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Get this.
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Podcast Host
They accept Discover at Renaissance Fairs?
Jennifer of Coolidge
Yeah, they do here. Discover is accepted at the places I love to shop. Get it with the times.
Nick Wright
With the times.
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Yeah, and it sounds pretty good, right?
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Julian Edelman
This is Julian Edelman from Dudes on Dudes with Gronk and Jewels. All right, real quick. Take a look at yourself right now.
Nick Wright
Why?
Daniel Cormier
What's wrong?
Julian Edelman
Nothing's wrong. You look like a guy running on three hours of sleep and vibes.
Podcast Guest
Okay, yeah, I'm tired, kind of cranky, and very thirsty.
Julian Edelman
Congrats. Those are some of the potential signs of mild dehydration. And I bet your last bathroom break showed you another sign your body might be throwing you a penalty flag.
Podcast Guest
So what's the play?
Julian Edelman
Call Liquid IV hydration multiplier. One stick in water helps hydrate faster than water alone.
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Okay, but where's the proof?
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Podcast Guest
Well, take a look at me now. Liquid IV is officially part of my daily hydration routine. Pass the firecracker. Popsicle flavor.
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Nick Wright
Welcome in episode 438 of what's Right with Nick Right this episode of what's Right With Nick Wright is presented to you as always by our great friends at Boost Mobile and a reminder to all of you if you would like. Rick Great. Subscribe Review the pod. It helps us out greatly. Damanze it is our now NFC way too early. We are not being tied or held to these takes over under show and maybe major news could change because maybe one of these teams is going to trade for Miles Garrett. There was the Browns did some interesting accounting in changing Garrett's contract in a way that doesn't really do anything other than make him more tradable from a salary cap perspective. That plus demons a who is the team that was like hey, you know, we should change the rules and allow teams to trade first round picks up to five years away. That team was right on the Cleveland Browns. So if I can, you know, impinge a bit on Wendy's trademark, why would they do that? Why would the Cleveland Browns one week say team should be able to trade picks in the 2030 draft and the next week rework Miles Garrett's deal just to make him more tradable? I don't know how'd I do on the Wendy so now he would go for more draft capital than any non quarterback ever. I think it would be three firsts Miles Garrett. I really do. Yeah I and maybe that would be too. Maybe that would be a bad deal.
Co-host or Analyst
Even with his eight. Like how old is Miles Garrett right now?
Nick Wright
He's I don't think as old as you think. I think 30 on the nose once again. Of course I'm right again, 30 on the nose. He's just so dominant. 34 and so well so here on
Co-host or Analyst
the scene I feel like, well, Russell
Nick Wright
Wilson went for that.
Co-host or Analyst
Okay.
Nick Wright
Sean Watson went for that. Now those were utter catastrophes.
Co-host or Analyst
Yeah.
Nick Wright
But when you consider the fact that you know he's coming off his best season ever and the team never has the lead and then you add and I say that because it's so hard to get sacks, you know, in lead and then you add to it if Max Crosby was worth a good first, the 14th pick plus another one, would Miles Garrett be worth three firsts? Particularly if the one that you know you have this year is not a great one, you know. So again, I don't think they Would do it. But would New England trade the 31st pick plus two more firsts? Dallas, keep in mind, has two first this year plus the worst first of them in Green Bay. Next year Green Bay gets the better of those two first round picks. Wait, what did. Hold on. Or no, I'm sorry. The jets get the better of Green Bay and Dallas's first round pick for the Quinn and Williams trade. So the. It's still. Dallas has the worst first of Green Bay and their own a year from now. But the jets get. The jets get it, not Green Bay. So I just. So just something noteworthy that obviously a lot of things can change. The draft changes a lot of stuff change where AJ Brown goes. If assuming he does go, all that could change. All right, so what are we doing here to Monze?
Co-host or Analyst
We are back with another round of too high, too low or just right this time with our NFC win totals. So yeah. So let's get into these lines presented to our friends or presented from our friends at Hard Rock. Bet. First off, we've got the NFC east and the Dallas Cowboys are set at eight and a half wins. It's minus 135 on the over, plus 110 on the under.
