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Welcome, welcome. It's the Rent Roll, your podcast on all things rental housing apartments. SFR and BTR coming to you this week from Scottsdale, Arizona, here for the Funnel Forum. So another episode from a hotel room. I think we're at three straight weeks from a hotel. So for for better or worse, but hopefully you can tell no difference. And it's episode number 77. And for Dallas Mavs fans like my family, that number 77 is a painful reminder of the worst trade in sports history. Trading away Luka Doncic, of course, who wears number 77 in exchange for what, maybe eight good games from Anthony Davis and not much else. And speaking of basketball, it's of course March Madness time. Hope your brackets are holding up. We have a family bracket competition and for each each of the past three years I've been beaten by one of my kids, including three years ago, that was the year of all the upsets. My daughter won the competition just picking logos and mascots she liked the most. So that was rather humbling. So hoping this year is going to turn out a little better for me. I do have seven of my eight Elite eight picks still in it, so there's a chance, but I'm not holding my breath. Anyway, lots of headlines touch on this week related to single family rentals and multi family. Another big portfolio trade in the apartment world to talk about another executive order from the White House. This one much better than the last one articles in the Wall Street Journal and related to both SFR and apartments. And yet another big case study, academic study showing that the laws of demand, laws of supply and demand still work. In this case a big case study focused on Austin, Texas and the massive supply wave there putting downward pressure on rents. And I know just even mentioning this is prob bringing some PTSD to those of you who operate or own in Austin. So sorry for that. But hey, the upside is of proving that the supply is the best remedy to affordability concerns, not rent control or other populous boogeyman theories. And then later in today's program, we have a conversation today about sub institutional multifamily. And you know, I've not done a whole lot in this podcast about sub institutional multifamily investing. And in many ways it's just a different universe. As many of you know, it's different players, different asset types, often different resident profiles too. And, and with all that different types of challenges and opportunities. And so we'll cover all that at a very high level and we bring it in. Moses Kagan and Rhett Bennett, some of you know Moses from social media. He's one of the unofficial founding fathers of Retwit, or real estate Twitter, where he has more than 180,000 followers on what's now called X. And his partner Rhett runs Reseed, which invests in sub institutional multifamily shops across the country. And so we'll talk to them about the state of sub institutional multifamily and what types of investments they're targeting. And I'll give you a little bit update on the state of the sub institutional market as well. All right, so let's give a quick shout out to our sponsors before we jump in. First and foremost, a very big thank you to jpi, a leading apartment developer. The stated purpose to transform building, enhance communities and improve lives. Check them out jpi.com they are at the cutting edge of some real innovations in apartment development and construction. Also, big shout out to Madera Residential, leading owner and operator base in Texas. Check them out@maderaresidential.com and thank you. To Funnel, the sponsor of our interview segment, check them out@funnelle leasing.com all right, so as always, kick it off with here's a chart and this segment's going to be presented by Mason Joseph Multifamily Finance, the number one FHA construction lender in the Southwest for a reason. Since 2016, Mason Joseph has closed as many FHA construction loans in Texas and surrounding states as the second and third place lenders combined, according to my friends there. Let's check them out. Mason Joseph all right, so I'm not going to spend a ton of time on this section today. I do have two charts though, I want to show you just to just really set the foundation and quickly for our conversation later today on sub institutional multifamily investing and really talk a little bit about how it's different from the institutional market. And I think that'll tee up our conversation later with Moses and Rhett. And of course, one of the challenges of this space and one of the reasons I don't even get to talk about it a lot is that we don't have a ton of data. One of the better sources, though, that at least that I'm familiar with comes from Chandon Economics, Economics run by my friend Sam Chandon, who many of you know, his team puts together a report with Arbor Arbor Realty Trust every quarter on small multifamily investment trends. So I'm going to use the terms small multifamily and sub institutional multifamily interchangeably. Obviously there's Not a clear cut standard delineation point between the, between sub institutional and institutional or small and