
It’s been a summer full of Trump’s overreach. Our round table convenes to discuss.
Loading summary
A
Hi, I'm Juliette from New York Times Games, and I'm here talking to fans about our games. You play New York Times Games?
B
Yes, every day.
A
There's this little tab down here called Friends, so you can add your friend.
C
That feels new to me.
A
It is.
C
It's nice to have the social aspect.
A
Oh, my God. And you have all the Times. That's crazy, right? You can look at Spelling bee, wordle Connections. Oh, my God. Amazing. Love that I have to get the app.
D
New York Times Games subscribers get full access to all our games and features. Subscribe now@nytimes.com games for a special offer.
B
This is the Opinions, a show that brings you a mix of voices from New York Times Opinion. You've heard the news, here's what to make of it.
A
I'm Michelle Cottle and I cover national politics for New York Times Opinion, and I am here today with my fantastic colleagues, columnist Steve, David French and Jamelle Bowie. Guys, welcome.
D
Hi, Michelle.
C
Hello. Hello.
A
All right, so this, sadly is our last roundtable of the summer before we all scooch off to exotic locales or at least a little bit of beach reading. How are y' all feeling?
C
You know, other than the. The bad things happening in the world, I feel pretty good.
D
There's a way in my family that we talk about that when someone says, how are you doing? The answer is, personally great, politically.
A
You know what? I'm gonna steal that. I like that. Personally. Rockin'. Well, before we vanish this week, we're gonna talk about President Trump's deployment of the National Guard in my backyard and his taking control of Washington DC's metro police force. Trump claims he's doing this because of a public safety emergency here in the District, though in fact, violent crime is at a 30 year low. I have lived here for more than 30 years. I am well aware of Washington's long term crime issues. And you know what's not going to help? Cheap political theater. So there's a lot to get into here, but first, the requisite timestamp. We're recording this on Wednesday morning, so all this news is still fresh. People are trying to figure things out. The situation is fluid. So who knows, by the time this reaches your ears, Trump may have indeed spent saved Washington from what he has called our bloodshed, bedlam and squalor. So let's get to it. First, I want first reactions to this. Jamel, kick us off.
C
My first reaction, I guess, comes in three parts. The first part, as you pointed out, there is no public safety Emergency in Washington D.C. crime is, as you said, at a 30 year low.
A
@ least violent crime is.
C
Violent Crime is a 30 year low. I think actually it's worth emphasizing about that, is that most of these troops are deployed to areas surrounding the White House, National Mall, downtown, so on and so forth. But when you actually, if you were to make like a heat map of criminal activity in Washington D.C. you would find that it is not in those places. Right. That if you're going to do this, you would put soldiers in other places. And this gets to, I think, a reality about crime that's important to understand. Most violent crime especially happens in specific discrete geographic areas among specific individuals. Right. It is not the case either in D.C. or New York or wherever that you are particularly likely to be the victim of like random violent crime. What is the case is that people in networks where there are people who do violent crime are more likely than not to be victims of violent crime. And so when you begin to like actually understand like the social geography of crime as well as the physical geography of crime, all this makes even less sense as like a, as a measure. Second part, I think this is a sign of the President's weakness. I think that a President who is capable of doing anything like ordinary negotiation, compromise, deliberation, would not be leaning on this or leaning on emergency powers in general. But the third thing is that the fact that the President, I think is actually quite weak in a lot of ways should not diminish the fact that this is quite dangerous and that he has announced his intention to do this kind of thing in other cities, which is, I think, a pretty profound violation of basic ideas about power in the United States that go back to even before the Founding.
A
David, is this even legal?
