The Herd with Colin Cowherd – “What’s Wright” Super Bowl Predictions & Prop Bets (Feb 7, 2026)

Host: Nick Wright (with Damanze)
Main Focus: Super Bowl Showdown: Seahawks vs. Patriots, Sam Darnold vs. Drake Maye, and a full slate of prop bets

Episode Overview

This episode of “What’s Wright,” presented by Nick Wright, is the final NFL gambling show of the 2025 season, centering on Super Bowl predictions between the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots. Nick and Damanze dig deep into their game picks, analyze matchups such as Sam Darnold vs. Drake Maye, and break down a robust list of prop bets, from touchdowns to defensive stats. The discussion is energetic, detail-rich, and peppered with their characteristic humor and candor — perfect for bettors, fans, and those curious about how experts size up the Big Game.

1. Main Theme

• Super Bowl Preview: Seahawks vs. Patriots
• Quarterback Matchup: Sam Darnold versus rookie Drake Maye
• Betting Focus: Game pick, detailed player prop bets, and Super Bowl MVP speculation

2. Key Discussion Points & Insights

Super Bowl Game Pick & Analysis

(Starts ~04:49)

• Nick Wright: Picks Seattle -4.5 over New England.

  • Predicts a 27-17 Seahawks victory.
  • "Not a comfortable, not an easy win but semi comfortable…Seattle has maybe a 24:14 lead going into the fourth quarter and hangs on for a 27:17 win.” (05:07)
  • Notes Sam Darnold's historical ATS (against the spread) success.
  • Believes Mike Macdonald's Seahawks defense is a nightmare for young QBs like Drake Maye.
  • Concern over injury to Seattle rookie safety Nick Emmanwori but expects him to play: “Toradol shots will be fast and free flowing before the Super Bowl and he will play.” (05:22)

• Damanze: Picks New England +4.5 while still expecting a Seattle win.

  • “I think Seattle is going to jump on them early…but at the end of the game I think it’s going to be pretty close…I do think the Patriots will lose.” (05:45)
  • Cites confidence in Mike Vrabel's coaching (“I like Vrabel a lot”).

• Market Perspective:

  • Nick reviews betting history and “sharp” money trends, cautioning against parlaying specific lines.
  • Compares with recent Super Bowl results where the underdog covered but didn’t win: “The one that didn’t however was a 4 1/2 point spread. It was Rams minus 4 1/2 against the Bengals when the Rams won by 3.” (06:02)

Prop Bets Galore: Favorites, Rationale & Strategies

(Begins ~10:30)

Touchdown Props

• Seahawks:

  • Kenneth Walker Anytime TD: -200 — “I would be stunned if he doesn’t score.” (11:23)
  • Cooper Kupp Anytime TD: +260 — “I like Cooper Kupp at +260…good value.” (11:23)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Considered but less favorable odds at -110.

• Patriots:

  • Drake Maye Rushing TD: +275 — “My favorite anytime touchdown bet…Drake’s been excellent these playoffs running the ball.” (12:22)
  • Drake Maye for 2+ TDs: 30-1 (“too much for me”).

Quarterback Props

• Sam Darnold:

  • Over 232.5 Passing Yards: -115 — “I think Darnold’s gonna have a good game.” (13:36)
  • Over 19.5 Completions: -135 — “Something like a 24 of 30 game.” (17:09)
  • Under 6.5 Rushing Yards: -115 — Bet based on end-of-game kneel-downs potentially negating gains. (22:12)

• Drake Maye:

  • Under 1.5 Passing TDs: -160 — “I think the Patriots are more likely to score on the ground than in the air against this Seattle defense.” (15:58)
  • Over 37.5 Rushing Yards: -120 — “He’s gonna have to be running a lot…Seattle’s susceptible to it.” (23:30)

Rushing & Receiving Props

• Seahawks, Rashid Shaheed:

  • Over 4.5 Rush Yards: -115 — Jet sweep candidate.
  • Over 22.5 Receiving Yards: -115 — “I think one explosive Rasheed Shahid play.” (24:02)

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Over 0.5 rush yards at +275 as a flyer on a trick play or jet sweep.

• Patriots:

  • Trayvon Henderson: Under 3.5 receiving yards (“not involved in the passing game”), Under 0.5 receptions.
  • Matt Hollins: Under 27.5 receiving yards.
  • Demario Douglas: Over 10.5 receiving yards.

