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Mike Baker
This episode is brought to you by Patriot Gold Group. Protect your retirement assets. Reach out to the experts over at Patriot Gold now. They've been the top rated gold IRA dealer for seven years in a row. That's correct. Go to patriotgoldgroup.com or call 1-888-621-3856 for a free investor. It's Thursday, the 21st of November. Welcome to the PDB Afternoon Bulletin. Okay, fair enough. It's like the late afternoon bulletin. It's actually the early evening bulletin and I apologize for my travel schedule. I'm Mike Baker, your eyes and ears on the world stage. Let's get briefed. First, we start with another potential major escalation in the war in Ukraine. Oh, another escalation as Russia launches a nuclear capable medium range ballistic miss for the first time since the war began. Then, the International Criminal Court, or the icc, has issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yov Gallant, alleging that the pair have engaged in crimes against humanity linked to Israeli operations in Gaza. The move promises to further inflame regional tensions as Hamas chaired the ruling and Israeli leaders condemned the action as outrageous and antisemitic. But first, our afternoon spotlight. On Thursday, Russia fired a new type of ballistic missile at the Ukrainian city of Dnipro overnight as part of an attack on critical infrastructure in the region. While officials in Kyiv initially said that it was an intercontinental ballistic missile or an icbm, US Officials disputed that claim, saying that it was an experimental intermediate range ballistic missile referred to as an irbm. Vladimir Putin himself addressed the situation in remarks on Thursday saying Russia had indeed test fired an experimental medium range ballistic missile in response to Ukrainian long range strikes using Western weapons earlier this week. Despite the debate about the specific classification of the missile. The One thing that ICBMs and IRBMs all have in common is that they are nuclear capable weapons that can carry multiple warheads over a long distance. Speaking on Thursday during an unannounced television address to the Russian people, Putin said the launch was, quote, a response to U.S. plans to produce and deploy intermediate and short range missiles. End quote he added, in the event of an escalation, Russia will respond decisively and symmetrically. Putin warned that more strikes using these types of weapons could follow, but said they'd issue warnings to civilians ahead of any further attacks. According to an AP report, the missile was fired from a location nearly 500 miles away from its target along with eight other missiles, though Ukraine managed to shoot down six with their air defense systems. An industrial facility and a rehabilitation center were damaged in the attack, and local reports said that two people suffered injuries. For some background, intermediate range ballistic missiles and medium range ballistic missiles or MRBMs have a large range but less than the capabilities of an ICBM, which can travel more than 3,400 miles. Still, as mentioned, they are capable of carrying nuclear payloads. Notably, the missile fired on Thursday was equipped with a MIRV payload. That's MIRV MERV payload. And for those of you not keeping score at home, MIRV stands for Multiple independently Targetable reentry vehicles, which are usually associated with nuclear weapons, an expert in missile technology from Oslo University told the Guardian. Whether it was an ICBM or an irbm, the range isn't the important factor. The fact that it carried a MIRV payload is much more significant for signaling purposes and is the reason Russia opted for it. This payload is exclusively associated with nuclear capable missiles. Putin also issued a broader threat against Britain and the US who he claimed were pushing the world towards the brink of global conflict. Putin said, quote, russia reserves the right to use weapons against targets in countries that permit their weapons to be used against Russian targets. He added, then again, I'm the one who started this whole mess with my stupid invasion ideas. So yeah, I guess I'm responsible, end quote. Okay, in no way was that last quote real. We all, we all know that Putin would never take responsibility for any of his actions Now. This latest escalation comes during an unprecedented week of escalation between Russia, Ukraine and the broader NATO alliance. As we've covered, earlier this week on the pdb, President Biden authorized the use of long range American made missiles for strikes inside Russian territory on Sunday, removing restrictions that have long limited Kyiv's offensive strike options. Biden also gave approval on Tuesday for Ukraine to use previously banned anti personnel landmines to blunt Russia's advances in the eastern Donetsk region. The Kremlin responded on Tuesday by officially revising their nuclear doctrine, lowering the stated threshold for the possible use of nuclear weapons. In remarks on Thursday, Zelensky cast the ballistic missile launch as a sign of increasing desperation and fear on the side of the Putin regime. Now that the west has unchained the Ukrainian military, he said, quote, today our crazy neighbor once again showed what he really is and how afraid he is. End quote. Coming up, the International Criminal Court, or the icc, has issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yov Gallant, alleging that the pair have engaged in crimes against humanity linked to Israeli operations in Gaza. We'll discuss the implications when we return. I'll be right back.