D
Yeah, that's a great question. The answer is probably. We'll see. So the probably part is that look, the President has more authority over the national guard in Washington D.C. than anywhere else. More inherent, automatic authority. The Guard is under his direct control, whereas in the States the Guard is under the control of the governors, unless the Guard is federalized here. That's. You don't have to really go through that step. Also, there's been sort of a longstanding DOJ position that the Guard can be used more for law enforcement purposes in D.C. than it can say in other places without violating the Posse Comitatus act, which is this post reconstruction law prohibiting the use of federal troops for law enforcement. However, a lot of these things are just theories. A lot of this is untested because Presidents have historically been really reluctant to call out the troops. Now, we've seen him do this at the border, we've seen him do this in Los Angeles. And the legal authorities for doing all of this are in many cases pretty ambiguous. So the concepts are not fully tested in court. But if he can do it anywhere in America, he can do it in D.C. so I think the legal attack on this is probably going to fail. More interesting question also, is the federalization putting under Federal Control the D.C. police Department? Again, D.C. is not a normal city. This is one that is. There's a Home Rule Act. But ultimately, ultimately, Congress is responsible for D.C. and so there's much more leeway and flexibility in taking control of this local police department. But that's not supposed to happen after 30 days. There has to be congressional authorization. Now, of course, Jamel and Michelle, this Congress will absolutely stand up to this President. No, of course not. So how much will that really matter in the real world? So what we're dealing with here is a very carefully, carefully chosen city for this intervention.
C
Can I just add real quick, in terms of the DC Being carefully chosen, it's also a city for which the President's reliance on tropes about crime and dystopian crime and all these things, I think is not, I wouldn't say more effective, but there might be a more willing audience for it for the simple reason that DC has been known for a long time as being a majority black city. It's not quite majority black anymore. I think it's just under half. But it has this identity. And that identity, I think, is very much a part of the President's demonization of dc. Demonization of DC as kind of a John Carpenter esque hellscape. Demonization of the residents of D.C. as essentially incapable of self government. Like it plugs into longstanding tropes about the ability of black Americans to exist in mainstream society. To put it in the most sterile way I possibly can, yeah.
A
I mean, nothing melts Trump's butter quite like the chance to militarize things. But he is hardly the first Republican to play politics with the city. I mean, the District has been a favorite target for years. Nixon liked to hate on D.C. and I do think you're right about, and I like the way you put it, the most sterile way you can put it. But there's also just his tendency to demonize all things Washington. I think at this point, you know, you can. You can look at how people responded to tens of thousands of federal government employees having their jobs threatened or taken away. Plenty of people were like oh, that's great. They deserve it. Deep state, blah, blah, blah. They pretend that Washington D.C. is some kind of hellscape, as you put it, that needs to have somebody come in and just bulldoze it, which makes the rest of the country a little bit more likely to be like, meh, whatever.
C
I'll say. What is interesting is there hasn't been much polling, but the one poll I've seen on this has 47% of Americans disapproving of this action. And it's like 34 or 35% saying that they're okay with it. So I think, you know, thinking about the political aspect of this, and to go back to our conversation earlier in the summer about la, I think I argued then that the public doesn't like disorder. And when the President does things like this, it creates the impression that there is disorder, that the President is responsible for it. And I think that that dynamic might assert itself here as well.
A
Yeah, David, you can also address the kind of broader view of this, but I think one of the issues is that D.C. has long had a problem in terms of how it deals with crime. And when you have a couple of high profile issues that Trump can take. Like, I think this was all provoked, right, Because a member of the administration got his butt kicked at 3am by a group of people in a fairly popular area in a part of D.C. considered safer than others. Right.
C
Can we say big balls on here?
A
Okay. I was waiting for someone to breach that wall, an administration official, a young man whose nickname is Big Balls was Jump. And Trump completely freaked out. So now here we are with, I think the National Guard has been dispatched on the National Mall because that's where the problem is. I mean, I live in a very safe neighborhood. I keep waiting for them to come secure my street from like the porch pirate who occasionally will steal my Amazon packages. But anyway, I digress here.
D
Yeah. Here's one thing, one caution I would add. Yes, crime in D.C. is at a 30 year low. Violent crime in D.C. is at a 30 year low. But it's still a pretty violent city relative to other US cities. And there's also a lot of people, especially if you are not used to and have not seen the improvement in DC, especially since the pandemic, that sometimes if you come from other cities, that what you'll sort of see in that kind of low level disorder category in D.C. can be pretty shocking to people who are not used to it. And so I think one mistake that people can make here is to sort of say, look, he's doing this and DC's fine. DC's fine. I don't think we should say DC's fine, but what we should say is DC is improving substantially. And this is not the way you achieve further improvements. And this is, I think, a consistent pattern in dealing with Trump. Often people will look at an institution or a place that he's attacking, and there's this instinct to rally completely to its defense. Well, sometimes these institutions do have problems. They do need reform. It's just not his reform. And what happened to our friend Big Balls was terrible. That was terrible. That should not happen. That's awful. But then to say about that incident that that is then the pretext, that's the instigating incident for bringing in the Guard. You know what this reminds me of is that it's not so much that Trump is tough on crime, it's really that he really wants to be tough on his enem. And that is a different thing than being tough on crime. Cause being tough on crime requires a lot more intelligent thought. It's a lot harder than calling in this National Guard and plopping them on the Mall.
