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Nick Wright
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DJ Wells
Guaranteed Human hey, it's DJ Wells here. The NBA on Prime is back this Friday with another action packed doubleheader. The night starts with Jaylen Brown and the Celtics going toe to toe with Pascal Siakam and the Pacers. Then James Harden and the Clippers face Drew Holiday and the Blazers. If you're not a Prime member, just sign up for a 30 day free trial. The Celtics and Pacers, the Clippers and Blazers Coverage starts at 7pm Eastern only on Prime. Restrictions apply. See Amazon.com amazonprime for details.
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Nick Wright
Welcome in what driving the GR episode 408, our Christmas week gambling show and this episode of what's Right in the Grind is presented to you by Boost Mobile. A reminder to everyone. Enjoy your holiday season and give us a gift by subscribing to the show on YouTube, iTunes, Spotify. If you want to give us a review or a like that would be great but the subscriptions are what help us out the absolute most. Any of the above are nice but again the subscription description to the best and a reminder, all our lines are from Hard Rock BET Demanze. You had a great teaser last week. I had a three and two week but it was an extra gratifying three and two because we had three underdogs and all three underdogs one outright. As we said on the show we thought they would so let's go through those picks last week and and again I'm putting on a brave face because yes, I as I talked about in yesterday's show, I did tie my three underdog underdog picks as moneyline picks and then added one of my losing favorite picks as a moneyline pick, Tampa Bay for what would have been a beautiful more than 20 to one parlay and Baker ruined me. But the five picks last week were titans plus three and a half at Kansas against Kansas City in Tennessee. I told you guys the Chiefs were going to struggle to score 10 points. They scored nine and looked terrible. Tampa -3 at Carolina 1 of the worst losses of the year. The end of the first half it looked like they were going to hold Carolina to a field goal. They gave up a touchdown and then the end of the game. Baker threw the game away. Dallas -2 against the Chargers. Bad pick. Was on the wrong side. Bad job by me. Jacksonville plus three at Denver all over that one. New England plus three at Baltimore that one. I guess you could say I got a little lucky because they were down 11. But it's the Ravens. They love blowing big leads. That puts us on the season 40, 38 and two. We are back above.500 solidly again, two games. And by the way, when we post my picks this week, graphically try to include in there my season long record. Because while 40, 38 and 2 might not sound good compared to some of the other podcasts out there that are publishing their five weekly picks and their records on the year, folks would move mountains to be two games above.500. So we're feeling great about that. Daman hit another winning teaser. We'll talk about that shortly. But before we get to this week's games, Damanze let me talk to you guys about our friends at Hard Rock Bet to where I bet on sports during the holiday season. Hard Rock Bet, not just because it's the presenting sponsor of the show, but because they make it so easy to bet both pregame and live in just a few simple taps, you open the app, find a bet you like. BAM Bets place just in time for you to get back to wrapping presents or enjoying your favorite Christmas movie. Sign up today and bet $5 on any game. If it wins, you also score with $150 in bonus bets. A winning bet plus an extra $150 to bet with that is spreading holiday cheer. Plus, Hard Rock bet fills your stockings with new promos daily, so whenever you're listening, just open the app and check out what you've got. Any day of the week, download the Hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit today. Payable and bonus bets Not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida Offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital LLC in all other states must be 21 plus and physically present in Ariz. Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concern about gambling in Florida? Call 1888 admit it in Indiana if you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1809 with it gambling problem call 1-800- gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia. All right damanze Full disclosure for the audience. We are recording this on a Tuesday so we have no injury reports. We there we are firing basically almost a full week out into some of these games. So it's a little cliche, it's not always true, but a rule of NFL gambling historically has been bet favorites early and dogs late. What that means is if you think you like a favorite it usually makes sense to try to bet them early in the week. And if you like an underdog, it makes more sense to bet them close to closer to kickoff because lines typically move towards the favorite. So if the if you like a team that's laying six and a half, you bet it early because it's more likely to go to seven than go to six. And if you like a team that's getting three and a half you you wait because it's more likely to go to four than the three. And so we we stayed true to that this week with going favorite heavy in our actual picks we will go over the stay aways and so these are going to be quick because some of these are as simple as we don't know the injury situation of the quarterbacks but let's go to our first stay away demons a one of the Christmas games.
Damanze
The Christmas game got Detroit at Minnesota, Minnesota six point dogs So I don't.
Nick Wright
Know if it's going to be Brosmer or jj. I also don't know totally how much that matters. But my my lean was Detroit. But I wonder if Detroit feels emotionally sapped from losing back to back games for the first time in more than two years. Not being eliminated from the playoffs but damn near being eliminated from the playoffs. And so it's laying six points against a really well coached team on the road. I'm not doing it. I'm not betting Minnesota because I don't know the quarterback is staying away Next one of the most disgraceful things I've ever seen posted to sports books everywhere.
Damanze
Another Christmas game Denver at Kansas City Kansas City's 13 point dogs let's what's.
Nick Wright
Disrespectful I think this is the biggest home dog of my life. I think I'm not exaggerating. I think in the NFL the Chiefs on Christmas might be the biggest home dog since 1984. Like we could the old maybe the 07 Patriots played some road games where they were favored by more than this. I don't know if the producers can look and see if that if I'm right maybe I'm dead. I can't remember a team getting two touchdowns at home. I've got to think it's the biggest home divisional dog.
Damanze
Yeah being twice Never mind 20s against the Jags in 2013. Denver played the Jags in 2013. Looks like Denver might have been 26 point favorites but that's that might be Grok or somebody lying to me.
Nick Wright
No that can't be the yeah don't ask AI this stuff. 20 and and let me add something. I'm not including week 18 games like I mean the games where the but.
Damanze
That The Ravens were 16 and a half point favorites over Giants in New York.
Nick Wright
Okay so maybe it's just the biggest home divisional dog it was recently too. The the so again maybe I'm maybe I'm whatever it is this is disgusting. With that said and Chris Ola Duke and is going to be playing for the Chiefs. I I I still though can't bet I obviously can't bet the Chiefs but I can't bet Denver coming off a loss on a short week on Christmas when they have a huge game next week laying 13 points. I'm just not doing it so I'm staying away.
Damanze
Next Houston at the Chargers Chargers two and a half point favorites.
Nick Wright
I looked long and hard at the Chargers here the Chargers coming off one of their best games of the year but Houston's D line versus that offensive line was enough to scare me away. I can't bet on Houston right now against a good team because the offense look took a huge step back last week against the Raiders. So I'm the I didn't want to grab Houston. The Chargers still alive the the Chargers how about this Control their own destiny to win the division. If the Chargers beat the Texans and beat Denver in week 13, week 18, they win the division. Which sneaky would be huge for me because I bet well, not a lot of people. One guy in particular, my buddy, I don't think you'll mind me saying this, David Baker, who's a great professional poker player, also a great sports better and a huge Broncos fan. I bet him before the year Broncos not to win the division. I laid him I think +350 so the Chargers sniping it would be great for me, but it just stay away. Don't trust the Chargers offensive line against that pass rush. Don't trust the Texans offense against really anyone staying away Next Baltimore at Green Bay.
Damanze
Green Bay is two and a half.
Nick Wright
Point favorites, so I don't know who's playing quarterback for either team. Is this going to be Tyler Huntley against Malik Willis? Is it going to be Lamar Jackson against Jordan Love? Is it going to be a mixture? I don't know. Is it too early in the week I got to stay away.
Damanze
Next Arizona at Cincinnati Cincinnati 7point favorites.
Nick Wright
Thought about Cincinnati. Arizona seems to be packing it in. Cincinnati was one I stared at. Ultimately stayed away because I don't think Cincinnati has earned the respect needed to be a full touchdown favorite against a team in Arizona. They're going to throw a ball, Jacoby is going to chuck the ball and they can score. So I'm staying away.
Damanze
Next New Orleans at Tennessee Tennessee's 2½.
Nick Wright
Point dogs I liked New Orleans. Tyler shucks playing well, but did Tenant listen? Did Tennessee? Are they going to end the year on a, you know, little high note after beating the Chiefs or was that just the dead Chiefs bump? I don't know.
Damanze
Staying away Next Seattle at Carolina Carolina seven half point dogs.
Nick Wright
If Seattle wasn't on the extended rest, I think I would have jumped on Carolina. Carolina getting the full seven at home, but Seattle's on the extended rest and there is this aspect of it. This game doesn't actually matter for Carolina. It matters in this regard. If Tampa were to lose to Miami, Carolina can win the division by winning this game. But if Caroline Carolina assuming Tampa is going to beat Miami, this game's totally meaningless to the Panthers. It's all about next week. Either way they play Tampa again. So the fact that I think Carolina maybe is more focused on ne next week's game and Seattle's on the extra rest is going to make me not take Carolina plus a full touchdown at home when they've been a really good home team all year.
DJ Wells
Next hey, it's D.J. wells here. The NBA on Prime is back this Friday with another action packed doubleheader. The night starts with Jaylen Brown and the Celtics going toe to toe with Pascal Seakum and and the Pacers. Then James Harden and the Clippers face Drew Holiday and the Blazers. If you're not a Prime member, just sign up for a 30 day free trial. The Celtics and Pacers, the Clippers and Blazers Coverage starts at 7pm Eastern only on Prime. Restrictions apply. See Amazon.com amazonprime for details.
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Nick Wright
This is where mindset comes in.
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Someone will be eliminated.
Nick Wright
Pressure is coming down.
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Trainer games on Prime Video January 8th. Watch the trailer on trainer games.com Next.
Damanze
You got Tampa Bay at Miami. Miami's five and a half point dogs.
Nick Wright
I I'm just too mad at Tampa to lay five and a half points on the road. They should win. The Miami's got Quinn Ewers at quarterback. It's not Whatever. I still can't believe the Bucks.
Damanze
Next it's a New England at the Jets. Jets one and a half point favorites. Or wait, no, no. Jets are 13 point dogs. I'm sorry.
Nick Wright
Slight difference. The everything says bet New England but I'm such an idiot. By the way, I did a whole thing about how they're the Chiefs were the biggest home dog in my lifetime. They're they're just tied for the biggest home dog this weekend. What am I talking about? I'm just the Chiefs got me all frazzled. This is also a divisional game. I'm just an idiot. The my God, that's embarrassing. I can't take the jets under any circumstances, but I also can't take a road team in a divisional matchup laying 13 points. So I'm staying away. Next.
Damanze
Next you got the Jet. The Giants at the Raiders. Raiders are one and a half point favorites.
Nick Wright
I don't even know if either team wants to win this game because the loser is in pole position for the number one pick and both teams are just awful. So I'm just staying away now.
Damanze
Next Monday Night Football we got the Rams at Atlanta. Atlanta's eight point dogs.
Nick Wright
That line's exactly right. The Rams should win by about a touchdown. So I'm staying away. All right, five picks. Do them quick. All lines from Hard Rock Bet the first pick to Mon is my favorite pick of the weekend.
Damanze
You've got Dallas -6 and a half at Washington.
Nick Wright
Yeah, I listen, I think Josh Johnson's playing quarterback for Washington. I don't know this, but I think it and if that's the case, they just can't move the ball. Dallas. I understand that. Dallas, you might feel like, oh, they're going to be demoralized because they're eliminated from the playoffs. I don't know that. I think they've kind of felt they were eliminated from the playoffs for a while. They're going to move the ball. I Dallas is going to blow out the Commanders. I love the Cowboys minus six and a half and Dak owns the Commanders in his career. 12 and two straight up and they've covered five in a row.
Damanze
Next you got Jacksonville -6 and a half at Indy.
Nick Wright
So listen, Philip Rivers. Credit to him for playing obviously way, way, way better than I expected. But their season ended Monday night and he came back to try to make a playoff push. The Jags are playing for a lot as far as locking up the division, staying alive for the one seed. Jags have been crushing against the AFC south five and oh against the spread in their last five against the AFC South. The culture falling apart again. The Jags game and the Cowboys game are games I'm picking here. I don't know if I'll be able to pick Friday on TV because I don't know if the lines will have moved up to, you know, above the seven. But I'll take the six and a half. Next.
Damanze
Next you got Pittsburgh minus four at Cleveland. This was originally at four and a half. It just dropped a four.
Nick Wright
Yeah, I listen, I know laying more than a field goal with Tomlin in divisional games isn't. Hasn't been the best, but I just think Shador has been really bad. And the last two weeks it's fine for a fifth round rookie but for a Pittsburgh team that knows we take care of business here, we get give ourselves a buy Week 18 doesn't matter when the division all lay the four points with Pittsburgh, I got no problem with that.
Damanze
Next Buffalo minus two and a half versus Philly.
Nick Wright
I think Buffalo's a lot better than Philly. They're at home. I'm only. I'm laying less than a field goal. And listen, Philly getting Jalen Carter and Lane Johnson back this week, I think it's something Philly also though they locked up the division. They're not going to be the one seed. I so it's not that I think they're not going to care, but they just, they, they have no chance of being the 1 seed. They have no chance of not winning the division. So they have a slight chance at the three, at the two seed. But they can't be the four. Philly right now cannot be the one, four, five, six or seven. They're either, no matter what happens the rest of the way, they're the two or the three seed and they are probably the three seed. So I just think Buffalo's better. Buffalo needs the game. Buffalo's at home. I'll take Buffalo. And then our one underdog, we're taking.
Damanze
Chicago plus three at San Francisco. This got bumped up from two, two and a half three.
Nick Wright
Yeah, I just think the Bears run game in the Bears offense against that Niners defense. I think they can win. Yeah, and I'm getting three full points. So the the Bears, by the way, played on Saturday. The Niners played Monday. So that's not like a mini buy. But it's a difference in that I I think the Bears can win that game outright. So my five picks are Dallas minus six and a half Jacksonville minus six and a half Pittsburgh minus four, Buffalo minus two and a half Chicago plus three. Again, if you're going to bet favorites, bet them early. We are doing this on Tuesday. We are betting them early. Before we get to damanz's Red hot teaser, you think about upgrading to the allnew iPhone 17 Pro, designed to be the most powerful iPhone ever. But you're also thinking about all the traffic on your way to the store, the hassle of transferring all your data. Good news, when you order a new phone online with Boost Mobile, they'll send an expert to your home or work to deliver your brand new iPhone 17 Pro and get you all set up on Boost Mobile within minutes. No hassle. Visit boostmobile.com to get started. Delivery available for select devices purchased@boost mobile.com Terms do apply. Damanze with another winning teaser last week and because he hit that four legger a few weeks back for our 400th show, he has locked up a profitable year on the teaser no matter what happens here, or at least a profitable regular season. Take us through last week's where I gave you an A and then you cruised it.
Damanze
Oh yeah, last Week's was a three team eight point teaser. It was Tennessee up to 11 and a half. That cover though they won the game. And then Buffalo minus two which came pretty close. And then Pittsburgh up to plus 15 and they won the game.
Nick Wright
So I forgot how close the Buffalo one did because Tennessee and Pittsburgh were so easy. But you're right, the Buffalo one was close. So what do we got this week pal?
Damanze
This week it is a three team eight point teaser at plus 100. Philly I'm gonna tease up to ten and a half, Jacksonville teasing them up to plus one and a half and then Chicago up to plus 11. Yeah, those are. Those are the spots. Hopefully the Bills don't beat the crap out of the Eagles. But. But yeah, I'm feeling pretty good about that.
Nick Wright
As much as I don't love you teasing through the zero with Jacksonville, I love this teaser. Yeah, I'm going to give you an A.
Damanze
They got to go out and beat the Colts.
Halion/Advil Brand Announcer
They have to Be the Colts.
Nick Wright
They need the game. Philly getting double digit points. Smart. Chicago getting double digit points. Smart. I love it. All right. What do we got? We're not doing Touchdown Genie this week.
Damanze
We are not.
Nick Wright
No, we're not. But wait. I do have a Christmas Day thing for you guys. So go ahead.
Damanze
Yes. We're getting festive. Merry Christmas to everyone. And since it's around that time of the season, St Nick we were curious if you had any Christmas Day parlays. We got three games on Christmas. Did you have anything you wanted to put together for a Christmas Day parlay?
Nick Wright
I'm gonna venture into your world. Damanze.
Damanze
Really?
Nick Wright
I'm gonna do a six point teaser.
Damanze
Yeah. It's kind of crazy, man. I thought it was my landscape.
Nick Wright
It is. It is your. But I. So this is what I'm venturing in just for Christmas day. Those three Christmas games.
Damanze
Yep.
Nick Wright
We're going to tease Dallas. We're going to tease all the favorites. It's a very square teaser, buddy. Don't worry.
Damanze
Okay.
Nick Wright
You're sharper than me on this. We're going to tease Dallas to minus a half point. Detroit to a pick them and denver down to minus seven. It's a six point Christmas Day teaser at plus 140. That's what we're doing.
Damanze
Good.
Nick Wright
The and then. So we have a. We're not doing touchdown Genie. Last week I declined the offer and it hit. I didn't believe in Trevor. Trevor. Two touchdown passes and over 224 passing yards. It hit. So what do we have this week?
Damanze
So we're following the incentives this week. Darnold gets a half a million for 4,000 yards and a half million for 28 touchdowns. He's at 3,700 yards in 24 touchdowns. The offer is 200 plus yards for Darnold and two plus touchdowns for plus 140. Do you want that?
Nick Wright
That's against Carolina.
Damanze
Yeah.
Nick Wright
I'm gonna take it. And Hard Rock bet's gonna post it as a Nick Wright exclusive. So Sam Darnold, 200 plus passing yards and two touchdowns. Little Jackson. And you know what? I I I take it back for touchdown Genie. Throw JSN on there at even money or minus 105. We'll do that as well. We're gonna hit these. I feel good about it. So I will take the offer this week because I didn't follow you guys last week. I feel like a dope because of it it. So that is to our Christmas week gambling show. We will be back on Tuesday Hope everyone has a wonderful holidays with their family. Hopefully you get to spend time or at least talk to your loved ones. Merry Christmas everyone. Thank you to Volume. Thank you to Blue Duck. Huge thank you to our wonderful sponsors Hard Rock, bet, Boost and Zen. Talk to you guys on TV throughout the week and next on the POD on Tuesday. What's right?
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Nick Wright
This is where mindset comes in.
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Someone will be eliminated.
Nick Wright
Pressure is coming down.
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Nick Wright
Guaranteed Human.
Date: December 24, 2025
Host: Nick Wright
Producer/Co-Host: Damanze
Presented By: iHeartPodcasts, The Volume, Boost Mobile, Hard Rock Bet
In this special "What's Wright" NFL Christmas Week gambling episode (Ep. 408), Nick Wright and producer/co-host Damanze break down their predictions and best bets for NFL Week 17. The duo reviews last week’s picks, unpacks “stay away” lines, debates the biggest home underdogs in memory, and delivers their top five Week 17 plays. They close out with their signature teasers, a festive Christmas Day parlay, and a deep-dive into player incentives and prop bets. The tone is lively, reflective, and irreverently honest—perfect for NFL fans looking for sharp and entertaining sports betting insights.
[02:14-07:51]
[07:51-14:39]
[07:51-08:45]
[08:45-10:47]
[10:47-12:20]
[12:20-12:35]
[12:35-13:08]
[13:08-13:29]
[13:29-14:39]
[17:00-18:30]
[18:30-21:57]
[18:42]
[19:31]
[20:23]
[20:56]
[21:57]
[23:30-24:31]
[24:50-26:31]
[25:04]
[26:06]
| Segment | Game/Bet | Pick | Timestamp | |---------------------------|---------------------------------|-----------------------|------------| | Five Key Picks | Cowboys @ Commanders | DAL -6.5 | 18:42 | | | Jaguars @ Colts | JAX -6.5 | 19:31 | | | Steelers @ Browns | PIT -4 | 20:23 | | | Bills vs. Eagles | BUF -2.5 | 20:56 | | | Bears @ 49ers | CHI +3 | 21:57 | | Teaser of the Week | PHI +10.5, JAX +1.5, CHI +11 | 8-pt, 3-team, +100 | 23:58 | | Christmas Day Parlay | DAL -0.5, DET pk, DEN -7 | 6-pt teaser, +140 | 25:24 | | Player Prop (Exclusive) | Darnold o200yds, 2+ TDs | +140 | 26:06 |
The conversation is candid, sharp, and packed with both statistical and psychological angles. Nick leans on historical references, hard numbers, and personal betting stories. Damanze brings additional research, humor, and devil’s advocacy. Both speakers are self-deprecating, especially about past losses, adding to the episode’s relatable and entertaining feel.
This episode is a crash course in actionable NFL gambling insight for Week 17, blending sharp analysis, betting philosophy, and engaging banter. Nick and Damanze’s “stay away” rationales and top picks are great learning points for both casual bettors and seasoned fans ahead of a loaded Christmas football schedule.