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The Herd with Colin Cowherd
What’s Wright - Nick Wright’s NFL Playoff PREDICTIONS, NFC win totals + Rashee Rice suspension
00:59:03
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- [00:00]
Sarah Spain
This is an iHeart podcast.
- [00:05]
Buzz Knight
Hi, I'm Buzz Knight, the host of the Taking a Walk podcast. And join me for an upcoming episode with Seth MacFarlane, the creator of Family Guy, talking about his new Frank Sinatra music project.
- [00:16]
Charlie Pinion
Anyone who loves music would salivate over something like this. The biggest question for us was, what's in these boxes? Really, the most thrilling part was hiring an orchestra and just playing what was in these boxes.
- [00:28]
Buzz Knight
Listen to Taking a walk on the iHeartRadio app, Apple PODC, or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [00:35]
Sarah Spain
Get fired up, y'.
- [00:36]
Manny
All.
- [00:36]
Sarah Spain
Season 2 of Good Game with Sarah Spain is underway. We just welcomed one of my favorite people, an incomparable soccer icon Megan Rapinoe, to the show and we had a blast. Take a listen. Sue and I were like riding the lime bikes the other day and we're.
- [00:51]
Nick Wright
Like, wee people ride bikes because it's fun.
- [00:56]
Sarah Spain
We got more incredible guests like Megan in store, plus news of the day and more. So make sure you listen to Good Game with Sarah Spain on the iHeartRadio Apple Apple podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Brought to you by Novartis, founding partner of iHeart Women's Sports Network.
- [01:11]
Jake Hofer
I'm Jake Hofer and this is Back 40, a limited series show on Wire to Hunt, part of Meat Eaters Podcast Network. Each episode I'll be asking eight whitetail hunting pros a focused, thought provoking question about hunting and land management. How do I hunt the best part of the farm with less than ideal access?
- [01:30]
Nick Wright
Should you?
- [01:30]
Damanza
That's what the real question is.
- [01:32]
Nick Wright
Stand without good access is not a good stand.
- [01:35]
Jake Hofer
Listen to Back 40 on iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast, or wherever you get your podcast.
- [01:41]
Manny
Why are TSA rules so confusing?
- [01:44]
Nick Wright
You gotta hoodie on? Take it all.
- [01:46]
Manny
I'm Manny.
- [01:47]
Nick Wright
I'm Noah, this is Devin, and we're.
- [01:49]
Manny
Best friends and journalists with a new podcast called no Such Thing, where we get to the bottom of questions like that.
- [01:55]
Greg Rosenthal
Why are you screaming at me?
- [01:56]
Manny
I can't expect what to do now. If the rule was the same, go off on me. I deserve it, you know, Lock him up. Listen to no Such thing on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [02:08]
Nick Wright
No such thing. Welcome in episode 360 of what's Right with Nick Wright. And as always, these episodes are brought to you by our friends at Boost mobile. Damanze part two of the gambling show. There might be a part three. This has to be a tight 60. We did the AFC over unders on Tuesday today we do the NFC over unders, the make miss the playoffs, division winners and then we will see if we will do our super bowl exacto. Which while we've never won it three year two years ago we were no three years ago we were potentially oddly a Brock Purdy injury away from getting oh yeah, we had Chiefs over Niners three years ago and the Niners were in the NFC Championship Game. Two years ago we had Chiefs over Cowboys, which was closer than we remember it to be. The Cowboys won 12 games that year. They had a home playoff game and then Jordan Love came into Dallas State Texas Stadium and walked the dog on them. Last year we were, you know, halfway there. We had Chiefs over Bears and so we will see what it is this year. What we forgot about at the end of last season is the Damanz's five preseason bets crushed. We will recap those and give you his five preseason bets today as well. So all of that's coming up. The reason this has to be a tight 60 little cross pod promotion I'm going on Greg Rosenthal's NFL Daily right after this show doing it's perfect for predictions week on the TV show our gambling shows here. This is what we're Greg and I are doing demonte an over unders draft where like he picks so if I have the number one pick I take Chiefs over 11 and a half wins he then can't take that team and we do it like that. So that'll be fun. All that coming up. Not gonna have time for that. I don't know how I have no I don't know. To be totally honest, I rarely do a pod after the podcast but Greg does such a good job and I like doing stuff with the NFL folks so I'm doing it. Also by the way, speaking of pods like rate, subscribe, review, cross promote, do all that we don't get as many ratings on itunes and Spotify as maybe it would be helpful to get. The reviews are nice, but I understand that actually you have to type things out. Who likes to do that? Just click the little five stars. We'd appreciate that. Follow us on YouTube we will now get to things we're not going to get to, except we're briefly going to get to them Demons. A straight to voicemail brought to you by our friends at Boost Mobile. Rasheed Rice suspended for six games. More on that in a moment. Travis and Taylor engaged. More on that in a moment. And Tennis Corner U.S. open update. More on that next week. I was there last night. Saw saw Holger Rune go down from the second row he was. I went to Alcaraz. Alcaraz at ash Alcaraz won in straight sets. I then went over to. We were. I could tell it was going to be a five set masterpiece between this big German fella and Holger Rune. And so we went there sniped some really good seats at Old Court 17. Was there till 11. Great. There's the US Open update. Rasheed Rice suspended six games. Fair resolution. I had said I liked when it was going to be delayed. Other people made the point it'd be better to get it out of the way early. That's kind of a tomato tomato thing depending on how you see it. The reason I want to mention it is because like all great conspiracy theories, the moment it is disproven people act like it wasn't ever a conspiracy theory. The league's rigging it to help the Chiefs. The other rated the the ratings no one's gonna watch Chiefs Eagles in week two if Rasheed Rice isn't playing. That's why he's not suspended. Oh wait. The real news is the league wanted to spend him 10 to 12 games and now he is missing the first six games. All right, we'll just move on to the next thing. Much like Travis and Taylor is a work it's a publicity stunt. I don't give him three months. They're now about to become America's, you know, basically America's royalty and people will be like I never had that take. We need take accountability in this world Damon say that's all I'm asking for. I have to own all my how you. How long do you think I'm going to be reminded I picked the Bears to go to the super bowl and put Caleb on Mahomes Mountain for the rest of my life? They just be. Listen nothing no problem with a spicy take. Just be accountable for it all right like rate, subscribe, review do all that quick recap demand of our AFC over unders and as always all lines and odds courtesy of draftkings. Here is how we ended up. You want to roll through it for the audience the three we real quick before you do go back and listen Tuesday's show I gave you all 16 picks but we only made six bets. The overs were what damanze for the.
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Damanza
Overs we've got Jags at seven and a half at minus 1 25. Kansas City over 11 and a half plus 100. Vegas six and a half at minus 145. For the unders we've got Cincinnati nine and a half at minus 1 15. Indianapolis seven and a half minus 1 30. Then Denver nine and a half at plus 1 10.
- [08:03]
Nick Wright
Nice little plus money on that one. I think aside from the Chiefs, my favorite one is actually the Colts. I just think the Colts are going to be bad. Bad. Maybe I'm wrong. Shane Steichen has, you know, been. He's found ways to win with that team. I think they're going to be bad. All right, let's get right to it. NFC east starting with formerly America's team, the Dallas Cowboys.
- [08:27]
Damanza
Damon, you got the Cowboys over, under and you're taking the eight and a half on the under.
