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Danny Heifetz
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Danny Kelly
Foreign.
Danny Heifetz
Welcome to the Ringer Fantasy Football Show. My name is Danny Heidfitz and I'm joined by Danny Kelly and Craig Horlbecker. We are going over all the the divisional round games in the NFL playoffs. But first let's get to the real news of the day. The New York Giants have hired John Harbaugh as the New York Giants head coach. TK who's got it better than us.
Danny Kelly
Is this the greatest moment of your Giants fandom since I've known you in I think we met in 2016.
Danny Heifetz
I guess winning a playoff game be better.
Craig Horlbeck
When they beat the Vikings. That was a big moment.
Danny Kelly
The Tommy Cutlets era.
Danny Heifetz
Maybe the Tommy Cutlet arrow that that ensured the Giants would not get Drake May or Jaden Daniels or Caleb Bl.
Danny Kelly
Well, it was fun in the moment.
Danny Heifetz
It was so fun in the moment.
Craig Horlbeck
What about when when Cam Scaboo and Jackson Dart took that photo together?
Danny Heifetz
That's got top that one night where the Giants beat the Eagles and then they were cool for a day. And then I called Craig and I was like really drunk. I'm like, the Giants are back. And then they all got hurt.
Craig Horlbeck
Giants are better than the Eagles. Call me Craig. The Giants are better than the Eagles. And then I still might believe that.
Danny Heifetz
I don't know. Yeah, well, it's true. Table got fired like three weeks later. Whatever this. I am thrilled by this. I. I don't know. The way I look at this, beggars can't be choosers. And I am begging for the Giants to be competitive. You guys basically have barely known me watching competitive Giants football. It hasn't been a thing. I just keep thinking about I'm probably do this job because of how much I love the Giants and how much my family loves the Giants and how much I grew up loving the Giants. Watching the Giants with my family and I realized nine of the last 10 times, like of Thanksgiving, like I always go in for Thanksgiving. It's my family's favorite holiday. Nine of the last 10 Thanksgivings, the Giants had already been mathematically eliminated from the playoffs.
Craig Horlbeck
That's kind of nice. Spend time with your family. Not have to worry about anything.
Danny Heifetz
There's no stakes. It's great. The final third of the season, we don't even have to worry about.
Craig Horlbeck
That's my dream. Instead every year I'm like, steelers are probably going to squeak in, aren't they?
Danny Kelly
Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
But I was thinking, I was thinking about how I felt about this because I couldn't sleep and I checked my phone like three in the morning and like I saw the Giants hired John Harbaugh. I was like, oh my God. I was freaking out in bed and now I couldn't fall back asleep. But I was actually thinking about what Craig said about the Steelers where it's like, you watch like, why in a nutshell, was it time for Mike Tomlin to go? And I really think Craig nailed it. When you were like, I watched the Steelers lose a playoff game and I felt nothing. I felt nothing. And I think that is my. That is why I am so happy to have the Giants hire John Harbaugh. Because I. When the Giants, the Giants have the worst record in the NFL over the last decade. They have. They're tied with the jets, the Giants, I mean, fewer playoff appearances than like the Browns. I wanted to make fun of the Browns. The Browns have been to the playoffs and as many times as the Giants or more. And in 2017, when the Giants were awful, I was really angry. And then by like 2021, when the Giants were awful and embarrassing, I was actually just Sad. And in 2026, when the Giants were terrible, I kind of didn't feel anything at all. I have totally become numb to them, losing game after game and year after year and all the stats and starting two and eight, three straight years and 10 game losing streaks and the worst in 50 years and the worst this in 100 years. And I don't even care. It's like I'd be having Giants up among all my games on Sundays and I would start getting wandering eyes in the fourth quarter because they're just getting blown out over and over and over again. And I just want the Giants to be competitive. And I think John Harbaugh will make them competitive. And I guess in a nutshell, the Giants are not a laughingstock anymore. You guys and everyone have been making fun of the Giants for 10 years. And I think that if anything, what the Harbaugh hiring means is the Giants are not a joke anymore.
Danny Kelly
Are they going to start scoring some touchdowns?
Danny Heifetz
I really hope so.
Craig Horlbeck
Those are big. They say those are big.
Danny Kelly
At the very, very least, you're going to have a healthy kicker on your roster.
Danny Heifetz
Oh, yeah, that's a good point.
Danny Kelly
Because he's a special teams guy. He knows the importance of that.
Danny Heifetz
The Giants won't lose three games over two years because they didn't anticipate that their injured kicker should. Maybe they should back up on their game day.
Craig Horlbeck
It's a tough time to talk about Ravens kickers, but yeah, you're right. I say generally, you know, it might work out. I. This is the first time the Giants have had a coach that people respect since Tom Coughlin.
Danny Kelly
Right.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah. I think Brian D. That one season he was top, had a moment. He had that one year and I knew he was bad when the off season he went on Jimmy Fallon and people were treating like a celeb and I'm like, this rise was too fast.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
But other than that, no, no one's. I mean, Ben McAdoo showed up to his opening press conference in a suit that didn't fit. Everyone made fun of him for the big play.
