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Scott Galloway
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Adam
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Scott Galloway
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Support for the show comes from the new season of Crucible Moments, a podcast from Sequoia Capital. What is a Crucible Moment? It's a turning point where we face a tough decision and our response can shape the rest of our lives. These decisions happen in business too, and Sequoia Capital's podcast Crucible Moments gives you a behind the scenes look asking founders of some of the world's most important tech companies like YouTube, DoorDash, Reddit, and more to reflect on those critical junctures that defined who they are today. Tune into Season two of Crucible Moments today. You can also catch up on season one at cruciblemoments.com or wherever you listen to podcasts.
Scott Galloway
Welcome to the Propgy Pods Office Hours. This is the part of the show where we answer your questions about business, big tech, entrepreneurship and whatever else is on your mind. If you'd like to submit a question, please email a voice recording to officehoursoptudenemedia.com Again, that's officehoursoptudemedia.com so with that first.
Adam
Question, I have not seen or read these questions.
Hi Scott, I'm Adam from Chicago. I'm a professor at Large Public University and I'm a big fan of the pod, especially your views on higher education. I had a prediction for 2025 that I wanted to share to get your perspective. I think the Google antitrust case will lead to a breakup of Google into four separate companies, Search and AI, Cloud, YouTube and Waymo. This will unlock significant value for a mega cap stock that is underperformed compared to its peers. If this happens, other mega caps may follow suit. What do you think?
Scott Galloway
And thanks, Adam from Chicago. Thanks for the question, Professor. You're thinking rationally and I have learned the hard way that's not how this market works. What's going on with the Google antitrust case? In 2020, Trump's Justice Department threw the antitrust hammer at Google, claiming they had an illegal monopoly in online search. This is a big deal. It was the first antitrust case of its kind in the Internet era. Since then, governments have argued that Google.
Adam
Made illegal deals to ensure its search.
Scott Galloway
Engine is the default on most devices. Now the stakes are getting higher. A judge already ruled against Google and part of the case. And a second trial is coming up.
Adam
In April to figure out what kind.
Scott Galloway
Of penalty they might face. They were found guilty of monopoly maintenance, mostly because they paid the biggest fee to Apple to be the default search engine and they thought no one else could compete with them. It's anti competitive behavior. They're trying to figure out what the remedies of this guilty verdict would be. And they could be a regulator sitting.
Adam
There and telling them that you can't.
Scott Galloway
Do this, you can do this. A breakup, some sort of fine. So the question you're asking is, could the remedy be a breakup and what would that breakup look like? I can't see them being broken up.
Adam
Into four distinct units.
Scott Galloway
And you're saying a deconglomeration would add more shareholder value.
Adam
And I actually believe you.
Scott Galloway
I think in conglomerates, what you tend to find is the whole is less than the sum of its parts. And the thing you didn't mention is that I've done some analysis around YouTube. If you ask most people what is the leading streaming platform, they'd say Netflix. And they would be wrong. Netflix commands about 8% of total viewership time, whereas Google, excuse me, while Alphabet's YouTube gets about 10%. And if you applied the same multiple on revenues, YouTube does more revenues than Netflix. And if you applied the same multiple YouTube on its own entity as a spin, would be worth somewhere between 5 and $600 billion. Would be worth more than bank of America or LVMH or Salesforce. And the disposition of assets or spin of assets in a conglomerate structure creates more value, per your point.
Adam
Why?
Scott Galloway
Because CEOs and controlling shareholders love to have a big fat fucking company, especially one of power and prosperity, and they don't like managing different ones.
Adam
And CEOs love a bigger company because.
Scott Galloway
Their compensation is based on two things, the performance of the company and how big the company is.
Adam
In addition, it makes them sleep easier.
Scott Galloway
At night when they conglomerate.
Adam
Because if YouTube isn't doing well, then.
Scott Galloway
Most likely their cloud or Waymo is doing well. All right?
Adam
And the fact of the matter is.
Scott Galloway
That investors don't need CEOs to diversify for them. I could go buy my own video search engine called YouTube. I would like to be able to do that. I'd like to be able to specifically say I like, I don't believe in autonomous driving, but I believe in video search. I want to invest in YouTube and not Waymo. Or I think that search is challenged by AI. Or I think it's going to be just fine and has been overly punished. So I wanted to go into search, but I don't want to be in the cloud. Whatever, right? Unfortunately, they don't do that. They conglomerate and they claim there's efficiencies.
