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Jason McIntyre
This is an iHeart podcast.
Covino
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Adam Chernoff
Now, let's get this party started. You're listening to Fox Sports Radio.
Jason McIntyre
All right, our number two on the Herd. Are you ready for super bowl predictions in July? We will do this again in August because take a guess. Coward's taking another vacation next month. Hopefully. Rachel's around. Need you, Rach. Late August. It's gonna be rough.
Rachel Nichols
I gotcha.
Jason McIntyre
I gotcha. All right, good to know.
Rachel Nichols
Gotcha.
Jason McIntyre
We are joining you on a Friday from Los Angeles. We have Adam Chernoff. Folks, listen, if you follow me on the radio, my podcast, you know, this is one of the top gamblers in. In North America. I can't even say where he is. He's that good. But we're going to go through my super bowl and playoff prediction, so I'm going to start this out. Our staff has a great note. 36 straight seasons with four. Plus new playoff teams in the NFL. Keep that in mind. If you're thinking chalk, you're wrong. Let's get started. Here we go in the AFC East. Despite my shots at the Buffalo Bills this week and last week, I am picking the Buffalo Bills to win the AFC East. Last year with the Patriots. The Bills bounce back. They are the largest favorites of any team to win their division. I am not buying Joe Brady, but I do believe the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East. Patriots fans ear Muffett. Here we go. AFC North. I'm going with another team. Well, not another. A team that missed the playoffs last year. Baltimore Ravens. Listen, it was the final game of the season. Fluky stuff. Amazing fourth quarter, missed field goal at the horn. I got the Ravens bouncing back and winning the AFC North. Another division winner with a new head coach. Declan Doyle obviously calling plays for the first time in his career. Bullish on the Ravens. Let's go to the AFC South. There's a team I like a lot, the Houston Texans. I know nobody likes C.J. stroud. Give me C.J. stroud, baby. When the. When the public goes one way, I like to go the other. I'm betting on the defense. I'm betting on Stroud being a little bit better. 10 starters back on defense. Holy smokes. The division is going to be better. I know, I know. Some people think it's down. I think the Titans are going to be good. Daniel Jones is actually moving around, which is scary. Texans win the south in the AFC West. This is risky because of the net differential in scheduling and rest days. I'm going Chargers, Justin Herbert and Mike McDaniel. I think light the world on fire. I will have a Justin Herbert MVP ticket just for fun. I like the Chargers a lot. I'm down on the Broncos. Denver fans, you could, you know, stop watching. Cause I don't have you on the playoffs. All right, let's go to the wild card. The three wild card teams in the afc. Number one, the Chiefs. Mahomes is back. Reed is back. They did go one and nine and one score games last year. It was I believe 11 and oh the year before. They'll, they'll win five one score games and be fine. I, I don't love this team. I don't have them in the super bowl, but I have the Chiefs in the wild card. Next up, wildcard number two, the Cincinnati Bungles who were not in the playoffs last year. So for me if you're keeping score at home. Ravens, Chiefs and Bengals did not make the playoffs last year. I have all of them in the playoffs this year. I still do think though Zach Taylor is terrible. I like the upgrades on defense. The Cowboys upgraded on defense, so did the Bengals. And the final wild card team in the afc, it is not the jets, it is the Jaguars. We just talked about them. Yeah, they did lose three pretty good players I think. One on offense, a couple on defense. We shall see. I'm a believer in Liam Cohen. I do like the Travis Hunter return from injury is going to be big. This is a good team, man. Guys, stop selling the Jag short. Liam Cohen is a great coach. So those are my seven playoff teams in the afc. Let's head to the. Oh, there, there it is on the screen. Three new playoff teams. Remember four every year for the last 36 years. Let's go to the NFC right out of the gate. I'm going Eagles. I don't think there's any doubt about this. I think Dallas is going to be better. I think Rachel's commanders will be a little better. I'm not buying the Giants. Give me the Eagles 10 or 11 wins. Defense is nasty. AJ Brown will not be missed in the NFC North. I will go with the Detroit Lions. Bit of a surprise. They did not make the playoffs last year. The schedule is extremely fortuitive and I think that injuries that crippled them late in the year last year. You know, people are overlooking that this is a good team. I don't love Dan Campbell. I like him. I think Detroit wins the division in the NFC south again. You could basically pick this one out of a hat. I went Tampa, you know, Baker Mayfield, revenge season perhaps. Tampa did not make the playoffs last Year don't love their head coach. He's on the hot seat. I like Baker. I like the offense. Vita Vea wants out. Maybe they keep him. I don't know. I don't love this division. I go at bucks. NFC west, this is a layup. I, I think they need no introduction and we'll talk about them in the Super Bowl. The Rams, it would be a sh. If Stafford gets hurt, they're done. But other than that, anything less than a Super bowl trip, massive disappointment. So here are my three wild card teams in the nfc. Number one is a bit of a surprise and it's a late addition. It's the Minnesota vikings. We're showing McCarthy on the screen, but it's probably going to be the Kyler Murray Kevin o' Connell show. And the defense, it can potentially carry this team. Guys, they are very, very good. And how about this stat from our staff. 10 different starting offensive line combos. Last year, Christian Derrisau was down a lot. That is a huge get back for Minnesota. He is very, very good. Second wild card team staying in the division. Green Bay Packers, Jordan Love, Micah Parsons coming back Week six. I. I had hoped it would be earlier. It's just a brutal end to the season. Last year Love had some injuries. I like lafleur, man. I don't know all about all this Leflore on the hot seat nonsense. I like the packers as a wild card team. And finally, yeah, I know you're waiting. Seattle. The Seahawks sneak into the playoffs. They do return 20 of 22 starters, but they lose Kubiak, which is massive. And Kenneth Walker I think is a big loss. So there are the three wild card teams, three new playoff teams in the nfc, three in the afc. Now, I know people are not going to like that. We will quickly go my Super Bowl. I'll go with the conference championships and then the Super Bowl. In the afc I have, yes, the Houston Texans taking down the Chargers. I know that's going to have some heads exploding. Obviously they met in the playoffs two years ago when it was a bloodbath. I know. Guys, I. I'm go. I'm going defense and offense here. And I will go Texans. I can't believe I'm doing this. C.J. stroud in the Super Bowl. And then in the NFC, I'm going with the Rams over the Eagles, Stafford and company. Get it done. And they get back to Sofi for a second home game in the super bowl, which is insane. Setting up the Super Bowl. Rams, Texans and give me. I know Chalky Jason The Rams, led by Matt Stafford, win another super bowl, cementing his hall of Fame candidacy. I got the Rams taking down the Texans in the super bowl out here at SoFi. All right, that was a lot. I'm nervous that they're going to put that online and I'm going to get ripped apart. So let's go to Adam Chernoff, NFL analyst, gambling guru. I've known Adam. I don't think I've ever met Adam, but I've talked to him for many years. He is as sharp as it gets. Adam, you just saw my predictions. Anything you want to scoff at or agree with?
