← The Parnas Perspective
The Parnas Perspective
Breaking: Trump’s Ceasefire Explodes as White House Quickly Bleeds Support from MAGA
00:17:47
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- [00:00]
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- [01:00]
Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
That's a major news this afternoon. Absolute chaos has erupted. The ceasefire that Donald Trump brokered with Iran is falling apart. And Trump's approval ratings are lower than any other president in American history. And a key, key demographic for the president. Right now we are seeing something that many predicted. Iran is firing back. Iran is now targeting the United Arab Emirates, America's ally in the Gulf, with missiles targeting an oil refinery. The ceasefire that Trump brokered has seemingly fallen apart today, as it had included many of the Gulf states. And it comes on a day where Trump's job approval is in the gutter. I also spoke with an author of a new book at the end of this, a book that I'm excited for. So I want you to take a listen like comment, Share, subscribe, get the word out. I have the latest for you right now. Subscribe to my substack Click the link below to support my work. Here's where things stand regarding the war in Iran because the situation in the Strait of Hormuzzi and across the Middle east is rapidly escalating. The United Arab Emirates confirmed that Iran has struck one of its ADNOC oil tankers with two drones after it attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz without Iranian authorization. The UAE called the attack a violation of UN Security Council Resolution 2816 in an act of piracy. It's the first major strike since the April 8th ceasefire. Numerous explosions have been reported in the Dubai area and and UAE air defenses are actively engaging incoming missiles right now. Residents are also receiving missile alerts on their phone, the first since the ceasefire.
- [02:30]
Soman Chainani (Author)
Began.
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Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
And UAE's Fujiyara says that a fire has erupted a petroleum industrial site following a drone attack. South Korea confirmed that one of its vessels was hit in the engine room while transiting the Strait. All 24 crew members are safe. Centcom says two US flagged vessels successfully exited the strait under the escort mission Project Freedom. But the IRGC disputes this, saying no commercial ships or tankers have passed in recent hours, calling the US Statements baseless lies. CENTCOM is denying reports that Iranian missiles struck a US Navy ship. It has not commented on whether or not Iran fired at a navy ship. Traffic through the strait is pretty much limited. Most vessels are avoiding the US Backed corridor and the United States is begging China to step in and help reopen the strait. That's where things stand right now. And it comes as Trump's approvals are in the gutter.
- [03:17]
Political Analyst
Who are the people who are dragging down President Trump's approval rating when we are talking about a very important block for the president? United States? That is Republican leaning independents. That is what's going on. Take a look here. This is the difference. Trump's approval rating at this point in terms independents who lean Republican versus those who are just Republicans only look at this. Among independents who lean Republican back In term number one, he was at 73% at this point in term. Down he goes, an absolute collapse. Now just 53% of independents who who lean Republican now approve of the president. United States. That's very different from Republicans only it was 83 at this point in term number one. It's 83% now. But that's a 20 point decline in his approval rating, nearly at the 50% mark with a group that traditionally has very much been in the president's camp.
- [04:06]
Political Analyst/Commentator
This is just indies. This is independents who lean Republican, people who in theory should be predisposed to like the president there. Talk more about the shift we've seen actually now this time from just a couple of years ago.
- [04:17]
Political Analyst
Just a couple of years ago. Take a look at this shift. Oh my, oh my GOP leaning independence on Trump in the 2024 election versus Kamala Harris. He got 91% of that vote, nearly 100, you know, near uniformity on that one. But down he goes down into the deep blue sea now at 53% on the job approval rating. John, I'm not that good at math, but I believe that is a 38 point drop. A 38 point drop from where he was in the 2024 election. As I said, this is a core group for Donald Trump and they are waving adios amigos, goodbye. We no longer support you, President United States. We are going in the other direction. We're deciding to disapprove, then approve. He's just above 50% in a group that overwhelmingly supported him back in the 2024 election 18 months ago.
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Political Analyst/Commentator
I mean, this is a very brief period to drop that much among a group that is part of, frankly in your essential coalition there. So what does this tell us? What does this group think of maybe the congressional elections coming up in six months?
- [05:15]
Soman Chainani (Author)
Yeah.
- [05:15]
Political Analyst
Okay, so you see this 38 point drop here and you're a Republican member of Congress, say, oh my God, I hope this doesn't affect me because if it does, a lot of those swing district congressional members right on the Republican side will be waving adios amigos goodbye. But you know what's going on here? What's going on here, by the way, this is a six and an eight what we're seeing here. Choice for Congress, Republican leading independents in the 2024 election. Look at this. They supported Republican candidates by 83 points, but now it's 68 points. That's a 15 point drop again in only 18 months. These are not numbers that Republicans win with. These are numbers Republicans lose with.
- [05:54]
Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
And so we're seeing these are not numbers Republicans win with. These are numbers Republicans lose with. It is better bad out there right now for the Republican Party and for the President. And it comes as his ceasefire in Iran is literally blowing up as we speak. I spoke with a new author of a book, his name's Soman Chainani. Here's the book. It's kind of, you can't really see it. It's called Young World. He sent me the book and I started reading it and I thought it was really interesting and he has some insights. So I want you to take a listen to the interview, like comment, Share. Subscribe to my substack link below to support my work and I'll see you soon with another update. Subscribe I am super excited today to be joined by Soman Chainani, who just published a new book, Young World. I have it right here. It's a really cool book and I encourage a lot of folks to read it, but I want to kind of just jump right in. Why did you write this book and tell folks why should they buy it?