- [08:34]
Nick Wright
Yes, at minus 1:45. And this is a bet that I am actually making. I am not as confident as everyone else that Micah is going to be there week one or week two. I think Micah going to get this second opinion on his back is upping the ante a bit on how far he is willing to take this. All he needs is to find the right doctor that will be like oh yeah I do see. Yeah, that is a little concerning. And then Micah can sit for indefinitely and keep getting paid and hold out without paying the penalty of holding out. And the problem is even with Micah, I am not a believer in the Cowboys this year. I'm. I'm not certain they're going to have as quality of an offensive line as Dak is used to. Listen, I like Tyler Booker, their rookie first round pick. Still a rookie play, you know, starter from day one. I don't think that the George Pickens trade is going to pay the dividend. Some people think it's going to pay. I don't like their running game and their defense with Micah is mediocre. Without Micah is going to be disastrous. The Cowboys under 8 and a half wins and I didn't love the Schottenheimer higher at coach. Cowboys under 8 and a half wins to me is not only where I'm going with that but one of the NFC bets we will make. You then have the Giants demand say with your guy Russell Wilson at a meager five and a half wins. Now rude minus 130 on the over is is what it is now the Giants opening schedule, if I may pull it up real quick is is not exactly the way most teams would want to start a season, I must admit. They go Commanders, Cowboys, Chiefs and then Chargers. Sorry Commanders, Cowboys, Chiefs, Chargers. You then get a nice little respite with the Eagles or I'm sorry with the Saints and then you face the Eagles and then, then at the Broncos, then the Eagles again. So those opening eight games, I think that, you know, they can beat the Cowboys, they obviously should beat the Saints, but they're both on the road. I don't love the start of the schedule. However, they should have better quarterback play this year. Demand a whether it's Russ or whether it's Jackson dart, I think they might have the best front four in football. I think Abdul Carter will be an instant impact player and Brian Dable is desperate so late in the year there won't be any like oh, you know, let's, you know, let's tank for draft position. If they're sitting at 5 and 10, he is going to want every single win imaginable. That paired with the fact that I'm bearish on the Cowboys and a little bearish on compared to the public on two of their games that other people are chalking up as losses, Broncos and the Niners. I will this is not a bet, but I will go over with the New York Giants. You just have to get to six wins. The reason I can't make it a bet is because I, I'm not a Russell Wilson guy and if they bench him then they're going to a rookie second or you know, a rook. Not second round pick, rookie late, first round pick who even if he ends up being good, it's still a rookie quarterback starting, you know, in year one. And so I will go over for the New York Giants. I feel like that's one you like, am I correct?
- [12:29]
Damanza
It's. It's a low win total. I like that. I mean I believe in Russ a little bit more than you do. You can get six wins. They can pull together six.
- [12:37]
Nick Wright
And the, the, the worry, the way it hits the under is that because of that tough early schedule they pull the ripcord on Russ early. They go to the rookie and the rookie's not yet ready. But that D line should be worth four wins by itself. Can the def. Can the offense find you at least two wins with Malik neighbors? I think so. All right, Eagles over unders at 11 and a half. Juice has changed on this. You're now getting plus money on the over minus 150 on the under. This also is not a bet demanze because I think 11 wins is where it lands. But my If I think 11 wins is where it lands, that means I'm going under and so I will take the Eagles under. I again, I am not, I am not trying to argue with Philly fans and Philly fans Honest to God public service announcement. And I'm a pretty and demonte. I'd like you to back me up on this, if you would let me get this correct. I'm pretty affable in public. Like, people come. Have you ever. And I'm not acting like I'm some big star or anything, but people ask for pictures or for a moment or whatever. Have you ever once seen me say no ever? Once?
- [13:59]
Damanza
No, honestly, I haven't.
- [14:01]
Nick Wright
I don't think so. Never once. I. I might start under very specific circumstances. The next fucking person that comes up to me and says, hey, Nick, blah, blah, blah, can I have a picture? And I say, yeah, of course. How are you doing? And then as they are getting ready to take the picture, they. They say something about the Eagles Super Bowl. I'm going to. I happened twice at the US Open. One guy last night. One guy, including being like, the Eagles are going to repeat and the Sixers are going to win it. And now I'm like. I don't even know which of these things to respond to. Like, I like the Sixers. My buddy runs the team. But that's a terrible take. And like, I mean it just.
- [14:53]
Damanza
So you're saying they're playing it cool at first. They're like, hey, Nick, right? Like, yeah. Comes out. They're like, yeah, by the way.
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Nick Wright
And occasionally, occasionally demons. A. They asked for a picture. They slide the thumb over to video and then start talking.
- [15:12]
Damanza
Yeah, that's annoying. That's. That's annoying.
- [15:14]
Nick Wright
Just trying to have a honey deuce. Watch some. A German play a Dane in tennis. Leave me alone.
- [15:20]
Damanza
Hey, man, get the guy's moment now.
- [15:23]
Nick Wright
Again, exception exists when I go to Philly to gamble. If I go to Philly, I'm setting myself up to get. That's fine, but we're on a neutral site, you know what I mean? It happened in sport too. Tennis. And it happened a group of women. I told you this at. In Monaco. That one of them. I didn't tell you this.
- [15:49]
Damanza
I don't think I heard this.
- [15:50]
Nick Wright
Women confronted me about my Jalen hurts opinion at the casino in Monaco. Really? One woman with her two friends. And that's. And the friends apologized. And then that same woman talked a little trash to your mom.
- [16:06]
Damanza
Dude. Jalen hurts. Got boots on the ground everywhere.
- [16:09]
Nick Wright
Boots on the ground, bro. I gotta keep my head on a swivel. With that said, I'll take the under. Very, very tough schedule. I think that the defensive losses. Danny mentioned this on the TV show. They lost like 4400 snaps from last year's team to this year's team, the majority of which on defense, in, you know, free agency and retirement, all that stuff. I think they'll be really good. I don't think they're going to be 12 or 13 wins. Good. I'll take the under. Which leaves us with the Commanders over under at nine and a half, even money. This might surprise you. I'm going over.
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Damanza
Yeah.
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Nick Wright
The reason I thought it might surprise you is because I have been cast as a jaden skeptic. I am not a jaden skeptic. I am a skinny quarterback skeptic. There is a difference. Now he is a skinny quarterback, which is, you know, SAT question style. If this therefore that. I guess that does make me a jaden skeptic. But yeah, logic, exactly. But I. It is not about his ability. And I like the fact that they invested in the offensive line, which was a problem. I like the DK Metcalf. I'm sorry, the Debo Samuel trade. And I also like the fact that, that they're like, you know what? We can't fix the defense, you know, in one draft. So what if we patchwork it with some veteran free agents for the time being and try to build it up. So I like the Commanders over nine and a half. I do think they go back to the playoffs. I think that they in Philly, this is, this is where picking division winners like I did on the TV shows, a little weird. I in my math on this, I had the commanders and the Eagles both finishing 11 and 6 and splitting the season series and both going 4 and 2 in the division. So I then determined like, am I really going to figure out on my fake 272 game grid of results who would win this tiebreaker? And I decided, you know what? I just think the Commanders are going to win the division. Like I have them both finishing 11 and 6. Like I am I going to do all of a sudden strength of schedule tiebreakers on a fake grid that of games that hasn't happened. Probably not buying. The commander should be good, but it's not a bet. The only bet I have in the NFC east is the Cowboys under. So for the NFC east unders, Cowboys and Eagles overs Giants and Commanders. And that now gets us to the NFC North.
