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The Herd with Colin Cowherd
What's Wright - NBA Playoff Predictions: Lakers-Timberwolves, Playoff Jimmy ERUPTS in Warriors win
01:08:20
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- [00:00]
Greg Rosenthal
What's up everyone? It's Greg Rosenthal and I'm teaming up with the King of spring, Daniel Jeremiah. He requires me to say that we're going to be bringing you 40s and free agents, the only podcast you'll need this NFL draft season. From DJs mock drafts to my top 101, free agents will have it covered for you with all new episodes every Thursday keeping you up to date as we head to the NFL Draft. Listen to 40s and free agents on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.
- [00:31]
Nick Wright
Welcome in what's Right with Nick Wright, episode 320. As the NBA playoffs are almost finally upon us. Had the first realization or the first conversation with the wife where she had the realization when she asked me, she's like, so what are your plans Saturday? And I'm like, oh boy, she hasn't really clocked where we're at on the calendar yet. I'm like, well, my plans this Saturday and this Sunday and the following Saturday and the following Sunday and really the next 10 Saturdays and Sundays are actually pretty simple to figure out. I'll be sitting on this fancy new couch you just bought watching playoff basketball for about 12 straight hours both days. And so sadly, I guess that means I won't be going to the Kendrick Lamar concert Saturday night in New York. You know who might be going to? Monze. Welcome in, Monze. You know you're gonna love this. What'd you say, Dior? No, Diora is in Santa Cruz this week. But you're.
- [01:28]
Damanze
No, she is in Santa Cruz. Deanna's going to the Kitchen concert.
- [01:32]
Nick Wright
I think so. I think with your mom. I think your mom and your 11 year old sister are going to the Kendrick Lamar concert. I'll be watching Lakers Timberwolves. So you, as much as I like Kendrick, I like my side of that equation. Here's what missed the cut for today's show. Ken Jalen Hurts named one of Time magazine's hundred most influential people. A handful of other sports people made it odd. And I'm not gonna do too much on this, but I did find it because so I checked last year's list as well. Mahomes made it last year. Hertz made it this year. So maybe it's just super bowl champion quarterback tends to make it. But now in the last two years of Time magazine's 100 Most Influential People list, three women's basketball players have made it. None of them are named Caitlin Clark. That seems like a maybe a bit of a miss for influential people. Not it's not like the hundred best athletes. Asia Wilson made it two years ago. Nafisa Collier and Brianna Stewart made it this year. That was because of their partnership with unrivaled. I don't know, man. I'm no expert on influence. I think Caitlin Clark at some point, last couple years been pretty influential. I'm not gonna freak out about it. Travis Hunter says, if you're not gonna let me play both ways, I'll never play football again. I don't think he's serious about not playing football again. I do think he's serious about, hey, Cleveland Browns, if you're going to draft me, I want to play on both sides of the ball. And the Yankees sweep the Royals. That was a bummer. Really not how I wanted to spend my nights at Yankee Stadium watching the Royals get swept. But such is life. Also double missed the cut. Listen, evidently 124 light years away or something crazy, there's probably life on another planet. Matt Ford, fearless leader of this show, is super into this topic. I might be super into this topic in July or August, but today scouts honor and I'm not a scout. We are getting to the NFC over unders. We've bumped them on four straight shows. So I don't have time to talk aliens. I do have time to thank you guys for watching us on YouTube and if you are watching us on YouTube and it sometimes the video looks a little choppy, starting Tuesday, we have a new computer that'll fix some things up. And so hopefully if that is a little annoying for you, that'll be fixed by Tuesday. I thought that computer got porch pirated from the house. Then I realized I had it sent to a different location because the producers were like, hey, that fancy new computer, it says it was delivered. And I was like, definitely wasn't delivered. But then I checked and realized it was delivered to a safe, secure location. So Tuesday that'll be better. Also, I think during today's show we're going to hit 200,000 subscribers on YouTube. You could be, you know, guess what? Our 200, 000 subscriber. I don't know what you get. I didn't. And I don't actually know how to figure out who you are, but you could have this. The no. The the knowing that you were the one. If you're watching on YouTube, not subscribed, please click subscribe. If you're listening to us on itunes or Spotify or whatever, subscribe there. Damanze. Let's get to the Warriors. Avoiding Total disaster.
- [04:53]
Damanze
Yeah. So playoff Jimmy has arrived or playing Jimmy, whatever you want to call it. He cooked him and Steph comb 75 points in that game the other day. And he seems pretty confident in their ability to push through the playoffs and possibly make it to the finals. But saying I think any team has a chance to win when I'm on the team. But I know any team that has Steph on the team has a chance to win. And Golden State is minus 200 against the Rockets in this series. Do you think that they deserve to be favored there?
- [05:21]
Nick Wright
Certainly not big favorites. And listen, I'll just lead with the lead. I think the Rockets are going to win. I, I do not know how anyone could have watched Warriors Grizzlies and come away more confident in the Golden State Warriors. You can be more confident and play off Jimmy and play off Jimmy's ability to generate fouls and get to the free throw line and that is even more Val Jimmy's ability ability that a decade plus into his career no one has figured out. Guys, he's gonna pump fake guys, he's not actually gonna go up on the first attempt. He just wants to get you in the air and then he just wants to jump directly into your chest and get to the free throw line. That is doubly valuable on the warriors damanze because he gets the warriors in the bonus and by getting them in the bonus then if you clutch or grab Steph off the ball, it's a free two points. When you have the greatest free throw shooter in NBA history on your team, if your team gets in the bonus, that is super valuable. He was great, Steph. It's so interesting with Steph because I talked about this on the TV show. I maybe mentioned it here. A couple things on Steph and then we'll get to why I'm not as confident in the Warriors. People were mad that Buddy Healed got the potential game tying shot against the Clippers and not Steph. And Steph's career he's not been good at, you know, final seconds to tire win the game shots. He's like 22% on threes in his career, playoffs and regular season in that spot. He is however the best ever by a mile at dagger threes, at up one late up too late and hit the three that just absolutely lights the arena on fire and rips the opponent's heart out. And he had a couple of those in this game. Also I did find it interesting in credit to him on Tuesday's show I talked about how he gets Subbed out offense, defense late in games. And with 57 seconds left in that game, they did sub him out for defense. I mean, in, in a part. Really a part of a Reggie Miller master class of broadcasting. They said Steph is resting. He was not resting. He was taken out for defensive purposes. But then with five seconds left in a defensive possession, they put him back in. He guarded the inbounder and generated a five second call.
