What’s Wright - NFL Week 7 Predictions: Raiders-Chiefs, Bucs-Lions, Commanders-Cowboys, Eagles-Vikings | Nick Wright

Summary

---

The Herd with Colin Cowherd

"What's Wright - NFL Week 7 Predictions"

Host: Nick Wright
Date: October 18, 2025
Co-host: Damanze
Podcast: iHeartPodcasts and The Volume

---

Episode Overview

In this episode, Nick Wright delivers his signature NFL Week 7 betting picks and leans, providing analysis on some of the week’s most intriguing games. Riding high after a strong Week 6, Nick brings a mix of bold takes and classic betting wisdom, focusing often on tough matchups, underperforming teams, and why sometimes “grimy” games yield the best odds. The episode’s theme is betting value—particularly in “bad teams”—and strategic, data-driven gambling in a volatile NFL landscape.

---

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Reflecting on Week 6 & Betting Philosophy

Timestamp: 02:34–05:48

• Nick recaps his recent picks, feeling vindicated after a 4-1 week and reaching .500 on the season.
• Emphasizes historical performance: “Year over year over year, the most consistent against the spread free publicly available weekly gambling show for the NFL there is.”
• Reveals the week’s strategy: returning to betting on undervalued, “bad” teams instead of chasing favorites.

Notable Quote:

• “Now that we have our footing… we are going back to what has made this show, year over year… consistent against the spread… We’re going to continue that this year with some picks that, I’ll be honest, are going to be hard to stomach. We’re betting on some bad teams.” (04:31)

---

2. Games to Avoid: Leans & Quick Analysis

Timestamp: 11:30–19:42
Nick and Damanze discuss several games Nick recommends staying away from, offering leans and sharp reasons for passing.

• Rams vs. Jacksonville (London):

  • Rams have travel disadvantage & Puka Nacua’s status uncertain. Lean Rams, but passing.

• Miami at Cleveland:

  • Bad “vibes” around Miami’s locker room; quarterbacks not inspiring either. (12:30–13:23)
  • “Bad vibes with a one win team on one side... worst current starter on the other.” (12:52)

• New Orleans at Chicago:

  • Not ready to lay >2.5 points with Bears; New Orleans is dangerous despite only one win.

• Philly at Minnesota:

  • “Feels like a trap... They are begging you, daring you to bet Philly.” (14:47–15:17)

• Vegas at Kansas City:

  • 12 points is “too many,” Chiefs history of not covering big divisional spreads, but Raiders are untrustworthy for a bet. (15:35–16:29)

• Indy at Chargers:

  • Likes the value on Indy, but Chargers’ defense gives enough pause to stay away.

• Washington at Dallas, Green Bay at Arizona, Tampa Bay at Detroit:

  • Nick goes through detailed reasons why the lines are off or why there is too much unknown—generally injury or motivation related.

Notable Quote:

• “I’ve watched the Chiefs last few years not cover these double digit spreads. But I’m not betting on the Raiders.” (16:16)

---

3. Primary Picks: Value on Ugly Matchups

Timestamp: 19:42–27:06

This is the heart of the episode. Nick returns to his strategy of finding betting value on underdogs and lower-profile quarterbacks.

a. Tennessee (+7) vs. New England

• Fired coach “bounce” potential.
• Patriots may be overvalued off recent wins, this is a classic letdown spot.
• “Fired coach bounce… New England’s third straight game on the road… too many points. I love seven and a half, I’ll take seven.” (20:15)
• “Sneaky upset alert for the Patriots but I think the Titans keep it close.”

b. Jets (+1.5) vs. Carolina

• Backs the statistically abysmal Jets mainly due to market movement.
• “This is a pure ‘the bad gamblers will get the bad number on this and lose.’” (22:21)
• “If you’re a Jets fan. If you don’t win this week, when are you going to win?” (23:33)

c. Giants (+7) at Denver

• Giants on extra rest, Denver looks rough following London travel.
• “Sneaky upset alert… Giants can win this game outright… Too many points.” (24:15)

d. Atlanta (+2) at San Francisco

• Notes Niners’ rare absence of Bosa and Fred Warner—huge defensive impact.
• “I think the Niners are about to have one of the worst defenses in football, because it’s going to take them time to adjust.” (25:48)
• “The wrong team is favored.”

e. Seattle (-3) vs. Houston

• Lays points only on Seattle, citing that Houston’s recent performance is misleading.
• “Seattle is a little underrated… Houston, I still don’t trust their offense.” (27:06)

Recap of Picks:

• Tennessee +7
• Jets +1.5
• Giants +7
• Atlanta +2
• Seattle -3

---

4. Damanze’s Teaser & Prop Bets

Timestamp: 32:15–36:35

Three-Team, 8-Point Teaser:

• Tennessee +15
• Indy +10
• Giants +15
• Both hosts are bullish.
• “You’ve been crushing. All right, go ahead.” (33:50)

Touchdown Genie (TDG) Conversation:

• Nick passes on a specific anytime touchdown pick this week—cites lack of value.
• “I’m just staying away this week…” (34:49)

Prop Bet: Bijan Robinson

• Suggests Bijan over 129.5 combined rushing & receiving yards (+105).
• “Bijan over 129.5 rushing and receiving… that feels right.” (36:21)

---

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• “If it were as simple as just ‘bet on the great quarterbacks,’ everybody would make money.” (27:53)
• On the Jets game line movement: “I can’t explain it, I don’t know why, but this is going to be a one-point game...” (22:32)
• New England/Tennessee game: “Teams who fire their coach cover… it’s one of the reasons coach gets fired, to…cover basically half the time.” (20:15)
• “The wrong team is favored… I love Atlanta in this spot.” (26:07)

---

Timestamps for Important Segments

• 02:34 — Week 6 recap and ethos of the show
• 11:30 — Games Nick won’t bet and analysis
• 19:42 — Preface of “betting on bad QBs” and start of weekly picks
• 20:09 — Tennessee (+7) over New England analysis
• 21:41 — Jets (+1.5) vs. Carolina: The “bad gamblers” scenario
• 24:15 — Giants (+7) at Denver preview
• 25:48 — Atlanta (+2) at San Francisco breakdown
• 27:06 — Seattle (-3) vs. Houston as lone favorite
• 32:15 — Damanze’s teaser strategy
• 34:22-36:35 — Prop bet strategy, TD Genie choices, and Bijan Robinson pick

---

Tone and Style

Nick Wright’s analysis is sharp, conversational, and packed with both statistical reasoning and betting psychology. The banter with Damanze is loose, playful, and self-deprecating, particularly regarding betting on “bad teams” and the chaos of the NFL. There are several moments where Nick admits to gut feelings or superstitions, especially with volatile game lines or “trap” situations.

---

Summary Table: Nick’s Week 7 Picks

| Matchup | Pick | Reasoning Summary | |-------------------------|---------------------|---------------------------------------------------| | Tennessee vs. New England | Tennessee +7 | Fired coach bounce, Patriots overvalued | | Jets vs. Carolina | Jets +1.5 | Market movement mispricing, betting psychology | | Giants at Denver | Giants +7 | Extra rest, Denver’s travel disadvantage | | Atlanta at San Francisco | Atlanta +2 | Niners missing key defenders, upset potential | | Seattle vs. Houston | Seattle -3 | Seattle underrated, Houston offense not trusted |

---

Closing

Nick reiterates responsible gambling and recaps his “hard-to-stomach” (but historically profitable) picks for the week, emphasizing that true value often lies in underappreciated teams. The episode ends with prop bet predictions, a discussion of teasers, and a nod to the audience to bet responsibly.

---

Transcript

[iHeartRadio Announcer / Simone Boyce]

This is an I heart podcast.

[Nick Wright]

If you smoke or dip, I'm going to give you a few good reasons to try Zynn Zyn Nicotine Pouches. First, it's America's number one nicotine pouch brand and Zynn offers a robust rewards program. There's a lot of options for nicotine satisfaction, but there's only one Zyn. So if you go to zyn.com find that's z y n.com find to to find Zyn at a store near you. This product does contain nicotine. Nicotine is an addictive chemical.

[Johnny Knoxville]

Hello, America's sweetheart. Johnny Knoxville here. I want to tell you about my new true crime podcast, Crimeless Hillbilly Heist from Smartless Media, Campside media and big money players. It's a wild tale about a gang of high functioning nitwits who somehow pulled off America's third largest cash heist.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

Kind of like Robin Hood, except for.

[Nick Wright]

The part where he steals from the rich and gives to the poor. I'm not that generous.

[Johnny Knoxville]

It's a damn near inspiring true story for anyone out there who's ever shot for the moon, then just totally muffed up the landing. They stole $17 million and had not.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

Bought a ticket to help him escape.

[Nick Wright]

So we're sitting like, oh God, what do we do?

[Damanze]

What do we do?

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

That was dumb. People, do not follow my example.

[Johnny Knoxville]

Listen to Crimeless Hillbilly Heist on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

This is Jim.

[iHeartRadio Announcer / Simone Boyce]

Hello.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

Jim started advertising with iHeartRadio way back.

[Nick Wright]

In April and now I have customers out the door.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

And this is Sarah.