- [18:49]
Buzz Knight
Hi, I'm Buzz Knight, the host of the Taking a Walk podcast. And join me for an upcoming episode with Seth McFarlane, the creator of Family Guy, talking about his new Frank Sinatra music project.
- [19:00]
Charlie Pinion
Anyone who loves music would salivate over something like this. The Biggest question for us was, what's in these boxes? There were a few unplayed gems that we had been alerted to by Charlie Pinon of Sinatra Enterprises. So we knew that certain songs like Shadow of your Smile, which actually is not on this record, it'll be on the next one.
- [19:20]
Buzz Knight
Seth McFarland Don Rickles went up to.
- [19:23]
Charlie Pinion
Frank Sinatra and he said, listen, I'm going to be having dinner with this lovely woman and I, you know, would you come over and say hi? And just so you know, because I feel like if she sees that I know you, it's going to make me look really cool and, you know, I might have a good night. During the middle of dinner, Frank walks over and says, don, hi, how are you? And Don goes, frank, please, I'm in the middle of dinner.
- [19:39]
Buzz Knight
Seth McFarland on the taking a Walk Podcast Listen to Taking a walk on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or, or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [19:49]
Manny
Imagine that you're on an airplane and all of a sudden you hear this.
- [19:53]
Nick Wright
Attention passengers. The pilot is having an emergency and we need someone, anyone to land this plane.
- [20:01]
Manny
Think you could do it? It turns out that nearly 50% of men think that they could land the plane with the help of air traffic control.
- [20:09]
Nick Wright
And they're saying like, okay, pull this.
- [20:11]
Manny
Until this, pull that, turn this. It's just, I can do my eyes closed. I'm Manny.
- [20:15]
Nick Wright
I'm Noah, this is Devin.
- [20:16]
Manny
And on our new show, no Such Thing, we get to the bottom of questions like these. Join us as we talk to the leading expert on overconfidence.
- [20:25]
Nick Wright
Those who lack expertise lack the expertise.
- [20:29]
Jake Hofer
They need to recognize that they lack expertise.
- [20:32]
Manny
And then as we try the whole thing out for real. Wait, what? Oh, that's the Runway. I'm looking at this thing.
- [20:39]
Charlie Pinion
See?
- [20:40]
Manny
Listen to no such thing on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [20:47]
Jake Hofer
I'm Jake Hofer and this is back 40, a limited series show on Wire to Hunt, part of Meat Eaters Podcast Network. Each episode I'll be asking eight whitetail hunting pros a focused, thought provoking question about hunting and land management. How do I hunt the best part of the farm with less than ideal access?
- [21:05]
Nick Wright
Should you?
- [21:05]
Damanza
That's what the real question is.
- [21:07]
Nick Wright
Stand without good access is not a good stand.
- [21:10]
Jake Hofer
Listen to Back 40 on iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast or wherever you get your podcast.
- [21:17]
Greg Rosenthal
Football is back. That's right. The new NFL season is here and you should be listening to NFL Daily as we march along to Super Bowl 60. This is a show for sickos like me. NFL Daily is your kind of show. It's in the name NFL Daily. You'll have fresh content in your feed all season long. Myself, Greg Rosenthal and an all star cast of co hosts will preview and recap every game all season long. Josh Allen coming off an MVP season.
- [21:44]
Nick Wright
And now lateral to Allen and reaching for the pylon. Are you kidding me? It's a touchdown. Have you ever seen that one before?
- [21:53]
Greg Rosenthal
Rookies making a name for themselves.
- [21:57]
Nick Wright
Bulldozer. He is bouncing off defenders and drag.
- [22:01]
Greg Rosenthal
Down and of course the Eagles trying to win another Lombardi.
- [22:05]
Nick Wright
What a game, what a season, what a team. Eagles fans savor it and rejoice.
- [22:12]
Greg Rosenthal
Listen to NFL daily on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcast.
- [22:18]
Nick Wright
And daman start us off with the first team listed.
- [22:21]
Damanza
So the Bears over under is listed at eight and a half and you're taking the over at plus 115. I thought about betting them to get 10 wins. I think that was like plus 220 or something like that.
- [22:34]
Nick Wright
It might have been one of the.
- [22:35]
Damanza
Or something like that.
- [22:36]
Nick Wright
But yeah, yeah one of the alternate it would have been probably around if they're eight and a half is plus 115 over nine and a half would probably be plus, you know, around 200. The I resisted the urge to pick them to win the division. I'm resisting the urge to, you know, make bold, bold proclamations about how they are going to do, you know, over the in the postseason. However, I think they had an excellent off season. I think they had a massive upgraded head coach. They lost some absolute heartbreakers last year. Not just the Jaden Daniels hall of Fame or a Hall of Fame Hail Mary game. The Thanksgiving game we watched together which was a train wreck. Like I just think they're good. I'm not saying they're going to be great and I think I, you know, I obviously overrated how quickly Caleb would be ready last year and I may be in my opinion overrated their defense a bit as well. And so I, I am learning from that. But I still think they're going to be above.500. And so with a couple breaks last year they would have won seven or eight games with bad coaching and Caleb really being over skis for a bit of it. So I will take and I will bet the bears over eight and a half that you can get them over nine and a half. Demons a plus one 90 over 10 and a half at plus 300. The bet you might have seen was exactly 10 wins. And I don't like those bets. I don't like the exact record because you can be right in spirit and lose the bet.
- [24:25]
Damanza
Right.
- [24:26]
Nick Wright
You know what I mean? Like if you're like, oh, the Bears, the Bears are going to be good. I'm going to bet them to win 10.
- [24:32]
Damanza
When I was scrolling through the app, yeah, I didn't even realize that if that was the thing I thought it was just for them to get 10 plus.
- [24:39]
Nick Wright
Well, maybe it was. So maybe it was in the juice has changed. So I'm not sure. I don't know what you saw. I'm just saying is that gambling note from me. I'm always hesitant on the exact record bets because there's nothing worse than being, than being right on a bet and losing it. So like if your argument is I like the, you know, I like the bears to go 10 and 7 because I think they're going to be better than people think. And then Somehow they go 11 and 6 and you lose the bet, that's just a killer. So it's just not my. You usually get sick odds on it, but it's not my favorite. All right, Lions over under is at 10 and a half with plus 120 on the over minus 145 on the under. This is a huge stay away from me. But because we give out all picks on this show, I obligated to pick a side here. If I, if it's this close, then I have to go with the plus money side. So I will say over, but I don't love it. I think 10 and 7, 11 and 6 is very, very in play for Detroit this year. Very tough schedule, tough division. The loss of the coordinators matters. That shuffle on the interior of the offensive line matters. On the flip side to that, they do get their got their defensive players back. I imagine. Damanza, you like this as an over stronger than I do.
- [26:23]
Damanza
Not strong. Probably just about the same. But it is plus 120 so I would lean over on that. But yeah, and they, they did get a lot of guys back that they had injured last year. So I feel like it kind of balances out.
- [26:35]
Nick Wright
If there is going to be a season from hell for Detroit, which I don't anticipate. But if it, if there is going to be, it'll be because the playoff game screwed with golf.
- [26:48]
Damanza
Right.
