
This week, the round table convenes to discuss who wins and who loses when the government shuts down.
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Mass. General Brigham in Boston is an integrated hospital system that's redefining patient care through groundbreaking research and medical innovation. Top researchers and clinicians like Dr. Pamela Jones are helping shape the future of healthcare. Mass General Brigham is pushing the frontier of what's possible. Scientists collaborating with clinicians, clinicians pushing forward research. I think it raises the level of care completely. To learn more about Mass. Gen. Brigham's multidisciplinary approach to care, go to nytimes.com mgb that's nytimes.com mgb this is the Opinions, a show that brings you a mix of voices from New York Times Opinion. You've heard the news. Here's what to make of it.
B
My name is David French. I'm a columnist for New York Times Opinion. And you may have noticed I'm not Michelle Cottle, our normal host for this round table. I'm the backup quarterback today, but I'm here with first stringers, my fellow columnist Jamelle Bui and Michelle Goldberg. Guys, how's it going?
A
Everything's going great in America, as ball.
C
As it can go. I suppose everyone's happy today.
A
Okay, maybe punch drunk.
B
On Tuesday. We're recording this on a Wednesday. Tuesday. Democrats and Republicans in Congress were unable to come to an agreement on a spending bill to keep the government operational. And as a result, we're in another shutdown and power struggles that got us here. The strategies to consider are really important to understand whatever ultimately becomes of this. So let's just start very, very high level. Michelle and Jamel, what's your very quick, top level immediate reaction? Michelle, do you want to go first?
A
Well, I think Democrats had no choice but to shut down the government. I do think that their messaging has been sort of weak and incoherent and I don't have super high hopes for them actually accomplishing anything significant.
C
Yeah, I have a similar view of Democratic messaging that the relentless focus on health care here I think ends up being more harmful than helpful. I think the ideal position for approaching these budget negotiations was simply to say, listen, all this year the administration has been refusing to respect congressional appropriations, has been unilaterally cutting programs, redirecting funds, spending mysterious sums of money, and we're simply not going to agree to a budget deal that preserves the administration's ability to do that. We will agree to a budget deal that will include some sort of guarantees or mechanisms that can prevent the administration from doing that. That's simple, easy to understand. No government money for a president who doesn't obey the law. And it puts the Onus on the Republicans who run the government, who have the White House, who have been looking the other way on this stuff, but turning this into negotiation over health care subsidies in addition to feeling just small ball and non reactive to what people actually care about. Not to say that people don't care about healthcare, but you know what I mean, people are, their blood is hot about these other things and Democrats are like, let's talk about healthcare instead. And so I don't know how this all plays out, but I do think that Democrats took what has always been not a great hand, right? Like they are in the minority and they played it quite badly, which is maybe the story of the modern Democratic Party.
B
So, Michelle, you said no choice. I was very interested that you said no choice because it seems to me that this is obviously a choice. It's a strategic choice to try to, as Jamel was saying, accomplish something concrete on assuring spending guarantees or, you know, you've got the health care subsidy issue and the Affordable Care out. Why are you saying no choice here?
A
Well, I think that, look, we have a president who is completely lawless. We are in a free fall towards authoritarianism. You have a Democratic Party electorate that is absolutely furious at their leaders. I mean, I cannot overstate the amount of anger there is towards Chuck Schumer in particular. Something that I think is very different than this in other shutdowns is the complete refusal of Republicans to negotiate or make even the barest concessions. I mean, this was not the case with, say, like the Newt Gingrich shutdown during the Clinton years. You know, Clinton was never saying, my offer is fuck you. Excuse me, I don't know if I'm allowed to swear on this. And so given this set of circumstances, I mean, I think that the there, okay, I guess, yes, you always have a choice. But the choice here was between total capitulation and public acknowledgment of complete powerlessness or using the tiny bit of leverage you actually have. And to me, that's not really any choice at all.
B
So we're definitely going to circle back to the political strategy here, but let's pull back a little bit and talk about why you shut down the government. We've seen a number of them recently. There were three under Trump's two administrations. So why is this happening? Why do we keep going back to this particular tactic when I'm not sure that looking back, I can point to a concrete thing that a single shutdown has really accomplished?
