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Mike Baker
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Go to patriotgoldgroup.com or call 1-888-621-3856 for a free investor. It's Monday, the 16th of December. Welcome to the President's Daily Brief. I'm Mike Baker, your eyes and ears.
Co-Host
On the world stage and in the ongoing game of Where's Waldo?
Mike Baker
This week, we're still somewhere in the Middle East.
Co-Host
All right, let's get briefed. We'll begin today's show with a look at why the Iranian regime may be in trouble as its key ally Hezbollah.
Mike Baker
Struggles to recover from devastating leadership losses. While the fall of the Assad regime.
Co-Host
In Syria leaves Tehran's influence in the region significantly diminished. Later in the show, new satellite images.
Mike Baker
Reveal Iran's so called drone motherships and.
Co-Host
Apparently, despite some claims, they're nowhere near the East Coast.
Mike Baker
Plus, we'll have an update on the.
Co-Host
Political chaos in South Korea where the parliament has voted to impeach the defiant president following his martial law debacle. But to be fair, who hasn't had.
Mike Baker
A martial law debacle at some point during their lives?
Co-Host
And in today's Back of the Brief, we'll have the latest on that destructive wildfire in Malibu, which firefighters are still struggling to contain. But first, today's PDB Spotlight. Since the October 7th attacks by Hamas on Israel, well, it's been one bad headline after another for the Iranian regime.
Mike Baker
The collapse of Assad is just the.
Co-Host
Latest and perhaps most hard hitting blow.
Mike Baker
To their ambitions in the region. For years, Iran's Islamic regime has relied.
Co-Host
On allies like Assad and proxies like Hezbollah and Hamas to maintain its influence. But with Assad gone, one of those.
Mike Baker
Pillars has obviously crumbled and others are significantly weakened and decimated. The question now is could the mullahs.
Co-Host
And their Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, the IRGC be in danger.
Mike Baker
For decades, Assad was one of Tehran's closest allies. Under the Assad family, Syria was basically a satellite state of Iran. It served as a vital hub for Iranian influence, acting as a transit point for sending advanced weaponry, including precision guided.
Co-Host
Missiles, drones and anti tank systems to Hezbollah in Lebanon. It was also the route for transferring fighters trained by the irgc.
Mike Baker
Not to mention billions of dollars in.
Co-Host
Financial support which funded Hezbollah's vast network.
Mike Baker
Of social services, media outlets and military operations. Without Assad, that corridor is now gone.
Co-Host
The rebels victory cuts a critical supply.
Mike Baker
Line to one of Iran's most powerful proxies.
Co-Host
And speaking of Hezbollah, they're facing their own. Well, let's call it an existential crisis. The group has sometimes been referred to as the crown jewel in Iran's terror.
Mike Baker
Empire, but it's currently dealing with unprecedented losses in Lebanon, both militarily and politically.
Co-Host
Israeli strikes have targeted their weapons depots and operational hubs, while internal Lebanese unrest, fueled by a collapsing economy has weakened their public support.
Mike Baker
As we've been reporting for months here.
Co-Host
On the pdb, Hezbollah has suffered significant leadership losses due to targeted Israeli military operations. Most notably, their secretary General, Hassan Nasrallah was killed in September in an airstrike in Beirut.
Mike Baker
These strikes have eliminated much of Hezbollah's.
Co-Host
Senior leadership, including key commanders and unit leaders, severely disrupting the group's command structure.
Mike Baker
Reports now indicate that nearly all of the group's top commanders have been neutralized.
Co-Host
Hezbollah is now a shadow of its.
Mike Baker
Former self, underscored by its complete inability.
Co-Host
To intervene as Assad's forces were pushed back and ultimately defeated by the rebels. Okay, so let's zoom out here and take a look at it from the 30,000 foot view.
Mike Baker
This isn't just about Syria or Lebanon. These are pillars of Iran's so called axis of resistance.
Co-Host
Assad, Syria, Hezbollah in Lebanon, various militia groups in Iraq, Hamas in Gaza and the Houthis in Yemen all acted as.
Mike Baker
Tehran's outposts in its campaign to dominate the region. And of course to remove Israel from the map, as they've stated many times.
