The Herd with Colin Cowherd: The Favorites - Super Bowl LIX Prop Bets
Release Date: February 4, 2025
Introduction
In the episode titled "The Favorites - Super Bowl LIX Prop Bets," The Herd with Colin Cowherd delves deep into the intricacies of prop betting for the upcoming Super Bowl LIX. Hosted by Chad Millman of the Action Network, the show features expert insights from prop betting veterans Chris Raybon and Sean Kerner. Together, they analyze and predict the most promising prop bets, offering listeners a comprehensive guide to maximizing their betting strategies for the big game.
Review of Previous Prop Bets
Chad Millman opens the discussion by reflecting on last week's prop bets, highlighting Sean Kerner's bet on Drew Tranquil's tackles and Chris Raybon's wager on Kansas City's field goals.
“[07:07] Chris Raybon: That was so long ago. Those are last week's props, bro. Let's get on.”
New Prop Bets for Super Bowl LIX
The core of the episode revolves around introducing and analyzing new prop bets. The experts present their selections, providing detailed reasoning for each choice.
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Field Goals by Kansas City Chiefs
Chris Raybon recommends betting on Kansas City kicking over 1.5 field goals at minus 125 odds, potentially rising to minus 150.
“[08:37] Chris Raybon: ...I think there's a high likelihood that you get at least two Harrison Butker field goals.”
Simon Hunter expresses cautious optimism, noting Kansas City's historical red-zone struggles.
“[09:51] Simon Hunter: ...even this season they've already struggled with it.”
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Saquon Barkley’s Rushing Attempts for Philadelphia Eagles
Sean Kerner introduces a high-stakes prop on Saquon Barkley leading in rushing attempts with over 15 attempts at minus 350 odds.
“[10:46] Matt Castle: ...minus 350 for Barkley to lead the game in rush attempts.”
The discussion highlights the potential for Barkley to dominate if the Eagles adopt a run-heavy game plan.
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Nolan Smith’s First Sack of the Game
Matt Castle presents a long-shot prop predicting Nolan Smith of the Eagles to record the first sack of the game at 16:1 odds.
“[20:42] Matt Castle: ...Nolan Smith at 16 to 1.”
Simon Hunter endorses the bet, emphasizing Smith's playoff performance and matchup against the Chiefs' offensive line.
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Combined Rushing Yards Under 285.5
Chris Raybon argues that the combined rushing yards for both teams will fall under 285.5 at minus 115 odds, citing strong run defenses and offensive line struggles.
“[16:08] Chris Raybon: ...combined rushing yards under 285 and a half for both teams.”
Simon Hunter adds that both teams' tendencies to run the ball in the second half will likely result in lower total rushing yards.
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Combined Passing Touchdowns Under 2.5
Chris Raybon suggests betting on under two and a half combined passing touchdowns for both teams at plus 150 odds.
“[39:30] Matt Castle: ...combined passing touchdowns under two and a half.”
The rationale includes strong defensive performances in recent playoff games and the possibility of conservative offensive strategies.
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Any Player with 100+ Rushing Yards
Matt Castle forecasts that no player will achieve over 100 rushing yards, offering plus 210 odds on the "No" side.
“[37:35] Matt Castle: Will any player have 100 plus rushing yards? I'm going with no at plus 210.”
This bet hinges on the expectation that Saquon Barkley, despite his prowess, may not surpass the 100-yard mark due to defensive stifling.
Strategic Insights and Coaching Adjustments
The experts discuss how coaches might adapt their strategies to counteract identified prop bet trends.
“[23:04] Matt Castle: ...the extra planning to slow down somebody that's been unstoppable like Barkley.”
Chad Millman raises a pertinent question about how much the teams can adjust their game plans over the two weeks leading up to the Super Bowl, potentially mitigating the proposed prop bets.
“[22:22] Chad Millman: ...it's no different than Andy Reid, Spagnolo, Fangio, you've got two weeks to game plan for your weaknesses.”
Contest and Honorable Mentions
The episode features a contest where listeners submitted creative prop bets. Sean Kerner announces the finalists and eventually reveals the winner, Jason Saidi, who presented the prop "Always Runny in Philadelphia" predicting the Eagles to exceed 280 rushing yards—a Super Bowl record.
“[65:49] Simon Hunter: ...I'm definitely going to be betting this because that's the best way for the Eagles to win…”
Jason Saidi explains his rationale, citing the Eagles' historical performance and Saquon Barkley's capabilities.
“[67:03] Sean Kerner: ...they have reached this number twice...”
Audience Engagement and Additional Bets
Throughout the episode, hosts encourage listener participation in ongoing contests and provide shout-outs to notable submissions, emphasizing the community aspect of the podcast.
“[55:53] Sean Kerner: ...It's a very clever way...”
Conclusion and Final Thoughts
As the episode wraps up, Chad Millman reiterates the key themes of conservative play styles and the prevalence of under bets, urging listeners to consider the presented prop bets seriously.
“[45:51] Chad Millman: ...any other kind of bets that's going to go under.”
Simon Hunter and Chris Raybon echo the sentiment, reinforcing their support for the under bets based on defensive strengths and offensive limitations.
“[67:13] Chad Millman: ...that's the best way for the Eagles to win…”
Notable Quotes
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Chad Millman at [22:22]:
"It's no different than Andy Reid, Spagnolo, Fangio, you've got two weeks to game plan for your weaknesses." -
Chris Raybon at [08:37]:
"I think there's a high likelihood that you get at least two Harrison Butker field goals." -
Sean Kerner at [16:08]:
"Combined rushing yards under 285 and a half for both teams." -
Jason Saidi at [65:59]:
"Always runny in Philadelphia, plus 1600."
Final Thoughts
"The Herd with Colin Cowherd" episode on Super Bowl LIX prop bets offers a thorough exploration of potential betting opportunities, backed by expert analysis and strategic insights. With a focus on under bets and conservative play strategies, listeners are equipped with valuable information to enhance their Super Bowl betting experience.
Additional Resources
For listeners interested in participating in the discussed prop bets or the ongoing contest, visit bet365 Super Bowl LIX Specials and explore the latest offers and bonus bets available.