Craig Horlbeck
Ironically, he probably forgot about that Joe Judge disaster. There's been a lot. Pat Shermer for two seasons. Yeah. To me, this is just like. And not so the difference to me Here is like, I agree with you completely. If it's. You're like, beggars can't be choosers, but that even undersells Harbaugh a little bit. Harbaugh is one of the most accomplished, respected coaches in the league. You getting him is just such a steady hand. And now different from what like, the Raiders had with Pete Carroll last year. The Raiders were still a mess. It was like, all right, Geno Smith, I guess the offensive lines of disaster. The defense wasn't good. The Giants are kind of coming in and you're like, we think we have our quarterback, right? Jackson Dart. We think we have a young quarterback that has some promise, some potential. We have a couple skill position players that we like. We have Malik neighbors who we know is very good. We like Camp Scatterboo. We have pieces on the offensive line that are okay. We have one of the best defensive lines in the league. And now we have a top five, top 10 head coach in the league. Like, you have all of the foundational pieces, I would say now to really do something.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah. In order. We're way better than the jets are, which is, like, important. And then frankly, I feel maybe better than where Washington is because Jane Daniels is great. But I, I mean, they fired Kingsbury. Like, you got Dan Quinn there and the little teetering. It's like the oldest roster in the league in Washington. The Eagles are in a really weird spot. Like, I feel good about where the Giants are. I. I agree at Harbaugh to the pedigree thing. I mean, there's a lot of stats on it, but one of them was like, the only coaches with more playoff wins. I mean, harbor won 180 games when 180 and 113 in the regular season. At the reigns with Ravens, Harbaugh has 13 playoff wins. I believe the only coaches with more playoff wins than Harbaugh are like, you know, Bill Belichick and Andy Reid and like Chuck Noel and Tom Landry and Don Shula and Joe Gibbs and like, basically just all inner circle hall of Fame coaches. And then it's John Harbaugh.
Craig Horlbeck
It is funny that, like, I don't know, I'm sure some people are like, oh, cool. You got, you're, you know, you got the Raven sloppy seconds. You're getting John Harbaugh after he couldn't do it with Lamar Jackson. And like, to me, basically, you have John Harbaugh as your head coach because Lamar Jackson injured his hamstring.
Danny Heifetz
That is how I feel.
Craig Horlbeck
I feel like they are a zay Flowers fumble a Mark Andrews bobble from going to maybe two Super Bowls in the last three years and you just have that coach because Lamar Jackson injured his hamstring.
Danny Kelly
I they wouldn't have they, they would have been in the playoffs if the kicker would have made a kick.
Craig Horlbeck
Right?
Danny Heifetz
I literally, yeah, if they make the kick, then maybe the Ravens end up beating Texans in the playoffs. But DK, I'm curious what you think because I understand and this is actually how my brother feels, but I understand that there is downside, there's risk with Harbaugh. I think frankly for the Giants perspective, selfishly, it's by far the safest thing the Giants could do. If Harbaugh doesn't work out, it won't be on the team for hiring him. And then also it just is the smartest move after all these guys. But there is certainly a risk for A couple reasons. One, Harbaugh 63 if Jackson Dart does end up having a long career, Harbaugh probably won't be the last coach that Jackson Dart has because he's 63.
Craig Horlbeck
It's like those are I feel like you would be happy to address those problems if seven years from now Jackson is still on the Giants and is good and you're like, well, Harbaugh 70 now those are like we'll cross that bridge when we get there.
Danny Kelly
He's a young 63 anyway. He doesn't look 63 at all to me.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah, well Pete Carroll is young 73 but I, I, I don't know. But DK Decade, do you think there's any I, I think if there's risk to this, it's horrible being 63. He's a CEO coach. That's really what he bring. He's adulthood. No crazy mistakes the Giants have been making. The irony is that the Giants biggest issue was the sloppiness of blowing games they should have won. And frankly, it's also what the Ravens have been known for the last five or six years is excruciating losses in the Raven games. The Ravens should have won. But the difference to me is if there's an issue, it's more that Kevin Stefanskate maybe gets hired by the Titans and makes Cam Ward it's like a pseudo MVP candidate in Tennessee. Or that maybe Mike McDaniel does get a head coaching job and like resurrects the Falcons or does, you know what I mean? Like maybe one of these offensive guys does great work elsewhere and they're like 10 to 15 years younger than Harbaugh and you're like, oh, maybe the Giants should have gone with a younger offensive guy to develop Jackson Dart.
Danny Kelly
Right.
Danny Heifetz
Do you think? Just because, frankly, I'm always a little skeptical when literally everyone agrees on something. And it does feel like everyone's like, great job, Giants. John Harbaugh, do you think there's a world that the Giants should have looked harder at an offensive person, or is this just like the slam dunk?
Danny Kelly
I mean, yeah, there is a world in which they made the wrong choice here. It's funny because if you just look at last year, there's two really good examples of both sides of the coin here. So, like, we. Craig mentioned Pete Carroll. Like, I thought Pete Carroll was going to be successful. I thought bringing in Geno Smith was a good move because it gave them some veteran stability at the quarterback position that turned out to be a freaking disaster overall. Pete Carroll was an absolute disaster in Las Vegas, but there was a lot of extenuating circumstances. Craig laid all that out like, this was just a horrible roster, horrible team. The other side of the coin is Mike Vrabel, who took the Patriots team, who just needed like a guiding, you know, adult in the room type of coach. A guy who's like getting command respect from the players and media alike, you know, that you could go down the list. There's a lot of similarities, I think, between Vrabel and Harbaugh and turned the Patriots into a freaking 14 win team with a young quarterback and like, basically, you know, no skill players or like a handful of interest and couldn't beat Pete Carroll in week one. Yeah. Uh, if I would have told you that, if I would have explained this all in week one, we would have thought it turned out the other way around. Um, but so I. It is interesting, I think, to see that there's both sides of the coin there. I think it's absolutely possible this doesn't work out, but I do think more likely than not, harbor is going to be a good thing for the organization. You know, brings in that. That institutional knowledge, I think, of, you know, how to win and how to organize practices and how to do all that, so how to deal with the media. There's just so many. There's so many variables to being a head coach, and at least we know he can handle, like, most of them. You know what I mean? I think any of these new coaches might be a total disaster in one area and like, really good at offense or whatever, but there's just, I think, fewer variables when you're talking about Harbaugh.
Craig Horlbeck
If it's, you Made the basketball analogy. You're like, is this a slam dunk? It's a layup. I think it is. You had a fast break and you could have tried to windmill. You could have stopped and shot a three. You laid the ball up. And you know what? It's probably what you need to get, you know, to. To get a lead.