- [26:49]
Nick Wright
And I don't think we can dismiss that as a possibility. I'm not predicting it, but I don't think we can dismiss it Full on as a possibility that being that close to the super bowl two years ago, them not having it and then having his worst game of the year in their first playoff game that he and then also not having Ben Johnson in his ear that all of that comes together and he has a tough season. That's the recipe for them having the. Oh my God. The Lions went 7 and 10. I don't think it's going to happen. But that would be the. Yeah, that'd be the recipe for it. But I will go over by the thinnest of margins. All right. Packers total nine and a half with even money on the under, which I like because I am going under for the Green Bay Packers. Yes. So I, I am. It's not a bet. Thus far the only NFC bets we've made is a Cowboys under and a Bears over. I just think they're going to win nine games and I am. I'm not as high on the packers defense as everyone else seems to be. And while I do like their draft pick, Matthew golden, the rookie receiver and I do think of all of their, you know, that huge room of good but not great receivers, I think he's the one guy who has a chance to be a great receiver. Hard to rely on him in year one to be a great receiver. Listen, Brian Thomas Jr. Did it. Malik Neighbors did it. But still it's, it's hard at that position to be great year one. But here's the other factor of it that I just don't think that I am putting into this that it doesn't seem like other people are. I know Derrick Henry is ageless and I know that Christian McCaffrey prior to last year, you know what I mean, had this amazing year. Sake one had the amazing year. Is Josh Jacobs going to look like a 28 year old running back normally does or the way some of those other guys have? Because I think Josh Jacobs has been an underrated, was an underrated addition for them and I think a large part of their success last year was he had a. I can't even call it sneaky. Just an awesome season. 1300 yards, 15 touchdowns, 4 1/2 yards per carry. What if you know, after he's now over 1600 career carries six straight years, none of which missing real big time. Like what is, what is Josh Jacobs going to look like? And this is what I said about Jordan Love yesterday on the TV show To Monte and tell me if you think it's fair. I'm not yet ready to say he guarantees you a floor for your team. Like he hasn't graduated to the okay if that and I listen when he's been his two years of starter he has. I just don't know if that's who he. I feel like he and CJ both might end up stars. I think they have established they are quality starting franchise quarterbacks but I don't yet know if they are in the man if he's healthy. Unless there's just a disaster on your team, you should win at least 10 games.
- [30:33]
Damanza
Yeah. And so like last year he was dealing with the injury from the start. I think this year you kind of have a better idea of of who.
- [30:40]
Nick Wright
He is and the talent is really impressive. Sometimes the decision making seems less so. So I'm curious how that plays out this year. Yeah. And so it's not a I have the packers finishing third in the division and it sounds like an indictment but if I think they're going to win nine games, finish third, like that doesn't make you a bad team. It's tough division which leaves me with just one team for last and this is a bet and it is the Vikings win total of nine and a half. I understand they won 14 games last year. Under 125 is where we are going with that demands A and Brian Flores is awesome. Are they going to though have that number of turnovers last year when they just. They had a great scheme. He's a great D coordinator but turnovers fluctuate so much year to year it's. It's hard to rely on that. I know they got great production from Kirk Cousins, they got great production from Sam Darnold and by the end of the year if they got the pick right with JJ McCarthy they should have great production from JJ McCarthy. With all that said, he didn't play a ton of college ball. He missed all of last year. I It seems like there were varying reports on how he looked in training camp from the people on the ground there. It just feels like this is a bit of a reset year for Minnesota which by the way I think they're fine with. I think they expected last last year to be the reset year but you know. But they expected to do it with a rookie quarterback instead. Darnold played and Darnold played the best ball of his life. If they are a double digit win team again and JJ McCarthy looks really good then even though he hasn't won a playoff game yet, we have to probably elevate Kevin o'. Connell. I already think Kevin o' Connell is good but if, if you can get double digit wins with Kirk Cousins, Sam Darnold, and then JJ McCarthy is a first year player coming off an injury that'd be wildly impressive. But I think, excuse me, I apologize. I think they could go 7 and 10 and be okay. Okay with it's the wrong word. Feel okay going into the 26 season. If they're like all right, we have the upside of this quarterback. He's young, he's cheap. Obviously Justin Jefferson's great. So I will bet the Vikings under nine and a half. So through two divisions, Demons A our bets are Cowboys under eight and a half, Vikings under nine and a half and Bears over eight and a half. We will get to the south and the west in just a moment. But first the rivalries, the marching bands, the upsets. Saturdays just got way more fun. College football is back. You think you know the game. Put your college football knowledge to the test with DraftKings sportsbook and turn your picks into big payouts. From live betting during the game to rivalry week, odds boosts and so much more, DraftKings sportsbook has everything you need to stay in the action from kickoff to the final whistle. Whether you're betting on your go to team or making moves mid game as the momentum shifts, Saturdays are yours to own with DraftKings sportsbook. Number one Texas is a one and a half point dog at Ohio State this Saturday. It is the first time in more than 50 years, or at least 50 years that the number one team is an underdog in week one. That speaks to the fact that the number one team in the nation almost never plays a huge road game in week one. But that is what we are getting this week. Of course, lines and odds are subject to change. And here's something that is just unbelievable for first timers. New customers bet five bucks and get $300 in bonus bets instantly. Download the DraftKings sportsbook app and use code WRIGHT. That's code write W R I G H T to get for new customers to get $300 in bonus bets instantly when you bet just five bucks in partnership with DraftKings Sportsbook, the crown is yours. Gambling problem. Call 1-800- gambler in New York. Call 877-8-HOPE and WIRE. Text Hopeny at 467 in Connecticut.
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Charlie Pinion
Help is available for problem gambling.
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Nick Wright
Call 888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org Please play.
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Charlie Pinion
Responsibly on behalf of Boothill Casino and.
- [35:27]
Nick Wright
Resort in Kansas, 21 and over. Age and eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Void in Ontario, bet must win to.
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Charlie Pinion
Receive reward minimum minus 500 odds.
- [35:35]
Nick Wright
Required bonus bets expire 168 hours after issuance. For additional terms and responsible gaming resources, see dkng.
- [35:44]
Buzz Knight
Hi, I'm Buzz Knight, the host of the Taking a Walk podcast. And join me for an upcoming episode with Seth MacFarlane, the creator of Family Guy, talking about his new Frank Sinatra music project.
- [35:55]
Charlie Pinion
Anyone who loves music would salivate over something like this. The biggest question for us was, what's in these boxes? There were a few unplayed gems that we had been alerted to by Charlie Pinion of Sinatra Enterprises. So we knew that certain songs like shadow of your smile, which actually is not on this record, it'll be on the next one.
- [36:15]
Buzz Knight
Seth McFarlane.
- [36:16]
Charlie Pinion
Don Rickles went up to Frank Sinatra and he said, listen, I'm going to be having dinner with this lovely woman and I, you know, would you come over and say hi? And just so you know, because I feel like if she sees that I know you is going to make me look really cool and, you know, I might have a good night. During the middle of dinner, Frank walks over and says, don, hi, how are you? And Don goes, frank, please, I'm in the middle of dinner.
- [36:33]
Buzz Knight
Seth McFarland on the taking a walk podcast. Listen to Taking a walk on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [36:43]
Manny
Imagine that you're on an airplane and all of a sudden you hear this.
- [36:47]
Nick Wright
Attention passengers. The pilot is having an emergency and we need someone, anyone, to land this plane.
- [36:55]
Manny
Think you could do it? It turns out that nearly 50% of men think that they could land the plane with the help of air traffic control. And they're saying like, okay, pull this. Until this, pull that, turn this. It's just, I can do my eyes closed. I'm Manny.
