The Herd with Colin Cowherd — "What's Wright" (NFL Week 10 Predictions)

Featuring Nick Wright
Aired: November 8, 2025
Episode Focus: In-depth NFL Week 10 gambling/prediction show — Eagles-Packers, Rams-49ers, Bucs-Patriots, Ravens-Vikings, Steelers-Chargers and more.

Main Theme & Purpose

This episode dives deep into NFL Week 10, with Nick Wright and co-host Damanze breaking down betting lines, sharing strategy, and dispensing takes on each matchup. The focus is both on direct picks and nuanced "stay away" games, using Hard Rock Bet's lines and statistical insights.

Key Discussion Points

1. Reflecting on Last Week’s Bets

• Nick and Damanze review a winning week (3–2), with some picks "stone losers" (Detroit, KC) and others clear wins (Pitt, SF, Seattle).
• Notable quote:

  “Detroit minus eight and a half against Minnesota — they lose outright. Kansas City minus one and a half against Buffalo — they lose outright and get thoroughly outplayed... winners were pretty clear cut winners.”
  — Nick Wright [04:04]

2. Approach to This Week

• Confidence is high: Both hosts shooting for a perfect 5-0 week.
• Stats hub and trends discussed: e.g., “San Francisco has covered the spread in four straight games as an underdog against the Rams” [05:32].

Stay Aways — Games to Skip (12:23–20:01)

Nick and Damanze methodically run down the slate, identifying tricky matchups to avoid:

• Bills at Dolphins: Miami’s high-leverage failures scare Nick off.

  "The Dolphins are right now a very, very difficult team to put money on against good teams." — Nick [12:36]

• Ravens at Vikings: Likes Minnesota +4, but fears Lamar Jackson’s form.

  “Minnesota is the sharp side… but I just couldn’t do it.” — Nick [13:52]

• Browns at Jets: Concern that Jets’ locker room may have ‘checked out’ after trades.

  "I’m too anxious to put money on the Jets until I see them play post these trades." — Nick [14:50]

• Saints at Panthers: Panthers haven’t won as a favorite in four years; not touching it.

  “If a team hasn’t covered as a favorite in four years, then… I don’t want to care about this game at all.” — Nick [15:51]

• Cards at Seahawks: Jacoby Brissett makes Cards “frisky enough” to stay away.

  “Seattle's really good...but the Cardinals have been in almost all their games this year." — Nick [16:44]

• Rams at Niners: Stats say SF +4.5 is sharp. Heart says Rams eke it out.

  “I know the right side is San Francisco. I feel very confident in that.” — Nick [17:33]

• Lions at Washington: Detroit “smash spot,” but Nick’s gun-shy after last week’s Lions pick busted.

  “I should probably just swallow the eight points with Detroit but instead I'm staying away.” — Nick [18:22]

• Eagles at Packers: Wanted Philly as dogs, but “desperation disparity” with GB at home worried him.

  “Philly getting points against basically anyone in the NFC is almost a must bet but not quite.” — Nick [19:13]

Main Picks — Nick's Five Favorite Bets (20:17–28:39)

1. Atlanta (+6.5) vs. Indianapolis (Berlin Game)

Why: Overreaction to the Colts trading for Sauce; Europe games often close.
“Feels like this is a one-possession game.”— Nick [20:33]

2. Tampa Bay (-2.5) vs. New England

Why: Bucs off bye, better team and QB, Baker great with extra rest.
“As good as New England’s been, I think Tampa wins this game and I think Tampa wins this game by at least a field goal.” — Nick [22:11]

3. Jacksonville (-1) at Houston

Why: Fading Davis Mills (Texans backup), Jags defense, line movement after Stroud out.
“Davis Mills has started amazingly 25 games in his career: They’re 5-19-1 in those games.” — Nick [23:37]

4. Chicago (-3.5) vs. Giants

Why: Giants’ spirit “stolen" after collapse vs. Broncos. Giants fans’ betting activity shifted the line at Hard Rock Bet.
“I just don't trust the Giants defense right now and I think that their spirit was stolen.” — Nick [25:50]

5. Pittsburgh (+3) at Chargers

Why: Chargers lack home field, Tomlin excels as a dog, improved PIT defense.
“That’s going to be a silent count game for the Chargers… all Steelers fans taking over SoFi in LA.” — Nick [26:38]

Teaser of the Week (32:50–35:04)

Damanze’s 3-team, 8-point Teaser:

• Buffalo down to pick’em
• Cleveland up to +6
• Philly up to +10

Nick (skeptical):
“I hate every piece of [the Cleveland leg]. Buffalo I like and Philly I like… But listen, your teaser. You’re fine. The teaser’s been average. The picks have been average.” — Nick [33:43]

Touchdown Genie & Prop Bets (35:03–37:21)

• Touchdown Genie pick: Bears RB D’Onta Foreman (found at -125, not “sick odds” but still Nick’s pick).
• Fan Offer: Parlay: Jonathan Taylor and Bijan Robinson each to score (Berlin game, +135).
  “I think they're both gonna score a touchdown in Berlin.” — Nick [37:07]

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• “I know the right side of this game is San Francisco. I feel very confident in that.” — Nick Wright [17:33]
• “If a team hasn’t covered as a favorite in four years, then… I don’t want to care about this game at all.” — Nick [15:51]
• “I just don't trust the Giants defense right now and I think that their spirit was stolen.” — Nick [25:50]
• “That’s going to be all Steelers fans taking over SoFi in LA.” — Nick [26:38]
• “Buffalo I like and Philly I like. I hate the Cleveland leg [of your teaser].” — Nick [33:43]

Timestamps for Major Segments

• 03:50 — Open and last week’s results
• 12:23 — Stay Away games rundown
• 20:17 — Best bets: Atlanta, Tampa, Jacksonville, Chicago, Pittsburgh
• 32:50 — Teaser of the week
• 35:03 — Touchdown Genie and special prop picks
• 37:21 — Wrap and sponsor thanks

Tone & Energy

• Lively, irreverent, and self-aware; Nick and Demanze display a blend of friendly competition and sharp analysis.
• Nick’s combination of stats, intuition, and storytelling keeps things fast-paced but relatable.
• Betting terminology is used confidently; picks are justified with both numbers and narrative.

For Listeners Who Missed the Show

This episode is a must-listen if you care about smart, nuanced NFL picks — not just for bets, but for understanding the why behind each play, including sharp observations about team psychology, matchup history, and betting line movement. Nick Wright is characteristically candid, admitting when picks are “probably dumb” or when he’s “gun-shy” after a bad loss, making the analysis accessible as well as expert.

For actionable picks and the sharpest edges, Nick likes Atlanta (+6.5), Tampa (-2.5), Jacksonville (-1), Chicago (-3.5), and Pittsburgh (+3), with fun props and a healthy dose of skepticism about teasers. Lots of great insights into why staying away from certain games can be as smart as making that “must-bet.”