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Daniel
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Daniel
Welcome in What Driving the GR Episode 368 this episode, as always, is brought to you by our friends at Boost Mobile. Also, straight to voicemails brought to you by our friends at Boost Mobile. But nothing goes straight to voicemail during our gambling show. Which is what this is, Damon. It is Friday for the listeners. It is Thursday for you and I. Which means listen. Part of the difficulty of this show is we're firing into weekend lines with incomplete information, which is what makes your teaser record so exceptional. My lifetime record on this show pretty damn good. Last year was quite good. This year listen six and four is 60%. You take that every day of the week. Five and five, one game difference just feels awful and and I gotta tell you though, some weeks I go 4 and 1 and feel like I got lucky. This past week I went 2 and 3 and feel like I got historically screwed. So we can go through the and reminder all our lines are friend from our friends at Hard Rock. Bet demase we can go through the.
Damanze
Picks from last could have gotten screwed on Miami though. And like you that one, that one came out Jacksonville screw. Yeah, 100%.
Daniel
Listen Miami, the only way I would let me go through it because last week I went 2 and 3 but in my heart I went 4 and 1. The only way I could have gotten screwed on Miami was a push and that thing went, you know, Miami could have won the game by one. I was getting a point. I'm talking about late in the game. Miami had the ball down six but I had New England plus one. I have Jacksonville plus three against Cincinnati in a game burrow gets hurt. And then here's the reason this one is so painful. It's multifold. One is I actually think Liam Cohen's decision up three late late in the game at the eight yard line to go for a fourth and five instead of kicking the field goal to go up six is the correct decision. I think that was smart. But no coach does that and if he just kicks the field goal, my cover is locked. I'm getting three points. Even if they drive the field he does the rare really smart analytically sound thing. And then even despite that we got him in fourth down. They throw an incompletion expertly covered by Travis Hunter. Pass interference keeps them alive and Cincinnati ends up winning the game by four. That was painful. Cardinals Panthers was a a true nightmare. They like Cardinals are up 27 to 3 late in the third quarter. They're then up 27 to 9 in the fourth in the red zone and Kyler throws one of the most inexplicable just up for grabs balls anyone's thrown all year. You're up 18 points late in midway through the fourth the the Panthers drive down and score a touchdown. Now it's 25:17. The Cardinals go three and out taking 30 seconds off the clock. The Panthers drive down and score another touchdown and then get an onside kick. They almost won the game outright. That was horrifying. Kansas City plus one against Philly. It is what it is. I'm not gonna no sour grapes there but it feels like Kelsey catch the ball. They win that and Atlanta plus four and a half against Minnesota was a never a doubter. I'm just sick I am just sick about the the 2 and 3 weekend but it's 5 and 5 on the year. You on the other hand and we'll get to your teaser for this week in a bit but you had Tampa getting 10 and a half. They won outright, the Jacks the Jags getting 11. They could have won outright and Philly getting seven. They never trailed by more than three the entire game. You that was a plus work by you as you're now two and oh in your teasers on the year. Today's show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor, Hard Rock Bet. It's week three, but if you haven't tried your first bet on Hard Rock Bet, there's still time for you to get $150 in bonus bets. If you win, just place a five dollar bet and if it hits you, not only get your winnings but $150 in extra bonus bets. If you want to see what other people are betting on from now through the weekend, the Hard Rock Bet app shows you trending parlays, the most bet player props, top picked up sets and and more. Just download the app and all this info is a tap away. Hard Rock Bet has new promos every day. This week. There's profit boosts for five straight days of football. That's a Thursday night profit boost, a Friday college football profit boost, another profit boost for Saturday college games, plus NFL profit boost for Sunday's games and Monday night. Every Thursday on Hard Rock Bet, you get legendary reward drops. Drops full of rewards like bonus bets, parlay insurance and more. Open up your drop in time for this weekend's game and see what you get. Hard Rock Bet is the only legal sports book in the state of Florida and is also available in Arizona, Ohio, New Jersey, Indiana, Tennessee, Virginia, Illinois and Colorado. With more states launching all the time. Head over to Hard Rock Bet, sign up and make your first deposit today. Payable and bonus bets. Not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida. Offered by Seminole hard Rock Digital LLC in all other states. Must be 21 plus and physically present. Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida? Call-888- admit it in Indiana. If you or someone you know has a problem and wants help, call 1-800-9 with it gambling problem, call 1-800- gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee and Virginia, you can make a.
