
Megyn brings you the latest episode of Next Up with Mark Halperin, on JD Vance's dominance, the Dems' weak field, and Newt Gingrich on Trump and the new GOP. Subscribe to Next Up with Mark Halperin: Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/next-up-with-mark-halperin/id1810218232 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2f0n8G4xqUo8aGxbbbtRjH Social: http://nextuphalperin.com/
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Megyn Kelly
Hey, everyone, it's Megyn Kelly. Today we're bringing you a full episode of our MK Media show, Next up with Mark Halperin. Take a listen and go subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. Enjoy. Hey, everybody. Welcome back to NextUp. Thank you for joining us for our 10th episode. We're very happy and excited about building this community and delighted to have you back here or here for the first time, whether you're watching on YouTube or listening I as a podcast. We're very grateful to you and hope you'll spread the word about NextUp like subscribe, do all that stuff as this program continues to grow. Next up here will be House speaker, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. He's written dozens of books. His new one is called Trump's Triumphs. He's one of the most interesting people in politics and he's kept that status for several decades running. So we'll talk to Speaker Gingrich about his book about Donald Trump, about how he sees the landscape on both the Democratic and Republican side, and couldn't be more delighted to talk to someone again who's one of the more interesting people. I know his story about Donald Trump's presidency is an intimate one because he's known Donald Trump a long time. And in 2015, he was very skeptical that Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee. He saw others, including Jeb Bush, who was then the front runner, as stronger. We've seen surprises in presidential politics many times. In 2008, for instance, people said, well, no one predicted Barack Obama would be the Democratic nominee out of the blue, out of nowhere. Well, I have a different view, and I want to talk to you about 2028. Some people say it's too early to talk about the next presidential race. Well, I get paid to think about it all the time. But more to the point, I think there's some things going on now that we've never seen before. And I think they put the Republican Party in a very strong position. Doesn't mean they'll win in 2028. But I think on the current trajectory, there's some asymmetrical advantages for the Republican Party that are worth noting even at this early stage, because I've never seen a presidential race shaping up like this. And I'll explain why. I look for asymmetrical advantages. Sometimes the parties are roughly equal on candidate quality or roughly equal on fundraising. But when there's a big difference, when one side has a decided advantage, it's worth noting. And in this case, there are a lot of asymmetrical advantages in the Trump Vance era that benefit the Republicans. And it's hard at this point, as weak as the Democratic Party is, to find asymmetrical advantages that play in their favor. And so what I want to talk to you about is the challenge I see for the Democrats in making sure that as they get to late 2026, after the midterms and into the presidential year, that they've got a good chance to win. Because I think right now, again, on the current trajectory, they'll have a problem. 2028 will be a year assuming Donald Trump serves at his full term with no incumbent. And in the modern era, which I marked from when President Reagan was in office, we've had four cycles without an incumbent. 1988, 2000, 2008, and 2016. In all those cycles, we had a different dynamic. What we've never had before on either side is a vice president like J.D. vance. Now, in three of those years, we did have vice presidents who were interested in running for President. George H.W. bush in 88, Al Gore in 2000, and Joe Biden in 2016. Okay. And in those cases, those vice presidents did not receive overwhelming support from their presidential from the president who they served with. It's a big deal because presidents can put their thumb on the scale. This president can really put his thumb on the scale. If, as I expect, Donald Trump endorses J.D. vance, that in Republican politics, since Trump became the king of the party, has been dispositive. It's rare for Trump to endorse a candidate who doesn't win. But it's more than just Trump's expected support. J.D. vance has enormous advantages because we've never seen a vice president like this. Presidents Bush and Gore and Biden were treated by the West Wing, by the president's aides, as people who should not be allowed to build their own political standing while they served as vice president. They wanted to. They were all ambitious. They all wanted to run for president. They knew that after two terms, assuming that ticket was reelected, they would want to run. So they wanted to do the kinds of things you do if you want to run for president. Become acquainted with all your party's top fundraisers. Meet people around the country who are activists. Become highly visible on important policy issues. Get along with the president and the president's team. Build a network of advisors who could help run a presidential campaign. Bush, Gore, and Biden were not allowed to do that. And when they tried, they were smacked down. One of the most remarkable things about the first few months of this administration is. J.D. vance has played his hand perfectly for setting himself up for 2028. He gets along with the President, with the cabinet, with the political advisers. He's made the top fundraiser for the Republican National Committee. That's never happened to put someone like him, a vice president, in a position to interact regularly with the party's top donors. He's done it in Las Vegas, he's done it in New York, he's done it, I think, in a few other cities. And that's a huge advantage, to be able to say to the party, I'm the man, I'm the one. And to know all the people, to know the activists, the fundraisers, et cetera. He has a huge, huge leg up, and I think it's possible, and this would be unprecedented, that he doesn't have a serious nomination challenge at all, that no one runs against him or no one of any significance. And he'll have all the advantages of four years again on this current trajectory of setting everything up. And you look at how active he is on issues on national security, how active it is on AI, on, on Doge, on the budget, on every issue that's important. On crypto, it's going to help him raise money, it's going to help him build connections, and it raises his profile within the party. If he doesn't have a nomination fight of any significance, it's. It will make him less battle tested. That's the one downside. He won't have the rigor building up the political muscles for fighting for the nomination. But the upside of that is he can raise hundreds of millions of dollars, maybe billions, and put it all towards the general election. One guy raising all the Republican money, leveraging the power of the presidency and the vice presidency, extraordinary advantage. What do we have on the other side? We've got a Democratic Party with, I think, a hugely overrated field. There's a lot of names on the list. I've seen lists of 20, 30 people who might run for the Democratic nomination. I'm sure not all of them will, but this is a bunch of very flawed candidates. I got nothing against them, and it's possible that one of them will emerge. But when people say, well, Bill Clinton emerged out of nowhere in 92 or Barack Obama out of nowhere in 2008, it's just not true. Both those guys were touted for many, many years as a future presidential candidate and a massive political talent. This current group, again, I don't want to be impolite to them, but they're flawed. There's no one on this list who I look at today and say they're the front runner. And in fact, I can't even make a cluster. I ask people all the time, who are the three most likely Democratic nominees, which Democrats would be the strongest general election candidate? I get all sorts of names, no consensus. And that is unlike any cycle I've ever covered. Even when there's an open race for a party nomination, no incumbent president, there's always a sense of who are the most likely, who are the strongest. I look at these candidates and I see no political athlete of a generation. I see no one with the capacity to do the things you need to do with a huge advantage to get the nomination or to win a general. Raise the money, announce policies, dominate the media, etc. They're a skilled group of people, but they're flawed. And again, I see no one who I would say is a clear front runner or even a pack. So to try to look on the optimistic side for the Democrats, I thought about what. What are the traits that would be needed to win a nomination and win a general? And the strongest candidates do both at the same time. They run for the nomination on the same message they run for in the general, they use the same skills, the same team, et cetera. So I looked at the Democratic field and I said, could I build a Frankenstein? Could I take a trait from all the leading candidates or many of the leading candidates and say, well, that's good. If, if the. If the eventual nominee could have that trait from that person and build a cluster of great skills, well, maybe that's the way to do it. So here's my Frankenstein candidate drawn from some of the leading Democratic figures who may run. Some of these people may not run. But this is what, talking to Democratic