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Mike Baker
Welcome back to the afternoon bulletin. In a move likely to further inflame tensions in the Middle east, the International Criminal Court, the ICC issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, former Defense Minister Yov Gallant and Hamas military commander Mohammad Deef on Thursday. Yes, that's correct. Apparently the feckless ICC is drawing a moral equivalency between Israel and the Iranian backed terrorist organization Hamas. The warrants cite alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity stemming from the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas. The ICC's jurisdiction over this case stems from its 2021 ruling that it has authority over the occupied West Bank, East Jerusalem and Gaza, despite Israel's non member status to the Justice Court. This jurisdiction was made possible after the UN accepted Palestine's accession to the ICC's founding treaty. And the UN, of course, is the only organization more feckless than the ICC. The ICC's prosecutor, Karim Khan, first requested the warrants in May following Hamas, the 7 October 2023 terror attack that killed 1,200 Israelis and Israel's subsequent military response in Gaza. Khan also sought warrants for two other Hamas leaders at that time who have since been killed, Ishmael Hanye and Yahya Sinwar. According to the ICC judges, there are, quote, reasonable grounds to believe that Netanyahu and Gallant bear criminal responsibility for crimes, including the war crime of using starvation as a method of warfare, murder and attacks on civilians. Netanyahu strongly denies the charges, with his office condemning the court's decision as, quote, anti Semitic and comparing it to the notorious Dreyfus trial in 19th century France, a case where a Jewish army officer was falsely convicted of treason. Gallant has yet to respond, but the former defense minister in May firmly rejected the ICC prosecutor's arrest warrant requests, condemning them as, quote, despicable for equating Israel with Hamas. Israeli President Isaac Herzog criticized the decision as, quote, outrageous, accusing the court of turning justice into a, quote, human shield for Hamas's crimes against humanity. Deef, whose status remains uncertain after Israel claimed to have killed him in a July airstrike, faces accusations of crimes against humanity and war crimes, including murder, torture and rape, as part of what the ICC describes as a systematic attack on civilians during Hamas's 7 October terror assault on Israel. Hamas, of course here is not a surprise, rejected the criminal allegations against Deef. Hamas did, however, welcome the ICC's warrant on Israeli leaders, calling it, quote, an important historical precedent and urges ICC members to enforce the warrants. The terror group reiterated accusations of genocide against Israel, claims that the Israeli government of course, firmly denies. So you ask yourself what happens next? Well, the potential enforcement of these warrants depends on the 124 ICC member states, which don't include Israel and its ally, the U.S. realistically speaking, though, there will be no enforcement of the ICC's actions. A spokesperson for the White House National Security Council stated that the US quote, fundamentally rejects the Court's decision, emphasizing, quote, that the ICC does not have jurisdiction over this matter. Regardless, the Court's actions have added yet another layer of complexity to an already volatile conflict. And that, my friends, is the PDB Afternoon bulletin for Thursday, 21st November. Now, if you have any questions or comments, please reach out to me at PDB at the first tv. Com. Also, in the event that you'd prefer to listen to the PDB ad free, well, we can make that happen. Just become a premium member of the President's Daily brief by visiting pdbpremium.com I'm Mike Baker. I'll be back tomorrow. Until then, stay informed, stay safe, stay co.
Podcast Summary: The President's Daily Brief - PDB Afternoon Bulletin | November 21st, 2024
Host: Mike Baker, Former CIA Operations Officer
Release Date: November 22, 2024
1. Introduction
In the latest episode of The President's Daily Brief (PDB) Afternoon Bulletin, hosted by former CIA Operations Officer Mike Baker, listeners are presented with a comprehensive analysis of two critical global events: Russia's recent missile launch targeting Ukraine and the International Criminal Court's (ICC) issuance of arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yov Gallant. This summary delves into the key discussions, insights, and implications presented in the episode, providing a clear understanding for those who haven't tuned in.
2. Russia’s Escalation in Ukraine
a. Missile Launch Details
Mike Baker opens the bulletin by addressing a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. On the night of November 21st, Russia launched a nuclear-capable medium-range ballistic missile at the Ukrainian city of Dnipro. This marks the first use of such a missile since the war began.
b. Vladimir Putin’s Statement
Russian President Vladimir Putin addressed the nation regarding the missile launch:
“Russia reserves the right to use weapons against targets in countries that permit their weapons to be used against Russian targets. Then again, I'm the one who started this whole mess with my stupid invasion ideas. So yeah, I guess I'm responsible.”