Danny Heifetz
I think you're absolutely right. And also, I wanted to talk to you guys because this is time for, let's be honest, everyone's single favorite football activity, which is. So the schedule doesn't come out till May, but the opponents, you know, from the second the season ends. So I just want to quickly, with John Harbaugh now, go through the Giants schedule and just. Just preview exactly what's going to happen. So the Giants home games next year. Cowboys, that's a win. Easy fastball, high up. No chance. Eagles, that's drowning. Eagles, you're drowning. There's no way you're going to win. Commanders, that's a dub. Three and oh. Jags, Jaguars, that's. That's a loss. I'll admit. Niners, I'll be generous. That's a loss. But then Titans, easy win. Browns, easy win. Saints, Tyler Shuckett, that's an easy win. So right there, that's six wins at home, six and two at home. Away. Cowboys, that's a win. Giants dominate in Jerry world. Eagles, I'll admit, lost in Philly, beat the Commanders, beat the Cardinals, you lose to the Texans, you beat the Colts, you lose to the Rams, lose the Seahawks, you beat the Lions, 11 and 7. Sorry, 11 and 6.
Craig Horlbeck
Giants, 18 games. Okay.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah. Well. Well, you never know. I mean, anything's possible.
Craig Horlbeck
That's true. Yeah.
Danny Kelly
This off season is going to be wild.
Danny Heifetz
So I'm just telling giants, 11 wins. They're going to win the division.
Craig Horlbeck
How do you feel about the. The likelihood that Todd Monkin is going to be your offensive coordinator?
Danny Heifetz
I like it. I like Todd Monkin. I will admit that. Part of me just thinks he's the most interesting quote of any offensive coordinator. Like, he's kind of like a philosopher. Like, the way he talks about football is interesting. But at the end of the day, he came in and the first year he was the. The offensive coordinator for the Ravens, Lamar Jackson literally won the mvp. And then the second year, was Lamar better. He threw 41 touchdowns and four interceptions and then didn't win the MVP, but maybe was better than the MVP year, arguably. And then this year, Lamar got hurt and the Ravens fumbled. Weird stuff happened, and now it's like, oh, Todd Monkin and Harbar out. And I'm like, I don't know. Seemed like he did a pretty good job with Lamar. I'm pretty into the. I mean, he was the coordinator for Georgia when Georgia won the championship, 63 to 7 or whatever over TCU. Sorry to Kai and the, you know, the Frogs. But I. If Todd Monken doesn't get the Browns job, I think it's very clear Todd Monken will be the Giants offensive coordinator. I love that.
Craig Horlbeck
It's funny.
Danny Kelly
Oh, I like it.
Craig Horlbeck
Is he hired yet or not?
Danny Heifetz
No. So Harbaugh is Monkin.
Craig Horlbeck
Monkin.
Danny Heifetz
No, he's interviewing for the Browns head coaching job. And the deal is basically, if Todd Monkin gets that, obviously he's gonna take a head coaching job. Right. But if he doesn't get the Browns head coaching job, I think he's gonna be the Giants offensive.
Craig Horlbeck
You know what's funny is Todd Monkin's Wikipedia right now currently says he is the offensive coordinator for the Giants 2026.
Danny Heifetz
Is that.
Danny Kelly
Yeah, because Ian Rapaport reported this morning that it's expected Monkin's gonna be.
Craig Horlbeck
Yes, I saw. Expected coordinator.
Danny Kelly
But, like, yeah, who knows?
Craig Horlbeck
Which. I feel like you don't post that unless it's gonna happen.
Danny Heifetz
I mean, I think he will be the offensive. I mean, he's. I don't think he's gonna get the Browns job either. Like, I think that it's due diligence, I think, to interview the coordinators of your division rivals because they've gameplayed against you for years and you should probably get their thoughts for seven hours. But, yeah, so I'm thrilled about this. This is awesome.
Craig Horlbeck
I'm very happy for you. This is great.
Danny Heifetz
Thank you. What a week for the podcast. The Seahawks are, like, the number one seed in the nfc and then, like, Tomlin out and then harbor the Giants, like, well, sorry, I guess it's less positive for Craig, but a lot of.
Craig Horlbeck
Stuff for us, I mean. Well, I will say topical. I'm really crossing my fingers. I have decided that where I want the Steelers to land is I want them to hire Chris Shula as their head coach and bring in Nate Shieldhas. Is that how we say his name?
Danny Kelly
Sure.
Danny Heifetz
Sounds like a guy like a Steelers legend already.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, he's got that. It's like shieldhas works for the Pittsburgh.
Danny Kelly
It's like gentleman's piss club in Germany.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah. Shieldhouse. I want Shula head coach, Shieldhas offensive coordinator, and we just basically steal all the good people from the Rams and they're all like 38 years old.
Danny Kelly
That's. Please do I want some brain drain happening from the Rams right now.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah, I. Yeah, I honestly do think that will end up happening. I think the interviews probably matter for the Steelers maybe more than other teams, but I think that's smart. I do think Kevin Stefanski might be the next guy hired. I feel like he will be a top guy for the Falcons and Matt Ryan, the president there now is, which is funny to say. And I think the Titans are gonna be related. Kevin Stefanski, because the titans wanted Matt LaFleur and he went to the packers. And so I think the Titans might see Kevin Stefanski as their best option for Cam Ward. I think the. Steve Bishotti, the owner of the Ravens, gave a wild press conference. He was pretty lubricated. He just. He was having a good time.
Danny Kelly
He was drunk.
Danny Heifetz
Not drunk, but he like.
Craig Horlbeck
He's loose.
Danny Heifetz
He was loose. He's a very loose guy for team that didn't make the playoffs. And he was talking about how all the former offensive coaches that did really well and were gurus in the past but had bad quarterback cards dealt to them, like Kevin Stefanski, he was fascinated by them and he just said that. So it'd be kind of wild if the Ravens hired Kevin Stefanski. That'd be crazy. Especially because the Ravens were the Browns. That would be insane. But I think Stefanski is probably the next domino. And then also the packers and Matt LaFleur. I know. I think we all kind of agree that the packers firing Matt Lafleur would be stupid because he'd instantly be the best candidate. Probably better than Kevin Stefanski, but the way it works. So he has a year left in his contract. But that teams don't. Literally 31 teams don't let coaches coach on the last year of their deal because you're like a lame duck and the players know it and like.