Adam
And there may be, there may be.
Scott Galloway
So many efficiencies here between coordinating and cooperating that they in fact make it impossible for anyone else.
Adam
They're both on the buy and the.
Scott Galloway
Sell side in digital marketing and they make the market anyways. I just don't see this happening. I wonder if there will be a breakup.
Adam
I hope there is.
Scott Galloway
It would probably be something around their ad tech. They probably maybe have to spin the old double click or their ad stack or their ad model or their ad technology, if you will. But the idea you're looking at this rationally, from an investor standpoint, what would make the most sense? But here's the thing. These companies are run by individuals and they love having having sitting on the iron throne of all of the seven realms, not just Westeros. So while what you're saying makes sense, it's just unlikely to happen. These organizations are run by people. They have different objectives than just doing what's right for shareholders, if you will. The biggest tax cut in the world right now would be if China and the US made up. They have manufacturing, we have consumer demand, we have debt, they have cash. I mean, for God's sakes, it's Fred and fucking Ginger. For the global economy, that would be the biggest tax cut. The second biggest tax cut would be if we took the big guys, Amazon, Alphabet, Google and Apple and broke them up into 11 or 12 companies. That would be the best way to Oxygenate the marketplace. They have such concentration of power in their specific categories that the rents they charge on consumers, whether it's what they charge you for your iPhone or the ad fees on Amazon, which have gone from about 20% of total gross merchandise volume to like 45%, all the rents need to come down on businesses.
Adam
Biggest corporate tax cut in history wouldn't.
Scott Galloway
Be under Trump, it would be under the FTC or doj. Breaking these companies up. Anyways, that's my rant. We'll see what happens here Professor. But call me, call me skeptical. Question number two hi Prof. G. My.
Ned
Name is Ned from Melbourne, Australia. I love your work and thank you for contributing to making our discourse less coarse and more informed. You've often spoken about the need to age gate social Media the Australian government has recently announced plans to impose a minimum age of 16 years to access social media platforms. The concept has broadly bipartisan support. However, there are some real practical issues that are unfolding, namely how to verify that someone is indeed over 16. Options discussed include biometric verification and uploading approved forms of id. Given the well founded security and privacy concerns, this is in danger of scuppering this otherwise worthwhile policy initiative. Would love to hear your thoughts and thanks again for all that you do.
Scott Galloway
Thanks for the thoughtful question. Nadal from Australia so the most influential scholar in the world right now is my colleague Jonathan Haidt and everything we're talking about here. Phones being banned in schools Social media being banned for kids under the age of 16 has largely been a function of Jonathan's landmark book, the Anxious Generation. So effectively, Australia is planning to make social media platforms take action to prevent online harms including bullying, predatory behavior and harmful content pushed by algorithms. They're calling it the digital duty of care. Platforms including TikTok, Instagram and X will need to actively protect users by regularly.
Adam
Reviewing and addressing safety risks. The plan will ban kids under 16.
Scott Galloway
From these social media platforms. Some critics argue that banning younger users of these platforms could reduce the pressure on these platforms to improve safety features. That's fucking ridiculous. If young people aren't on there, that will decrease the likelihood they'll put in.
Adam
Safety restrictions for young people.
Scott Galloway
I mean that makes no sense.
Adam
Literally. These people have no shame.
Scott Galloway
And my favorite is that it would squelch free speech.
Adam
Yeah, my 13 year old needs free.
Scott Galloway
Speech more than he needs protection from this bullshit that makes him insecure and want to self harm.
Adam
Yeah okay, free speech for 13 year olds.
Scott Galloway
That's our top priority. The legislation covers a wide range of harms, including mental Health impacts on young people, harmful practices and illegal activities. There will be no exemptions for children with parental consent or who already have accounts.
Adam
What's the plan?