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Daniel
All right, games of the weekend that were not playing, Obviously, by the time you guys hear this. Miami Buffalo Buffalo by 12 will have already been played. Jets Tampa to Monze Tampa's laying six and a half. This was going to be one of my bets, but the Bucks are now potentially down three, starting Offensive linemen I can't lay almost a touchdown without three starting off into line. Especially when Tampa's they've been winning but it's been close late. You might right. So you might say why not jump on the jets backup quarterback team hasn't looked good. That's a stay away. Houston at Jacksonville I I gotta take a break on the Jags. The Texans offense look like a mess it Jags are favored by 2 it is worth noting Demons A Last year The Texans started 0 and 2 had a week 3 game against Jacksonville that kind of turned their season around a bit. I don't know that I think that's going to happen again but I'm staying away from it. Rams at Philly I do think the Rams can win this game and getting three so I obviously I would be on the plus three side of things. However it's hard to bet against Philadelphia right now in Philadelphia only getting three points and so it just doesn't feel like there's value there. I'll stay away there. Pittsburgh at New England Pittsburgh laying a point and a half on the road. I just got no idea who's who in this game. Wow. Yeah.
Damanze
I think New England's beating them 100%.
Daniel
How come?
Damanze
I just think they're gonna I think the team with Aaron Rodgers comments. I already think he's on the downward slope with like how he feels about the team just after the last week and New England like they're showing some continuity. I think yeah, 100%.
Daniel
Okay. All right. So Damanze is on the record. He likes New England to win out right there. I hope you're right. I picked New England make the playoffs. Cincinnati at Minnesota Minnesota's favorite by three backup quarterback game Jake Brown and Carson Wentz. No reason to bet that game. Vegas at Washington Listen, if this is one of the downsides to us doing the show on Thursday, we don't yet know if Jaden's officially out. If Jaden were out, I'd like the Raiders getting the points but the number would probably move. We don't know there so we're staying away because I just think Washington the whole plane is built out of Jaden Daniels and so I just don't think they're going to be able to be very competitive without him. Las Vegas I'm sorry New Orleans at Seattle. Seattle laying seven and a half. This will be a very popular Survivor pick. New Orleans has been oddly frisky on backdoor covering or backdoor cover adjacent. I that's a stay away. Dallas at Chicago minus one again. You don't trust either defense there. That to me is a stay away. It looks like you like Dallas there Demons.
Damanze
Yeah I would love minus one. Yeah 100% Caleb hasn't won. Zach Prescott over Caleb Williams. You jump ship on Caleb. Just take that.
Daniel
Well listen I'm not jumping ship. I'm just I'm taking a break. Arizona at San Francisco. San Francisco laying two and a half. We don't know who's playing quarterback at the moment so you can't bet that game. And I know you all expected me to have the Chiefs -6 at the Giants because I'm so confident they're going to win. I don't know if it's going to be pretty. I just believe they're going to win. Survive in advance, get a win, get on the board. Also this year thus far I don't don't usually have the Chiefs in my picks. This year I'm 5 and 3 betting the rest of the NFL on this show. I'm 02 betting the Chiefs on TV. I'm 3 and 1 for the rest of the NFL 02 on the Chiefs Taking a break from the Chiefs this week. All right Daman, that leaves five games. Here are the five games we are rolling with this weekend. Give me the first one.
Damanze
Got a bigger favorite here. Green Bay -7 and a half at Cleveland.
Daniel
Yeah so I think Green Bay is going to annihilate the Browns. I do not mind laying more than a touchdown on the road. The I think Micah Parsons chasing down Joe Flacco is terrifying for Cleveland. Matt La Flore 8 and 1 in September in true road games against the spread a the the money oddly has come in on Cleveland. I it doesn't scare me. I think this was almost 10 earlier in the week. I understand that historically home dogs have more than a touchdown. The fir in the beginning part of the season are unbelievable against the spread. The producer telling me 181 and 2 over the last three years in the first half of the season. So that trend says this is a super square bet. I understand this might appear to be a square bet. I also just flatly believe that this is a game Cleveland is going to struggle to break 14 points and so I think I think Green Bay can get to the mid-20s. I I don't mind laying the touchdown and a half. I also don't look at Cleveland as a big backdoor cover team and I think if you get down to the packers and they can unleash that pass rush you're in trouble. Next you got The Colts at plus.