Danny Kelly
Right.
Danny Heifetz
It's hard to get the players to listen to a coach that his contract expiring. So they. If they have don't fire Leflore, they have to extend him. And his contract is taken a lot. It's taken like three weeks to do and it's usually done by now. So unless something happens with LaFleur, I think Stefanski is the next guy to get hired. And then there's going to be like probably a cascade after Stefanski.
Craig Horlbeck
I'd like the record to state that if Matt Leflore is a free agent, I would like the Steelers to hire him immediately.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah, I agree. I just Basically, I'm not arguing. Indeed, kid. Tell me if you feel differently. I just think LaFleur has absolutely botched a lot of game management. Clock management stuff at the end of games. But it's easier for him to learn that. That find someone else who knows that stuff. And also is being able to build offenses like LaFleur has. Also, the packers average age is 25. It's an incredibly young team. Yeah.
Danny Kelly
No, I totally agree with that. I think it would be ludicrous if they fire Matt LaFleur.
Craig Horlbeck
I would do Matt LaFleur in a year of Malik Willis, get things going.
Danny Kelly
Sure. Let's pull it out. Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
All right. Let's get to the divisional round here. Let's just dive into it. Dk, your team, the Seattle Seahawks, are hosting the San Francisco 49ers.
Craig Horlbeck
You had a week off to kind of relax, forget about things. Now you got a game. You got a game at home.
Danny Kelly
You guys, last week during the. During the wild card round, I was like, my God, when your team is not playing in the playoffs, like, but they're still in it. Best feeling in the world.
Danny Heifetz
Bye weeks are the best. When your team's not playing.
Danny Kelly
I don't have to worry about what they're gonna do in this game. It's so fun to watch.
Craig Horlbeck
I gotta be honest. I just think, like, straight up, across the board, some. Like, a playoff game that your team is not in is just better than a game that your team is in. Hundred percent. Yeah. Yeah.
Danny Kelly
It's just. It's torturous to watch.
Craig Horlbeck
Like, you obviously want to roll the dice because your team could win the Super Bowl. But, like, if you just asked me, would you rather watch the Steelers in a playoff game or a different playoff game, I'd probably just say, different playoff.
Danny Heifetz
Dude, that's like the wild. That's. That maybe that's the real take. Is actually the Giants being terrible is great because I just watch all these games.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, you can just enjoy.
Danny Kelly
You don't. Yeah. You're like, pete, what is it? LaFleur from Dodgeball? He's like, yeah. When you have no expectations, it's. Everything is fine. And we got to tell you, it feels phenomenal. Yeah.
Craig Horlbeck
It's like, do you want. Do you want to cook dinner for six people at a dinner party, or do you want to attend a dinner party? Like, it's just way easier.
Danny Heifetz
Passenger Princess is great. I don't want to figure out where we're going or drive along.
Danny Kelly
Along that line. Along those lines. Guess what I saw while you guys Were talking about coaching candidates. Sam Darnold has been added to the injury report today with an oblique injury. He's questionable for Saturday. Things are going great. After taking a freaking week off to rest and recuperate, he hurts his oblique in practice. This is the first time hearing about it. It just happened. So obviously we'll find out if it's like actually something to worry about.
Danny Heifetz
My honest to God first take with that. Is that an actual first take? But my immediate reaction is I think I would have been more worried about something like that two years ago because it's like, oh, he pulled his oblique and maybe he can't play. To be honest, we're recording this Thursday. I think there was like a couple dozen college basketball players and involved in a potential like point shavings fraud schemes. And it's like every sport has been like really heavily touched by gambling stuff and like injury reports. The NFL is. I been really cracked down on injury reports. And teams like, they're like. Because remember, this is the Ravens fault. Actually Lamar, like, Lamar Jackson, like, they didn't report that he was on the Friday that I'm full participant that he didn't play. And I think DK the optimism would say maybe Darnold's fine and he just felt it. And they're like, we're going to report it. We don't want to get anything in trouble.
Danny Kelly
Sure. Probably what happened. He did not.
Craig Horlbeck
He.
Danny Kelly
He played. He was off to the side today at practice and Drew Locke got starters reps at practice, which is alarming to say the least.
Danny Heifetz
That's super concerning.
Danny Kelly
That's.
Danny Heifetz
That's super concerning.
Danny Kelly
It's ironic because, like, the only reason the Seahawks are going to lose this week is because of Sam Darnold. But if he doesn't play, they will definitely lose.
Danny Heifetz
I.
Danny Kelly
Well, Drew Locke.
Danny Heifetz
Drew Locke, whose best game ever was to cost the Giants the number one pick. Well, I don't. Let's just get right into Darnold. I mean, you know, ESPN had this amazing stat decay. Darnold led the NFL with 20 turnovers this season. It's the first time since 1978 a player on a number one seated team led the league in turnovers.
Craig Horlbeck
Wow. Yeah. Yeah.
Danny Kelly
Super. Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Well, is.
Craig Horlbeck
Is not throwing tremendous looking trophy you got there.