C
I think part of this, how do I put this, I think that Part of the recurringness of the shutdown as a political tactic actually has less to do with particular tactical or strategic decisions or visions at the respective parties. But just to the extent to which Congress no longer operates by anything that looks like regular order doesn't operate according to what I think people may imagine, Congress operates, oh well, at the beginning of the year, beginning of the fiscal year, they like the, they pass a budget, et cetera, et cetera, they pass individual bills to deal with particular issues, et cetera, et cetera. None of that happens. Congress runs on these continuing resolutions for the most part. There's basically no capacity, it seems, to write a traditional kind of budget and pass it into law. And to the extent that there's any lawmaking capability anymore, it is centered around these reconciliation bills, which end up being these omnibus fiscal bills that are mostly written by leadership and then tossed onto the floor. So the deterioration of Congress's capacity to actually engage in traditional lawmaking, I think actually just creates the scenario. It creates these deadlines by which if a continuing resolution isn't passed, the government doesn't get funded, and then that becomes the terrain for a bunch of gamesmanship and maneuvering and tactical nonsense or whatever. But I think if you had a Congress that was functional right, if you had a Congress that looked like the Congress that existed in, pick a random year in the 20th century, 1954, you wouldn't see this kind of thing. Maybe you can throw in partisan polarization, ideological polarization, the extent to which there no longer is a kind of flexible middle within Congress. But I would really zero in on the collapse of Congress's capacity to do anything, which honestly is downstream, I would argue, is downstream of the kind of hard nosed congressional politics that emerged with Gingrich in the late 80s and 90s and continue on into the 2000s up to the present.
B
So, Michelle, a lot of what Jamel says resonates with me. I mean, I've been banging the drum of Congress not working for a really long time. I'm, I think, the oldest person on this podcast by a bit. So I'm going to pull the old man card and say, I remember back in my day, you could have a situation where a closely divided Senate, for example, could result in an 8020 compromise, where you would actually have the different factions get together a reach across the aisle on areas of common interest and reach a compromise solution. Is this where we are, Michelle? Is this just what it looks like to say Congress is doing something in a dysfunctional era? Is this just what it looks like For Congress to do something.
A
Yeah, I don't even know if it's so much that it's like Congress is doing something. I think it's more that what it looks like for Democrats to, with their very, very weak hand, say we are not going to be complicit in this administration's kind of rapid dismantling of American liberal democracy. And the problem, of course, is that that's not their message, that's not their rationale. And I think part of the problem with the way Democrats have approached this is that the, I think people can feel the gap between their rationale, which feels kind of consultant brained and focused, focus grouped and what people say in private and what's truly motivating both the voters, but a lot of the politicians themselves. I mean, I think it's important not to minimize the impact of these coming price hikes for health care. They're going to be like devastating and shattering for a lot of people. So there's an argument that shutting down the government over this kind of raises the salience so that when people get the notice that their health insurance is going way up, they can kind of connect it to what's happening in Washington. I think that makes sense. But, but at the same time it's alighting the issues. And so yes, I mean, to me I kind of take it for granted that Congress doesn't function anymore and hasn't for a long time. But I think we're a step beyond that in that, you know, it's, this is, this is like a little bit different than what we've gotten used to over the last few years where a sort of creaky and increasingly dysfunctional system kind of chugs along, breaking down from time to time. Like this is the, you know, kind of rapid disassembly of the American project and there's no precedent for how you behave in this situation.
B
So let's talk a little bit about the impact here because the impact really matters. It matters on a human level, it's going to matter on a political level. So it strikes me and looking at this and looking at the debate over healthcare that I'm getting a little bit of deja vu around the big beautiful bill. Because the big beautiful bill had this sort of classic Republican extension of tax cuts and really partially, very partially paid for by the by Medicaid cuts, which seemed like a, you know, what would see like a classic Republican kind of policy proposal. However, we don't have the classical Republican Party. The Republican Party is becoming much more working Class educated voters are moving more towards the Democrats. So in fact Medicaid cuts are going to impact more Republicans than they used to. Is there a scenario here where the Republicans are actually not reading their own room in a sense that their own base is becoming, as it's becoming more working class that playing games, say with healthcare subsidies or Medicaid cuts or financing tax cuts and part through Medicaid cuts, for example, that's just not something that's going to be successful for the Republicans anymore. Is that shift underway or is that, or is the loyalty here, the baseline partisan loyalty, just so great it's just not going to matter?