- [08:17]
Damanze
Did you want Reggie Miller to be like, yes, Stephen Curry's not great at defense. He's a liability. So he's sitting down right now.
- [08:24]
Nick Wright
No, I, no, I. He doesn't have to add his opinion, but he, they, they could have just said what the actual facts. It was not that he was resting. It was offense, defense, substitutions. I would have, yes, I would have expected the, the. An accurate portrayal. However, like we got. I mean, that was a, that, that was a Reggie tour de force on that call. John turns his ankle. He's like. Did he actually step on someone's foot? No way to tell. Rub some dirt on it. Is he taking Advil? What's going. It's just a. I mean, it was so bad that Kevin Wilds, who is the nicest person in the world and never says anything bad about anyone, sent out the following Tweet the suggestions I'm hearing for healing. Healing Jaw's ankle. Go to his happy place. Take an Advil and hop on the bike. Walk it off. Tie his sneakers very tight. That's as close to cutting commentary about another broadcaster as you'll ever get from old KW on Twitter, but that's neither here nor there. Warriors got the win. But that was ugly, man. You're up 20 against a Grizzlies team that has beaten in the last two and a half months to Monse. The Grizzlies have beaten one above.500 team, the Detroit Pistons. And. And Ja gets hurt and has to miss time. And it's still. You're trailing in the fourth quarter. And there were a lot to me of just really flashing red lights about the warriors and about being concerned about the warriors in this matchup against Houston. Here's the first one. They didn't play Edie off the court, which means Houston's going to be able to play Steven Adams if you can't. Zach. Edie, listen, Edie had some really good moments and some really bad moments. He's got to. And I don't want to sound like your seventh grade junior high bat gym teacher, but keep the ball above your head, kid. Get the rebound. Keep it up, don't bring it down. You're 7 4. The warriors aren't playing anybody over 6, 8. Keep the ball up and then you're not going to get stripped and getting those problems. But he was a force obviously on the glass. And again, Demonte against the Rockets, who are the best offensive rebounding team in the league. That now showed me. Oh, if they want to play Shingoon and Stephen Adams at the same time, they're going to be able to get away with it.
- [11:13]
Damanze
Yeah.
- [11:14]
Nick Wright
And just crush Golden State on the glass. Now you might say, how are those guys going to defend in space? Here's the other sneaky thing about the warriors. With these lineups, they're now rolling out there. They have a lot of guys that you do not have to guard at the three point line. Draymond's been hitting threes. They will let Draymond shoot. Jimmy Butler will make one clutch three a game and other than that, just turn them down. Gary Payton is not trying to shoot threes. There's a lot of guys in one.
- [11:50]
Damanze
Yeah, just say it again. Just pods.
- [11:52]
Nick Wright
No, pods is pods will shoot. And so it's weird to say about a Warriors team that is the greatest shooter of all time, but they're not an unbelievable shooting team because of the people they have out there. That's why they're playing the kid that was drafted three picks ahead of Bronnie Quentin post the. The seven footer to go shoot threes. And so I just, I think if you're. This is how I would handicap the series as far as who I think is. The warriors obviously have the best player. They have the best player by a considerable margin. So Steph's the best player, Shingoon's the second best player. Jimmy Butler's the third best player. And then Jalen Green, Amen Thompson, then Draymond Green and then five Rockets. Fred Van Vliet, even though I, you know, not a huge fan of his. Dylan Brooks, the entire Rockets bench. You take all those guys over. Moody or Gary Payton or Looney or whomever. Quentin Post, G. Santos. Guys, the warriors are playing. Kaminga's now just done out of the rotation entirely.
- [13:26]
Damanze
And I was gonna say if, if the warriors see themselves go down, like, do you think there's a chance Kaminga, like, pops out in this series? Like, if I don't get a little.
- [13:34]
Nick Wright
Okay, I think that they. So I'm gonna read you a. A quote that I read in an article last night.
- [13:42]
Damanze
He don't want to pass the ball to Steph as much as they want him to this.
- [13:45]
Nick Wright
Oh, I left out how to heal, by the way, when I was talking shooters. Obviously healed's a great shooter, but healed was not. Healed was considered unplayable by the Sixers in their playoff lineups last year. And the Kaminga thing's weird. So from the San Jose Mercury News yesterday, Kaminga skipped pregame introductions and arrived late to the bench before both Sunday and Tuesday's DMP coach decision games. After Sunday's game, he took to the court and put up shots instead of using one of the warriors many practice courts which are mostly hidden from cameras and reporters. Um, did he fulfill his role as modest as it might have been, or did he try to do his own thing? Was the question that they ended the article on. And so I say all that to say this. I like the Rockets in this series and I certainly think the warriors being bigger favorites against the Rockets than the Lakers are against the Timberwolves is crazy to me. Like I don't, I don't look at this as a series. I'd be shocked if the warriors won obviously. But I do think this is going to be a hard fought seven games and this game Sevens in Houston. And what an amazing moment for the Rockets fans when every year standing between them and a finals appearance when they had a real championship caliber team were these Golden State Warriors. And now you have, in my opinion, the better team, certainly the more rested team, maybe the healthier team. Steph's playing amazing despite the fact that he has a soft cast on his shooting hand. It's remarkable. But that concerns me. You have multiple guys that are excited to mix it up with Jimmy and Steph and Dylan Brooks and Amen Thompson and you can potentially knock them out of the playoffs. And either way, whoever wins this series is going to be beat to hell. Getting into round two with the Lakers waiting for him and so that, that yes, obviously for the Lakers, they would have rather the Grizzlies won the Warriors Grizzlies game. And then there's their rope route to the conference finals. Road to the conference finals means round two. You're either playing a super young Rockets team or this incredibly foolish Grizzlies team. But I just don't look at the warriors as the juggernaut that they appeared to be two weeks ago. Since then, the Rockets shut them down. They blew a game to the spurs, they lost to the Clippers in a game they treated like a game seven. And they damn near blew a game to a Grizzlies team that hasn't beaten a good team in two and a half months. And so I. Now I will say this, and this is a concern. If we expect these games to be close to Monze, who do you trust on the Rockets to go get a bucket late that I. I guess the answer is Jalen Green.
- [17:21]
Damanze
Oh, well, obviously Sanguine's not taking the ball up, but I'd say get Sanguine the ball in the paint. I mean, if you need a 3, then 100% jalen green. Van Vliet's also got championship experience. Who has championship?
- [17:34]
Nick Wright
Oh, Van Vliet. That is true. No, no, no. Van Vliet does.
- [17:39]
Damanze
I've seen he's hit big shots in some big spots too. So, I mean.
- [17:42]
Nick Wright
Oh, yeah, Van Vliet had some huge shots in the NBA Finals against Steph. That's the other thing. Like, you have a lot of guys with a lot of belief that they can at least hamper or annoy Stephen. Steph's going to be great. And here's the other thing about Jimmy. I mean, Jimmy scored 38 and was brilliant. Jimmy was brilliant against the Clippers. And it maybe seems like I was a little too pessimistic about playoff Jimmy existing this year, but he's not going to be putting up these 30 plus point games with regularity. Even prime playoff Jimmy was not doing that. He would pop off for these big games and then he would have somewhat more quiet games. And so I did not think it was a positive that they needed 38 from him, 37 from Steph, and that they still. It still came down to the final moments.
- [18:44]
Damanze
Yeah, by. And I still. And I think there was a lot of times in that game where they took Curry, like completely out of it and like Scotty Pippen. That was Scotty Pippen Jr. And you have the Houston Rockets, who are a better defensive team all around. So I think they'll be able to mitigate that really well.
- [18:59]
Nick Wright
Yep. You can go ahead with your follow up questions before we move on.
- [19:04]
Damanze
Oh, gosh. The thing just exited out on me. Yeah. So Draymond. Draymond and Steven. Oh, my gosh, this is so bad. Draymond and Steven Adams have a history of a couple groin shots and body slams. Set a fake line on Draymond incidents this series.
- [19:19]
Nick Wright
Well, listen, I think that is a real storyline. I think that's a real storyline is Draymond and Dylan Brooks both trying to bait the other guy. Here is what I would say is the difference. Draymond is so much more important to the warriors than Dylan Brooks is to the Rockets. So there will be a bunch of, you know, double technicals, staredowns. And I. I am historically not at all a fan of Dylan Brooks. And one of the reasons I'm not a fan of Dylan Brooks is I think he's a dirty, dangerous player. But that's also a huge bummer for the warriors because Dylan Brooks will, like, try to undercut somebody. Dylan Brooks will do things that put other guys in jeopardy, and Draymond is just going to play incredibly physical and tough and might occasionally, like, now, I guess, you know, Draymond does have a soft spot for hitting European centers. This is kind of his favorite thing, or. You know what I mean, Whether it's Stephen Adams, he's not European. Rudy Gobert, Demontes Sabonis. So maybe Shingoon needs to keep his head on a swivel. But, yeah, I mean, this is gonna be a real fight. Nime Udoka is going to encourage the fight. Yeah, that's the other piece of it. And I thought before we move on to Lakers Wolves, I thought the officiating in Warriors Grizzlies was an utter abomination. And I thought it was an abomination in the worst way, which is the refs seem to be almost intentionally controlling the flow of the game. And by that, I mean this. The first 45 minutes of that game were so unfairly officiated in the warriors favor. It was. Jimmy had 18 free throws. It was. Every single close call went the warriors way. And then. And then despite that, the Grizzlies were in it. And then it felt like the refs were like, okay, time to switch sides. And then there were three just phantom, awful calls against the warriors that made it to where, okay, this game's gonna come down to the final minute, final seconds. And then they're. And then it felt to me like the refs like, okay, let's get even again. Five seconds on the Grizzlies. Game over. And so I thought it was one of the most poorly officiated games of the year. And I just hope that the refs do a better job when the actual playoffs begin, because what you see too often is one team gets a hugely beneficial whistle. The refs, then it feels like, catch a glimpse of the scoreboard and see the free throw differential, and they're like, okay, time to get it about even. Don't want anyone to say that, you know, we were being unfair here. And so I. I absolutely hate that. And I hope in the postseason, the refs are better all right, let's get to Lakers. Timberwolves.
- [23:00]
Damanze
Lakers have the second best odds in the west to win the title right now at -195. Anthony Edwards says he loves the position that the.
- [23:09]
Nick Wright
Real quick, hold on there. The second best odds to win in the west to win the title. Minus 195 in round one.
- [23:17]
Damanze
In round one.
- [23:18]
Nick Wright
Sorry, you're fine.
- [23:20]
Damanze
Go ahead and yeah, so Anthony Edwards says he loves where the Timberwolves are at right now and saying, I love the fact that everybody wants the Lakers to win. That's how it's supposed to be. They don't want the Timberwolves to win. And I get that. What, what is the key to this series?
- [23:34]
Nick Wright
Well, the only chance the Timberwolves have is, is if Julius Randle, for the first time in his career, plays well in the playoffs. And we've never seen that happen. So I, I'm, I'm going to pull it up. I'm looking down if you're watching on YouTube because I'm pulling up on my phone. Julius Randle's playoff career is truly disastrous. And it's not overstated. It's not being unfair. It is what it is. It is. In 2021, in the first round against the Hawks. That's the famous Trey Young series. You see. Oh, he was 18, 11 and 4. That, that's actually good. On 29% from the field. So his first playoff series ever, he was 29% from the field. Then two years later against Cleveland in round one, he was 14 and six a game. That was after an all NBA season on 33% from the field. And then. And they won that series. And then the next round against Miami, he was 18 and 10, which is much better. On 41% from the field, which is okay. In his playoff career is 28% from three. And then last year, obviously he was hurt for the playoffs and it didn't really seem like Knicks fans were all that bummed about it. And so he is yet to have a single great playoff series. And even if you go to individual playoff games, you are hard pressed to find more than one good one game. One last or two years ago against Miami, he was really good. He was 25, 12 and 8 on 44% from the field, which is about as good as you can hope for from him. But in his playoff career, and he has one other game against Miami where he was 20 and nine on 61%. But what's that joke everybody likes to make is shooting. He's shooting tour dates or whatever oh, yeah, that thing.
- [26:18]
Damanze
Three, 11.
