? Can the Steelers keep up their momentum? We talk about everything, we break it down. Stats, analytics. And of course, Chris Rose is bringing his perspective on being a pro in the media world as well. Listen to football Today on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts and you will be glad you did. Hope you could join us for the postseason run.

[Madison Packer]

Hey, everyone. I'm Madison Packer, a pro hockey veteran going on my 10th season in New York.

[Anya Packer]

And I'm Anya Packer, a former pro hockey player and now a full Madison Packer stand.

[Madison Packer]

Anya and I met through hockey, and now we're married and moms to two awesome toddlers.

[Anya Packer]

And on our new podcast, Moms who Puck, we're opening up about the chaos of our daily lives. Between the juggle of being athletes, raising children and all the messiness in between.

[Madison Packer]

We're also turning to fellow athletes and beyond to learn about their parenthood journeys and collect valuable advice like FIFA World cup winner Ashlyn Harris.

[Chad Millman]

I wish my village would have prepared me for how hard motherhood was going to be.

[Anya Packer]

And peloton instructor and ratchet Mom Club founder Kirsten Ferguson.

[Chad Millman]

And I remember going in there a hot mess.

[Anya Packer]

So listen to Moms who Puck a production of iHeart Women's Sports and Deep Blue Sports and Entertainment on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Your podcasts presented by Elf Beauty, founding partner of iHeart Women's Sports.

[Simon Hunter]

Hey, I'm Myles Gray. And I'm Jack O'Brien. We're the hosts of the Daily Zeitgeist and we want to tell you about Mild Jack Jack Got Mad Boosties, an NBA podcast from I Heart Radio. We nailed that.

[Chad Millman]

This is a weekly podcast about all.

[Simon Hunter]

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[Michael Rapaport]

Brought to you by Hypnotic Happy holidays from me, Michael Rappaport. And my gift to you is a free subscription to the IM Rapaport Stereo podcast where I discuss entertainment, sports, politics and anything and everything that catches my attention. I am here to call it as I see it and there's a whole lot of things catching my eyes these days. Here's a clip from one of my favorite episodes. You are not a real fighter. You will never be discussed anywhere in boxing history.

[Chad Millman]

Ever.

[Michael Rapaport]

Fake Paul the movie is the Apprentice and the movie is about young Donald Trump and his apprentice. Roy Cohen. Real character, obviously both real characters. It kind of has a Scarface vibe to it, which I thought was very interesting. Listen to the I Am Rappaport Stereo podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast and wherever you get your podcast.

[Jeff Schwartz]

You know I love the Eagles. I I've been all over the Eagles. I love their defense. May come around on Jalen Hurts.

[Chad Millman]

Thank you.

[Jeff Schwartz]

I I haven't loved him this year. He was excellent today. He was excellent today. There was a point. This all happened within about three minutes. You talk about the Steelers self destructing a little bit. They were finally driving. They're down 2713. Plenty of time in the game to make a comeback. They kill a drive with a personal foul. The Lions give up a third and four to. I forgot who caught it was It Dawson Knox who was double covered. The Colts give up a 60 yard hunt return that leads to a Broncos touchdown. And that was after. Oh, then they had the double pass for the pick six. Let's go on to the Colts because like it was so astonishing. Oh my God, Jonathan Taylor. We had the Colts 4 1/2. They're up 13 7. They're kind of dominating the game. They'd made Bo Nooks, Bo Nicks look silly. He had three picks through three quarters. They hadn't been able to get any offense going. Neither had the Colts. Like Anthony Richardson was truly terrible. Average less than three yards per attempt in the first half. But Jonathan Taylor breaks a big one and then what happens?

[Chad Millman]

But no, before you get to that though you're so right about the Bo Nicks. Thing is he had three picks. Fact that we had a game that went exactly what we said we thought was going to happen, right, that he would be sloppy and the Colts defense would step up that, that I didn't even know he threw three picks. I knew he had a couple of picks but three picks and we don't even get close to that cover. But yeah, the Jonathan Taylor walk in touchdown untouched. It was that thing too where they keep cutting back to it on TV where it's like what are they even reviewing here? He wasn't even touched and it's like oh my God, did he let go of the ball now they showed the angle. I, I didn't get. I never saw the angle of what they were talking about of him actually releasing the ball before they crossed the line. But clearly they must have found some TV angle with that on camera. And yeah, we went from being up 20 to 7 to 137 to Bonyx, 1310 to. Yeah I was gonna say 1710 to again Bonix is still doing nothing and strange Styken calls some bizarre plays and that pass a back across field in that spot was just. And like the announcers are like well they needed to do something. It's like why, why? Why did they need to do something there? It's like I don't know even if even maybe that was at 1713. I forget what the exact score at that point but it was just a very bizarre play call. And like you just said, once that happened you, you're down with Anthony Richardson against a defense that is pretty good at rushing the passer and getting pressure and yeah, he burned us another game I think. Let's look at the numbers. He's 17 of 38 passing 18 Richardson. So yeah, not, not where we want to be when we're backing him.