Nick Wright
So a little juice on the over. The cow. The. The whole NFC East. Their divisional matchups are the AFC south and NFC West. Not easy. AFC south again, I think median difficulty. NFC west very tough. Dallas's strength of schedule games, however, I think pretty unlucky. This is because they have the second place schedule to Monza, which means they draw Tampa instead of Carolina, Baltimore instead of Pittsburgh and Green Bay instead of Chicago. Now I think, I think Chicago is better than Green Bay, but you could argue those are the three toughest teams in those divisions. They draw them all with a second place schedule rather than a first place schedule. But I think this is too low. I think the Cowboys are, you know, are going to draft two defensive players in the first round. I think their offense is excellent. Eight and a half. I thought Schottenheimer did a good job last year and I don't think the rest of the division has a great team. Team in it.
Co-host or Analyst
Yeah.
Nick Wright
And so we'll talk more about Philly in a minute. And so I think this is too low. And Dallas right now is my preseason lean for divisional winner. I think Dallas wins 11 games, kind
Co-host or Analyst
of figuring themselves out. It kind of.
Nick Wright
Yeah. I don't think there's any awful team and I don't think there's any great team. I like Dallas in that spot.
Co-host or Analyst
All right, next, the Giants are set at 7 1/2 minus 110 on the over and minus 110 on the under.
Nick Wright
Yeah. So they have again still AFC south and AFC West. Their strength of schedule games Cleveland and New Orleans along with every last place team that's like wait, Detroit finished last, not Minnesota. You gotta be kidding me. So Cleveland, New Orleans though, that's good. You get, so you get a last place schedule. You go from the coaching issues they had to John Harbaugh. Hopefully Jackson darts a little more in control and Malik Neighbors coming back from the injury. All of that plus a top five draft pick. I think this win total is just right. Yeah, I think the Giants are, if it were six and a half I would say go over seven and a half. I think is just right. The fact that there's not juice on either side of it is, means, you know, they are right down the middle. This is a seven or an eight win team which would be an awesome year for the Giants. I know some people they might be a trendy worst to first pick Demonte for some I don't believe in the offensive infrastructure enough for that but I do like Harbaugh to bring a real organizational structure there. I think that's just right.
Co-host or Analyst
Next fair we got Philly, their win totals at 10 and a half plus 105 on the over, minus 125 on the under.
Nick Wright
So a little juice to the under. So they get the opposite of Dallas in that. They got, you know, they have the first play strength of schedule but it really seems easier than Dallas's second place strength of schedule. Their strength of schedule games are Pittsburgh, Carolina and Chicago. This is an under to me. I, I think Sirianni enters the year on the hottest seat of just about any coach in the league this side of Todd Bowles. I think because they're going to have to trade A.J. brown. I think they will after the draft. They're not going to get any benefit from that this year. They're going to get future draft capital. I think the aging and the, some of the uncertainty on the offensive line which has been such a huge position of strength for them, plus some of the players they lost defensively in free agency. I think this is a, you know, bit of a, we saw it throughout last year to a degree from Philly. I, you know, could they make the playoffs? Sure. Could they win 10 games and maybe win the division? Maybe. But I think this is an under. I think they are more likely to win nine games than they are to win 12 games. And so at 10 and a half I'll go with the under next.
Co-host or Analyst
A Commander is set at seven and a half wins, minus 110 on the over, minus 110 on the under.
Nick Wright
Their strength to schedule games are Cincinnati, Atlanta and Minnesota. They of course play their own division, plus the AFC south and AFC West. This is an under. I, I don't, I don't think they, despite trying to address it this offseason, have the defensive personnel. I don't know that they're going to be able to protect Jaden. I, you know, my concerns about Jaden's ability to make it through a full season are well established. So I've talked about it more, but I, I think we're going to look back on the Commander's run to the NFC title game as one of the more flukish things of the last decade. That year, remember, they had so many down with a minute to go victories and Mary hail Mary. And so now again, maybe that applies. Some of that concern might apply to the Bears when we get to them, but I don't know they I trust their offensive coaching as much as I trust the Bears. I think my preseason prediction would be the Commanders finish last in that division. I think it's Dallas, Philly, Giants commanders all kind of close, like 11 wins, 10 wins, 8 wins, 7 wins, something like that. But that's, that's my lean there. So there's the NFC East, Cowboys over eight and a half, Giants just right at seven and a half, Eagles under ten and a half, Commanders under seven and a half. Today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Demons. I already mentioned them. Hard Rock Bet, Florida's sportsbook. If your bracket's already busted, you're not alone. But don't worry, you can still call the next big upset and turn your picks into payday on Hard Rock BET all tournament long. Hard Rock Bet is rolling out daily dance and boosts featuring a live profit boost and a parlay profit boost every single single day. That's more ways to shoot your shot and cash in with boosted odds. And you know those heart stopping zero on the clock moments. Now they pay. Hard Rock Bet is giving out $25 bonus bets throughout the tournament if a team you bet to win or cover hits a buzzer beater. If you haven't joined Hard Rock Bet yet, now's the time to check in the game. New signups can double their winnings on their first 10 bets, max $50. That means if you would have won a hundred bucks on your bet, now it's 200. So don't sit on the bench. Download the Hard Rock Bet app today and let's get the party started. Payable and bonus bets Not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida. Offered by Seminole hard Rock Digital LLC in all other states. Must be 21 plus and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee or Virginia. To play play terms and conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida, call 1833 play wise in Indiana. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem wants help, call 1-800-9 with it gambling problem call 1-800- gambler Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia this is Daniel Cormier from
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Jennifer of Coolidge
Thy ticket lady, Jennifer of Coolidge. Well, many thanks, good sir. Here is my Discover card.