[Nick Wright]

Hi.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

She started putting a portion of her marketing dollars in podcasting back in June.

[iHeartRadio Announcer / Simone Boyce]

Businesses boost.

[Nick Wright]

That's why I'm working on a Saturday.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

Want to be like Jim and Sarah? It's easy. All you have to do is own or manage a business and reach out to iHeart. Get started today at 844iheart or iheartadvertising.com.

[Damanze]

From NBA Champion Stephen Curry comes Shot ready. A powerful, never before seen look at the mindset that changed the game.

[Nick Wright]

I fell in love with the grind. You have to find joy in the work you do when no one else is around.

[Damanze]

Success is not an accident. I'm passing the ball to you.

[Nick Wright]

Let's go.

[Damanze]

Steph Curry redefined basketball.

[Nick Wright]

Now he's rewriting what it means to succeed.

[Damanze]

Order your copy of the New York Times bestseller Shot ready [e-mail].

[Nick Wright]

Welcome in what drive with Nick Wright. Episode 380 our week seven gambling show. This episode of what's Right with Nick Ride is presented you as always by our friends at Boost Mobile and a reminder to all of you, please like rate, subscribe and review to the pod. It really helps us out. And also a reminder. All lines are from Hard Rock Bet Damanze. I've been telling you all year my picks have mirrored directly the chief season rocky start, then thought we found our footing, then a brief setback and then in week six put the whole world on notice. The champs are back. That is four and one last week to get to exactly 500 on the season. Just like the Chiefs and really kind of five and one because we initially had in there Pittsburgh minus five and a. Oh, oh, you guys left that in. Oh oh. So here's the thing that was not actually. I mean this graphic is fine. If you remember in the last minute we took out Pittsburgh minus five and a half and put in the Rams minus seven. So the Rams minus seven was our official pick. Both of them covered. We only get credit for one of them. We had Tampa minus three. I can't call that one. Never a doubter, but they did win by double digits. Casey minus two that was never a doubter. Chicago plus four that they won outright. And then Dallas minus three against Carolina had a chance but lost. So last week if you remember Daman it was and the reason we switched out Pittsburgh for the Rams it was quarterbacks we trust against flawed teams or just quarterbacks we super, super trust. Yeah, we didn't. We. I think it's the first time ever we've gone with four favorites in just one dog this week. Now that we have our footing, now that we're back to 500, we are going back to what has made this show. If you check it year over year over year, the most consistent against the spread free publicly available weekly gambling show for the NFL there is we have one year we haven't made money and that year it's because we count the vig and we finished 500 every other year not only we finished above 500, but we have finished profitable and we're going to continue that this year with some picks that I'll be honest, are going to be hard to stomach. We will get because we're we're going to be betting on some bad teams this week, guys. You can't just bet on the good teams. And so there's some bad teams we're betting on this week and I think we're going to have back to back four and one weeks. I can just feel it and have a for the first time all year be firmly above 500.

[Damanze]

It looks like possible. Yeah, five and oh five and oh is possible.

[Nick Wright]

I feel like this is a four in one week and I say that because I don't the it the I feel badly if we go 4 and 1 and someone did parlayed the whole thing together and then they don't get they don't make any money again. There's no guarantees. Don't gamble what you can't afford all of that. But I feel really good about this week's slate even though these are some grimy games we're getting into. Today's show, by the way, is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock Bet. If you love betting on sports, you just love sports and want to try betting Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook app makes it simple plus packed with great insights and non stop promos every day of the week. If you're already looking ahead to Sunday in Kansas City, Hard Rock Bet Stats Hub right there in the app. Here's what the app showing you arrowhead for for you guys know what an edge this is for the Chiefs when they're a favorite. They've won 13 in a row at home as a favorite. They're massive favorites over the Raiders and they're but they are on a six game streak of failing to cover against divisional teams. Will they snap it Sunday? We'll see. If you need a little help from Kareem Hunt. He has scored a touchdown in five straight weeks. Seven games. Xavier Worthy he's on a four game touchdown streak in Sunday games when the Chiefs are favorites. If you haven't tried your first bet on Hard Rock Bet, there's still time for you to get $150 in bonus bets. And if you win, just place a $5 bet. And if it hits, you get not only your winnings but also an extra $150 in bonus bets. New promos every day. So if you're listening to this later, open the app, check out what they've got any day of the week. Download the Hard Rock Bet app today, take a look around and make your first deposit payable and bonus bets. Not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida. Offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital LLC in all other states. Must be 21 plus and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida? Call 1888 admit it in Indiana. If you or Someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-9 with it gambling problem. Call 1-800-GAMBLER in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia.

