What's Wright - Nick Wright PREDICTS AFC: Mahomes & Chiefs WILL BE BACK, Bills & Ravens OVER win totals | NFL

Summary

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Podcast Summary

Podcast: The Herd with Colin Cowherd
Episode: What's Wright - Nick Wright PREDICTS AFC: Mahomes & Chiefs WILL BE BACK, Bills & Ravens OVER win totals | NFL
Date: March 20, 2026
Host: Nick Wright (with Damanze)
Presented by: Boost Mobile, Hard Rock Bet

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Episode Overview

This episode of "What's Wright with Nick Wright" is a deep dive into the projected win totals for every AFC NFL team for the 2026 season. Nick and his co-host Damanze go division by division, evaluating the early “over/under” lines provided by Hard Rock Bet. The primary theme is analyzing which teams are correctly assessed by oddsmakers, which are overrated, and which are underrated—peppering in discussion about schedules, quarterback situations, organizational direction, and division strengths.

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Key Discussion Points & Insights

Opening Thoughts: NFL’s Event Power (02:16)

• Nick stresses that football’s supremacy in U.S. sports is due to its games feeling like standalone events, contrasting with other leagues like the NBA. He draws analogies to recent sports events (e.g., World Baseball Classic) that drew exceptional ratings because they felt significant.
  • Quote:

    “If something feels like an event and feels big, it can still grab people's attention and everything else kind of gets lost to the noise.”—Nick (02:35)

• This event-based appeal is what keeps NFL discussions relevant even in March.

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AFC East Predictions (05:40)

Buffalo Bills - 10.5 Wins (Minus 140 to the over)

• Nick breaks down their brutal schedule: AFC West, NFC North, plus strong “2nd place” matchups (Ravens, Texans, Rams).
• Despite adversity:
  • Prediction: Over is the play.
    • Bills have a history of consistent winning with Josh Allen (usually 11+ wins).
    • Divisional dominance (likely 5-1) compensates for tough out-of-division games.
  • Quote:

    “They win 11 games every year with Josh Allen. This is a touch too low.” —Nick (08:36)

  • Segment: 07:42–08:56

Miami Dolphins - 4.5 Wins

• Prediction: This is too high, suggesting Miami will be the worst team in the league.
  • Quote:

    “They are going to be the worst team in the league by a lot. I'd be on 0-17 watch for the Miami Dolphins.” —Nick (09:21)

  • Segment: 09:03–09:44

New England Patriots - 9.5 Wins

• Prediction: Too high. Believes they regress to earth after a historically easy schedule last year.
  • Projects around 9 wins, but sees 8 as more likely than 11.
  • Segment: 09:56–10:30

New York Jets - 5.5 Wins

• Prediction: Line is “just right,” but leans slightly over due to several weak opponents.
  • If they can go 4-2 against bottom teams, 6 wins is plausible.
  • Quote:

    “They are also one of the worst teams in football, but you have that. If they can somehow just win... I could see them getting to the over.” —Nick (10:30)

  • Segment: 10:30–11:58

Division Winner Pick:

• Loves Buffalo at -145 for the AFC East title.

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AFC North Predictions (16:15)

Baltimore Ravens - 10.5 Wins (Minus 145 to the over)

• Prediction: Number is “just right,” would pick over if forced.
  • Soft division, plus favorable schedule (NFC South, AFC South, second place games).
  • Some offseason losses and lack of weapons concern, but expects Lamar to thrive post-contract.
  • Quote:

    “Lamar, historically fresh off a contract, dominates.” —Nick (19:43)

  • Segment: 16:24–19:56

Cincinnati Bengals - 9.5 Wins

• Prediction: Just right.
  • Same flaws as always (great offense, shaky O-line, bad defense). Range of 8-11 wins.
  • Segment: 20:06–21:12

Cleveland Browns - 6.5 Wins

• Prediction: Just right, but “potentially frisky.”
  • Super easy "strength of schedule" games (Raiders, Jets, Giants). Defense and draft picks intrigue him, but not enough confidence to go over.
  • Segment: 21:12–22:43

Pittsburgh Steelers - 8.5 Wins

• Prediction: Under.
  • No Mike Tomlin and possible dysfunctional QB room spell decline.
  • Blasts their indecision about Aaron Rodgers and missing the chance at Kirk Cousins.
  • Quote:

    “The Steelers should grow a spine and just sign Kirk Cousins... but to me this is too high. I would go under on Pittsburgh.” —Nick (22:50)

  • Segment: 22:50–23:45

Division Winner Pick:

• Likes Baltimore at -140 for the AFC North.