A
Jamel, that speaks to your point about him not being able to actually govern or Right.
C
I have many thoughts. I think that to David's point, about the real problems that DC has and questions of public disorder, I think part of the problem is one ought to make a conceptual separation between public disorder and crime. A homelessness problem isn't a crime problem. It's a housing cost problem. It's the prior problem. It's a social services problem, but it's not a crime problem. It may, in some acute circumstances, produce criminal activity, but it's not primarily a crime problem. And what I push against is the conflation of all these things into crime for two reasons. One that makes it harder to solve. Even if you were inclined to give the President the benefit of the doubt here, once you take the view that this is a question of, like, bedlam and lawlessness, then that leans toward these sorts of militaristic responses versus things that are much more attuned to the actual problems at hand. It's worth noting that DC's neighbor Baltimore, they sliced their murder rate in half. And that was in part a product of veteran smarter policing. And it was in part a product of, like, really investing in social services and doing the kind of hard work it takes to identify the communities and the people. And I say communities. I mean, like the blocks, right? Like neighborhoods and the people, the individuals who are, you might describe as criminogenic, right? Like more likely to spread crime and kind of addressing those people in those places in a specific and targeted way. And so I think when you, when you conflate, conflate disorder, however you wanna, whatever you wanna include in that, and I'll say something that it seems like some of that people include in that just sort of like the ambient noise of cities of just like lots of humanity together. And I think that's also why I'm often kind of like, Trump doesn't wanna.
A
Live in a real city. He wants to live in Mar a Lago where everything is painted gold.
C
I'm often kind of like, let's figure out what we're talking. Like, when you say disorder, do you mean visible homelessness? Do you mean seeing a drug needle on the street a problem? Or do you mean homelessness a problem, visible homelessness as well? Or do you mean like working class black people walking around? Right? Like, what do you mean here? And I think it's important to maybe to force people to specify what they mean when discussing this, but also recognizing that Congress and the administration has been quite hostile to providing DC with the kind of resources it needs to address these problems. So it's all theater for the sake of a president who, as David says, wants to punish his enemies, and a president who, like, imagines himself as a strong man doing strong man things well.
D
And I'm glad you brought up Baltimore, because the Baltimore story is a remarkable story and it does not involve the U.S. army.
C
Right.
D
It is a year on year crime drop. That's the stuff of dreams almost. It's really amazing. And Jamel, I think that you raise a very good point. There is a difference between crime and disorder. Although I think people experience disorder. When people experience is often very deeply unsettling, and they often feel like that crime is about to happen when they're in the presence of disorder. And I think that's a very good point taken. But I think that it's very important to get the word out and to get the message out to American people that A, blue cities are taking crime very seriously, and B, they're actually achieving results that good things are happening in these cities because Trump thrives off the sense that nobody is doing anything until I came aboard.
A
So just like Jamel has his hobby horses. One of my hobby horses is the long tail of the pandemic and how people just thought it was gonna snap be all over. So I know in D.C. in particular, the pandemic was devastating for the youth population. And one of the things that Trump has complained about is the youth crime rate in the. Well, what happened is the pandemic wound up with all these kids on the street, out of school, nowhere to go, lots of trouble to get into, and it took a while for the city to catch up and figure out what to do about that. And so you've seen, I think, the problem spiked in 2023, and we've been watching it go back down as they try to address what is a very real, very complicated problem that people just didn't realize was gonna last as long as it did post pandemic.
D
And when Michelle, did the massive, massive crime spike, murder spike in particular, occur in the United States during Trump's first term in 2020 when he was president? And so the murder rate absolutely spiked in Trump's last year of his presidency. And big cities and American state and local and federal governments have been strugg get it under control since. But if you look at the ark, it's moving in very strongly positive ways. And that started during the Biden administration. He inherited an absolute crime disaster from Trump 1.0. So the sort of idea that Trump is the guy who can fix crime, the last American crime disaster occurred under Trump.