- [37:10]
Nick Wright
I'm Noah.
- [37:10]
Damanza
This is Devin.
- [37:11]
Manny
And on our new show, no such thing, we get to the bottom of questions like these. Join us as we talk to the leading expert on overconfidence.
- [37:20]
Nick Wright
Those who lack expertise lack the expertise.
- [37:24]
Jake Hofer
They need to recognize that they lack expertise.
- [37:27]
Manny
And then as we try the whole thing out first for real. Wait, what? Oh, that's the Runway. I'm looking at this thing.
- [37:34]
Charlie Pinion
See?
- [37:34]
Manny
Listen to no such thing on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [37:41]
Jake Hofer
I'm Jake Hofer and this is back 40, a limited series show on Wire to Hunt, part of Meat Eaters Podcast Network. Each episode I'll be asking eight whitetail hunting pros a focused, thought provoking question about Hunting and land management. How do I hunt the best part of the farm with less than ideal access?
- [38:00]
Nick Wright
Should you?
- [38:00]
Damanza
That's what the real question is.
- [38:02]
Nick Wright
Stand without good access is not a good stand.
- [38:05]
Jake Hofer
Listen to Back 40 on iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcast. I'm Dan, he's Ty.
- [38:13]
Nick Wright
Hello.
- [38:14]
Jake Hofer
And we're the Solid Verbal College football podcast.
- [38:18]
Greg Rosenthal
College football season is here and you know what that means.
- [38:23]
Nick Wright
Your team is going to break your.
- [38:26]
Jake Hofer
Heart three times probably before Halloween.
- [38:28]
Nick Wright
Uh huh.
- [38:29]
Greg Rosenthal
But fear not, the Solid Verbal will be right there with you through every soul crushing loss and impossible comeback.
- [38:36]
Jake Hofer
Join us all season long, all year long, as we ride the roller coaster of this ridiculous sport.
- [38:42]
Greg Rosenthal
Whether you're a die hard fan or a casual observer, we'll help you make some sense of all the chaos and of course celebrate the madness. Tune in for previews, recaps, bits you won't hear anywhere else, and all the emotional support you need as a college football fan.
- [38:58]
Jake Hofer
We don't just love college football, Ty, we live it.
- [39:03]
Greg Rosenthal
Listen to the Solid Verbal college football podcasts on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [39:12]
Nick Wright
All right, Damanze, let's get to the NFC south and one that. You know what guys, I'm going to add this team to our official overs. Sorry if the. If we need to adjust some graphics, I apologize. I thought I had this in my official overs already and I didn't. My bad. The Falcons seven and a half. Just seven and a half wins at minus 140. So the argument for the Falcons is last year, despite Kirk Cousins kind of not kind of legitimately falling apart and the. And it being a new head coach who I like and a new system and all that, they still won eight games. They last year Bijan looked like the player that I knew he would be. They started six and three with the law. One of those losses being a bit of a heartbreaker to the Chiefs. And then after that it really unwound on him as Cousins was pretty clearly cooked. And then they go to pinnocks late in the year and even then, week eight, week 17 overtime loss to Washington, week 18 overtime loss to Carolina, now that's not good Carolina, but they won eight games. So now you.
- [40:56]
Damanza
Well the Saints and the Panthers, that's four wins right there. I mean they did lose to him last year, but I think that's good for.
- [41:03]
Nick Wright
But no, those are two of the worst teams in the league. I totally agree with you on that. And that's part of it. Like can they go 4 and 2 in the division? I think so. You go 4 and 2 in the division to get to eight wins. Your other games are as follows. Minnesota, Washington, not Buffalo, San Francisco. Not easy. Miami, New England, Indianapolis, the Jets, the Seahawks, Arizona, the Rams. Like your non divisional games early are pretty tough. You have some nice soft ones in the middle. But if you have you need to get to eight wins, you have four against Carolina and New Orleans, you have another against Miami, you have another against the jets, you have two more against Seattle and Arizona. And again, it's not like I think Seattle and Arizona are going to be terrible, but there's eight games. If you go six and two in those eight, can you go two and seven in your difficult games? I think so. I actually think this team is a sneaky playoff contender because of the schedule. Not, pardon me, not because they're a great team, but because of the division they're in and because of the conference they're in. And so I one of my bets will be Falcons over seven and a half at minus 140. And now we get to the tricky ones to Monze which is the Panthers total is six and a half and the Saints total is four and a half. And the problem is in handicapping this. These teams do play each other and I do think they're both like I am going to go under on the Panthers and over on the Saints and I'm here to tell you I do not love going over on the Saints but four and a half is such an outrageous number and it wouldn't be crazy if the Saints go two and oh against Carolina and now all of a sudden you only need three more victories on your schedule. I don't believe the Panthers are going to get to seven. So that's a, that's an easy under. But I'm not going to bet it. I just that I'm going to have a significant investment on the NFC south. But it is not either of these teams. I know you have a follow up. You want to ask me about the Saints.
- [43:50]
Damanza
Yeah. Do you have any interest in them to have the fewest WINS in the NFL at plus 400?
- [44:01]
Nick Wright
No, but it's interesting. Like I don't think that's a dumb bet, but my answer to that is no. I think that I think there's three or four teams this year that have a chance to be truly awful. They're one of them. So maybe at plus 400 that I think it's three or four. But I, I'm going to. I'm not going to do a worse team in the league bet because the other piece of that that makes it tricky is there are a few teams that are an injury at quarterback away from all of a sudden just wanting to be awful. And by the way, the Browns exist and they.
- [44:46]
Damanza
The Colts plus 1400.
- [44:49]
Nick Wright
Yeah, I. And I know I'm fading. The Colts and I. But that's worst. Again, worst team in the league is tough. And also worst team in the league is a bet that you never can lock up. Like the Patriots were the worst team in the league all year last year. Week 18 stressed out the whole season. Yeah. The Bills basically give them the game and all of a sudden they're drafting fourth. Like it's just a. I don't love that bet. I do love this bet. The Bucks over nine and a half, minus 1 20. I think Tampa Demons A is going to win a bunch of games. A bunch of games. I'm not saying they are necessarily the best team in the nfc. I am saying I think they have a real path to being the 1 seed.
- [45:48]
Damanza
Yeah, I mean, they're top three easily. I mean, in that division I feel like so beat the other two.
- [45:54]
Nick Wright
Oh, because of the division. They're top three in the. Not division.
- [45:58]
Damanza
Conference. I feel like in that conference they're one of the top three teams.
- [46:02]
Nick Wright
I mean, I think they're going to start three. And oh, at Atlanta at the Texans, home for the jets. And obviously Texans are a good team. I think Tampa's better.
- [46:14]
Damanza
Right.