[Jeff Schwartz]

No, as soon as. When they were down 2413, I'm like, this is kind of over. Like unless they got another Jonathan Taylor open, I'm like, yeah, this is not gonna go our way. I just want to see where did that game's over. Anthony Richardson ended up with seven carries, so. And 46 rushing yards. Kudos to Billy Ward because Billy Ward had a negative correlation. Parlay a +450 for Anthony Richardson over 45 and a half rushing yards, but under nine and a half rushing attempts, it's like one of three bets that I won today was that bet. And he got. He got 23 of those yards on the first drive of the game when he scored a 23 yard rushing touchdown. And the Colts, you just said it like they were perfect through 2 1/2, 3/4. And like the wheels came off after that Jonathan Taylor play. Like they just, they completely lost their composure and gave the game. They just gave it away. Like they had that game, that double pass for a pick six. Are you freaking kidding me? There were so many crazy coaching decisions today. Ulbricht not kicking the field goal. Dan Campbell, go. Going for the. Going for the onside kick, the double pass that leads to a pick six. Like, what happened today, it was so weird.

[Chad Millman]

It was. But it's also, I mean, like we talked about that just there's some games where not that three quarters are meaningless, but like you just said that the Colts dominated that game for three quarters and one or two little plays went sideways and that completely flipped the entire game. And you know, credit to Denver, like I should say that Bo Nicks had three picks. They somehow overcame that, which again is mind blowing. Like the fact that they were able to overcome that when you can just, you know, it was like that Tennessee game. Like we're betting on these bad quarterbacks. They just have these explosive moments where they just have meltdowns for a quarter and it completely flips the whole games. So, yeah, pretty brutal day for betting these ugly dogs.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Bo Nix was so bad in the first half. While Anthony Richardson completed less than 3 yards per pass attempt. Bo Nix only completed 3.5 yards per pass attempt. So he was atrocious and still figured out a way to win that game thanks to some really bad decision making and poor mental errors on the part of the Indianapolis Colts. Buffalo at Detroit as we continue our journey down Torture Lane. I mean, Jesus, Detroit, two and a half. I don't know about you, but after that first half, I kind of Felt like Detroit still could be in it. The Bills were perfect and the Lions were not. And yet the Lions were only down seven. And then the Bills came out and within the first 90 seconds scored a touchdown. I'm like, all right, well, this is a dead bet.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah, I mean, it's tough to say, like never totally gave up, but the issue for me was just Josh Allen, we've already talked about this year, has been probably the best second half quarterback in all football. Like, he's just been dominant in the second half and you know him and Joe Brady, the adjustments they make against the teams they play is just special. And they're, they're, they're just clicking at a really high level right now. And yeah, Golf didn't have his A game. Dan Cavill didn't have his A game and we joked that was going to come down to fourth downs and it kind of did, right? That was Josh Allen capitalizing on fourth downs and big plays. So yeah, bet that. Unfortunate. Wish it was three because at three we both talked about how we liked taking the bill side and we probably would have got there with it, but at two and a half, you know, probably not the best decision, I guess, looking back now because we talked about this lines defense, the injuries are going to catch up to them and we talked about, we thought it was being the playoffs, right. And they're facing really good offenses and we've seen that now tonight and last week against Green Bay. It's, it's going to be interesting watching this team going forward where it's like, you saw it today too, where they had the call up Josh Adams to play, or Jamal Adams, I should say. And it's like, you know, when you see those moments, you're just like, this is, this is scary back in this team right now as a favorite. But we knew what the deal was heading going into it, that if Josh Allen kept playing like he is playing, we were going to get burned. And you know, we just, we haven't seen someone like this before. This guy is just playing at this insanely high level right now. And yeah, it's, it's pretty scary going against them, betting wise.

[Jeff Schwartz]

The Lions just scored a touchdown on a two point conversion. They're down six with 12 seconds.