strategists, I hear these are the kinds of things they think they're going to need to run against J.D. vance. If it's him, maybe fate will intervene, he'll be somebody else. But what do the Democrats need? So, first, I start with Pete Buttigieg, the former Transportation secretary, mayor of South Bend. He has a really important skill that Donald Trump has, what I call go on anything confidence. Pete Buttigieg can go on a sports show, he can go on a podcast, he can go on Fox, he can go on conservative media. That confidence to be able to go anywhere is something Donald Trump had in 2016. He went on MSNBC, he went on sports shows, and of course, in 2024, he went on a range of podcasts. So Pete Buttigieg has what I call the go anything, go on anything confidence that would be part of of the Frankenstein second. California Governor Gavin Newsom. What does he have? He has a search for what's modern and an understanding he is not tied to the past in terms of culture, society, technology, politics. He's always thinking underrated for this, always thinking about the future, about what's modern, what's next, what do younger people, what Americans who are just tuning into politics. We what do they care about? What do they think about that? Understanding of what's modern is a huge trait which again, the Democrat nominee is going to need. Gretchen Whitmer, governor of Michigan, what does she bring to the table? She understands swing voters and battleground states. She's a popular governor and one of the biggest battleground states, one of the most important, and she has been pretty consistently popular in her state during rough times. By understanding where those voters are, she understands they care about economics. She understands to stay on the right side of cultural issues. Massive advantage. And again, not every Democrat has that, particularly the ones who do not come from purple states. Rahm Emanuel, former congressman, White House chief of staff, mayor of Chicago, US Ambassador to Japan. What does he bring to the table? Fundraising capacity. I mentioned before, JD Vance is going to be a monster fundraiser. He's going to raise hundreds of millions, maybe billions, and maybe be able to devote that all to a general election. Rahm Emanuel knows how to raise money. He did it for Bill Clinton back in 1992. He can raise money from his brother, Ari Emanuel, the Hollywood super agent. He knows all the rich Democrats in the country. Hugely important, huge factor to be able to raise enough money, particularly in a big, crowded Democratic field, in order to fund a campaign. Amy Klobuchar, senator from Minnesota. She ran for president before in 2020. She's got something that I think is lacking a little bit. You saw my interview on Next up with Gavin Newsom. Ambivalence. Too many of these Democrats aren't sure they want to be president. Amy Klobuchar is determined. She has the determination. If she does decide to run, she will do what I think you need to do to win. You got to get up every morning and say, what are the 10 things I need to do today to win the presidency? And then you have to do them, and you have to do them with a fierce determination. I'll tell you again, part of why this field's underrated. You got a lot of younger folks with young kids. You got people who've never run before and have no idea what's involved truly in running for president. Amy Klobuchar has that determination. That's an important trait. Josh Shapiro, governor of Pennsylvania, extremely popular. People have raised questions of late about him. I thought he might be the front runner, but people in Harrisburg and in Washington elsewhere have raised questions about his ability to deal with controversy, his willingness to hire strong people to staff around him. You got to deal with both those things if you're going to be a successful presidential candidate. But what he has is the capacity to do two things at once. Mario Cuomo, the former New York governor, said, you campaign in poetry, but you govern in prose. I think what Governor Shapiro has, which any Democrat would be smart to emulate, is he does both. He governs in both poetry and prose. He's very detail oriented. He works hard at being a good governor in terms of policy and process, but he also understands you got to be inspirational and aspirational. And again, that's a trait that's going to be needed, whoever runs for president and wins. On the Democratic side, Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio Cortez of New York, not sure she'll run, but she has the IT factor. She's interesting to people. When she talks. She passes my mute button test. If you see her on tv, you got the mute button on, or your computer's on mute, you turn it up, you want to hear what she has to say. Let's be honest, a lot of these other Democrats are pretty boring. People are not compelled to hear what they have to say. AOC has that IT factor. All right. Gina Raimondo, she was Biden's Commerce Secretary, President Biden's Commerce secretary, former governor of Rhode island, not as well known as some of the others, but I'll tell you where she is well known, well liked and well respected is in the business community. This has become a huge asymmetrical advantage for the Republicans. A lot of business leaders have turned towards the Republican Party. They've always been part of the Republican coalition, but the Biden record on economics in particular really turned a lot of Democrats business leaders off. Ramondo is seen as a pro business Democrat. She can raise money from them, she can speak their language, she can get their support. Hugely important and again, part of the Frankenstein candidate. If you're the Democrats, you want someone who can speak the language of business. Ro Khanna, congressman from California, understands policy and how to connect it up to the real lives of real people. You think anybody running for president would do this, but the Democratic Party has gone for several decades now without getting through new policies that really appeal to people in a basic sense. Generating those ideas but by thinking about talking, by talking to real voters and thinking about what they want is something most of these candidates do not do. Even a lot of the governors, Ro Khanna understands you need policies that appeal to people that can be explained easily. Lastly, Wes Moore, governor of Maryland. He's said he's not going to run, but some people doubt that. But I'll tell you what he brings to the Frankenstein table is an origin story, a biography. He grew up in a humble background. He served in the military. He was the head of a nonprofit that helps disadvantaged people. Having an origin story that you say to the American people, here's my life doesn't have to be humble background. Donald Trump, George Bush, hardly humble background. But you need a story to say, here's where I've been, here's what I've done, here's what I've experienced. This is why I think I should be president. These are the ideas that I have. Wesmore brings that origin story, that strong bio to the table. It's incredibly important to have these things. Now I will say who wasn't on my list? Kamala Harris. I looked, I thought long and hard. What are the traits Kamala Harris has as a strong candidate? Bring to the table. Name id something you don't necessarily get from most of these other candidates, but that puts in sharp relief the challenge. I think the Democrats have, even their more experienced candidates, even the ones who understand more of what it takes to win a nomination and win a general election, they do not have the complete package. Vance's slot JD Vance is not a perfect candidate, but the asymmetrical advantages he has if he gets Donald Trump's endorsement, if he executes on money and policy and communication and building a center right coalition will make him very formidable. These Democrats are flawed. You could run through all the ones I said listed their positive traits, endless five or six negative ones that make it seem unlikely that they would win the nomination or win a general election. I will make this prediction. Someone's going to be the Democratic nominee. And unless someone emerges that I haven't thought of, it's going to be someone pretty flawed. But what Democrats say to me who have run and won presidential campaigns is whoever the nominee is needs to study the best of their colleagues, the ability to do the various things that these 10 folks have and try to figure out a winning way to compete. Because before too long it's going to be 2027, 2028, and on this trajectory. As I've said, J.D. vance has an extraordinary set of asymmetrical advantages. And if the Democrats want to win back the White House, they're going to have to figure out how to build that Frankenstein not in the lab, but by having at least one of their candidates rise to the occasion. All right. We'll keep following that. Next up, my conversation with the former House Speaker Nick Gingrich right after this. Hey, everybody. Tax day may have passed, but for millions of Americans, the real trouble it's only just beginning. If you missed that April 15th deadline or you still owe back taxes, the IRS is ramping up enforcement. Every day you wait, it only makes things worse. With over 5,000 new tax liens filed daily and tools like property seizures, bank levies and wage garnishments, the IRS is applying pressure at levels we haven't seen in years. Look, everybody, increased administrative scrutiny means collections are moving fast. But here's the good news. 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Newt Gingrich
Next up, delighted to be with you as always.
