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Spencer Graves
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This podcast is sponsored by PayPal. Okay, let's talk holiday shopping. When you want to make the most of your Money, head to PayPal's app before you check out. They give you the flexibility to pay in four no fees, no interest. And this is big. Bigger than the 12 foot snowman on your lawn right now. You can get 5% cash back when you pay later with PayPal. So whether it's the must have merch or for that signed jersey you've been eyeing, PayPal helps you make the most of your money this holiday. Save this offer in the PayPal app.
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Spencer Graves
Welcome in what's driving think right episode 392 our week 11 NFL gambling show and this episode is brought to you by our friends at Boost Mobile who also bring you straight to voicemail. We don't do that during the gambling show, but give them a shout out anyway. And also shout out our friends at Hard Rock Bet because they provide all the lines we are going to be discussing discussing here and shout out all of you who have like rated and subscribed to the pod. Please continue subscribing to the pod on YouTube and iTunes and Spotify and all of that. And for our Spotify listeners, our you know, biggest Spotify listeners should be getting a nice little Spotify wrapped video from me here in a few weeks. All right. Last week we needed to go 3 and 2 to be at an even.500. We thought we had the 3 and 2 locked up. Sadly, the Jags with an all time gag job. So we'll go over it now. Atlanta plus six and a half against Indy. They could have maybe should have won. They lose by six in overtime. That's a winner. Tampa minus two and a half against New England. And by the way, let me say one thing about Atlanta versus Indy. First, if you remember, part of my handicap on that game was this was Indy -5 and a half and then they traded for sauce. It moved to 6 and a half and I said no corner is worth a point and that point ended up being the difference between a one and a loss. Just saying. Tampa minus two and a half against New England was on the wrong side of that. That's a loser. Jacksonville minus one at Houston, they're up 19 against Davis Mills in the fourth quarter. They somehow lose. Just pathetic. Chicago minus three and a half against the Giants, maybe a little lucky, they were down 10 late, they came back to win. And Pittsburgh plus three against the Chargers. That was a bad pick. So two and three, two games under again, trudging along, need to get hot. But this is similar to last year and last year we finished red hot, so I'm not worried. Today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock Bet. That time of year and every day feels like a big game day. Pro football, college football, NBA, college hoops. It's all happening and all on Hard Rock Bet. There's always something to bet on. If you haven't tried your first bet on Hard Rock Bet yet, still time for you to get $150 in bonus bets. If you win, just place a $5 bet and if it hits, you get not only your winnings but $150 in extra bonus bets. And if you're not sure what to place you your first bet on, check out the Hard Rock Bet Stats hub. It's loaded with trends, streaks and stats to help guide your picks. Numbers don't lie and neither does the data in there. Here are some that stood out to me. Travis Kelsey has gone for at least 45 yards receiving in seven straight divisional games. His total is set at 43 and a half this week against the Broncos and the Seahawks have won 10 straight on the road their underdogs in LA against the Rams this week. Check out the stats up now. Get the edge and bet with confidence. Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook app is the only legal sports book when you're in Florida and it's also live in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois and Colorado. Coming soon to more states as well. Plus, Hard Rock Bet offers new promos every single day. So whenever you're listening, just open the app and check out what you've got. Any day of the week, download the Hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit payable and bonus bets. Not a cash offer. Offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital LLC in all other states. Must be 21 plus and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio Tennessee or Virginia to play and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida? Call-888- admit it in Indiana. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-9 with it gambling problem. Call 1-800-GAMBLER in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia.
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This podcast is sponsored by PayPal. Okay, let's talk holiday shopping. When you want to make the most of your Money, head to PayPal's app before you check out. They give you the flexibility to pay in four no fees, no interest. And this is big. Bigger than the 12 foot snowman on your lawn right now. You can get 5% cash back when you pay later with PayPal. So whether it's the must have merch or for that signed jersey you've been eyeing, PayPal helps you make the most of your money this holiday. Save this offer in the PayPal app expires 1231.
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Nothing like sinking into luxury. Annabe sofas combine ultimate comfort and design at an affordable price. Annabe has designed the only fully machine washable sofa from top to bottom. The stain resistant performance fabric slipcovers and cloud like frame duvet can go straight into your wash. Perfect for anyone with kids, pets or anyone who loves an easy to clean spotless sofa. With a modular design and changeable slipcovers, you can customize your sofa to fit any space and style. Whether you need a single chair, loveseat or a luxuriously large sectional, Anna Bay has you covered. Visit washablesofas.com to upgrade your home. Sofas start at just $699 and right now get early access to Black Black Friday savings up to 60% off store wide with a 30 day money back guarantee. Shop now@washablesofas.com Add a little to your life. Offers are subject to change and certain restrictions may apply.