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Soman Chainani (Author)
You know, for 13 years I wrote about fairy tales, so it seems like a complete swerve. You know, I spent the last 13 years convincing kids that Disney had brainwashed them in terms of values of good and evil and Kind of hijacked their brains. And it was very lucrative. It was, you know, six books, a movie, all that kind of stuff. And I think there was this pressure to stay in that fairy tale lane and just sort of be the fairy tale guy. And I started realizing when I was going on tour all those years that kids were changing. I could see the look in their eye, the light kind of dim, and they weren't. They weren't kids anymore. It felt like they were trapped in this adult world that they didn't understand. And we had kind of betrayed them as an older generation. And I started to think about it would look like to write a book about young people actually having power in the real world, to leave the fairy tale world and give them that same kind of agency that I gave them against Disney, but now against the government. So I started thinking about a world where there was no age gate for the presidency and young people could actually run. And what would that look like? So the book is a novel about what happens when a teenager accrues enough political power to essentially challenge for the presidency. And there's a lot of reasons as we got rid of the age gate in the course of that novel, but also my attempt to kind of press to get rid of the age gate in the real world. So the novel kind of becomes a conversation starter to prove that I don't think you have to be 35 to run for president.
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Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
I'm going to touch on that momentarily. But give folks more about your background. If they've never heard of you or even heard your work with Disney, just give them a little bit more insight.
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Political Analyst
Sure.
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Soman Chainani (Author)
I mean, I think I grew up a Disney baby. I mean, I was a child of the late 80s and 90s when everybody learned that good was good, evil was evil, and there was always a happily ever after. Disney was kind of this corporate machine that controlled all of us, you know, and then I went to Harvard, where I actually studied fairy tales. That was my major for four years because I learned the original stories and realized that everywhere else around the world, they learned the real stories where good and evil were much more nuanced. And. And we grew up with these sanitized, corporatized versions where, you know, the Little Mermaid was the good guy, whereas in the real story, she was the villain. And I realized kind of that the seed of our politics was in those Disney movies. Right. Because it tells everybody you're the good guy of your own story. And if anyone stands in your way, they have to be destroyed. And if everybody grows up thinking that. That I'm good, everybody else is evil. It leads to where we are now. Right. And so it's not so big a jump from fairy tales to Young World, because I think what I'm trying to people is, whether the fantasy world or the real world, you can't have adults make all the decisions about your values and everything like that. They can't tell you everything's going to be okay. You're going to have a happy ending and then steal your future, which is what's happening right now. You know, the boomer generation has basically accrued all the wealth and screwed everybody young out of jobs in the future, out of political power in the future. And so something has to change. And I can sense there's a lot of anger and anxiety amongst young people. And I'm trying to turn that into focused power with a novel, because I think a novel is in a way less threatening than, you know, going straight at the political problem. Also, I'm not a constitutional expert or public policy scholar or journalist like you. I'm able to tell stories, and so that's how I can actually make an impact.
- [10:11]
Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
Well, so what do you say to someone who's watching this, who isn't young, who is part of the older generation? Why should they read it then?
- [10:18]
Soman Chainani (Author)
Well, I think the important thing is to realize that the young people in your life have demographic power, right? At some point they're going to figure out that they actually have the numbers to leverage against the two political parties. And part of my kind of founding principle for Young World is this idea of the Revolting Youth Party, which is everybody, young, left or right, gets together and realizes they have numbers. And now it's up to either side, red or blue, to curry favor with that demographic block. You know, and so the question in the book is their. Their own entity, right? Young people can actually create that power. I think that the smartest thing for Red and Blue to do is un age gate the presidency, right? Because then you're allowing young people to actually participate in the political process rather than revolt against it. So I think it's almost a warning to older people that if you want young people to work on your behalf and to continue the way it's always been, which is, you know, to follow the future that you create and to believe in you and. And not revolt against you, you have to entertain this vision of the future where they do.
- [11:24]
Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
I think I find it interesting on the back cover of the book that the first line is a teenage president. I mean, are you really suggesting that there's going to be a teenage president potentially.
- [11:37]
Soman Chainani (Author)
I think we should have the option. That's the case of functioning democracy. Right. Which is like if you have a teenager on stage against, let's say J.D. vance. Right. For 2028. Sure. There could be this notion, especially if they're very well spoken like in the book. The president is kind of a mix of a young Obama slash Tom Hanks, like he just carries himself a certain way that you believe him. Right. I can see a teenager on stage against Vance and I could see us kind of romanticizing the notion. But I think when we got to the ballot box we would do the same thing we do with like a 98 year old candidate, which is like they're out of touch, it's not going to work and we don't vote for them. You know, we don't vote for them.
- [12:11]
Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
Yeah.