A
Part of the irony of all of this is that the Democrats are basically begging the Republicans to let the Democrats save them from the political consequences of their own ideology. Right. I mean, I think it's goes without saying that huge spikes in insurance is going to be pretty bad for Republicans. And so the Democrats, big ask in all of this is something that substantively is obviously the right thing to do, but actually politically is shooting themselves in the foot if they win.
C
Yeah. Just to comment on that real quick, this is where I feel like I do sound terrible because it's sort of like stipulating this is bad for people. And we've discussed this before, David, you know, I'm kind of on this. You know, what's that line from Rocky iv? If he dies, he dies. Like, you know, if this is what happens, it's what happens because you voted for Republicans and that's this is the consequence. And if you don't want this consequence, don't vote for Republicans. And I don't think that. I think that part of what's been broken in American politics is a feedback mechanism that like the choices voters make do not reliably, you know, result in feedback that helps them understand the choices that they make and like properly contextualize them. So looking at the Republican side, a Republican voter receiving Medicaid may not necessarily understand that as the same Medicaid that a black voter in New York receives. They may see that as two different things. Setting that aside, which I do think is part of a factor here, the extent to which a Democrats do work to soften the blow of these sorts of Republican cuts. And so you kind of allow voters to have their cake and eat it too. You have the extent to which people don't Republican voters even seem to see Trump as something distinct from a Republican and their allegiance to him is more cult of personality ish than it is ordinary political leader, base relationship. And so they continue to give him extremely high ratings, even if he is doing things or supporting things that actively harm them. And so the president and Republicans looking at the president aren't getting the right feedback mechanism either. They're doing unpopular things, but it's not really diminishing intraparty standing. And so there's no reason for them to not do those unpopular things. And then the collapse of the Democratic Party in so many places where Republicans have incumbent offices means that there isn't necessarily the kind of political competition that might do the work of reminding Republicans that the composition of their electorate has changed and that these things might harm them. There's no feedback happening. And so these premiums can spike. The Medicaid cuts are gonna go in. And it's actually, to my mind, indeterminate whether or not it's gonna have the kind of political impact I think Democrats might like. And I think the only way it will is through sort of active political action. Political education, you might say. That's a very state way of putting it. You could say, demagog around the issue in order to show voters what is happening. And I think part of that probably does have to involve a willingness to not be the responsible adults. And I'll wrap this up by saying that I think a real Democratic Party political problem is so many of the party's leaders, their identities are wrapped up in this idea that they are the responsible adults of American politics. And so it's up to them to sort of, like, do what's right in every circumstance. And. And I'm not sure that's true.
B
You know, I've seen a pattern for about 10 years now involving Donald Trump where imagine that a rock falls into a pond, and it causes a giant splash, and then the rock gets away with blaming the water for the splash. This is the way Trump, he's like a force of chaos. He jumps into American politics. He generates a giant amount of radiating collateral damage, and then is very good at blaming everything else for the damage that he creates. And this is one of the things that I'm concerned about with the shutdown strategy. If you're talking about a strategy to oppose Donald Trump, I think it's pretty clear that a super majority of Americans don't want a government shutdown. It's not clear to me at all that that same supermajority would then migrate towards holding Trump responsible for a shutdown, as opposed to the Democrats, especially as the pain continues to sort of radiate out from here, you know, some of the consequences. You know, there's going to be disruptions of services. There's going to be possible delays in Social Security applications there. You're going to have situations, for example, where air traffic controllers keep working, but they. They don't get paid. You also might have a situation where Trump uses whatever legal ambiguities are created by a shutdown situation to engage in permanent reductions in force in the federal government that will further impact the provision of federal services. So there is going to be pain. And the question, though, to me is, is this a situation where you've got the base leading the party astray, and it's pushing the party into a confrontation that whatever it sort of merits, as the three of us talk about it, is just gonna land like a thud with the American people.
A
First of all, I think that everything you just said about the drawbacks of a shutdown and the pain of a shutdown and the political risks of a shutdown, I believe I basically agree with. I mean, I just think that we're in a situation where there were no good options. There are no good options. When your country is in the midst of an authoritarian transformation, you sort of don't have good options by definition. And so I guess I would turn it back to you. Do you? If you have a president who already has sort of no intention of abiding by any sort of budget deal that is duly passed by Congress, if you have a president that is completely unconstrained by all the levers of government and a Congress that has been completely supine, do you just say, if you're a Democrat, like, okay, we are going to sign on and fund this without demands or preconditions?
