The Herd with Colin Cowherd
Episode: THE HERD - Hour 2 - Where Colin was right and wrong, Caleb Williams is looking like he's what the Bears needed at QB, Albert Breer
Date: December 15, 2025
Host: Colin Cowherd
Guest: Albert Breer
Episode Overview
This episode dives into NFL Week 15 storylines, with Colin offering up his “Where Colin was right/wrong” takes, detailed discussion on quarterbacks (including Caleb Williams, Josh Allen, Bo Nix), and analysis of franchise directions for the Chiefs, Bills, and others. Albert Breer joins for deep-dive analysis on player development, coaching changes, and potential league-wide ramifications, all amid the push for the playoffs.
Key Segments & Analysis
Where Colin Was Right & Wrong
(03:29–08:22)
Colin’s Monday tradition—honestly breaking down his hits and misses from past NFL predictions.
Where Colin Was Right
-
Chiefs Are Rebuilding (03:29)
- Chiefs are $44M over the cap for next year.
- “They got shut out in the second half… I don't think they're talented enough.” (03:43)
- Positional weaknesses: O-line, D-line, RBs, and aging tight end room.
-
Brian Schottenheimer Concerns (05:18)
- Dallas offense struggles (2-for-12 on 3rd down, 18th in red zone).
- “All the things we worried about, getting outcoached in big spots, situationally being mid. They've all surfaced.”
-
Bo Nix Outplays Jordan Love (06:39)
- “Four tutties, four different receivers, four-for-four in the red zone.”
- Praises Nix’s athleticism and creativity despite limitations on deep throws.
-
CJ Stroud’s Legitimate Growth (08:22)
- “Dude throws one of the prettiest balls in the league. If you give him a little time, he's money... He's developed a really keen sense of the pocket.”
Where Colin Was Wrong
-
Dan Campbell as Play Caller (04:46)
- “Detroit’s #2 in total offense… He's done a great job. Dan Campbell is a much better coach calling plays than I would have imagined.”
-
Pete Carroll’s Struggles with the Raiders (06:08)
- “It’s been a disaster. He’s lost his fastball. 75 total yards against Philadelphia... They are the worst team in the NFL.”
-
Jaguars’ Unexpected Consistency (07:11)
- Five-game win streak, #1 run defense, Trevor Lawrence: 10 TD, 0 INT in last three games.
- Admits he hadn’t trusted the franchise, but coaching and talent development have come together.
Bo Nix, Broncos’ Progress, and QB Development
(09:29–11:41)
Trust in Bo Nix
- Sean Payton’s Trust in Bo Nix
- “Fourth and two, nine minutes left… Instead, Sean Payton drops Bo Nix back and takes a shot downfield to Courtland Sutton.” (Albert Breer, 10:07)
- The moment shows organizational trust. AFC road may go through Denver.
Caleb Williams & Bears’ Process
- Learning Curve with Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams
- Ben Johnson “overloaded [Caleb Williams] with information… then scaled it back to lean into what he's good at.” (Albert Breer, 11:41)
- Chicago’s successful integration: run game, defensive focus, and now, a poised, field-reading Williams.
“He sat back there, looked at his first read, looked at his second… delivered a dart. He wouldn't have made that throw two months ago.”
Kansas City Chiefs at a Crossroads
(13:39–16:54)
-
Parallel to Patriots Post-Brady ACL
- “This is going to give them an organic opportunity to look big picture at where they’re at.” (Albert Breer, 14:32)
- Aging core (Kelce, Jones), need for new draft hits.
- Mahomes’ injury could push organizational reset for ‘second dynasty.’
-
Colin’s Comic Book Analogy
- “Kansas City is like Marvel Comics... you gotta keep going back to Iron Man.” (14:01)
The Bills & Josh Allen: Superhero Narrative
(16:54–20:41; 45:29–50:38)
- Allen’s Brilliance—But What’s the Ceiling?
- “He goes into the phone booth, comes out with a cape, saves the citizens of Buffalo.” (Colin, 16:54)
- But: situational concern—can one man carry them through playoffs without support?
- “I just look at him and I think to myself, this is not a conference championship team... You can only ask Josh Allen to be John Elway Plus Plus so many times.” (17:37)
Breer’s Perspective
-
Allen Buys Buffalo Time
- “He's the best player in the league right now... gives the coaches and players leeway to fix things on the fly.” (Albert Breer, 18:06)
- Cites numerous comeback runs, growth without panic.
- Potential returns: Ed Oliver, Terrell Bernard could boost postseason hopes.
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Colin on Playoff Expectations
- “If they lost their first game, you would say time for a coaching change. That's why you have to strike when the iron's hot and take advantage of those windows.” (48:34)
Dolphins, Mike McDaniel, and the Value of Patience
(23:02–26:38; 33:12–34:33)
- Discussing Mike McDaniel’s Job Security
- Miami adapted after firing GM Chris Greer; McDaniel leaned in, shifted to a more physical and run-centric style.
- “He takes a step back and says, ‘you know what, we gotta be a little bit more physical. We can't rely on Tua.’ The weather is now lousy and they look like a different team.” (Colin, 26:09)
- Breer: “Giving him that opportunity has given him new life… my guess is new GM, McDaniel goes into 2026 under evaluation.” (Albert, 23:35)
Around the NFL: Bengals, Bears, and Brown’s Dilemmas
(34:33–39:44)
-
Joe Burrow’s Frustration & Bears Comparison
- Talks of possible (wild) trades: “Bears and Ben Johnson say, ‘can we get Joe Burrow for Caleb Williams and a couple draft picks?’ No way.” (36:42)
- Colin: “Joe Burrow is essentially trapped… you want a guy that's had three surgeries and is super expensive or a guy on the cheap for the next four years?” (35:50; 36:51)
-
Shadur Sanders vs. Caleb Williams
- Stark gap in NFL readiness: “When you see Shadur and Caleb on the field at the same time… there's the A+ prospect and the B prospects. They don't look the same.” (38:42)
Notable Quotes & Moments
-
On Denver’s Growth:
“The Broncos are up by a point… Sean Payton drops Bo Nix back and takes a shot downfield… that gives them the separation they need. To me, Sean Payton’s confidence… tells you a lot.”
(Albert Breer, 10:07) -
On Caleb Williams Development:
“Buy Caleb Williams time to develop. And now you’re seeing the approach… started to pay off, and that Caleb has seen a lot now, both in practice and games, and is benefiting from it.”
(Albert Breer, 13:13) -
On the Bills and Allen:
“They aren’t panicking when they’re down 21 to nothing because they have the best player on the planet.”
(Albert Breer, 18:43 & 48:03)
Segment Timestamps
- 03:29 – Show opens; playoff picture overview; “Where Colin was right/wrong”
- 09:29 – Discussion with Albert Breer begins; Broncos, Bo Nix, Bears, QB development
- 13:39 – Chiefs’ future, parallels to Patriots, Marvel Comics dynasty analogy
- 16:54 – Bills-Josh Allen narrative, organizational challenges, Allen’s heroics
- 20:41 – The Philip Rivers story; late-career QBs, comeback nostalgia
- 23:02 – Dolphins, Mike McDaniel’s job security, organizational philosophy
- 30:59 – New York football’s woes, city-by-city comparisons
- 33:12 – Steelers-Dolphins preview, Mike Tomlin’s consistency
- 34:33 – Bengals’ struggles, Burrow’s future, Bears QB hypothetical
- 37:29 – Shadur Sanders’ performance, comparing QB prospects
- 39:49 – NBA aside: OKC & dynasties in basketball
- 45:29 – Colin wraps back to Buffalo, AFC picture, Josh Allen’s December dominance
Tone & Style Notes
- Colin is candid and humorous, using analogies (“Marvel Comics” for Chiefs, “Superman” for Josh Allen) and direct language (“New York football is an absolute hazmat spill”).
- Albert Breer delivers nuanced, process-focused insights on team strategy and roster building.
- The pace is lively, with quick transitions between football analysis and bigger-picture league talk.
Summary Takeaways
- Quarterback Play Drives NFL Narratives: Allen’s heroics and Caleb Williams’ ascendance for the Bears are considered pivotal for their franchises.
- Franchise Management Matters: Chiefs face crucial rebuilding decisions, Dolphins and Bills' futures rest on organizational patience and adaptability.
- Changing of the Guard: Some teams (Bears, Broncos) are ascending with promising young QBs, while others (Chiefs, Bengals) face crossroads.
- Coaching Flexibility is Valued: Mike McDaniel’s willingness to adapt is praised as a model for struggling teams and rigid coaching personalities.
- Playoff Picture in Flux: AFC is wide open with several flawed teams—opportunity for a surprise run if the pieces come together in time.
Recommended for listeners interested in:
- NFL midseason analysis and playoff outlook
- Franchise/organizational strategy discussions
- Honest, self-aware sports talk with humor and insight