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Soman Chainani (Author)
I don't know if we vote for Vance, but we do something, you know, other than vote for the teenager. But I think that's the case of a functioning democracy. I also think you have to look at who's been politically powerful the most in the last, you know, few years. You look at Mamdani who couldn't run for president for other reasons, but he shouldn't be age gated out of the presidency. Right. Or Charlie Kirk who, you know, died at 31 but had more political power than most people who nominally run Washington. Right. Look at who's actually bringing young people into the process. Even someone like yourself, Right. Should have, have the right to have people swell up behind you and say you should run for president. Right. So I think the idea of a functioning democracy requires that. The other thing I would say is it's so hypocritical that in this particular country at 18, you can accrue credit card debt that follows you around for the rest of your life and mortgages and student loans. You can get married, you can open a business, you can vote to decide the, you know, leader of the future. You can fight in wars to defend this country. And yet you can't ask that country if you can lead it. It's just, it's extreme hypocrisy. So I, I think there's so many reasons why that clause has to go.
- [13:23]
Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
Now I do want to ask you some about something more broadly because I, I saw a recent poll the other day that showed that for the first time in a long time, less than a major. I mean, people have, people are no longer reading books, right. Most young adults haven't read a book. I Think the poll said in three to four years. I personally, before getting your book, and I haven't, I haven't finished it. I'm reading page by page. I haven't read a full book from COVID to cover in nine years, since law school. What does that tell you about kind of the current generation's attitude towards novels and whether even the book industry has a future right now?
- [13:58]
Soman Chainani (Author)
Oh, I have lots to say because I think what's important is that that's part of the impetus behind writing this version of the book. So the first thing I'd say is Young World doesn't look like any other novel you've read before, which is why it's super bright and neon and all that sort of stuff, because I knew that I knew young people weren't reading. So I said, okay, it's going to be the diary of this kid who ends up, you know, part of this global revolt, who ends up president. And that diary is going to look like his life. So there's over 150 visuals in the book. There's, you know, the tiktoks, the memes, the text, the information, the stuff he stuffs in the diary, you know, his presidential schedule, like the memos he's getting. I wanted it to feel like real life where you're constantly consuming different forms of media. So it's the closest you can come to either like reading a movie or experiencing like a novel, you know, sort of in the vehicle of your phone. Right. That was really important to me to bust the old form of the novel, to make it something that everybody young can pick up today and be like, this doesn't feel like a normal book. Right. The other thing I would say is we have this other problem with kids being afraid of silence. Right? And so a book to them feels threatening because it requires them to be alone with their thoughts. Right? And so we're having kids ping ponging between not being able to be alone with their thoughts or opening up their phone and being immersed in adult thoughts, Right? Because everything being programmed for them on that phone is made by an adult. Right? And all of a sudden you see kids in these spaces that they shouldn't be. They open threads, they open Twitter, they open Instagram, and they're basically in porn world by the time they're like 13 or 14. Right. And so part of my thesis in the book is this idea of, okay, A, we have to bring kids back to their own thoughts. And I need to give them a more fractured, fast version of a book that allows them to, you know, experience those thoughts in silence. And B, we have to understand that if they can't be alone with their thoughts, we're putting them in adult spaces that I think way too relate. And you're also seeing that change in what books they pick up. If you ask librarians what books kids are reading now, when they do check out, the guys are reading Jordan Peterson and Robert Greene at 13 or 14. That's the number one thing they're reading. And girls are reading hardcore erotica by 14 or 15, you know, what's called spicy romance books. So there's a problem and I think it's the reason why we have such a huge jump in depression and all that kind of stuff amongst young people.
- [16:23]
Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
So folks want to buy this book. Where can they get it?
- [16:26]
Soman Chainani (Author)
Everywhere. It comes out tomorrow, all over. There's, you know, you can get it in, in hardcover. And then there's also a pretty cool audiobook starring a huge cast of a production made to feel like you're in a movie because we translate the visuals that way. So I think it's kind of, kind of perfect for if you have young people in your life and if you're, you want to understand what it's like to be a young person and to encourage them to participate particularly in the political process. Uh, I think this is the book to get them off their ass.
- [16:56]
Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
Awesome. Well, good to thank you so much for joining me today. And yeah, go out and check out the book. It's pretty cool.
- [17:03]
Soman Chainani (Author)
Thanks, Aaron.
- [17:04]
Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
Hey folks, thanks so much for watching. Feel free to add this podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or anywhere you watch for the latest breaking news and daily hits throughout the day. Make sure to follow subscribe. See you soon for more.
- [17:17]
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- [17:44]
Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
Wayfair Every style, Every home When I found out I was going to be
- [17:47]
Soman Chainani (Author)
a parent, I immediately felt a lot
- [17:50]
Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
of anxiety and worry. So I went on to BetterHelp to try to look for a therapist to help me with that.
- [17:55]
Soman Chainani (Author)
My relationship with my family and with my boyfriend and with myself were suffering.
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Aaron (Host/Interviewer)
I really needed help.
- [18:02]
Soman Chainani (Author)
I was ruminating a lot. Really getting those thoughts out to a therapist and getting feedback was just life changing. Discover what better help online therapy can do for you. Visit betterhelp.com today.