The Herd with Colin Cowherd

Episode: What’s Wright – Nick Wright’s 2025 NFL PREDICTIONS, Win Total OVERS/UNDERS + SLEEPER Picks

Date: August 27, 2025
Host: Nick Wright
Producer/Sidekick: Devin

Episode Overview

This annual episode sees Nick Wright break down his 2025 NFL win total predictions and sleeper picks for every AFC team, diving into overs, unders, and the logic behind each call. The first half of the show features insights into Browns QB controversies, sports conspiracy discourse, and the Cowboys’ drama. Nick and Devin then launch into a division-by-division preview, revealing which teams they're backing, major bets, and the context behind each choice.

“This is one of my favorite shows of the year. It's our full... all 32 over/unders.” – Nick Wright [02:12]

Opening Banter & Personal Updates

[02:08 – 09:12]

Nick opens with stories from his European vacation (Switzerland, Italy, France, Monaco), noting his anonymity abroad, poker adventures, and meeting longtime viewers from Slovenia.
He performs an unboxing of a personal invitation to "1587 Prime," a steakhouse by Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce in Kansas City, including a signed football from both players.
Tone: Playful, rambling, off-the-cuff, fans will recognize Nick’s unfiltered delivery and comic asides.

Lead-in to Main Content

[09:12 – 12:17]

NFL Quick Hits

Shouts out to Terry McLaurin for a new contract (3 years, $96M) and Trey Hendrickson for a $14M bump:

“Trey Hendrickson didn’t get an extension… but he did get… an extra $14 million. And he’s like, OK, deal!” – Nick Wright [09:23]
Brief sidetrack into celebrity news: Justin Herbert dating singer Madison Beer, with both Nick and Devin comically unsure why she’s famous:

“I have no idea who Madison Beer is. None.” – Nick Wright [10:41]

Feature Topic: Browns QB Controversy & The Outrage Machine

[12:17 – 30:41]

Browns Quarterback Competition

[16:34 – 30:41]

Shedeur Sanders’ poor final preseason cemented his position as Cleveland’s 3rd-string QB. Nick delivers a “sober analysis,” dispelling fan theories that Sanders was set up to fail.
Detailed breakdown of QB politics: Head coach vs. owner preference, why practice and preseason performance are what matter, and why Shedeur’s struggles are not a conspiracy but “life in the NFL as a late round draft pick.”
Nick’s wider commentary critiques sports discourse in the social media era, drawing a parallel to Flat Earth believers:

“The Shador Sanders commentary to me is a case study in what is currently ailing so much of our discourse... either totally uninformed actors or outright bad actors… create engagement and controversy.” – Nick Wright [18:42]
On conspiracy logic:

“Most conspiracies fall apart at the first or second question. And you just asked the first question: Wait, why again? Explain it to me.” – Nick Wright [30:41]

Memorable Moment

Nick’s “Flat Earth documentary” analogy: How people cling to priors even after direct proof they’re wrong [27:18 – 29:00].

Quick Cowboys/Chiefs Segment

[38:06 – 44:26]

Cowboys drama: Micah Parsons’ unsigned extension, Jerry Jones breaking negotiation protocol (“He’s not allowed to negotiate directly with Parsons. He knows that. He does not care.” – Nick Wright [38:45]).
Chiefs’ “disrespected” narrative: Nick connects pundit talk about AFC contenders to their underlying respect for the Chiefs:

“You all are claiming you think Buffalo or Baltimore are better, but then you’re also saying they might need to add the league’s best defensive player to get over the hump. What’s the hump? We’re talking about the Chiefs.” – Nick Wright [38:32]

2025 AFC Win Total Preview

[44:26 – 81:46]

Intro to Gambling Segment

[44:26 – 48:05]

Recap of past prediction records (Nick: 6-2 on official bets, 20-12 overall; Devin crushed preseason bets).
Will give every pick, but only 10 are official "bets".

Division-by-Division Predictions (AFC)

AFC EAST

[48:06 – 52:16]

Bills (12.5): Slight under. “I feel like the Bills are a 12-5 team. I don’t think they’re getting to 13 wins.” – Nick Wright [48:14]
Dolphins (7.5): Slight under. “Vibes... seem to be wretched.” – Nick [48:43]
Patriots (8.5): Over. “I believe in Mike Vrabel... Drake May will be better than he was last year.” – Nick [50:12]
Jets (6.5): Under. “All the reports out of Jets training camp are that offense is in real, real trouble.” – Nick [50:51]
No official bets in the AFC East.