C
The thing I have a sense that we wanna move on, but the last thing I'll say about this, I think this is a very good point, is that in addition to militarization being like, not particularly helpful when it comes to dealing with problems of crime and disorder, it's also the case that Trump's entire rhetoric of cities opposing them as again, these hellscapes, these dystopian places, these inherently dangerous places, I think can contribute to attitudes among law enforcement that make dealing with crime more difficult. Like part of what you need in dealing with violent crime are relationships between the communities that are affected and law enforcement. There has to be a degree of trust between these people. Otherwise if there is no trust, you're not gonna go to a detective and say, hey, this happened and I know it involved this person. If the President of the United States is spreading paranoia and distrust about these cities and these communities, then I think, you know this. I feel, I feel like I sound like a 90s style conservative here. I think that that kind of rhetoric has a downstream effect on the culture of the country. And in this specific case, in the culture of law enforcement, which already isn't great, right? Like well known fact, culture of American law enforcement could be better. And this doesn't help.
A
So we cannot say that we weren't warned that this would Happen. I mean, by Trump himself, he's long been open about his desire to deploy the milit against Americans, whether to suppress, protest, fight crime, whatever has annoyed him that morning. And he is raring to blur the lines between law enforcement and the military, ostensibly in the name of public safety and order. But looking at this even beyond the sea, where he's trying, what are the risks of where he's going?
D
Look, between this ally deployment and this Washington deployment, what he's doing is introducing to the American people really sort of a, kind of a slow rollout, although not all that slow, of the idea that, yeah, we could see American troops in American city streets is a thing you're gonna see. This is something that is a part of the fabric of American life. This is, you know, rather than a giant invocation, the Insurrection act and immediate descent of thousands and thousands of troops into many American cities, which would trigger massive protests in response. What you're dealing with is a deployment to la, a small deployment to Washington, dc, a few more to the border. You're leaking it into the American body politic in a way that, from a purely kind of Machiavellian sense, is kind of shrewd. So, look, that's the most obvious. He's normalizing troop deployments. That's one thing that's happening. Number two, and this is something I think that needs to be discussed a bit more, is he's pulling the military into his partisan orbit. And by that I don't mean mean that the military is right. Now, the military itself is being corrupted. What I'm saying is that he is using his commander in chief authority to make the military an instrument of his political ambitions. And you could have the highest ethics in the military, but their compulsion and their requirement that they follow these orders, so long as they're lawful, means that as a practical matter, they become his instrument. And I'm gonna tell you, that is terrible for the military because they're one.
A
Of the last institutions that the public has faith in. Right?
D
Exactly. Exactly. And if a Republican president sort of dragoons them into his political project, then the military, even if it is following lawful orders, even if unwise or, you know, the obligation is, you don't follow unlawful orders, you don't get to judge their wisdom. You don't get to say, well, that's a stupid decision to take that hill. I'm not gonna do that. Right. And so that is gonna pull. And the perception of the millions of American people will be, here are Trump's troops. And I cannot emphasize how dangerous that is for the American military over the long term. And so there's just so many different ways this is dangerous, this is counterproductive, this is ineffective.
A
So, Jamel, at what point does Trump constantly pressure testing or even circumventing the law come back and bite him, do you think?
C
Oh, I don't know.
A
You tend to be more optimistic about these things than I do.