- [26:19]
Nick Wright
Yeah. So in his career, in ascending order, he is in the playoffs from the field, 2 for 15, 3 for 15, 3 for 14, 6 for 23, 4 for 15, 3 for 10, 5 for 16, 7 for 20, 7 for 19, 8 for 21. And then five games, 40% from the field or better, 8 for 20, 8 for 18, 4 for 9. And then the two good games, 7 for 13 and 8 for 13. Go ahead and sw. That's a 15 game playoff sample size. He's been good in two of them, so he's got to be. What are you laughing about? That I'm being.
- [27:09]
Damanze
Oh, no, no. After. After you said that, I just. I whispered go ahead and swing that rock big dog.
- [27:15]
Nick Wright
But I don't think I didn't hear it.
- [27:17]
Damanze
Yeah.
- [27:18]
Nick Wright
So for real though. So that is. He's got to be good for them to have a chance. And by the way, gonna be tough because he's gonna be guard on the other end. He's gonna be guarding LeBron James a lot.
- [27:31]
Damanze
Yeah.
- [27:32]
Nick Wright
So he is the absolute key. Now, other than him, I am really interested in how much can Austin Reeves, how much energy can Austin Reeves make Anthony Edwards expend on. On the defensive end? Because I know there have been some thoughts that Ant is going to try to guard LeBron or Luca. That's a terrible idea. Ant's a very good defender, but he is simply too small for either one of those guys. Jaden McDaniels will spend a lot of time on LeBron and Luca. Julius Randle will spend some time on LeBron and Luca. NAS Reed might try. Dante's not going to be able to do it, but point is, Anthony Edwards is going to end up matched up on Austin Reeves a fair amount. Now, I don't think the Lakers have anybody who can slow down Anthony Edwards. Now, oddly, they did well against him in the regular season. But I would just go ahead and pencil in Anthony Edwards for 30 a game. He's going to average 30 in this series. Just so be it. Can Austin make him have to defend enough and run around enough that he is a little tired on the offensive end at the end of these games? Because you do remember that I. Listen, I get it. You had to trade Luka Doncic because he's an out of shape alcoholic. I understand, Nico, but it was Anthony Edwards who might as well be chiseled out of granite who said he was exhausted in the conference finals last year, not Luca. And so now it's a lot of time off and it's Round one. And there's a lot of days between the games, but how much energy can you make Ant expend on the defensive end? And then the only other real, the only way for, in my opinion, for the Timberwolves to have a real chance is if Lucas3 is not falling. Cause if Lucas3 is falling, then what you are going to see is LeBron really picking and choosing his spots in the first three quarters of these games and then taking over in the fourth, something he has not had the luxury of doing much at all in his whole career, but certainly in his Lakers career. But you saw it in that Lakers Mavs game where LeBron, you know, hand off the joystick for the first three quarters, then best player on the court in the fourth quarter. You've seen it a few times this year. And so Julius Randall's gotta be good for them to have a chance. Nas Reed's gonna be super important. And I haven't even mentioned Rudy Gobert because here's the thing. I think Rudy's in a really rough spot here. It's not just that Luca has tortured him on multiple continents. It's not just that Luca hit the biggest shot of his career over him, but it's also that the Lakers want to play small. His offensive limitations will allow them to play small because they're not going to be able to just, you know, dump the ball down to go Bear and be like, hey, you have Dorian Finney Smith or Rudy Hachimura on you. Give us that sweet baby hook you've got. That's not going to be a thing. And defensively, we have seen if you play five out it, Rudy really, really struggles. If. And so I, I, I would guess that Ant is awesome. And it doesn't matter all that much in this series. And I said it to you guys on Tuesday. I'll say it again. The Lakers minus a game and a half at plus 1 20, I think is probably my favorite bet of this round of the playoffs. All right, what else you have on this series?
- [32:19]
Damanze
Do you think this could be the start of a Luca Ant rivalry?
- [32:24]
Nick Wright
So I'd love that. And I do think that they have personalities that would mesh for a rivalry.
- [32:37]
Damanze
Yeah.
- [32:37]
Nick Wright
I do think that both of these teams, you know, they shouldn't meet in the playoffs consistently moving forward. I don't look at Ant yet as the caliber of player of Luca, and I don't think that there is much of an argument. What Demase, you don't see them as.
- [33:05]
Damanze
The same caliber of player I get like Lucas like slightly better.
- [33:10]
Nick Wright
Yeah. I look at Luke as a guy I expect to win multiple MVPs. That's, that's, there's only two other guys in the league in that caliber and they both already have multiple as far as prime guys, I mean, you know, in Giannis and Jokic. And I look at Ant as a guy who might win one, you know what I mean? So like I, if you set Luca career MVP's number at one and a half, I would immediately say over. And if you set ants number of career MVPs at a half, I would say I need like I gotta really think about this so that, you know, that's the, and I think it's, I think it's an almost impossibility that Luca never wins a league mvp. And I think it's a coin flip event. So again it, we're in the margins here. But yeah, I do look like, and I think a good evidence of that is if the Lakers had traded Anthony Edwards, Max Christie and a first round pick. I'm sorry, if the Lakers had traded Anthony Davis, Max Christie and a first round pick for Anthony Edwards, we wouldn't two months later still be like, that's the dumbest I've ever seen in my life. Is it because they want to move the team like we the you would have legitimately, you know, debates on each side like, okay, who got better. Like does it make sense? And I understand for the way the Timberwolves are constructed, it wouldn't even make sense. But yeah, that's how I so, and I, I, I really like it. But I think he needs to level up a tiny bit now. He's not as old as Luca, you know what I mean? He hasn't been in the league quite as long. And so there is that. Go ahead.
- [35:08]
Damanze
Do you. Well, were you done with the, with the first follow up? I was, I was going to ask if you see JJ Redick stock rising or how much you see it rising this off season.
- [35:19]
Nick Wright
Well, it depends on the playoff run. I mean if they get bounced in round one, it won't people be like, darvin Ham made conference finals his first year. But I, I think it's already pretty obvious that JJ Redick has done an excellent job as first year as Lakers head coach. Now we'll see how he handles the playoffs. I know there's some, in some circles, there is a belief that the Lakers have been kind of using a playoff style defense in the regular season and to deal with their lack of size and that that might have been a mistake. By jj because now they're not going to have an extra gear and more people have seen it so they can prepare for it. I'm less concerned with that than others. But, yeah, I think JJ has done an excellent job. I think that there was a legitimate argument to include him on coach of the year ballots this year. And so credit to jj who people know, I historically not the biggest fan of as far as a media presence, but he. He did a really good job. All right, let's go to the play in and stuff.