Today's episode is brought to you by a scent that's made a legendary comeback degree Original Cool Rush. The OG is back and better than ever. Cool Rush isn't just a scent, it's a movement fan favorite. It's the kind of fragrance that guys remember, ask for by name and rave about online. It's bold, fresh and delivers all day sweat protection with that cool, crisp vibe that made it a legend. Whether you're heading to the gym, the office or just trying to stay fresh on a long day, Cool Rush has your back. It's the go to for millions and for good reason. So if you haven't tried it yet or if you've been waiting for a sign, this is it. Head to your local Walmart or Target and grab degree Cool Rush, the fan favorite scent from the world's number one antiperspirant brand.
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Emu and Doug Here we have the Limu Emu in its natural habitat helping people customize their car insurance and save hundreds with Liberty Mutual. Fascinating. It's accompanied by his natural ally, Doug.
Spencer Graves
Uh, Limu is that guy with the binoculars watching us.
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Spencer Graves
Massachusetts all right, going to quickly run through the stay away since Deman is not here. Today will be a a quicker show. Chargers at Jacksonville. Jacksonville getting two and a half. I think the Chargers win. However, that banged up Chargers O line coming off a great game against the Jags defense gave me just enough pause to stay away even though the Jags have looked just so bad ever since they beat Kansas City. So I'm staying away there. If I was going to go with my lean would be the Chargers. Houston at the Titans. The Titans getting six and a half. It's I cannot lay a touchdown with Davis Mills. I also can't bet the Titans getting less than a touchdown and so that's just stay away. Cincinnati at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh laying five points. We love Pittsburgh as a divisional dog. We really like Pittsburgh laying less than three points in divisional games. We don't so much love them laying five so we're staying away there. Carolina at Atlanta Atlanta laying three and a half at home. Atlanta's I watched Atlanta for all 60 minutes last weekend and it was just such a pathetic game plan that even though Carolina's been a really bad road team, I just don't feel comfortable rolling with the Falcons. So that's a stay away. Green Bay at the Giants the Giants getting seven at home. I Green Bay's offense has been so bad against bad teams that you feel like you should just take the seven points with the Giants. The problem is the boom bust potential of Jameis makes it scary. I know they fired the coach so sometimes you get a fired coach bounce. I just feel like a Jameis pick six to ruin a potential cover is too painful so I'm staying away. Seattle at the Rams the Rams are favored by three. I expect the Rams to win by three so the line is perfect. There's no value there. Both of these teams, by the way, are 7 and 2 straight up and 7 and 2 against the spread. I'll stay away there. Baltimore at Cleveland +7 and a half if I had more when we're recording this, there's still a little bit of question about Lamar's health, so therefore I can't bet Baltimore. I would never bet Dylan Gabriel getting, you know, barely more than a touchdown against a good team. And Baltimore's a good team now, but because I don't know if what Lamar what's going on with Lamar? Stay away there. Detroit at Philly Philly two and a half point favorites I stared long and hard at Detroit. If at any point this line moves to three, I will jump on Detroit, but at two and a half it's just not. I I feel like fading the Eagles right now and getting less than a field goal in Philly, particularly with potential bad weather being a part of that game and what that does to golf, that concerns me too much. But at three I'd bet Detroit and then Dallas at the Raiders. The Raiders getting three and a half. Just a gross Monday Night Football game. I I like Dallas, but Dallas also doesn't Betting on laying more than a field goal on the road with the Cowboys is more respect than that team deserves. The Colts and Saints are on a buy and that leaves us these five picks. I liked Miami minus two and a half against Washington when I briefly thought the game was in Washington. I love it when it's On a neutral site in Madrid. I think Washington is just flatly too injured. Quarterback out, a half dozen defensive players out. The Washington is so banged up. Miami all of a sudden sneaky good vibes. I know Tua has not done well in his international starts, but one of those was against the Chiefs. I'll throw that one out. I think Washington is just right now one of the softer spots in the league until Jaden gets back and I'm laying less than a field goal. So I'll take Miami -2 and a half from Madrid. Chicago getting three at Minnesota. I didn't know this, but this is crazy. The Vikings are 06 against the spread after facing the Lions under Kevin O'. Connell. That one. I mean that's, that's, it's not nothing.
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It.
Spencer Graves
The. That that applied to last week's game against the Ravens. So maybe. I wish I knew it then. I, I thought Minnesota had a lot of opportunities against Baltimore. I didn't think Baltimore played that well and they just couldn't make the most of them. I think Chicago likely wins this game outright and I'm getting three points also. I like getting that all of a sudden. Very explosive Chicago offense in a dome. So Chicago getting a full three at Minnesota. When I think Chicago can win outright, I'll roll with them. Tampa getting five and a half at Buffalo. I just don't know that right now Buffalo deserves to be laying more than three and a half against any really good team. And I think Tampa is a really good team. They're also. This will be the first game maybe all year where Tampa is the healthier team. They might have Bucky Irving back, they might have Chris Godwin back at Buffalo meanwhile is super banged up. I don't need Tampa to win outright, even though I think they could. I just need them to keep it, you know, manageable and they're healthier. And Buffalo I think has some soul searching to do. Tampa plus five and a half. Probably my, I'm not going to call it my favorite, but I like this a lot even though all the trends are against me because Shanahan has not covered against the Cardinals and Arizona is pretty good as a covering team coming off a loss. But San Francisco -2 and a half at Arizona. I think Arizona is a bit of a mess. We just saw them get absolutely demolished this past weekend. San Francisco should have Purdy back now. I don't think there's a big difference between Purdy and Mac Jones at this point, but they should have Purdy back and they are. They, they understand that it's going to be between them and Chicago for that final playoff spot. This is a game you've got to take care of business. I love that I don't have to lay three and a half. Just feels like San Francisco can control this game and win by three points. And I'm only laying the two and a half, so I'll take San Francisco minus the two and a half. And last but not least, the Chiefs laying three and a half at Denver. Obvious. If you got this right when it opened at three, good for you. I may have gotten it right when it opened at three, but I will still lay the three and a half. I just do not think Bo Nix can get this Broncos deep offense to more than 17 points. So then the question is, do I think the Chiefs can score 21 even against that Denver defense? I think they can. My real analysis of this game and everything about it you can hear on yesterday's pod. You know, around the 10 minute mark we get into it if you want to hear more there. So our five picks this week are Miami minus two and a half in Madrid against Washington, Chicago plus three at Minnesota, Tampa plus five and a half at Buffalo, San Francisco minus two and a half at Arizona and Kansas City minus three and a half at Denver. Before we get to Demons, a teaser, which we will give you even though he's not here and even though he is ice cold. You ever notice how everything keeps going up? Rent's going up, Streaming services going up. Your favorite burrito spot thinks salsa should cost extra. Not with Boost Mobile. With Boost Mobile, you and your phone bill don't have to play the Will this go up soon? Game. Why? Because Boost Mobile has an unlimited talk, text and data plan at a price that'll never go up. In fact, it's the same price you'll pay for life. So switch now for an unlimited wireless at a price that'll never go up. Only on boost mobile. After 30 gigs, customers may experience slower speeds. Customers will pay 20 per month as long as they remain active on the Boost Unlimited plan.
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This podcast is sponsored by PayPal. Okay, let's talk holiday shopping. When you want to make the most of your Money, head to PayPal's app before you check out. They give you the flexibility to pay in four no fees, no interest. And this is big. Bigger than the 12 foot snowman on your lawn right now. You can get 5% cash back when you pay later with PayPal. So whether it's the must have merch or for that signed jersey you've been eyeing. PayPal helps you make the most of your money this holiday. Save this offer in the PayPal app expires 1231.
See paypal.com promoterms Subject to approval. Learn more at paypal.com payin4paypal inc.nmls910457 Life.
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Today's episode is brought to you by a scent that's made a legendary comeback. Degree Original Cool Rush the OG is back and better than never. Cool Rush isn't just a scent, it's a movement fan favorite. It's the kind of fragrance that guys remember, ask for by name and rave about online. It's bold, fresh and delivers all day sweat protection with that cool, crisp vibe that made it a legend. Whether you're heading to the gym, the office, or just trying to stay fresh on a long day, Cool Rush has your back. It's the go to for millions and for good reason. So if you haven't tried it yet, or if you've been waiting for a sign, this is it. Head to your local Walmart or Target and grab Degree Cool Rush, the fan favorite scent from the world's number one antiperspirant brand.