Podcast Host
They accept Discover at Renaissance fairs?
Jennifer of Coolidge
Yeah, they do. Here. Discover is accepted at the places I love to shop. Geth with the times.
Nick Wright
With the times.
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Nick Wright
All right Damanze, let's go to the NFC North.
Co-host or Analyst
First off we got the Bears at nine and a half wins. They are minus 105 on the over, minus 115 on the under.
Nick Wright
So they get this whole division gets I think the absolute best draw you can get as far as what division you play cross conference in your own conference. They get the AFC east and the NFC South. Now the Bears because they won their division. Their strength of schedule games though are Jacksonville, Philly, Seattle. So not easy. They are still though in my opinion a little disrespected by this number because it's the third highest in their own division. It's lower than Detroit and Green Bay's number. I think the Bears find a way to 10 wins. Caleb in year two with Ben Johnson, year three overall I don't mind them losing out on DJ Moore. They're, you know, they've the left tackle getting injured in the playoffs is tough for them. The center retiring is tough for them. So those are things they're going to have to deal with. And the defense, you know they, they spent some money on defense. They needed to because the defense was a little too turnover reliant. With that said, games against the jets, the Dolphins, the Saints, Carolina, Atlanta, Carolina, you know, is not an easy one. Plus you know two against Minnesota. I think they find their way to 10 wins. So I slightly right now this moment lean to the over.
Co-host or Analyst
Next Same Detroit Lions 10 and a half wins, minus 125 on the over plus 105 on the under.
Nick Wright
So their, their strength of schedule games are Titans, Giants, Cardinals. So I, I don't, I'm going to say this is just right because I worry about their offensive line deteriorating. I worry about how they finished the year. I still worry about them having a consistent pass rush outside of Hutchinson. However, games next year against home, games against New Orleans, the Jets, Tennessee and the Giants. Plus road games against Atlanta, Miami, Arizona. It's the that last place finish is really doing them a lot of favors there. So I'll say it's just right.
Co-host or Analyst
Next Green Bay packers set at 10 and a half wins plus 100 on the over, minus 120 on the under.
Nick Wright
Slight under their strength of schedule games in my opinion are real tough. Houston, Dallas and the Rams. I also don't we saw that what a different team they were without Micah. I don't know when Mike is going to be back. He will be back obviously but very different than Mahomes is ACL recovery where he's a quarterback and had surgery the next year. This is a pass rusher that relies on I'm sorry had surgery the next day. Mike is a pass rusher that had surgery weeks later. I just don't know that I expect him to be out there week one. So a slight under for Green Bay
Co-host or Analyst
Next Vikings are set at 8 1/2 plus 1:10 on the over, minus 1:35 on the under.
Nick Wright
Sorry Paul, I'm going under. Their strength to schedule games are Indy, Washington and San Francisco. I this is really a fade the public play even though there's juice on the under because people are way too high on Kyler Murray to the Vikings. It just bothers me how and it's really weird that they also signed Carson Wentz and It's like so JJ McCarthy is going to be third string. That's weird but I'm going under there. All right, let's go to The NFC South.
Co-host or Analyst
NFC South. We got the Falcons at seven and a half wins plus 105 on the over minus 125 on the under. Are you picking the division futures?
Nick Wright
Oh thank you. I appreciate that. So just real quick for the NFC I would lean lean getting plus 325. I think it's a coin flip Detroit and Chicago for the division and so the fact that I'm getting twice double the odds on Chicago as I would on Detroit. I'll take Chicago. So the at least right now. All right NFC NFC south they draw the AFC north and NFC North. Atlanta's third place strength of schedule games are Washington plus Kansas City and San Francisco. Bit of a bummer that that's your third place strength of schedule draw there. I will go with the under for the Falcons. I don't think to a tongue of Iloa all of a sudden is going to come save the day for Kevin Stefanski and the Falcons and I don't want to Spend much more time on it. This is wild what we're about to see here.
Co-host or Analyst
So we got the. The Saints at seven and a half.
Nick Wright
No, you skipped one.
Co-host or Analyst
Oh, my bad. Carolina Panthers. That's because I thought that was crazy. Six and a half wins minus 150 on the over, plus 125 on the under.
Nick Wright
Listen, I understand that their strength of schedule games are brutal. Denver, Seattle and Philly. But six and a half wins for a defending division champ that is returning its quarterback and coach is a slap in the face. I mean they Rams, I don't love it, but I will go with the over there. I mean six and now there's a lot of juice on it. Six and a half wins is insulting for a defending division champion.
Co-host or Analyst
All right, next you got the Saints at seven and a half wins, minus 120 on the over, minus 105 on the under.
Nick Wright
So the last place schedule for the Saints doing a lot of work here. Their strength of scheduled games in addition playing the afc, NFC North, Raiders, Cardinals, Giants. With that said, Raiders spent a lot of money. The Giants we just said we thought could be mediocre. I think the Saints are bad. I don't. It's Tyler Shuck. I, you know, I thought played well last year to his credit. But they're in the bit in the midst of ter pulling themselves out of the abyss. I don't think they get to eight wins. I will go under in New Orleans. And last one.
Co-host or Analyst
All right. We got Tampa at eight and a half wins minus 1:15 on the over, minus 105 on the under.
Nick Wright
Strength of schedule games, both LA teams, Chargers and Rams, plus Dallas. Can't quit Baker. I think they're going to win the division. I like them at +161. The Division I like. Todd Bowles knows this. You know it's go time in Atlanta for him. Baker also knows he ended last year disastrously and a Mecca Buca knows his final eight games were mortifying. No Mike Evans. So a book his role should, you know, enhance. I like their running game. Defense needs to be better. I think Tampa bounces back. The team I picked to go to the super bowl last year that then fell apart entirely. I will go with Tampa for the over. Before we get to the NFC west, let me remind you guys, Boost Mobile is proving you don't have to overpay for great wireless. Unlock the savings with the 25amonth forever unlimited plan, permanent price, no contracts, no price hikes. You can keep your phone and your number, but you save up to $600 a year compared to the major carriers. Stop overpaying and switch to a fair price@boost mobile.com today based on average annual single line payment of AT&T Verizon and T Mobile customers compared to 12 months on the Boost Unlimited Boost Mobile Unlimited plan as of January 2026. For full offer details, visit Boost Mobile.com all right, last division this is the
Co-host or Analyst
lowest win total we got The Cardinals at 4 1/2 wins plus 110 on the over, then minus 135 on the under.
Nick Wright
I think they're the lowest bad job by me. Tied with the Dolphins for the lowest. Okay, that's what I thought. Their quarterback depth chart right now reads Jacoby, Brissette, Gardner, Minshew, Keaton, Slovis which says to me they are ripe to be a team that takes a quarterback in the second or third round that has no business starting his rookie year and they start him I under the the I this whole division gets the AFC west which is brutal. NFC east not so bad. Their strength to schedule games are Jets, Lions and New Orleans. I think Arizona's got the makings of the worst team in their conference. I hate going under a win total that low, but I feel like they've got 06 in the division written so that two against the Rams, two against the Niners, two against Seattle, plus Denver and Philly at home. Dallas, Casey, the Chargers on the road. Their easiest games are Raiders, Jets. Oh wait, Detroit was one of their strength to schedule games. I missed that. So that's a home game. So they're easiest Jets, Raiders, Giants, Saints, I guess. Yeah, they could end up winning like
Co-host or Analyst
one game this year.
Nick Wright
I mean that's brutal. That's a brutal spot.
Co-host or Analyst
Next got The Rams at 10 and a half wins minus 160 on the over plus 130 on the under.
Nick Wright
If Stafford's healthy their position to be the best team in the league and I love the, you know they had one weakness last year secondary. They took the Chiefs two best corners and McDuffie and Jalen Watson. Their strength to schedule games are Bills, Green Bay and Tampa. So not easy but it still feels
Co-host or Analyst
like
Nick Wright
well I do but I, I have not read enough about that story. I've only really to be totally honest just seen the tweets and one picture. It's not great and I do wonder, I wonder if that's just enough for the Rams to remember we said he's going to get more than jsn. Yeah but he hasn't signed anything yet.
Co-host or Analyst
Right.
Nick Wright
So I, I, I Wonder what maybe
Co-host or Analyst
they can compromise with him a little
Nick Wright
bit on the I don't know but I still think they're a 13 win team. That's an over. Next.
Co-host or Analyst
Next we've got the 49ers. They're at 10 and a half wins plus 125 on the over, minus 150 on the under.
Nick Wright
Their strength to schedule games are Miami, Minnesota and Atlanta. So pretty nice. I'm going to say that's just right. I think that that is the respect for them. They're in a brutal division but I think that win total is just right. So I I'd stay away from it.
Co-host or Analyst
Next Seahawks at 10 and a half wins minus 1:35 on the over and plus 1:10 on the under.
Nick Wright
Their strength to schedule games are New England, Chicago, Carolina. Not brutal for a first place team. I actually think that's an over. So I'm going to I got two teams in that division with big win totals that I would go over on Seattle and the Rams and the Niners just right. I think Seattle can win 11 games this I don't think they go 1413 wins again, but I think they can win 11. However for the division, I like the Rams. The Rams are the slight division favorite. I think the rams are a 13 win team. Chip on their shoulder. Love their off season. All right, so a very quick recap if we can. Our overs are the we are going over Dallas 8 and a half over Chicago 9 and a half over Carolina 6 and a half over Tampa 8 and a half over the Rams 10 and a half over Seattle 10 and a half our unders were under Philly 10 and a half under Washington 7 and a half under Green Bay 10 and a half under Minnesota 8 and a half under Atlanta 7 and a half under the Saints 7 and a half under the Cardinals 4 and a half and our just rights were just right on the Giants seven and a half Detroit ten and a half. I don't think any there and the Niners ten and a half. I think that covers all of it. Again, reminder next week shows Wednesday, Thursday, Friday instead of Tuesday, Thursday, Friday. Huge thank you as always to Boost and Hard Rock and next week's Friday show is going to be a mailbag show. So keep sending in stuff either via Twitter to the what's Right show or wherever you want to send it. Like rate, subscribe, review. It helps us out. Thank you to Volume. Thank you to Blue Duck. Have a great weekend. Enjoy the tournament everybody.
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Podcast Host
Guaranteed human.
Hosted by Nick Wright with analyst Damanze
In this episode of "What's Wright," Nick Wright breaks down his “way-too-early” NFC win total predictions for the 2026 NFL season, analyzing over/under lines, divisional strengths, potential surprise trades, and organizational trajectories. The show follows a division-by-division approach, with a focus on value in betting lines and identifying which teams are disrespected (notably the Bears), and who might win each NFC division. Wright is clear that these predictions are not set in stone—acknowledging the volatility of the NFL offseason before the draft.
[21:58] Strong under—Wright feels bettors are too high on potential QB upgrades.
Division Futures: “I think it’s a coin flip Detroit and Chicago for the division…the fact that I’m getting double the odds on Chicago as I would on Detroit, I’ll take Chicago.” (Nick Wright, 22:50)
[30:04] Over—expects them to win 11 games; likes their schedule for a first-place team.
Divisional Winner: “For the division, I like the Rams. The Rams are the slight division favorite. I think the Rams are a 13-win team.” (Nick Wright, 30:26)
(As summarized by Nick Wright at [31:44])
Overs:
Unders:
Just Right:
Nick Wright delivers his takes with characteristic confidence, analytical depth, and a touch of humor—often referencing specific NFL storylines and speaking directly to fans (“I know some people might be a trendy worst to first pick…”). The dialogue with Damanze maintains a conversational, accessible style, peppered with insider insights and betting wisdom.
This summary provides a comprehensive overview of the predictions, rationale, and key takeaways for each NFC division entering the 2026 NFL season. Nick Wright’s analysis, matched with specific team situations and quotes, offers actionable insights for fans and sports bettors alike.