AFC NORTH

[52:17 – 59:00]

Ravens (11.5): Over (lean). “You can’t pick a Ravens under... would shock me if this team goes 10-7.” – Nick [52:38]
Bengals (9.5): Under (BET, -115). “I think the Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year... Zach Taylor’s last year.” – Nick [54:36]
Browns (4.5): Over (lean). “Four and a half wins? I’ve got to go over four and a half.” – Nick [57:24]
Steelers (8.5): Under (lean). “I think that we have Mike Tomlin’s first losing season... at this point.” – Nick [59:00]

AFC SOUTH

[67:00 – 74:00]

Texans (9.5): Slight over. “I like, don’t love, the quarterback. I really like the coach. I love the defense.” – Nick [67:30]
Colts (7.5): Under (BET). “This is a bet that I love... I am taking the under on the Colts.” – Nick [69:44]
Jags (7.5): Over (BET). “Oh my god. I love it. I love it so much. Better coach... real commitment this offseason.” – Nick [72:30]
Titans (6.5): Slight under. “Feels like a 6-11 season would be a step in the right direction... still an under.” – Nick [73:58]

AFC WEST

[74:00 – 81:46]

Broncos (9.5): Under (BET). “Everyone loves the Broncos this year but me. I am here saying: I expect a significant downswing.” – Nick [77:46]
Chiefs (11.5): Over (BET). “Chiefs over. It is the right bet... Easy one. I expect 13-4 or better.” – Nick [78:41]
Raiders (6.5): Over (BET). “I believe in the Raiders... think they can do better than seven wins.” – Nick [79:36]
Chargers (9.5): Slight under. “I think they probably go 9-8 and just miss out on the playoffs.” – Nick [80:13]

AFC Official Bets (Recap)

Bengals UNDER 9.5
Colts UNDER 7.5
Jags OVER 7.5
Broncos UNDER 9.5
Chiefs OVER 11.5
Raiders OVER 6.5

Notable Quotes & Moments

“This is a case study in what is currently ailing so much of our discourse... either totally uninformed actors or outright bad actors…” – Nick Wright [18:42]
“Most conspiracies fall apart at the first or second question. And you just asked the first question: Wait, why again? Explain it to me.” – Nick Wright [30:41]
On the AFC: “Through two divisions, I only have one bet. The bet is Bengals under nine and a half, but I am also skewing towards unders.” – Nick [59:33]
On being the Chiefs: “Chiefs over. It is the right bet... Easy one. I expect 13-4 or better.” – Nick [78:41]
On the show format: “In the least shocking news ever, we are only going to do the AFC today because we're not going to get through 32 teams in 30 minutes.” – Nick [59:37]

Timestamps: Key Segments

[02:08] – European trip stories, UFC invite unboxing
[09:12] – Show transitions to football (contracts, quick news)
[16:34] – Browns QB controversy: Shedeur Sanders analysis
[18:42] – The problem with conspiracy-driven sports talk
[30:41] – Nick debunks conspiratorial logic in NFL coverage
[38:06] – Micah Parsons’ Dallas holdout/Jerry Jones drama
[44:26] – Introducing gambling segment and picks approach
[48:06] – AFC East win totals/lean breakdowns
[52:17] – AFC North (bets begin)
[67:00] – AFC South win totals and bets
[74:00] – AFC West win totals and bets
[78:41] – Chiefs over: Nick’s annual sure-bet
[81:46] – Episode wrap, preview of Thursday’s NFC show

Style & Tone

Unfiltered, witty, sometimes meandering, with plenty of “inside joke” banter between Nick and Devin.
Nick leans hard into self-awareness, often referencing past predictions, show format failures, and his own logic.

Final Thoughts

This episode sets the stage for the 2025 NFL season, with Nick Wright applying his analytics-driven (and sometimes gut-feeling-based) approach to divisional win totals, while also ranting against the ills of sports controversy discourse and celebrating the cyclical fun of football gambling. Thursday’s follow-up will cover NFC picks and playoff/super bowl bets.

If you want Nick’s AFC bets for the season:

Bengals UNDER 9.5
Colts UNDER 7.5
Jags OVER 7.5
Broncos UNDER 9.5
Chiefs OVER 11.5
Raiders OVER 6.5

Quote to sum up the show:

“This is one of my favorite shows of the year… all 32 over/unders… We can’t have it be five hours long. So there’s a lot going on.” – Nick Wright [02:12]

The Herd with Colin Cowherd

Episode: What’s Wright – Nick Wright’s 2025 NFL PREDICTIONS, Win Total OVERS/UNDERS + SLEEPER Picks

Date: August 27, 2025
Host: Nick Wright
Producer/Sidekick: Devin

Episode Overview

“This is one of my favorite shows of the year. It's our full... all 32 over/unders.” – Nick Wright [02:12]

Opening Banter & Personal Updates

[02:08 – 09:12]

Nick opens with stories from his European vacation (Switzerland, Italy, France, Monaco), noting his anonymity abroad, poker adventures, and meeting longtime viewers from Slovenia.
He performs an unboxing of a personal invitation to "1587 Prime," a steakhouse by Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce in Kansas City, including a signed football from both players.
Tone: Playful, rambling, off-the-cuff, fans will recognize Nick’s unfiltered delivery and comic asides.