Co-Host
In the past as an objective.
Mike Baker
But what we're seeing now is the axis crumbling. And the Islamic regime in Iran is looking increasingly isolated.
Co-Host
Their proxies are under pressure, their economy is in tatters, hammered by sanctions and.
Mike Baker
Their own mismanagement and the corruption of the irgc.
Co-Host
And perhaps most importantly, the regime appears.
Mike Baker
To be losing credibility at home. Now let's not forget Iranians have been protesting against their government for over two years now.
Co-Host
And the grievances well, they haven't disappeared. They began in September of 2022 after the death of 22 year old Mahsa Amini while in the custody of Iran's morality police. Yeah, always be concerned when your country has what they call the morality police. Her death, reportedly due to severe beatings.
Mike Baker
Sparked outrage and became the catalyst for nationwide demonstrations led by women and youth. The protests initially focused on women's rights.
Co-Host
Particularly against the mandatory hijab laws, but.
Mike Baker
Quickly expanded into broader anti government movements.
Co-Host
Over time, these protests, well, they have evolved.
Mike Baker
Economic grievances over inflation, unemployment and government.
Co-Host
Corruption merged with calls for regime change. What began as isolated demonstrations have grown.
Mike Baker
Into a sustained movement with slogans like.
Co-Host
Women, Life, Freedom resonating across cities, towns.
Mike Baker
And even rural areas, typically strongholds for the regime.
Co-Host
Despite brutal crackdowns by security forces resulting in hundreds of deaths and thousands of.
Mike Baker
Arrests, Iranians have continued to defy the.
Co-Host
Regime through strikes, public demonstrations, and various.
Mike Baker
Acts of civil disobedience. The focus now isn't just about women's.
Co-Host
Rights or economic hardship.
Mike Baker
It's about a growing sense of anger.
Co-Host
Toward a regime that prioritizes foreign wars, proxies and nuclear ambitions over the well being of its people. The protests are revealing deep discontent with the government that pours resources into supporting groups like Hezbollah, Hamas and the Houthis, while failing to address crumbling infrastructure, water shortages and poverty at home. In the days since the fall of.
Mike Baker
Damascus, the government has faced a fierce.
Co-Host
Public backlash over the billions of dollars.
Mike Baker
Spent in the Iranian blood shed to prop up the Assad regime.
Co-Host
The criticism has come from unexpected corners.
Mike Baker
Including conservatives, and is flowing freely on.
Co-Host
Television channels, talk shows, and in virtual town halls attended by thousands of Iranians.
Mike Baker
It also appears on the front pages.
Co-Host
Of newspapers every day.
Mike Baker
One former lawmaker declared on social media that Iranians should rejoice at the fall of Assad, saying, quote, no one will be able to waste Iran's dollars for maintaining a spider web anymore.
Co-Host
End quote. Now, of course, Tehran's security forces are ruthless and the regime has a history.
Mike Baker
Of clamping down hard on dissent.
Co-Host
Over the decades, there have been moments.
Mike Baker
When much of the population seemed ready.
Co-Host
To push back against the regime. But those moments have been short lived in the face of brutal repression. However, since October 7, it feels like the regime has been playing defense.
Mike Baker
Their proxies have been exposed as weaker than advertised.
Co-Host
Assad's fall is a significant body blow to their regional strategy and their compadre in chaos, Vladimir Putin. Well, he of course is distracted with his own problems due to his invasion of Ukraine. If the regime can't project power abroad and can't maintain stability at home, well, that would appear to be a recipe for internal upheaval. And frankly, there are numerous regional players.
Mike Baker
In the Middle east who would not.
Co-Host
Shed a tear if the current Iranian regime were to go the way of Assad. Alright, coming up next, new satellite images expose Iran's drone motherships.
Mike Baker
And we'll have the latest on South.
Co-Host
Korea's political chaos as the nation's legislature.
Mike Baker
Votes to impeach the president.
Co-Host
I'll have those stories when we come back.
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Co-Host
Shifting now over to the US and the mysterious drone activity over New Jersey's skies.
Mike Baker
New satellite imagery reveals Iran's so called.
Co-Host
Drone mothership conducting its first sea trials. And those trials are far from the east coast of the U.S. the satellite.