B
I mean, my own position is in the abstract, like, if you're talking about a negotiation between two sophisticated parties, but.
A
There is no negotiation.
B
Yeah. And one of them, absolutely, positively, I cannot trust to abide by any agreement in that circumstance. I'm not entering into an agreement with that person. But that's not the overall calculus. If I'm in a situation where I'm in an impossible negotiation situation, I'm in the right. But I have real concern that the consequence of my stand is actually gonna harm my cause more than it helps my cause, that's a consideration that would give me pause. If I am aware of a super majority not wanting the very policy that I'm pushing, that would be something that would give me pause. And I don't offer that to say that there is that the Democrats are clearly wrong here. I offer that to sort of reaffirm what you Know, I think it's a theme that both of you all are saying, which is sometimes there are not good options there. There's just not a clear forward path short of winning elections.
C
Right, right.
A
I mean, we're all talking about this as if it's the Democrats that did it, the Democrats that shut down the government. Right. But of course, Republicans control every branch of government, and Republicans are free to do away with the filibuster and go ahead and pass this thing. Right. I mean, Republicans have all of the power here. And yet the so much of the discussion, and this is, I think, a meta problem, maybe for not just the Democrats, but for our kind of understanding of politics where, and this is something Jamel talks about all the time, that we always act as if only Democrats have agency. And so part of the messaging has to be, if Republicans want our help, they have to come to the table. And if they don't, they run the government and they are free to pass a budget on their own.
C
Yeah. And I'll say that I think to get back to kind of the broken mechanisms of political accountability in American politics right now, I think part of the problem is that I'm not sure that Donald Trump perceives that he's very unpopular, somewhat lost. I feel like in a lot of conversations around what's happening, it's just the objective fact that Donald Trump is very unpopular. But it's not clear to me that Trump perceives that whatsoever, or that the people around him perceive that whatsoever, that I think they see themselves as operating according to some kind of definitive mandate from the electorate, from the people, singular, undivided, unchanging. I think that you take these exact political circumstances and just insert a president who wasn't so convinced of their essential popularity, and you would have a negotiation. Right. Because that president would recognize actually in a weak position right now. You can tie this as well to the president's sort of pension for authoritarianism, his desire to run the government in an autocratic manner. He just doesn't perceive himself as needing Congress. And so negotiations to Congress are just not a skill that he really has.
B
I have a slightly different sense of that Trump political dynamic. I completely agree. He's a man who acts like he just won, like he was Reagan in 84 or Nixon in 72, like one of these 49 state mandates. And he acts as if he got some kind of mandate like that when he's boasting, when he's speaking. But in an interesting way, he governs as if the only thing he has to be is more popular than the Democrats that he governs in a way often that I see it as intentionally designed to provoke Democrats, or in some cases, not Democrats, people on the far, far left, into actions that are even less popular than his. So, for example, I think it's pretty obvious to me when you watch the conduct of ICE in these cities that ICE is being very deliberately, physically provocative. It is being very physically aggressive. It is spoiling for the kind of fight where you see masked protesters throwing things at federal buildings or lighting cars on fire or things like that. And so my question is, is this a similar situation where in essence, what he's doing is, on the one hand, empirically unpopular with most Americans? I don't think most Americans like the aggression of the immigration enforcement, but with this kind of diabolically shrewd aim towards provoking opponents into an even less popular response with the kind of notion that he doesn't have to outrun the bear, he just has to outrun the Democrats.
C
And so I buy that that maybe is Trump's theory of the case, and I think it maybe works in election years when the public kind of forgets Donald Trump. But I'll know that during his first term, this didn't work. Right? This isn't working. Now, to use immigration as example, the main effect of this ICE reign of terror is to polarize Americans against ICE and against the Trump administration on an issue that he is supposed to be strong on. So I'm not sure that this works right. I think that trying to provoke a more unpopular response can be effective if your opponent does give you that more unpopular response. But here it's not clear to me. It's hard even for Trump to simultaneously say, I am like the uncontested unitary leader of the American government. And then also, I'm just a widow, baby. I'm just a widow guy. And the Democrats aren't playing ball with us. I'm never gonna do that voice again. I don't think that you can do both at the same time. I don't think he's successfully doing both at the same time.