Lead-in to Main Content

[09:12 – 12:17]

NFL Quick Hits

Shouts out to Terry McLaurin for a new contract (3 years, $96M) and Trey Hendrickson for a $14M bump:

“Trey Hendrickson didn’t get an extension… but he did get… an extra $14 million. And he’s like, OK, deal!” – Nick Wright [09:23]
Brief sidetrack into celebrity news: Justin Herbert dating singer Madison Beer, with both Nick and Devin comically unsure why she’s famous:

“I have no idea who Madison Beer is. None.” – Nick Wright [10:41]

Feature Topic: Browns QB Controversy & The Outrage Machine

[12:17 – 30:41]

Browns Quarterback Competition

[16:34 – 30:41]

Shedeur Sanders’ poor final preseason cemented his position as Cleveland’s 3rd-string QB. Nick delivers a “sober analysis,” dispelling fan theories that Sanders was set up to fail.
Detailed breakdown of QB politics: Head coach vs. owner preference, why practice and preseason performance are what matter, and why Shedeur’s struggles are not a conspiracy but “life in the NFL as a late round draft pick.”
Nick’s wider commentary critiques sports discourse in the social media era, drawing a parallel to Flat Earth believers:

“The Shador Sanders commentary to me is a case study in what is currently ailing so much of our discourse... either totally uninformed actors or outright bad actors… create engagement and controversy.” – Nick Wright [18:42]
On conspiracy logic:

“Most conspiracies fall apart at the first or second question. And you just asked the first question: Wait, why again? Explain it to me.” – Nick Wright [30:41]

Memorable Moment

Nick’s “Flat Earth documentary” analogy: How people cling to priors even after direct proof they’re wrong [27:18 – 29:00].

Quick Cowboys/Chiefs Segment

[38:06 – 44:26]

Cowboys drama: Micah Parsons’ unsigned extension, Jerry Jones breaking negotiation protocol (“He’s not allowed to negotiate directly with Parsons. He knows that. He does not care.” – Nick Wright [38:45]).
Chiefs’ “disrespected” narrative: Nick connects pundit talk about AFC contenders to their underlying respect for the Chiefs:

“You all are claiming you think Buffalo or Baltimore are better, but then you’re also saying they might need to add the league’s best defensive player to get over the hump. What’s the hump? We’re talking about the Chiefs.” – Nick Wright [38:32]

2025 AFC Win Total Preview

[44:26 – 81:46]

Intro to Gambling Segment

[44:26 – 48:05]

Recap of past prediction records (Nick: 6-2 on official bets, 20-12 overall; Devin crushed preseason bets).
Will give every pick, but only 10 are official "bets".

Division-by-Division Predictions (AFC)

AFC EAST

[48:06 – 52:16]

Bills (12.5): Slight under. “I feel like the Bills are a 12-5 team. I don’t think they’re getting to 13 wins.” – Nick Wright [48:14]
Dolphins (7.5): Slight under. “Vibes... seem to be wretched.” – Nick [48:43]
Patriots (8.5): Over. “I believe in Mike Vrabel... Drake May will be better than he was last year.” – Nick [50:12]
Jets (6.5): Under. “All the reports out of Jets training camp are that offense is in real, real trouble.” – Nick [50:51]
No official bets in the AFC East.

AFC NORTH

[52:17 – 59:00]

Ravens (11.5): Over (lean). “You can’t pick a Ravens under... would shock me if this team goes 10-7.” – Nick [52:38]
Bengals (9.5): Under (BET, -115). “I think the Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year... Zach Taylor’s last year.” – Nick [54:36]
Browns (4.5): Over (lean). “Four and a half wins? I’ve got to go over four and a half.” – Nick [57:24]
Steelers (8.5): Under (lean). “I think that we have Mike Tomlin’s first losing season... at this point.” – Nick [59:00]

AFC SOUTH

[67:00 – 74:00]

Texans (9.5): Slight over. “I like, don’t love, the quarterback. I really like the coach. I love the defense.” – Nick [67:30]
Colts (7.5): Under (BET). “This is a bet that I love... I am taking the under on the Colts.” – Nick [69:44]
Jags (7.5): Over (BET). “Oh my god. I love it. I love it so much. Better coach... real commitment this offseason.” – Nick [72:30]
Titans (6.5): Slight under. “Feels like a 6-11 season would be a step in the right direction... still an under.” – Nick [73:58]

AFC WEST

[74:00 – 81:46]