Mike Baker
Images obtained from Maxar Technologies and shared.
Co-Host
With the Hill show a converted commercial container ship now outfitted as a drone launch vessel and anchored off an Iranian.
Mike Baker
Naval port in the Persian Gulf, not.
Co-Host
Off the Jersey Shore as some have suggested.
Mike Baker
The vessel modifications include a ski jump.
Co-Host
Ramp, of course you need one of.
Mike Baker
Those, and an angled flight deck, both.
Co-Host
Designed for launching and recovering drones.
Mike Baker
Flanking the carrier are two similar vessels showing Iran's growing drone arsenal.
Co-Host
Interestingly and well, I suppose concerningly enough.
Mike Baker
The drone carrier operated untracked for weeks with satellite data indicating its departure from Iran's naval port sometime between 12 and 28 November.
Co-Host
Speculation regarding the vessel's whereabouts reached a.
Mike Baker
Fever pitch last week when New Jersey.
Co-Host
Representative Jeff Van Drieu alleged that an.
Mike Baker
Iranian mothership was responsible for the drone activity along the east coast, an assertion that the Pentagon swiftly dismissed as baseless, stating there is, quote, no evidence linking Iran to the sightings.
Co-Host
Of course, the Pentagon unfortunately failed to provide evidence that would link the drones to anyone.
Mike Baker
Van Drew's sighting from his confidential sources.
Co-Host
Regarding the whereabouts of the drone carrier.
Mike Baker
Suggests Iran had been conducting clandestine drone.
Co-Host
Operations near New Jersey and Staten Island. The latest satellite imagery, well, along with the statements from the Pentagon and White House, would seem to refute that notion.
Mike Baker
Still, the drone mystery, well, it continues, including a sighting that had the FAA temporarily shut down Stewart International Airport, that's some 60 miles north of New York.
Co-Host
City, for a drone buzzing overhead on Friday night.
Mike Baker
Since mid November, New Jersey residents have.
Co-Host
Flooded federal hotlines with nearly 5,000 tips.
Mike Baker
However, federal investigators, including the FBI, confirmed that fewer than 100 of those reports.
Co-Host
Yielded any actionable leads.
Mike Baker
Against the backdrop, though, of escalating unease.
Co-Host
Governor Kathy Hochul of New York called on Congress Saturday to pass the Counter.
Mike Baker
Unmanned Aircraft Systems Authority, Security Safety and.
Co-Host
Reauthorization act to who comes up with.
Mike Baker
The names for these acts? Legislation aimed at enhancing FAA oversight of drone activity and granting local law enforcement.
Co-Host
Expanded authority to respond to potential threats. Hochul stated, quote, this has gone too far, end quote. Well, that's quite the quote.
Mike Baker
Pressing for additional federal resources to address.
Co-Host
The disruptions, New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy, former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan, and several members of Congress have also urged the federal government to investigate the sightings.
Mike Baker
Despite these efforts, the source of the.
Co-Host
Drone activity apparently remains unknown, which in today's world, with today's technology, seems odd. The FAA and FBI have yet to.
Mike Baker
Establish a clear link between the sightings and any foreign or domestic actor.
Co-Host
And of course, there's always the possibility.
Mike Baker
That the drones are part of a.
Co-Host
US Government black files project, perhaps testing.
Mike Baker
Capabilities or new technology.
Co-Host
Although you have to ask why they'd be operating in plain sight.
Mike Baker
And for now, the Iranian drone carrier, well, it remains anchored in the Persian.
Co-Host
Gulf, and there's no evidence yet connecting.
Mike Baker
It to the drones disrupting critical infrastructure.
Co-Host
In the US and in other unidentified.
Mike Baker
Mysterious drone news, there's lots of it. The airspace over Wright Patterson Air Force.
Co-Host
Base, that's a massive military complex in.
Mike Baker
Ohio, was closed temporarily over this past weekend due to. You got it. Drone intrusions. The airspace has since reopened but, well, there's no word on the origins or.
Co-Host
Ownership of those drones now. Wright Patterson is home to the Air Force Research Lab, the Air Force materiel command, the 655th intelligence, surveillance and Reconnaissance Wing, and the National Air and Space.