Adam Chernoff
What? You said you were not going to go chalk at the start of the segment and then you went with the chalkiest super bowl pick possible. So you're already taking flack online for the predictions. Yes. So I'm with you on the AFC championship, though. I don't know if I should be worried or feel better about that. But I'm with you on the Texans and the Chargers. Love. I like both of those teams a lot.
Jason McIntyre
Okay, let's start with the Chargers. I know you're very high on them. Can you tell us why? Because as a team with Herbert that hasn't won a playoff game.
Adam Chernoff
As a better I love a retread offensive coordinator that failed at the head coach and comes back. I think it's an awesome scenario for any team. And Mike McDaniel fits this team so well. He unlocks a lot of the issues that the Chargers have had, whether that's the offensive line issues, the lack of a run game. Think about San Francisco. For years they've had awesome offenses with a bad offensive line. McDaniel comes from that system. Think about Miami for years, bad offensive line, good offense. That was his system. This is what these styles of offense do. They disguise a lot of the offensive line issues which the Chargers have had and now they've got depth at the position. You have just a freak at QB and Herbert, I think this Chargers team is going to be awesome. I bet them to win the super bowl quite heavily and I might be down in Hermosa beach if they win. Living pretty comfortably comes February, so we'll see you down there.
Jason McIntyre
Let me ask, does that that offensive coordinator after getting fired as a head coach, does that apply to Tennessee as well with Dable?
Adam Chernoff
Yeah, not at the same level, but absolutely. I think we'll see him really elevate that Titans offense in a big way. If any of what we saw positive from Cam Ward second half of the season last year was real. He's going to exploit that a lot. We saw them go that way in the draft, adding a wide receiver and so yeah, I think it's a very exciting offense in Tennessee relative to expectations. It's just a lot harder to bet on a team like that when you're not expecting a deep run. So in season, absolutely. But season long, I'm not, not betting too much on top.
Jason McIntyre
Speaker 1 I want to talk about the Ravens and Lamar Jackson. So when last we spoke, you know, one of your big things is all these new offensive coordinators around the league. Like we don't have any proof of concept. What, what is Declan Doyle going to do? We don't totally know but the market is saying, hey Ravens, eleven and a half wins, Lamar is going to be fine. New head coach and Jesse Minter, talk to me about your thoughts on the Ravens and Lamar this season.
Adam Chernoff
Yeah, I think we're going to see a lot more of these late game scenarios go the right way for the Ravens. Over the last couple of seasons with Harbaugh and company there's been just inexplicable late fourth quarter collapses, games where the Ravens should have won that they didn't get those bounces late. I get the impression based on how things are building up in Ravens camp, what these coaches have been saying, it's just a refresh that's I think much needed in many ways and I think similar to what we saw in Chicago last year. Maybe not at that same level of like luck and good bounces, but I think we're going to see a lot of those late game scenarios go the way of the Ravens. I like the way the offense is trending. A lot of bad red zone luck with the decision to run Lamar less inside the 20. So I think that's going to break the way for the Ravens this year as well. So I think there's a lot of positive signs and we see the Ravens get those late game breaks which will matter a lot in the point spreads on a week to week basis.
Jason McIntyre
Yeah, just to stick in the division real quick. And the Cincinnati Bengals, a team I have bouncing back with Burrow similar to the Cowboys. The Bengals have like three or four or five new defensive starters. I don't love their head coach similar to the Cowboys. Where are you on Burrow and the Bengals? You know there was a lot of noise last year about Burrow not being happy he's going to talk to the owner after games. I don't know what to make of the Bengals.
Adam Chernoff
Boring TV answer. But they're rated exactly where they should be. The defense can't be worse than what it was a year ago, so it's going to be improvement. And we know that the offense is loaded. I don't think there's going to be many surprises. I just think there's a question of when it comes to late in the season, into the playoffs and you potentially making a run, is Taylor going to be the head coach that gets the Bengals over a big win against some of these other elite coaches in the afc? I tend to think the answer is no. And that's going to be hold them back this year with the offense coming back. I just, I'm not as optimistic on Cincinnati as I would be with a team like Baltimore in this division, so.
Jason McIntyre
So do you think a guy like Burrow can overcome like a Zach Taylor when the chips are down in January?
Adam Chernoff
Of course. But I'm just not in a spot right now with the price where it is and so much hype around them that I want to bet into that.
Jason McIntyre
All right, let's get into a team you really are bullish on. And that's the Green Bay packers in Jordan love. So weirdly, LaFleur people seem out on him. They're like, well, you know, if, if there wasn't an expanded playoffs, LaFleur would keep missing it every year. He's barely sneaking in and Jordan Love this and Micah Parsons that. And I, I don't seem to get it. I really like the Packers. Adam?
Adam Chernoff
Yeah, look at it in context, Jason. If we go back to December 14th last year, the packers were 9, 3 and 1. They were leading late in the third quarter by 11 points on the road in Denver with a win that would have been very much sealed the division for them. Instead, they lose that game, Parsons goes down and they lose every other game the rest of the season to blow up in the wild card round. So it was about 18 minutes away from us talking about this packers team right now in a very different manner. And that season last year was Jordan Love playing at an elite level without anybody healthy alongside the skill position players. He missed a couple of games. LaFleur out coached and switched the game plans massively when they went to Willis. I think LaFleur has done a fantastic job coaching and play calling and game planning. I think Love has been very good, especially the last season and a half. This is a team to me in this division that has by far the least number of questions in the NFC north of any of the other three teams. I don't know why there's not more positivity about the Packers. Their win totals come down a full win. There's so many people have been betting the under. I don't agree with that. I'm with you. I think the packers have some upside and so I bet over nine and a half wins.