B
So, Jamel and Michelle, you both seem to say right at the get go that you're not sure that the Democrats are handling the messaging correctly here, that they're not reaching the American people with their best and strongest arguments. That seems to be a persistent problem with the Democrats, that there are a number of major moments that they can sometimes seem to appear that they're fumbling. They seem to kind of misaligned, certainly with the evolution and Changes of the online attention economy. Where are the Democrats on just reaching the American people? Why in your view do they fumble this matter? And why is it that it seems as if the Republicans in some ways are lapping among this attention economy? Is it as simple as. Well, control of the algorithms on some of the major social media platforms has shifted and it emphasizes certain kinds of content and de emphasizes other. Or is it far more sophisticated and far more, you know, in sort of a, from a longer term worrying than something like that?
A
So I think that that's, I mean, look, I don't think that you can separate the algorithms, you know, especially something like X, but also increasingly Facebook. I mean, I don't use Facebook personally, but I have a professional page where I post my articles. And what I'm being fed on that page, what's showing up is just like the most kind of base right wing slop. And so if that's kind of what the algorithm is giving someone like me, I can only imagine what it's giving other people. But then the other piece of it, and the piece that's kind of easier to fix in the short term is that Democrats have the wrong leaders. You know, Chuck Schumer might be a good deal maker, he might be the right Senate majority leader in a Kamala Harris presidency when they're trying to craft legislation, but he's very, very wrong for this moment. He's like, he's a bad communicator. He clearly doesn't understand or at least know how to operate in this informational ecosystem. He's like very focused on kind of winning the morning in D.C. or in the Beltway media. He's attached to a set of norms and procedures and assumptions about the way politics operate, none of which are still in effect. And you know, he's just kind of not a wartime consigliere. And so, you know, these other things are long term problems. This is an easy one. It's not easy, but if people have the will, it can be fixed in relatively short order.
C
Yeah, he's at a wartime consigliere on the tip of my tongue the entire time you were speaking. So I'm gonna reference another piece of media that people watching this at the very least may know, which is from The Wire Season 4, when Marlo Stanfield says to the security guard, you want it to be one way, but it's the other way. And I think Democrats, Democratic leaders want it to be one way. They want it to be a way where we're engaged in normal congressional politics, where Donald Trump is maybe an extreme version of a normal Republican president, but something close to a normal Republican president. That we're operating in familiar territory. The map is clear. There is no fog of war. But that's just not the case. That's not where we are. We are in a time that demands political creativity and a willingness to take risks, a willingness to pick fights. The algorithm is powerful, but it's possible to game the attention economy. But it does require one to challenge the terrain, not fight on Republican ground the entire time. And that's just not a skill set that anyone in Democratic Party leadership has been selected for. They've been selected for consensus. They've been selected for binding together a large and often fractious party. They're not selected for articulating a set of principles, not backing down from them and picking fights around them. And until that changes, I think that Democrats are going to have a hard time responding to these conditions. And part of the problem is that this is self perpetuating. The people who have been selected for traits that are not good for this moment are themselves in charge of selecting candidates or recruiting candidates and are demonstrably hostile or at least skeptical of people who don't take that approach, who are more conflict driven, who do see the value in picking fights and establishing principles. That's what fights do fights help you establish for the public. This is what I stand for. This is what I won't back down from. And Right.
A
And people don't know that about Democrats. I mean, I think people might think that Democrats are too far to the left. They might have all these other complaints. But there's also a fundamental thing that people say about Democrats, which is that they don't know what they stand for.
C
Right. Are you just an elaborate set of institutions to elect a handful of ambitious people? Or is there something actually, is there a vision for the country that you actually have? Is there a picture of what you want this place to be? And I don't think Chuck Schumer can answer that question. I don't think Hakeem Jeffries can answer that question. I would bet that there's maybe a handful of Democrats in Congress who can answer that question.
A
And one, there's more than that. I think there's more than that.
C
You're more. Okay.
A
I mean, I think we're in total agreement about the leadership. But I definitely, I talk to Democrats all the time who I feel like can articulate that if they were given the platform to do so.
C
Yeah.