Danny Kelly
It's a tremendous looking stat you brought to the table. Thank you for that. Yeah. And it is, you know, when you look at the entire season with Darnold, obviously, like the numbers look really good, but it, you know, if you split it up between weeks one and 10, basically that Rams game where he threw four picks can split the season in two. And from weeks one to the time I saw this from ESPN, weeks one to 10, Darnold was number one in QBR. From week 11 on, he was 27th in QBR. So that is why I've kind of been harping on this. I'm sure Seahawk fans are tired of me freaking like talking about Sam Darnold and worrying about Sam Darnold, but it just does feel like every, you know, he's got a bozo playing him every game at least. And I just really. That's the one thing that can kind of like throw this off. The Seahawks have a Super Bowl, super bowl defense. They have one of the best defenses we've seen in the DVOA era in terms of like their efficiency. So that is the worry here. Obviously, if you look at the last game, the Seahawks absolutely stifled the 49ers. They didn't let Brock Purdy do basically anything. The one big difference, of course. Well, there's a couple of big differences. The big difference for the 49ers is Trent Williams is back, which is huge. I mean, if you look at the splits with and without Trent Williams during the Shanahan era, it's dramatic, it's stark, it's like insane actually. So that's huge for the 49ers, but they're out. Kittle. Kittle is injured with a Achilles injury, so he's gone. He's obviously a big time player for them and that hurts them. And you know, obviously the Seahawks are getting Charles Cross back at left tackle, so that's, that's a bonus. It's not the exact same matchup as we saw last year. I think the big thing here is Trent Williams last in week 18, I should say.
Danny Heifetz
And also the Niners linebackers, which I were injured last week as well and been injured, but I don't think teams took advantage of them the same degree like the Eagles. Just because Hertz kind of struggles throwing over the middle of the field. You didn't really sense how much Eric Kendricks, who is washed like years ago and then Garrett.
Danny Kelly
The name I haven't heard in a while.
Danny Heifetz
I know, dude. The liners. Linebackers versus the Eagles to win the game where Eric Hendricks and Garrett Wallow. I think Garrett Wallow sounds like a bird.
Craig Horlbeck
Sure.
Danny Heifetz
Like, you know what I mean?
Danny Kelly
Like that's the Carolina Wallow.
Danny Heifetz
Exactly. Like, you know, there's Barn Wallows and Garrett Wallows, but I feel like the nine, basically the, the Seahawks are going to absolutely just spam everything against these Niners linebackers who frankly, like, literally. I mean, Fred Warner says he might come back, but at the very least, that's Fred Warner for season ending injury with no practice.
Danny Kelly
Oh, he's not coming back. Shanahan just said he's.
Danny Heifetz
Oh, he just said. I mean, that makes sense because I mean, Fred war. Like, I think Fred Warner might play in the super bowl if the Niners make it. But yeah, I feel like it just comes down to can Darnold or Drew Locke take advantage of the Niners linebackers more than the Niners can confuse Darnold trying to take advantage of the Niners.
Craig Horlbeck
Dk, what is your, what is your confidence versus nervous scale right now?
Danny Kelly
Like, oh, that's a good question.
Craig Horlbeck
The Seahawks beat the Niners 133 a little bit ago. Kind of dominated that game defensively. I mean, the Niners scoring three points. I have no. When's the last time the Niners scored three points under Shanahan?
Danny Kelly
Literally the first game from Shanahan, his first game, he scored three points and then a week 18, he scored three points. Those are his two worst games.
Craig Horlbeck
So, like, where are you at in the. I'm not that nervous. The Niners roster is completely depleted and we should win this game by 17. Or are you like, I'm terrified Darnold's going to blow this and the Niners are like a, like a sports movie team that shouldn't be in any of these games and yet they are.
Danny Kelly
If, if, if the Darnold's going to blow, it is. Is one. And, and I'm really confident they're going to kick the 49ers ass. Is 10. I'm probably like at like a seven. I, I feel better about this game than I would feel about if I was playing the Rams, if the Seahawks are playing the Rams. But, you know, I, you know, especially because of this Darnold question, especially because Seahawk fans were freaking rooting for this, which always makes me nervous, is they were like, everyone was celebrating. When the 49ers get to come down, it's just like, Jesus, we're just tempting fate here. But at the end of the day, like, analytically taking bias out of it, like, the Seahawks should beat the 49ers, I think that they have a very good chance to do so. But, you know, it's the playoffs and anything can happen.
Danny Heifetz
It just comes down to, again, inside of Sam Darnold, there are two wolves and one of them is one of them.
Danny Kelly
Idiot.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, you know, it's funny, I don't feel like Sam Darnold feels like he leads the NFL in turnovers this year. It doesn't feel like that.
Danny Kelly
It does feel that way to me.
Craig Horlbeck
Does it?
Danny Kelly
Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Well, it's because of the back half. It was all in the back half.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah. I think the first bunches, they were so good. And everyone watched Arnold and decided like, all right, he's for real. We had Minnesota last year. We have this this year. Maybe by week 10, they were like, I've seen all I need to see. And the record is obviously so good. And the defense is able to like keep them in games even when he does commit turnovers.
Danny Kelly
Yeah. Yeah.
Craig Horlbeck
I don't know, man. When is the last, like, do you think Darnold would be the least trustworthy quarterback to win a Super bowl in a while?
Danny Heifetz
No, because I feel like the defensive team, I think honestly we can get to this with.
Craig Horlbeck
It's probably Nick Foles in 2018 is.
Danny Heifetz
Definitely, definitely probably the last guy because I think Texans and Seahawks are actually very similar. I think CG Stroud is the same Darnold of the afc. He doesn't have the same rep, but I think Stroud is the biggest weakness on that team at this point. Which is weird because I also love the way he plays sometimes, but it feels to me like drive to drive, sometimes drought. It's. It's kind of a little Darnold esque and.
Danny Kelly
But it's either. It's either FS or if you go all the way back to 2012 when it was Flacco.
Danny Heifetz
But if you look at just like teams that almost won a Super bowl, there are plenty of great defenses that either won or almost won. Where it's like the Bucks had Brad Johnson, the Ravens had Trent Dilfer, the Bears made the Super Grossman, Colts. Yeah, Rex Grossman.
Danny Kelly
You're talking about a really long time ago.
Danny Heifetz
Like. Yeah, but it's like you go through. It's like it happens. I don't forget how people talked about Eli Manning before he actually beat the Patriots in 2007. Like, Eli Manning wasn't well thought of. That was a great defense. So it absolutely happens again. Nick Foles won a Super bowl as a backup quarterback.