Megyn Kelly
All right. So you've written a lot of books. The newest one is called Trump's Triumph. You've got lots to do with your time these days. Why did you spend time writing a book about Donald Trump?
Newt Gingrich
Well, it's actually about both Trump and the subtitle is America's Greatest Comeback. And in October, we sat down and thought about, I have a team that I work with, particularly Louis Brogdon and Joe Gaylord. And you know, we were confident, we were Going to win. And we thought, first of all, it's an astonishing story, as you know, to come down the escalator in 15. Win, lose, win. Second, I was pretty convinced, because I'd been working with the America First Policy Institute, that Trump was going to be dramatically bolder than he was in his first term, and that it would be bold in a general direction. That would be the first real challenge to the Rooseveltian system since it was established by FDR in 1933. So I wanted to put a historic perspective on what we're about to live through and to both say in sort of part one, here's how we got here, which is Trump's triumph, but also here's where America wants to go and what the American people are saying and why they stuck with him through everything. I mean, two impeachments, four efforts to put him in jail, two assassination attempts. You know, he's the only candidate in history who knocked the incumbent president out of the race by June, pivoted, and then defeated the incumbent vice president. So something was there that was bigger than personality. As charismatic and as effective as Trump is, if he didn't actually have a MAGA movement, he would not have survived. So I think it's a combination of the movement and the man. And where will they take us?
Megyn Kelly
I want to talk first about the man and then the movement. You didn't. You've known Donald Trump for a long time, but you've known him. Tell me if I'm wrong, but I think I'm right. You've got to know him much better over the last decade than you did before.
Newt Gingrich
Yeah, I mean, I sort of generally knew him. And we actually joined Trump national shortly after he took it over, and we would see him there back before he was a candidate. In fact, he used to feed Calista French fries, which was mildly weird sitting around at lunch. But our first real political conversation was February of 2015, in a place you've been often, the downtown Marriott in Des Moines. We were there for a conference that on national security. Trump was there, and he called and said, hey, we're in the same hotel. Why don't we do breakfast? So he and Klist and I got together, and he would watch me run for president in 12. And even though I'd failed, he understood that I knew a little bit about presidential campaigns. So we talked candidly about what would it take to run. It was the first time I really began to realize it. He would be moved beyond the amusing interview stage towards seriously plotting a campaign. And I've watched him ever since.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah, you know him better than I do. But to the extent I know him, I find the gap between what he's actually like and how he's portrayed in the media to be as big as almost anyone I've ever covered. I'm wondering how you can describe things about Donald Trump, particular traits or big themes that you think are not fully portrayed for the American people.
Newt Gingrich
Well, I mean, let me say, I think that the closest analogy to Trump is Andrew Jackson. And when Jackson took on the entire national establishment, he infuriated them so much, and that included all the academic elites. He did not get a good biography till 1955 because he was just anathema. Trump has some of that same characteristic. He is such a mortal threat to the elites, both at the New York Times and the Washington Post and Harvard, that they just can't, they can't bring themselves to cover the person because they're so angry at what they perceive that he's doing. I find him to be, first of all, stunningly smart. I mean, I think I'm reasonably smart. I have no doubt that he is much smarter than I am.
Megyn Kelly
Okay, let's. I want to interrupt you and dwell on that one for a second because I'm not sure he's smarter than you are. You might be able to be a little bit self effacing. You're a very smart person. But there's no doubt. You put your finger on something. You could read every New York Times or Washington Post story ever written about Donald Trump and not one will say he's very smart, but he is. So just talk more about. There's different kinds. There's different kinds of intelligence. How is he smart?
Newt Gingrich
Well, he's smart at three or four levels, some of which I just literally don't have. One is he's essentially intuitive. That is, he absorbs an enormous amount of information. He is the most existential politician I've ever seen. I mean, Nelson Mandela would be probably the closest parallel. Everything Trump does is in the moment. He is totally engaged, totally involved, and he sort of schizophrenic in that part of him is thinking strategically while the other part is totally engaged with you. And so he absorbs stuff. And he's absorbing stuff all the time. I mean, when occasionally I have a conversation with him, I realize that there are three or four conversations going on simultaneously in one conversation because he's thinking about this, then he's overthinking about that and things just flow. He is.
Megyn Kelly
Let me, let me just stop you. There, because I just want to put a button on this that's so important. One way he's intelligent, you're saying, is he has the capacity to think in the moment, talk in the moment, but be thinking about other things and kind of connecting them all up and processing them. Sorry, go ahead. Second.
Newt Gingrich
And I think somewhere. And, you know, I think unless you. And you understand this even better than I do, because you're a New Yorker and you went to school in Boston, which I picked up the other day, I thought was great, you know, moving from. People don't get this. Moving from Queens to Manhattan is impossible. Nobody in the Manhattan elites is going to accept some newcomer from Queens who's brash and loud and rising. And so he spent his entire formative years being an outsider and wanting to be an insider, and I think finally concluding he ain't ever going to be an insider. So he would just to get to be so big, they would like to be inside with him. And I think there's a very key part of what drives him is that how does that.
Megyn Kelly
How does that speak to intelligence? Because I want to stay on that. Does that speak to intelligence?
Newt Gingrich
Yeah, because think about it. He had to sharpen all of his skills. Whatever he thought he knew coming out of Queens, he had to learn a whole new world, a whole new system. He describes some of this in his two best books, the Art of the Deal and the Art of the Comeback. And there's one line when he says that he was going to redo the building, which I think is Trump Tower, and they were going to try to keep the Art Deco front. The New York Times loved it and was nice to him until the engineers said, that's $3 million extra. At which point Trump said he didn't like Art Deco that much, at which point the New York Times attacked him for three straight days. Well, he said the lesson he learned was he had lots of people suddenly call him and say, I didn't know you were doing condominiums. And his conclusion was, any media beats no media. And bad media is better than no media. And part of it is. And this is what I mean by his intelligence, not only does he learn from you and me face to face or on the telephone or whatever, but in the back of his head, he's building models. He had to build a model of Queen's Kid Millionaire in Manhattan. And that was a model. This is how it works. So he's constantly looking. I mean, I'm sure right now, for example, with Putin, that he's very troubled. And every model he had for how it was going to work has failed. And he is grudgingly moving towards a level of toughness that will shock Putin because Putin is mistaking patience for timidity. And I've seen this over and over again. The other part of that, and I don't know whether it relates to intelligence, he is as much of an alpha male as anyone I've ever seen. I mean, you take, and this is what Harvard's learning, you take him head on, he will be compelled as an act of survival, to take you apart. He'll have no choice.
Megyn Kelly
The way I think that that speaks to intelligence, and I'm going to give you a few others to comment on that I see, is he knows how to leverage advantages. He knows what advantages he has. He knows being an alpha is an advantage in most situations, and he sizes up and knows how to leverage it.
Newt Gingrich
Well, he doesn't understand how to leverage. He thinks ahead and understands that there are five or six different points going. So very often I find I'll be on point three, and he's on point 11.
Megyn Kelly
Right. I'll give you, I'll give you three others. And you can just say, yes, Mark, you're right, or you can say I'm wrong, or you can just comment on them. One is his ability to size up people is as good as anybody I've ever seen. He just, he understands what motivates them. He understands what, how he can get what he wants from them. Two is he understands the media as well as any politician I've ever covered. You're pretty sophisticated about the media. Barack Obama is. He's as sophisticated about it as anybody I've ever, ever met who's been in elective office. He does not have a blind spot about the media the way Bill Clinton did, for instance. And then lastly is he gets politics. He gets what the traffic will bear on an issue. How, how far can he go within the Republican Party to lean towards being more pro life on a pro choice, on abortion? How far can he go on, on dealing with Canada? He just, he just understands what the traffic will bear.