Damanze
Three and a half at Tennessee.
Daniel
Yes. So. No, no, no, that's. No, no, no, I have that. That's incorrect. I have, I have Tennessee plus three and a half at home against Indy. So Tennessee's been really bad. I understand that the Colts have looked awesome. I understand that Tennessee is not quite as bad as they've looked. Indy is not nearly as good as they've looked. And as I've said throughout the week, there are a lot of 20, 24 saints vibes I'm getting from this Colts team. Oh, who saw this coming? Oh my God, look. Look at this high flying offense. Resurgence of Derek Carr. New Orleans followed that two and oh start up with seven consecutive losses. They scored 47 and 44 and then 12, 24, 13 in their next three, 27 in a 51 to 27 loss, and then 10 and 8 in the next two games. I think this is a game Tennessee at home can win outright. I also think that if Indy does win, I don't think this is a blowout and Tennessee obviously will fight to the very last second. So even if they're down 10, I feel alive. I think Tennessee, I'll go out and say first win of the year, an outright winner and I'm getting three and a half. Tennessee plus three and a half.
Damanze
Yep.
Daniel
Next.
Damanze
Next. You've got Atlanta minus five and Carolina.
Daniel
Yeah. So I think Carolina right now is the worst team in the NFL. And and this is critical to me, they just lost two offensive linemen for the year or at least I don't know for the year. They're on ir. Maybe they come back later in the year. They lost two offensive linemen for this game. And the one thing that Bryce Young cannot abide is battle line play. And so Atlanta had a nice easy win Sunday night against Minnesota. Carolina to me is absolutely reeling. I understand this is a divisional road favorite which goes against usually what I like, but I think Atlanta, I think Carolina, honest to God, will struggle to get to double digits in this game. I think Bryce is in real, real trouble. I don't mind laying the five and with. And I think you're going to get a heavy dose of B John Robinson this week. So I will lay the five points with Atlanta. We've been heavy on underdogs thus far in Knicks picks this year. This week we're going with some favorites. We're going Atlanta laying the five in Carolina. Next.
Damanze
Next. You got Denver at the chart. You got the Chargers minus two and a half at Denver or I guess at home.
Daniel
Against Denver.
Damanze
Yeah.
Daniel
Yeah. I think the Chargers are a legitimately, really good team. I think Denver is not. And it's. And now I understand this is kind of a fake home game. The crowd will be mostly Denver. I get that because Denver will travel and the Chargers don't really have home fans, but they still have to travel. And I don't love the Chargers on the shorter week Monday night, but I'm laying less than a field goal and I think Bo Nix is going to have just be in hell against that Charger defense. And so this to me is I'm getting the better team, the better quarterback, the better coach. I'm at home even if it's not much of a home field advantage. A Denver team that suffered an absolute stomach punch loss and a quarterback who I bet his confidence is rattled. Week one he played poorly. Week two he played better until he threw a backbreaking pick. Talking about B Knicks, I think the Chargers win this game. Maybe a good game, but maybe just by a field goal. But a field goal covers two and a half. Heart or Herbert seven, zero and one against the spread against the AFC west since last season. Harbaugh historically 13, six and two against the spread in September. I at three and a half. I'd be squeamish at two and a half. I love the Chargers. And then my last pick, which you will hate.
Damanze
Detroit plus four and a half at Baltimore.
Daniel
If my handicapping of this demand is correct, which is last team with the ball wins. High scoring back and forth. I'm getting more than a field goal in a game that I think Detroit can win. And I do think that the way to get to Detroit is going to be what Green Bay did, which is be able to get golf off his spot, be able to pressure without sending pressure and disrupt everything. I don't think Baltimore has the horses for that. Hell, Cleveland moved the ball some on Baltimore. They just couldn't stop turning it over. Buffalo obviously did whatever they wanted on Baltimore. So I think I'm not picking Detroit to win, but I think they could win. And I'm getting a full four and a half points in a game that could be 31, 27, 35, 31, 31, 28.
Damanze
Pretty similar. And.
Daniel
And skill level.
Damanze
And you're getting the four and a half.
Daniel
Yes.
Damanze
With Detroit.