Running a business is hard enough, so why make it harder? With a dozen different apps that don't talk to each other. One for sales, another for inventory, a separate one for accounting. Before you know it, you are drowning in software. Instead of growing your business, this is where Odoo comes in. Odoo is the only business software you'll ever need. It's an all in one fully integrated platform that handles everything CRM, accounting, inventory, E commerce, HR and more. No more app overload, no more juggling logins, just One seamless system that work easier. And the best part, Odoo replaces multiple expensive platforms for a fraction of the cost. It's built to grow with your business, whether you are just starting out or already scaling up. Plus, it's easy to use, customizable and designed to streamline every process so you can focus on what really matters running your business. Thousands of businesses have made the switch, so why not you try Odoo for free@odoo.com that's O D O O.com Limu Emu and Doug.
Here we have the Limu emu in its natural habitat, helping people customize their car insurance and save hundreds with Liberty Mutual. Fascinating. It's accompanied by his natural ally, Doug.
Spencer Graves
Uh, Limu is that guy with the binoculars watching us.
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Cut the camera. They see us. Only pay for what you need@libertymutual.com Liberty Liberty, Liberty. Liberty Savings. Very unwritten by Liberty Mutual Insurance Company Affiliates excludes Massachusetts.
Spencer Graves
All right, I told Demanze last week he had a bad teaser. He didn't listen to me. His record falls to four and six. He had Buffalo minus one. Teased through the zero or not through the zero? Yeah, hold on. Yeah. Teased not through the zero. He teased Cleveland through the zero plus six. Those both lost. And he had Philly plus ten. This week, Damanze is once again, I am. Listen, he's got baby brain. I'll let you guys hear it. Here's Damanze with his Week 11 teaser.
Demanze
Hello, what's right, team? I just wanted to say thank you from the bottom of my heart for the. The warm congratulations and the welcoming of Myla. You guys are all awesome. I'm sorry if I didn't get back to anybody, but it's greatly appreciated and I can't wait to talk to you guys in a couple weeks here. I hope everybody's doing good. But the week 11 teaser. Eight pointer, three teamer per usual. Texans up to plus one and a half. We're gonna tease the dolphins up to plus five and a half and tease the bucks up to plus 13. I know it's been a while since I won one of these, but I feel like I have luck on my side and. Yeah, just ride with me. So this is the week 11 teaser. Texans one and a half. Dolphins plus five and a half. Bucks to plus 13. Let's ride.
Spencer Graves
All right, so he's actually gonna get 13 and a half on the bucks because when he called it in, they were five. They're now five and a half. I. The. These are. I mean, we're just what have I teasing through the zero with Miami and get not getting key numbers. We're teasing through the zero with Houston and not getting I Again. He's been focused on more important things but fair is fair. Damanze's first teaser as a father gets an F. I'm rooting for you son. But that gets an F. Touchdown Genie Time. Last week I went off the board and said give me Kyle Manangai and he scored immediately. Immediately Kyle Manangai scored. We stay lifetime undefeated on Touchdown Genie. I said to the group today, hey, I really like Josh Jacobs against the Giants to get a touchdown. And they said to me, yeah, so does the whole world. He's minus 300. I said God dog it. So I'm going to do something we haven't done before. Touchdown Jeannie Parlay Josh Jacobs and Christian McCaffrey parlayed together minus 1. 22. Cash that in. We don't do it every week, but I'm feeling hot on Touchdown Genie. Now the group has an offer for me. We last week I think we had Jonathan Taylor and Bijan Robinson to both score a touchdown, but the Falcons instead just gave Tyler Algier or Bijan's red zone touches so it did not hit this week. The offer is Trevor and Jamis to throw a pick plus 1. 36 or plus 140. Sadly, I'll take it. It seems Trevor to throw a pick against the Chargers. Jamis to throw a pick against the Packers. Sadly, two number one picks to throw picks. I'll take it like Rate Subscribe Review thank you to Monze thank you Blue Duck thank you Volume and Shout Out Hard Rock Bet Boost and of course our friends at Zen enjoy an amazing weekend of football. Talk to you guys on Tuesday.