[iHeartRadio Announcer / Simone Boyce]

Run a business and not thinking about podcasting? Think again. More Americans listen to podcasts than ads supported streaming music from Spotify and Pandora. And as the number one podcaster, iHeart's twice as large as the next two combined. So whatever your customers are into true crime, sports, comedy, culture, they'll hear your message. Plus, only iHeart can extend your message to audiences across broadcast radio. And all this reach means everything. Just think about the universal marketing formula. The number of consumers who hear your message times the response rate equals the results. Now let's get those results growing for you. Think podcasting can help your business? Think iHeart streaming radio and podcasting. Let us show you at iheartadvertising.com that's iheartadvertising.com or call 844-844-IHEART. One more time, call 844-844-iHEART and get podcasting working for you.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

Hey, this is Matt Jones, I'm Drew Franklin and this is NFL Cover Zero. We're just here to try to give you an NFL perspective a little bit different. Did you see the Colts pretzel? That was my other big takeaway from that game. What was that? Oh, my. We think NFL coverage should be informative and entertaining. And twice a week, that is exactly what you're gonna get. Listen NFL Cover Zero with Matt Jones and Drew Franklin on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. Toyota, the official automotive partner of the NFL. Visit toyota.com NFL now to learn more.

[Daniel Jeremiah / Bucky Brooks]

What's up everybody? Daniel Jeremiah here and I'm Bucky Brooks on Move the Sticks. We take you inside the game, from scouting reports and player development to team.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

Building philosophies, coaching trends, and how front offices construct winning rosters.

[Daniel Jeremiah / Bucky Brooks]

Every week we study the tape, talk to decision makers and share the insights you won't find anywhere else.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

It's the kind of conversation that connects the dots. From college football prospects to the NFL.

[Daniel Jeremiah / Bucky Brooks]

Stars of tomorrow, we break down the draft, analyze matchups, and evaluate how teams put it all together on game day.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

Plus, we dig into coaching strategies, roster construction, and the trends that shape the league year after year.

[Daniel Jeremiah / Bucky Brooks]

Whether you're a die hard fan or just love understanding the game on a deeper level, we give you the full picture.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

If you want insight that goes beyond the box score, this podcast is for you.

[Daniel Jeremiah / Bucky Brooks]

Don't miss it. Listen to the Move the Six podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcast.

[iHeartRadio Announcer / Simone Boyce]

I'm Simone Boyce, host of the Bright side podcast and on this week's episode I'm talking to Olympian World cup champion and podcast host Ashlyn Harris.

[Ashlyn Harris]

My worth is not wrapped up in how many things I've won, because what I came to realize is I valued winning so much that once it was over, I got the blues and I was like, this is it for me. It's the pursuit of greatness. It's the journey, it's the people, it's the failures, it's the heartache.

[iHeartRadio Announcer / Simone Boyce]

Listen to the Bright side on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Nick Wright]

All right, Damani, let's get to the games. I'm not betting I'll give you my liens on them, but go ahead.

[Damanze]

London's game. Rams versus Jacksonville. Jacksonville are three point underdogs.

[Nick Wright]

Yeah, I, I think the Rams are going to win. However, Jacksonville being so familiar playing in London, the Rams taking the longest trip you can take in the NFL, Louisiana all the way to London. Plus the Puka Nukua uncertainty as we sit here recording it is enough for me to not want to lay the three points. But if I think the Rams are going to win despite all that, getting three is not quite enough. So I, that's a stay away from.

[Damanze]

Me and what they just did against the Ravens, I mean, yeah, you know, that might game plans or whatever. Miami at Cleveland. Cleveland is two and a half point favorites.

[Nick Wright]

Yeah, this is, I mean I think Dylan Gabriel's been really, really bad. But. And so being able to go against Gabriel and get points would normally be something I would love. But Miami might be self immolating and I think that the fact that they all week had to address what their quarterback said at the podium and then the quarterback had it. I just think it's bad vibes in Miami and so bad vibes with a one win team on one side of the ball. Maybe the worst current starting quarterback with a one win team on the other side of the ball. If I had to play a side in this, I would play Miami. I guess just because I'm getting the points I don't have to play a side. I'll stay away from it.

[Damanze]

Next you got New Orleans at Chicago. Chicago's four and a point favorites.

[Nick Wright]

I'm not yet ready to lay more than two and a half points with Caleb and the Bears. I don't think they, it was a great win for them and they need to continue that momentum. But New Orleans, even with just one win, has been just frisky enough and Rattler's been just good enough that I don't feel comfortable. I don't feel like the Bears have earned being four and a half point favorites yet against in you know, I know New Orleans one of the worst teams but they're, they're a dangerous one.

[Damanze]

Plus four and a half in that spot.