Craig Horlbeck
I mean, even, even Russell Wilson early on was like Russell Wilson.
Danny Heifetz
So I think the difference is Darnold and Stroud are absolutely. Or Mark Sanchez and the AFC champ made back to back AFC championship games. I think Darnold and Stroud are unquestionably better than all of those guys, but they're not the traditional game manager. Like I think of Alex Smith in that. But they'll protect the football, but they can't win you the game.
Craig Horlbeck
You think Donald and Stroud are unquestionably better than like Eli Manning and Russell Wilson and Joe Flacco and all those guys? Are you talking about more like Rex.
Danny Heifetz
Grossman, Trent Dilfer, the Rex Grossman, Trent Dill for Brett? Because my point is that maybe I should have been clearer. The Texans and Seahawks defenses have the potential to in retrospect be viewed as all time units. Like they have the potential to be seen as the best defense so far of the 2000 and 20s if they go on a run right now, in which case it wouldn't, I think Darnold wouldn't be viewed like Brad Johnson. He'd be viewed more like a Joe Flack or Eli Manning. Like it'd be viewed more like in that tier.
Danny Kelly
And I do think, to be clear, I, I, the fact that Darnold can lead a game winning drive late in the game and make some like preposterous throws puts him in a different category in my mind than, you know, because I think I catastrophize it a little bit with, with the turnovers. It's, it is the main thing that worries me with him. But he's got some, he's got some magic in him too. And I, and I really do appreciate that and acknowledge that because like if the Seahawks are down two points with a minute to go, I'm feeling like pretty good about it actually.
Craig Horlbeck
How do you feel about Brock Purdy? Would you switch right now and take Brock Purdy on the Seahawks over Sam Darnold?
Danny Kelly
Probably, I think you have to probably.
Craig Horlbeck
Because I think there is a little bit of Purdy as well where like once or twice a game he makes a completely boneheaded throw and it's a terrible interception. Yeah, but they're a little similar in that regard. I was trying to think of like what are you even nervous about other than like Shanahan, black Magic, Darnold collapsing. Like in terms of just like talent on the field, is there any position group that you're like, we're worse? No, probably not.
Danny Kelly
I, I guess, yeah. That's why, that's why I said it the way I said it. I think that the Seahawks on paper, if you just take it out, take the bias out of it in the Seahawks, fear that's instilled in me out of it, the Seahawks should win this game. They are the better team. But you know, crazy Things happen. And, and that's what I'm worried about is like some weird wacky happens early in the game and it gets out of, it gets out of hand. We saw that in the last game with the Week 18. Like the Seahawks probably should have won that game by 25 or whatever, but it was close till the end because of funky shit that kept happening. Like the Seahawks kicker missed two field goals that he normally would make. He's like one of the most accurate kickers in the league this year and he just missed. He missed an extra point and a field goal.
Danny Heifetz
And then yeah, it's not just the Seahawks have to be able to run the ball and we can move on, but the Seahawks have to be able to run the ball because they've been tricking teams all year like the Rams have where they put two or three tight ends on so the other teams put more linebackers on the field and then they haha. And they throw in the linebackers. The Niners are not getting tricked to putting their shitty reserve signed off the couch linebackers onto the field. So they're going to have more defensive backs and the Seahawks are going to have to be able to run on the. When the Niners are matching with nickel or a dime, like, or like more defensive backs, basically the Seahawks have to be able to run on those looks and like, you know, that's been a weakness. So we'll see. We'll see. I'm sorry, dk, I'm genuinely rooting for you, but I also assume you're going to be a big Bears fan because I have to imagine. Oh yeah, nobody wants to see, no Seahawks fan wants to see the Rams.
Danny Kelly
The enemy or the enemy of my enemy is my friend. Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Like Darnold said, 11 picks and 20 sacks versus the Rams in the last 365 days. So yeah, the Rams are at Chicago this week. The Rams are three and a half point favorites. Craig, you are, are you worried at all? Like where, where do your allegiances lie between your, your brother, Sean McVeigh.
Craig Horlbeck
I know.
Danny Heifetz
And your favorite team this season, the Chicago Bears.
Craig Horlbeck
I, I at whatever happens after the game, I'll say I was rooting for that team is my plan.
Danny Heifetz
That's smart.
Craig Horlbeck
So Rams win, I'll be like so happy for McVay. I secretly wanted that to happen the whole time. And, and if the Bears win, I'm like team of destiny. I love this fucking team. This is unbelievable. I'm most excited for this game. Out of any game this weekend, this is going to Be great. This in Chicago. It's going to be cold as hell. Be windy.
Danny Kelly
Playoff football, baby.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah. This is fantastic. Did you guys know that I read this in an athletic piece that the, the. The field, like the actual grass in Chicago is known as the Turf Monster. Are you aware of that?
Danny Kelly
I've heard of the expression Turf Monster.
Craig Horlbeck
It's nicknamed the Turf Monster and is known to trip players up in the open field. At times it feels. Feels like this is like a, like a spirit that takes over during games in Chicago.
Danny Heifetz
The holy ghost with the ball.
Craig Horlbeck
But I've been seeing a lot of stuff online about like Stafford in cold weather. I don't buy any of that. Stafford is a dog. Puk is a dog. Devonte played in Green Bay for like eight years. Like all these guys are dogs. I'm not worried about that at all.
Danny Kelly
They're also going to run the hell out of the ball.
Craig Horlbeck
I think. That's what I think this whole game is like. Who's not going to turn the ball over? Both these defenses are vulnerable. Both these defenses can let up points and I think both these offenses are like run the ball, play action, big play, score touchdowns and don't turn the ball over. And like the Rams 13 personnel stuff, they're going to get Terence Ferguson, their tight end back. The Rams are pretty healthy. I mean Stafford hurt his finger and that has to be monitored and there was a moment there.