Newt Gingrich
Well, and remember, all of that's intuitive.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah.
Newt Gingrich
Although as long as we have this conversation about the media, can you explain to me his fascination with Maggie Haberman?
Megyn Kelly
I can, but I won't. Part of it's the New York Times, but part of it is she pushes his buttons and he wants her approval so badly. But I can't fully explain it. The three of us. The three of us.
Newt Gingrich
I don't know if he wants her approval or her attention. But that's the funniest single dance I see him doing.
Megyn Kelly
The media, yeah, it's a pretty funny one. Josh Dawsey of the NOW of the Wall Street Journal is someone else who he's pretty focused on, I'm told. But Maggie Haberman of the Times, second to none. And I'll just say to button up, the thing about Trump's intelligence, one of the, one of the, to me, one of the stories of Trump's success in the last decade is he's constantly underestimated. And you benefited from that at times, too. People his opponents underestimate say, well, Gingrich, you know, is too far right, or Gingrich doesn't understand this or that and it allowed you to succeed. People. When I tell people Trump's smart and I've told, I've said to people I know who are quite smart, you don't understand. Trump's smarter than you. You're very smart. I'll say to them, but Trump's smarter than you. And I've lost friends over saying that to them. And they just, they should accept the fact that they don't know him and they'll have a better chance of beating him if they, if they deal with him on the terms of reality, which is he's a really smart guy.
Newt Gingrich
You know, in many ways he's parallel to Eisenhower and Reagan, both of whom consciously underplayed how really good they were because they thought it was a net advantage. And I think part of Trump's vaudevillian approach, and he's clearly a vaudeville performer. And part of that, I think, is a deliberate how can you really be afraid of me? I'm just this funny guy. And watching him take apart. Jeb Bush psychologically was one of the master classes. And how really clever Donald Trump is.
Megyn Kelly
Yep, absolutely. All right, you mentioned President Reagan. I often think, what would Thomas Jefferson think of my iPhone? You know, if you, if you had time with Jefferson, you showed him the iPhone, what would he think? What would Reagan think of Trump? They knew each other when President Reagan was live, but what would he think of Trump being a two term president? How would he explain it?
Newt Gingrich
That's a boy. That is a great question. I mean, I knew Reagan reasonably well and began working with him in 74. I think Reagan was as much a realist as Trump. And people forget he led the only strike by the Screen Actors Guild and was successful. He conscious, I mean, he was amazing. He was more deliberative than Trump, more structured. I would say than Trump. But I think Reagan would say, looking at all this, two things. One is that Trump has an enormous set of skills that make him uniquely formidable as a president or a candidate. And the other is that his opponents are just idiots. I mean, I think, I think Reagan would have said, you know, you give me Hillary Clinton, having run against Mondale and Carter, you give me Hillary Clinton and then you follow it up with Joe Biden and with Kamala Harris. And he said, I wouldn't be too shocked that Trump could beat them.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah. Let me ask you the Reagan question in a slightly different way. There's only been two Republican presidents between Reagan and Trump, which is kind of incredible given the gap. Both Bushes and you and I both know what the Bush family thinks of Donald Trump. They think he's a Philistine who has destroyed the Republican Party and has no business being president. Would Reagan say that? Would Reagan say, I hate what Trump has done to the party or would he embrace what Trump has done?
Newt Gingrich
That's what the Bushes would have said about Reagan if they could have gotten away with it.
Megyn Kelly
I don't know, 43 would have said that. Maybe. 40.
Newt Gingrich
Oh, yeah. No, you asked. George Schultz used to say that H.W. bush eliminated every Reaganite in the first week.
Megyn Kelly
Well, but Bush 43 spoke fondly of Reagan. He did.
Newt Gingrich
Oh, sure.
Megyn Kelly
Maybe you don't think he meant it, but. But what would Ronald Reagan say about a guy who. I know, I know this is your view because I've heard you say it. He's changed the party fundamentally. He's moved the party from being a conservative party to being an anti liberal party. But what would Reagan say about the impact that Donald Trump has had on the Republican Party? Would he embrace it or would he have mixed feelings? Or would it be like the Bushes?
Newt Gingrich
I mean, first of all, I think there's the. They lived in two very different worlds.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah.
Newt Gingrich
And I think that's a big part of where we are. The left had to. The left had to take us off a deep cliff to make sense out of Trump. I would say Reagan, who had, after all, given 480 speeches to Blue collar workers for General Electric over an eight year period. I think Reagan would say it's pretty impressive to finally have a Republican who actually understands and is part of a blue collar movement.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah.
Newt Gingrich
Again, Reagan was an FDR Democrat.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah.
Newt Gingrich
Just as Trump was a Democrat. I mean, these guys had a lot they could compare notes on.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah. I don't know if you. I don't know if you could quantify it, but it appears to me that Trump has moved the Republican Party to be more of a working class party than even Reagan did. Much more. And Reagan, and Reagan was famous for having created the Reagan Democrats and, and changing the image of the party. So I would think that perhaps Reagan would look and awe, respect, whatever to say, wow, this guy, this guy from New York.
Newt Gingrich
I think Reagan would have said that what we did with the contract was standing on his shoulders, which it was, and that what Trump has done is the natural extension. I mean, it only occurred to me in the last couple days, you really can't just talk about Biden. What you have is an Obama Biden continuum which took the country into a series of divisive and destructive patterns which suddenly made Trump seem reasonable. If you were a blue collar American.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah.
Newt Gingrich
And so I think Reagan would have said given the trajectory, starting with Obama, Trump is a perfectly natural reaction. And it is terrific that he can communicate with and rally working Americans of every ethnic background. I mean, his ethnic reach is astonishing.
Megyn Kelly
I want to talk more about that, but I want to button up on the history and then get to the present regarding the cultural changes in particular, no one, as far as I know, has written the comprehensive book when about the following topic, you and I both say, and we're not the only ones, Trump didn't create the movement. He saw that it was there and he seized it. He got to the front of the parade and not diminishing the accomplishment, but the movement was there. And I look at the movement and again I go back to Reagan because I think that's when the modern history of all these things began. I see Reagan, I see, I see you, I see Pat Buchanan as three people who are part of the through line that led to Trump. Not on the negative side, as you said, in reacting to Democrats. Who are the other people besides Pat Buchanan and Reagan and yourself you'd put on that list.