C
I mean, it's not so much optimistic. Like, I start from the premise that Donald Trump is ultimately subject to some level of political gravity and that there are things that the public does likes and dislikes and that affect that. I think in this case, to David's point about the danger this poses to the military and to civilian military relations, which, you know, people. I think people who either have experienced the military, who have studied in an academic way, the American military will note that the US Has a surprisingly long and pretty good history when it comes to stable and productive relationships between civilian military leadership. This is not a country where we have to worry about a rogue general deciding that they could do a better job leading the country than someone else. There's a bargain that's been struck between civilian and military leaders in which everyone stays in their respective lanes. And this unsettles the bargain and makes it more likely that we see the kinds of things that we've seen in other countries. But that's not the point I want to make. The point I want to make is that you are deploying American soldiers on a mission that isn't really what they're trained for whatsoever and may, in fact, end up reducing morale. Right. Like, people don't sign up to go police a city that they might be from. Right. Especially if we're talking National Guard. They're not signing up to police their friends and neighbors or people who are like their friends and neighbors, not signing up to point guns at people who might have been classmates. Right. And so that degrades, I think, morale among soldiers. And if we do face an actual emergency that requires the use of military force, we will be facing it with a military that has seen its morale and perhaps its readiness degraded as a result of these actions. I think this is actually a story you can tell about the entire administration across multiple areas. The White House has been on this systematic effort to dismantle the nation's readiness to deal with all manner of crises. It's really only a stroke of luck thus far that we haven't run into something truly catastrophic. And I'll say even then, we've had big natural disasters, storms, flooding, that have demonstrated the importance of having a competent and professional federal bureaucracy and federal service that can respond to these things. I'm reading right now the historian Andy Horowitz's book, a history of 1915-2015. And that book speaks not just of Katrina, but of hurricanes in the 60s, hurricanes at the beginning of the 20th century that were arguably as destructive. If the United States faces something like that in the next couple years, will we be ready to respond? Right. If there is a terrorist attack on American soil, will we be ready to respond? Politics aside, the danger is that you have to. The country has to be governed. Like that's the thing that has to happen. Like the presidency is a real job. I know the President imagines it as basically sort of like he gets to be America's favorite television character, but like, in reality, this is a real job and these agencies are real responsibilities. He just, as of our recording, he is nominating for head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Just some hack. No, I mean, no.
D
Complete hack.
C
Yeah, I was about to say no offense, cuz I'm trying to be polite. No, no offense. You intend off like a total hack. A guy who has like one, he has his PhD, one citation, who's done nothing to really mark himself as qualified for what is a genuinely important position in government and maintaining the integrity of the American economy. It's like, yeah, if things go perfectly well, this is still a terrible decision, but maybe you can weather it. But as soon as there's like a little something that goes wrong, you've just made a house of cards that will collapse. And that's the danger of all of this.
D
And there's another thing here. Look, so far, as a percentage of the military, we're talking about a pretty small percentage of soldiers who are being put into this domestic law enforcement role. But I will tell you, a military is designed to confront and defeat battlefield enemies. And the more you turn a military into a domestic law enforcement agency, as many dictators do, as many authoritarians do, that doesn't tend to do very much good for the battlefield effectiveness of that military. If you care about American national security, we should be jumping up and down and saying, this is not their mission. Their mission needs to be laser focused on the possibility of conflict in Europe, the possibility of conflict in Taiwan, Korea is always volatile. That requires intense focus. We still have some anti ISIS fighting to do. This requires intense focused training, planning, not diversions into American streets for political theater.
A
I mean, this is one of the things that's made this particularly dispiriting so far. Is that nobody seems to even know what the goal is here. The National Guard has been dispatched, but the local authorities don't know what they're gonna do. They're not gonna be making arrests. They're there to protect federal assets, but how are they supposed to be working with local police? It does not give me a. A great sense of optimism that I should take this seriously as a legitimate effort to help the district.
D
And I gotta love the double game that people in MAGA play. Yeah. Trump is deploying the troops, and then you go, this is dangerous. And they go, stop clutching your pearls. They're not gonna be arresting anybody. Like, wait, what is it?
A
Yeah, where are they on all this? I assume they love it, right? Maga.
D
Oh, for sure. Oh, for sure. Yeah, yeah. As soon as he does it, it's. They're all rallying to Trump's defense. Yeah, of course, of course.
A
That's what a real man would do.
C
It's just like a point about, on this readiness question, on responsibilities and such. Earlier in the year, the administration basically did layoffs at the FBI, and then it turned a bunch of FBI agents towards immigration enforcement, and now it's turning FBI agents towards domestic law enforcement. But there are still terror threats, there's still human trafficking, there's still things that the FBI has to attend to as a federal law enforcement agency. And so not to be like, the FBI, so great. But, like, like, are there threats? Are there literal criminal conspiracies that are not being addressed because the FBI is being told to help arrest a bunch of, like, abuelas, or being told to sort of like, stand on U Street?
A
Right, Okay. I would love to think that Americans are getting fed up with Trump's overreach on this, but, I mean, honestly, much of the country seems to be going through some jacked up, testosterone, adult who's your daddy phase. So they're ultimately just gonna be like, nah, whatever. It's just Trump being Trump. One of you tell me I'm wrong. Just please tell me I'm wrong on this.
