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Details, they would be just about to. It's Monday, the 10th of February. Welcome to the PDB Afternoon Bulletin. I'm Mike Baker, your eyes and ears on the world stage. All right, let's get briefed. First, Hamas has announced that it's delaying the release of Israeli hostages until further notice, accusing Israel of violating the ceasefire agreement. Israel calls it a complete breach of the deal and is now preparing for, quote, any possible scenario in Gaza. Later in the show, President Trump reveals he's already spoken with Vladimir Putin about ending the war in Ukraine, saying his Russian counterpart, quote, wants to see people stop dying. Well, then I guess he probably shouldn't have started the war in the first place. But first, today's afternoon spotlight. We begin with breaking news. Hamas has announced that it's halting the scheduled release of Israeli hostages, claiming that Israel has failed to uphold its end of the ceasefire agreement. In a statement from its armed wing, the Al Qassam Brigade, Hamas accused Israel of blocking displaced Palestinians from returning to northern Gaza, targeting civilians with shelling and. And restricting the flow of humanitarian aid. They claimed Hamas had fully complied with the ceasefire. Oh, and they stated that hostage releases would remain on hold until Israel met with what the terror group is calling past weeks obligations. Huh. It's, it's, it's almost like a terrorist organization, a creature of the Iranian regime, wants to dictate the terms of a ceasefire after starting this war with the slaughter of over a thousand Israeli citizens. But perhaps that makes me sound churlish. The next release was set to take place this Saturday, February 15th. Three Israeli hostages taking during Hamas's October 7th attacks were supposed to be freed in exchange for a number of Palestinian prisoners held in Israeli jails. This would have been the sixth swap since the ceasefire began last month. So far, 16 Israeli hostages and over 730 Palestinian prisoners have been exchanged. In total, 17 Israeli hostages were still due to be released in the first phase of the ceasefire, eight of whom Israel says are dead, but now Hamas is suspending the process indefinitely. A cynic, of course, would say that it's because they don't have any more living hostages or they don't know where they are. Predictably, Israel has responded forcefully to the announcement. Defense Minister Israel Katz called Hamas's decision a complete violation of the ceasefire deal and said he has ordered the Israeli military to maintain the highest level of alert for any possible scenario. In Gaza, Katz warned, quote, we will not allow a return to the reality of October 7th. Meanwhile, an Israeli delegation is currently in Qatar negotiating the second phase of the hostage deal, which could see more captives released. However, it's unclear how today's developments will impact those talks or if the ceasefire itself will hold. For now, tension is, of course, rising, and the next move from either side could determine whether negotiations continue or if the conflict escalates once again. As we reported this morning on the bdb, the most recent hostage exchange over the weekend sparked outrage due to the condition of the released Israeli hostages. Doctors have confirmed that the three men, all abducted during Hamas's October 7 attacks returned severely malnourished and suffering from multiple health complications, including heart disorders and infections. Their condition has only heightened concerns about the welfare of those still in captivity. Coming up next, President Trump since he's already been on the phone with Vladimir Putin about ending the war in Ukraine. I'll have those details after the break. Welcome back to the Afternoon Bulletin. President Trump claims he privately spoke with Russian President Putin about ending the war in Ukraine, hinting that Russian negotiators are eager to meet with their American counterparts. Yet details remain scarce. In an interview with the New York Post aboard Air Force One on Friday, Trump declined to specify how many times he's spoken with Putin, offering only a cryptic quote, I better not say. Trump insisted he has a plan to end the war, but kept specifics under wraps, adding, quote, I hope it's fast. Every day people are dying and I want to end this damn thing, end quote. The president suggested that economic pressure through tariffs and oil price cuts could force Russia to the negotiating table, though the Kremlin has dismissed such claims in the past. More strikingly, he floated the idea of Washington engaging with Moscow without Keeves direct involvement, stating, quote, let's get these meetings going. They want to meet every day. People are dying, young men like my sons on both sides, end quote. But despite Trump's confidence, well, Moscow remains tight. Lipped Kremlin mouthpiece Dmitry Peskov stated that, quote, communications between Moscow and Washington occur through different channels. Well, that that's pretty cryptic. The Kremlin on Sunday refused to confirm any talks between the leaders. However, analysts argue that Putin has little incentive to negotiate. Nearly three years into the war. Can you believe that three years into the war, Russia is closer than ever to securing its core military objectives in Ukraine, making a diplomatic resolution unlikely. And that's according to assessments from both Western and Russian analysts interviewed by the Associated Press. National Security Adviser Michael Waltz, who joined Trump's interview, declined to verify whether Trump had spoken with Putin, but acknowledged that, quote, there are certainly a lot of sensitive conversations going on. Everybody's talking cryptically. He added that US Diplomats would be in Europe this week to discuss potential pathways to end the war. According to Waltz, leaders including India's prime minister and China's president, as well as figures across the Middle east, signaled willingness to assist Trump in brokering a peace deal. But what that actually looks like, well, that remains unclear. Waltz suggested that Trump's strategy would lean heavily on economic leverage, stating, quote, the president is prepared to put all of those issues on the table this week, including the future of U. S. Aid to Ukraine, end quote. He also indicated that Trump would push for Europe to take the lead on Ukraine's long term security, stating, quote, president Trump is going to end it and then in terms of security guarantees, that's squarely going to be with the Europeans, end quote. On the campaign trail, Trump repeatedly vowed to end the war, emphasizing the staggering loss of life. Trump told the Post on Friday, quote, all those dead people, they're like your kids, 2 million of them, and for no reason, adding that Putin also, quote, wants to see people stop dying, end quote. But Ukrainian President Zelensky made clear that he's deeply skeptical of Trump's approach, warning that it could sideline Kiev entirely. Zelensky told the ap, quote, putin wants to deal directly with Trump cutting out Kiev. Well, he's not wrong. That would be a stark departure from the Biden administration's. Nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine policy, which insists that Ukraine must be a central player in peace negotiations. Well, there's some logic to that, given that they're the invaded country. Zelensky warned that allowing Russia to dictate the terms of peace would embolden authoritarian regimes in China, North Korea and Iran, setting a dangerous precedent for global security. And that, my friends, is the PDB afternoon bulletin for Monday 10th February. If you have any questions or comments, please reach out to me@pdbhefirsttv.com and as you may have already learned from the gossip columns, to listen to the show ad free. It's very simple. Become a premium member of the President's Daily brief by visiting PDB premium.com. i'm Mike Baker and I'll be back tomorrow. Until then, stay informed, stay safe, stay cool.
Podcast Title: The President's Daily Brief
Host: Mike Baker, Former CIA Operations Officer
Release Date: February 10, 2025
Duration: 20 minutes
In the February 10th, 2025 episode of The President's Daily Brief hosted by Mike Baker, two critical geopolitical developments take center stage:
This episode delves into the implications of Hamas's decision on the ongoing conflict and examines the potential impact of Trump's unconventional diplomatic efforts with Russia.
Breaking News and Initial Announcement
At the outset (00:30), Mike Baker reports that Hamas has declared an indefinite halt to the release of Israeli hostages. This decision comes amid accusations against Israel for allegedly violating the ceasefire agreement.
Mike Baker: "Hamas has announced that it's halting the scheduled release of Israeli hostages until further notice, claiming that Israel has failed to uphold its end of the ceasefire agreement." (00:30)
Details of the Suspension
Hamas's armed wing, the Al Qassam Brigade, specified that Israel has obstructed the return of displaced Palestinians to northern Gaza, targeted civilians with shelling, and restricted humanitarian aid. Despite Hamas asserting full compliance with the ceasefire, they demand Israel meet certain conditions before resuming hostage exchanges.
Mike Baker: "Hamas accused Israel of blocking displaced Palestinians from returning to northern Gaza, targeting civilians with shelling and restricting the flow of humanitarian aid." (00:30)
Historical Context and Previous Exchanges
Prior to this announcement, a total of 16 Israeli hostages and over 730 Palestinian prisoners had been exchanged. The latest planned exchange involved three Israeli hostages taken during Hamas's October 7th attacks, set for release on February 15th, which would have marked the sixth swap since the ceasefire began. However, Hamas has now indefinitely postponed this process, leaving 17 Israeli hostages still pending release, with eight reported dead.
Reactions and Implications
Israel responded strongly to Hamas's decision, with Defense Minister Israel Katz labeling it a "complete violation of the ceasefire deal."
Mike Baker: "Defense Minister Israel Katz called Hamas's decision a complete violation of the ceasefire deal and said he has ordered the Israeli military to maintain the highest level of alert for any possible scenario." (00:30)
Israel is currently engaged in negotiations in Qatar aiming to negotiate the second phase of the hostage deal, which may involve more releases. However, the suspension by Hamas introduces uncertainty into these talks and jeopardizes the stability of the ceasefire.
Condition of Released Hostages
Baker highlights that the latest hostage exchange raised concerns due to the deteriorated health of the released individuals. Medical professionals confirmed that the three Israeli hostages returned severely malnourished and suffering from multiple health issues.
Mike Baker: "Doctors have confirmed that the three men, all abducted during Hamas's October 7 attacks returned severely malnourished and suffering from multiple health complications, including heart disorders and infections." (00:30)
Trump's Claims of Dialogue with Putin
In the latter half of the episode, Mike Baker shifts focus to President Donald Trump's recent assertion that he has engaged in private conversations with Russian President Vladimir Putin aimed at ending the war in Ukraine.
Mike Baker: "President Trump claims he privately spoke with Russian President Putin about ending the war in Ukraine, hinting that Russian negotiators are eager to meet with their American counterparts." (00:30)
Details from Trump's Interview
During an interview with the New York Post, Trump declined to specify the number of conversations with Putin but emphasized his determination to end the conflict swiftly.
Trump Quote: "I hope it's fast. Every day people are dying and I want to end this damn thing, end." (00:30)
Trump proposed leveraging economic pressure, such as tariffs and oil price reductions, to compel Russia to negotiate. Additionally, he suggested that Washington engage with Moscow without direct U.S. involvement, advocating for regular meetings.
Trump Quote: "Let's get these meetings going. They want to meet every day. People are dying, young men like my sons on both sides." (00:30)
Kremlin's Response and Analyst Perspectives
The Kremlin has remained largely unresponsive to Trump's claims. Dmitry Peskov, a Kremlin spokesperson, mentioned that communications between Moscow and Washington occur through various channels but offered no confirmation of direct talks.
Dmitry Peskov: "Communications between Moscow and Washington occur through different channels." (00:30)
Analysts remain skeptical about the prospects of a diplomatic resolution, noting that Russia is nearing its military objectives in Ukraine, diminishing Putin's incentives to negotiate.
Mike Baker: "Nearly three years into the war, Russia is closer than ever to securing its core military objectives in Ukraine, making a diplomatic resolution unlikely." (00:30)
Ukrainian Leadership's Concerns
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky voiced strong reservations about Trump's approach, fearing it might exclude Kyiv from peace negotiations and allow Russia to set the terms unilaterally.
Zelensky Quote: "Putin wants to deal directly with Trump cutting out Kiev." (00:30)
Zelensky emphasized that sidelining Ukraine could empower other authoritarian regimes, such as China, North Korea, and Iran, posing broader threats to global security.
Zelensky Quote: "Allowing Russia to dictate the terms of peace would embolden authoritarian regimes in China, North Korea and Iran, setting a dangerous precedent for global security." (00:30)
U.S. Diplomatic Efforts
National Security Adviser Michael Waltz acknowledged ongoing sensitive conversations but did not confirm Trump's direct talks with Putin. He noted that U.S. diplomats are set to meet in Europe to explore potential pathways to end the war, with support from international leaders.
Michael Waltz: "There are certainly a lot of sensitive conversations going on. Everybody's talking cryptically." (00:30)
Waltz indicated that Trump's strategy hinges on economic leverage and advocated for Europe to assume a leading role in Ukraine's long-term security arrangements.
Michael Waltz: "President Trump is going to end it and then in terms of security guarantees, that's squarely going to be with the Europeans." (00:30)
The February 10th, 2025 episode of The President's Daily Brief presents a sobering analysis of two significant international issues: the indefinite suspension of hostage exchanges by Hamas, which threatens the fragile ceasefire in Gaza, and former President Donald Trump's unexpected diplomatic overtures to Russian President Vladimir Putin in an attempt to end the protracted war in Ukraine. While Trump's efforts introduce a new dynamic into the geopolitical landscape, skepticism remains high among analysts and Ukrainian leadership regarding the feasibility and potential ramifications of sidelining Kyiv in peace negotiations. Concurrently, Hamas's actions could complicate ongoing hostage negotiations and destabilize the current precarious peace in the region.
For further insights and daily updates, listeners are encouraged to subscribe to the premium version of The President's Daily Brief.
(Note: All detailed content within the timestamps refers to the main briefing sections, excluding advertisement and non-content segments.)
Stay informed, stay safe, stay cool.