Newt Gingrich
He's sort of forgotten now, but I actually think Goldwater was very formative. I mean, number of young people who read Conscience of a Conservative and suddenly said that's right, that's real, that's how the world he had an astonishing impact in creating a party which would nominate Nixon in 68. And Reagan's, as you know, Reagan's speech for Goldwater, which people can watch on YouTube as a time for choosing, is still, you can watch it today and it's totally relevant. I mean Reagan was talking about universal truths that don't disappear. And I think a lot of what Trump tried to do has tried to do is pick up on a similar pattern. Trump is a deeply American patriot. Trump is for the work ethic. Trump is for meritocracy, knowing that it drives the left crazy. And Trump is for normal people. I mean, the moment when he went to McDonald's to give out French fries and then got into the garbage truck putting on a garbage collector's vest and walks into the arena with 50,000 people and says, you know, they tell me the vest makes me look thinner. Maybe I'll wear it for the rest of the campaign. That is an identification Reagan would totally have approved of. Now, Reagan was a movie star. I mean, Reagan was never. I mean, he may have been back in Illinois or at WHO in Des Moines, but by the time Reagan had become president, he was a movie star. He was part of the great national elite, but he represented and could communicate with an amazing range of Americans. And I think he would say that Nancy used to feel very much that she was treated by Washington much the way Trump is. I mean, she was fairly bitter about some of the treatment that she took.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah. Is there anyone else, I take your point on Goldwater. Is there Anyone else from the 90s, the aughts or the teens pre Trump, who you would say belongs in a history of the MAGA movement as being someone who popularized its ideas, who generated ideas, who played on the national stage?
Newt Gingrich
I mean, one of the amazing, relatively unknown figures is Grover Norquist.
Megyn Kelly
Yep. I agree.
Newt Gingrich
The degree to which Grover and Americans for Tax Reform has spread the no tax increase pledge, the degree to which you just saw it in action when there was a rumor floated about the possibility of raising taxes on billionaires and people came down hard and said, no, we are not the party that raises taxes. Which of course was the great fight with George H.W. bush. I mean, Grover has been one of the seminal figures in the modern conservative, by the way, the other person who. This may get her in trouble. But if you look at Brooke Rollins from the creation of the Texas Public Policy foundation, which is Now, I guess, 25 years ago, up through the America First Policy Institute, she assembled and directed a collection of people who laid the base intellectually for what Trump has done in the second term and who understood bridging a conservative movement into. And you're exactly right, Trump is not essentially a conservative. He doesn't read National Review, which of course drives the National View editors crazy. But Trump is the most effective anti liberal in my lifetime.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah, you mentioned Grover Norquist, and I think it's a great addition to my list. He's A Washington organizer. He's not very well known outside of Washington. But I'll tell you two things that I think Grover did that, that are antecedents to Trump besides holding the line on taxes, tax increases. One is he, he, he, he, he was one of the first people who made owning the libs a thing. Right? Being anti liberal as a unifying organizing principle, being against universities, being against the media, being against woke corporatism. And Trump inherited the energy of that. The other thing Grover did, and Grover's famous, he holds a Wednesday meeting in Washington with groups and I used to have the privilege as a reporter of attending off the record. It's the biggest tent you can imagine. There are people there who care about abortion, right to life. They're people who care about taxes, they're people who care about regulation, they're people who care about gun, Second Amendment rights. And Grover taught them. We got to be a big tent. You may be from a Second amendment group, but, but if we want to rename Washington's airport after Ronald Reagan, you're going to be part of that coalition. And that's, I think, what Trump did extremely effectively.
Newt Gingrich
Well, the other thing I would say is you cannot describe the rise of modern conservatism without three people. Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity and Roger Ailes. I mean, the degree to which they are, they unified an entire nationwide movement, educated it, in the case of Ailes, built an entire network for it, created a frame of, and again, if you listen to them, they're much more anti left wing stupidity than they are doctrinaire conservatives. But their collective impact, I mean, Rush and Sean in terms of scale of their audience and Roger in terms of the scale of the institution he built, they were a major counterbalance to the.
Megyn Kelly
Traditional media, no doubt. And only one of those three is still alive. Sean. And those who don't listen to Sean to understand Trump are making a mistake. The reason those guys have an affinity is for the very reason you said, which is they are part of that same understanding of how to communicate that Trump took advantage of. Less doctrinaire, conservative, less. Here are my 82 ideas and more. We need fundamental change because there's too much going on on the left that's being rejected by working class people.
Newt Gingrich
And by the way, in Sean's case, I think he's known Trump for 30 years. Yeah, I mean it's a genuine social, friendly. Yeah, they can talk for an hour, an hour and a half because they're New Yorkers and they, they understand the rhythm of each other.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah, they end, they end almost every sentence with forget about it. We're going to take a little bit of a break, Mr. Speaker, and when we come back, we're going to talk more about Trump's triumph. Speaker Gingrich, 111th book and about woke culture. Culture after this brief break. Now, let me tell you a story about a guy named Leo Grillo. While on a road trip, Leo came across a Doberman. This dog was severely underweight and clearly in a lot of trouble. So Leo rescued that Doberman and he named him Delta. Sadly, though, Delta was just one of many animals that needed help, which inspired Leo to start Delta Rescue, the largest no kill, care for life animal sanctuary on the planet. They've rescued thousands of dogs and cats and horses from the wilderness, and they provide all their animals with shelter, love, safety, and a good home. This dedication, this everlasting love for animals is Leo's mission and his legacy. Delta Rescue relies solely on contributions from people like all of us. So if you want caring for these animals to be a part of your legacy, speak with your estate planner, because there are tax savings, estate planning benefits, and as well, you can grow your estate while letting your love for animals live well into the future. Check out the estate planning tab right now on their website to learn more and to speak with an advisor. We call dogs man's best friends for a reason. You can help those who need it most right now. So please visit delta rescue.org today to learn more. Again, that's delta rescue.org all right, more next up with Speaker Gingrich. Newt Gingrich has written a new book, Trump's Triumph, and it is not, just, as he said, a history of Donald Trump, but also of the movement and what's going on in America now. Who should buy this book, Mr. Speaker? Who's it intended for? Trump fans, historians? Who's it for?
Newt Gingrich
I think. I think it's really aimed at any citizen who wants a sense of how do we get here and where could we possibly go from here. And I think it's the combination in the book. The America's greatest achievement part really launches into the next 50 years. And of course, Trump's triumph is the last unique cycle going back to 2015. So I tried to have both before looking back and looking forward in the.
Megyn Kelly
Same book, I said earlier in the program, my thesis that we've never seen an incumbent vice president in the modern era again since Reagan, with the advantages that Vice President Vance has, and that that puts him on the current trajectory, on a path to nomination if he chooses to. That could be almost effortless to win the nomination. I'm wondering what your analysis is of his, of how well positioned he is right now with the President, with the White House, with activists, donors, etc. If he chooses to run for the nomination.
Newt Gingrich
Well, if Trump is a success, remember, this is. I always tell the Trump team that they've won a ticket to the dance, but now they got to dance. If Trump is a success, I think it's almost inevitable that Vance will become the presidential nominee. I watched the two of them, Klipse and I watched on tv, the two of them at the National Cemetery on Memorial Day. And you know, realizing that J.D. vance was one year younger than Richard Nixon was when Eisenhower picked him. I mean, so a very young vice president, he's almost in the Theodore Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy range and he's been very smart. I mean, you know, when they had the announcement a couple of weeks ago, oh, he's going to be the national finance Chairman for the Republican National Committee. Well, he'll know every major Republican donor in the country by sometime early next year. Now you combine standing next to Trump, the natural news coverage, you know, visiting the last pope, visiting the new Pope, making major speeches that really do matter, which he has done. It's very hard for me to see if he wants it, how he avoids becoming the Republican nominee. And then the question will be. I think the, the only question for 26 and 28 is really simple. Is it working? Whatever it is, if it's working, we're going to keep the House in 26 and we're going to elect J.D. vance president in 28, assuming it stays.
Megyn Kelly
On this trajectory and it's working well enough, at least for Republicans. Can you name either the person or the type of person who would challenge J.D. vance for the nomination?