[Nick Wright]

And so I think that is, I think that is a fair stance that maybe I should just go with New Orleans. I, I want to see because there were a lot of things the Bears did really well Monday night that they hadn't been doing well, most notably run defense and running the ball. Was that a single game thing or was that an out of the buy this team improved on those things area? If that's the case, then I think they could cover the number. I'll just stay away.

[Damanze]

Next you've got Philly at Minnesota. Minnesota is one and a half point dogs.

[Nick Wright]

Feels like a bit of a trap. Feels like they are begging you, daring you even to bet Philly. Phillies lost two in a row. The Vikings are on a backup quarterback. Philly needs the game. Philly is on extra rest and Philly is only a point and a half favorite. That is fishy to me. Implosion from it.

[Damanze]

It's coming.

[Nick Wright]

Maybe. Maybe it is. The thing is you could be imploding and still potentially beat Carson Wentz like and so it just, it is. That's just a stay away for me because it feels like they're d. They're begging you to bet Philly.

[Damanze]

Next of Vegas at Kansas City. Kansas City's 12 point favorites. Too many points.

[Nick Wright]

Too many points. But I'm also. But I'm also not betting on the Raiders like this. Absolutely. Could be 31 to 10. It also could be a really annoying.

[Damanze]

Yeah, the Raiders, I feel like always kind of play the Chiefs a little close no matter what the circumstances they.

[Nick Wright]

Have the last few years. Even when they've been terrible. They obviously beat them on Christmas. And Antonio Pierce then talked about how they had the blueprint. Antonio Pierce last seen wearing Chiefs paraphernalia at Chiefs training camp practices. He is, you know, no longer the head coach of the Raiders. Just too many points. I've watched the Chiefs last few years not cover these double digigit spreads. But I'm not betting on the Raiders so it's staying away.

[Damanze]

We got Indy at the Chargers. Chargers two point favorites.

[Nick Wright]

I like Indy in this spot. I almost included them on my picks because they're getting points and I think they're the better team. I there is an element of can that Chargers defense disruption Daniel Jones that concerns me and it concerned me just enough to stay away from this game. But I do think Indy is the right side of it.

[Damanze]

Next you got Washington at Dallas. Dallas 1 1/2 point dogs.

[Nick Wright]

Dallas very, very difficult team to gamble on right now because they're just going to hang with anybody and let anybody hang with them. The offense is that good and the defense is that bad. So I in Washington I I'm worried about Jaden coming out of Monday night a little banged up and just took a lot of hits. I I lean Washington but that's a stay away.

[Damanze]

Next Green Bay at Arizona. Arizona, 6 1/2 point dogs. Yeah Green Bay go ahead. Green Bay is not covering that I don't think. I just yeah, I take Arizona points.

[Nick Wright]

What's the I just don't know what's going on with Kyler after missing last week. So that's the, you know, the end. This is one of the, you know, we do this on Thursday. Is there. I don't know what the news is on that. I also think that there is there are too many red flags right now with Green Bay to lay a big number with them. But I don't feel comfortable about much of anything going on with the Cardinals so I so I'm just going to stay away and then last one we're staying away from is the game of the week.

[Damanze]

Tampa Bay at Detroit. Detroit's five and a half point favorites.

[Nick Wright]

Man, it was hard. It was so hard to stay away from Tampa Bay here. But it just felt like fishy in Detroit is without Brian Branch. They're banged up, they just looked bad and they're laying five and a half. I thought I when I saw I thought it'd be Detroit minus three, maybe three and a half. Five and a half's a lot. Tampa, go ahead.

[Damanze]

Baker's just lost everything. I I wouldn't bet against Baker in this spot. I mean he just keeps losing guys and he keeps making it happen. But I do feel like this is if this is a spot where they're going to get got like nobody's expecting Baker to win this game.

[Nick Wright]

If I I think Detroit could get Detroit's desperate. Detroit has to have it. Tampa doesn't.

[Damanze]

Right. I also don't want to go against him yet. He's. He's. He's kept doing it correct.

[Nick Wright]

So he's kept doing it and, and so I'm just, I'm gonna enjoy watching this game. Ravens and Bills are on a buy and now we are getting to if Last week was a week of me betting on good quarterbacks, this week is a week of me betting on some of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL. Let's go with the first pick. Damanze.

[Damanze]

All right, man. Exercising that right already. You got Tennessee plus seven against New England.

