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We have breaking developments this morning that truly no one saw coming. One of the worst mornings in front of the United States Supreme Court that a sitting President has had in recent memory as a Trump administration has lost three critical cases in front of the United States Supreme Court. Winning one, losing three. I have all the latest. I read through all the opinions. They were dozens and dozens of pages in length. Let's just put it this way, no legal expert and even as a lawyer I did not see today coming. Let's break it down if you can like comment, share, get the word out and subscribe to my substack link below to support my work, keep me caffeinated and support independent media. I'm going to be looking through all of the briefings today and all of the opinions today, especially as more opinions are likely to come this week, including on birthright citizenship. So let's break down the Supreme Court opinions that dropped today. The first was not an opinion, but rather an order. The United States Supreme Court declined to hear Donald Trump's appeal of the civil verdict, finding him liable for sexually abusing and defaming E. Jean Carroll. The decision leaves in place a $5 million judgment awarded to Carol by a jury. By refusing to take the case, the justices allow the lower court to rule, essentially ruling to stand with that weighing in on the merits of Trump's appeal. As a result, Trump remains legally responsible for paying the $5 million judgment. Unless something changes in the future, which nothing will change here, Trump forever will now have a sexual assault verdict on his record. This will never go away. There is nothing else Trump can do here. So that was the first major shoe to drop this morning. The Supreme Court essentially said, we're not going to hear it, we're not going to consider it. For perspective, to hear a case, the United States Supreme Court needs four justices to agree to hear it. Out of the nine, you don't even need a majority. You just need four out of the nine. And they couldn't get four. They couldn't even get any to publicly note dissent. Sometimes you'll have a situation where they will refuse to hear a case like this and then you'll have one justice say, I would have heard it. Not a single justice said they would have heard it. So major, major loss for Trump this morning. Then we got the stunner. This decision, truly stunning to me, the Watson versus the RNC decision. This case involved a challenge to a Mississippi law that allowed ballots to be counted so long as they are postmarked or c, so so long as they're postmarked by Election Day. Essentially, in, in Mississippi, there was a law that allowed ballots to be counted up to five days after Election Day so long as they are postmarked by Election Day. And in other states across the country, there are similar laws in mail, in voting. Say you mail in about on Election Day. It's postmarked, it's good. It would have counted had you gone in person. But they don't receive it for, say, three more days at the Board of Elections office. Well, many states allow that to still be counted. Republicans and Trump wanted to say no. Republicans and Trump wanted the Supreme Court to say Election Day is Election Day. If a ballot is not received on Election Day in the Board of Elections offices, then it cannot be counted, even if it was postmarked and sent on or before Election Day. Honestly, this decision is a stunner because it's a 5, 4 decision. Justice Barrett, who Trump appointed, delivered the opinion for the court. Justice Roberts joined Justice Barrett and the three liberal justices. You had Justice Sotomayor, Kagan and Jackson joining Barrett and Roberts in the majority. And then you had the other four justices in the dissenting in the minority. This one is a stunner because I listened to the oral arguments on this case and I didn't think Democrats, I didn't think they had a shot. Really didn't think so. I thought this was going to be a clear cut winner for the Trump administration. They were going to gut mail in ballots. But they did it. And instead they upheld a state law in Mississippi saying that federal election law does not preempt, does not overtake the state election law here. And in Mississippi, ballots, as long as they're received five days after election Day, that's what the law says, they can still be counted. Other states have different time periods. This is a major victory for mail in voting. And truthfully, truthfully will actually only make it tougher for Republicans right now in Congress because I guarantee you Trump is going to now push for the Save act even more to try to get rid of this. Congress could theoretically say any Election Day ballots received after Election Day cannot be counted. They can pass legislation to do that and I think he's going to push them to do that. So that was the second major decision. The third and final major loss for the Trump administration involved Lisa Cook, Federal Reserve governor, served on the Board of Governors. Trump tried to fire her without any cause. Well, the supreme court in a 5, 4 decision ruled that the government Trump administration did not show that it was likely to