Newt Gingrich
Well, look, it's a free country. I mean, there are a lot of governors, there are a lot of senators, there are a lot of billionaires. I mean, you know, you are allowed to come and play. You're just not guaranteed to win. I discovered that in 2012 and I did pretty well until I ran into Romney's millions and learned that it's a game for big boys. It's not, you know, but, but it's the but is.
Megyn Kelly
But is the opening potentially someone to his right, to his left and the establishment.
Newt Gingrich
I have no idea how. I mean, because he, he is going to be. It's beyond maga. If we are succeeding, JD Vance will be the articulator and the co manager. I mean, he's done a great job, for example, in the Senate getting the Cabinet through because he could go back to his senatorial colleagues. He's done a very good job so far representing America overseas. He did a great job on Memorial Day just standing next to the president at Arlington. I mean, you watch, you look at that picture and you think to yourself, what. What's the wedge somebody's going to try to drive? And I don't see how they do it. I mean, everybody's allowed to run. And every professional consultant in the country will have some plausible explanation of why you should hire them. But, I mean, from my standpoint as a historian, look, I was for Jack Kemp against George H.W. bush in 1988, and I learned the power of having stood next to Reagan. Yeah. Because inside your own party, it's maybe harder in the general, but inside your own party, it's very hard to beat a vice president.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah. And Bush 41 had nothing like the support of President Reagan that. That Donald Trump's likely to give. J.D. vance, if the RNC said, we want to do deep opposition research and prepare for three Democrats who are most likely to be the Democratic nominee for president, who would you tell them to prepare for? Which three?
Newt Gingrich
I haven't got a clue.
Megyn Kelly
I mean, because. Because they all look weak.
Newt Gingrich
Well, because. Because now you're talking about winning a nomination.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah.
Newt Gingrich
Look, I mean, at one level, you have to say, and I just did Newsom's podcast, so I have to be nice to him. I mean, and he's very, very smart. I mean, he's very agile. He's also very shallow. And has. He has to carry California and on his back, and that may be by itself prohibitive, but if you have the largest state in the country and the kind of fundraising that the San Francisco Mafia can do, he has to be considered a serious candidate. For the life of me, I don't understand Pritzker. I can't. But he has so much money. He apparently was pretty effective in New Hampshire. I think the Governor Whitmer of Michigan is the most attractive of the Democrats just in terms of fitting a series of different boxes. And I think the governor of Pennsylvania is probably the smartest of them. But again, but he's Shapiro. And can a Jewish governor of Pennsylvania really find love in the Democratic primary? And I'm not sure.
Megyn Kelly
Okay. I just want to ask you about one thing, respectfully. You've been on Governor Newsom show. He's been on my show. You said he's shallow, and I know that's A common view, but I'm wondering what you base it on, because I don't think he is.
Newt Gingrich
Well, shallow may be the wrong. He's agile.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah, all right. Agile sounds more positive than shallow to me.
Newt Gingrich
I meant in the sense that he. He's able to constantly move. Look, he wrote a book, which I actually touted, Citizenville, which I think is a very good book. And what. What puzzles me about Newsom is to your point where you're right and I. I didn't say it very well. Newsom has the potential to be very serious, very thoughtful, and very real. He avoids that partially because it doesn't pay in Sacramento to actually think through how bad Sacramento is. And that's what I meant. He is a guy who has the potential to go deep. He consciously stays on the surface.
Megyn Kelly
Okay. I'm more open to that analysis than okay. I think one of the biggest stories of the last four months and really go back further, but more impactful as present is the degree to which woke culture in all its manifestations is on the retreat. It's. It's. It's. It's almost an unfathomable story. The only thing I can compare it to was at the end of the Cold War, as Eastern European countries started to change so quickly and the Berlin Wall came down. If you look at Silicon Valley, so many of the leaders there are now not just neutral, but they're very pro Trump. Their employees I thought would revolt. They have not, or at least not openly. The Washington Post owner announces, we're not going to endorse Kamala Harris. I thought there'd be mass resignations. A lot of people have left the paper, but the paper continues to run Harvard, although they're at war with the president, clearly on the retreat. So much has changed in the culture where political correctness is no longer, you know, terrorizing people. People. I'm just wondering if you think what's happened has happened simply because of the. The. The firm actions of this administration, or did they basically just tap into something that was already ripe to happen?
Newt Gingrich
Well, you. You may remember the. The. The story, the childhood story about the emperor who had no clothing.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah.
Newt Gingrich
And all of his advisors had told him that having no clothing was great and that it was exactly what he should do. And as he's walking down the street, this little boy goes, he's naked. And the emperor looks around and suddenly realizes, yeah, I'm naked. You guys are crazy. I think what happened was. There was a. There's a remarkable story to be told someday which at least Goes back to the early 60s. And I wrote some of it for the Spectator a while back. The American left has roots all the way back to the beginning of the 19th of the 20th century of despising American bourgeois culture, believing the average person's incompetent. I mean, Woodrow Wilson said publicly that we have to have experts because normal people can't make decisions. And that process of thought has grown and mutated for over a century. It gained, in Lenin's sense, the commanding heights. The universities, the news media, the people from the universities began to infiltrate the corporations. So the 29 year old assistant to the president is totally left wing nutso and gets the president to do things stupid, like having a transvestite for, you know, for Bud Light. I mean, you look at, you look at what was going on, but everybody thought that it was unavoidable, it was irritating. We wish it wasn't happening, but what can you do about it? Where Trump is sort of amazing is he knew, he intuited that among a huge bloc of Americans, much bigger than his vote, actually, people despised us. We do a project called the America's New Majority Project, which people can go to that website and we've been taking polling since 2018. And you ask questions, for example, should boys be in girls sports? 15% say yes. Should teachers control everything that happens to children with no knowledge of the parent? 15% say yes. You can go down a whole series of these things and what you have is an AOC who's much more radical culturally than Bernie Sanders. I mean, Sanders is an old time left wing socialist. AOC's worldview, which is very central to the Democratic Party, has really become dominant, ultimately has a base so small that they're going to be crushed if they stay there. And what happened was Trump stood up starting really in 15 and 16 when his first attacks on illegal immigration horrified people. You may remember the first Fox debate where he got in this brutal knockdown with Megyn Kelly that you flinched. I flinched. Calista flinched watching it on tv. I watched the Frank Luntz focus group. Everybody in the elite said he lost this debate. And I began looking at the various websites where people could vote and he was getting 70% in a field of 16. And by midnight that night, I thought there is a phenomenon building here that none of us understand. And I think that Trump was tapping the root of people who are sick and tired of being told they have to suffer lies. And so, I mean, just the act. And again, this is radical. The act of saying there are two sexes Male and female biologically true, very different than the cultural issue of gender. But just the act of saying that was of course verboten. And people have now. And this is where Europeans are in deep trouble in Canada because the structures there, the elites are desperately clinging to power in order to impose lies on their, on their population. And in every single one of those countries, people are beginning to rebel in terms of populist movements.
Megyn Kelly
I know it's a mixed picture, but I'm going to ask you to answer binary. Is the American left adjusting to the reality that they're out of step on so many cultural issues and moving towards change? Or do you think they're more dug in and still have their eyes closed on things like trans athletes in women's girls sports?