B
I'll just say sort of as the former Republican conservative voice on the podcast. My perception of Democrats has never been that they don't know what they stand for and don't know how to fight. That would not be a common conservative assessment of Democrats. That in many ways it would be somewhat of the opposite, that Democrats might be a little bit too narrow ideologically, that they are too specific on what they stand for. I mean, there was a recent little kerfuffle I noticed online where our colleague Ezra Klein was saying that it's almost unthinkable to imagine, say, a Democrat winning Arkansas in large part, I think, because it's kind of unthinkable to think of the Democratic Party nominating an actually pro life candidate in a state like Arkansas.
A
Look, I think that there's a popular conception of the Democratic Party maybe that they are kind of very rigid on a handful of culture war issues. And we can, you know, that's a separate argument that we probably shouldn't get into at the end of the show. You know, I have no problem with Democratic politicians taking heterodox positions that are responsive to their local communities. And I think that we should be recruiting Democrats from the communities that they embody. That's very different, though, from a sort of broader picture of the Democrats as being, you know, when I mean, look at Alyssa Slotkin, right, when she says the perception of the Democrats are that they're weak and woke. So you're talking about the quote, unquote woke part. But I think the weak part is just as important, the part where they're they can't stand up to Donald Trump. They try to play these kind of little small, as Jamel said, small ball legislative games. But they don't have a real cohesive vision for where they want to take the country and how if you give them power, they're going to improve your life.
B
All right, on that note, recommendations. Jamel, do you want to start with some recommendations?
C
Sure. We're well past the Katrina, hurricane Katrina anniversary, but in anticipation of it, I read a book that had been on my list for a long time, which is A History, 1915-2015 by I Believe Andy Horowitz is the author. And it's just a wonderful history, not simply of New Orleans, but of Louisiana, of the Gulf Coast. And its sort of thesis is looking at the natural disaster not as an act of God, but as the specific product of specific choices made to shape this landscape and to shape the people within that landscape. So highly recommend the book. It's not especially long. It's dense, but not especially long. And it offers, I think, a great perspective on the area and on thinking through america in the 20th century from the perspective of this singular event that was Hurricane Katrina, an event that New Orleans and Louisiana and the Gulf coast is still 20 years later recovering from.
A
Michelle, I am going to strongly recommend. I know. Jamel, have you seen this? One Battle After Another by.
C
No, I don't have time to go to movie theaters anymore.
A
It is, I mean, it's the new time.
B
Jamel, make time.
A
It's the new film by Paul Thomas Anderson. It is, I mean, definitely the best movie I've seen this year. Actually probably the best movie I've seen in several years. Just, I mean, astonishing and magnificent and so politically germane. You wonder throughout the entire thing, could they have possibly made this if they started today? I mean, it almost seems unthinkable at a time when Hollywood is being so cowed and the entire culture often seems so afraid to make this movie that is a really defiantly anti fascist kind of epic. It's based on Thomas Pynchon's Vineland, about these kind of former hippies and 60s militants who are kind of adrift in 1984. And it takes basically the skeleton sort of of that story in a transcendence, ports it into the present day. I just, I felt like there was something so invigorating about this movie that addresses very directly kind of Trump's America. You know, the villain in this movie is he runs this military unit that sort of seems like a, like a very elite unit of ice or something like that, you know, and he's obsessed with undocumented migration. He's with obsessed, obsessed with kind of racial purity and, you know, so you see these kind of street battles that look not. Maybe when it was made they were supposed to be sort of dystopian and futuristic. Now it just looks like outtakes from la. But to see this movie that addresses this moment, but with a fearlessness that increasingly doesn't exist, I don't know, it's just. I can't say enough good things about this movie. I'm going to see it again.
B
My wife and son saw it and have been raving about it ever since. They've brought it up multiple times. So I'm definitely seeing that. But my contribution this week is, I think longtime listeners of the Roundtable know I'm your guide to streaming. And I will never lead you astray, and I promise I'm not leading you astray again. The latest season of Slow Horses is out and it's one of the only shows where I'm going to say that a 96% rotten tomatoes rating is underselling the show. That should be 100%. It's an espionage thriller set in England starring Gary Oldman, and it's a serious show in which you will laugh five times an episode simply because the Gary Oldman character who runs this sort of Misfit gang of MI5 rejects called the Slow Horses, who always end up saving the nation of the United Kingdom somehow. But they are this misfit gang that he runs in the most punitive and and cruel way possible. And it's also just hilarious and thrilling and marvelously acted. The supporting cast is fantastic. This is the fifth season since around 2022, so when you dive in, you won't regret it and you'll have a lot of new shows coming.