[Chad Millman]

They just kicked an extra point. But yeah.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Oh, is that what it was? All right, so it's 48, 42, I think. If they hadn't done that onside kick, would it be a different game? Like you don't know. But that seven points that the Bills then scored Immediately put this game into a different trajectory. It's astonishing. The only thing the Bills did wrong in the first half, they missed a 24 year old field goal. They had 325 yards and 10 yards per play. Al. Josh Allen averaged 13.4 yards per attempt in the first half. Like he was sick. He was sick. That Jonathan Taylor play, by the way, happened exactly when James Cook scored to open the second half for Buffalo. Like the confluence today of plays that went against us, that happened at the exact same time that it's like a full beatdown. We were in an Alley Fighting 27 Kung fu masters and every single time someone had a kill shot. That's what it felt like.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah, just about. Again, how special this season is for Josh Allen. Like, I think his name is Ty Johnson, who's his running back. Josh Allen's throwing to this guy in like the clutches. Biggest moments of that game. And this guy's making these insane plays. A guy that's like their third back, it's. It is bizarro world. Like this guy is 114 yards receiving today. And every time he touched it was a big play and a big moment. And yeah, like you talk about, we've had some batteries today. We've had some bad luck. But overall, some of the bets we made, we kind of knew going in the lines were a little fishy. And it felt like you wanted to touch the hot stove, Chad. And you touched it and you got burned.

[Jeff Schwartz]

And it's not just me. Don't act like you're. You're parenting me in this situation.

[Chad Millman]

What games were you, what games were you warning me off? All week they tell me the games you were warning me off.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Listen, at any point today you could have said, let's go with Tampa Bay. I want to get in the Jets.

[Chad Millman]

Tampa was never brought up. I mean, again, I know you didn't.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Want to do Tampa Bay.

[Chad Millman]

I'm talking about this week. We should avoid it Pittsburgh. We should avoid Cleveland. That's what sucks is like we're looking at 04. I don't fault us for the Lions. That to me was a bet we both loved.

[Jeff Schwartz]

And the Colts.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah. And then again the Colts. I feel like again, even midway through that game, feel like a good bet. But it's just brutal that like now we're relying on the Giants. I mean, the Green Bay, we've never gone on for five and it's like, whoo. It's a lot to put on to Green Bay tonight to save our game.

[Jeff Schwartz]

We would have considered putting in huh. The only game we would have considered putting in were the Jaguars.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah.

[Jeff Schwartz]

So it wouldn't have mattered.

[Chad Millman]

I mean, that's one way to look at, but it's also. There's different. There's different ways of getting blown out, I guess. I mean, we could do the scooch thing. The right side's a winning side, so it doesn't even matter if you. You don't cover by three or you get blown up by 30. But no, I'm just saying it was a tough week where it's like, you knew some of those lines stunk and we put them in anyway. That's what I meant about you touching the stove. You just. You couldn't help yourself. Like that Pittsburgh one, we knew. We knew. And I hate that it went the way it did because we knew.

[Jeff Schwartz]

We knew we were always on the.

[Chad Millman]

Other side of that one.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Usually we knew with both of them. It's not a. It's not a me thing. It's a we thing. We both knew you didn't back off, brother.

[Chad Millman]

I mean, listen, I hop on. I hop on social media. I can hear how many people call me an idiot for going against the Eagles. Don't worry.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Yeah. On Thursday. Go back and listen to the tape. You were, like, trying to warn me off it, and then you fully came around to the Steelers at the end of your analysis. Because I was going to walk away from it. Because you were so confident about the Eagles, because the wise guys were coming in on the Eagles and you were hearing so much about it, but in the end, you're like, we got to go with the Steelers.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah, you're right. Obviously, Tampa, the number didn't matter. I wish we got Tampa in there. It's just a typical thing of, like, we have three. I've bet it heavy at three. But for some reason, our contest, we have to put in two and a half, and we've talked about two and a half has become one of the more important key numbers. So that's. That was the whole thing that scared me off on it. But, yeah, obviously, looking back, I mean, Tampa beat the shit out of the Chargers. Exactly what we said it was going to happen. They were the better team. Mike Evans dominated that matchup, had the game of his life, lad McConkey came back early, didn't look himself. They just. They were just stagnant offensively. And, you know, whatever happened, that Herbert. Ankle injury, obviously, I didn't know much about it. I don't know if you heard about it, but it's like, clearly Whatever happened there, I think he had two sacks and the guy landed right on it. And from that point forward, they didn't score a single point. Like they had 70 points at that point. And then the offense kind of just fell off from there on. So definitely something to keep in mind going forward. This Chargers team, like they're major injuries and major positions right now heading into late December.