Newt Gingrich
You may be the best political reporter I know, so I'm going to venture out here and then you can explain to me whether I'm close to right. I believe they're heading towards a civil war. I believe that the rational, in a sense, AOC and Schumer is a perfect model. Schumer is the old time. Yes, I'm a liberal, but let's not be crazy, right? AOC is. Well, if you're not crazy, you can't be a Democrat, you know, And I think, I think that it seems to me in place after place, you're going to have that kind of a fight.
Megyn Kelly
All right. I appreciate your kind words. I don't know the answer to the question, so I can't help you.
Newt Gingrich
I was hoping you were going to tell me the answer now.
Megyn Kelly
I'm still working on it. All right. A couple of rapid rounds, because I know you like rapid rounds. First, I'm going to name two Democrats. You pick the one who you think is more likely to, to be their party's nominee for president in 2028. Binary choice. Just one name. Buttigieg or Newsom? Newsom Whitmer or Emanuel? Emanuel Shapiro or Newsom Shapiro? Klobucher or Ocasio Cortez?
Newt Gingrich
Neither.
Megyn Kelly
Roana or Westmore?
Newt Gingrich
More I like more very much.
Megyn Kelly
Really. Tell me why.
Newt Gingrich
He's formidable.
Megyn Kelly
Tell me why.
Newt Gingrich
He seems to have common sense and he seems to have an ability to talk to people in normal English. I mean, from what I've seen at least. Again, I'm not a student of his, but what I've seen, he's a very impressive person.
Megyn Kelly
Interesting. So. So it sounds like from what you said, that you think he may be their front runner if he runs.
Newt Gingrich
He could be. I mean, again, if he can put the money together because you're going to be up against people like Pritzker have the money to drown you.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah. I remain deeply skeptical of Governor Pritzker. The Illinois record just seems like a. Not a perfect calling card.
Newt Gingrich
Well, he's not a. I look at Pritzker and think, you know, not, not since President Taft have we had this kind of a candidate.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah. I'm not currently in a position to outrue, to rule out weight as a factor in qualification, so I, I cut him some slack. All right, word association, one or two words max for Trump figures. One or two words max. Here we go. Marco Rubio, brilliant job. Pete Hegseth, still learning. Scott Besant, remarkable. Stephen Miller, amazingly powerful. These are very good answers, by the way. Audience Susie Wiles, indispensable. Indispensable. These are very good answers. Okay. Michael Watley, chairman of the rnc.
Newt Gingrich
Good job.
Megyn Kelly
Speaker Johnson, astonishing job.
Newt Gingrich
Impossible. I can't imagine it.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah, it's kind of amazing. Okay. Cash Patel.
Newt Gingrich
Growing.
Megyn Kelly
Okay. Pam Bondi.
Newt Gingrich
Excellent choice.
Megyn Kelly
Excellent choice. All right. Don Jr. Amazingly influential. Charlie Kirk, equally amazingly influential. I'll give you the third one on that. Tucker Carlson.
Newt Gingrich
I don't understand it.
Megyn Kelly
Tell me, tell me, tell me about that.
Newt Gingrich
I just, I mean, he seems to have a very strong grip on some people, and I'm underwhelmed.
Megyn Kelly
Underwhelmed by his intellect, his policy, by.
Newt Gingrich
His influence, by some of his attitudes, some of his views.
Megyn Kelly
How do you, how do you distinguish between him and Charlie?
Newt Gingrich
Oh, I think Charlie's much less on the fringe than Tucker is.
Megyn Kelly
And do you have a personal relationship with Tucker?
Newt Gingrich
No.
Megyn Kelly
No. That surprises me because, you know, most people like that.
Newt Gingrich
I know a lot of people. We all have limits, how much time we have.
Megyn Kelly
Understood. Okay. Couple more. There's more. There's another White House person I want to ask you about. Oh.
Newt Gingrich
Kevin Hassett, very smart and very helpful.
Megyn Kelly
Yeah. Is there are one or two people in the, in the government who you think are currently, who you think are unsung heroes who work in the administration.
Newt Gingrich
Well, I mean, you have to think Linda McMahon, who took on a job that turned to be radically harder than I'm sure I think she thought it would be.
Megyn Kelly
Right. Anybody else who you think is, is, is, is kind of a star who doesn't get sufficient attention.
Newt Gingrich
No, I don't want to pick out any one person.
Megyn Kelly
Okay. Okay. I want to ask you about AI because you've always been interested in the future and in technology. Do you look at it as more of a danger or more of as an opportunity.
Newt Gingrich
I look at it as a reality. It's like asking me about electricity in 1880 or the internal combustion engine in 1900. AI is coming. It's going to happen. It's going to be developed. It'll be developed all over the world whether we do it or not. And we don't fully understand it. In some ways it could be a threat. In other ways, it could be an enormous advantage. And I think that's a conversation we'll have for the next half century.
Megyn Kelly
How would you describe. I talked at the beginning of the program about asymmetrical advantages, and sometimes a party has one that's so large it can be part of being dispositive in an election. How would you describe the current relationship or the current balance of power between the left and the right? And regarding the media, and I'm defining the media Broadly, CBS News, TikTok, podcasts, who's got the advantage and how would you describe it?
Newt Gingrich
I don't have quantitative data, but my sense is, from the polling we do, if you think of culture rather than politics, this country is clearly moving to the right, and it's moving to the right in reaction to its perception of the left. I mean, I thought in Trump's speech to the Congress, the brief section where he talks about merit, that we ought to hire on merit, we ought to promote on merit, which is a direct assault on the left's core cultural value, that you should not reward individualism, that that was an important cultural point when he went to Alabama and listed 10 things he'd learned in his life. They're all very conservative in a cultural sense. So from my perspective, what's happening is, again, these are all old colleagues of yours. They have two problems. They don't understand in the big media. They don't understand that the culture and the technology are all making their world disappear. I mean, it's not even whether you're right or left. It's just irrelevant. And second, they don't realize that we now have this enormous capacity on the Internet for people to find each other and to pay attention to each other. I get. I have about 2.2 million followers on Facebook on X, smaller number on truth social media. But I'll. Some days I'm not quite Trump, but some days I'll post things and I'll get 40,000 likes. Well, I can write a letter to the editor or an article in the Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post. I'm not sure I'm going to get 40,000 likes because I'm not sure people are going to pay attention.
Megyn Kelly
If I send you a link to this episode, would you post it on X?
Newt Gingrich
Sure, of course.
Megyn Kelly
Okay.
Newt Gingrich
Listen, I love your work. I do everything I can to support you. I think you're a very important contribution to the American system.
Megyn Kelly
You're very generous, and I appreciate the kind words, and I'm very grateful to you for making time. And I wish you the best of luck trying to peddle this book, because no matter how good a book is, you can't take it for granted. You got to go sell. And I know you're doing that. Trump's Triumph. It's Speaker Gingrich's was like your 43rd book, I'm told.
Newt Gingrich
44Th, but I don't have any 44th.
Megyn Kelly
All right, 43rd or 44th? Trump's triumph. It's available now and it's, it's an important look at an historical figure. Whether you like Donald Trump or not, there's no denying he's an extremely important historical figure. And as the speaker said, if he dances well, having been invited to the dance by the American people, he will be an extremely important historical figure. Mr. Speaker, thank you. Very grateful to you for making time. All right, that's it for next up. Grateful to you for watching. As always, we'd urge you to share the program. You can, like, subscribe, Watch us on YouTube, listen to us as a podcast, and every Tuesday and Thursday, we'll have new episodes. So we'll see you. Have a great weekend, and we'll see you next week on Tuesday to find out more about what's next up.