Daniel
Yeah. And so. Yeah, and I understand Baltimore's at home. I get that. Detroit though. Both these teams blew out their previous opponents. I like Detroit plus the four and a half. So my five picks this week, Green Bay laying seven and a half at Cleveland, Tennessee getting three and a half at home against Indy Atlanta laying five at Carolina. So I've got two road dogs. The Chargers get laying two and a half at home against Denver and Detroit getting four and a half at Baltimore. Before we get to Demons money making Teaser Let me remind you guys about my friends at Boost Mobile. Ever sign up for a phone plan thinking, wow, great price. And then a few months later it's like, surprise, your bill's higher. With Boost mobile, you pay $25 a month forever. That's a limited talk, text and data starting at just $25 a month. No price hikes, no contract forever. Plus, Boost Mobile is now a legit nationwide 5G network. They've invested billions building 5G towers across the country. Visit boost mobile.com or head to your local Boost store today and get unlimited talk, text and data for $25 a month. Forever. 5G speeds not available in all areas. After 30 gigs, customers may experience slower speeds. Customers will pay $20 a month as long as they remain active on the Boost Unlimited plan.
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Daniel
All right, let's get to it. And by the way, just for our producers, just so you guys. Well, I'll talk to you guys about it later. Dean's teaser two, two and zero headed into week three. As we told you last week, he did a three team, eight pointer, bucks plus ten and a half. Never in doubt. Jacksonville plus 11, never in doubt. Philly plus seven, never in doubt. That is a teaser, I believe demand say that was covering every leg of that was covering every second of those three games. I don't think there was one minute of those three games played. Unless I'm forgetting something in the Bucs game or where that teaser was not covering. And so shout out to you, pal. That's a, that's a really, really good one. Yeah, I'm right about that. You were, you were covering every second of those three games. What are we looking at this week?
Damanze
Thank you, sir. This week is a three team eight point TE, just like last week and probably the first week at plus 100. Cincinnati to plus 11 going to tease the Rams up to 11 and a half and then Houston up to 10. Yeah, I was. I've thought about throwing the Bills or not the Bills. I thought about throwing Miami in there. But that, that could get, that could get away from them. I'm very confident in these. Yeah.
Daniel
Follow me guys. Okay, so I do have a question is just to be fair, are the Rams three and a half point dogs or are they three point dogs? Because if they're, if they're so I.
Damanze
Yesterday.
Daniel
Yesterday. But we've got to go by this moment. So we're just adjusting that even if we don't do it graphically where you're getting the ranch. Yeah, I knew. I knew you wouldn't mind. I just didn't want to have conflict with what I said the line was. What you said the line was. Okay, there we go. I hope that doesn't screw you, but that's just to be fair for the audience. Love the Rams leg of it. Love Houston's leg of it.
Damanze
Yeah, Houston got to do something.
Daniel
I think I like Cincinnati's leg. However, I'm a little nervous about Jake Browning against Brian Flores blitzes.
Damanze
I was.
Daniel
That's.
Damanze
I was just telling Daniel this morning, like, how many teams are going to have a backup quarterback come in a game, throw three picks and lose that game? I think the Jags are on a short list, especially one that you kind of. I almost said you have control over, but, oh, like you're in the game, you've got the lead. Like it's so that does scare me a little bit.
Daniel
But I also don't know that Cincinnati's opponent, Minnesota, I don't know that Carson Wentz, who's going to start for them this weekend, has the ability to blow anybody out. So I'm going to give this and a B plus only because I'm a little concerned about the Jake Browning against Brian Flores factor and the Daniel's reminding us that when Jake Browning was starting in 2023, Cincinnati beat the Vikings in overtime with Jake Browning. So that's good. But I really. I'm rooting for your teasers now more than I'm rooting for my bets. Like this. This I love. All right, let's get right to the offer because last week's offer, I. I don't remember what it was. I remember calling it the worst offer ever. And the producers have confirmed to me it was in fact the worst offer ever. I don't. Maybe the producers can put in there what it was. I don't remember. But they've said they've worked very hard to try to get the. Oh yeah, it was Bears first half in a game. They got annihilated at least a piece of it. And then the Lions full time, like it was just so bad. All right, so here. What's the offer this week we were.
Damanze
Talking about a little bit earlier, but quarterbacks playing against Chicago have won the player of the week in back to back weeks. As we said, this week's offer, we're going to go Dak over one and a half touchdowns. Dak over 274 and a half yards. Lamb over 79 and a half yards. Three leg Parliament 180 plus 185. You could add Dallas to minus one to make it plus 325 if you'd like. Better than last week.
Daniel
Guys, we're gonna have to tighten these offers up. I gotta tell you something. I actually think that has a decent chance of happening.