[Nick Wright]

Listen, I promise I'd never bet on Tennessee again as long as Brian Callahan was the head coach. He's not the head coach. Seven points is too many Fired coach bounce. Patriots coming off a couple really good wins, first place in the division, feeling great about themselves. It feels like a game that a young hasn't won anything team maybe could slip up and lose outright. It certainly feels like a game that is going to I think Vrabel is not going to be focused on oh I got to blow these guys out to show them because they fired me. I think Vrabel is going to coach a game of we just have to win. Teams who fire their coach cover go from terrible at covering. It's one of the reasons coach gets fired to they cover basically half the time. New England's third straight game on the road. That's a bad thing for them to have to deal with as far as covering and it's just too many points. I love seven and a half all take seven in a game. Sneaky upset alert for the Patriots but I think the Titans keep it close. Ish. Tennessee plus seven jets plus one and.

[Damanze]

A half versus Carolina okay.

[Nick Wright]

So Bryce Young.

[Damanze]

Is.

[Nick Wright]

One and 17 straight up on the road and he is a road favorite.

[Damanze]

Okay.

[Nick Wright]

The jets are obviously awful. However, here is what I'm going to tell you. This game opened jets minus one and a half. Jets is the favorite. It is now jets plus one and a half and my decades of gambling led me to believe one thing. I can't explain it, I don't know why but this is going to be a one point game and folks that bet Carolina late and instead of getting them plus a point and a half are laying a point and a half are going to lose. If you are going to bet the Carolina Panthers on the road and you are getting the worst line, a three point line movement and you're still betting them you're going to lose. I have no analysis to support this other than Carolina minus one and a half betters are going to lose this week because they didn't get Carolina plus one and a half which means the only way that tracks is if this is a one point game I think this is a one point game. 21201716 something stupid happens in this game. It could be a missed extra point. It could be a safety. I this is a pure the bad gamblers will get the bad number on this and lose. So I am taking the jets plus one and a half. The other piece of it is this if you're a Jets fan. If you don't win this week, when are you going to win? I think that is a fair question. Like are you staring at Owen 17 maybe I'll take the jets plus one and a half.

[Damanze]

Next you got the Giants plus seven at Denver. I like this one.

[Nick Wright]

You this is another one that I feel like sneaky upset alert Giants on extra rest this is a big the Giants played Thursday, right? They played Thursday in a game they didn't even have to fly to. Or wait, that game was at MetLife. I don't even remember it was but Philly New York. Okay. They played Thursday at home. Denver played Sunday in London. In London and they so there's that. Denver's offense looked abhorrent in that game. The Giants are feeling good. The Giants can win this game outright. Oddly, lie detector test Brian D. Might trust or like his quarterback more than Sha Payton likes his. This isn't the the Bon or Jackson dart is not going to be afraid of this great Denver defense, even if he should be, which maybe will lead to some mistakes but maybe some big plays. It's too many points. The Giants plus seven in a game they could win outright.

[Damanze]

Y Atlanta plus plus two at San Francisco.

[Nick Wright]

Yeah I the Niners have not played a football game missing both Bosa and Fred Warner in more than a half decade. I don't think the market understands or has factored in what Bijan is going to be able to do to a Niners defense without Fred Warner. And so I don't care if Purdy's coming back. I think the Niners are about to have one of the worst defenses in football because it's going to take them a lot of time to adjust to not having Fred Warner. I think Atlanta absolutely can and will win this game outright on Sunday Night Football and I think that Drake London can have a big game. Bijan can have a big game and that Falcon secondary, which is excellent with Purdy potentially playing in his first game back after missing a month. I I love Atlanta in this spot. I think the wrong team is favored. I'll take Atlanta plus two home.

[Damanze]

Seattle minus three versus Houston.

[Nick Wright]

Yeah, I think Seattle is a little underrated. They're 4 and 2 with a loss against the Niners in week one that they had a chance to win and then a tough loss to Baker. 3835 the The Pat the D line's been good. Darnold's been excellent. Houston, on the other hand, I know they're coming off a buy. I still don't trust the Houston offense despite what they did to Baltimore. So I I really, really would prefer obviously to be laying two and a half, but I'll swallow it and lay the full three and it's the only favorite I'm going with this week. And so my five picks this week I am rolling with Cam Ward and the Titans plus seven, Justin Fields and the jets pl a half, Jackson Dart and the Giants plus seven, Michael Pinx and the Falcons plus two and then Sam Darnold and the Seahawks minus three. Listen guys, if, if if it were as simple as just bet on the great quarterbacks, everybody would make money. We did that one week to stable ourselves. It was the right week to do it. All right, real quick. If you're thinking about upgrading to the allnew iPhone 17 Pro, designing the most powerful iPhone ever. But you're also thinking about the traffic on your way to the store, the headache of transferring all your data. Good news, when you order a new phone online with Boost Mobile, they'll send an expert to your home or work to deliver your brand new iPhone 17 Pro and get you all set up on Boost Mobile within minutes. No hassle. Visit Boost mobile.com to get started. Delivery available for select devices [e-mail] terms apply.