[Jeff Schwartz]

I am looking at our list right now. The games that we had talked about for Thursday. We talked about Miami, that wouldn't have worked out. The Jags, that wouldn't worked out. We talked about. We were split on. There was a split. You said there was a split between Tampa Bay and the Chargers. Seattle was one that came up that the wise guys like, but we're sticking with Green Bay, Detroit. I don't know that we would have won any games no matter which games we chose, except for Tampa Bay.

[Chad Millman]

No, it's fair.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Simon, we got to talk. We have Green Bay tonight, minus two and a half. Please, please. Jordan Love, play like you've never played.

[Chad Millman]

Save our day.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Played like you've never played before. We need you. We need you.

[Chad Millman]

Look at us chasing a winner on Sunday night with a favorite.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Jesus. Yeah, that's the kind of year it's been, brother.

[Chad Millman]

It's been.

[Jeff Schwartz]

We gotta get to. We gotta find some Week 6 games to turn us around. This week you're going to start with Week 16 games. I don't want to bias us in any way before we get to it. Simon, can you name the best ticking app in the United States?

[Chad Millman]

Game Time.

[Jeff Schwartz]

That's right, it's our beloved sponsor, Game Time. As Simon and all our listeners know, I love going to live games. NFL, NBA, college football, college basketball. Using Game Time is my favorite way to buy tickets. They've got amazing last minute deals on games and concerts and their new feature called Game Time Picks that makes getting tickets to see your favorite teams play live even easier. Game Time Picks filters out the fluff to show you only incredible deals on great seeds so you don't have to waste time searching through thousands of tickets. Speaking of which, I'm opening the Game Time app right now from my house in Connecticut. I can go see UConn men's basketball not far from my house. Two time defending national champions for less than 50 bucks. But my favorite part about Game Time, they're all in pricing shows me the total cost upfront. No surprises. So no matter where you live, take the guesswork out of buying tickets with Game Time. Download the Game Time app, create an account, use code Favorites for $20 off your first purchase terms. Apply again, create an account and redeem Code Favorites. That's F A V O R I T e s for $20 off download. Game time today. What time is it? Game time.

[Adnan Virk]

What's up, everybody? Adnan Burke here to tell you about a new podcast from iHeart podcast in the National Hockey League. It's NHL unscripted with ferk and Demers.

[Jason Demers]

Hey, I'm Jason Demers, former 700 game NHL defenseman turned NHL Network analyst, and boy, oh, boy, does daddy have a lot to say.

[Adnan Virk]

I love you, by the way on NHL Network. We're looking forward to getting together each week to chat and chirp about the sport and all the other things surrounding it that we love. Right?

[Jason Demers]

Yeah, I just met you today, but we're gonna have a ton of guests from the colliding worlds of hockey, entertainment and pop culture. And you know what? Tons of back and forth on all things NHL.

[Adnan Virk]

Yeah, you're soon going to find out we're not just hockey talk. We're into all kinds of random stuff on this podcast. Movies, television, food, wrestling, even the stuff that you wear in NHL.

[Jason Demers]

Now you wish you could pull off my short shorts, Virky.

[Adnan Virk]

That's sure to cause a ruckus. Listen to NHL Unscripted with Virk and demers and the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Justin Pennick]

What's going on, everybody? This is Justin Penick from jonboy Media, the host of the Football Today podcast alongside Bobby Skinner and Chris Rose. We're rolling three times a week, on Mondays, on Wednesdays, on Fridays, breaking down everything you need to know about the NFL. We're talking about the MVP race. Is Josh Allen going to pull it out? Lamar Jackson? Can Saquon Barkley even break the rushing record? Can the Steelers keep up their momentum? We talk about everything. We break it down. Stats, analytics. And of course, Chris Rose is bringing his perspective on being a pro in the media world as well. Listen to Football Today on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts and you will be glad you did. Hope you could join us for the postseason run.

[Madison Packer]

Hey, everyone, I'm Madison Packer, a pro hockey veteran going on my 10th season in New York.

[Anya Packer]

And I'm on you, Packer, a former pro hockey player and now a full Madison Packers.

[Madison Packer]

Stan, Anya and I met through hockey and now we're married and moms to two awesome toddlers.

[Anya Packer]

And on our new podcast, Moms who Puck. We're opening up about the chaos of our daily lives. Between the juggle of being athletes, raising children and all the messiness in between.

[Madison Packer]

We'Re also turning to fellow athletes and beyond to learn about their parenthood journeys and collect valuable advice like FIFA World cup winner Ashlyn Harris.

[Chad Millman]

I wish my village would have prepared me for how hard motherhood was going to be.

[Anya Packer]

And peloton instructor and ratchet mom club founder Kirsten Ferguson.

[Chad Millman]

And I remember going in there a hot mess.