— Vladimir Putin (04:50)
Baker humorously notes, “In no way was that last quote real. We all know that Putin would never take responsibility for any of his actions.”
c. Impact and Response
The missile, equipped with a Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRV) payload, underscores Russia's capability to deploy nuclear weapons carrying multiple warheads over extensive distances. An AP report highlighted that eight missiles were launched from nearly 500 miles away, with Ukraine successfully intercepting six. The attack resulted in damage to an industrial facility and a rehabilitation center, with two reported injuries.
d. Broader Context of Escalation
This missile launch occurs amid heightened tensions between Russia, Ukraine, and NATO. Earlier in the week:
U.S. Actions: President Biden authorized the use of long-range American-made missiles for attacks within Russian territory and approved the deployment of anti-personnel landmines in Ukraine's eastern Donetsk region.
Russian Response: In retaliation, the Kremlin revised its nuclear doctrine, lowering the threshold for potential nuclear weapon use.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky condemned the missile launch as a sign of Russia's growing desperation:
“Today our crazy neighbor once again showed what he really is and how afraid he is.”
— Volodymyr Zelensky (05:45)
3. ICC Issues Arrest Warrants Against Israeli Leaders
a. Issuance of Arrest Warrants
In a move poised to intensify Middle Eastern tensions, the ICC has issued arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, former Defense Minister Yov Gallant, and Hamas military commander Mohammad Deef. The warrants allege crimes against humanity linked to Israeli operations in Gaza.
b. ICC’s Jurisdiction and Legal Basis
The ICC's jurisdiction stems from its 2021 decision to extend authority over the occupied West Bank, East Jerusalem, and Gaza, facilitated by the UN's acceptance of Palestine's accession to the ICC's founding treaty. This inclusion is notable as Israel is not a member of the ICC, and the United States explicitly opposes ICC jurisdiction in such matters.
c. Specific Allegations
Netanyahu and Gallant: The ICC accuses them of crimes including the use of starvation as a method of warfare, murder, and attacks on civilians.
Mohammad Deef: Charged with crimes against humanity and war crimes such as murder, torture, and rape during Hamas's October 7th terror assault on Israel.
d. Reactions from Israeli Leaders and Hamas
Netanyahu’s Response: Strongly denies the charges, labeling the ICC’s actions as “anti-Semitic” and likening them to the infamous Dreyfus affair in 19th-century France. His office condemned the decision as baseless.
Gallant’s Stance: He has not directly responded to the ICC charges but previously dismissed similar warrants as “despicable” and equating Israel with Hamas.
Israeli President Isaac Herzog: Criticized the ICC’s decision as “outrageous” and accused the court of using justice as a “human shield for Hamas’s crimes against humanity.”
Hamas's Position: While rejecting the allegations against Deef, Hamas welcomed the ICC's warrant on Israeli leaders as an “important historical precedent” and urged ICC members to enforce the warrants.
e. Implications and International Response
The enforcement of these warrants largely remains theoretical, given that out of the ICC’s 124 member states, neither Israel nor the United States is included. A White House spokesperson emphasized that the U.S. “fundamentally rejects the Court's decision,” asserting that the ICC lacks jurisdiction over the matter.
f. Broader Impact on Regional Stability
Mike Baker highlights that the ICC’s actions add another layer of complexity to the already volatile conflict between Israel and Hamas, potentially exacerbating tensions and hindering diplomatic resolutions.
4. Conclusion
The PDB Afternoon Bulletin for November 21st, 2024, adeptly navigates two highly consequential global issues: Russia’s provocative missile launch in Ukraine and the ICC’s controversial arrest warrants against prominent Israeli leaders. Mike Baker provides an in-depth analysis, contextualizing these events within the broader geopolitical landscape and exploring their potential ramifications. As tensions escalate both in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, the bulletin underscores the fragility of international relations and the challenges in maintaining global stability.
Notable Quotes:
Vladimir Putin:
“Russia reserves the right to use weapons against targets in countries that permit their weapons to be used against Russian targets. Then again, I'm the one who started this whole mess with my stupid invasion ideas. So yeah, I guess I'm responsible.”
(04:50)
Volodymyr Zelensky:
“Today our crazy neighbor once again showed what he really is and how afraid he is.”
(05:45)
Israeli President Isaac Herzog:
“Outrageous,” accusing the court of turning justice into a “human shield for Hamas’s crimes against humanity.”
(07:30)
Stay Informed
For listeners seeking to delve deeper into these issues or stay updated with daily briefings, Mike Baker invites them to reach out via the PDB website or consider becoming premium members for an ad-free experience.
This summary encapsulates the critical discussions and analyses presented in the PDB Afternoon Bulletin, offering an insightful overview of pressing international matters.