prevail on the legal arguments advance in its stay. And that means Lisa Cook can remain in her position on the Board of Governors pending litigation to remove her. A major loss again for the Trump administration. Another 5, 4 decision with Justice Roberts writing in the majority. Now, I did say the Trump administration did win a case, they did win a case involving the FTC and the ability to fire an FTC commissioner by the name of Rebecca Slaughter without cause. In the case of Trump vs Slaughter, the Supreme Court upheld Trump's firing and overturned 90 year old precedent that protected the heads or board members of independent agencies from arbitrary presidential dismissal. So that is a win for the president. That is a win for the administration. But when you look at the span of the entire day, it is a net loss because the mail in ballots, that's going to enrage Trump the most. The sexual assault verdict, he will forever have that on his record. And Lisa Cook will now remain in office for a long time because litigation takes a long time. Now, when we think about what the Supreme Court could do next, I do want to highlight one other opinion and chat re versus It's. Hold on, let me just pull it up. Chat reverse of the United States. This is. I'm going to nerd out for a second. The Supreme Court ruled that the law enforcement conducts a search under the Fourth Amendment when it obtains cell phone location data through a geofence warrant. So the question was whether or not obtaining cell phone location data through a geofence warrant would constitute a search and if Americans would have certain rights under the Fourth Amendment. And the court actually ruled yes, another loss theoretically for the administration, although not a big loss, they had hoped that the court would rule against it. This was a, I believe, a 6, 3 decision with Justice Kagan writing for the majority. When we look to the Supreme Court term, we have four more cases left. Four more cases left. And the Supreme Court will decide those cases this week, arguably the biggest case left. I'm going to quickly run through what's left so that, you know, is the birthright citizenship case. Whether or not Trump can alter the 14th Amendment's definition, that's going to come. That's a major decision. That's the biggest case left. You have a case involving transgender athletes in West Virginia. That's also a major case that I also expect to be a loss in a way. I expect the birthright citizenship. For Trump to lose that and then to win this transgender athlete case. And then the final one involves campaign finance regulations, which will also have reverberating effects for a long time. And we'll talk about that when that ruling is handed down. But ultimately, so far, this Supreme Court is rejecting Trump in a significant, significant way. But I would argue it's because they try to push so far. They try to push so far to try to go so hard at some of these executive powers that they even overstepped the boundaries of a 6, 3 conservative court. As always, if you can subscribe to my substack link below to support my work and see you soon.
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The Parnas Perspective: "Trump Handed Three Losses at Supreme Court" — June 29, 2026
Host: Aaron Parnas
In this episode, Aaron Parnas breaks down a dramatic and unexpected series of Supreme Court decisions—delivering three major losses to former President Donald Trump and only one minor win. Aaron, drawing from his expertise as both a legal commentator and attorney, provides an insider’s analysis on what these decisions mean for Trump, for U.S. democracy, and for the ongoing battle over voting rights and executive power.
| Timestamp | Segment | |-----------|------------------------------------------------------------| | 01:05 | Supreme Court rejects Trump’s final appeal on Carroll case | | 03:10 | Mail-in ballot case (Watson v. RNC) explained | | 06:10 | Lisa Cook stays on Federal Reserve Board | | 06:50 | Trump v. Slaughter decision—FTC commissioner can be fired | | 07:25 | Chat Re v. US—Geofence warrants and Fourth Amendment | | 08:00 | Upcoming major Supreme Court cases previewed | | 08:50 | Analysis on why the conservative court didn’t go Trump’s way|
Aaron Parnas offers a rapid-fire, insightful breakdown of a day filled with unexpected legal setbacks for Donald Trump—a rare Supreme Court losing streak that could have continuing implications for the president’s legacy, Republican strategy, and the broader legal and political landscape.
Despite a single win regarding the president’s power to fire independent agency heads, the rulings on mail-in ballots, the enduring sexual assault verdict, and protections for certain federal officials represent a serious judicial rebuke. As Aaron puts it, Trump “overstepped the boundaries of a 6-3 conservative court,” showing even a judiciary shaped by his appointments will not always endorse his most aggressive assertions of executive authority.
Listeners are left with a preview of even bigger rulings yet to come—especially on birthright citizenship and campaign finance—making this episode essential listening for anyone tracking the evolving judicial-political landscape in the 2026 election cycle.