D
I think Trump has figured out something that is quite unsettling, which is that he does not think or care necessarily if what he does is popular, so long as he believes he's more popular than the Democrats. And so, oh, dear God. A lot of this polling that shows that 60% of Americans disapprove of this and 55% approve of that, Disapprove of that. I can tell you, in MAGA circles, they're not looking that at all. They're looking at Polling that says the Republican Party is more popular than the Democratic Party. Now, I think that some of that polling is deceptive because a lot of the disaffection against the Democrats is coming from a left that is very upset with Democrats and is never gonna vote Republican. And so. So I think Republicans might be feeling their oats a bit too much. But this is part of the calculus. It's not, hey, we need to be popular. It's just that we need to be more popular than those guys. And I think that is where he's pinning his political hopes and where MAGA pins its political hopes.
C
Yeah, I tend to think that that's just not a good strategy if you stop paying attention on, like, election night last year, you would have gotten the impression that Donald Trump won a commanding majority of the American public. But if you just, like, tuned in and kept following the count for another month and a half, what you would have seen is that, in fact, he got little less than half of the voting public in that election. It was almost a split decision, if you want to use those terms. And under those conditions, your political capital, such that it is, is actually a pretty valuable resource. You don't actually have as much of it as you think. I think MAGA seems to think of the election as like an enabling act for Trump authoritarianism. But in point of fact, what it was is a small but critical number of Americans said, we want to go back to 2019. That's it. That was the election. Right. That was the whole thing. And if I were in Trump's position, I would be very jealous of maintaining my approval to accomplish my goals, but also really to prevent the bottom from falling out. And I actually think that this is the most poorly constructed car you can imagine. And if there's any bump in the road, the literal bottom falls out, wheels start careening off of a car, and. And the President's approval collapses. What happens when the guy who thinks imagines himself a dictator realizes no one likes him? Doesn't seem great. But I do think that there's a real risk there. Even all this gerrymandering stuff. We're not gonna talk about it, but, yeah, okay, gerrymander, whatever.
A
Yeah, don't get me started on that.
C
If the bottom falls out and the national environment next year is D plus 7, D plus 8, then you've just guaranteed yourself, like, a catastrophic wave election against you, and you lose all those gerrymander seats.
A
So if we're looking at that framework, Jamel, is there anything that you see that Democrats should be doing to increase those bumps and the car falling apart.
C
This is last little conversation of ours of the summer. I'll just repeat something I've been saying all summer, please. You just gotta be aggressive, capture attention, don't be afraid of creating waves. Even if there's some backlash to you. I think the one thing Trump is understands correctly is that it's more important to get your message out than to deal with the backlash, the immediate backlash to you. So just like, just gotta be ready to get into the fight to tussle.
A
Take some punches, okay?
C
Throw some punches, be willing to take punches. And if you get a cut lip or a black eye, but you're giving the other guy a black eye, you're in good shape.
A
All right, we're going to give you the last word on that, guys. It's goodbye for now. The crazy's gonna be here when we get back.
C
We got a gubernatorial election in Virginia. Excited to talk about that.
A
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. And don't forget New Jersey. We got New Jersey, too.
C
Yeah, we got an election in Virginia.
A
All right, all right, point taken. Okay, guys, thanks so very much. Have a good one.
D
Thank you, Michelle.
C
Thank.
A
You.
B
If you like this show, follow it on Spotify, Apple or wherever you get your podcasts. The Opinions is produced by Derek Arthur Vishaka Darba, Christina Samulewski and Gillian Weinberger. It's edited by Kari Pitkin and Alison Bruzek. Engineering, mixing and original music by Isaac Jones, sonia Herrero, Pat McCusker, Carol Sabaro and Afim Shapiro. Additional music by Aman Sahota. The fact Check team is Kate Sinclair, Mary Marge Locker and Michelle Harris. Audience in strategy by Shannon Busta and Christina Samulewski. The director of Times Opinion Audio is Annie Rose Strasser.