Damanze
Yeah. I was about to say what's the problem?
Daniel
However. However, I. We are never doing a three leg player prop that only gets us plus 185. It's just not happening. Like the Juice. There's Throw that in. Throw a producers with our new sponsor HOF that like grades and gives you thoughts on parlays. Throw that into the HOF app. Use promo code, right? To get a little, you know, free seven days and see what they tell you about needing Dak to throw for 275 and two touchdowns and CD to get 80 yards to just get plus 185. I'm. They're like, oh, add CD two touchdowns for plus. No, we're not doing it, guys. I listen. Oh, CD two touchdowns by itself. Plus five hundred and seventy five. What is CD one touchdown that I'm interested in if CD one touchdown anytime. Touchdown CD Lane.
Damanze
Minus 150.
Daniel
Minus. Oh mine.
Damanze
Oh, wait. Minus 115. Sorry, not 150.
Daniel
All right, I'll do that. CD Lamb to score a touchdown. Minus one hundred and fifteen. I'll do that.
Damanze
I don't basically like Touchdown Genie.
Daniel
Yeah, this is this week's Touchdown Genie. We're not doing an offer, we're doing Touchdown genie. We're doing CD Lamb. Minus 115. That's what we're doing. All right, thank you. To boost Hard Rock volume, Blue Duck everyone for listening. Good luck to everyone this weekend. Most notably, the Chiefs get a win. Stabilize everything. All will be right in the world. Talk to you guys soon.
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Guest: Nick Wright | Co-host: Damanze
Date: September 20, 2025
This episode of The Herd features Nick Wright (filling in for Colin Cowherd) and co-host Damanze diving deep into NFL Week 3 predictions. The dynamic duo reflects candidly on tough betting luck from the previous week and break down five key games for their official picks, providing sharp insights into team matchups, betting strategies, and their famous "teaser" segment. The conversation is packed with gridiron analysis, betting wisdom, and the duo’s signature banter.
[02:08 - 04:14]
“Some weeks I go 4-1 and feel like I got lucky. This past week I went 2-3 and feel like I got historically screwed.”
— Nick Wright [02:23]
[10:56 - 15:09]
“I just gotta take a break on the Jags.”
— Nick Wright [11:25]
[15:09 - 22:41]
Green Bay -7.5 at Cleveland
“This was almost 10 earlier in the week... I think Green Bay can get to the mid-20s. I don’t mind laying the touchdown and a half.”
— Nick Wright [15:14]
Tennessee +3.5 vs. Indianapolis
“I think Tennessee, I’ll go out and say: first win of the year, an outright winner and I’m getting three and a half.”
— Nick Wright [17:40]
Atlanta -5 at Carolina
“Bryce is in real, real trouble. I don’t mind laying the five points with Atlanta.”
— Nick Wright [18:32]
Chargers -2.5 vs. Denver
“Herbert 7-0-1 against the spread against the AFC West since last season. Harbaugh historically: 13-6-2 ATS in September.”
— Nick Wright [20:04]
Detroit +4.5 at Baltimore
“I’m not picking Detroit to win, but I think they could win. And I’m getting a full four and a half points in a game that could be 31-27, 35-31, 31-28.”
— Nick Wright [21:45]
Nick’s Five Picks Recap:
[26:23 - 29:12]
Two straight teaser wins; wants to keep the heater rolling.
“Three team, eight-point tease, plus 100”:
Both hosts express concerns about Cincy (Jake Browning vs. Brian Flores’ blitzes), but generally think the teaser legs are strong.
“I was just telling Daniel this morning, like, how many teams are going to have a backup quarterback come in a game, throw three picks and lose that game? ...that does scare me a little bit.”
— Damanze [28:49]
“I’m rooting for your teasers now more than I’m rooting for my bets.”
— Nick Wright [29:12]
[30:31 - 32:38]
“We are never doing a three-leg player prop that only gets us +185. It’s just not happening.”
— Nick Wright [32:12]
“CeeDee Lamb to score a touchdown. Minus 115. I’ll do that.”
— Nick Wright [32:30]
This episode delivers Nick Wright’s razor-sharp takes on NFL Week 3, packed with insights on lines, matchups, and betting psychology. Damanze brings more winning energy with his hot teaser streak. The combination of betting advice, banter, and expert football insight makes this a must-listen (or must-read!) for any NFL fan or sharp bettor gearing up for game day.