large. Generally though, we're talking about apartment properties with fewer than 100 units, maybe some, some people call it fewer than 50 units. Typically though even sub 100. The only way that most institutions or, you know, larger regional and national investors are going to look at those types of deals is if they can own other sites nearby and then managing them, manage them as a grouping, which makes it a more efficient investment. So let's, let's, let's get into this a little bit. Let's start with cap rates on small multifamily. And so you can see the chart here from Arbor and Shandon showing small multifamily versus all multifamily. They're showing small multifamily cap rates of 6.1%, which they say is the highest in a decade and well above the cycle's low point of 4.7%. All right, so I'm going to compare that to MSCI real Cap analytics data for all multifamily, which is going to skew toward larger deals. And that trend went from, although they do cover all multifamily, but that trend went from a low of 4.5%. So compare that to 4.7 in small multifamily to the current average of 5.4%. So obviously we're generalizing a bit here and it's a, you know, different data sets, but broadly speaking, this data aligns with what we're, we've talked about, we've heard about, which is this story of rewidening spreads. The fact that we went from a spread of basically 20 bips to now about 70 bips between small multifamily and all multifamily. And of course, you know, we look at just large institutional multifamily, we're seeing deals in the sub 5% range, again trading in the fours, some cases mid fours, we're seeing that, that again those spreads that are widening back out, which, which makes sense as we're expect, it's what we expected to see. And again when you look at, well, I've said this a lot and everybody knows this, when you look at well located, newer vintage institutional deals, you get in the mid high fours, maybe low fives, small multifamily, now slightly above 6%. And obviously again, these are averages so that they can vary. So that does create a good story for buyers in this small multifamily market who might be seeing better value again in certain spots. And then Chandan has some interesting details on what's driving that particularly around refinancing, higher cost of debt, et cetera and maybe some right sizing to new reality. So let me read this from the Arbor and Chandan report. They said in the small multifamily sector, a combination of rolling maturities, shorter term agency loans in a late 2025 rate relief window led to a sharp increase in refinancing activity. This shift has pushed observed cap rates higher and weighed on valuations, particularly among refinance transactions. Well, acquisition pricing has shown greater stability which by the way is also 6.1 but it's been in that range for a longer period of time. I'll keep reading here. It says elevated expense ratios and modest pressure on net operating income similar similarly reflect opportunistic refinancing behavior rather than sector based operational stress. Okay, so I think that's probably well said. And one more thing on the capital market side we'll look at Freddie Mac's data on small balance loans, SBL's program. They report on serious delinquency which is anything 60 plus days delinquent, that that delinquency rate is now about three and a half percent. So that's pretty low obviously, but up a little bit and well above Freddy's overall multifamily delinquency rate of about 0.44% as of last reporting. So you know that that spread is not it really. There's certainly a spread there, but it's not anything crazy abnormal. Now on the fundamental side, the advantage does shift back to small multifamily, at least for occupancy rates. Chan's data shows average occupancy rates of 96.1% for small multifamily. That's you know, give or take about 100 basis points higher than what Yardi and Real Paid show for the broader multifamily market which is skewing toward larger buildings. Now all that said, here's what's interesting though we're seeing that I've talked a lot about filtering on this program, the impact of supply on the broader market. And what we see here is that even small multifamily is not fully immune from all that new more institutional apartment supply hitting the market that's giving renters of all types a lot more options. And so occupancy, even the small multifamily segment is down 96 bips over the last year and it's actually slightly below pre Covid levels as well. So maybe a bit lower than usual but again, obviously 96.1% still a healthy rate and presumably like we see institutional space presumably higher in lower supplied markets which happen to be the markets where we happen to see a lot of or not coincidentally, we happen to see a larger share of the sub institutional small multifamily places like the Midwest, the Northeast, parts of the west coast, etc. These are markets that not only have less supply but they just also have a a higher share of the market as older, smaller and less likely to be owned by institutional groups. Even if institutional quality markets just have a lot of older product that's not institutional quality or