[iHeartRadio Announcer / Simone Boyce]

Run a business and not thinking about podcasting? Think again. More Americans listen to podcasts than ads supported streaming music from Spotify and Pandora. And as the number one podcaster, iHeart's twice as large as the next two combined. So whatever your customers are into true crime, sports, comedy, culture, they'll hear your message. Plus, only iHeart can extend your message to audiences across broadcast radio. And all this reach means everything. Just think about the universal marketing formula. The number of consumers who hear your message times the response rate equals the results. Now let's get those results growing for you. Think podcasting can help your business? Think iHeart streaming radio and podcasting. Let us show you at iHeartadvertising.com that's iHeartadvertising.com or call 844-844 iHeart. One more time, call 844-844-IHeart and get podcasting working for you.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

Hey, this is Matt Jones. And I'm Drew Franklin and this is NFL Cover Zero. We're just here to try to give you an NFL perspective a little bit different. Did you see the Colts pretzel? That was my other big takeaway from that game. What was that? Oh my. We think NFL coverage should be informative and and entertaining. And twice a week that is exactly what you're going to get. Listen NFL Cover Zero with Matt Jones and Drew Franklin on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcast. Toyota the official automotive partner of the NFL. Visit toyota.com NFL now to learn more.

[Daniel Jeremiah / Bucky Brooks]

What's up everybody? Daniel Jeremiah here and I'm Bucky Brooks. On Move the Sticks. We take you inside the game. From scouting reports and player development to.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

To team building philosophies, coaching trends, and how front offices construct winning rosters.

[Daniel Jeremiah / Bucky Brooks]

Every week we study the tape, talk to decision makers and share the insights you won't find anywhere else.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

It's the kind of conversation that connects the dots. From college football prospects to the NFL stars of tomorrow.

[Daniel Jeremiah / Bucky Brooks]

We break down the draft, analyze matchups, and evaluate how teams put it all together on game day.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

Plus, we dig into coaching strategies, roster construction and and the trends that shape the league year after year.

[Daniel Jeremiah / Bucky Brooks]

Whether you're a die hard fan or just love understanding the game on a deeper level, we give you the full picture.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

If you want insight that goes beyond the box score, this podcast is for you.

[Daniel Jeremiah / Bucky Brooks]

Don't miss it. Listen to the Move the Six podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.

[iHeartRadio Announcer / Simone Boyce]

I'm Simone Boyce, host of the Bright side Podcast and on this week's episode I'm talking to Olympian World cup champion and podcast host Alex Ashlyn Harris.

[Ashlyn Harris]

My worth is not wrapped up in how many things I've won because what I came to realize is I valued winning so much that once it was over, I got the blues and I was like, this is it for me. It's the pursuit of greatness. It's the journey, it's the people, it's the failures. It's the heartache.

[iHeartRadio Announcer / Simone Boyce]

Listen to the Bright side on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Nick Wright]

Damanze I felt bad because I kind of jinxed your teaser. I gave you an A plus. I talked about how much I loved it. You had been 4 and 1 and then not only did you not win it, but you didn't win it because my team cost it for you. In a roundabout Way. Last week you had Seattle plus nine against Jacksonville. They win by eight. Chicago plus 12 against Washington. They win outright. Detroit plus 10 at Kansas City. And the Chiefs blow out the. Or beat the Lions by what? They win by 13, regardless. So, all right, what are we looking at this week?

[Damanze]

It was rough. So this week we got another three team eight point teaser at plus 100. We're teasing Tennessee up to plus 15. We'll go ahead and tease India up to plus 10. Then we got the Giants season. The giants up to plus 15. Dealing this one in my bones. Sorry we lost the last one. Five and two coming up.

[Nick Wright]

In part, not so much because of key numbers, even though you do go through them, but because I liked the Titans and the giants plus seven.

[Damanze]

Yeah, I was about seven.

[Nick Wright]

Now they're plus 15. And then Indy I said I thought could win outright, and now you're getting 10. So. Yeah, I like it a lot. I do feel like this is five and two. I feel like this is five and two, buddy.

[Damanze]

Five and two, the ship. I hope you guys are actually placing these bets out here. If you just bet your mortgages on these, you'll pay your.

[Nick Wright]

No, no, no. Let's not, let's not, let's not. Let's not encourage that. The mortgage betting, we shouldn't encourage. Let's just bet sensibly. Just put. You know what I mean? Just you. Just a little bit of entertainment, that's all. But it has been good. You have been crushing. All right, go ahead.