Scott Galloway
Now? Australia is trialing an age verification system that includes methods including biometrics and government identification to help block children from accessing these social media platforms. So these companies. Right, Social media companies, or companies with a social offering, make $11 billion a year advertising to people under the age of 18. And when you take a multiple of whatever it is, 10 to 15 times revenues, you're talking about essentially somewhere between 100 billion and a quarter of a trillion dollars by their ability to continue to advertise to young people despite the harms.
Adam
So they're gonna do everything they can. They're gonna nod or pretend to give.
Scott Galloway
A flying fuck about the Commonwealth and children. They don't. By the way, a majority of tech executives do not allow their kids on.
Adam
Smartphones or on social media.
Scott Galloway
Why?
Adam
Because they know how mendacious this shit is. This is about money and nothing else. Do you really think they care about your kids? Free speech or ensuring that the LGBTQ.
Scott Galloway
Community has a chance out and find other kids?
Yeah.
Adam
This is not perfect legislation. But on the whole. On the whole, stop signs have a.
Scott Galloway
Downside, but they still make a lot of sense.
Adam
I don't doubt that there are probably.
Scott Galloway
Three or four, I don't know, or instances of people that had a terrible reaction to the vaccines.
Adam
I don't doubt it.
Scott Galloway
And guess what? It's still hugely worth it.
Adam
This is just so unnatural that we've.
Scott Galloway
Let this go on for so long. So kudos to Australia for trying to implement and do something about it. The legislation will be introduced to the Australian Parliament this year and if approved, will take effect 12 months later. And again, for those of you who are thinking about academia or don't think a book can change the world, they are banning phones in countries because of a book called the Anxious Generation by Professor Jonathan Hyde.
Adam
Also a lovely guy.
Scott Galloway
He's a lovely guy. Anyways, thanks for the question. We have one quick break before our final question. Stay with us.
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Molly Stark
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Scott Galloway
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Scott Galloway
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Welcome back. Question number three hi Scott, my name.
Molly Stark
Is Molly Stark, Dean. I'm a huge fan and an NYU alumni. I landed a new job at the New School teaching journalism in the machine. I feel really comfortable talking to large groups of people, but my class will be a small group of less than 20. How do I change my mass communication styles to accommodate the class size? Are there any secrets to teaching and grading AI projects? Any advice is welcome.
Scott Galloway
I'll take this in reverse order and thanks for the question Molly, and congratulations. I kind of fell into teaching. Actually that's not true. I knew I was wanted to teach. I was thinking about getting my PhD. My mom got sick, I capitated an MBA. But I've always wanted to go back to teaching. But I find it very rewarding. Basically, as a teacher at a university, you just have to be sort of the best student in the class. Some people are literally the expert in the domain. Most of us aren't.
Adam
We just do the reading and try.
Scott Galloway
And try and be very well prepared in class. But okay, so how to grade AI projects? Shit, I don't know. What I can tell you is that.
Adam
I now have an eye and can.
Scott Galloway
Spot shit written by AI and I'll circle it and say AI question mark. And when I say to my kids, my kids are the average is 28. These are adults working at Google and Salesforce and Bridgewater. And I'm like look, if you want to turn something in and you want to be AI and not do any work, have at it. But the whole point here is to learn some skills and generally speaking it's interesting. I can actually now pick out AI written material or at least I think I can. What I can help you with is all right if you're blessed to have I used to have when I first started my classes were only 20 or 30 kids. Word got out that it was a good class and now my classes are 300.
Adam
What you have or the advantage you.
Scott Galloway
Have with 20 kids, quite frankly, is the Socratic method and student engagement and that is you can get to know them and what you're meant to do. I think the best classes are I taught three hour sessions, was an hour of actual content and Lecturing and then two hours of critical thinking and debate. And that is, I would say, okay, should Nike take money out of advertising and open stores and vertical distribution? And I would say, ellen, please make an argument for this as it relates to trends in modern day branding about vertical distribution.
Adam
And then she'd get nervous and fumble.
Scott Galloway
Over herself and try and make, you know, a comment. And then I'd say, okay, Joe, disagree with her and show, you know, why she has this wrong. And then he'd even make something less cogent. But they'd kind of, the class would have time to absorb the issue and I'd start calling on people and asking them not to argue but to thoughtfully debate, really come out, come up with things, push back on them. I'm not afraid to say, look, that was really intelligent what you said.
