The Herd with Colin Cowherd
"What's Wright - NFL Week 14 Predictions: Texans-Chiefs, Eagles-Chargers, Bears-Packers, Ravens-Steelers, Colts-Jaguars"
Host: Nick Wright (with Damanze)
Date: December 6, 2025
Episode: #400
Episode Overview
The milestone 400th episode of "What's Wright" features Nick Wright and his co-host Damanze as they break down and deliver their NFL Week 14 betting predictions and analysis. The show dives into the most pivotal games of the week, with a transparent record check, deep dives on matchups, memorable stats, historical betting trends, and Nick’s characteristic candor on his picks. Special attention is given to the most high-stakes matchups: Texans-Chiefs, Eagles-Chargers, Bears-Packers, Ravens-Steelers, and Colts-Jaguars. The episode also spotlights a celebratory four-leg teaser and special betting markets to honor the show’s 400th installment.
Key Discussion Points and Insights
Season Gambling Update & Transparency
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Last Week's Record: 2-2-1
- Nick is honest about both the good and the painful, emphasizing the goal of hitting enough 3-2 weeks to reach profitability.
- "For the year we are one game over .500. That's a winning record but not a profitable record." (03:50)
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Impact of Vigorish:
- Nick reminds listeners: "We incorporate the vig. So we need to basically be at three and two weeks the rest of the way to get into profitability by the end of the season. That's certainly doable." (03:55)
Rapid-Fire "Stay Away" Game Analysis
Nick shares thoughts on a slate of matchups but rules out taking action:
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Miami @ Jets:
- Too many red flags (Tua in the cold, Miami's recent form).
- "Do they deserve to be road favorites, particularly in inclement weather? Tua in the cold. ...Maybe you just stay away from that game." (11:27)
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Tennessee @ Cleveland:
- Not comfortable with the line either way.
- "I like the Cleveland defense and I like the Cleveland running game. ...Wait a minute, I'm going to lay more than a field goal with Shador Sanders and the Cleveland Browns. No, I'm not." (12:31, 12:57)
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New Orleans @ Tampa Bay:
- Big line, but Bucks don't need margin of victory. "Just a little too big of a line. New Orleans past defense has been sneaky good." (13:29)
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Cincinnati @ Buffalo:
- Two volatile teams, high uncertainty.
- "I think since he could win outright. ...Buffalo could remind everyone since his defense really stinks and Josh Allen has one of those games where the get up crew is erecting statues on his behalf." (14:12–14:29)
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Denver @ Raiders, Rams @ Cardinals, Bears @ Packers, Texans @ Chiefs
- Each matchup is greeted with specific doubts—ranging from offensive line worries to possible emotional letdowns—and ultimately, cautious passes.
Featured Game Previews & Best Bets
Colts @ Jaguars (Jags +2)
- Nick’s Rationale:
- Jacksonville has dominated this rivalry (16-3-1 ATS in the last two decades vs. Indy).
- Jaguars are healthier and at home, play for division control; Colts’ secondary is depleted.
- "They needed overtime against the Falcons. ...The Jags can put a real stranglehold on the division with a win here. I love the Jags." (18:30–19:17)
- Pick: Jaguars +2
Steelers @ Ravens (Steelers +6)
- Nick’s Rationale:
- Mike Tomlin’s historic success as an underdog vs. Ravens
- "It's Pittsburgh getting more than a field goal in a divisional game. ...Auto bet now." (19:49–19:57)
- Ravens are in flux; Lamar Jackson struggling.
- "Getting six points against what I think is a in flux Ravens team is just too much. I'll take Pittsburgh +6." (20:41)
- Pick: Pittsburgh +6
Seahawks @ Falcons (Seattle -7)
- Favorite Pick of the Week
- "This is the type of game Sam Darnold feels great in. In a dome. Big favorite. Nobody's watching. He can cook. The Seattle defense is playing out of its mind." (21:53)
- Trusts the defense and expects a statement win.
- Pick: Seattle -7
Commanders @ Vikings (Washington +2)
- QB Uncertainty Play:
- J.J. McCarthy has struggled, Commanders might get a QB boost if Jaden starts.
- "If Jaden gets announced that he's playing ... we all of a sudden Washington will be favored and we have gotten three points." (23:17)
- Even with Mariota, thinks Washington is better.