[Anya Packer]

So listen to moms who Puck a production of iHeart Women's Sports and Deep Blue Sports and Entertainment on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Presented by Elf Beauty, founding partner of iHeart Women's Sports.

[Simon Hunter]

Hey, I'm Myles Gray. And I'm Jack O'Brien. We're the hosts of the Daily Zeitgeist, and we want to tell you about Mil Jack Jack Got Mad Boosties, an NBA podcast from I Heart Radio. We nailed that.

[Chad Millman]

This is a weekly podcast about all.

[Simon Hunter]

The amazing moments that keep all of us NBA fans coming back for more. Basically, if you love basketball and you like to laugh, listen to Miles and Jack Got Mad Boosties, an NBA podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast or wherever you get your podcast.

[Michael Rapaport]

Brought to you by Hypnotic Happy holidays from me, Michael Rappaport. And my gift to you is a free subscription to the I Am Rapaport Stereo podcast where I discuss entertainment, sports, politics, and anything and everything that catches my attention. I am here to call it as I see it, and there's a whole lot of things catching my eyes these days. Here's a clip from one of my favorite episodes. You are not a real fighter. You will never be discussed anywhere in boxing history.

[Chad Millman]

Ever. Fake Paul.

[Michael Rapaport]

The movie is the Apprentice. And the movie is about young Donald Trump and his apprentice, Roy Cohen. Real character, obviously. Both real characters. It kind of has a scar face vibe to it, which I thought was very interesting. Listen to the I Am Rapaport Stereo podcast on the iHeartRadio app Apple podcast and wherever you get your podcast.

[Jeff Schwartz]

All right, go ahead, smarty. Who are we looking at for week 16? You tell me.

[Chad Millman]

Don't be so upset, Chad.

[Jeff Schwartz]

I'm not upset.

[Chad Millman]

You sound like you're upset. We both are.04 right now. I'm just trying to let you know this week, if there's a game, I keep saying to you, can we please take this out? Can we just maybe think about taking it out? Here we go. Thursday night Broncos Chargers. The Open up Chargers -3 We just talked about Herbert having an injury.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Yes.

[Chad Millman]

Don't we just take the three right now with Denver?

[Jeff Schwartz]

Yes.

[Chad Millman]

So there's a couple of games like that that pop up here.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Yes.

[Chad Millman]

On the Saturday Chiefs are plus two and a half right now against the.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Texans, by the way, it's moved down from three and a half when we started the show.

[Chad Millman]

So that's the book saying as Carson Wentz in their mind.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Yep.

[Chad Millman]

But we just talked about their X rays came back negative. I'll grab the two and a half right now. It's another position we could take out. We want to. But even if it's Carson Wentz, Houston, man, I don't know how much of that Miami game you watched.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Watch a lot of it.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah, I didn't. But like, I just saw different parts pop up and I was just like, man, they're lucky too. Is throwing three picks in this game or whatever it was four picks. I know he had a lot. There's just something's off about them and everyone's kind of had that same sense and like you just said, people I knew professionally that came in on Miami and like it's. They had good reason to. This Houston team's really questionable right now. So yeah, that one jumps out to me. Two and a half. Pittsburgh six and a half right now against this Ravens team on Saturday.

[Jeff Schwartz]

You know what? I saw that.

[Chad Millman]

Are we suckers again?

[Jeff Schwartz]

I like, I didn't want to say anything.

[Chad Millman]

It's cross. It's. It's above 6, though. We have to take it.

[Jeff Schwartz]

I didn't want to.

[Chad Millman]

It's Tomlin above 6. Because we have to. We have to.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Because I knew we were going to be having a hard conversation about how much I like the Steelers.

[Chad Millman]

Well, we can't put them in the contest anyway, unfortunately. It's Saturday game, thank fucking God. But really, I would love to put this one. I don't know. This feels like another really nice Tomlin spot. Again, it burned us today. But historically, Tomlin, especially when it's above six as a dog, he's a great bet not only on the moneyline, but on the spread.

[Jeff Schwartz]

So Matt Mitchell is saying we might be good with standalone with Saturday games because they aren't standalones. So we may be able to consider this.

[Chad Millman]

That'd be cool. Another line that just jumped out from the Sunday slate that just seemed really fishy. Jets are plus three at home against the Rams. It's another week where it's like it's going to move down and I much rather be on the Rams at minus two and a half than I would be on the Jets. But like that right now seems like a professional side. Like I can easily see the pros coming on the jets at plus three.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Well, there's no reason they wouldn't come in on the jets, right? They've been on the jets every single week. Yeah, that's true. Including, including by the way, this week. So they were the favorites like at it got down to three and went back to three and a half. So I can't see why the, why the fit. Why the wise guys wouldn't be on the Jets.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah, just interesting though that the book opened that at three like you just said though that's, I guess that that's with them knowing they're going to get action on the other side. What do we do, Chad? Do we go against our Colts after today who just burned us so horribly because they're, they're plus four right now. Tennessee's plus four at the Colts 10.