Jason McIntyre
So. So do you think these everybody taking the under is that because of Micah Parsons and and Christian Watson's always hurt and the running back had a had an ugly off season arrest? I don't know. Are people just out on love and the floor?
Adam Chernoff
I think part of it is Jacobs. I don't think he's worth the full win. I don't think Parsons not returning should be a surprise to anybody who was betting that under. I think we'll see him come in mid Oct. As sort of the expectation and I just think there's a lot of hype around Chicago. I think there's a lot of betters loving Minnesota and what Murray might look like in that offense. And then the Lions have been danced around with the easiest strength of schedule and in history of the NFL like the 49ers were last year when San Francisco is getting bet over a ton. So I think that's playing into it a lot. And then there's this team with the packers that I just, I feel is a little bit underrated at the moment.
Jason McIntyre
Let's talk about those Chicago Bears. You know Colin Cowherd obviously now in Chicago. He is waving the pom poms for the Bears. Everybody likes them. Caleb Williams and the Comebacks last season. I I don't know man. The coach is saying we're the number one regression candidate trying to temper expectations. Talk about the Bears and, and Caleb.
Adam Chernoff
Great sound bite. I love that a coach is acknowledging these luck metrics that go from year to year. It's something I haven't really seen talked before, especially from a head coach. And so I, I look at the Bears two ways. One, in a traditional betting sense there is every warning sign known to any professional better that you want to run and bet the under on the Chicago Bears this season because of how much luck they had last year. All of the takeaways, the takeaways that led to big returns or in like just red zone scenarios. The Comebacks, the fourth quarter win probability over expectation. Like everything went the Bears weigh last season and you would want to bet the end of this year. My caveat with that is did it go that way because there was just overwhelming luck that's not going to be repeated or is that what happens when you Have a coach like Ben Johnson that changes the culture, brings a new level of play to the team and elevates players on both sides of the ball. I think it's not as cut and dry as it used to be. Betting the NFL maybe five years ago, where you would just automatically bet into those scenarios. I think we're seeing Ben Johnson and a lot of younger coaches come in and really change teams and franchises. So I think that's real for me. I'm more invested in the packers and that's where I'm looking at the NFC North. But I wouldn't just run to blindly fade the Bears because of the luck metrics like so many are.
Jason McIntyre
And I don't know how this would factor into your handicapping, but Liam Cohen of the Jags was like, hey, nobody talks about us. I go to NFL.com and I got 40 photos of Caleb Williams. So nationally there is a narrative being shaped about the Bears. Podcast, tv, radio. So does that factor in at all? Because then the public, I'm assuming, hears all this Bears excitement, sees it and just so betting hand over fist, Bears over as Caleb mvp, all that stuff.
Adam Chernoff
Nobody's talking about the Jaguars because it's July 31st and they're in Jacksonville. So that's. Liam Cohen needs to pump the brakes a little bit there. I don't mean it as a knock for a 13 win season, but it is what it is. When we're talking about big market teams mid summer, does it factor in the handicapping? I think sure. Like we're seeing the Bears be bet very differently than how they would have been five to six years ago with expanded sports betting, with expanded media, with expanded knowledge of just preview content and luck metrics and things like that. The Bears are very, very popular over this season and typically years past dating myself a little bit, but they certainly would have been a very popular under. So certainly there's teams like that. We have to look at it and say these are being bet much differently. Is there value going the other way? And that's different from years past. So yes, absolutely.
Jason McIntyre
What about for regression candidate? If the Bears aren't your number one or you had to pick a two or three, would the Broncos be up there with Bo nicks? They win 14 games last year, but I'm seeing nine and a half as a win total. And there's a lot of questions about, you know, Manta Tao, the former Notre Dame linebackers, like, listen, Bo Nix is pretty much holding this team back and we're at the point where Sean Payton has given up play calling duties to Davis Webb, another new oc. I don't know what we can expect from him. But what are you, what are you thinking on the Broncos as a regression candidate?
Adam Chernoff
Well, I'll look at the Broncos for a second and then I think we should talk about the Seahawks. So from the Broncos perspective, I do think there's always going to be a limit to where this team can go as an offense. With Bonex a quarterback, I think that's a very real statement. Last year was heavily masked by the defensive performance, which I think again is going to be as strong. But the question is when it's now against a much more difficult schedule and it's put in a different context and it's another season, does that change and is it repeatable? And I think the answer is more likely a no than a yes. And so I'm not as not as high on the Broncos as the market is. And then Seattle, Jason, another interesting team in that Darnold, 20 turnovers last season and offense now without their play caller. And Kubiak, I would look at Seattle, a very similar team makeup towards Denver and say that Seattle's likely the bigger regression candidate. Just because you don't have that play caller that was able to do so much with the offense and allow that defense to take over games, I think that's a massive loss for Seattle that they're not going to be able to overcome. And Kubiak's made two teams the last two years with a ton of question marks look way better than they should have been. And in Denver at least that play caller, even though he's given up play calling duties, all of that knowledge is still in house. And so I think that's a benefit for Denver. I would say Seattle's the bigger regression candidate of the two.
Jason McIntyre
So what when you say regression, what does that mean? Like hey, they're not going to get back to the super bowl or they're not winning the division or I don't know that they're a wild card team.
Adam Chernoff
Well, they're not getting back to the Super Bowl. I don't think they win the division. I think they go under 10 and a half wins. Wild card team certainly in play. That's how I look at it. But the bet would be under 10
Jason McIntyre
and a half wins and I'm sure there's people out there saying, hey, hey, Sam Darnold, all he does is win. Adam, what are you talking about? He went 14 and three in Minnesota and then he went 14 and three. How do we get people to articulate that wins are not a quarterback stat as much as they are a team station. And the Seattle defense was extraordinary last season.
Adam Chernoff
Seattle defense, you're right, was as good as it gets last year. And again, I think we have to really start thinking about coaching and play calling as being something that can elevate in disguise quarterbacks and offenses and hide a lot of weaknesses within it. And we really need to start awarding better coaches with more praise and more airtime, especially on media. Like we saw what o' Connell did with Donald, we saw what Kubiak did with him. I'm a Jets fan, as are you. We saw what Darnold looks like when he didn't have superior coaching around him. And so you're right, it's not a QB win stat is not a real thing. But let's start talking about the coaches and the play callers more, okay?
Jason McIntyre
Speaking of the new Seahawks offensive coordinator, is it Pierce? Is that his last name? Like that's exactly the point. Like they go from Kubiak and as you said, Kevin o' Connell to now a guy who never has called plays, right?
