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Mike Baker
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Foreign.
Mike Baker
It's Friday, the 4th of July. Well, for those of you in the US or if you're US citizens and you're listening from wherever on the planet, Happy Independence Day. May your day be filled with fireworks and cold beer, sunshine and great music, just as the founding fathers imagined. Welcome to the President's Daily Brief. I'm Mike Baker, your eyes and ears on the world stage. All right, let's get briefed. Ukraine delivers a major blow to Russia's military command, taking out one of its top Navy generals as Pyongyang doubles down on its support of Moscow, sending tens of thousands more troops to join the fight. You know, I'm starting to think that a ceasefire isn't actually in the works. We'll have the details later in the show. An update on the crisis in Haiti, where gangs now control nearly the entire capital. And the violence is spreading beyond Port au Pr into areas that were once thought safe. Plus, ICE arrests, one of Honduras's most wanted criminals on the streets of Long Island. And after he'd already been deported from the U.S. twice. Who says the U.S. immigration system is broken? And in today's Back in the brief, an Independence Day message to listeners of the pdb. So get your sparklers and your firecrackers ready. But first, today's PDB Spotlight. We'll begin with the latest from the front lines of the war in Ukraine, where Russia just suffered a major leadership setback as their summer offensive against Kiev appears to be stalling out. Authorities in Moscow confirmed Thursday that Major General Mikhail Gutkov, the deputy commander of Russia's navy, was killed in a recent Ukrainian missile strike in the Kursk region. Now, he's one of the most senior members of the Russian military to be eliminated by Kyiv since Putin's invasion in February of 2022, leaving a major hole in the Kremlin's top brass. While Kyiv has yet to comment on Gutkov's death, Russian and Ukrainian military bloggers say 10 other senior military officers, including Gutkov's deputy, were also killed in the strike, which hit a command post Situated just 19 miles from Russia's border with Ukraine's Sumy region. Gutkov had only been appointed to the senior naval post back in March. He was highly valued by the Kremlin, with Putin personally informing him of his promotion during a televised meeting with the crew of a nuclear submarine. He had previously served as the commander of the Russian Pacific Fleet's 155th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade. Try putting that on a business card, which Putin has regularly praised for repelling cross border incursions into the Kursk region by Ukraine. But for leaders in Kyiv, Gutkov and his foot soldiers represented the worst of Russian brutality. Ukraine has regularly accused the 55th Brigade of committing numerous war crimes, including executing prisoners of war. As I mentioned, Ukraine has not acknowledged involvement in Gutkov's death, but leaders in Kyiv have previously made it plain that they will aggressively pursue all individuals involved in war crimes against their country. Back in April, Ukraine's intelligence service, also known as the sbu, assassinated Russian Lieutenant General Yaroslav Moskalik in a bombing near Moscow. Now, Mosk had worked at the highest levels of the Russian military for 40 years and was tasked with planning and coordinating military operations against civilian targets inside Ukraine. At the time, the Secretary of Ukraine's National Security Committee said, quote, this will become the primary mission of our intelligence services and the SBU to ensure these people are punished. No matter where they are. They should be afraid even to leave their homes and let alone leave the territory of the Russian Federation, end quote. Now, Moscow's death followed that of Lieutenant General Igor Kirilov in a bombing last December. Kirilov, who served as the chief of Russia's nuclear, biological and chemical protection Forces, reportedly oversaw some 4,800 incidents involving the use of chemical weapons against Ukrainian troops. Kevin's successful targeting of Moscow's top brass has shocked Russia's military and political establishment, leaving Kremlin leadership feeling increasingly vulnerable. And the loss of Gutkov, who was operating near Ukraine's Sumy region, couldn't frankly come at a worse time for the Putin regime. As we discussed earlier this week, Russia's summer offensive against Kyiv, which only got underway in late May, appears to be faltering, failing to produce any significant territorial gains. The offensive spans from the northern border regions of Sumy and Kharkiv to Donetsk in eastern Ukraine. While it was designed to break through Ukraine's frontline defenses, Russia's poorly trained and equipped infantry have struggled to sustain any kind of battlefield pressure on Ukraine, particularly as their own troop losses pile up. But, well, it looks like the Kremlin will soon get another assist from their pals in North Korea. On Wednesday, Kyiv's intelligence service warned that the hermit kingdom is is planning to dispatch 30,000 more troops to Russia, which will nearly triple the number of soldiers that North Korea has sent to aid their ally. That's according to a report from the New York Post. Pyongyang had previously sent nearly 12,000 troops to fight in Russia's Kursk region, though roughly 6,000 have been killed or injured during offensive operations to date. Undeterred by their underwhelming offensive thus far, South Korea's National Intelligence Service says that Russia is preparing to use the influx of North Korean troops to stage a large scale assault against Ukraine within the next two months. The news comes just one week after Ukraine's top general warned that Moscow is currently amassing some 50,000 troops along their border, with Sumy also suggesting that a major assault is in the offing. All right, coming up after the break, an update on the crisis in Haiti as gangs tighten their grip on the capital and ICE captures one of Honduras most wanted fugitives on Long island, which is not in Honduras. I'll be right back. Hey, Mike Baker here. Now, most people I guess, know me as a former CIA dude, a businessman and a podcast host, of course, but, well, I'm actually also quite the expert on personal hygiene. That's a little known fact. So let's talk about sweat, shall we? 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Bill O'Reilly
Hey, Bill O'Reilly here, host of the no Spin News corporate media programs. They're often lazy and dishonest. You know that. The podcast world filled with misleading bomb throwers masking important issues that directly impact you. The no Spin News is here to counteract that we are a fact based, honest and unaffiliated broadcast. Our purpose is to inform you and give the best assessment of the situation, whether it's political or cultural. Please listen to the no Spin News with me, Bill O'Reilly on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever podcasts are found. Remember, trust is earned.
Mike Baker
Welcome back to the pdb. An update on the story we've covered in the past. Haiti's security crisis continues to free fall with the capital now teetering on the edge of collapse as gangs tighten their grip on every corner of Port au Prince, leaving what remains of the state increasingly powerless to respond. Speaking before the UN Security Council, top officials from the UN Office of Drugs and Crime or the UNODC warned that the situation has entered a critical phase. Criminal syndicates now exert near total control over Port au Prince and their reach is reportedly expanding into areas that were once considered relatively stable, relative being a relative term. The executive director of Unodcgatawale put it plainly, saying that 90% of the capital is now lost to gangs. With the government missing in action, armed groups are now providing their own brutal version of governance. Wally told the Council, quote, southern Haiti, which recently was insulated from the violence, has seen a sharp increase in gang related incidents. In the east. Armed groups are now exploiting key land corridors, including border crossings into the Dominican Republic where attacks on police and customs officials have spiked with gangs tightening their chokehold on Haiti's main transportation arteries. Commerce has ground to a halt. Prices for basic staples like cooking fuel and rice have soared, adding to the deepening humanitarian crisis in a country already ranked as the poorest in the Western hemisphere. As we've extensively tracked here on the pdp, the international aid response has largely landed with a thud. Back in February, The Kenya led UN backed mission to restore order, initially envisioned as a 2, 500 person operation, only saw about 1,000 personnel show up. On top of that, proposals to bolster the mission with drones, transport vehicles and fuel remain tangled in bureaucratic limbo at the Security Council. The country's downward spiral traces back to the 2021 assassination of President Zovinel Moise and how Haiti has not had a president since then and the transitional government is mired in dysfunction, paralyzed by competing interests and corruption. A recent UN panel report cited that those competing political ambitions within the interim government have sabotaged attempts to stabilize the country. In that absence, vigilante groups and private security outfits have surged. While some are attempting to defend neighborhoods, others have been accused of carrying out killings or colluding with the very gangs that they claim to oppose. UN Assistant Secretary General Miroslav Yencha warned that without immediate international intervention, the total collapse of the state authority could soon become reality. Sexual violence has also escalated dramatically. UN monitors documented more than 360 cases of sexual assault in the months of March and April alone, with officials describing it as a deliberate campaign of terror by armed groups to terrorize the population. Additionally, efforts to reform Haiti's police or hold elections by February 2026 have stalled. The national police force remains underfunded, overstretched and outgunned, while Haiti's long dormant military is frankly too weak to intervene. Although well intentioned, the Kenya led mission lacks both the resources and the firepower to make a dent. Without a major infusion of international support, it is possible that that the gangs of Haiti will soon overrun the entire country. The PDB will keep an eye on this sad story and report further developments. Shifting Stateside One of Honduras most wanted fugitives linked to a slate of violent crimes abroad, was captured in New York this week after previously slipping across the US southern border three separate times. Olivine Cotto, a 36 year old who was among Honduras top 10 most wanted when he fled the country, sought refuge in the US to avoid a looming 44 year prison sentence for aggravated femicide, attempted homicide and illegal home invasions. Honduran authorities issued a warrant for his arrest in early 2022. Now his arrest Tuesday by ICE ends a long chapter of evasion. Immigration agents confirmed that Cotto is now in custody without bond, awaiting what will be his third deportation. Oh well, maybe third time's the charm. According to federal authorities, Cotto first illegally crossed the US border in July of 2007, where he was intercepted in Texas and deported just two weeks later. He then re entered the US in February 2019, but was once again captured in Texas and expelled the following month. His third attempt an Undetected crossing remains murky. ICE has not disclosed precisely when he arrived, but confirmed he'd been living freely in the US Cotto only landed on law enforcement's radar again in May when the FBI flagged an active Interpol red notice. The alert triggered a rapid response, culminating in his arrest in Long island this week. The arrest comes as the Trump administration intensifies its crackdown on illegal immigration, targeting up to 3,000 arrests per day through a multi pronged crackdown aimed at restoring order along the nation's southern border. And the results appear to be speaking for themselves. Preliminary government data obtained by CBS News reveals just over 6,000 migrant apprehensions were recorded in the month of June. Now, that's the lowest monthly total ever logged by Border Patrol since the agency began reporting figures back in 2000. The previous record was set only months earlier, in March, when apprehensions hovered around 7,200. President Trump's border czar Tom Homan confirmed the numbers, noting that for a second consecutive month, not a single migrant was released after apprehension. He posted on X, we have never seen numbers this low. Never. End quote. Analysts attribute the dramatic shift to the Trump administration's deterrence model. In addition to deploying thousands of active duty troops to assist with border fortifications and interdictions, the Trump administration has expanded ICE operations deep inside the US Interior. As we've regularly discussed here on the pdb, the administration is also leaning on its self deportation campaign, offering migrants travel assistance through a government app and even cash incentives to voluntarily return home. Supporters say the President's immigration efforts are restoring credibility to a system long strained by backlogs, abuse, and violent repeat offenders, who, like the Honduran Cotto, were given multiple chances and still broke the law. Okay, coming up next in the back of the brief, a Fourth of July message. Stick around. Hey, Mike Baker here. Let's take a brief moment to talk about ways to protect your hard earned savings. I know the personal finance talk isn't everybody's favorite, but it is incredibly important, particularly in times of uncertainty. Look, one of the smartest ways to protect your savings is through diversification. And one way to diversify is, is with gold from Birch Gold Group. Look, gold is up some 40% just this past year. And central banks, well, they're buying record amounts of gold, in part because of global instability. Birch Gold Group makes it easy to own physical gold, either in your IRA or like a lot of folks, just stored safely at home. Just text PDB to the number 989898 and Birch Gold will send you a free Information kit on Gold, there's no obligation. It's just useful information with an A plus rating. With the Better Business Bureau and tens of thousands of happy customers, take control of your Savings today. Text PDB to the number 989-898.
Caitlin Becker
Anyone can deliver you headlines. Only the New York Post can deliver the headlines you need and the stories you want. From the iconic newsroom that pulls no punches comes the New York Post Cast. Every weekday morning, I'll break down a headline impacting your world with sharp insight, context and in depth reporting. Plus, I'll have the Post's signature mix of stories that people are actually talking about. From politics to business to pop culture and everything in between, this isn't just another news podcast. It's a look at what matters and a peek at what's too interesting to ignore, keeping you informed and entertained. I'm Caitlin Becker. Listen and subscribe to the New York Post Cast every weekday morning on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Amazon Music or wherever you get your podcast.
Miranda Devine
Power, Politics and the People behind the Headlines I'm Miranda Devine, New York Post columnist and the host of the brand new podcast podforce one. Every week I'll sit down for candid conversations with Washington's most powerful disruptors, lawmakers, newsmakers, and even the President of the United States. These are the leaders shaping the future of America and the world. Listen to Pod Force One with me, Miranda Devine every week on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcast. You don't want to miss an episode.
Mike Baker
In today's Back of the Brief. Well, today, as you may have guessed, is the Fourth of July. Now, in the US That's Independence Day. It's a chance to remember not just the birth of a nation, but the spirit that's carried its people through challenges for nearly 250 years. It's a time of uncertainty, though. Around the world in many ways, we see, obviously divisions at home and threats abroad. It would be easy to focus only on what divides us or what worries us, but that would frankly, miss the larger truth. The strength of the US of this country has never been found in its government structures or institutions or individual politicians alone. It's always come from the character of its people, from Americans willingness to work together despite our differences, from our shared belief in freedom, opportunity and responsibility. Look, despite all the current crises around the world and the divisions and partisanship at home, the truth is, well, we faced darker moments than these. We've endured wars on US soil, foreign threats, social upheavals, economic hardships political fights that seemed unbridgeable. Yet through it all, Americans found ways to come together to move forward to keep the promise of this nation alive. Look, today is a day to celebrate that promise. To remember that our freedom was hard won and must be protected by each generation. To recognize that disagreement is part of democracy. It just is. But unity is what sustains it. So wherever you are today, I hope you can take a moment to reflect on what it means to be an American, to appreciate those who serve and sacrifice to defend our freedoms and to remember that in the end, we're still one nation. And it's up to each of us to keep it strong and unified. Now get out there and fire up that grill, ice down the beer, and make sure your music playlist contains some George Strait. Oh, and don't let the kids near the heavy fireworks. Happy Independence Day. And that, my friends, is the President's Daily brief for Friday, the 4th of July. And to help you celebrate the holiday, well, there's a brand new episode of our PDB Situation Report hitting the airwaves this evening at 10pm on the First TV. And here's a little known fact. The Founding Fathers loved the PDB Situation Report. It was reportedly their favorite podcast. Of course, there were fewer podcasts back then. You can also catch it on our YouTube channel at President's Daily Brief and on podcast platforms wherever you get your podcast stuff. Guests include Seth Franceman, author of the October 7 war, and China expert and author Gordon Chang. We're examining a variety of things including current conditions in Gaza and the efforts to create a ceasefire and asking the question, just how much longer can China's Xi Jinping hold on to power? I'm Mike Baker and I'll be back over the weekend with the PDB Situation Report. Until then, stay informed, stay safe, stay cool.
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The President's Daily Brief: July 4th, 2025
Host: Mike Baker
Release Date: July 4, 2025
In this Independence Day episode of The President's Daily Brief, Mike Baker sets the stage by wishing listeners a happy Fourth of July and outlining the critical topics to be covered. The primary focus revolves around significant geopolitical developments, including a major blow to Russia's military leadership, North Korea's increased troop deployment, the escalating crisis in Haiti, and a notable ICE arrest of a Honduran fugitive.
Timestamp: [01:04]
Mike Baker delves into a significant development in the ongoing Ukraine-Russia war. Ukraine has successfully targeted and eliminated Major General Mikhail Gutkov, the deputy commander of Russia's navy, in a missile strike near the Kursk region. This marks one of the highest-level casualties for Russia since the conflict began in February 2022.
Mike Baker ([05:30]): "Gutkov was one of the most senior members of the Russian military to be eliminated by Kyiv since Putin's invasion in February of 2022, leaving a major hole in the Kremlin's top brass."
Gutkov's death is seen as a strategic setback for Russia, especially as their summer offensive against Kyiv shows signs of stalling. The offensive, which commenced in late May, has not achieved significant territorial gains, partly due to the loss of experienced commanders like Gutkov.
Additionally, Mike highlights that this strike follows previous targeted eliminations, including Lieutenant General Yaroslav Moskalik and Lieutenant General Igor Kirilov, further destabilizing Russia's military hierarchy.
Ukraine's National Security Committee Secretary ([03:45]): "This will become the primary mission of our intelligence services and the SBU to ensure these people are punished. No matter where they are."
The cumulative effect of these targeted operations has left the Kremlin leadership feeling increasingly vulnerable, and the ongoing offensive appears unsustainable amid rising Russian troop losses.
Timestamp: [07:15]
In a surprising turn, North Korea has pledged to bolster Russia's military efforts by deploying an additional 30,000 troops, nearly tripling their previous support in the Kursk region. This move is expected to provide Russia with a temporary boost as it grapples with the challenges on the Ukrainian front.
Mike Baker ([07:45]): "Pyongyang is planning to dispatch 30,000 more troops to Russia, which will nearly triple the number of soldiers that North Korea has sent to aid their ally."
Despite previous losses, with approximately 6,000 North Korean soldiers killed or injured, the continued commitment underscores the strategic alliance between Pyongyang and Moscow. South Korea's National Intelligence Service warns that Russia plans to utilize these additional forces to launch a large-scale assault on Ukraine within the next two months.
Timestamp: [09:17]
Shifting focus to the Caribbean, Haiti's security situation has deteriorated alarmingly. Gangs now exert near-total control over the capital, Port-au-Prince, with their influence expanding into previously stable regions. The United Nations Office of Drugs and Crime (UNODC) officials presented a grim outlook, stating that "90% of the capital is now lost to gangs."
UNODC Executive Director ([10:05]): "Southern Haiti, which recently was insulated from the violence, has seen a sharp increase in gang-related incidents."
The assassination of President Jovenel Moïse in 2021 set off a chain of political instability, leaving Haiti without a president and a transitional government mired in corruption and dysfunction. Efforts by a Kenya-led UN mission to restore order have been hampered by insufficient personnel and logistical challenges.
The humanitarian crisis is exacerbated by skyrocketing prices for essential goods and a surge in sexual violence, with over 360 reported cases in just two months. Without substantial international intervention, experts warn of a potential complete collapse of state authority in Haiti.
Timestamp: [14:10]
In domestic news, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) successfully captured Olivine Cotto, a 36-year-old Honduran national and one of Honduras's most wanted criminals. Cotto is facing multiple charges, including aggravated femicide, attempted homicide, and illegal home invasions. This marks his third deportation attempt after previous illegal crossings in 2007 and 2019.
Mike Baker ([15:20]): "His arrest Tuesday by ICE ends a long chapter of evasion. Who says the U.S. immigration system is broken?"
Cotto's capture aligns with the Trump administration's intensified efforts to curb illegal immigration, emphasizing a deterrence model that includes deploying active-duty troops to the southern border and expanding ICE operations within the U.S. Interior. Preliminary data indicates a significant decline in migrant apprehensions, reaching the lowest numbers since 2000.
President Trump's Border Czar Tom Homan ([16:00]): "We have never seen numbers this low. Never."
The administration's strategies, including self-deportation campaigns and incentives for voluntary return, are credited with restoring order and reducing the influx of illegal migrants.
Timestamp: [18:30]
Concluding the episode, Mike Baker delivers a heartfelt Independence Day message, reflecting on the resilience and unity of the American spirit. He emphasizes that the nation's strength lies not just in its institutions but in the character and cooperation of its people.
Mike Baker ([18:40]): "The strength of this country has never been found in its government structures or institutions or individual politicians alone. It's always come from the character of its people."
He encourages listeners to celebrate the nation's founding principles, recognize those who defend their freedoms, and embrace unity despite current challenges. Mike also promotes the evening’s special episode of the PDB Situation Report, featuring experts like Seth Franceman and Gordon Chang, discussing topics such as the situation in Gaza and China's political landscape.
Mike Baker wraps up The President's Daily Brief by reiterating the importance of staying informed and united, especially on Independence Day. He invites listeners to tune into the PDB Situation Report for deeper insights into pressing global issues, ensuring that they remain equipped to understand and address America's most critical challenges.
Stay informed, stay safe, and enjoy your Independence Day celebrations.