Broncos (9.5): Under (BET). “Everyone loves the Broncos this year but me. I am here saying: I expect a significant downswing.” – Nick [77:46]
Chiefs (11.5): Over (BET). “Chiefs over. It is the right bet... Easy one. I expect 13-4 or better.” – Nick [78:41]
Raiders (6.5): Over (BET). “I believe in the Raiders... think they can do better than seven wins.” – Nick [79:36]
Chargers (9.5): Slight under. “I think they probably go 9-8 and just miss out on the playoffs.” – Nick [80:13]

AFC Official Bets (Recap)

Bengals UNDER 9.5
Colts UNDER 7.5
Jags OVER 7.5
Broncos UNDER 9.5
Chiefs OVER 11.5
Raiders OVER 6.5

Notable Quotes & Moments

“This is a case study in what is currently ailing so much of our discourse... either totally uninformed actors or outright bad actors…” – Nick Wright [18:42]
“Most conspiracies fall apart at the first or second question. And you just asked the first question: Wait, why again? Explain it to me.” – Nick Wright [30:41]
On the AFC: “Through two divisions, I only have one bet. The bet is Bengals under nine and a half, but I am also skewing towards unders.” – Nick [59:33]
On being the Chiefs: “Chiefs over. It is the right bet... Easy one. I expect 13-4 or better.” – Nick [78:41]
On the show format: “In the least shocking news ever, we are only going to do the AFC today because we're not going to get through 32 teams in 30 minutes.” – Nick [59:37]

Timestamps: Key Segments

[02:08] – European trip stories, UFC invite unboxing
[09:12] – Show transitions to football (contracts, quick news)
[16:34] – Browns QB controversy: Shedeur Sanders analysis
[18:42] – The problem with conspiracy-driven sports talk
[30:41] – Nick debunks conspiratorial logic in NFL coverage
[38:06] – Micah Parsons’ Dallas holdout/Jerry Jones drama
[44:26] – Introducing gambling segment and picks approach
[48:06] – AFC East win totals/lean breakdowns
[52:17] – AFC North (bets begin)
[67:00] – AFC South win totals and bets
[74:00] – AFC West win totals and bets
[78:41] – Chiefs over: Nick’s annual sure-bet
[81:46] – Episode wrap, preview of Thursday’s NFC show

Style & Tone

Unfiltered, witty, sometimes meandering, with plenty of “inside joke” banter between Nick and Devin.
Nick leans hard into self-awareness, often referencing past predictions, show format failures, and his own logic.

Final Thoughts

If you want Nick’s AFC bets for the season:

Bengals UNDER 9.5
Colts UNDER 7.5
Jags OVER 7.5
Broncos UNDER 9.5
Chiefs OVER 11.5
Raiders OVER 6.5

Quote to sum up the show:

“This is one of my favorite shows of the year… all 32 over/unders… We can’t have it be five hours long. So there’s a lot going on.” – Nick Wright [02:12]

What's Wright - Nick Wright’s 2025 NFL PREDICTIONS, win total OVERS/UNDERS + SLEEPER picks

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Summary

The Herd with Colin Cowherd

Episode: What’s Wright – Nick Wright’s 2025 NFL PREDICTIONS, Win Total OVERS/UNDERS + SLEEPER Picks

Date: August 27, 2025 Host: Nick Wright Producer/Sidekick: Devin

Episode Overview

Opening Banter & Personal Updates

Lead-in to Main Content

NFL Quick Hits

Feature Topic: Browns QB Controversy & The Outrage Machine

Browns Quarterback Competition

Memorable Moment

Quick Cowboys/Chiefs Segment

2025 AFC Win Total Preview

Intro to Gambling Segment

Division-by-Division Predictions (AFC)

AFC EAST

AFC NORTH

AFC SOUTH

AFC WEST

AFC Official Bets (Recap)

Notable Quotes & Moments

Timestamps: Key Segments

Style & Tone

Final Thoughts

Summary

The Herd with Colin Cowherd

Episode: What’s Wright – Nick Wright’s 2025 NFL PREDICTIONS, Win Total OVERS/UNDERS + SLEEPER Picks

Date: August 27, 2025 Host: Nick Wright Producer/Sidekick: Devin

Episode Overview

Opening Banter & Personal Updates

Lead-in to Main Content

NFL Quick Hits

Feature Topic: Browns QB Controversy & The Outrage Machine

Browns Quarterback Competition

Memorable Moment

Quick Cowboys/Chiefs Segment

2025 AFC Win Total Preview

Intro to Gambling Segment

Division-by-Division Predictions (AFC)

AFC EAST

AFC NORTH

AFC SOUTH

AFC WEST

AFC Official Bets (Recap)

Notable Quotes & Moments

Timestamps: Key Segments

Style & Tone

Final Thoughts

Date: August 27, 2025
Host: Nick Wright
Producer/Sidekick: Devin

Date: August 27, 2025
Host: Nick Wright
Producer/Sidekick: Devin