- [36:25]
Damanze
And so the Mavs in the Heat, they live to fight another day. They face the Grizzlies and the Hawks tomorrow. The Magic also already advanced and they faced my Celtics in round one. Do you think the Celtics have anything to worry about there?
- [36:40]
Nick Wright
Absolutely not.
- [36:41]
Damanze
Yeah.
- [36:42]
Nick Wright
And listen, the Magic are a very good defensive team. They cannot score. And now the Magic are the best team in the league at denying three pointers and the Celtics live at the three. But I. This is how I feel about your Celtics this round. Then I have a question for you. If this series goes six games, it is a failure by Boston. Yeah, like, I. Sweeping teams is hard. So, like, if Orlando gets one, so be it. But if you guys are playing a game six against the Magic, then I would start to be like, oh, maybe the championship hangover is real. Like, there's no reason whatsoever to put yourself in a position against this Magic team where this thing is not over in four or five. And I. Now, I know Jalen's been saying all the right things and the team saying all the right things. Would you be against the Boston Celtics saying, jalen, take two full weeks, man. We don't need you this round. We're going to let you rest and get as healthy that knee as healthy as possible for a round two battle against likely the Knicks.
- [38:03]
Damanze
I mean, we could probably arrest somebody in round two if we wanted to, but yeah, I. I'm perfectly fine with that.
- [38:08]
Nick Wright
I don't think you could rest people against the Knicks.
- [38:11]
Damanze
All right.
- [38:11]
Nick Wright
I think the Knicks are fully healthy. You. You'll need your full compliment, but I mean, certainly not rest your second best player. Yeah.
- [38:18]
Damanze
I was about to say maybe not Jalen Brown, but we could write somebody. Sure.
- [38:24]
Nick Wright
And so I don't think they will. But that to me is the most interesting part of Celtics magic is not who's going to win. The most interesting part of Celtics magic is how does Jalen Brown's Brown's knee look? And the most interesting part of Thunder Grizzlies or Thunder Mavs is should, honestly should be nothing. The Mavs will not be able to score with the Thunder and the Grizzlies will not be able to defend the Thunder. I would be, I would be shocked if either one of those goes six. And I do not care who the Cavs play in round one. I just telling you right now, like they, they're either playing the Hawks or the Heat and they will crush either one of them. All right, one more before he gets a playoff predictions. One more follow up.
- [39:19]
Damanze
Yeah. Do you think that it is. Oh yeah. Is it more likely that tomorrow will be the last time that we see Trey in Atlanta or jaw on Memphis?
- [39:29]
Nick Wright
Probably Trey in Atlanta. But here is what I find interesting. We have and just odd coincidence, but they all play the same position. They were all taken within four years of each other in the draft. They were all top five picks. This triumvirate of silly southeastern point guards. John Memphis, Lamelo and Charlotte and Trey in Atlanta. And Trey's been in the league the longest this year. Seven for Trey.
- [40:05]
Damanze
Yeah.
- [40:05]
Nick Wright
What'd you say?
- [40:06]
Damanze
I was about to say Trey, not as much as the other guys, but I see where you're. See you're going there.
- [40:10]
Nick Wright
I mean, I don't know. Trey was playing keep away from a ref in a playoff game stuff that he was. I know that was crazy. It was like, honest to God, it was disrespectful. Ray did to the ref what Damanze used to do to Diora after his games. I never seen like it, like, oh, you want the ball? Nope, it's mine. Like it's really just a remarkable thing that he did. And so I, I think that a three way, three team trade of Ja to Charlotte just get him in a more peaceful city. Less to do. Let you know the John to Charlotte, him and Brandon Miller. That's interesting. Lamelo to Atlanta because that's an unserious franchise. Anyway. Lamelo would love it there and might as well, you know what I mean? Give him some highlights. And Trey to Memphis where they have theoretically a good enough defensive personnel. They can cover for some of his offensive woes. He can play true point guard. I think that's interesting. It obviously wouldn't happen, but I think all three of those guys for their careers could use a change of scenery and you could kind of sell the fans on all three of those trades potentially.
- [41:48]
Damanze
Yeah. Did you feel a little like I felt a little. I don't want to say I felt bad. I did feel bad. I. I felt a little bad for John Rant Watching the Golden State game, he seemed like a shell of himself. Like, take the celebrations away from him. He hits a three, goes back all solemn. It's just like, it's funny seeing that.
- [42:06]
Nick Wright
Yeah. God, yeah. God forbid. Just. Just be serious on the basketball court for a minute in the biggest game of the season. I mean, listen, this poor guy who wasn't able to pantomime explosions, you know, I didn't. I just. Listen, I want the best for Ja. I like him. I like his dad. I love the city of Memphis. And I understand people are probably mad at me because I've been one of the biggest public scolds the last few weeks towards him. But it just. At some point, you got to grow up. All right, let's quick hit or do these other playoff series, but go ahead.
- [42:43]
Damanze
So the only series that Vegas really has close is Denver and the Clippers, which is basically a coin toss or a picking whatever you want to call it. What do you make of these series and how they're being priced?