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AFC South Predictions (23:45)

Houston Texans - 9.5 Wins

• Prediction: Under.
  • Projects potential Stroud regression and warns sustained defensive dominance is unlikely.
  • Schedule isn't forgiving.
  • Segment: 23:53–24:56

Indianapolis Colts - 8.5 Wins

• Prediction: Too high.
  • Lack of belief in the Colts and skepticism about health at QB.
  • Segment: 25:10–25:41

Jacksonville Jaguars - 9.5 Wins

• Prediction: Too low, likes the over.
  • Believes in the roster and coaching, expects double-digit wins, top team in division.
  • Quote:

    “I believe in the Jags... I think they're a double-digit win team, the best team in that division.” —Nick (25:48)

  • Segment: 25:48–26:11

Tennessee Titans - 6.5 Wins

• Prediction: Just right.
  • Projects 6-7 wins, trust defense but offense in transition.
  • Segment: 26:18–27:29

Division Winner Pick:

• Likes value on Jacksonville at +175.

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AFC West Predictions (27:29)

Denver Broncos - 9.5 Wins

• Prediction: Too low, take the over.
  • Favors Broncos continuity, likes the Waddle trade, and is impressed by Bo Nix’s playoff performance until injury.
  • Division’s non-divisional schedule isn't daunting for a first-place team.
  • Segment: 27:37–29:01

Kansas City Chiefs - 10.5 Wins

• Prediction: Over, calls line “too low.”
  • Easiest schedule draw in years; sees at least 11 wins as the floor for a Mahomes team outside of last year.
  • Quote:

    “They're still the Chiefs and winning 11 games was the absolute floor every single year prior to last year. That's too low.” —Nick (30:03)

  • Segment: 29:26–31:11

Las Vegas Raiders - 5.5 Wins

• Prediction: Just right, leans to the over but not confident.
  • Spent big in offseason, but rookie starting QB concerns.
  • Segment: 31:19–31:54

Los Angeles Chargers - 10.5 Wins

• Prediction: Strong under, line is way too high.
  • Brutal “strength of schedule” games; questions about Herbert’s playoff psyche and WR corps.
  • Quote:

    “This is a red hot under for me. This is way too... too high. I do not think the Chargers are going to be the team America thinks they're going to be next year.” —Nick (32:17)

  • Segment: 31:54–32:44

Division Winner Pick:

• Likes Chiefs at +165; his overall division winner picks are Chiefs (AFC West), Bills (AFC East), Ravens (AFC North), Jags (AFC South).

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Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• On NFL’s ongoing popularity:

  “Football is not only still king, but has a bigger lead on the other sports than ever before… they can make regular season games feel like an event.” —Nick (02:30)

• On Buffalo’s schedule:

  “That is a brutal… they drew tough divisions plus they get lucky with the division they’re in at least.” —Nick (07:27)

• On Miami’s woes:

  “They are going to be the worst team in the league by a lot… It’s too high.” —Nick (09:21)

• On doing boxing lessons:

  (Lighthearted digression about the virtues of boxing for cardio and co-host Daniel’s need for self-defense, 18:19–19:29)

• On Chiefs’ resilience:

  “The Chiefs are still the Chiefs and winning 11 games was the absolute floor every year prior to last year.” —Nick (30:03)

• On the Chargers:

  “This is a red hot under for me… I do not think the Chargers are going to be the team America thinks they're going to be.” —Nick (32:17)

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Timestamps for Key Segments

• Intro & NFL as Event TV: 02:16–05:05
• AFC East Breakdown: 05:40–12:00
• AFC North Breakdown: 16:15–23:45
• AFC South Breakdown: 23:45–27:29
• AFC West Breakdown: 27:29–33:37
• Division Winner Picks: 32:44–33:37

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Episode Tone & Style Notes

• Nick Wright remains opinionated and analytical, with a blend of humor and directness.
• He emphasizes patterns (“historically, the Bills always win 11+,” “the Chiefs’ floor is 11 wins,” etc.).
• Willing to make bold predictions, especially about teams he thinks are drastically over- or under-valued.
• Frequent lighthearted exchanges with co-host Damanze (especially on tangents like boxing as off-field training).