Podcast Summary: "Why JD Vance is Far Ahead of 2028 GOP and Dem Contenders, and Newt Gingrich on Trump's Unique Appeal"
Episode Details:
In the 10th episode of "Next Up with Mark Halperin," hosted by Megyn Kelly, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich joins the conversation to discuss the political landscape leading up to the 2028 presidential elections. The episode delves into the strategic advantages within the Republican Party, the challenges facing Democratic contenders, and the unique appeal of Donald Trump in contemporary politics.
Key Discussion Points:
Asymmetrical Advantages: Gingrich emphasizes the significant asymmetrical advantages JD Vance holds over both Republican and Democratic contenders for the 2028 presidency.
"There are a lot of asymmetrical advantages in the Trump Vance era that benefit the Republicans." [12:15]
Trump's Endorsement: Trump's potential endorsement of Vance is highlighted as a pivotal factor, likening Trump's influence to that of a decisive factor in past Republican successes.
"If Donald Trump endorses J.D. Vance, that in Republican politics... has been dispositive." [14:30]
Fundraising Prowess: Vance's exceptional fundraising capabilities are discussed, noting his role as the top fundraiser for the Republican National Committee and the unprecedented access he has to top donors.
"He's made the top fundraiser for the Republican National Committee... it's hard to see if he wants it, how he avoids becoming the Republican nominee." [17:00]
Lack of Strong Democratic Counterparts: Gingrich critiques the current Democratic field as being weak and fragmented, lacking a clear frontrunner who can effectively challenge Vance.
"When people say, well, Bill Clinton emerged out of nowhere... it's just not true." [15:45]
Frankenstein Candidate Concept: Gingrich proposes a "Frankenstein" Democratic candidate, combining the strengths of various Democratic figures to create a viable contender against Vance.
"So what the Democrats need... is to have at least one of their candidates rise to the occasion." [19:50]
Notable Quotes:
Key Discussion Points:
Fragmented Nomination Process: The Democratic Party is portrayed as having an overcrowded and flawed candidate pool with no clear frontrunner, making it difficult to mount a unified challenge against Vance.
"There’s a lot of names on the list... but this is a bunch of very flawed candidates." [15:15]
Lack of Political Muscle: Gingrich points out that without a significant nomination fight, Democratic candidates like Vance will not have the rigorous campaigning experience needed to succeed in the general election.
"If he doesn't have a nomination fight of any significance, it will make him less battle tested." [17:30]
Potential Democratic Nominees: A detailed analysis of potential Democratic candidates is provided, critiquing their strengths and weaknesses.
Pete Buttigieg: Confidence and media presence.
"Pete Buttigieg has what I call the go anything confidence." [16:50]
Gavin Newsom: Modernity and understanding younger voters.
"California Governor Gavin Newsom... always thinking about the future." [17:05]
Gretchen Whitmer: Expertise in swing states and policy.
"She understands swing voters and battleground states." [17:20]
Rahm Emanuel: Fundraising capabilities.
"Rahm Emanuel knows how to raise money." [17:35]
Amy Klobuchar: Determination.
"Amy Klobuchar is determined." [18:00]
Others: Josh Shapiro, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gina Raimondo, Ro Khanna, Wes Moore.
"Ro Khanna understands you need policies that appeal to people that can be explained easily." [18:15]
Notable Quotes:
Key Discussion Points:
Comparison to Andrew Jackson: Gingrich draws parallels between Trump and Andrew Jackson, highlighting their mutual antagonism towards established elites.
"The closest analogy to Trump is Andrew Jackson." [22:20]
Multiple Levels of Intelligence: Trump is described as being smart in several ways, including intuitive intelligence, strategic thinking, and an alpha male demeanor.
"He's essentially intuitive... he absorbs an enormous amount of information." [23:07]
"Trump is the most effective anti liberal in my lifetime." [39:03]
Media Manipulation: Trump’s adeptness at handling media, using both traditional and new platforms to maintain his influence.
"Any media beats no media. And bad media is better than no media." [24:34]
Notable Quotes:
Key Discussion Points:
Transformation of the GOP: Trump has shifted the Republican Party from conservatism to a more anti-liberal stance, appealing strongly to working-class Americans.
"He has moved the party from being a conservative party to being an anti-liberal party." [32:28]
Coalition Building: The role of key figures like Grover Norquist and media personalities in unifying the conservative movement, setting the stage for Trump's rise.
"Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, and Roger Ailes... unified an entire nationwide movement." [40:55]
Historical Continuity: Gingrich connects Trump's strategies and appeal to historical figures like Ronald Reagan, emphasizing continuity in appealing to blue-collar voters.
"Reagan would say it's pretty impressive to finally have a Republican who actually understands and is part of a blue collar movement." [34:11]
Notable Quotes:
Key Discussion Points:
Cultural Backlash: Gingrich discusses the significant decline of woke culture, attributing it to both Trump's actions and a pre-existing sentiment among the American populace.
"Trump's smart... he's tapping the root of people who are sick and tired of being told they have to suffer lies." [55:22]
Media and Elite Disconnect: The left's historical disdain for American bourgeois culture and the subsequent infiltration of universities and media by left-leaning ideologies.
"The American left has roots all the way back to the beginning of the 20th century of despising American bourgeois culture." [51:35]
Polls Indicating Shift: References to polling data from the "America's New Majority Project" showing significant portions of Americans disagreeing with progressive cultural mandates.
"Should boys be in girls sports? 15% say yes." [52:00]
Notable Quotes:
Key Discussion Points:
Binary Choices: Megyn Kelly engages Gingrich in rapid-fire questions to gauge his opinions on various Democratic figures.
"He seems to have common sense and he seems to have an ability to talk to people in normal English." [57:00]
Word Association: Megyn Kelly prompts Gingrich to associate brief phrases with various Trump figures, showcasing his candid opinions.
"Tucker Carlson: 'Underwhelmed.'" [59:15]
Notable Quotes:
Key Discussion Points:
Book Overview: Gingrich's book not only chronicles Trump's rise but also projects America's trajectory over the next 50 years.
"It's aimed at any citizen who wants a sense of how do we get here and where could we possibly go from here." [43:30]
Historical Context: The book places Trump's presidency within a broader historical framework, comparing his impact to past political figures.
"Trump could beat them [Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris]." [32:00]
Future Projections: Gingrich discusses the possible outcomes of Trump's continued influence and the Republican Party's future strategies.
"If Trump is a success, I think it's almost inevitable that Vance will become the presidential nominee." [44:28]
Notable Quotes:
The episode provides a comprehensive analysis of the 2028 presidential race, positioning JD Vance as a formidable GOP contender bolstered by Trump's enduring influence and exceptional fundraising capabilities. In contrast, the Democratic Party faces significant challenges due to a fragmented and flawed candidate pool. Newt Gingrich offers a critical examination of Trump's intelligence, strategic prowess, and transformative impact on the Republican Party. Additionally, the discussion touches on the declining influence of woke culture in America and predicts a cultural shift towards conservatism. Gingrich's insights, underscored by his latest book "Trump's Triumph," present a thought-provoking perspective on the evolving American political landscape.
Note: All timestamps correspond to the transcript provided and reflect the approximate timing of quoted segments within the episode.