[Damanze]

So last week, the offer. Oh, wait, you do. You have been picking your tdg. I think you're undefeated on TDG so far.

[Nick Wright]

Lifetime.

[Damanze]

Yeah. Last. Last week you picked Xavier worthy at plus 125 and he hit. What? Are there any standouts to you for.

[Nick Wright]

This week, staying away this week?

[Damanze]

No. Touchdown Genie.

[Nick Wright]

I don't know. Touchdown Genie.

[Damanze]

This week was a Kareem Hunt, like the straight week Sevens.

[Nick Wright]

Yeah. Yeah, I don't. That's not that instructive to me. And I just, I. I'm going to stay away this week.

[Damanze]

Okay.

[Nick Wright]

I kind of wanted to do Rasheed Rice, but I'm just staying away this week. The.

[Damanze]

That's a little bold. A little bold.

[Nick Wright]

And so, yeah, we're just gonna. We're not doing touchdown this week. We're staying away this week. Next.

[Damanze]

All right, so the offer fell short last week with Micah and Rashawn Gary both have over a half sack, plus 2 10. So you were talking about how bad San Francisco's defense is and Bijan Robinson is going to be rolling through there. So we're gonna, we're gonna look at Bijan over 99 and a half rush yards at plus 225 or a less spicy one. Bejon over 170. 117 and a half rushing, plus receiving yards at minus 150.

[Nick Wright]

All right, so what, what can we put the Bijan, I want to get it to plus num, plus money, but I want to have. I don't want to do the rush yards one. I want to do the combined one. So if we did Bijan over, is there an alternate like plus one? All right, I, I, we're just gonna call it. I'm making my own market here. Bijan over one 29 and a half rushing and receiving yards have at least 130 rushing and receiving yards. That's plus 105. It feels right. That's the offer this week. I, I like that. I think that, I think you'll be able to find it with our friends at Hard Rock. Ban's gonna, I don't know if it's gonna be on the ground or in the air. Bijan's gonna crush. All right.

[Damanze]

Get touchdowns, dude. We're behind.

[Nick Wright]

But the. Yeah, what do you mean? What are you talking about?

[Damanze]

I'm telling Bijan. He's, he's my most rushing touchdown, most rush.

[Nick Wright]

Oh, yeah, you're back from before the year. Yeah. You need a big touchdown.

[Damanze]

Go get a td.

[Nick Wright]

Thank you to Boost. Thank you to Hard Rock. Thank you to Volume. Thank you to Blue Dock. Thank you for everyone for listening. Thank you to our friends at Zen. Talk to you guys next week. Happy birthday, my wife. What's right? Look, if you smoke or dip, I'm going to give you a few good reasons to try Zen nicotine pouches. First, Zen is America's number one nicotine pouch brand, and Zen offers an unbelievable rewards program. There's a lot of options for nicotine satisfaction, but there's only one Zen. Visit zen.com find to find Zen at a store near you. Again, that zen.com find zyn, spelled z y, N. This product contains nicotine. Nicotine is an addictive chemical.

[Johnny Knoxville]

Johnny Knoxville here. Check out Crimeless Hillbilly Heist, my new true crime podcast from Smartless Media, Campside Media, and big money players. It's the true story of the almost perfect crime and the nimrods who almost pulled it off.

[Nick Wright]

It was kind of like the perfect storm in a sewer.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

That was dumb. Do not follow my example.

[Johnny Knoxville]

Listen to crimeless hillbilly. Heist on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

This is Jim.

[iHeartRadio Announcer / Simone Boyce]

Hello.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

Jim started advertising with iHeartRadio way back.

[Nick Wright]

In April and now I have customers out the door.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

And this is Sarah.

[Nick Wright]

Hi.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

She started putting a portion of her marketing dollars in podcasting back in June.

[Nick Wright]

Business is booming. That's why I'm working on a Saturday.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

Want to be like Jim and Sarah? It's easy. All you have to do is own or manage a business and reach out to iHeart. Get started today at 844-844-IHeart or iHeartadvertising.com.

[iHeartRadio Announcer / Simone Boyce]

The NFL is rolling. That's right, and you should be listening to NFL Daily as we march along to Super Bowl 60. It's in the name NFL Daily so you'll have fresh content in your feed all season long. Join me, Greg Rosenthal, in an all star cast of co hosts for previews and recaps of every single game. NFL Daily will keep you up to date with everything you need to know so you can sound smarter than all your friends. Listen to NFL daily on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Matt Jones / Drew Franklin]

No purchase necessary. Void where prohibited. Ends 2 8:26 open to legal residents of the 50 US states and DC 18 and over. For complete details, how to enter prizes and official rules, visit toyotasgamedaygiveaways.com this is an iHeart podcast.