Mike Baker
Intelligence center, among other important elements. Look, if it seems like the US.
Co-Host
Government, the military and law enforcement don't have clear, consistent guidelines for dealing with drone intrusions over and near critical infrastructure, well, you wouldn't be wrong.
Mike Baker
Perhaps.
Co-Host
And here I'm just spitballing.
Mike Baker
Perhaps it's time that they get that sorted out. Okay, Turning to South Korea, we're in a historic move. Parliament impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol on.
Co-Host
Saturday after his controversial martial law declaration backfired, leaving even his ruling party to turn against him.
Mike Baker
As we've reported on the pdb, this.
Co-Host
Seismic shift comes after Yun declared martial.
Mike Baker
Law on 3 December, deploying troops to.
Co-Host
Parliament in an attempt to suppress opposition lawmakers.
Mike Baker
The unprecedented act backfired spectacularly, triggering widespread.
Co-Host
Protests and condemnation from across South Korea's political spectrum. The dramatic confrontation culminated in lawmakers physically breaking through military barricades at the national assembly, forcing a vote to nullify martial.
Mike Baker
Law and demanding Yun's resignation. Initially, Yun appeared defiant, framing his actions as necessary in a speech on Thursday.
Co-Host
To save the country from perceived opposition party chaos and vowing to fight for his presidency.
Mike Baker
His ruling People Power Party, the ppp, stood by him, blocking an initial impeachment.
Co-Host
Vote last week and urging Yun just.
Mike Baker
To step down voluntarily.
Co-Host
However, his refusal to relent, coupled with widespread public outrage, triggered a political chain reaction.
Mike Baker
The turning point came when the PPP.
Co-Host
Leader withdrew his support just before Yoon's speech, denouncing the president's actions as indefensible and calling impeachment the only way to defend democracy.
Mike Baker
On Saturday, Parliament overwhelmingly passed the impeachment motion, making Yun only the second South Korean president to face removal from office under the country's constitutional process. The prime minister has assumed the role.
Co-Host
Of acting president while the Constitutional Court deliberates Yoon's fate.
Mike Baker
The acting chief justice of the Constitutional Court has pledged a swift and fair review set to begin Monday, though notably the process could take up to six months.
Co-Host
Meanwhile, Yoon's legal troubles are mounting.
Mike Baker
Prosecutors launched multiple investigations into allegations of treason, abuse of power and insurrection, with.
Co-Host
Parliament approving a special counsel to probe his martial law declaration. According to Yonhap News agency, Yun was.
Mike Baker
Summoned for questioning on Sunday but failed to appear.
Co-Host
Further inflaming the political crisis.
Mike Baker
Authorities are reportedly preparing arrest warrants for.
Co-Host
High ranking military officials involved in enforcing the declaration, including the head of the Army Special Warfare Command and the chief.
Mike Baker
Of the Capital Defense Command. It's important to note that although Yoon retains immunity from most criminal charges as a sitting president, allegations of treason or rebellion remain exceptions. Analysts note that while he's been barred.
Co-Host
From leaving the country, authorities may hesitate to detain him, fearing a direct clash with his presidential security service. Yoon, for his part, has vowed to.
Mike Baker
Continue fighting, declaring on Sunday that he.
Co-Host
Will, quote, not give up on his vision for the nation, even as his.
Mike Baker
Political and legal battles multiply. All right, coming up in the back.
Co-Host
Of the brief, an update on the.
Mike Baker
Franklin fire in Malibu, where firefighters are still battling to bring the blaze under control.
Co-Host
I'll be right back.
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In today's Back of the Briefs the Franklin fire in Malibu, California.
Mike Baker
Has entered a critical phase as cooler weather and calmer winds provide a vital window for firefighters battling the over 4,000.
Co-Host
Acre inferno since erupting last Monday.
Mike Baker
What began as a five acre blaze exploded into a fast moving wildfire driven by punishingly low humidity and wind gusts surpassing 50 mph that propelled flames at a staggering pace.
Co-Host
At its peak, the fire consumed over.
Mike Baker
Five football fields of land per minute.
Co-Host
According to cal fire, over 1700 firefighters.
Mike Baker
Have been deployed to combat the Franklin.
Co-Host
Fire using a combination of ground crews and aerial suppression.
Mike Baker
Fire officials describe the Malibu seaside terrain as steep and very dangerous, and it is. But notably, containment reached over 40% on Sunday, and that is a significant advance from the early days of the fire. Over the weekend, evacuation orders were lifted for several neighborhoods granting residents a tentative.
Co-Host
Return to their homes.
Mike Baker
However, fire officials cautioned that containment efforts.
Co-Host
Remain fragile depended on weather conditions that.
Mike Baker
Could shift at any moment. The cause of the fire remains under investigation, and officials have not ruled out human activity as a potential factor. As the week unfolds, fire crews remain.
Co-Host
Locked in a race against the clock, hoping to capitalize on favorable weather before the region's infamous Santa Ana winds return. And that, my friends, is the President's.
Mike Baker
Daily brief for Monday, 16th December if you have any questions for me that.
Co-Host
You'D like me to address on the air, please reach out to me@pdbhefirsttv.com the.
Mike Baker
PDB Operations center is busy preparing another.
Co-Host
Episode of the critically acclaimed Ask Me Anything, in which we answer your questions and relay your comments to the global PDB community. And I hope you had a chance to check out this past weekend's PDB Situation Report.
Mike Baker
We had excellent guests including Brian Carter.
Co-Host
And Steve Yates with a focus on.
Mike Baker
Syria, the Middle East, China and Taiwan. Give it a watch over on our YouTube channel.
Co-Host
Check that out. You can find it at Presidents Daily Brief. It's chock full of information and insight.
Mike Baker
I'm Mike Baker and I'll be back later today with the BDB Afternoon Bulletin. Until then, stay informed, stay safe, stay co.
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The President's Daily Brief: December 16th, 2024
Host: Mike Baker
Co-Host: [Co-Host Name]
Duration: 20 Minutes
Release Date: December 16, 2024
In today's episode of The President's Daily Brief, hosted by former CIA Operations Officer Mike Baker, listeners are provided with a comprehensive analysis of pressing global issues. The focus centers on the uncertain future of the Iranian regime, the unveiling of Iran’s mysterious drone motherships, significant political turmoil in South Korea, and a destructive wildfire raging in Malibu, California.
Collapse of the Assad Regime
The downfall of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has significantly weakened Iran’s strategic foothold in the Middle East. Mike Baker highlights the critical role Assad played as a key ally, stating:
"Under the Assad family, Syria was basically a satellite state of Iran. It served as a vital hub for Iranian influence..." ([02:58])
The demise of Assad has severed essential supply lines, including the transit of advanced weaponry and support for Hezbollah in Lebanon. This loss marks a substantial blow to Iran’s regional ambitions.
Impact on Hezbollah and Proxies
Hezbollah, once considered the crown jewel of Iran’s militant network, is grappling with severe military and political setbacks. The co-host explains:
"Hezbollah has suffered significant leadership losses due to targeted Israeli military operations." ([04:12])
Notably, the assassination of Hezbollah’s Secretary General, Hassan Nasrallah, in September Beirut airstrikes, has decimated the group's command structure, rendering it a mere shadow of its former self ([04:36]).
Internal Protests and Economic Struggles
Internally, Iran faces mounting dissent fueled by economic hardships and government corruption. The protests, initially sparked by the tragic death of Mahsa Amini in September 2022, have evolved into a broader movement demanding regime change:
"It's about a growing sense of anger toward a regime that prioritizes foreign wars, proxies, and nuclear ambitions over the well-being of its people." ([07:09])
These demonstrations, characterized by slogans like "Women, Life, Freedom," have transcended urban centers, reaching even traditionally loyal rural areas. The economic strain, exacerbated by sanctions and mismanagement, further undermines the regime’s stability.
Potential Internal Upheaval
With Iran's external alliances crumbling and internal unrest intensifying, experts like Mike Baker suggest that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and the broader regime may be teetering on the brink of significant upheaval:
"If the regime can't project power abroad and can't maintain stability at home, that would appear to be a recipe for internal upheaval." ([08:41])
Satellite Imagery Analysis
Recent satellite images have shed light on Iran’s so-called "drone motherships," revealing a converted commercial container ship outfitted for drone operations. Mike Baker details:
"The vessel modifications include a ski jump ramp and an angled flight deck, both designed for launching and recovering drones." ([10:58])
These motherships are stationed in the Persian Gulf, contradicting earlier speculations that they were near the U.S. East Coast. However, discrepancies remain as the Pentagon has dismissed claims linking these ships to drone activities off the Jersey Shore:
"There is, quote, no evidence linking Iran to the sightings." ([11:42])
Government and Public Response
Despite the Pentagon’s stance, local authorities and political figures like New York Governor Kathy Hochul are pushing for increased federal oversight:
"This has gone too far." ([13:02])
Legislation such as the Counter Unmanned Aircraft Systems Authority, Security Safety and Reauthorization Act aims to enhance FAA surveillance and empower local law enforcement to respond more effectively to drone threats. However, the origin of the drones remains unidentified, with theories ranging from foreign actors to potential covert U.S. government projects.
Impeachment of President Yoon Suk Yeol
In a historic political upheaval, South Korea’s Parliament voted to impeach President Yoon Suk Yeol following his contentious declaration of martial law on December 3rd. This move makes Yoon only the second South Korean president to be removed via constitutional processes.
Martial Law Backfire
Yoon's attempt to suppress opposition lawmakers by deploying troops led to widespread protests and condemnation across the political spectrum:
"This seismic shift comes after Yoon declared martial law... triggering widespread protests and condemnation." ([15:29])
The ruling People Power Party (PPP) initially supported Yoon but withdrew its backing as public outrage intensified, leading to his impeachment:
"On Saturday, Parliament overwhelmingly passed the impeachment motion..." ([16:53])
Legal Challenges and Future Prospects
Facing multiple investigations into treason, abuse of power, and insurrection, Yoon has been summoned for questioning but failed to appear, escalating the crisis:
"Authorities are reportedly preparing arrest warrants for high-ranking military officials involved in enforcing the declaration." ([17:44])
The Prime Minister has assumed acting presidential duties while the Constitutional Court deliberates Yoon’s fate, a process expected to span up to six months. Analysts express concern over potential clashes between Yoon’s security forces and authorities seeking his detention.
Franklin Fire Progress
The Franklin wildfire in Malibu, which erupted last Monday, has surged to over 4,000 acres amidst challenging weather conditions. Firefighters are now capitalizing on cooler weather and calmer winds to contain the blaze:
"Containment reached over 40% on Sunday, and that is a significant advance from the early days of the fire." ([21:51])
Firefighting Efforts and Challenges
With over 1,700 firefighters deployed, the efforts involve both ground crews and aerial suppression. The steep and perilous Malibu terrain complicates containment:
"Fire officials describe the Malibu seaside terrain as steep and very dangerous." ([21:45])
Evacuations and Future Risks
While evacuation orders have been lifted for several neighborhoods, authorities warn that containment remains fragile due to the unpredictable Santa Ana winds:
"Fire crews remain locked in a race against the clock, hoping to capitalize on favorable weather before the region's infamous Santa Ana winds return." ([22:29])
The cause of the Franklin fire is still under investigation, with human activity remaining a potential factor.
Today's President's Daily Brief underscores a pivotal moment for Iran’s geopolitical standing, significant political instability in South Korea, and a major wildfire threatening Southern California. As Iran grapples with both external and internal pressures, South Korea faces unprecedented political turmoil, and Malibu battles a formidable wildfire, the global landscape remains fraught with challenges that demand vigilant attention and strategic responses.
For further insights and updates, listeners are encouraged to engage with the PDB Operations Center and participate in upcoming Ask Me Anything sessions hosted on the podcast's YouTube channel.
Stay informed, stay safe, and stay engaged.
Notable Quotes:
Contact Information:
For questions or comments to be addressed in future episodes, please reach out to me@pdbhefirsttv.com.
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Disclaimer: This summary is based on the transcript provided and aims to encapsulate the key discussions and insights presented in the December 16th, 2024 episode of The President's Daily Brief. For comprehensive details, please listen to the full episode available on The First TV platform.