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Summary Table: Nick Wright’s AFC Win Total Picks

| Team | O/U | Nick’s Call | Key Logic | |---------------------|----------|-------------------------|----------------------------------------------------------| | Buffalo Bills | 10.5 | Over | Reliable winners, divisional dominance | | Miami Dolphins | 4.5 | Under | Predicts league’s worst; overwhelmed by schedule | | New England Pats | 9.5 | Under | Projects regression, schedule gets harder | | NY Jets | 5.5 | Just Right/Over | Weak opponents, potential to squeak over | | Baltimore Ravens | 10.5 | Over/Just Right | Soft division, still trust Lamar | | Cincinnati Bengals | 9.5 | Just Right | Same team, no big upgrades | | Cleveland Browns | 6.5 | Just Right/Frisky | Easy schedule, rookie intrigue | | Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.5 | Under | No Tomlin, QB concerns, rough vibes | | Houston Texans | 9.5 | Under | Defensive drop-off, Stroud regression possible | | Indy Colts | 8.5 | Under | QB/roster skepticism | | Jacksonville Jags | 9.5 | Over | Coaching/growth, division’s best | | Tennessee Titans | 6.5 | Just Right | Transitional, modest defense trust | | Denver Broncos | 9.5 | Over | Continuity, favorable schedule for 1st place | | Kansas City Chiefs | 10.5 | Over | Mahomes factor, favorable schedule | | Las Vegas Raiders | 5.5 | Just Right/Over | Spent big, rookie QB; minor lean over | | LA Chargers | 10.5 | Under | Brutal schedule, skepticism about Herbert’s support |

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Final Thoughts

Nick’s overall prediction is a chalky one: he backs three divisional favorites (Bills, Ravens, Chiefs) and a value play on the Jags. He emphasizes the importance of context (schedules, recent history, offseason moves) and is clear about his skepticism for the Chargers and Dolphins, while doubling down on traditional powers like Kansas City and Buffalo.

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Transcript

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[Nick]

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[Nick]

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[Nick]

All right, welcome in episode 435. This episode of what's Right With Nick Right is presented to you by Boost Mobile. As always and we are back three episodes a week. Some of these episodes are going to be mailbag episodes. Some of these episodes are going to be like today's gambling episode. Thanks to our friends at Hard Rock Bet where all of our lines come from. It's never basically too early demanze to talk NFL and the over unders came out in a hard rock bet. So again the draft hasn't happened, injuries haven't happened. So this is we are not held to any of these. It's just where we're leaning at the moment. And I real quick, before we get to it, I do want to make a point that applies to the NFL, but I was reminded of it by the huge success of the World Baseball Classic and what seems to be like a somewhat flagging interest ratings wise. And some of these NBA games, I really do feel like we are moving even further towards event based entertainment. Like if something feels like an event and feels big, it can still grab people's attention and everything else kind of gets lost to the noise. Which is why I'm really interested if come these NBA playoffs, if with the new TV partners and streaming deals, everything, if they can make these games feel like events. NBC is trying to do that with some of the broadcasts because the reason football is not only still king, but has a bigger lead on the other sports than ever before is they have they can make regular season games feel like an event. That World baseball, you had people watching the World Baseball Classic that won't watch another baseball game until October that were locked in. That World Baseball Classic did NBA Finals ratings. NBA Finals ratings because it was a big event. And that's why like the Netflix boxing stuff, even if it's farcical, who's fighting works because people are like, oh, it's something to plan my evening around. And football just has that. Which is why it can be the middle of March and people are into football conversations. Reminder to everybody like rate, subscribe review to the pod. All right, demons, A explain to the audience how we're doing this and what we're doing.

[Damanze]

So today we're going to go through win totals for the whole afc, all the AFC teams. And we want you to weigh in and tell us whether that's too high, too low or just right.

[Nick]

Oh, a Goldilocks. I get it.

[Damanze]

It's okay.

[Nick]

It's gold. I'm Goldilocks there and there. It's the three, the Goldilocks and three and the three Bears. You know, this porch is too hot, this porch too cold. I like it. All right, so go ahead, pal. Sorry.

[Damanze]

So, yeah, so let's get into these lines courtesy of our friends hard rock bet.

[Nick]

All right, where are we starting?

[Damanze]

First we've got the AFC. First we've got the AFC East. The Buffalo Bills are set at 10 and a half at minus 140 and plus 1 15.

[Nick]

Right. So the first minus 140 to the over. So they're slightly favored to the over. So this is what's important to remember. For every team we talk about in the AFC east, they will play the following two divisions, the AFC west and the NFC north. Which means the AFC east got the nut low divisional draw. You they got in my opinion the hardest division to play in the AFC and probably the hardest or the second hardest division to play in the nfc. So Buffalo has all of their own division plus the AFC west and NFC north, plus these strength of schedule games. They get the second place teams from the AFC North. That's Baltimore. That really sucks. It's like we had the second place team from the north, but it's Baltimore. Yeah, they get the second place team from the south, that's Houston. That's pretty unfortunate. And the second place team to Monze from the NFC west, which is the Rams. So I mean, so that is a brutal. They drew tough divisions, plus they get

[Damanze]

lucky with the division they're in at least. Correct?

[Nick]

No, correct. But also those three divisions that they get the second place team from, those second place teams are, I think a lot of people think the best teams in those divisions.

[Damanze]

Exactly.

[Nick]

That Baltimore is better than Pittsburgh, that Houston is better than Jacksonville and that the Rams are better than the Seahawks are. So with despite all of that for Buffalo, I will take the over because what you said was the most important six games in their own division and it just feels like that's five and one.

[Damanze]

Yeah.

[Nick]

Two and oh against Miami, two and oh against the jets split with New England. So five, if they go five and one there, can they go six and five in their remaining games? Which their remaining games are home against Chicago, Detroit, Kansas City, the Chargers and Baltimore. That is hard.

[Damanze]

I mean those are all losable games.

[Nick]

And on the road against Denver, Green Bay, Vegas, Minnesota, Houston and the Rams again, it's a brutal schedule outside of the division, but they win 11 games every year with Josh Allen. So I to me this is a touch too low. All right, next one.

[Damanze]

Miami Dolphins at four and a half with plus 100 on the over and minus 120 on the under.

[Nick]

So again, same divisions, AFC West, NFC north, they're non. Their strength of schedule games are the Bengals, the Colts and the Niners. You know, not a murderer's row, but nothing. No, not a cakewalk.

[Damanze]

Yeah,

[Nick]

their total is at four and a half and I'm here to tell you that's too high. They are go. They are going to be the worst team in the league by a lot. I would be on to win. Watch for the Miami Dolphins. That strikes me as too high. We don't need to spend more time on them. It's too high.

[Damanze]

Next Patriots nine and a half. Minus 125 on the under or plus minus 125 on the over, plus 105 on the under.

[Nick]

A touch too high. I think the Patriots come way back down to earth from the easiest schedule in the NFL this century to again the AFC West, NFC north plus Pittsburgh, Jacksonville, Seattle. I think. I think they're a nine win team. So you could say that means it's just right. I could. I think it's more likely they win eight than they win 11. So I think that's just too high.

[Damanze]

Next one jets at five and a half. You got minus 1105 on the over, minus 115 on the under here

[Nick]

I'm gonna say just right but if I had to pick a side I would go over because here are they have two games against the Dolphins, a game against the Raiders, the Browns, the Titans, the Cardinals. That's six games against the worst teams in football. Now they are also one of the worst teams in football. Right, I understand that. But you have that. If they can somehow just win. Yeah, wait, hold on. Yeah, that's right. If they can just steal. If they can go 2 and 10 or 2 and 9 against good teams and then 4 and 2 against the worst teams. Like I, I could see them getting to the over and Gino like does Geno have anything left? But it's. It's probably just right. But I would go I if I had to I would go over and I Love Buffalo at minus 145 doing the division.

[Damanze]

I love it.

[Nick]

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[Nick]

Ugh.

[Jennifer]

Could this vintage store be any cuter? Right. And the best part, they accept Discover. Except Discover in a little place like this? I don't think so, Jennifer. Oh yeah. Huh. Discover's accepted where I like to shop. Come on, baby. Get with the times. Right. So we shouldn't get the parachute pants. These are making a comeback, I think.

[Nick]

Discover is accepted at 99% of places that take credit cards nationwide. Based on the February 2025 Nielsen report. All right, Damanze, let's go to The AFC North.

[Damanze]

AFC North. We got my Ravens at ten and a half. Minus 145 on the over and plus 125 on the under.

[Nick]

So they are in a very different position than the AFC east in that the divisions they get everyone in their division obviously plays their own division. Plus the two Souths, the AFC south and the NFC South. Now the AFC south was better than people expected last year. The NFC south is the worst division in football every year and doesn't seem to be stopping anytime soon. They also Baltimore get the second place schedule which means their extra, their strength of schedule games. In addition to playing those divisional teams are the Chargers, the Bills and the Cowboys. Tough. Not brutal but tough. I think this is just right. If I had to, if I had to pick a side I would go over.

[Damanze]

Yeah.

[Nick]

Bolstered by the fact that I actually think our schedule. That's what I was gonna say. I think their division is soft all of a sudden. I think Pittsburgh. No Tomlin and gonna have 42 year old Rogers. Cleveland in perpetual hell.

[Damanze]

Cleveland.

[Nick]

And you guys know I don't right. Really believe in Cincinnati. Plus you get the NFC south and the Colts and the Titans from the AFC south. Like I, I agree with you. So I, I, my concern is I do think they lost more than they brought in this offseason. I don't love the lack of weapons for Lamar and but I assume Lamar is getting a new deal and Lamar when he's not, you know and he's taking boxing lessons.

[Damanze]

I low key. That's not nothing. That's really good cardio right there. We were talking about. Oh yeah. No we weren't talking about. Go ahead.

[Nick]

No but that so hold on. I'm glad you said that. Would you do that?

[Damanze]

Yeah, I would.

[Nick]

Do you have interest in doing that?

[Damanze]

Yeah. Boxing? Yeah.

[Nick]

Like, yeah, not actual fighting, but like boxing lessons. Like.

[Damanze]

Yeah, but 100. It's. It's great cardio.

[Nick]

I think maybe you. Daniel's. Is that Daniel saying he does it?

[Damanze]

Daniel or something like that? Daniel. Correct me if I'm wrong.

[Nick]

The. Yeah, no, he does my tie. Well, Daniel's got a pretty smart mouth and he's not the biggest guy. I think he should know how to fight. Like, I mean, I think that's probably pretty smart. Like, here, listen, I might do it too.

[Damanze]

All right.

[Nick]

I might do it too.

[Damanze]

I'll be down.

[Nick]

Like, maybe that could be a cool thing for us to do. I know we're bicoastal, but.

[Damanze]

Yeah, I was about to say, like, just track it or something.

[Nick]

Yeah, I like the idea of it.

[Damanze]

I'd be totally.

[Nick]

So. So, yeah, let's put a pin in that. But that could be fun. And like, I always.

[Damanze]

Oh, sorry. No, you always. What I was going to say, like Baltimore, like 14 wins, basically.

[Nick]

14. I mean, maybe we've seen Lamar do it. What I was going to say is Lamar, historically fresh off a contract, dominates.

[Damanze]

Yeah.

[Nick]

Like, for real. Like, the last time he got a contract, he just peeled an MVP and then almost won another one. The. All right, let's go to the Bengals.

[Damanze]

Bengals at 9 and a half. The overest minus 115 and the unders minus 105.

[Nick]

So their strength of schedule, games again. They have their division, AFC South, NFC south, plus Kansas City. That's a brutal third place game. But then Miami and Washington. That's nice. Yeah, I think this is just right. I just think the Bengals are still. They are just the same team to me they are every year. They're going to have an awesome offense despite a shaky offensive line and a terrible defense. And I just, I don't trust the organization. I don't think they made like, like these massive game changing moves. And so I, you know, that to me, they could win nine, they could win 10. I think it's on the board. They win eight, it's on the board. They Win 11.

[Damanze]

Feed into their situation.

[Nick]

Well, right, that. I mean, he, now, he missed a lot of last year, but they, I just don't. I, I don't trust that organization to, you know, win 12 games. And so I think that's just right.

[Damanze]

All right, next we got the Browns at six and a half the overs plus 125. The unders minus 150.

[Nick]

Well, this is so embarrassing. Who's There. Who I should the coach not say this out loud? Yeah. Who's their head coach? I forgot it's Brown's high.

[Damanze]

Monken.

[Nick]

Oh, Todd Monken. That's right. From Baltimore. Thank you. I was like it is for it. It lost me. Okay, so their strength of schedule, games, Raiders, Jets, Giants. That's pretty sick, I gotta say. So they play Raiders, Jets, Giants, Titans, the whole NFC South. I but I think they're starting quarterback's going to be Shador.

[Damanze]

I was just about to say like how many NFC south games are they going to win?

[Nick]

Yeah, I, I'm going to call this just right. I don't have the courage to pick a Browns over, but my God, getting the NFC south plus the Titans, plus Raiders, Jets, Giants, that's pretty sick. And they had a good rookie class last year. Defensively, they have the extra first round pick. They could be frisky. I'm going to give them potentially frisky. I'm going to call it just right, but I'm going to give them potentially frisky.

[Damanze]

Okay.

[Nick]

All right, next, next.

[Damanze]

Got the Steelers at eight and a half. They're plus 125 on the over and minus 150 on the under.

[Nick]

Their strength to schedule games are Denver, New England, Philly. I am going under. I think they will miss Tomlin. I think the fact that Aaron Rodgers is making them do this utter farce of. I haven't decided if I'm coming back yet when. Like what they going to start Will Howard? Like they. They didn't sign. They didn't. They didn't sign Tua. They didn't. They didn't sign Kyler. They didn't sign Malik Willis. They. The Steelers should grow a spine and just sign Kirk Cousins. Be like, we want the different old quarterback coming off Achilles. No. And. And not Rogers. Be like, sorry Aaron, job's full but to me this is too high. I would go under on Pittsburgh. And again I'm going to be very, I guess fishy here or that where I Baltimore -140 for the division. I just like it. I. I just like it. All right, let's go to the south.

[Damanze]

AOC south. We got the Houston Texans at nine and a half, minus 120 on the over, plus 100 on the under.

[Nick]

So their divisional matchups are the AFC north, which I told you I don't think is that strong, and the NFC east, which is like median average strength of division. It's not. I think the best divisions are the two Wests plus the AFC or the NFC North. So the two best divisions are AF in AFC West, NFC West, NFC North. I think the worst divisions are the AFC east and the two Souths. And then the median divisions, if you are the AFC north and the NFC east, which are the two divisions that they draw. Houston's strength of schedule games are Bills, Chargers, Packers. Not easy. I'm also worried about CJ Stroud.

[Damanze]

Yeah.

[Nick]

So I'm going to say this is too high. This to me would be an over, an under. Pardon me.

[Damanze]

Right. Is their defense going to be as good as they were last year?

[Nick]

It's just so hard for a defense to be that dominant year over year. Like they could be an awesome defense and not quite as good. So I'm going to say that's too high. Next.

[Damanze]

Oh, we got the Colts. They're at, they're at eight and a half, plus 105 on the over and minus 125 on the under.

[Nick]

Their strength of schedule games are Dolphins, Chiefs, Vikings. I didn't believe in the Colts last year. I, I don't believe in them this year. Nobody seems to care that Daniel Jones is towards Achilles during the season. They're like, oh yeah, he's just going to be the week one starter maybe. And so to me that's too high. I, that's too high for them.

[Damanze]

Next, we got the jags, nine and a half, plus 105 on the over and then minus one. 25 on the under.

[Nick]

Their strength to schedule games are Pats, Broncos, Bears. Again, not easy. They won the division last year. But I believe in the Jags. Year two of Liam Cohen, Get Travis Hunter back. Trevor feeling the best he's felt. I think they're a double digit win team. I think the best team in that division and so that's too low.

[Damanze]

Next, Titans at six and a half, minus 125 on the over, plus 105 on the under.

[Nick]

Their strength to schedule games are Jets, Raiders, Lions. That's so crazy that the Lions were a last place team. Yeah, isn't that wild? Feels just right that you know that there are six or seven win team. Trust Bobby Sala to get the defense going. See what Cam Ward can do in year two. That feels just right. Houston is the favorite to win the division. I like Jacksonville. I like Jacksonville a lot at +175. All right, before we get to my division reminder, you ever notice everything keeps going up? Rents going up, streaming services going up, Your favorite burrito spots. Charged an extra for Salza. It's ridiculous. Not with Boost Mobile Though you and your phone bill don't have to play the Will this go up soon? Game. Why? Because Boost Mobile has unlimited talk, text and data plan at a price that'll never go up. In fact, it's the same price you'll pay for Life. So switch now for unlimited wireless at a price that'll never go up. Only at boost mobile. After 30 gigs, customers may experience lower speeds. Customers will pay $20 per month as long as they remain active on the Boost Unlimited plan. All right, let's get to it, Demons.

[Damanze]

The AFC West. The Denver Broncos at nine and a half, minus 115 on the over and then minus 105 on the under.

[Nick]

So everyone in this division gets the AFC east, which, again, I don't think is that brutal. And the NFC west, which is quite brutal. The Broncos, first place, strength of schedule, games, not bad. Jacksonville, which is tough. Carolina and Pittsburgh. I mean, for a first, the fact that your first place gets you Carolina and Pittsburgh. Pretty sweet. If you're. If you're Jack. If you're Denver.

[Damanze]

Denver pretty solid.

[Nick]

I think this is a touch low.

[Damanze]

Oh, okay. There we go. I was about to say, you probably want to get on it early this year. No, yeah, definitely low.

[Nick]

Listen, I. They brought everyone back. I like the waddle trade. The. You know, I. I can't change what matters for me because it's a player that I haven't believed in. I care a lot about how you look in the playoffs. And Bo Nix again. It was one playoff game, but he was awesome in that game, Absolutely awesome in that Bills game. And then he broke his ankle. I don't love the. Him and Sean Payton, little Cold war,

[Verizon Representative]

and

[Nick]

I don't love that. But the defense should be good. The offense should be fine. They won 14 last year, so they could go down by four wins and hit the over. So I think they're an over. Yeah, I really do. Next.

[Damanze]

Chiefs at 10 and a half, plus 100 on the over, minus 120 on the under.

[Nick]

All right. I must say, I adore, adore. Schedule games.

[Damanze]

Okay.

[Nick]

Yeah. The Colts, Bengals, Falcons. My. My goodness gracious. I. It's finally. You don't win the division and we end up with that. I'll take it. NFC west, obviously is tough, but. So the Chiefs next year have two games against the Raiders. They get the Colts, they get the Falcons, they get the jets, they get the Dolphins, they get the Cardinals. That's seven of their games. So if they go 6 and 1 against the bad teams to hit the over, can they go five and five against Denver, the Chargers, the Pats, the Niners, Bills, Rams, Seahawks, Bengals. Now Bills, Rams, Seahawks on the road. That's three very tough road games, no doubt about it. But the Chiefs are still the Chiefs and winning 11 games was the absolute floor every single year prior to last year. That's too low. They're still the best team in that division. That's an over for me.

[Damanze]

And plus 100 on the over.

[Nick]

Oh yeah, you can get a little right, you get a little bit of juice on or at least dead even money on the over. All right, let's go to the Raiders.

[Damanze]

Got the Raiders at five and a half, minus 110 on the over, minus 110 on the under.

[Nick]

Their strength to schedule games are Titans, Brown, Saints. They spent a ton of money this off season and Max Crosby's back, but they're going to be starting a rookie quarterback. So there's, you know, kind of a push and a pull there. This feels just right. But I would lean over, lean over, but probably would just stay away from it. All right, last one.

[Damanze]

Oh, we got the Chargers at 10 and a half. They're plus 1:15 on the over, minus

[Nick]

1:40 on the under for a non divisional winner. Their strength of schedule games are brutal. They play the fate that they play a second place schedule. And every team, every one of their strength of schedule games is the favorite to win the division. Houston, Baltimore, Tampa.

[Damanze]

Yep.

[Nick]

Right now I, I obviously said I'm, you know, I'm not a huge believer in Houston, but still that they are the favorite. This is a red hot under for me. This is way too, this is too high. I don't, I, I do not think the Chargers are going to be the team that America thinks they're going to be next year. And I do worry that this playoff game is going to linger for Herbert. I do worry about that. And I still don't know what receivers he's going to have to throw to. And so I like that The Chiefs are the favorites to win the division. Barely at plus 165. I like that. And so my, my four division, I have three favorites. Chiefs, Bills, Ravens and the Jags. It's a little chalky, but again, this time of year, supposed to be a little chalky. We'll see how the draft goes, see all of that. All right. It's fun to be back to three shows a week. Next week we'll prop. We'll either do a mailbag next week and the NFC totals the week after or vice versa. Hope everybody's enjoying the tournament. Hope your brackets aren't busted. A huge thank you to Boost and to Hard Rock bet. As always, huge thank you to Volume and Blue Duck. Talk to you guys next week.

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[Jennifer]

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[Damanze]

Guaranteed human.