A
I love Slow Horses.
B
All right, with that, let's end it. Jamel Michelle, thank you so much.
A
Thank you.
C
It's been a real pleasure.
A
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Date: October 4, 2025
Host/Moderator: David French
Guests: Jamelle Bouie, Michelle Goldberg
This episode unpacks the U.S. government shutdown of October 2025, digging into the political dynamics, tactical decisions, and deeper systemic dysfunctions in Congress that led to it. With Republicans controlling every branch of government and Democrats in the minority, the roundtable scrutinizes the logic, consequences, and messaging misfires behind recent actions. The conversation loops in the roles of Donald Trump, polarized party bases, the broken “feedback mechanisms” in democratic accountability, and a harsh critique of Democratic leadership.
“You've heard the news. Here’s what to make of it.”
“I do think that their messaging has been sort of weak and incoherent and I don’t have super high hopes for them actually accomplishing anything significant.” — Michelle Goldberg [01:59]
“[Turning] this into negotiation over healthcare subsidies in addition to feeling just small ball and non-reactive to what people actually care about...” — Jamelle Bouie [02:16]
“The deterioration of Congress’s capacity to actually engage in traditional lawmaking... is downstream of the kind of hard-nosed congressional politics that emerged with Gingrich in the late 80s and 90s.” — Jamelle Bouie [07:30]
“Democrats are basically begging Republicans to let the Democrats save them from the political consequences of their own ideology.” — Michelle Goldberg [12:15]
“If he dies, he dies. Like, you know, if this is what happens, it’s what happens because you voted for Republicans and... this is the consequence.” — Jamelle Bouie [12:46]
“There are no good options. When your country is in the midst of an authoritarian transformation, you sort of don’t have good options by definition.” — Michelle Goldberg [17:49]
“Republicans have all of the power here. And yet... we always act as if only Democrats have agency.” — Michelle Goldberg [19:57]
“He just doesn’t perceive himself as needing Congress. And so negotiations to Congress are just not a skill that he really has.” — Jamelle Bouie [21:50]
“I don’t think that you can separate the algorithms... but then the other piece... is that Democrats have the wrong leaders.” — Michelle Goldberg [25:52]
“They’re not selected for articulating a set of principles, not backing down from them and picking fights around them.” — Jamelle Bouie [28:48]
“There’s also a fundamental thing that people say about Democrats, which is that they don’t know what they stand for.” — Michelle Goldberg [29:44]
| Time | Segment | |-----------|-----------------------------------------------------------| | 01:25 | Introductions, overview of shutdown | | 01:59 | Michelle Goldberg: Democrats' lack of choice & weak hand | | 02:16 | Jamelle Bouie: Small ball negotiations & messaging critique| | 05:51 | Bouie on congressional dysfunction & breakdown of order | | 08:50 | Goldberg: What it means for Congress to “do something” | | 12:15 | Goldberg: Democrats “begging” Republicans on healthcare | | 12:46 | Bouie: Feedback mechanisms broken; “If he dies, he dies” | | 16:03 | French: Trump as chaos agent & blame game | | 19:57 | Agency and media framing: Democrats vs. Republicans | | 25:52 | Goldberg: Social algorithms, Schumer, party leadership | | 27:27 | Bouie: The Wire analogy; leadership for a new era | | 29:44 | Goldberg: Voters don’t know what Democrats stand for | | 30:35 | French: Are Democrats too ideologically rigid? | | 32:34 | Picks & Recommendations |
Jamelle Bouie recommends Katrina: A History, 1915–2015 by Andy Horowitz—a deep historical look at New Orleans, the Gulf Coast, and how disaster stems from human choices.
Michelle Goldberg praises Paul Thomas Anderson’s new film, One Battle After Another, adapted from Pynchon’s Vineland—an anti-fascist epic allegorizing the Trump era, “defiantly anti-fascist” and fearless in current cultural context.
David French calls Slow Horses (streaming series with Gary Oldman) “the best on TV,” praising its humor, acting, and thrilling spy plots.
For listeners looking to understand the government shutdown and its broader political and systemic context, this episode is a bracing, frank assessment—one that urges Democrats to adapt, redefine their message, and refuse to play by broken rules.