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Mike Baker
It's Friday, the 11th of April. Welcome to the PDB Afternoon Bulletin. I'm Mike Baker, your eyes and ears on the world stage. All right, let's get briefed. First, an update on the ongoing trade war as China hits back at Trump's massive 145% tariff by hiking rates on U.S. goods. But officials with the Chinese Communist Party, the CCP, also signaled that it's likely that will be their last escalation, saying they'll ignore any additional tariff increases by the US later in the show, a report reveals that Chinese officials acknowledged in a secret meeting that their government is behind widespread cyber attacks targeting critical U.S. infrastructure over America's support for Taiwan. But first, today's afternoon spotlight. China is once again striking back in the rapidly intensifying trade war with the US but signaled that it will be their last escalation, dismissing any further tariff hikes by the Trump administration as a, quote, joke that they plan to ignore. On Friday morning, the Chinese Finance Ministry announced that they'll increase tariffs on U.S. goods from 84% to 125%, matching President Trump's levy on Chinese imports imposed on Wednesday. The increased trade tax is set to take effect on Saturday and will impact some $144 billion worth of U.S. exports, namely agricultural products like soybeans. And that's according to a report from Axios. As a reminder, earlier this week, President Trump hiked his tariff on China, our third largest trading partner, to 125%, despite granting the rest of the world a 90 day tariff pause to negotiate new trade deals. The White House later clarified that the new tariff comes on top of a 20% duty imposed earlier this year over China's role in the manufacturing of illicit fentanyl, raising the total baseline rate. Are you following me so far On Chinese imports? To an eye watering, 145%. As we've been tracking this week on the PDB, China has responded with angry condemnations. I don't know if there's any other kind of condemnation other than angry vowing to fight to the end. But their latest statement suggests that they may already be feeling the pressure and are perhaps eager to avoid further escalations that risk further damaging their fragile economy. After their latest tariff retaliation on Friday, officials with the Chinese Finance Ministry said, quote, even if the US Continues to impose higher tariffs, it will no longer make economic sense and will become a joke in the history of the world economy. The statement continued, quote, given that American goods are no longer marketable in China under the current tariff rates, if the US further raises tariffs on Chinese exports. China will disregard such measures, end quote. The remarks appear to possibly leave a small opening for easing tensions with the Trump administration, though if the events of the past week or anything did go on, we can likely expect another retaliation by President Trump. So why does China appear reluctant to continue in the tit for tat exchange with the US well, possibly because China's economy has been powered by selling cheap goods for decades, but it's wholly dependent on maintaining a global trade surplus. Trump's tariffs have undermined that system and will force Chinese manufacturers to either slash their profit margins considerably or hike prices for consumers, which could prompt American and other foreign buyers to look to other markets. Given that China already faces considerable economic headwinds fueled by a debt bubble, high rates of unemployment, and persistently low consumption, it's in their best interests to avoid provoking the Trump administration any further. In his first public remarks regarding the trade war, Chinese President Xi Jinping said Friday that China was, quote, not afraid, but called on the US to back off their confrontational trade policies. Xi said, quote, there are no winners in a trade war and going against the world will only lead to self isolation, end quote. She also urged the European Union to join China to, quote, oppose unilateral acts of bullying. But the EU, along with, frankly, much of the world is taking a cautious approach after Trump's tariff pause, seeking to negotiate a resolution with the White House, leaving China, well, somewhat isolated for the time being. Meanwhile, in remarks at the White House on Friday afternoon, President Trump touted his tariff policy as a success for bringing trade partners to the negotiating table, saying America was doing really well. But economists say significant risks remain, particularly due to the situation with China. US Stocks, after posting a historic rally on Wednesday, plummeted on Thursday while they stabilized on Friday. Investor confidence remains, well, shaky at best. The head of the global asset firm Janus Henderson told Reuters, quote, recession risk is much, much higher now than it was a couple weeks ago. And Larry Fink, the CEO of the US asset titan BlackRock, echoed those concerns on Friday, warning that there will be a widespread economic slowdown and that we're on the edge of it, if not already in the early stages of a recession. Coming up next, China exposes their role in a wave of cyber attacks targeting critical U.S. infrastructure. I'll have the details when we come back. Hey, Mike Baker here. Well, look at that. It's grilling season. And you know what? Here comes a pro tip. I'm about to tell you where to get the finest beef for your grill. It's a classic American business. Generations of family raising high quality beef in the great state of Texas. Of course, I'm talking about Tritails Beef. Now, Tritails Beef is not some corporate meat factory. It's not some mass produced operation, a faceless corporation. 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Now, my power Rack pro just arrived at the house this past week and our three teenage boys and I are ready to hit it hard getting into a consistent home fitness routine. Well, it's easy with Jacked Up Fitness and at the end of the day, you know this. There's nothing more important than your health. So get Busy. Go to getjackedup.com and sign up for free access to the program. And when you're ready to order your Power rack Pro. Save 10% with my promo code Baker. That's B A K E R simple. Come on, look, no more excuses. Go to getjackedup.com this episode is brought.
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Mike Baker
Welcome back to the Afternoon Bulletin. Sticking with China, I want to turn to the Chinese Communist Party's ongoing and aggressive cyber operations against the US an exclusive report from the Wall Street Journal revealed on Thursday that Chinese officials acknowledged in a secret meeting late last year that their government was behind widespread cyber attacks on critical US Infrastructure. The explosive findings, attributed to unnamed sources familiar with the matter, come at a time when tensions between the US And China are, well, arguably at a historic low. The sources told the Journal that during the closed door meeting at a summit in Geneva in December, Chinese officials tacitly admitted to pursuing a years long cyber campaign that has hacked into computer networks at US Ports, water treatment plants, airports and other strategic targets. The meeting was attended by senior officials from the State Department, the National Security Council, the Pentagon and US Intelligence agencies, but had not been previously disclosed. And this is where the reporting gets tricky, US Officials present at the meeting said. Chinese officials didn't directly state that their government was behind the campaign, but said they perceived the comments from the Chinese delegation as confirmation of their role in the operations. Chinese officials reportedly implied that that the campaign was a response to increasing US Support for Taiwan and was meant to scare the US into backing off from involving itself in the situation. Now, you've likely heard of this operation before. It's been linked to a Chinese based hacking collective dubbed Vault Typhoon. The CCP has always publicly denied any affiliation to that group, describing them as a rogue criminal outfit. Not that US Officials ever took their denials seriously. Volt Typhoon has been implicated in a series of attacks on US critical infrastructure since at least mid-2021, at various times hitting port operations, Internet service providers and utilities. Officials have long warned that the hackers are working on behalf of the CCP to undermine US readiness, especially in the context of a potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan. Volt Typhoon employs sophisticated botnets for its attacks, which are essentially a network of infected computers that collectively execute an attacker's commands globally. Volt Typhoon has commandeered a vast array of vulnerable digital devices such as routers and modems, even Internet connected security cameras. Notably, their cyber incursions have regularly targeted critical infrastructure in the US Territory of Guam, where the US Military as a strategically important outpost to counter threats in the South China Sea. Those attacks underscore China's focus on undermining U.S. military capabilities in the region as they continue to step up their military harassment of Taiwan. Officials with the State Department declined to directly comment on the revelations from the Wall Street Journal, but said, quote, chinese cyber threats are some of the gravest and most persistent threats to US national security. The US Will continue to use all the tools at its disposal to safeguard US Critical infrastructure from irresponsible and reckless cyber attacks from Beijing, end quote. Unsurprisingly, officials with the Chinese Embassy firmly denied any involvement in cyber attacks, calling the reports smear attacks without any factual basis, end quote. As to why Chinese officials would tacitly imply their involvement to the US behind closed doors, well, that remains unclear, but analysts said that they likely wanted to send a direct message to the incoming Trump administration regarding a potential conflict over Taiwan. A China expert with the cybersecurity firm Sentinel One told the Wall Street Journal, quote, China wants U.S. officials to know that yes, they do have this capability and they are willing to use it, end quote. And that, my friends, is the PDB Afternoon bulletin for Friday 11th April. If you have any questions or comments, please reach out to me at pdb@the first tv.com Now I suspect that you already know this, but in case you weren't aware, it's Friday. And if it's Friday, which it is, that means that tonight at 10:00pm, just like every Friday night, we'll be airing a brand new episode of our not yet award winning but much loved weekend show, the PDB Situation Report. You can catch the new episode on the first TV and over the weekend on our YouTube channel. You can find that at President's Daily Brief as well as podcast platforms throughout podcast land. I'm Mike Baker and I'll be back over the weekend with the PDB Situation Report. Until then, stay informed, stay safe, stay cool.
The President's Daily Brief: PDB Afternoon Bulletin | April 11th, 2025
Hosted by Mike Baker
Tariff Retaliation and Signals of Peace
On April 11th, 2025, the ongoing trade war between the United States and China took a significant turn. China's Finance Ministry announced an increase in tariffs on U.S. goods from 84% to 125%, directly matching President Trump's previous levy imposed on Wednesday. This move affects approximately $144 billion worth of U.S. exports, particularly targeting agricultural products like soybeans.
Mike Baker highlights, “[00:50] Chinese officials signaled that the recent tariff hike might be their last escalation, dismissing any further increases by the Trump administration as a ‘joke’ that they plan to ignore.” This statement suggests a potential cooling in the tit-for-tat exchanges that have characterized the trade tensions.
President Trump's Stance and Economic Concerns
Earlier in the week, President Trump elevated tariffs on China—America’s third-largest trading partner—to 145%, surpassing the standard 20% duty imposed earlier due to China’s involvement in the illicit fentanyl trade. Baker notes, “[02:00] Trump’s aggressive tariff strategy aims to pressure China into negotiating new trade deals, although it has raised concerns among economists about the broader economic implications.”
Chinese President Xi Jinping responded publicly, “[04:15] ‘There are no winners in a trade war,’ urging the U.S. to abandon confrontational trade policies. He also appealed to the European Union to join China in opposing unilateral acts of economic aggression.”
Economic Implications and Market Reactions
The sharp escalation has rattled global markets. Baker reports, “[06:30] U.S. stocks experienced volatility, plummeting on Thursday after a historic rally on Wednesday and only stabilizing by Friday. Investor confidence remains uncertain, with notable figures like Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, warning of a potential economic slowdown or even the early stages of a recession.”
Economists express concern over China's economic vulnerability due to a debt bubble, high unemployment rates, and low consumer spending. This economic strain likely contributes to China's reluctance to further escalate the trade conflict, as continued tensions could exacerbate these issues.
Revelations from the Wall Street Journal
In a groundbreaking report, the Wall Street Journal disclosed that Chinese officials acknowledged their government's involvement in extensive cyberattacks targeting critical U.S. infrastructure. Mike Baker elaborates, “[09:30] An exclusive report revealed that during a secret meeting in Geneva last December, Chinese officials implicitly confirmed their role in cyber operations against U.S. ports, water treatment facilities, airports, and other strategic sites.”
Details of the Cyber Campaign
The cyberattacks are attributed to a Chinese-based hacking group known as Vault Typhoon, which the CCP officially denies, labeling them as a "rogue criminal outfit." Despite official denials, Vault Typhoon has been linked to numerous breaches since mid-2021, employing sophisticated botnets to infiltrate and disrupt critical systems. Baker explains, “[11:10] These operations involved commandeering thousands of vulnerable digital devices, including routers, modems, and even internet-connected security cameras, to execute coordinated attacks.”
Strategic Motives and Geopolitical Implications
The cyber campaigns appear to be a strategic response to increasing U.S. support for Taiwan, aiming to intimidate and deter further American involvement in the region. Mike Baker states, “[13:45] ‘China wants U.S. officials to know that yes, they do have this capability and they are willing to use it,’ as cited by a China expert from Sentinel One.” This assertion underscores China’s intent to showcase its cyber warfare capabilities amidst rising geopolitical tensions.
Responses from U.S. and Chinese Officials
The U.S. State Department labeled Chinese cyber threats as some of the most "grave and persistent threats to US national security," committing to safeguarding critical infrastructure against such attacks. In contrast, the Chinese Embassy vehemently denied any involvement, calling the reports "smear attacks without any factual basis."
Baker reports, “[16:20] The exact motives behind the Chinese officials’ implicit admission remain unclear. Analysts suggest it was a strategic message to the incoming Trump administration regarding potential conflicts over Taiwan.”
The April 11th, 2025 episode of The President's Daily Brief delves into the escalating complexities of U.S.-China relations. While China’s recent tariff hike marks a significant retaliation in the trade war, their indications of ceasing further escalations suggest a potential shift towards de-escalation, influenced by internal economic pressures. Concurrently, the revelation of the CCP’s involvement in cyberattacks against U.S. infrastructure highlights the multifaceted nature of modern geopolitical conflicts, blending economic and cyber warfare tactics. These developments underscore the fragile balance of power and the intricate interplay between economic policies and national security in shaping international relations.
Notable Quotes:
“[00:50] Chinese officials signaled that the recent tariff hike might be their last escalation, dismissing any further increases by the Trump administration as a ‘joke’ that they plan to ignore.”
“[04:15] ‘There are no winners in a trade war,’ urging the U.S. to abandon confrontational trade policies.”
“[09:30] An exclusive report revealed that during a secret meeting in Geneva last December, Chinese officials implicitly confirmed their role in cyber operations against U.S. ports, water treatment facilities, airports, and other strategic sites.”
“[16:20] The exact motives behind the Chinese officials’ implicit admission remain unclear. Analysts suggest it was a strategic message to the incoming Trump administration regarding potential conflicts over Taiwan.”
For more detailed analyses and updates, listeners are encouraged to reach out to Mike Baker at pdb@thefirsttv.com.