- [42:53]
Nick Wright
All right, so The Knicks are minus 400 against Detroit. Detroit's plus 310. I. I think that's too high of a price. I do expect this series to go six games. I. And I'm really excited to watch Cade Cunningham in the playoffs like that. I. My biggest thing is watch Cade Cunningham in the playoffs and watch the Knicks in the playoffs. This, you know, fully healthy Knicks team, see how they look. But I would be very surprised if Detroit won. I just think +3 10 is too big of a price. Pacers, Bucks. The Pacers are clearly the better team. I honestly think they're the better coach team. Both teams have championship coaches and Carlisle and Doc, but I think Pacers better coach team. Giannis, since Dame went out, has been playing point center. He's averaging nine assists a game and has just been awesome. Giannis also has not won a playoff game or series in three years. Milwaukee, even though they're the underdog, they've got to win. You can't go out in the first round three straight years during Giannis's prime. A Boston, Orlando. Just stay healthy, everybody. We've talked a lot about Lakers, Minnesota and Golden State, Houston and Denver Clippers. Man, oh man, I cannot wait to watch every single game of that series. Jamal Murray back. The Clippers, you know, have their championship starting five. And it's been so weird to hear people that just want to vote and Joker's unbelievable and was unbelievable this year, but people that just want the MVP every single year, no matter what to go To Nikola Jokic recreate this Nuggets team like it's this some just team that is when it's the. It's their championship starting five. Basically four of their five key players are champions like now. I don't love their bench at all. Russ has been bad. I don't think it is a overall nearly as complete of a team as Joker deserves. But this idea that it's just this horseshit roster that had to be dragged to 50 wins. Now if he were to make the finals with this roster, that is unreal but and shout out to Zach Lowe for you know, making it clear but this idea that oh, no one on Denver other than Joker would get minutes for Oklahoma City and that's why Joker's the MVP over Shay. There are four guys on the Nuggets who would play big minutes for the Thunder. Joker, obviously, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon and Michael Porter Jr. Now the rest of their players wouldn't crack the Thunders rotation, which is why the Thunder are so deep and so good. But let's not overstate that. I the key to Denver Clippers other than the obvious will Kawhi stay healthy is going to be do we get playoff Jamal Murray. That's a positive. And do we get playoff James Harden. That's a negative. And also you know, what can Chris Dunn do defensively on the perimeter against the Nuggets? And does interim head coach Adelman. Dave Adelman. You know you're old man when you start doing the thing that I used to laugh at broadcasters for doing, which is they call the famous son the dad's name. So Rick Adelman was a famous NBA coach forever. Whenever I see Dave Adelman I think of Rick. But take set that aside. Will Dave Adelman have the courage to sit Russell Westbrook in crunch time? Because that's what you're going to have to do. And so that is crazy, man.
- [47:07]
Damanze
We talk about. I just got to sit him in crunch time. It's not like a. Like a li. A defensive liability. It's just if the game is close and if it's on the wire, trust him. Jeez.
- [47:19]
Nick Wright
I mean Russ Guy, I listen, fair's fair. I did this to Julius Randall. I should do it to Russ. Russ playoff series the last few years. I mean it's truly unfathomable. So last year against Dallas, 19 minutes per game gave you a nice robust six, four and one on 23% shooting. Okay. Oh no, that's not fair. I'm sorry. 23% from three. He was 26% from the field the previous year in round one, scored a lot and had I think one really good game. Still 41% from the field the previous time he was in the playoffs when he was the best player on the Wizards in that series. 33% from the field. Russell Westbrook since Kevin Durant left the Thunder. So think about how long that is since Kevin Durant left the Thunder is shooting in the postseason. 38% from the field, 29% from three. I mean that's a, that is Kevin Durant left the Thunder a year before Luca was drafted. So like it's a long time and so you just can't play him. And so I wonder if Adelman will be able to do it. And by the way, maybe you will because supposedly one of the issues for Michael Malone was he wanted to keep playing it and he wanted to play him, you know, in crunch time over the young guys.
- [49:09]
Damanze
All right, firing actually did make sense as time went by and facts came out. Honestly. Yeah, it was crazy at the time.
- [49:15]
Nick Wright
But it seems like it and it seems like the the players were fine with it. All right, I promised we were going to get to the NFC over unders. But before we do that, the NBA 82 game grind is done. And now the real fun begins. The NBA Playoffs are here and it's time for all the high stakes drama, clutch moments and jaw dropping plays. Can't wait if you're looking to make the playoffs even more exciting. DraftKings sportsbook has you covered as an official sports betting partner of the NBA. From the playing games all the way through to the Finals, now's the time to back your favorite players and teams as they chase glory. All season long. DraftKings has been the go to spot for NBA player props. Pardon me. And that doesn't stop now. Want to make your playoff experience even more intense? Try placing a bet on your favorite player's performance. Will they drop 30? 40 more? Your call ready? Place your first bet Download Help me out here. Download the DraftKings Sportsbook app. Lock in your bets and make this playoff run unforgettable. Something special for first timers. New DraftKings customers bet $5. Get $200 in bonus bets instantly. Make it a playoff run to remember with DraftKings. Download the DraftKings sportsbook app. Use code right that's code Wright W R I G H T for new customers to get $200 in bonus bets when you bet just five bucks only on DraftKings, the crown is yours. Gambling problem. Call 1-800-Gambler in New York call 877-8-HOPE NY or text Hopeny, which is 467369 in Connecticut. Help is available for problem gambling. Call 888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org Please play responsibly on behalf of Boot Hill Casino and Resort in Kansas. 21 plus. Age and eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Void in Ontario. Bonus bets expire 168 hours after issuance. For additional terms and responsible gaming resources. DKNG Co/B Ball what's up everyone?
- [51:40]
Greg Rosenthal
It's Greg Rosenthal and I'm teaming up with the King of Spring, Daniel Jeremiah. He requires me to say that we're going to be bringing you 40s and free agents, the only podcast you'll need this NFL draft season. From DJs mock drafts to my top 101 free agents will have it covered for you with all new episodes every Thursday keeping you up to date as we head to the NFL Draft. Listen to 40s and free agents on the iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast or wherever you get your podcast.
- [52:09]
Nick Wright
All right, all of our win totals, by the way, are courtesy of DraftKings and a recap of what we did in the AFC. We went under on the Patriots, over on the jets, under on the Steelers, a tentative over on the Ravens, over on the Jags, under on the Titans, over on the Chiefs and over on the Raiders. All right Damanze, you go ahead and give me each team and we'll do the NFC as quickly as we can here. Go ahead.
- [52:41]
Damanze
Yes sir. So you've got the Eagles. They're over under said at eleven and a half.
- [52:46]
Nick Wright
So if I had to bit make a pick here I would go slight under but you don't have to make a pick like this is tougher schedule. You know did guys the you know did the super bowl relax them a bit? I but they did, you know they won 14 games last year but I would, I would that's a stay away for me and this next one is a more interesting one. Go ahead.
- [53:14]
Damanze
You got, we got the commanders. They're over under his nine and a.