Adam Chernoff
Yeah. Brian Fleury. I don't know what we're going to make of it but. But we'll see. They're going to rely on the run game a lot. Can they replace Kenneth Walker? What can they get from the offensive line for another season is a big question mark. The defense is going to be elite again, but is the offense going to be able to sustain it in that division, which is just going to be absolutely brutal this season? I think the answer is no.
Jason McIntyre
So I don't know if you saw the news that the Niners added Debo Samuel on a one year $7 million deal. He did nothing in Washington and it kind of speaks to their issues at wide receiver. I mean, this is an old team, Adam. I'm selling. I sold my Niner stock even though I love Brock Purdy. Any thoughts on the Niners? Kyle Shanahan had a rough has had a rough month. Where are you on San Fran?
Adam Chernoff
Yeah, I'm curious to see what that disruption with camp and lead up to the season looks like with Shanahan's incident. I don't know what that's going to play out as. When I was looking at this team a couple of weeks ago before any of the news, I thought it was a very good thing that they bring in Evans and you finally have that true X receiver that's been desperately needed. I, I want to be more optimistic about the 49ers than I am. But I just. It's a team that consistently I just can't figure out if it's internal with sports science with the trainers. It's such a hard team to bet on season long because they're just always finding themselves in injury situations. And I know that's a little bit cliche to say is it better as injury talk has become so common but it's just a real thing with the 49ers that I can't quite get. And you mentioned the age factor that comes from it and the usage with McCaffrey. It's just so many question marks that I don't feel confident betting season long. And so I think it's going to be a competitive team. I think the offense is as it always will be with Shanahan, will be competitive in the division. But I just, I have a hard time trying to lock up any money longer term with the 49ers on and over.
Jason McIntyre
Real quick actually, since we just talked Niners. I remember. So earlier this week we saw the Bijan Robinson Jameer Gibbs are both holding in right. These are third year running backs or they had three good years. They're looking to get paid significantly.
Adam Chernoff
Right.
Jason McIntyre
And I wonder like Christian McCaffrey was dominating in Carolina, they didn't win anything and they end up trading him now they waited too long, you know, two years in a row he gets hurt after the heavy usage and they kind of kick started things again. I'm just. I know they're not trading Gibbs out of Detroit, but I look at Atlanta sad sack franchise. You're already shaking your head. They don't have a quarterback, you know, new coach, they're not going anywhere. The Falcons are not winning anything with Bijan. He's going to want top of the market. I don't know. Am I crazy to even speculate? Hey man, maybe we just flip Bijan for some picks.
Adam Chernoff
Yes. And this is not as crazy as your JJ McCarthy take last year when I was on my show that I tried to talk you out of.
Jason McIntyre
Yes.
Adam Chernoff
But I saw the clip yesterday and I'm looking on my phone and I'm like Jason, no, don't take, take that down. It's not happening. There's no way that they can consider trading him. He's. He's the cornerstone of that offense. Everything runs through him and revolves around him. They're starting to figure out wide receiver depth as well. Hang on with the Falcons.
Jason McIntyre
Wait, you like that? Hold on. You're in on Penix to a nonsense
Adam Chernoff
I they've got to figure out the quarterback situation, obviously, but I think there's 18 other franchises in the NFL that would kill to have the skill position set up that the Falcons find themselves in. So let's, let's back up from the trade.
Jason McIntyre
Fair enough. So we'll wrap up with a Jets chatter. One of my buddies is actually bullish on the Jets. He does some previews and a lot of other people are like four or five wins. I don't want wins. I just want competitive and losses. Your thoughts on the jets and then if you've looked at quarterbacks next year, who do you want? And by the way, Baker Mayfield can I guess get countered in that since he's leaving Tampa?
Adam Chernoff
Yeah, the Mayfield scenario is a weird one, especially with Bowles, I think quietly on a hot seat too with that defense continuously underperforming. But that's something that will play out through the season. As a, this is coming from a non betting perspective and just as a Jets fan, okay, I will do whatever I would be in support of whatever happens on the field for this team to move on from the coaching staff entirely. I think the coaching staff is going to limit any growth this team has on either side of the ball. I don't if that's two wins, three wins, whatever it takes. We're just stuck in this endless cycle. It's going to be another embarrassing season and and I'm ready for it because I'll never change.
Jason McIntyre
And you want Arch Manning or no,
Adam Chernoff
Anything is better than Geno Smith at the moment.
Jason McIntyre
Yes. All right, Adam, turn off NFL gambling guru covers the NFL. Been around the league for a while. Adam, thanks a lot man. Enjoy your summer.
Adam Chernoff
Thanks very much. Chat to you soon.
Jason McIntyre
Great stuff from Adam. All right, coming up next, so Fernando Mendoza has spoken about being a backup. Is he, is he cool with that? We'll talk about that next in Herdline news.
Covino
One more herd.
Jason McIntyre
The herd streams 24 hours a day, seven days a week within the iHeartRadio
Adam Chernoff
app search herd to listen live or
Jason McIntyre
on demand whenever you'd like.
Covino
Hey, we're Covino and Rich, Fox Sports
Jason McIntyre
radio every day 5 to 7pm Eastern.
Adam Chernoff
But here's the thing.
Jason McIntyre
We never have enough time to get to everything we want to get to.
Covino
And that's why we have a brand new podcast called Over Promised. You see, we're having so much fun in our two hour show. We never get to everything, honestly, because this guy is over promising things we never have time for.
Jason McIntyre
Yeah, you blubberlips blaming me.
Covino
Well, you know what it's called Over Promise. You should be good at it because you've been over promising women for years. Well, it's a Covino and Rich after show and we want you to be a part of it. We're gonna be talking sports, of course, but we're also gonna talk life and relationships. And if Rich and I are arguing about something or we didn't have enough time, it will continue on our after show called Over Promised.
Jason McIntyre
Well, if you don't get enough Covino,
Covino
Rich, make sure you check out Over
Rachel Nichols
Promise and also uncensored, by the way,
Jason McIntyre
so maybe we'll go at it even a little harder. It's going to be the best after
Covino
show podcast of all time.
Rachel Nichols
There you go.