Danny Kelly
He's in the Airstream, he's fine.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, they like as an epidural in his finger, so he'll be fine.
Danny Kelly
It's got like the back to tank, remember from Star Wars? That's what he's got in the, in the Airstream.
Craig Horlbeck
But like Stafford was in the snow against the Eagles last year and was great. Like I just, I don't think that's a narrative at all. To me at least I think it's going to be hard for. I mean it's fucking cold for everybody.
Danny Kelly
It's what I'm clinging to. Craig, let me have this. I. They're going to fold like a cheap. What, what is the tent? Tent? Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Lawn chair. Like the blue tent? Yeah, the $90 blue tent, I think.
Craig Horlbeck
I don't know, man. These are like two teams that are fucking heroic in the fourth quarter. These are two offenses and quarterbacks and schemes that are just like dude crazy stuff in the fourth quarter. I'm a little surprised that the Bears are getting our underdogs by three and a half points at home. That is a little spicy to me.
Danny Heifetz
Isn't the Most obvious thing to just bet the Rams line and then wait for them to take a huge lead and then bet the Bears and just kind of like play both sides. Because this is basically the Rams have the craziest ways all year to lose games and the Bears have the craziest ways all year to win games.
Danny Kelly
Yep.
Danny Heifetz
Like, how much would the Rams have to be up to start this game where DK were? Like, this is over.
Craig Horlbeck
I mean, the number does not exist.
Danny Kelly
29.
Danny Heifetz
It's high.
Danny Kelly
By the way, the expression is fold like a cheap suit. I think that is.
Craig Horlbeck
Why wouldn't it be 10?
Danny Heifetz
I think it's long.
Craig Horlbeck
Craig.
Danny Kelly
Well, I was picturing a lawn chair. Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Fold like a cheap suit.
Danny Kelly
Yeah.
Craig Horlbeck
Hold like a cheap suit.
Danny Heifetz
Why would you fold any suit?
Danny Kelly
Well, because if you have to pack it up and then go somewhere. I don't know.
Danny Heifetz
I don't know.
Craig Horlbeck
I feel like a cheap tent makes more sense.
Danny Kelly
I agree.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah.
Danny Kelly
But anyways, yes.
Danny Heifetz
All the ghosts are screen or screaming at us right now, like telling us the answer. DK the Bears left tackle Ozzy Trapillo towards patellar tendon. And then Theo Benedict is now going to be the left tackle who's a little bit of struggle bust this season. I mean, basically got benched for Ozzy Trappolo at left tackle. And then TJ Edwards, the linebacker for the defense is out, but he hasn't been playing as well. I feel like the Rams defensive line has underperformed relative to where we had them. After watching that Eagles playoff game, we talked a losses about how awesome they are and then they've been not the game wrecking force I think we had envisioned. And I think it's pretty important for them for to not allow Caleb to expand plays when the Rams cornerbacks suck and are absolutely going to be the liability for the Rams on defense.
Craig Horlbeck
I mean, they had trouble containing Bryce Young, Tedroa McMillan and Jalen Coker, and now it's Caleb Williams, DJ Moore, Luther Burton and Roma Dunes. I mean, that's a bit of a level up. I'm verging on like, I don't really care what's going on. I'm just taking the Bears territory because like this team is magical. That's kind of like where I'm at. I'm like, I don't care that their linebacker, T.J. edwards is out. I don't care.
Danny Heifetz
You don't care.
Danny Kelly
Their left tackle is Adrian.
Craig Horlbeck
The Rams are getting Kevin Dotson their guard back. It looks like Terence Ferguson's coming back. The Rams are healthy I'm just kind of like, maybe I'm thinking more from the spread perspective, but even straight up, I'm kind of just like, I don't know, man. I. The Bears. The Bears.
Danny Heifetz
Let's be honest. The Pope is from Chicago, right? And then the Bears now have the most fourth quarter comeback wins every ever in NFL history. And every week we say that they actually keep adding a more and more remarkable. Like the last four ones the Bears did were all better than the one before. Craig, do you think if the Bears win this game, do you think that it means God is real?
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, I'm gonna say, yeah, I think so.
Danny Heifetz
Dk, how many games do the Bears have to win? Do you think God is like officially.
Danny Kelly
How many games do they have to win before I believe in God?
Danny Heifetz
Yeah. Like they have a 28 point comeback this week and beat the Rams. Are you like, like you need to win the Super Bowl?
Danny Kelly
If they win the super bowl, you'll find me at church.
Craig Horlbeck
I believe. I, I went right to church after SDSU hit that buzzer beater in the final four to go to the Natty. That's when I knew God was real on my side.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah, you thought God was real when you hit a half court shot when you were in college for a pickup truck and then you realized it was fake when you didn't actually give you.
Danny Kelly
Then you realized the devil was God.
Craig Horlbeck
Didn't tell me about apr.
Danny Kelly
Yeah, lease options.
Danny Heifetz
You're like, I have a. I, I, I don't have a parking spot. It's a college campus.
Craig Horlbeck
There's a crazy stat from this game. This is Sean McVeigh's 15th career playoff game and it's against his 15th different opponent.
Danny Kelly
Oh, interesting.
Craig Horlbeck
He's played every single playoff game he's been is a different team. He's played half the league in the playoffs.
Danny Heifetz
That's pretty crazy.
Craig Horlbeck
It's unbelievable.
Danny Heifetz
Especially because of the nature of the playoffs. He's made two Super Bowls. Wait, wait, wait. That's crazy because that means so Patriots, obviously and Bengals. So he's played 13 NFC teams in the playoffs. Is that true?
Craig Horlbeck
Look, it was on Twitter.
Danny Kelly
Oh, okay.
Craig Horlbeck
No, maybe. I, no, it is. It is true. I, I think it.
Danny Heifetz
So the Giants and. Oh my God. That's kind of wild.
Danny Kelly
Here. Do you want me to read it off?
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah. So I believe it is true. I saw, I think it was in the New York Times piece I read.