- Pick: Washington +2
Eagles @ Chargers (Philly -3)
- Hesitation, but leans Eagles:
- "Philly is the least trustworthy offense on any team that's not awful that I've seen in years, so I don't love laying points." (24:21)
- Still, the quality matchup and Chargers’ home disadvantage sways him.
- Pick: Philly -3
Nick’s 5 Official Week 14 Picks
- Seattle -7 at Atlanta (Most confident)
- Jags +2 vs. Indy
- Washington +2 at Minnesota
- Pittsburgh +6 at Baltimore
- Philly -3 at Chargers
"If we go 5 and 0, we're profitable for the year. If we go 4 and 1, we're right at break even for the year. If we go three and two, we stay above .500. But we're still not yet in profitability. Anything else obviously is bad." (24:47)
Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments
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On the Bears as Underdogs:
- "We told you we thought the Bears could win outright. We told you we thought the Eagles offense did not deserve to be a touchdown favorite against any competent team. We were right." (03:50)
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On Betting Discipline:
- "Edge is next to humility in the betting world." (Implied attitude throughout the stay-away discussion)
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On NFL Variance:
- "I could go either way. Anything could happen in that game." (Damanze on Bengals-Bills, 14:08)
- "That's what blew the game open. I don't feel badly about that pick." (Nick on Browns-49ers, 04:44)
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On Seattle’s Game:
- "I still don't think people get how good the Seattle defense is..." (21:04)
- “This is the type of game Sam Darnold... in a dome. Big favorite. Nobody’s watching. He can cook.” (21:53)
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On Washington @ Minnesota:
- "Washington I think is well coached and showed real fight against Denver. I'll take Washington plus two." (22:54)
Segment Timestamps
- Season Record Recap: 03:50
- Quick-Fire Passes (Stay-Aways): 11:12–17:14
- Picks Begin (Top 5): 18:25
- Jags vs. Colts: 18:30
- Steelers vs. Ravens: 19:42
- Seahawks vs. Falcons: 20:59
- Commanders vs. Vikings: 22:17
- Eagles vs. Chargers: 24:17
- Official Recap of Picks: 24:47
- Teaser Segment: 29:38
- Touchdown Genie/Special Betting Markets: 32:18–33:17
Special 400th Episode Segments
Damanze’s Teaser (“Red-Hot Teaser”)
- Four-leg, 8-point, +160 odds:
- Jacksonville +10
- Seattle +1
- Pittsburgh +14
- Cleveland +4 (Nick is uneasy about this leg, prefers Tampa)
- Nick's Grade: "I'm giving it a B minus on your winning streak. I keep giving them B minuses. Jackson plus one. I love them. Pittsburgh plus 14. Love it. Cleveland plus four. I'm terrified of it." (32:00)
Bonus: "Touchdown Genie" & 400th Episode Specials
- No Touchdown Genie Pick This Week: Nick takes a break, reflecting on last week’s miss.
- Special Props from Hard Rock Bet:
- Will any QB throw for 400 yards this weekend? (at +400)
- Trevor Lawrence to throw for 400 yards vs. Indy (at 60:1)
- “Trevor to throw for 400 at 60 to 1. The prince takes control of the division.” (33:20)
Summary Table of Week 14 Picks
| Matchup | Nick's Pick | Rationale | |-----------------------------|------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------| | Jaguars vs. Colts | Jaguars +2 | Jaguars’ ATS history, home edge, Colts’ defense injuries | | Steelers at Ravens | Steelers +6 | Tomlin’s dog record, Ravens’ struggles | | Seahawks at Falcons | Seattle -7 | Elite defense, favorable matchup | | Commanders at Vikings | Washington +2 | QB edge, coaching, possible line movement | | Eagles at Chargers | Philly -3 | D-line/O-line mismatch, overall roster & health edge |
Final Thoughts & Farewell
Nick thanks his co-host, production team, and sponsors, and reflects on the longevity of the show:
"Hopefully we get 400 more. Reminder everyone Like Rate Subscribe Review thank you to Volume. Thank you to Blue Duck. Thank you to Hard Rock Bet. Thank you to Boost and thank you to Zen. See you guys on Tuesday." (34:32)
A rich, analytical, and thoroughly entertaining episode that balances betting discipline with informed, sharp NFL analysis—plus some signature humor to mark the 400th episode milestone.