Covino
Over Promising. And remember, you could see it on YouTube, but definitely join us Listen Over Promised with Covino and rich on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Alienware's Back to School Events the perfect time to score top gaming gear with incredible features in Intel Core processors to go beyond performance, save big on gaming desktops, laptops and more. Start your Alienware journey with the Alienware 15 gaming laptop featuring Intel Core processors. Smoothly game live stream and multitask for hours on end. Plus play through every game exactly how you want with customizable Alien FX lighting across your Alienware ecosystem, creating your very own gaming profile and more. Finally, pair your incredibly smooth gaming experience and immersive visuals and sound by saving on sleek Alienware monitors, headsets and more. This limited time sale awaits you now@alienware.com deals that's alienware.com deals this episode brought to you by Verizon Business when we watch the World cup, we focus on the stars, the players, the coaches, the matches. But here's what's fascinating. What does it take to make an event this big actually work? The World cup from FIFA isn't just the biggest ever. It's also the most technologically complex. 104 matches, 16 stadiums, 3 countries. Think about that. That's not just a sporting event. That's one of the biggest logistical and technological challenges in the world. And with billions of people watching, there's no room for error. But for Verizon business, that's another day. With private 5G networks in every stadium, more than 80,000 miles of fiber, end to end security. Verizon business is powering FIFA's World Cup. If Verizon business can do that, imagine what they can do for your business. Visit verizon.com powering FIFAWorldCup now to learn more. Now more than ever, Americans need a laugh. Enter the Super Troopers to the rescue. Vermont's finest and most shockingly offensive mustachioed highway patrol officers return to the big screen in Super Troopers 3. More pullover pranks. More over the top shenanigans than ever. The latest installment of the cult comic classic Rod Farva is the wildly over the top Indian engagement to Thorny Sister spirals out of control. Debauchery, bachelor parties, a wedding that Thorny's desperate to stop, and a dangerous drug smuggling ring all threaten the troops. Friendship and future. Fill your liter of cola, grab your buds and roll up to the multiplex for Super Troopers 3. Only in theaters August 7th. Get tickets. Meow. For any small business owner, there's a moment when you realize the next hire could be the difference between staying busy and actually growing. The challenge is finding the right person wasting time sorting through candidates who aren't the right fit. That's where Indeed Sponsored Jobs comes in, where a workplace chaos hits and you need somebody who can step in and make a difference. This is a job for Sponsored Jobs. It helps you put your job in front of candidates who match the criteria that matter most to you, whether it's skills, experience, certifications or location. And you're certainly not alone in using Indeed. Join the 3.3 million employers worldwide that use Indeed to connect with quality talent and that fits their needs. That's millions of businesses turning to Indeed to help solve hiring challenges and find people who can drive results. Spend less time searching, more time actually interviewing candidates who check all the boxes. Less stress, less time, more results. Get your $75 sponsored job credit today@ Indeed.com podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Hiring now then, this is a job for Indeed sponsored jobs.
Jason McIntyre
All right folks, that was like 30 powerful min on the NFL. Hope you learned something. Let's go to Rachel Nichols with the news where we'll learn a lot. No, no, no.
Adam Chernoff
Turn on the news. This is the Herd Line news.
Rachel Nichols
No. No medical advice in this segment, Jason. But I do want to continue the conversation you were having with Adam about Jordan Love. Jordan Love was at camp and he's saying that he's actually using some of the experience he gained backing up Aaron Rodgers and his relationship with head coach Matt LaFleur. He noted that when he was a Backup, he watched LaFleur and Rodgers, quote, bounce stuff off each other and now he finally feels he's reached that level with LaFleur and he feels comfortable talking to him about what he likes to run situationally, that kind of thing. I Want to bear down on this a little more, though, because Jordan's in his fourth year as a starter, right. And if you look at sort of his body of work so far, he's got a 64% completion percentage. Good. Not great good. Right. 83 touchdowns, 31 interceptions. Good. Right. Feel okay about that so far?
Jason McIntyre
Yeah.
Rachel Nichols
Yeah.
Adam Chernoff
Okay.
Rachel Nichols
All right. Last year he's made the playoffs. In fact, he's made the playoffs every single year he's been a starter. Good. Last year, though, in the wild card round, we saw Caleb Williams badly outplayed him in that second half, right? I mean, the packers were up by 20 points. And Caleb comes back, throws these miracle throws. Great touchdown at the end of the Jordan coughs up the ball. He's got a 98 passer rating over his three years. So far, that puts him at about 11th. You had him at eighth in your quarterback rankings. Is Jordan Love a Super bowl winning quarterback? Ooh. Can you win a Super bowl with Jordan Love?
Adam Chernoff
Yeah.
Jason McIntyre
I mean, you just won one with Sam Darnold. You know, who was the other guy? Jalen Hurts won one before that. Wait, wait, wait.
Rachel Nichols
I'm sorry. Where are you on Jalen Hurts?
Jason McIntyre
Jalen Hurts won a Super Bowl.
Rachel Nichols
I get it. You're telling us Jalen Hurts should be one of the greatest things since sliced bread. Now you're using him as an example. The mid lane quarterback.
Jason McIntyre
I think the, the. I'm talking about other people who don't like Hurts. I'm like, Hurts won a Super Bowl.
Rachel Nichols
All right?
Jason McIntyre
I like Love. People don't like him. Love can win a Super Bowl. Roger Purdy was like one defensive stop away from beating Mahomes in the Super Bowl. I think, yeah. Jordan Love for sure. Do you think he can win a Super Bowl?
Adam Chernoff
I do.
Rachel Nichols
I just think it's interesting. He's talking about, hey, I've reached this point. Point, right? I can have. I can have an opinion about what we run when I have this relationship now with the head coach. And by the way, stability. Half the job, right? In the NFL, if you can have that stability between the head coach, the signal caller, the guys, you know, down the field, this is all great. You have seen enough of Jordan Love, though, to go from highly touted prospect to now, you know what he can do in the NFL, he's not going to make some huge leap from here. So how confident are you if you were a Packers fan?
Jason McIntyre
Oh, yeah. So you're saying, like, this is what he is.
Rachel Nichols
This is what he is.
Jason McIntyre
He's a good. He's a good quarter. Some of the EPA numbers, success rate say that Jordan Love's pretty good and better than, like, the counting numbers. I think some of that could be the LaFleur offense. I just. Last year, that Bears game still gets my goat. People say that anymore. I had money on the packers and. And the Bears got. The Bears got lucky. Come on, rach. It was 20, 20 to 3, 23,
Rachel Nichols
21 3, 21 3.