ownership. So there you go. If you want to dig in more, check out the Q1 report on small multimillion investing from Arbor and Chandon. All right, next up, it's rental housing trivia. All right, today's trivia is presented by Authentic. If you've got a property that's underperforming and you can't quite figure out why, check out their multifamily leasing and mortgage marketing audit. They'll dig into your pipeline leasing funnel and comps and tell you exactly where things are breaking down, plus strategies and how to fix it. Listeners of the pod get 50% off, so head to authenticff.com and click on the banner to learn more and claim the offer. Okay, so today's question is what share of US apartment properties have fewer than 100 units? So what share is going to be small multifamily? Is it a 26%, b 36%, c 46% or d 56%? What share is fewer than 100 units? All right, so give that some thought. We'll answer that in a bit. But first, it's time for headlines in the news. This segment is sponsored by Telecloud. If increasing NOI is a priority, your telecom contracts may be one of the easiest, easiest opportunities in your portfolio. Telecloud helps multifamily asset managers consolidate Internet voice and dial tone across properties. The average cost reduction is 40% and it is often higher than that. So to make it easy, they'll start with a free telecom audit to show you exactly where savings exist before you make a move. So learn more@telecloud multisite.com okay, so we got a bunch of headlines covered this week, and I'll try to do this pretty quickly. First one comes from the Wall Street Journal. Headline is Their home wouldn't sell, so they became America's latest accidental Landlords. Home sellers who become unwilling landlords find it can be a nuisance and A hassle to contend with renters. So I'm sure they'll give some chuckles anybody who's been in the SFR business or even multifamily for that matter. So I thought this is an interesting story. Obviously we've talked a lot about how it's trendy to blame Wall street for the for the reduced for sale inventory. Not obviously not even been reduced over the last 10 years, but the perception is has been reduced. But actually in this case, your buddy next door could be more to blame for taking for sale homes off the market. That's the theme here In 2026, the rise of accidental landlords. Those unable to sell their homes for a desired price and they have to move anyway. So now they're putting their homes, their former homes on the market for rent instead of for sale. And of course more accidental landlords equals more rental supply. In turn, more rental supply equals downward pressure on rent growth, which is exactly what's happened. And in turn we've seen between the growth of accidental landlords plus the growth of BTR supply build to rent that's pushed single family rental rent growth to a 10 year low. And that's something we've talked about in the past and some of the REITs have highlighted as well on the earnings call. So added supply from accidental landlords. That could very well remain a moderate headwind for SFR operators until the home buyer market picks up again. All right, next headline from the Wall Street Journal. It says Mamdani's rental plan risks pushing small landlords toward extinction. Giant multifamily firms take over more New York City apartments while mom and pop landlords struggle to stay afloat. All right, I don't know about that sub headline. Obviously we've seen a couple bigger players take do some deals lately, but they're not particularly giant in the national scheme. None of the real big apartment operators are active in the to any degree, any large degree in the rent stabilized market. But anyway, regardless of that, I don't nitpick too much because this is a really good article. There's a lot of good stuff in here. So kudos to the Wall Street Journal for having the guts to cover it because you know, I'll tell you what, reporting the facts on rent stabilization in New York is not going to generate a lot of clicks and high fives among your friends. But you know, the reality is decades of bad policy has turned too many apartments into poorly maintained time capsules in New York City. And now of course the new mayor is threatening to make it Worse. That's not his mind. It's not making it worse, but it will likely make it worse by tapping the same old playbook of blaming the landlords. Obviously some. You know, we had an episode on this topic recently with Kenny Burgos, who formerly sat right next to mayor mom Donnie when both were in the New York State legislature, I heard recently went to the same high school as well in the Bronx. So there. So small world. So check that out if you want to dive deeper. It's episode number 72. All right, next headline. This one comes from Pew Tradable Trusts. Also some of you know that name from Pew Research. This one says Austin's surge of new housing construction drove down rents amid robust demand and a wave of policy reforms. Texas Capital added 120,000 new homes from 2015 to 2024. Okay, so total flip side of New York. We have Austin, Texas, which has become exhibit A in showing that the ultimate tenant protection is a lot of new housing supply. So this new study from Pew Territable Trust shows how investors pain has been renters gain. Now obviously every apartment investor, operator, developer in Austin knows the story all too well. So I'm not going to hash out every detail in this. It's a great piece though, if you want to, if you want to see it, if you want to share it with your local officials on, hey, look, this is the real solution. We got to build supply. This, this is something I would point them to. It's not an industry study. This is done by a nonprofit charitable trust by a name that a lot of people know in Pew. So it's a good source. But let me just boil it down very distinctly. It says developers built a ton of apartments, rents fell even though people kept moving into Austin. Wasn't a demand issue. It's just they had a ton of supply that outpaced even strong demand. And the rent impact was felt not only on top of the market, but all the way down to the more affordable rent levels as well. So rents fell across the board. And then Pew cites a number of Austin policies that helped spur supply. They range from targeted rezoning to real to, to legalizing accessory dwelling units, to removing parking requirements for multi family buildings, to offering density bonuses and also for fertile housing, issuing municipal bonds. So all those things had an impact. And, and here's one more lesson that doesn't get as much discussion but I think is really important for cities to, to try to, if you want to exempt, it's not just about, you know, sometimes you'll make it, hey, it's just we get to do zoning or whatever the thing might be. It's not just that. You also have to think about what is the operating environment that they're going to build into. Because obviously an investor in new development, they're, they, they don't get a return their investment just from construction. It's when they sell it or operate it. Right. And so the opera operating is it really matters, not just the construction. And so you can't assume that developers are going to fall for the old bait and switch which we see some cities doing, which is, hey, we want to encourage investors to build housing only to then demonize them once they complete the project and start operating the housing. So in addition to making it feasible to build, you have to have an environment where it's feasible to operate. And you know, obviously that means not being forced forced to operate essentially like a non profit charity under the guise of a never ending list of so called tenant protection. So balance is important. Austin shows that and renters win in the long run as we've seen there. All right, call more. Next one comes from Multifamily Dive. It says Harbor Group International buys 11 property portfolio for $562 million. The Norfolk, Virginia based owner purchased the portfolio from REIT AH Realty Trust, which is divesting its hardened holdings and focusing on targeted real estate retail opportunities. Okay, so I'll reload it from this article. It says affiliates of Harbor Group International have entered into an agreement to acquire an 11 property portfolio totaling 2,436 units for $562 million in cash, expected to close in 20 in mid-2026. So these properties are all on the east coast, spread from Georgia to North Carolina to Virginia to Maryland. Four of them are in the Virginia Beach Newport News area, three in Baltimore, the others scattered across those states. And with the sale, the Virginia based ahrt, formerly some of you may still know it by its former name of Armada Hoffler. They will have followed the path of some of these smaller apartment REITs. Obviously they do more than just apartments, but it's still along the same trajectory of liquidating the majority of its partner portfolio. Obviously we've talked about this in the podcast with Varys, Residential Elm Communities, et cetera and potentially others. So by the way, on Harbor Group, real Quickly, they bought 27, 2700 units from another REIT Wing Dance portfolio. Of course, Amco much bigger name. So harbor continues to be opport an opportunistic buyer. All right, one more headline for us. This one comes from BIZ now it says Trump pushes to deregulate housing development with executive orders. And then it reads, the first policy directive calls on federal agencies to reduce regulatory burdens that the White House says are holding back development, including including rules around energy efficiency and permitting. The second executive order aims to make it easier for community banks, other small lenders, to underwrite more mortgages. All right, so I'm not going to get all the details here, but high level, this is good stuff. Some of you know, I've obviously been very critical of the prior executive order around institutional investors and single family market and the White House's support for the Road to Housing act as well, which would, would create this massive new bureaucratic layer over the single family rental market nationally and crush the business build to rent market. But hey, let's give credit where credit is due, and it is certainly due here. This executive order is good and it focuses on the real issue, which is supply. So this one's good stuff. Speaking of good news, that that's a good transition to our next segment. Good news, this one we got to highlight good news happening across the rental housing space because while we tend to focus on a lot of the negative things, there is a lot of good happening, too. And good news presented by friends at Apartment Life. Apartment Life coordinators help apartment owners care for residents by connecting them in meaningful relationships. This in turn benefits everybody from the residents to the property managers to the apartment community's bottom line. So if you own or operate apartments that aren't already partnering Apartment Life, check them out@apartmentlife.org all right, so here's a real example of how relationship building in your community help the bottom line. So this is this week's good news story. It's a good story. Okay, this comes from an apartment community in Jacksonville, Florida, Florida called Pickwick, owned and operated by Hilltop Residential. Okay, so you'll, you'll enjoy the story. So several years ago, a small group of widows started meeting for dinner once a month. Nothing super formal, just, just dinner. And they kept getting together and then they added card games twice a week and they started calling themselves the Golden Girls after the TV show. And over time, that inner circle has become the relational heart of this apartment community in Jacksonville, gradually drawing others in. So last year, an older man in the community, he had lost his wife and the Golden Girls pulled him into their group. And, you know, he was shy and obviously grieving, but they just kept inviting him, kept giving him that warm welcome and kept knocking on his door when, even when he didn't show up. Just say, hey, know, checking in on him, inviting him to, to, to hang out. And the more he started to show up to dinner and to card games, the more he started to come out of his shell and warm up to everybody. And today I'm told he's one of the most outgoing personalities there at, at, at the card table. So then fast forward a little bit. A few months later, another woman starts to get pulled into the group. This is a, a divorced woman in her 40s, also painfully shy. She happens to run her own house cleaning business. And after a lot of persistent invitations, she finally shows up to an event. She's seated next to this older widower and they began to talk. And when she heard his story, she was so moved that she insisted on, you know, because she had this cleaning business, she insisted on cleaning his apartment for free. And you know, just showing what, what a close knit community this had become. All right, so, so here's, here's how this all comes together. Here's the business impact really highlights the power of community. So Pickwick consistently has been winning property awards over the last five years. 85% of residents have chosen to renew their lease each year. And they've get, they're getting positive reviews online during major renovations because residents see it as a home. So when you're, when you're, when you have close friends living next door, you, you just don't want to move. So it's a good reminder that relationships do matter. And that's our good news story of the week. So if you have good news story to share, email them to info parsons.com and we may feature it on a future podcast. All right, let's get back to today's rental housing trivia question. The question was what share of U.S. apartment properties have fewer than 100 units? Was it 26%, 36%, 46% or 56%? And if you guessed C 46%, give yourself a pat on the back. You got it right. That, that is according to NMHC's analysis of data from HUD and the census. So we have seen that share go down over the years. You see more than half of all apartment properties stay it's 46% since obviously in the recent decades, the vast majority of new construction has to be larger 100 units plus. And that's just because of efficiencies of scale and of course, capital's preference for larger check sizes in general. All right, next up, it's time for today's interview sponsored by funnel, the AI and CRM software trusted by four of the six major REITs and many more leading operators like BH and Cortland. To learn how Funnel can help your property centralize operations and automate everyday tasks, visit funnelleleasing.com and as I mentioned, I'm here in Scottsdale today for the Funnel forum. So I'm excited to see many of you here in person at the conference. Okay, so our guest today are two influential leaders in the world of sub institutional multifamily investing and operations, Moses Kagan and Rhett Bennett. Moses heads up Adaptive Realty out of Southern California where he manages a portfolio of mostly sub institutional apartments and his business partner Rhett. He is based in Birmingham, Alabama and he is the CEO of Reseed, which invests in sub institutional operators across the country. So let's jump in. All right, now we enter the enter the interview portion of today's podcast and I'm honored to welcome in Rhett Bennett and Moses Kagan. So gentlemen, thank you both for being here today.
