Transcript
A (0:01)
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A (0:47)
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B (1:29)
You know the last major Trump XI meeting was in 2018 in Argentina at G20 and it took still a year after that meeting for trade War one to end and for a trade effectively deal to be worked out and signed. So I think we're still a long way away from an actual deal, but certainly this should be seen as a positive signal to markets foreign. Welcome to China Decode. I'm Alice Han.
C (1:59)
And I'm James King.
B (2:00)
In today's episode of China Decode, we are discussing Trump's trip to Asia and a possible trade truce. The state of crypto in China and Europe trying to curb China's fast fashion dominance. All right, let's get right into it. The last few weeks have been a bit of a wild ride I think for US China relations. China just wrapped up a major four day meeting and the message couldn't be clearer. Titan control doubled down on manufacturing and purged disloyalty, especially in the military top brass. Beijing's new five year plan, to my mind, leans heavily on technological self reliance and manufacturing strength, even as its economy strains under high debt levels and weak domestic demand. Chinese President Xi Jinping has also launched one of the biggest military purges in decades, ousting nine top generals and promoting a trusted enforcer in the pla. Meanwhile, President Trump is on a huge Asia diplomatic tour, fresh off a visit with Japan's emperor and is heading to a summit meeting with Xi Jinping, likely on Thursday. U.S. and Chinese negotiators have teed up a series of easy wins. China, for instance, buying soybeans again. Washington dialing back on tariffs and a potential extension of the critical minerals export controls. But the deeper fights over technology and national security remain unresolved. It's a one to play. Xi is consolidating power at home and Trump is chasing quick diplomatic wins abroad, both eyeing a long standoff ahead. James, this is I think, a really exciting episode in US China relations. I want to start first with the fourth plenum and the Five Year Plan because I think that that document, the communique for the Five Year Plan, is potentially one of the most important documents to come out of Beijing. This, my own take is that there are three main elements to keep in mind. Number one is China wants to have complete technological self reliance, whether it extends to semiconductors or biotech or aviation equipment. It also wants to double down on its manufacturing output. And the third element, which is boosting domestic demand or consumption. That is going to be a key part of this longer term rebalancing strategy. But James, I'd love to get your thoughts on this. Do you agree that this is probably the most important document this year?