Jason McIntyre
And they just collapse. And it was. That was devastating. I think some of that's on the floor. It's not all on Love. No, no, no. Yeah.
Rachel Nichols
Again, everywhere you put him, he is, like, right at the bottom of the top third of quarterbacks.
Adam Chernoff
Yeah.
Rachel Nichols
It is just interesting. In today's NFL, passing rules have changed. You know, the way you can touch the quarterback has changed so much since I started covering the league. The importance of a great quarterback, if we look at who has won. And again, Sam Darnold is a great counterpoint to this because while he is certainly underrated, he is not one of the greats. So the. The book has been in the Mahomes era and the Josh Allen era and the Lamar Jackson era that you need one of these great quarterbacks. And I'm just curious, if you're a Packers fan, how you feel about Jordan Levin? I mean, what do you feel about their prospects overall this. This season going on?
Jason McIntyre
Yeah, I'm bullish on the Packers. I mean, it's tough to be bullish when you're in a conference with the Rams, you know, but if. If you're giving me. Every single player in the league on every team is healthy, I think the packers are definitely, like, a top six team in the league.
Rachel Nichols
All right, I like that. I like that. All right, so Jordan Love, he's a vet now.
Jason McIntyre
Yes.
Rachel Nichols
Seal of approval. All right. Let's talk about one of those big guys, though. Josh Allen. The Bills went out and got him a lot of help when they picked up DJ Moore. And it looks like it's going well. There's been big catches made so far. Far in training camp. You know, those catches against error. But still, we like them. Bill's mafia, lots of cheers. Everyone's really happy. And take a listen to Alan talk about how their chemistry has been building.
Adam Chernoff
Still learning him, just trying to get on the same page. And I feel myself trying to be, like, perfect when I'm throwing him and some of the routes on air. And today I walked up to him, I'm just like, hey, I'm just gonna throw it. Like, I'm Gonna pick a spot and let it go. And I'm not trying to aim it anymore. Like. And I felt like once I said that, like, things kind of clicked for us. And again, just each day that goes by, we're going to try to continue to get more comfortable with each other.
Rachel Nichols
I like that. Not trying to aim it anymore. Like, you go get it. I think that's actually a really good sign. Is D.J. i mean, there's been a lot of changes with the Bills. From the head coach down, do you feel like DJ Moore is one of the real things that could finally get Josh Allen his Super bowl ring?
Jason McIntyre
Clearly, the wide receiver on the outside has been a weakness. Right. I mean, they didn't love Keon Coleman. Shakir's on the inside side. The tight ends are solid, but you need someone to space it out so that Josh Allen can have room to run. And Cook can cook. Yeah. It's tough not to like DJ Moore. I just. I don't know if he's like, do you, Rachel, do you think he's the kind of receiver you need to commit a safety to? Or could you just say, hey, we're going to put our number one corner on Moore and we're not giving you what you want, which is a hugely space field.
Rachel Nichols
I think you do need to give him safety attention. He's good at beating man coverage. I mean, that's really where teams have tried to squeeze Josh Allen over these past couple seasons, is heavy blitz, man coverage, that kind of thing. And, like, I think this is a guy who can break free of that. It's going to be a big weapon for him. And the Yak yards is a big deal with me. With Moore, too, he did not have his best season last season, but yards after catch, even with having a down season last year, he was sixth in yards after catch. That's a big deal. And when you can get that, it's just an extra yard or two more than the other guy. That gets you that first down, that gets you that next chance that keeps you on the field. So even if it's not an explosive play, those are the kinds of things where you see offenses scrape into a field goal, another touchdown, the kinds of things that put you ahead in games. And I think, actually, I think it's a big deal. And don't underlie the Joe Brady connection.
Jason McIntyre
Yes.
Rachel Nichols
Because he had some of his best seasons in Carolina with Brady and Brady the OC there.
Jason McIntyre
For sure.
Rachel Nichols
So I like it. I actually think this is a big deal. And I like when Josh says I've stopped aiming at him. I think that was a. That's very interesting. It's good to see that. All right, let's get over to our favorite story. Your story, my story, the Fernando Mendoza story. Jason, you and I have been debating all summer whether it should be Fernando Mendoza or Kirk Cousins at QB in Las Vegas. And yesterday, Clint Kubiak made it clear that I was right and you were wrong and that Cousins is going to be the starter at least so far during camp. Now, we know Mendoza is going to get a chance to. To push the veteran. He's going to get some first team reps. But even he, Fernando Mendoza, is about to tell you that this is okay. Jason, take a listen.
Adam Chernoff
We have so many great leaders across the offense, defense that have heightened the sense of urgency, and that starts with Coach Kubiak. So
Covino
I'm taking a following role right now with those veteran leaders, and I'm
Adam Chernoff
just trying to do my part, focus
Covino
on the next rep, and do everything
Adam Chernoff
I possibly can to prepare myself to be the best asset I can for
Covino
my team and whatever decisions made at the end, that's fantastic.
Adam Chernoff
And I'm all for. I just want the.
Covino
I just want the team to win.
Adam Chernoff
So that's where I'm at.
Jason McIntyre
Love that guy.
Rachel Nichols
He's accepted it. Can you accept Jason? Jason, can we reach. It's Friday. Can we reach a point of acceptance here?
Jason McIntyre
So, Rachel, if you close your eyes and listen to that, you would think like, oh, that sounds like the offensive coordinator or the head coach. He's just so good at speaking. I am. Honestly, if you said, hey, we could get through any three guests you want on the show, who would you want? I would want Curry, obviously. Steph Curry, you know, my guy. And I think Mendoza would be one of the other two guys that I pick. He just sounds awesome. He's honest and truthful and, like, that's just not something you get these days that he doesn't give you quarterback speak.
Rachel Nichols
He sounds like a guy who understands he might need a few weeks to learn how to be a starting NFL quarterback.
Jason McIntyre
A few weeks? Yes. By August 28th.
Rachel Nichols
No, no, no, no. Look, I actually went back the other day after leaving a morning meeting with you and being like, jason, Jason, Jason. So here we go. He has had 12 training camp days. 12, including mini camps. Remember, he missed a couple for that Rookie Symposium. In 12 days, you are not learning to play under center. Right. He was in the gun his entire college career. Yeah, dude, give him a moment. He said the other day on the podium he said, I'm still learning the playbook. He said, I don't even have the playbook down. One thing I do really like the sort of affect you're talking about his mannerisms. It's not just for us at the podium. His teammates are saying this is the real deal. He's not like faking it for the cameras. He is very open, he's willing to learn. There's no I'm the number one pick energy. The offensive linemen are correcting him in practice and that normally is not allowed. Right. Maybe a skill position guy could give him some tips. But the offensive linemen say he wants them to tell him things. And the other guy who's been helping him a lot, this is interesting. Max Crosby, other side of the ball, obviously, but really giving him an idea of sort of how to just be an NFL player and do that. So I love this. This is, this is. I think they're handling this exactly the right way. No surprise, a Tom Brady led Raiders team knows how to develop a quarterback. And I think it is finally time for you to acknowledge at the end of our run here together this week that I was right and you were wrong.
Jason McIntyre
By the way, if anybody wants more Mendoza content, go look up his ACC media day when he was at Cal. Like he's at the table and nobody's asking him questions. And like one guy comes up to ask him and he gives this amazing answer. You're like, oh, oh my gosh, this guy's a gold mine. All right, Rachel with the news.
Adam Chernoff
Well, that's the news and thanks for stopping by the herd lie news. Oh boy.
Jason McIntyre
Listen, Kyle Whittingham seems like a nice guy. He's also 66 years old and I don't know that he has a hateful bone in his body. Is that going to be enough for Michigan football fans who want him to hate Ohio State? That's next. Be sure to catch live editions of
Adam Chernoff
the Herd, weekdays at noon Eastern, 9am Pacific on Fox Sports Radio, FS1 and the iHeartRadio app.
Covino
Alienware's back to school events. The perfect time to score top gaming gear with incredible features and Intel Core processors. To go beyond performance, save big on gaming desktops, laptops and more. Start your Alienware journey with the Alienware 15 gaming laptop featuring intel core processors smoothly game live stream and multitask for hours on end. Plus play through every game exactly how you want with customizable Alien FX lighting across your Alienware ecosystem, creating your very own gaming profile and more. Finally, pair your incredibly smooth gaming experience and immersive visuals and sound by saving on sleek Alienware monitors, headsets and more. This limited time sale awaits you now@alienware.com deals. That's alienware.com deals this episode brought to you by Verizon Business when we watch the World cup, we focus on the stars, the players, the coaches, the matches. But here's what's fascinating. What does it take to make an event this big actually work? The World cup from FIFA isn't just the biggest ever. It's also the most technologically complex. 104 matches, 16 stadiums, 3 countries. Think about that. That's not just a sporting event. That's one of the biggest logistical and technological challenges in the world. And with billions of people watching, there's no room for error. But for Verizon business, that's another day with private 5G networks in every stadium, more than 80,000 miles of fiber, end to end security. Verizon business is powering FIFA's World Cup. If Verizon Business can do that, imagine what they can do for your business. Visit verizon.com powering FIFA World cup now to learn more. Now more than ever, Americans need a laugh. Enter the Super Troopers to the rescue. Vermont's finest and most shockingly offensive mustachioed highway patrol officers return to the big screen in Super Troopers 3. More pullover pranks. More over the top shenanigans than ever. The latest installment of the cult comedy classic Rod Farva is the wildly over the top Indian engagement to Thorny sister spirals out of control debauchery, bachelor parties, a wedding that Thorny's desperate to stop in a dangerous drug smuggling ring. All threaten the troops, friendship and future. Fill your liter of cola, grab your buds and roll up to the multiplex for Super Troopers 3. Only in theaters August 7th. Get tickets? Meow. For any small business owner, there's a moment when you realize the next hire could be the difference between staying busy and actually growing. The challenge is finding the right person without wasting time sorting through candidates who aren't the right fit. That's where indeed Sponsored Jobs comes in, where a workplace chaos hits and you need somebody who can step in and make a difference. This is a job for Sponsored Jobs. It helps you put job in front of candidates who match the criteria that matter most to you, whether it's skills, experience, certifications, or location. And you're certainly not alone in using Indeed. Join the 3.3 million employers worldwide that use indeed to connect with quality talent that fits their needs. That's millions of businesses turning to Indeed to help solve hiring challenges and find people who can drive results. Spend less time searching, more time actually interviewing candidates who check all the boxes. Less stress, less time, more results. Get your 75 doll sponsored job credit today@ Indeed.com podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Hiring now then, this is a job for Indeed.
Rachel Nichols
Sponsored Jobs Saturday night is baseball night in America and this week two iconic clubs shining under the lights in prime time. Ben Rice and the Yankees facing Pete Crow, Armstrong and the Cubs. You know you want to watch that tomorrow, 7 o' clock Eastern only on Fox.
Jason McIntyre
I want to go back to my NFL predictions. I had a couple whoppers, but again the staff found an incredible stat. In the last 36 years when it comes to picking NFL playoff teams, there have been four or more new playoff teams every year. So these were mine. Now in the afc, the new playoff teams, Ravens, Chiefs, Bengals have superstar quarterbacks, three of the top four quarterbacks in the NFL. So that's not really out on a limb. Nothing crazy there in the nfc. Again, Jared Goff, highly thought of. I think the Vikings are a surprise to some and I think, you know, nobody really thinks about the sorry NFC south people, but nobody thinks about them. Some people have the Saints in there. Our guest Adam Chernoff I believe has the Saints. Some folks like Carolina. Again, I don't really think it matters that whoever wins that division is not doing Jack squad anyway. The Vikings are interesting because I know people are going to be like, where are the Bears? The Bears are ascending. And then you have on guests who, you know, articulated and turn off, broke it down. Like the Bears are one of the prime regression candidates. And we actually talked to someone who's like, you know, the Dallas Cowboys are going to be good, but I don't know if they're a playoff team. I had them missing the playoffs. Again, I can see them sneaking in, but who you putting them over? You put them over the packers or Seahawks. So here's Daniel Popper earlier from the Athletic talking about whether or not the Cowboys are actual wild card contenders.
Adam Chernoff
The offense was a top five offense last year. They finished fifth in EPA per play according to True Media, which is sort of like a comprehensive offensive stat. They had one of the best receiver duos in the league. They have a really good quarterback. Javante Williams is back. He's coming off a career season. The offensive line is really good. Like I expect the offense to be among the best in the league if everyone stays healthy. The big thing for me is defense. Like if they were even like a top 20 defense last year, you're talking about a playoff team. The defense was really, really bad, so they went out and they got Christian Parker, a defensive coordinator. They did a lot of stuff on defense in terms of bringing on talent, and if they can get that unit to be competitive, then I think the Cowboys are absolutely in the mix of the playoffs.
Jason McIntyre
It's weird, Rachel. The Cowboys and Bengals have so many similarities. Except the Bengals, of course, went to the Super Bowl a few years ago, but they have invested heavily in offense. They've got multiple highly paid star wide receivers, and then no defense. But both.
Rachel Nichols
This is the year, Jason. The defense is going to step it up.
Jason McIntyre
Which one, Bengals or Cowboys?
Rachel Nichols
Just all of them.
Jason McIntyre
Both. Okay.
Rachel Nichols
So obviously you said they're so similar that they were hearing the exact same things coming out of camp.
Jason McIntyre
Yeah. And I don't like either of their coaches, but I'm sure in the NFC you have Washington winning the East. Other than that, guess. Do you have. Is there agreement, alignment, much disagreement?
Rachel Nichols
I don't have them winning in the east, as I'm sure you know. That's a slow and steady progression, Jason.
Jason McIntyre
Slow, steady.
Rachel Nichols
I do think that the Cowboys actually are more in the mix maybe, than
Jason McIntyre
you do for the division or wild card.
Rachel Nichols
Wild card. I mean, I don't think they're a Super bowl contender, as apparently Dak and Jerry Jones do, but I do think they made substantive changes on the defense. And that offense is. I mean, look, I actually don't have a problem with Dak trying to get the offense to have some pride and the Gotti stuff, and we're the greatest offense and all of that. I don't think you. I don't think you compare yourself to the greatest, you know, greatest show on turf. I think that might have been a bit of an overreach, but I do think that having a little bit of, like, we're the. We're the stuff. We're going to be around. We're. We're the ones to contend with. That's a good thing, especially on a team that hasn't had as much to crow about. And they are excellent. And I think that if this defense can just hold it together and you heard our guest talking about that, you just need to be top 20. That's all you need to do. I think they have a real shot. Yeah.
Jason McIntyre
So I. In the afc, the two teams that were in the AFC title game, I have neither making the playoffs. That's a little bold, but did I make any major missteps there?
Rachel Nichols
I don't like the Texans pick that you have for the AFC Championship game and certainly not for the Super Bowl. I just, I need to see it from CJ Stroud. And if I'm wrong, wonderful. I love it when people prove me wrong with success, but I just, I don't know, man. It's been a struggle.
Jason McIntyre
Yeah, it has. All right, the final hour of the week is coming up. We call it the Power Hour. Keep it locked, Rachel and I. Oh, it's going to be fun.
Covino
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Jason McIntyre
This is Angie Martinez from IRL podcast here to tell you about something new and delicious from McDonald's. So they just released an all new Caesar sauce that is a creamy blend of rich Parmesan, zesty lemon and bold garlic flavors. The sauce on a Chicken Caesar snack wrap or the McCrispy strips. Delicious. Which by the way, the crispy strips are even crispier now and that combination is perfect for McDonald's and for a drink. I'll probably have a nice cold Sprite to go along with that perfectly and
Adam Chernoff
I will be a happy girl.
Jason McIntyre
Don't take my word for it. Try it out for yourself for a limited time while supplies last at participating
Covino
McDonald's every day, American heroes put it all on the line to protect our freedoms, communities and families. And behind every folded flag and retired uniform is a family that carries the weight of their sacrifice. Folds of Honor steps in with educational scholarships for spouses and children of fallen or disabled military service members and first responders. The mission is life changing and monthly donations make it possible. Become a donor today@foldsofhonor.org to help meet their sacrifice with hope. Plans can be a maybe for people with chronic migraine 15 or more headache days a month, each lasting four hours or more. Botox Onobotulinum Toxin a prevents headaches in adults with chronic migraine. It's not for those with 14 or fewer headache days a month. It Prevents on average 8 to 9 headache days a month versus 6 to 7 for placebo. Prescription Botox is injected by your doctor. Dr. Botox effects may spread hours to weeks after injection, causing serious symptoms. Alert your doctor right away as trouble swallowing, speaking, breathing, eye problems or muscle weakness can be signs of a life threatening condition. Those with these conditions before injection are at highest risk. Side effects may include allergic reactions like rash, breathing problems, dizziness, neck and injection site pain and headache. Don't receive Botox if there's a skin infection. Tell your doctor your medical history, muscle or nerve conditions like als, Myasthenia gravis or Lambert Eaton syndrome, and medicines like botulinum toxins, which may increase the risk of serious side effects. Make a plan and ask your doctor about Botox. Visit botoxchronicmigraine.com or call 1-844botox.
Rachel Nichols
This is an I Heart Podcast.
Jason McIntyre
Guaranteed human.
Episode Date: July 31, 2026
Hour 2: NFL Playoff Predictions, Josh Allen + DJ Moore Expectations
Contributors: Jason McIntyre, Rachel Nichols, Adam Chernoff
In this lively, prediction-packed episode, Jason McIntyre (in for Colin Cowherd), Rachel Nichols, and NFL gambling analyst Adam Chernoff dive deep into NFL playoff and Super Bowl predictions for the 2026 season. They analyze playoff team turnover trends, debate sleeper teams and regression candidates, and authentically assess major QB storylines—particularly around Jordan Love, Josh Allen’s new connection with DJ Moore, and rookie scenarios across the league. The tone is playful, sharp, and conversational, blending stats-heavy debate with memorable insights.
[03:02-08:58]
[03:02-08:58]
[08:59-10:15]
[09:50-10:13]
[10:36-11:39]
[11:39-12:21]
[12:21-13:38]
[13:38-14:52]
[14:52-17:22]
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[22:43-23:41]
[33:50-37:35]
[38:09-40:15]
[40:58-43:38]
[49:41-52:18]
Summary:
A football-heavy summer episode brimming with sharp predictions, data-backed debate, and panel chemistry. From playoff turnover trends to nuanced quarterback analysis and the true building blocks of championship teams—execution, coaching, and adaptability—this episode is both a primer for NFL preseason debates and a sneak peek into rising narratives for 2026. Stock up on your picks, but be ready for surprises—the only certainty, as Jason’s stats remind us, is NFL unpredictability.