- [46:15]
Nick Wright
They have a tough stretch of Eagles, Seahawks, Niners, Lions and then after that, Damanze. Here is how the Bucks, when I say close the season, I mean their final 10 games. Okay. @ the Saints, home for the Pats. At the Bills, really hard. At the Rams, tough. Home for the Cardinals, home for the Saints, home for the Falcons, at the Panthers. At the Dolphins. When they will have quit. Home for the Panthers. Yeah. Like could the Bucks start 5 and 2 or you know what, could they start 4 and 3 and finish 12 and 5? Yeah, absolutely. And so I think. I think the schedule, plus I really like a book. The rookie receiver Godwin will be back at some point and they'll have three legitimate receivers. I like their running back, Bucky Irving, Tristan Wurfs. I want to make sure I'm right about this. Did he clear the PUP list? Yeah, he passes his physical as did Godwin. So they're at least at on the active roster. Does that mean they're going to play Week 1? Not necessarily, but it does mean they're a bit ahead of schedule. I love the Bucks. I love the schedule. I love Bake Show. Also. Baker Damanze, mvp. It's not a terrible pick. I think they're not because I. Because I don't think their defense is going to be great. Not. I don't think. I know their defense is going to be great. So they're going to have to score a bunch. But also, this is a de facto contract year for him. He's got a year left after this one. But if he has another excellent season, he's. He's one of those $55 million a year men. And so I'm all over the Bucks this season. Over nine and a half. And I. You might hear more about my feelings on the Bucks later in the pot. Let me put it like that. Okay, so the. That could be coming up in a bit. All right, now to the NFC west, where we have the Cardinals total at eight and a half with little juice on the under. I will go with the under. I am. Listen, Jonathan Gannon is trying to build out the defense. He might finally have some of the personnel to do that. And I still believe Marvin Harrison Jr. Can be an unbelievable pro even though he had a disappointing rookie year. But you know, I'm not a Kyler guy. I got questions on their O line. I. I just don't think they're going to be above.500. So I will go under on the. The Cardinals eight and a half. Do you go ahead? Yeah.
- [49:16]
Damanza
What happens with. With the Cardinals if they're like what's going to happen with Kyler Murray.
- [49:22]
Nick Wright
Quarterback in a year?
- [49:24]
Damanza
Oh, okay. Yeah, I, I agree with that as well. I don't, I don't like the Cardinals.
- [49:28]
Nick Wright
Yeah, I mean, don't you think the Steelers trading for Kyler sounds about Steelersy?
- [49:33]
Damanza
It sounds like something the Steelers would do 100%.
- [49:35]
Nick Wright
Yeah. It feels like Kyler Murray, starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers, Week one of next year, feels. Feels about like the plan and the Cardinals, you know, kind of start over. That's what I would think. Maybe I'm just making that up, but it feels like that is a real possibility. I guess. The Colts too. The Colts. The Colts just went veteran, veteran, veteran. Then they drafted Anthony Richardson. Snap. Gave up on him. Maybe they go back to a veteran. But a team like that. All right, Rams. I think this will surprise people. This is not one of my bets. I am going over with the Rams for nine and a half. However, I am not going to put money on it because of The Stafford question I think with a healthy Stafford they are incredibly dangerous. I think that they could if they get. If Matt Stafford is healthy by the playoffs then I'll feel about them this year the way I did last year. They could win the conference. But that amortal chamber and missing that time, even if part of it was a wink and a nod, you can have, you know a lot of training camp off like you've speculated a bit Damanze it does seem like there was at least something there. So I don't want to bet the Rams but I listen I do think they're going to win the division. I do think they're the best team in that division. But I don't want to have bet on the Rams. And then by week six it's like in starting his third straight game, Jimmy Garoppolo. That's a nightmare. And so I don't want to do that. And and then the Niners one of my favorite bets of the year under ten and a half they this is the least talent they've had on defense since Shanahan's first year there. They have just totally had to remake Fred Warner's amazing. Nikki Bose is really, really good. Aside from that it's a bunch of young guys that they're. It's a hope and a prayer. The wide receiver core is just ravaged. I mean they just keep. They have signed Sky. They traded for sky more. I think they signed MVs. It's a bunch of guys who while Patrick Mahomes can throw touchdowns to them in the Super Bowl. I do not know that Brock Purdy is going to get the most out of them. And listen, I think Christian McCaffrey win healthy as a top three back in the league. I think that's undeniable. Is you know but the health is a concern.
- [52:16]
Damanza
Yeah.
- [52:16]
Nick Wright
Say it again.
- [52:17]
Damanza
I mean when you get. I think he had to go to Germany to do that.
- [52:20]
Nick Wright
Oh yeah.
- [52:20]
Damanza
I feel like if you got to do all that like it's serious.
- [52:23]
Nick Wright
It's correct. And Kittle has shown no signs of slowing down. But he's at an age where you have to incorporate. There's a chance he does. And they lost their backup left tackle to the Chiefs in free agency. Trent Williams, future first ballot hall of Famer but he did miss sometime last year. The oldest starting tackle in the league. Feels like you're on a knife's edge and we have seen what Purdy's numbers are what that team happens to that team when Trent Williams is out. All those reasons and the Fact that they could win the division, make the playoffs and the under still come in because it's ten and a half. And I listen, I know the one thing I'm not saying that everyone else is going to say. The schedule, the schedule, the schedule. Despite all that, I will go under 10 and a half and then that leaves us Seattle. This is to me a true coin flip. So we have spent much time on it. It's set at eight and a half. Even money on the over. I will go, I will go under, but I don't have much. They are an 8, 9, 9 and 8 team to me. And so we don't have to because I don't have a super strong feeling on it. We don't spend a ton of time on it. Give us Demon the full. Well, I will give us the nfc, then you give us the whole thing. The bets we are making in the NFC are the Cowboys under 8 and a half at minus 145. The Bears over 8 and a half at plus 115. The Vikings my over, I'm sorry under 9 and a half at minus 125. The Falcons over 7 and a half at minus 140. The Bucks over 9 and a half at minus 1 20. The Niners under 10 and a half at minus 1 30. Which gives us, you don't have to tell us the odds on these, Demonte, but give us all the oversight and the win total. The teams in the win total.
- [54:30]
Damanza
So overs we got Jags over seven and a half, Chiefs over 11 and a half, Raiders over six and a half. We got the Bears over eight and a half and Tampa Bay over nine and a half and Atlanta over seven and a half.
- [54:46]
Nick Wright
Yeah. So the only big number over I have is Kansas City. Not surprising, I'm sure. And the only team on there with a low, low number that I think could smash it is the Raiders at six and a half. All right, let's go to unders.
- [55:05]
Damanza
Unders you got the Bengals under nine and a half. We got the Colts under seven and a half, Broncos under nine and a half, Cowboys under eight and a half. The Vikings under nine, nine and a half. And then the Niners ten and a half.
- [55:20]
Nick Wright
Yeah. And the only team on there that I think might, might smash it is the Colts. I don't, you know, I don't think any of those other teams are going to all of a sudden win three or four games. I get, you know what the Niners could. The Niners are a. Christian McCaffrey and or Trent Williams missing six weeks away from potentially winning six games again with that defense so they could smash it. But that's 12. Last year we did 10. We know we did eight last year because we went six and two. We gave you all 32. But our bets we and here's why we only did eight last year. Because I got too cute. Because I did a bunch of There's a better way to bet this. And I did a division or a playoff or whatever, and I got annihilated on those. So this year we're going to be smarter. We will get to our other more manicured wagers that we're making and less parlays in just a moment. But first, ever sign up for a phone plan thinking, wow, amazing price. Then a few months later, surprise bills higher. Boost mobile, you pay 25 bucks a month. Forever. That's unlimited talk, text and data starting at just $25 a month. No price hikes, no contract forever. Plus, Boost Mobile is now a legit 5G network. They've invested billions building 5G towers across the country. Visit boostmobile.com or head to your local Boost store today and get unlimited talk, text and data for $25 a month. Forever. 5G speeds not available in all areas. After 30 gigs, customers may experience slower speeds. Customers will pay $25 a month as long as they remain active on the Boost plan.
- [57:12]
Buzz Knight
Hi, I'm Buzz Knight, the host of the Taking a Walk podcast, and join me for an upcoming episode with Seth MacFarlane, the creator of Family Guy, talking about his new Frank Sinatra music project.
- [57:24]
Charlie Pinion
Anyone who loves music would salivate over something like this. The biggest question for us was, what's in these boxes? There were a few unplayed gems that we had been alerted to by Charlie Pinion of Sinatra Enterprises. So we knew that certain songs like Shadow of your Smile, which actually is not on this record, it'll be on the next one.
- [57:44]
Buzz Knight
Seth McFarlane Don Rickles went up to.
- [57:46]
Charlie Pinion
Frank Sinatra and he said, listen, I'm going to be having dinner with this lovely woman and I, you know, would you come over and say hi? And just so you know, because I feel like if she sees that I know you, it's going to make me look really cool. And, you know, I might have a good night. During the middle of dinner, Frank walks over and says, don, hi, how are you? And Don goes, frank, please, I'm in the middle of dinner.
- [58:02]
Buzz Knight
Seth McFarland on the taking a Walk podcast Listen to Taking a walk on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [58:12]
Jake Hofer
I'm Jake Hofer and this is back 40, a limited series show on Wire to Hunt, part of Meat Eaters Podcast Network. Each episode I'll be asking eight whitetail hunting pros a focused, thought provoking question about hunting and land management. How do I hunt the best part of the farm with less than ideal access?
- [58:30]
Nick Wright
Should you?
- [58:31]
Damanza
That's what the real question is.
- [58:32]
Nick Wright
Stand without good access is not a good stand.
- [58:36]
Jake Hofer
Listen to Back 40 on iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast or wherever you get your podcast.
- [58:42]
Manny
Imagine that you're on an airplane and all of a sudden you hear this.
- [58:46]
Nick Wright
Attention passengers. The pilot is having an emergency and we need someone, anyone to land this plane.
- [58:54]
Manny
Think you could do it? It turns out that nearly 50% of men think that they could land the plane with the help of air traffic control.
- [59:02]
Nick Wright
And they're saying like, okay, pull this.
- [59:04]
Manny
Until this, pull that, Turn this. It's just I do my eyes closed. I'm Manny.
- [59:08]
Nick Wright
I'm Noah.
- [59:09]
Damanza
This is Devin.
- [59:10]
Manny
And on our new show, no Such Thing, we get to the bottom of questions like these. Join us as we talk to the leading expert on overconfidence.
- [59:19]
Nick Wright
Those who lack expertise lack the expertise.
- [59:22]
Jake Hofer
They need to recognize that they lack expertise.
- [59:26]
Manny
And then as we try the whole thing out for real. Wait, what? Oh, that's the Runway. I'm looking at this thing.
- [59:32]
Charlie Pinion
See?
- [59:33]
Manny
Listen to no Such thing on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get used to your podcasts.
- [59:40]
Jake Hofer
I'm Dan, he's Ty.
- [59:42]
Nick Wright
Hello.
- [59:43]
Jake Hofer
And we're the Solid Verbal College football podcast.
- [59:46]
Greg Rosenthal
College football season is here. And you know what that means.
- [59:52]
Nick Wright
Your team is going to break your.
- [59:54]
Jake Hofer
Heart three times probably before Halloween.
- [59:57]
Nick Wright
Uh huh.
- [59:57]
Greg Rosenthal
But fear not, the Solid Verbal will be right there with you through every soul crushing loss and impossible comeback.
- [60:05]
Jake Hofer
Join us all season long, all year long as we ride the rollercoaster of this ridiculous sport.
- [60:11]
Greg Rosenthal
Whether you're a diehard fan or a casual observer, we'll help you make sense of all the chaos and of course, celebrate the madness. Tune in for previews, recaps, bits you won't hear anywhere else, and all the emotional support you need as a college football fan.
- [60:27]
Jake Hofer
We don't just love college football, Tyler, we live it.
- [60:31]
Greg Rosenthal
Listen to the Solid Verbal College football podcast on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [60:40]
Nick Wright
All right, Damanze, make miss playoff bets which involve a bunch of redundancy to my other to my over unders, which I'm fine with. Last year I made the mistake by bifurcating them to try to minimize losses. This year I'm going with the ones I truly believe in and betting them in multiple spots instead of doing like multiple units on a win total. We'll do it like this first one. Go ahead and tell the audience. You can make fun of me.
- [61:15]
Damanza
We've got the Jags at plus 180 to make the playoffs. I've got them, too. I'm riding with you on that one.
- [61:22]
Nick Wright
Okay. Yeah. And I listen, I'm being, I think, conservative because I'm not having them win the division. I'm having them make the playoffs at plus 180. I. It's the biggest year of Trevor's career. I think he comes through. I the demons A the next one is probably the most juice I've ever laid on this show, but I don't care. Go ahead.
- [61:46]
Damanza
Yeah, the Chiefs to make the playoffs at minus 3.
- [61:49]
Nick Wright
80. Was that money laying on the ground? Why don't I pick it up? You can, you can say you're gonna lay. Yeah, I am. I'm gonna lay -380. And you can be like, nick, what if. What if Patrick gets hurt? I got bigger problems than a damn Chiefs make the playoffs bet. If Patrick gets hurt. I'll tell you that much right now. And so the. That's that. Yeah, the Chiefs. And so that means I'm going to have to risk the. The way these. I should have made this clear for our new listeners. All of our plus bets, unless otherwise specified, all the plus bets, we put one unit on. All the minus bets, we. We put enough. If it's minus 140, we put 1.4 units on it. We put enough to win one unit. So the Chiefs, I'm putting 3.8 units to win one, but that's fine. This one here, however, like I said, unless otherwise specified, this next one is a half unit bet and the one following it is a quarter unit bet. Go ahead.
- [63:01]
Damanza
You got the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus 340.
- [63:05]
Nick Wright
Yeah, I mean, I've talked a ton about the Raiders in a bunch of spots. I just like the value at plus 340. This one's going to shock people, I would imagine, but I'll explain it in.
- [63:16]
Damanza
A second one, people. Giants at plus 500 to make the playoffs.
- [63:22]
Nick Wright
All right, so the producers wondering if I believe the Giants can make the playoffs, why not also bet them to win at least six games? Because here's the deal there. I don't actually think the Giants are going to be really good however there has to be the shock playoff team I have cast my lot with it being the Raiders. Is there an argument that Russell Wilson channel something that D line Malik Neighbors continues on the ascent a soft NFC east because maybe Jaden misses time or something. Yes so I will I think the Giants check a few of those boxes and at 5 to 1 I'm good with it so that's where that's where I land and then last but not least and you're going to see this team all over my gambling card this.
- [64:21]
Damanza
Year you got the Bucks at minus 170 to make the playoffs.
- [64:25]
Nick Wright
Yeah I mean they're going to win the division but you know maybe Penix is unbelievable and the Falcons with that schedule end up somehow winning the division at least but the Bucks will the only the Bucks are going to win 10 games. 10 games will get them in the playoffs at least 10 games I should say so I just want to have action on the Bucks all over the place so my make the playoffs bets are Jags, Chiefs, Raiders, Giants bucks with again half unit on the Raiders quarter unit on the Giants. Now the always popular missed the playoffs.
- [65:05]
Damanza
Bet you love putting this team here. You got the Steelers to miss the playoffs at minus 140.