- [53:17]
Nick Wright
Half so I'm going to go under nine and a half for the commanders purely because I think the whole world's going to be on the over. I think that schedule's tougher. I think that you're not going to sneak up on anybody. I had the schedule in front of me. I'm going to pull it up again. We talked to this actually on the TV show yesterday so they don't have a Single game outside of the division with a team that we that everyone expects to be awful. So and again we're not always right about that. But they don't have any what I would call layup games. So their home schedule outside of the division, Seattle, Chicago, Denver, the Raiders, the Lions. That's not brutal. But no layups now maybe you think the Raiders are going to be awful. I don't their road schedule. No easy ones either. Packers, Chiefs, Chargers, Vikings, Falcons, Dolphins. So you add to that Dak should be healthy. You know is you would think he's going to be healthy. I think the Giants are going to be slightly better. I think everyone's going to be on the commanders. I think that you now have a little more tape on Jaden and last year they were so great and the clutch close games. I'll go slight under. The Cowboys are at seven and a half. I that's a stay away to me. That number's exactly right. And now the interesting one. Damanze.
- [54:56]
Damanze
Yeah, we've we got the Giants. They're over. Under is five and a half over.
- [55:01]
Nick Wright
Under five and a half with plus money on the over plus 1:15. I like the Giants over. I think the Giants, the head coach and GM know if we're not good this year we're fired. So I expect them on draft day to be aggressive. Like you could see them potentially trading future picks to move up because they're like well if we're not good, those aren't going to be our picks. You know that's somebody else's problem. They're going to be able to draft Abdul Carter at number three. They're going to go from Tommy DeVito at quarterback and Daniel Jones at quarterback to Russell Wilson who will be fine. Won't be good. Will be fine. Can the Giants win seven games? I think they can. I like the Giants over. Let's go to the NFC north first.
- [55:56]
Damanze
Off we got the Lions. They're over. Under is ten and a half.
- [55:59]
Nick Wright
So this will be a tentative over for me. For the Detroit Lions. I've battled with this one a bit. I don't think they're going to be a 15 win juggernaut again but you get Aiden Hutchinson back. I don't love losing both coordinators and by the way, this might be a flip flop. I don't remember like I am, you know I actually I'm rescinding what I said there. This is a stay away.
- [56:34]
Damanze
Yeah, I was shocking.
- [56:36]
Nick Wright
Go ahead.
- [56:36]
Damanze
Given what you said about the commanders, like more confident in them winning, less than going under nine and a half than the Lions 10.
- [56:44]
Nick Wright
Well I think the Lions listen the Lions concern for me is the, the coordinator losses like that to me is you know losing both Aaron Glenn and Ben Johnson and how much does being so close to the super bowl the last two years hurt them But I still think they're the best team in that division. And do I think that that division's not going to have any team win 11 games? Probably not. But I, I I had said this was a tentative over when I talked about it on TV I was squeamish about it. I, I, that's a stay away for me. All right, let's go to the other ones.
- [57:23]
Damanze
We got the packers. They're over unders nine and a half.
- [57:26]
Nick Wright
That to me is the exact right line so I'll stay away from that one as well. I think the Packers I again if I had to pick I would pick an under but you don't have to pick. You don't have to bet these I am this is a big year for Jordan Love.
- [57:43]
Damanze
Yeah.
- [57:44]
Nick Wright
And where it's not that people are out on Jordan Love but not quite as in on him as they were this time last year when they were a trendy super bowl pick. I also think the division's brutal so that to me that number is exactly right and you know I'll stay away from it next one.
- [58:04]
Damanze
Feel like I know where you're going here. We got the Bears over under eight and a half.
- [58:08]
Nick Wright
Yeah, you do know where I'm going. I am going over I think a much better offensive line, a much better Caleb Williams, a much better head coach and another opportunity to draft an impact player in the top 10. All those reasons I'm not going to say Bears to the super bowl like I did last year. That was a mistake. But I think they should be in the mix for a wild card spot all year. I also still crazily think that if they don't allow that Hail Mary against Washington maybe that whole season goes differently. But it was probably good for them to clean house the way they did. But I will take the Bears over. And now the most intriguing one in the division Demons A we've got the Vikings.
- [58:58]
Damanze
They're over under said at eight and.
- [58:59]
Nick Wright
A half with heavy juice on the over at minus 1:45. So I'm going to stay away from this one. The question is really how much do I trust Kevin O'Connell? Do I think that Kevin O'Connell with any healthy quarterback can just get you to double digit Wins? They won 13 games with Kirk Cousins. They won 14 games with Sam Darnold. And the reason it's a stay away is for me is because they seem at least a little unsure about the health of J.J. mcCarthy's knee. And that concerns me by itself. But I, I love the infrastructure. I really like the roster and so I will stay away for now. I, Somebody like whoever finishes last in that division is going to be devastated. Like every team in that division feels like they should be a playoff team. The Vikings are projected to finish last. They won 14 games last year. So my only pick in that division is the Bears. Over. I'm going to save us time here on the NFC South. My lean is I'm staying away from this entire gross division. The Bucks numbers nine and a half, the Falcons number seven and a half, the Saints number six and a half and the Panthers number six and a half. And I'm just, I, I'm staying away from that entire division because there are three picks in the NFC West I like. So let's go through them.
- [60:40]
Damanze
First we got the Niners. They're over, under, set at ten and a half. And you're going.
- [60:44]
Nick Wright
I like the under.
- [60:45]
Damanze
Yeah.
- [60:46]
Nick Wright
I think that them being the favorites to win that division and having the highest win total in that division is disrespectful to the Rams. I also think a team that lost Hufanga and Greenlaw and Debo and you know, was clearing out this money to pay Brock and we don't know how healthy Christian McCaffrey is going to be. We don't know when Brandon Iuk's going to be back from his ACL. We, you know, we don't know when finally Trent Williams, the age is going to show up. I just, I, I love Shanahan. I think this is the least talented roster he's had in years there and we have, we. They were a six win team last year, so I don't. Or seven win team. I don't, I think six wins. Yeah, six and 11 last year. I don't know where the five extra wins are coming from. I know they were, you know, destroyed by injury last year. They probably won't be quite as disastrous injury luck this year, but no Debo, no Greenlaw, who I understand they didn't like. He and Huanga missed a lot of time last year with injury, other losses on the defensive line. I do like them adding Robert Salah, but that to me is an under.
- [62:02]
Damanze
Yeah, you've got the Rams. They're over, under said at nine and.