[Jeff Schwartz]

I'm seeing four and a half and I feel like it's so hard to bet this Tennessee team like I did bet them today at +6 and felt decent about it. And then their defense, yeah, they're up 14 7.

[Chad Millman]

You're feeling pretty good.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Feeling pretty good. And like their defense could not stop anybody and will Levis then just self destructed like every other quarterback who's from that draft class at this point. Just self destructing. So like we couldn't even get Bryce Young to continue to be like Bryce Young today. That one feels iffy to me. But, but, but if you're going to say we have to get it in, I'll get it in.

[Chad Millman]

I might, I might. You never know. Interesting number, this Minnesota team, they're minus two right now against the Seahawks. That one just sticks out to me. Cause they're playing a divisional game Monday and then our short week they're traveling to the Seahawks. So it's like I would want to bet it, but if the Seahawks lose tonight, I might be able to get a three. So I'm not in a total rush, but that's a side that's like I could see us end up being on the Seahawks in that spot just because it is a good, good number and a good position against the Minnesota team. Like we just said on a short week, late December, that's, that's pretty tough for a lot of teams. That one just jumped out to me. I mean there's no way I get you back to Jags again, can I?

[Jeff Schwartz]

Oh, I, I circled that in red. A hundred percent. Jags plus one and a half against the red. How are we not.

[Chad Millman]

I'm worried that's going to flip though. So that's going to be one that flips. Are we going to avoid it? Because we've. We've had terrible luck with Lions that have flipped this year from. Plus the. Them being favorites.

[Jeff Schwartz]

I don't know about that. But like, as a better looking at it right now, I want to play the Jacks. Like, just forget about.

[Chad Millman]

If you have a book that is one and a half. That's. That's a nice. Throw it in a teaser like, like.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Like Max Crosby is done for the year.

[Chad Millman]

Done for the year.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Like, quarterback situation is not very good. This team, at some point, they're not going to officially tank, but they're on track for Cam Moore, Travis Hunter, Shador Sanders. You know, they can make a significant upgrade to their team. So I like the Jags as underdogs here a lot.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah, this last one, I'm worried I'm overthinking it, but it just feels like it's too easy. Once again, a line that feels too big. Commanders are plus four against this Eagles team where this number feels like it should be plus three. We're getting a nice bump here because Washington had a little meltdown. Right. They're up 17 nothing. Saints come all the way back. The flip side, this Eagles team who was doubted today just rolled, you know, public and professional betters alike that bet the Pittsburgh team. I want to bet this, but again, I feel like another number that. Can I be patient here? Won't this go up rather than come down?

[Jeff Schwartz]

Well, it's already down to three and a half. I'm seeing.

[Chad Millman]

All right, well, they. Chad just told you then, so I guess I'll grab the four now while I can.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Yeah, if you can get a four, you should definitely get it. I see one four out there. The rest I'm seeing are three and.

[Chad Millman]

A halfs because again, on this game is the hard time I was giving about the hurts. I was really just busting her balls where like this. This kind of feels like a hurt spot that he'll. He'll have a shit game that you're talking about like a letdown game after that performance he just had. Because as much as I love her, it's 25 of 32. That's not who Hertz is. Hertz is 20 of 32. Like, he got five today that were, you know, not usually on his record book. So a nice letdown spot. And then on the flip side commanders, I just honestly like the way their mat their offense can match up with this Eagles team. You know, McLaren obviously had an incredible day today with Jaden Daniels, but that, that read option Jane Daniels and Robinson in the backfield, it is pretty deadly, like when he pulls the ball and runs with it, especially when he's obviously getting smart on not taking the contact. Yeah, it's a really great weapon to use. And we talked early in the year when the Eagles played that Ravens team, the throws were there because the defense was sucking up. Lamar just had an off night. He was missing the throw. So I think if Daniel's going to kind of hit those throws, the blueprints kind of already out there how you can attack this Fangio defense. So yeah, to me, Chad, I grabbed that plus four. Now if you're. If you're like you just said, if it's down to plus three, a lot of books. I'll rush now. Try to get the Plus 4 before it moves.

[Jeff Schwartz]

He is so smooth, Jaden Daniels. I watched a lot of that Saints game today, and he, he makes those run options look like he's moving in slow motion and yet still gliding by everybody and then casually walking out of bounds. The way he was able to avoid getting hit today was great. Any other on your radar? Because there's one more on my radar.

[Chad Millman]

I mean, obviously there's a couple more I'd like we can talk about, but I'm not. I won't go too crazy. What do you. What do you got that's jumping out to you?

[Jeff Schwartz]

Well, the Miami Dolphins at one and a half against San Francisco, very short home favorite. Two teams that are essentially out of the playoffs. But like, Chua had a terrible game today. Like, really made some bad mistakes, really bad throws. But I don't know anything about this, this Niners team right now. Obviously McCaffrey's out. Debo seems washed. There's no Iuk. Purdy was making bad throws. Like, I, I would take Miami at home because Miami at home against bad teams is what you do. And the Niners right now are not a good team. And I feel like I'm getting about half point to a point of value on Miami because people have just seen them lose as well. But I think Tua's playing at a much better level. And I don't know the status of waddle right now, but their short to intermediate game can be really good. And they only lost today because Tootle made. Tua made two or three really bad decisions because they were. They were in that game against the Texans the whole time.

[Chad Millman]

Yeah, I honestly think like I'm going to go back and watch that one because I was, I wasn't able to watch a lot of it. But just looking at the box score, just like another day of Miami was probably the better team. It was just the QB play that kind of bit them. And you know, even defensively it seemed like they got a lot of pressure on CJ and what you just talked about stands out to me with Brock Purdy is, you know, Trent Williams has not been there and you know, that does affect him in some way where he's had to deal with a lot of pressure in his face. And for some reason, whatever it is going on with him and Kittle, like that should be a safety valve, but instead he's turning to Debo Samuel who's just been disappointing all season with the drops. And you know, I got what they were trying to do last week. I mean me and you bet him, like we thought it was going to happen. Like AJ Today. AJ Brown had a touchdown and a hundred yards receiving. That's what I honestly thought it was going to happen. With Debo, it's like you're just going to force feed him and make it, make it work out for you. You're not going to, you know, let it fail again this week. And it did fail and like you just said, you're probably learning. Maybe I'm overthinking because I honestly wanted to take the 49ers in this spot. But you're probably right where it's like, no, this is actually when you back Miami like them at home in this exact spot against bad teams. This is when they dominate and we have to come to terms with like this 49ers team is a bad team. I mean they literally had a guy quit in the third quarter. I forgot what quarter it was. Maybe it was in the before the half. But it's like that the, the. The Mojo in that locker room, as bad as it might be in Miami right now, it's nowhere near as bad as his 49ers. They are a team that's just going through it right now. So I'm with you, Chad. I think that's a good read.

[Jeff Schwartz]

What do you think of your bucks now at four and a half on the road against the Dallas Cowboys?

[Chad Millman]

I hate it because it's like I want to take the Cowboys but, but the Bucks are a good team. Like I, we've talked about like they, they feel like they are a good team, but we've talked this year, they feels like they play their competition level. So I don't know, maybe it's, maybe I'm just a little spooked because I, I, I actually watch a deep, decent amount of this Cowboys Carolina game because like we talked about, we, we. I bet Carolina. I'll be first to admit it. I, like, love them because I got him at one and a half and it was like, oh, I got the smart number. Beat the books. This will land on two or three, and I'll be the smart one here. And no, they get rolled because Cooper Rush had, to me, the best game he's had since he's become a starter.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Unreal.

[Chad Millman]

Off balance, throws corner pocket of the end zone. Like, no problem. You know, this was a superstar game for the Cowboys, too. Like CD Lamb, monster game. Michael Parsons, monster, monster game. Can we bet on that? Carrying over Chad. Like, that's what we're going to need. Like, we'll need to cover this number. But it feels like early here, the right side of this number is probably the Cowboys. Like, this is too much respect to the Bucks team. This probably should be closer to three, four and a half. That's, that's egregious. So I'm, I'm fighting this one right now. Cause I think you're right where it's like, I know what I have to do here, but we got burned so bad today. It's taken a lot for me wanting to just bet an ugly dog like this in Cooper Rush.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Look, I don't want to make any bets right now.

[Chad Millman]

I'm glad I'm firing away right now. That's how we're so different. I'm a sicko. I'm like, get the stank off me. Let me just fire.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Get back into the game. I don't know. I don't know. I'm going to make a bet until next Sunday.

[Chad Millman]

I'm burning the tape from this week, brother.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Just moving on.

[Chad Millman]

Gotta.

[Jeff Schwartz]

All right.

[Chad Millman]

Because this one just absolutely stings, you know, so, yeah, that's for, for a line. That's one of the more overvalued ones. I mean, again, we didn't even talk about the Bills Patriots number. Like, that's 14. There's going to be a lot of that this week where it's like, ugly teams are going to be really down in the pits because there were so many bad blowouts this week. Right. Like, the dogs got pretty smoked for the most part this week, and that's what's going to be really tough for me. And you to avoid because we've talked about, we've been trying to put more favorites in because the favorites have been hitting and like this is another week where there's going to be a bunch of big dogs with value that we're going to try to have to avoid in some way because there's just so tempting. Like right now I want to fire away on the patron plus 14, but it's like, can we do that with Josh Allen playing at the level he's playing that Exactly. I'm same way as you where it's like I don't really want to step in front of him again. So we all.

[Jeff Schwartz]

Let's look. We didn't do that with the Giants this week.

[Chad Millman]

No. And I just, I did the stucky move. I just took the Ravens first half because I was just like, I want to avoid it. Got crazy lucky. One more. I threw a touchdown with like 30 seconds left or whatever it was. So yeah. Again, the favorites. The public, it's been breaking right from these this whole season.

[Jeff Schwartz]

As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is presented by bet365 and now new bet365. Customers get $150 in bonus bets when you bet $5. Sign up using promo code FAVORITES. Deposit $10. Place a bet for $5. Get $150 in bonus bets. Those bonus bets can be used on spreads, totals, player props, futures and more. Whatever the moment, it's Never ordinary. At bet365 must be 21 or older and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia or 18 and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem. Call 1-800- GAMBLER or 1-800-BITS OFF in Iowa. Terms Conditions restrictions apply. Catch our next episode live on Tuesday at 1:30pm Eastern on Action Network's YouTube channel. Download us from Spotify, Apple pods, wherever you get your pods. Rate, review, subscribe. Leave us five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift until Tuesday. Go packers minus two and a half. Love you. Action Network reminds you, please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is available 24. 7 at 1-800- gambler.

[Adnan Virk]

What's up, everybody? Adnan Virk here to tell you about a new podcast. It's NHL Unscripted with Virk and Demers.

[Jason Demers]

Jason Demers here. And after playing 700 NHL games, I got a lot of dirty laundry to air out.

[Adnan Virk]

Hey, I got a lot to say here, too, okay? Each week we'll get together to chat with the sport that we love.

[Jason Demers]

Tons of guests are going to join in, too. But we're not just gonna be talking hockey, folks. We're talking movies. We're talking TV, food, and Ednad's favorite wrestling. It's all on le tablet.

[Adnan Virk]

Listen to NHL Unscripted with Virk and Demers, the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Justin Pennick]

What's up, everyone? It's Justin Penic from John Boy Media, the host of the Football Today podcast with Bobby Skinner and Chris Rose. We roll three times a week, on Mondays, on Wednesdays, on Fridays, breaking down everything you need to know about the NFL. We're gearing up for the NFL playoffs. I hope you can join us. Join in with us three times a week. Listen to Football Today on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts and you will be glad you did.

[Michael Rapaport]

Happy holidays from me, Michael Rapaport, and my gift to you is a free subscription to the I Am Rapaport Stereo podcast, where I discuss entertainment, sports, politics, and anything and everything that catches my attention. I am here to call it as I see it. And there's a whole lot of things catching my eyes these days. Listen to the Iam Rapaport Stereo podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, and wherever you get your podcast.

[Madison Packer]

Hey, everyone. I'm Madison Packer, a pro hockey veteran going on my 10th season in New York.

[Anya Packer]

And I'm Anya Packer, a former pro hockey player and now a full Madison packers stand.

[Madison Packer]

Anya and I met through hockey and now we're married and moms to two awesome toddlers ages 2 and 4.

[Anya Packer]

And we're excited about our new podcast, Moms who Puck, which talks about everything from pro hockey to professional women's athletes to raising children and all the messiness in between.

[Madison Packer]

So listen to moms who puck on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Simon Hunter]

Hey, I'm Miles Gray. And I'm Jack O'Brien. We're the hosts of the Daily Zeitgeist, and we want to tell you about.

[Chad Millman]

Miles.

[Simon Hunter]

An NBA podcast from I Heart Radio. We nailed that.

[Chad Millman]

This is a weekly podcast about all.

[Simon Hunter]

The amazing moments that keep all of us NBA fans coming back for more. Basically, if you love basketball and you like to laugh, listen to Miles and Jack Got Mad Boosties, an NBA podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. Brought to you by Hypnotic.