Host: Michelle Cottle
Guests: Steve, David French, Jamelle Bouie
Released: August 16, 2025 (Recorded August 13, 2025)
This episode of The Opinions, hosted by Michelle Cottle, brings together columnists David French and Jamelle Bouie to analyze President Trump’s recent deployment of the National Guard in Washington, D.C., and his move to assume control of the D.C. Metro Police. They discuss the legality, politics, and dangers of turning a routine issue into a showcase of militarized “political theater,” and zoom out to consider the long-term risks this precedent poses for American democracy, civilian-military relations, and effective governance.
Crime and Public Safety Context
“There is no public safety Emergency in Washington D.C. Crime is, as you said, at a 30 year low.”
— Jamelle Bouie (02:39)
Political Weakness on Display
“...this is quite dangerous and ... a profound violation of basic ideas about power in the United States...” — Jamelle Bouie (04:10)
“If he can do it anywhere in America, he can do it in D.C....” — David French (05:46)
Racialized Dog Whistles
“Demonization of DC as kind of a John Carpenter esque hellscape. Demonization of the residents of D.C. as essentially incapable of self government.” — Bouie (06:24)
Disconnected from Lived Reality
Polling and Public Opinion
"...the President does things like this, it creates the impression that there is disorder, that the President is responsible for it."—Bouie (08:20)
“What happened to our friend Big Balls was terrible. That was terrible. That should not happen...But then to say about that incident...that is then the pretext...that is the instigating incident for bringing in the Guard...” — David French (10:05)
Bouie distinguishes between “crime” and “disorder,” noting that homelessness, for example, is a housing and social services issue rather than solely a criminal one.
“A homelessness problem isn't a crime problem. It's a housing cost problem. It's the prior problem. It's a social services problem, but it's not a crime problem.” — Bouie (11:58)
French echoes the distinction and warns against broad, theatrical action:
“It's not so much that Trump is tough on crime, it's really that he really wants to be tough on his enemies. And that is a different thing than being tough on crime.” — French (10:05)
French: These actions risk “normalizing” military presence in civilian cities and politicizing the armed forces.
“...introducing...the idea that, yeah, we could see American troops in American city streets as part of the fabric...” — French (19:18)
“...the perception...will be, here are Trump's troops. And I cannot emphasize how dangerous that is for the American military over the long term.” — French (21:00)
Bouie notes the risks to morale and readiness:
"...deploying American soldiers on a mission that isn't really what they're trained for...may, in fact, end up reducing morale." — Bouie (23:01)
“He does not think or care necessarily if what he does is popular, so long as he believes he's more popular than the Democrats.” (29:04)
"...if there's any bump in the road, the literal bottom falls out, wheels start careening off of a car, and. And the President's approval collapses." — Bouie (31:28)
“You just gotta be aggressive, capture attention, don't be afraid of creating waves.” (32:16) “...be willing to take punches. And if you get a cut lip or a black eye, but you're giving the other guy a black eye, you're in good shape.” (32:44)
| Timestamp | Segment/Topic | |-----------|--------------| | 00:50–01:15 | Introduction & Setting the Scene | | 01:28–02:37 | First Reactions (Bouie: Crime Claims, Geography) | | 04:24–06:24 | Legal Analysis of Deployment (French) | | 06:24–07:21 | Racialization & Demonization of D.C. (Bouie) | | 08:20–10:05 | Political Optics, Polling, and Triggering Incident (“Big Balls”) | | 11:58–13:52 | Crime vs. Disorder: Underlying Issues | | 15:35–16:34 | COVID’s Long Tail & City Recovery | | 19:18–21:44 | Civil-Military Norms & Precedent | | 23:01–25:58 | Morale and Readiness Risks for Military | | 29:04–32:44 | Trump’s Political Strategy & Democratic Response | | 32:53–close | Final Thoughts & Farewell |
Throughout, the tone is analytical, direct, at times wry and skeptical—particularly from Cottle, who injects humor and a touch of exasperation. Bouie and French are both precise and pointed, frequently clarifying distinctions (“crime vs. disorder”), challenging political narratives, and emphasizing the deeper stakes of Trump’s theater.
This roundtable dissects Trump’s D.C. military deployment as political performance—legally shaky, potentially authoritarian, and detrimental to actual governance. The guests urge clear-eyed discernment between real public safety needs and manufactured crises, warn about damaging civilian-military norms, and call for a more forceful Democratic counter-narrative. Their bottom line: Political theater won’t solve D.C.’s—or America’s—real problems, and may do long-term harm in the process.