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Hey, I'm Kyle McLaughlin. You might know me as that guy from Twin Peaks, Sex and the City, or just the Internet stand. I have a new podcast called what Are We Even Doing? Where I embark on a noble quest to understand the brilliant chaos of youth culture. Each week I invite someone fascinating to join me to talk about navigating this high speed roller coaster we call reality. Join me and my delightful guests every Thursday and let's get weird together in a good way. Listen to what Are We Even doing on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Spencer Graves
A man with down syndrome tries the.
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Spencer Graves
4:53 hits.
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We're legal, shooting light. And he gives us this one last just ow. And he pitches off. And when he pitches off, he flies right into the gun barrel.
Spencer Graves
I said to the cameraman, do you have him? He said, shoot him. I said, justin, shoot. You can download this episode and others from lines and tines with Spencer Graves.
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On the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or.
Spencer Graves
Wherever you get your podcasts. If one of us wins, we all win. I'm Ashley Rayfeld, the host of the podcast. Good Luck with that. Good Luck with that is a skateboarding podcast about the past, present and future of women and gender. Expansive skateboarding. In our show, we'll talk with skaters like Bobby Delfino on pushing style, culture and the conversation forward. You break down the door sick now.
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Spencer Graves
I believe in that solely. So listen to Good Luck with that on iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is an iHeart podcast.
Date: November 15, 2025
Host: Spencer Graves (for this episode, in place of Nick Wright)
Special Guest: Damanze (remote contribution)
This episode of The Herd’s “What’s Wright” is a focused, brisk gambling show for NFL Week 11. Spencer Graves runs through his results from last week, explains his approach for this week’s betting slate, rattles off “stay away” games, and gives detailed breakdowns for his five best bets—including rationale, stats, and trends. Damanze calls in from paternity leave with his weekly teaser pick. The tone is casual, insightful, and full of the usual self-deprecation and banter familiar to fans of the pod.
[11:59–17:04]
[17:16–21:37]
Spencer’s favorite five, with concise reasoning:
[26:15–27:03]
[27:30–28:40]
[04:35] On perseverance despite losses:
“Two and three, two games under again, trudging along, need to get hot. But this is similar to last year and last year we finished red hot, so I’m not worried.” — Spencer Graves
[16:56] Washington’s struggles:
“Washington is just right now one of the softer spots in the league until Jaden gets back and I’m laying less than a field goal.” — Spencer Graves
[17:54] Buffalo vs. Tampa Bay:
“Buffalo…I think has some soul searching to do. Tampa plus five and a half. Probably my…I’m not going to call it my favorite, but I like this a lot.” — Spencer Graves
[18:27] San Francisco vs. Arizona:
“San Francisco can control this game and win by three points. And I’m only laying the two and a half.” — Spencer Graves
[18:46] Lock of the Week – Chiefs at Broncos:
“Obvious… I just do not think Bo Nix can get this Broncos offense to more than 17 points.” — Spencer Graves
[27:03] Teaser critique:
“He’s been focused on more important things, but fair is fair… Damanze’s first teaser as a father gets an F.” — Spencer Graves
| Game | Pick | Line/Pick | Reasoning Highlight | |-----------------------------|-----------------------|-------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------| | Dolphins vs. Washington | Dolphins | -2.5 (Madrid) | Washington's injuries, Dolphins' positive momentum | | Bears at Vikings | Bears | +3 | Bears' offense in dome, Vikings' ATS trend | | Bucs at Bills | Buccaneers | +5.5 | Bucs' health advantage, Bills' recent struggles | | 49ers at Cardinals | 49ers | -2.5 | Niners' urgency, Cardinals' poor form | | Chiefs at Broncos | Chiefs | -3.5 | Broncos' limited offense vs. KC's defense, Chiefs' upside |
The episode maintains a brisk, informed, slightly playful tone. Spencer Graves is analytical but not afraid to admit to bad picks or rib his producer. Practical betting advice centers on line value, injury reports, and situational stats. There’s a healthy skepticism toward trends and a focus on pragmatic handicapping. Damanze’s cameo adds warmth, showing camaraderie and gentle teasing, encapsulating the show’s mix of serious analysis and light-hearted rapport.
Recommendation:
If you’re a fan of NFL betting with a balance of stats, gut feel, and plenty of personality, this episode delivers, particularly in the rapid-fire best bets section and the ongoing fun of the Touchdown Genie props.
Like, rate, subscribe, and enjoy your football weekend!