- [65:12]
Nick Wright
This the Steelers and the Steelers two years ago the Jags ruined me. Last year the Steelers ruined me. So I don't, it's. I don't have. If you remember the Steelers are not one of my win total bets because maybe Tomlin's you know going to somehow create enough magic to get to nine wins. I don't think they're going to make the playoffs. I'll take them under 1:40. This next team is the team I've been fading throughout the show.
- [65:40]
Damanza
Go ahead you've got the Colts minus 260 to miss.
- [65:44]
Nick Wright
Yeah I just don't see any scenario where the Colts find their way into the playoffs with Daniel Jones in the AFC. So I don't mind laying -260 and in fact you're going to see them somewhere else as well in one of my very few this year parlays.
- [66:02]
Damanza
Next you've got the Broncos to miss at +1 30.
- [66:07]
Nick Wright
Yeah I just like that it's + money. You guys know that I'm not a believer in the Broncos the way other people are. And what is really unbelievable about where the Broncos stand is they could it's unlikely don't get me wrong but they could hit their over for win total and miss the playoffs. They could go 10 and 7 and still miss the playoffs. I again, it's unlikely 10 wins in the 17 or I'm sorry in the seven game playoff field should get you in but it's possible. I, I still, I don't have to spend more time on it. I'm actually going on the radio with my friend Mark Schlerith in Denver tomorrow because everyone wants to yell at me and that's fine. I'll take the Broncos under nine and a half or I'm sorry, I'll take the Broncos to miss the playoffs. Go ahead.
- [67:00]
Damanza
You got the Cowboys to miss at -2 10.
- [67:04]
Nick Wright
Yeah, I almost did this instead of their total but I decided to double down on Cowboy skepticism this year. I just think a coach. I don't necessarily believe in a drama with the best player on their roster. Yeah, terrible off season. I'll take them to miss.
- [67:23]
Damanza
You've got the Vikings to miss at +100.
- [67:27]
Nick Wright
Yeah and I'm actually this is the first one I'm doing like this and this is going to sound odd. I'm going to throw two units on this one. I just think that it was in that division. It would be shocking to me if the Vikings somehow find a way into the playoffs. I know they did last year. I know they won 14 games and I do like Kevin O'. Connell. But I am going to fade the Vikings to the tune of betting they're under and a two unit bet. And then last but not least again, go ahead.
- [68:04]
Damanza
You've got the Cardinals to miss at -1 40 yet.
- [68:08]
Nick Wright
The, the only reason, my only trepidation there is what if Stafford does miss a bunch of time and that division feels wide open for everybody. So that is, that's the extent of my real concern there. I also am going to do one not multiple like last year to Monte one missed the playoffs parlay and folks, we're going to go. We're going to put two units on this. It is. We'll tell the audience it's minus 135. Tell the audience who it is.
- [68:46]
Damanza
It's. It's minus 135. You got nor New Orleans, the Jets and Cleveland all to miss the. The playoffs. Minus.
- [68:54]
Nick Wright
I mean you're. Hold on. You're leaving one team out. The.
- [68:56]
Damanza
Oh, Indian. Indianapolis. I'm sorry, the Colts.
- [68:59]
Nick Wright
Yes. Yeah. If you. Without the Colts it's like minus 4:50 or something. I needed to have. I mean New Orleans, the Jets and the Browns to miss the playoffs feels. It feels to me now listen, a lot of bets have gone to die this way. This is not sound gambling advice and again, gamble for recreational purposes. Don't bet more than you can afford to lose. But adding New Orleans to miss the playoffs or Cleveland to miss the playoffs to any preseason bet you make just to give yourself a little extra juice is not a Again, it's not sound gambling advice except it feels like impossible to lose. I the team that I am most worried about here blowing this up is actually the jets that the jets that if just, you know, they run the hell out of the ball. Aaron Glenn gets more out of the defense than Solid did. If those things happen they would be my concern, but I don't really have any concern. I think these are four last place teams. Four teams that I would be very surprised they didn't finish in last place in their division. Okay, so that leaves us to Monze with our division winner bets, our division winner parlay if it exists and Demons a five best bets which again last year he made five bets and won. Jaden Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of the year at six to one, the Chiefs to win the AFC at three and a half to one and Baltimore to win the AFC north at plus one 45 three plus money winners. All of that damanze coming on Tuesday show. So we will do a full our final NFL season preview plus the juiciest parts of our gambling shows. And so all of that is coming up. We're finally here. I mean we finally we have gotten to where the next time we're on the air we will be talking about Ohio State Texas, which will have just been played and will be two days away from the open the NFL season. And for the first time in years, I get to watch the first game of the NFL season without being stressed about my team being involved. That's the one upside to your team not winning the Super Bowl Again. I don't recommend it, but we're a bright side show. We try to find it like Rate Subscribe Review Appreciate everyone involved in the show today. Volume Boost DraftKings Blue Duck Demons A everybody. Apologies for the tight 60. I told you I was going to do it though. I will see you guys on TV in a few hours.
- [71:39]
Buzz Knight
What's right hi, I'm Buzz Knight, the host of the Taking a Walk podcast, and join me for an upcoming episode with Seth MacFarlane, the creator of Family Guy, talking about his new Frank Sinatra music project.
- [71:52]
Charlie Pinion
Anyone who loves music would salivate over something like this. The biggest question for us was what's in these boxes? Really the most thrilling part was hiring an orchestra and just playing what was in these boxes.
- [72:04]
Buzz Knight
Listen to Taking a Walk on the Aisle app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [72:10]
Sarah Spain
Get fired up, y'.
- [72:11]
Nick Wright
All.
- [72:12]
Sarah Spain
Season 2 of Good Game with Sarah Spain is underway. We just welcomed one of my favorite people, an incomparable soccer icon Megan Rapinoe, to the show and we had a blast. Take a listen. Sue and I were like, riding the lime bikes the other day and we're like, wee.
- [72:29]
Nick Wright
People ride bikes because it's fun.
- [72:32]
Sarah Spain
We got more incredible guests like Megan in store, plus news of the day and more. So make sure you listen to Good Game with Sarah Spain on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Brought to you by Novartis, founding partner of iHeart Women's Sports Network.
- [72:47]
Manny
Why are TSA rules so confusing?
- [72:50]
Nick Wright
You got a hoodie on. Take it all.
- [72:52]
Manny
I'm Manny. I'm Noah.
- [72:53]
Damanza
This is Devin.
- [72:54]
Manny
And we're best friends and journalists with a new podcast called called no Such Thing, where we get to the bottom of questions like that. Why are you screaming? I can't expect what to do now. If the rule was the same, go off on me, I deserve it, you.
- [73:07]
Jake Hofer
Know, Lock him up.
- [73:08]
Manny
Listen to no Such thing on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
- [73:14]
Nick Wright
No Such Thing.
- [73:17]
Jake Hofer
I'm Jake Hofer and this is back 40, a limited series show on Wire to Hunt, part of Meat Eaters Podcast Network. Each episode I'll be asking eight whitetail hunting pros a focused, thought provoking question about hunting and land management. How do I hunt the best part of the farm with less than ideal access?
- [73:35]
Nick Wright
Should you?
- [73:36]
Damanza
That's what the real question is.
- [73:37]
Nick Wright
Stand without. Good access is not a good stand.
- [73:40]
Jake Hofer
Listen to Back 40 on iHeartRadio app, Apple podcast, or wherever you get your podcast.
- [73:47]
Sarah Spain
This is an iHeart podcast.