- [62:07]
Nick Wright
A half and this to me is the clear and easy over. I think they're the best team in the division. Kind of a last ride with Stafford. They were able to keep their left tackle. I think devonte Adams will be better than Cooper cup for them. They've drafted that defensive line full of young guys last year. You expect them all to be better. I wonder if they consider, you know, spending a premium draft pick on a running back. Not nothing it's Kieran Williams but I, I think there's a good running back class. Maybe they go tight end. I don't know But I think the Rams are legitimate super bowl contender this year. I like so I don't mind paying the juice on the over nine and a half minus 130. Especially when you consider the fact that they. They. They dealt like the Ram, like the Niners did with brutal injuries last year and they still were the only team to give the Eagles a game in the playoffs. Found their way into the playoffs, won the division, all that.
- [63:13]
Damanze
All right, next we got the Seahawks. They're over unders eight and a half.
- [63:18]
Nick Wright
This is the only one I'm staying away from. I think they got worse at quarterback but not but and obviously they lost, you know some receivers but I like their coach. I also think the schedule is not brutal and so that's a stay away from me. And this was maybe the most shocking over under on the board to me.
- [63:40]
Damanze
Demase we got the Cardinals. They're over under set at eight and a half.
- [63:45]
Nick Wright
Yeah, that's a steaming under. I don't know why we would think the Cardinals are going to win more games than they lose. I don't know why anyone would think Kyler is going to be able to be good for 17 games. I don't know what defensive personnel they have that you love other than Buddha Baker. I the. I know they have some young players they've invested money in but I just. I expect the Cardinals to be bad. I would like. I would have guessed their preseason over under would have been six and a half like it was last year. What did they do to earn. I understand they. They did win eight games last year but to earn a better benefit of the doubt. I don't. I don't get that one. So in the NFC we are going Giants over, Commanders under, Bears over, Niners under, Rams over and Cardinals under. All right. Remind remember to every reminder to everybody like rate, subscribe, review, hit the bell, do all that stuff. It actually really helps. I'm gonna check did we officially during Today's show hit 200,000. I'm being told we did not. What a failure by us. Geez Louise, I need to be better. Bad job by me. We got a few minutes left in today's show to hit it. I think we're like 200 away, but so we'll hit it at some point today. All right, demonte, let's do some of these listener questions, if we could.
- [65:13]
Damanze
Breezy says, do you think this is a good chance for Giannis to have a 2018 LeBron type postseason?
- [65:20]
Nick Wright
Well, it would be. I mean, that's what he would have to do. I just don't. 2018 LeBron might be the single best version of LeBron. There's an argument for it, and Giannis is not quite that caliber a player, and the east is harder than it was in 2018, so. So it would be a chance for it, but I don't think he can do it.
- [65:41]
Damanze
Next, rule of halves asks would. Would you do one of Those Jubilee shows versus 20 sports fans like Skip did? If so, what would you like the premise to be?
- [65:53]
Nick Wright
I never rule anything out, and I think it might be fun to debate a bunch of strangers, but. So I wouldn't rule it out. So maybe I would do that at some point. That could be fun. I haven't watched the Skip thing, but.
- [66:12]
Damanze
A little bit of it.
- [66:13]
Nick Wright
Yeah. And so I. So maybe at some point, I'm not sure. Next.
- [66:18]
Damanze
Ronnie asked Nick's Nick, if the Lakers beat the T Wolves, could you see Minnesota go after coach Mike Malone?
- [66:25]
Nick Wright
Well, I don't think they would fire Chris Finch. I do know, obviously, the Timberwolves were, you know, are built by the guy who built the Nuggets and, you know, so that they have a relationship. But I don't know they'd fire Chris Finch. I think he's done a good job. But yes, if they did fire Chris Finch, I assume that's who they would go for, right?
- [66:44]
Damanze
Next quad asks, if Jimmy Butler wins, is it a, is it bad for basketball? Guys like Tatum, jokic, ant harden, LeBron and so on should just rest and relax during the regular season and then turn it on.
- [66:57]
Nick Wright
Well, I understand what you're saying there, but A, Jimmy's an older player. He didn't always do this. He has the last few years. And B, it's. If you're saying if he wins the entire thing, I get what you mean. Like if he wins the whole thing and is awesome the whole way, like that we would want guys. It would make the regular season feel less important. I get that, but I Think bad for basketball's too strong. All right, next. No, go to Hard to find.
- [67:32]
Damanze
Hard to find as a double question, Nick, did the Mavs still retire Lucas number and Demons A1. Are you streaming again?
- [67:40]
Nick Wright
Oh, okay. Well, you want to answer your question?
- [67:45]
Damanze
All streams. Yeah, there's some. There's some new games that I feel might be nice to have other people watch me do, but I just always started doing the streaming thing, and I feel like I get a little bit weird about, like, being inside of my apartment and. Yeah, I don't know. Like, I feel. I feel a little strange about it once I start the video, but. But, yeah, I'll definitely take a crack at it soon, and you guys will be alerted.
- [68:06]
Nick Wright
And then he has said, will the Mavs still retire Luca's number? That's an interesting one. I mean, if so, it won't be for a very, very long time. Like, it'd be after his career. Answer is probably not. Like, may, maybe I. You got to see how the whole.
- [68:23]
Damanze
Yeah, you trade a guy away and then. And then retire his numbers.
- [68:28]
Nick Wright
Yeah. Now some people think the Heat should retire Jimmy's number at some point. So I don't know.
- [68:34]
Damanze
Like, not if you're annoying on your way out. I'm like, I'm sorry.
- [68:38]
Nick Wright
I agree with you.
- [68:39]
Damanze
I agree with you.
- [68:40]
Nick Wright
And Noel said, What about the AFC win totals? That was our April 8 episode. So you can go back on the YouTube page or in a podcast feed and you'll be able to find my full thoughts on all of those. All right, great job, Demanze. Great job. Blue duck volume. DraftKings, everybody. Appreciate you guys. Enjoy the playoff basketball this weekend. Possibility for a Sunday morning. Easter morning. Ooh, Sunday's Easter. Easter Sunday emergency episode, potentially, if the family will allow it and if we can do it for after Lakers, Timberwolves and round or day one of the NBA playoffs. See you guys on TV in a few hours.
- [69:18]
Greg Rosenthal
What's right, what's up, everyone? It's Greg Rosenthal, and I'm teaming up with the king of spring, Daniel Jeremiah. He requires me to say. Say that we're going to be bringing you 40s and free agents, the only podcast you'll need this NFL draft season. From DJs, mock drafts to my top 101 free agents will have it covered for you with all new episodes every Thursday, keeping you up to date as we head to the NFL Draft. Listen to 40s and free agents on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.