Receptions

• Seahawks, Kenneth Walker: Under 2.5 catches — “I just don’t think that they’re gonna…he’s gonna have three catches.” (25:44)
• Patriots, Stefon Diggs: Over 4.5 at -125 — “I feel more comfortable in him hitting at least five catches than him hitting at least 50 yards.” (26:33)

Defensive/Special Teams

• Seahawks, Demarcus Lawrence: Over 0.5 sacks +115; Leonard Williams: Over 0.5 sacks +150. Cites Maye’s tendency to take sacks.

• Team Totals: Patriots under 18.5 points at +115 (aligns with Nick’s 27-17 prediction).

Fun & Miscellaneous

• Rashid Shaheed: Longest reception at +700 (“That’s what he was brought in to do...seven to one’s a good bet.” (29:28))
• Longest successful field goal Over 49.5 yards: “Good conditions, both kickers strong from range.” (29:36)
• Both teams convert a fourth down: +125 — “Vrabel will go for it, Seattle’s a little more conservative…basically a coin flip.” (30:55)
• Total players to throw a pass Over 2.5: +160 — For trick plays/backup emergencies. “It’s just such a fun bet.” (31:21)

Damanze’s Five Favorite Props

(Starts ~33:29)

1. Cooper Kupp most receiving yards: +1300 — “It’s not totally outlandish…13 to 1, I love it.” (33:53)
2. Sam Darnold under 232.5 passing yards: -120 — “I just…I don’t see him throwing for that amount of yardage.” (34:03)
3. Stefon Diggs catch on NE’s first drive: +130 — “One of the more reliable receivers on the team.” (34:18)
4. Kenneth Walker anytime TD: -200
5. Seattle -5.5 first half: +125
   • Parlay suggestion: Seattle -5.5 first half with NE +4.5 game — could pay +856 (“That’s pretty fun.” (35:47))

Bonus:

• Gatorade color: yellow/green/lime at +275 — “That’s a little fun one for you guys.” (35:41)

Super Bowl MVP and The “Octopus” Bet

• Nick’s MVP pick: Sam Darnold (“But that's such a boring one. It's +125...I'm not going to bet that.” (32:19))
• Annual tradition: Will there be an “octopus” (player scores a TD and 2-point conversion on same drive)? +1400 — “No one's going to do it. I’ll be dragged down to the bottom of the ocean by the octopus.” (36:15)

3. Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• Nick on Sam Darnold’s track record:
  “Sam Darnold the last two years has been a covering machine: 25 and 11 against the spread…when he’s a four or more point favorite, 11 and 5 ATS and 15 and 1 straight up.” (05:09)

• On the Super Bowl prop market:
  “…If you can lean into two way markets…you know that is the fair number…that’s going to inform a lot of my picks here.” (13:36)

• Favorite fun bet:
  “Total number of players to throw a pass over two and a half at plus 160…It’s just such a fun bet.” (31:21)

4. Timestamps for Key Segments

• 04:49 – Super Bowl game pick and spread discussion
• 10:30 – Start of prop bets rundown
• 12:22 – Drake Maye rushing TD odds and rationale
• 13:36 – Discussion of QB pass yards and prop betting philosophy
• 17:09 – Darnold completions prop
• 19:05 – Trick play rush/receiving props (Shaheed / Smith-Njigba)
• 22:12 – Darnold under 6.5 rush yards (kneel-down strategy)
• 23:24 – Drake Maye over 37.5 rushing yards
• 24:02 – Shaheed receiving yards over
• 25:38 – Reception props overview
• 27:41 – Defensive prop bets (sacks)
• 28:28 – Team total and coin flip prop bets
• 29:25 – Longest reception / kicker props
• 30:50 – Fourth-down conversions, “throw a pass” prop
• 33:29 – Damanze’s five favorite props + bonus Gatorade color
• 36:05 – The annual “octopus” bet explanation, closing remarks

5. Tone & Host Dynamic

• Nick Wright: Confident, data-driven, occasionally wry; devoted to rigorous analysis but always eager for a fun bet.
• Damanze: Contrasts Nick with intuitive, sometimes contrarian picks; injects friendly banter and alternative perspectives.

Memorable, Human Moment:

• When Nick admits defeat with the “octopus” bet tradition:
  “I never knew what an octopus was…I will be drugged down to the bottom of the ocean by the octopus. I’m not betting the octopus.” (36:31)

6. Conclusion: Why Listen?

This episode delivers a thorough, perspective-rich preview of the Super Bowl, combining betting acumen with fan enthusiasm. You’ll get actionable picks, prop bet strategies, and playful tradition — making it just as valuable for the casual observer as for the seasoned bettor. If you want to know what sharp, passionate football minds think about Seahawks-Patriots and the world of SB prop bets, this is the one to hear.

For Super Bowl picks, prop advice, and a good dose of fun, this episode has it all.