Podcast Summary:

The Herd with Colin Cowherd – "What's Wright - NFL Week 12 Predictions"
Date: November 22, 2025

Overview

This episode of "What's Wright" with Nick Wright (guest hosting on The Herd) delivers rapid-fire NFL Week 12 betting analysis, picks, and predictions. The focus is strictly on the forthcoming NFL slate—including insight into five featured matchups (Colts-Chiefs, Eagles-Cowboys, Bucs-Rams, Steelers-Bears, Browns-Raiders), notable trends, strategies for selective betting, and Damanze's weekly teaser segment.

The tone is conversational, insightful, and statistical, with Nick providing direct and candid takes rooted in recent performance and deeper betting trends.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Week 11 Recap & Season Betting Progress

• Nick recaps recent betting results:
  • Finished 3-2 last week, sitting at 27-28 on the season.
  • Emotional admission regarding money lost on the Chiefs and the pain it caused.
• "Quest for a profitable, vig-included season is still alive. Last week was OK, but we need a bounce-back to get above .500." (03:16)

2. Games Nick is NOT Betting (and Why)

(10:22)

Nick outlines his criteria for finding value—and why he's avoiding several high-profile matchups.

A. Colts at Chiefs

• Trend Alert:
  • "Since 1990, teams that are .500 or worse favored against a team with an 80%+ win percentage are 14-0 straight up, 12-0-2 against the spread." (10:33)
• Emotional Reasoning:
  • “I'm not a superstitious guy, but I just hated what I went through last week [with the Chiefs],” (10:49)
  • Calling out oddsmaker decisions—"that half point feels ominous."
• Long-Term Stat:
  • "Andy Reid has had a 5-game win streak every year in KC—longest so far is three. Be a hell of a time to rip off a five-game winning streak." (11:06)

B. Other Games He's Staying Away From:

• New England at Cincinnati: Lack of clarity about Joe Burrow’s status.
• Giants at Lions: Giants D-Line could trouble Goff; "I can make compelling cases both ways."
• Minnesota at Green Bay: Packers aren't worthy of much respect; inconsistent lines.
• Eagles at Cowboys: “Dallas should be able to move the ball, Philly's offense has been awful… But can’t trust either side.”
• Falcons at Saints: Gross matchup, “just staying away.”
• Bucs at Rams: Belief in Tampa paused due to current injuries and Rams’ recent form.
• Carolina at San Francisco: 49ers' defense battered, but Panthers struggle on the road.

Memorable Guidance:
"That's why you don't have to bet every game. That's why it's a stay away and we are staying away." (12:00)

3. Five Best Bets of the Week

(13:30-23:09)

All odds from Hard Rock Bet.
Nick’s logic for each pick is heavy on current team context, QB/roster situations, and matchup-based statistics.

1. Chicago Bears -2.5 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

• QB uncertainty for Steelers (Mason Rudolph or Aaron Rodgers with a bad wrist).
• "I don't understand how this game is not three and a half." (13:40)
• Bears at home, both teams even otherwise—"ugly 3-point win" for Chicago.

2. New York Jets +13.5 at Baltimore Ravens

• Lamar Jackson injury report: missed practice (now ankle, previously knee).
• "He has not looked like Lamar ... and is refusing to run the ball, which has a knock-on effect."
• Tyrod Taylor at QB: best option for Jets.
• "I'll take the 13 and a half points." (14:30)

3. Seattle Seahawks -13.5 at Tennessee Titans

• Expect Seattle D to dominate Cam Ward: "Borderline criminal what that defense is going to do."
• Tennessee is "the worst team in the NFL."
• "I will take Seattle laying the 13 and a half." (15:28)

4. Arizona Cardinals +3 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

• Jags coming off most dominant win, but are inconsistent.
• "They are a very up and down team ... they're now on the road, going cross-country to the Cardinals and I'm getting three whole points."
• Pattern: Jags struggle to build on success.

5. Cleveland Browns +3.5 at Las Vegas Raiders

• Browns D-line vs. Raiders O-line: "biggest mismatch of the week."
• "Miles Garrett could set the single game and season sack record." (16:50)
• "Do not care who is quarterback for Cleveland."

Summary of Picks:

• Bears -2.5 vs. Steelers
• Jets +13.5 at Ravens
• Seahawks -13.5 at Titans
• Cardinals +3 vs. Jaguars
• Browns +3.5 at Raiders

4. Damanze’s Teaser Segment

(26:06-27:50)

Damanze is back with his signature 8.3-point three-team teaser:

• Chiefs: teased from -3.5 to +4.5
• Browns: teased from +4 to +12
• Jaguars: teased from -3 to +5

Nick’s reaction:
"You're breaking... you're teasing through the zero, which we don't love. But I like this... I'll give you a B minus on that one as you try to get to .500 on your teasers on the year." (27:20)

5. Props and Special Bets

(27:51-29:00)

• Touchdown Genie:
  • "We've only lost two Touchdown Genies ever... both because of injuries. This week—we're staying away."
• Hard Rock Offer:
  • Shador Sanders: "I turn this down… Instead, bet Shador under 160.5 passing yards."
  • "Shador under 160 and a half passing yards. That one sounds like a better bet." (29:00)

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• “Numbers don’t lie and neither does the data in there. Check out the stats hub now. Get the edge and bet with confidence.” (06:10, on analytics-driven betting tools)
• “It feels like a Bears ugly three-point win.” (13:45)
• “That’s why you don’t have to bet every game. That’s why it’s a stay away.” (12:00)
• “What that [Seattle] defense is going to do to Cam Ward is going to be borderline criminal.” (15:18)
• “Miles Garrett could set the single game and single season sack record in this game.” (16:50)

Timestamps for Key Segments

| Segment | Timestamp | |----------------------------------------------------|:-------------| | Week 11 Recap & Season Perspective | 03:16–07:25 | | Why Nick’s Not Betting Certain Games | 10:22–13:30 | | Five Best Bets of the Week | 13:30–23:09 | | Damanze’s Teaser | 26:06–27:50 | | Props, Special Bets, and Final Thoughts | 27:51–29:00 |

Summary Takeaway

This episode focuses on disciplined, data-driven betting, emphasizing selectivity over action, while providing deep insights into five NFL Week 12 matchups. Nick’s picks are built around logical mismatches, quarterback health, and recent patterns rather than chasing action or public narratives. Damanze’s weekly teaser remains a lighthearted segment, and both hosts reinforce that smart wagering means knowing when not to play.
The overall tone is straightforward, analytical, and relatable—with memorable one-liners and statistical tidbits for listeners interested in NFL betting strategy.