Adam
What you need to be able to do is say it in a third.
Scott Galloway
Of the time because it'll be three times as powerful. I'm going to come back to it in 30 seconds. My point is you can really, I.
Adam
Don'T want to say get in their face, but really get in their heads and make it super engaged and create a little bit of tension that, you.
Scott Galloway
Know they know you're going to call on them three or four times. And that creates a level of intensity and excitement. By the way, it's not for everyone. Some kids don't like that. I once had a kid come to my, actually, I've had it several times. Say I get very nervous. I'd rather you didn't call on me. And I said, I'm going to continue to call on you, but you can say, I need a minute or I don't know and I'll come back to you and you're in a safe place.
Adam
But you have to get past this.
Scott Galloway
It's going to be very hard to be successful economically without the ability to speak in front of at least a.
Adam
Small group of people.
Scott Galloway
So anyways, play to your strengths. A small group of people, really active conversation with 20 kids. If everyone hasn't spoken at least once during the class, you have failed.
Adam
You're not as much a teacher as.
Scott Galloway
You are a maestro for a really robust conversation. But congratulations on your new role. I think it's very rewarding. Thanks for the question. That's all for this episode. If you'd like to submit a question, please email a voice recording to officehoursopropertymedia.com Again, that's officehoursoftenedia.com this episode was produced.
By Jennifer Sanchez and Caroline Chagrin. Drew Burrows is our Technical Director. Thank you for listening to the proposal.
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Molly Stark
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Scott Galloway
Episodes every Monday and Thursday.
Adam
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Scott Galloway
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Adam
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Scott Galloway
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Podcast Summary: The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
Episode: Is a Breakup of Google Coming? Australia’s Move to Ban Young Teens From Social Media, and How to Engage Students in the Classroom
Release Date: November 27, 2024
Host: Scott Galloway
Network: Vox Media Podcast Network
In this episode, Scott Galloway delves into the ongoing antitrust case against Google, exploring the possibility of the tech giant being dismantled into separate entities. The discussion is sparked by a listener question from Adam, a professor in Chicago, who predicts that by 2025, Google could be split into four distinct companies: Search and AI, Cloud, YouTube, and Waymo.
Key Points:
Notable Quotes:
Galloway expresses skepticism about the feasibility of such a breakup, emphasizing corporate resistance and the entrenched interests of top executives. He argues that while the idea is rational from an investor’s perspective, the reality of corporate governance and leadership priorities makes a breakup unlikely. However, he acknowledges the potential long-term benefits of reducing concentrated market power and enhancing competition.
The podcast transitions to a significant policy change in Australia, where the government has announced plans to implement a minimum age of 16 for access to social media platforms. This initiative aims to protect younger users from online harms such as bullying, predatory behavior, and algorithm-driven harmful content.
Key Points:
Notable Quotes:
Galloway criticizes the practicality of enforcing age restrictions, pointing out the likelihood of social media companies finding ways to circumvent the rules. He also touches on the broader implications for free speech, sarcastically noting that free speech should be a priority even for 13-year-olds. Despite acknowledging the policy's intentions to mitigate online harms, he remains doubtful about its successful implementation and effectiveness.
The final segment addresses educational strategies, responding to a question from Molly Stark, a new journalism instructor at the New School. Molly seeks advice on transitioning from teaching large groups to engaging small classes of fewer than 20 students, particularly in the context of grading AI-assisted projects.
Key Points:
Notable Quotes:
Galloway shares personal anecdotes about managing large classes versus small groups, highlighting the benefits of intimate settings for fostering meaningful interactions. He advises Molly to leverage her strengths in public speaking to create an engaging and intellectually stimulating classroom environment, ensuring that each student is actively involved in discussions and debates.
In this episode, Scott Galloway addresses pressing issues in the tech industry and education. From the potential dismantling of Google amidst antitrust battles to Australia's stringent measures on social media for minors, Galloway provides a critical analysis of how these developments could reshape corporate landscapes and societal norms. Additionally, he offers practical advice for educators navigating the complexities of modern classrooms, emphasizing engagement and adaptability in teaching methodologies.
Note: For a complete understanding and additional insights, listeners are encouraged to tune into the full episode of The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway.