The Herd with Colin Cowherd: "What's Wright – NFL Week 2 Picks"

Episode Date: September 12, 2025
Featured Hosts/Analysts: Nick Wright, Damonza, Colin Cowherd

Overview

This episode of "What's Wright" features Nick Wright breaking down his NFL Week 2 picks, supported by sidekick Damonza. The pair rehash last week’s bets, discuss why they’re sticking (or pivoting) on certain teams, and preview key matchups—most notably Eagles-Chiefs, Jaguars-Bengals, and Falcons-Vikings. Along the way, they banter about strategy, tease each other, and share anecdotes designed to help listeners win their bets or at least understand NFL odds from an analytical viewpoint.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

Week 1 Recap & Betting Lessons

[02:52-04:35] Nick Wright

• Nick starts by recapping his 3-2 record for Week 1, noting the value of consistency when betting.
• “We will take three and two every single week of the year. That's a 60% clip—we'd be happy with it.”—Nick Wright [03:44]

Takeaways:

• Emphasizes the importance of line shopping—specifically waiting for the best number, referencing his win on Cleveland plus five.
• Highlights missing on Chiefs and Miami picks but remains confident in his process.

NFL Week 2 Picks & Rationale

1. New England (+1) at Miami

[04:35-07:27]

• Nick is betting on the Patriots, believing the market underrates them and perhaps overrates Miami after Week 1.
• “I think New England will be able to confuse and disrupt Tua... It's a true must-win for New England if they have any playoff hopes.”—Nick Wright [06:03]
• Acknowledges Tua & McDaniel’s undefeated record vs. Patriots but says it may be “done, it’s over for them” if the Pats don’t win here.

Damonza disagrees, takes Miami, playfully “fading” Nick’s pick.

2. Jacksonville (+3) at Cincinnati

[07:35-09:22]

• Nick prefers Jacksonville, suggesting their pass rush could bother Cincinnati. Points to Bengals’ poor early-season record under coach Zac Taylor.
• “Jacksonville wins this game outright... If Cincinnati does win, I think it’s a very, very tight game they escape with. Joe Burrow is 3 and 8 against the spread in weeks one or two.”—Nick Wright [08:37]
• Predicts final score: Jaguars 27, Bengals 21.

Damonza agrees, siding with Nick on this pick.

3. Arizona (-6.5) vs. Carolina

[14:28-16:41]

• Nick asserts Carolina might be “truly, truly awful.” Lays the points with Arizona at home.
• “If Arizona gets to 17, they’ll cover. I think Carolina is going to struggle to break 10 points… I’ll lay the six and a half with Arizona.”—Nick Wright [16:41]
• Details Carolina’s week one struggles: only 10 points, most in garbage time.
• Both Nick & Damonza believe Carolina “sucks.”

4. Kansas City (+1) vs. Philadelphia

[17:07-18:52]

• Nick states it’s “wildly insulting” for Mahomes to be a home dog. Calls him an “auto-bet” in this situation.
• “Every time Patrick Mahomes is healthy and he's a home dog—he's an auto bet.”—Nick Wright [17:12]
• Recaps recent shifting of Chiefs’ public perception and expresses unwavering faith in the team.
• “Maybe my faith is unwavering, or maybe everyone else is just out of their mind.”—Nick Wright [18:41]

Damonza passes on this pick, less certain.

5. Atlanta (+4.5) at Minnesota

[19:45-21:52]

• Nick is surprised by the line; expected Atlanta to be smaller underdogs.
• “Minnesota is not in a position to blow anybody out… I could see this being 20 to 17 Atlanta, much less 20 to 17 Minnesota—I still win.”—Nick Wright [20:51]

Weekly Teaser Pick

[22:25-23:57] Damonza & Nick

• Damonza offers a three-team, eight-point teaser at +100:
  • Tampa Bay +10.5
  • Jacksonville +11
  • Philadelphia +7
• Nick approves: “I'm going to give this an A. Like, I like this teaser a lot. I think that's a sharp bet...” [24:07]

Special Bet Offer: "The Offer" Segment

[25:15-25:59]

• Damonza pitches: Chicago (1st half) +3.5 paired with Detroit -5.5 at +500.
• Nick harshly rejects: “This is maybe the worst offer we've had yet—I hate this one so much... I would need 10 to 1 odds, not 5 to 1.”—Nick Wright [25:41]

Survivor Pool Announcement

[26:45-27:48]

• Nick hints at a new “Anytime Touchdown Survivor Pool” with his partners at Splash Sports, launching Week 3: bet on a player to score a TD every week, can’t use the same player twice.
• “I've never thought of an anytime touchdown survivor pool.”—Nick Wright [27:24]
• Damonza and producers express excitement; more details in future episodes.

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• “It is wildly insulting for the Chiefs to be home dogs this early in the season against a team at any point, really…”
  — Nick Wright [17:23]

• “Carolina might be truly, truly awful. And until proven otherwise, if I have a team that I think could, you know, be frisky adjacent… I’ll take them.”
  — Nick Wright [14:32]

• Damonza, on Carolina: "Yeah, Carolina sucks." [16:36]

• “We will take three and two every single week of the year. That's a 60% clip—we'd be happy with it.”
  — Nick Wright [03:44]

Picks Recap

Nick Wright’s Five Week 2 Picks:

• New England +1 (at Miami)
• Jacksonville +3 (at Cincinnati)
• Arizona -6.5 (vs. Carolina)
• Kansas City +1 (vs. Philadelphia)
• Atlanta +4.5 (at Minnesota)

Teaser Pick (Damonza):

• Tampa Bay +10.5, Jacksonville +11, Philly +7 (three-team, eight-point teaser at +100)

Timestamps for Important Segments

• [02:52] — Week 1 Recap
• [04:35] — New England vs. Miami Pick
• [07:35] — Jacksonville vs. Cincinnati Pick
• [14:28] — Arizona vs. Carolina Pick
• [17:07] — Kansas City vs. Philadelphia Pick
• [19:45] — Atlanta vs. Minnesota Pick
• [22:25] — Teaser Play
• [25:15] — "The Offer" Bet Segment
• [26:45] — Survivor Pool Announcement

Tone & Style

The episode maintains the show’s signature blend of sharp betting insight, humor, and back-and-forth jabs—Nick’s confidence and Damonza’s playful skepticism keep the energy light, yet educational. There’s no hot takes for the sake of viral moments—analysis stays thoughtful, and the rationale for every pick is elaborated clearly, often backed by stats or multi-year trends.

Useful for Listeners Who:

• Want to understand NFL betting from a sharp perspective
• Appreciate stats-driven argument and banter
• Are tracking line movement and logic, not just blind picks

Skip to the timestamps above to catch specific game breakdowns or sharp betting talk.