Danny Kelly
So 2025 Panthers. And then this is the Bears that last year they played the Vikings Eagles. The year before that Lions 2021, Cardinals, Bucks, 49ers, Bengals. Year before that, Seahawks, Packers. Year 2018, Cowboys, Saints and Patriots. Wow, this is wild.
Danny Heifetz
It's really weird.
Danny Kelly
And then before that it was Falcons. Yeah, actually, I might have gone back too far. When did McVeigh take over 2017? Yeah, that was Falcons. Was that first year they lost.
Craig Horlbeck
Do you guys think that that on paper there is a strong imbalance in this game favoring the Rams or No?
Danny Heifetz
I think it has to be, yes. What do you think? I mean, I just, you look everywhere. It's like, would you rather Stafford or Caleb? And it's like, I'd rather have staff. Like, frankly, like, the only reason I'm. I kind of want the death star with the Rams is I just can't believe that Harrison M is the kicker and it's thicker kicker and it's a joke.
Craig Horlbeck
But like special teams. Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Across the board. Him kicking in the wind in Chicago. The, this Rams punt coverage. The Rams punt units are not good. I, I, that's At some point it always comes back to bite you. It's like at the end of the year, it's like that stuff always comes back around. And also I just genuinely wonder about God and Bears.
Craig Horlbeck
The God piece.
Danny Heifetz
The God piece. I will say if we got to.
Danny Kelly
Talk about the God piece here, to.
Danny Heifetz
Steal something from the rewatchables. In the rewatchables, Craig, which you produce here, they have the category Apex Mountain, which is a very Bill Simmons creation. And so I have an important question for both of you. If the Bears win the super bowl, is it Apex Mountain for Chicago?
Craig Horlbeck
I mean, 85 Bears. The Bulls is basically.
Danny Heifetz
Is Michael Jordan's Bulls run.
Danny Kelly
It's the Bulls.
Danny Heifetz
But is that better than winning a Super bowl and getting the Pope. The Pope and the super bowl in like, no, six months?
Danny Kelly
No, the dual two, three Pete's in Chicago. This is not Apex.
Danny Heifetz
I'm just asking, would you rather have two three Petes or a Pope and a Super?
Danny Kelly
I would way rather have two, three.
Craig Horlbeck
To be honest. People would kick the Pope out of the Vatican in a minute to win a Super Bowl. What are you talking about? You're probably right.
Danny Heifetz
Well, there we go.
Danny Kelly
Popes come and go. Three Petes are eternal.
Craig Horlbeck
There was a great picture of Acrisure Stadium, which I hate saying Hines Field. And it said like Yinzer Conclave. And it had like the smoke and it had like, I think it was AI generated and everybody like surrounding the stadium looking for the next coach, which I thought was great. I did see a video Recently, God. Of somebody talking about how the 85 Super bowl for the Bears is more important than the entire six championships for the Bulls. Like the Bears care about. I mean, Chicago cares about football so much more than anything else that they would take the 85 win over all six. Michael Jordan.
Danny Heifetz
What I'm saying. Who said that? It's the Midwest.
Danny Kelly
There's no way that's correct.
Craig Horlbeck
There's no way that's correct. I think it was. I don't want to say. I'll double check.
Danny Kelly
Okay.
Craig Horlbeck
I don't. Because I can't remember if it was a Chicago native or not. But I want to double check.
Danny Kelly
I can't believe that I would not. I would just the magic of being in Chicago during the Bulls runs. I can't even.
Danny Heifetz
The mythology of Jordan changes it. But if. I mean put. I guess another way to look at it is, would you rather have a Bulls title now or a Bears title now? I don't think you could find many people that I. I wonder how long you'd have to go to find someone who'd rather have a Bull.
Craig Horlbeck
Well, and like, I think it's obvious, if you said one super bowl versus one NBA championship, which would you take? They would take the Super Bowl. How many NBA championships could you get to before they take that over?
Danny Heifetz
Super Bowl? That's the right question.
Craig Horlbeck
You're like, you get three, four.
Danny Kelly
Another three feet. Takes me back. That's more important to me. And I was a Sonics fan.
Danny Heifetz
So good.
Craig Horlbeck
Basketball.
Danny Heifetz
So good. Okay, Anything else on Bears Rams other than it'll be cold and hopefully Matt Stafford can handle it. All right, wait. Sorry. Before we move on, let's cut the social breakouts right now. Let's keep this in the show, Craig. We'll post whichever. Whichever team wins. We'll post these videos. So first, Craig. Bears just won this. If they win, we'll post this.
Craig Horlbeck
Go, team of destiny. You can't stop them, Pope. Everything's. Everything's coming together. I don't care who they're playing in the championship game. They're obviously going to the Super Bowl. This is it. Caleb Williams, we said he's going to win the super bowl in the next three years. He's going to win a Super bowl this year and next year. Last week we were talking about how many Super Bowls versus NBA championships would you take. Would you take a three peat for the Bulls? I think the Bears are going to get a three peat.
Danny Kelly
All right.
Danny Heifetz
Perfect. All right, now. Now if the Rams win, we'll do this. You're like you never. You always believed in the Rams. You never doubted them.
Craig Horlbeck
From the moment I did flying coach Sean McVay, 2021, I knew that. I mean, look, after we did flying coach, what happened? They won a Super Bowl. I always knew that he had it in him for a second one. And look, the Bears, they're just getting started, you know what I mean? Like they are going to win. We said last week this Bears are going to win another super bowl in the next three years. I stand by that. They even overachieved this year. And the Rams, there's a reason why Matt Stafford just won the MVP because of what he did. And it's why Drake May, who just lost to the Texans didn't deserve the mvp.
Danny Kelly
Throwing in other facts here.
Danny Heifetz
Okay, next game here. Bills are at the Broncos.
Craig Horlbeck
This game feels weird. I don't know why. Bills versus the Broncos doesn't feel right. I'm like, what is this?
Danny Heifetz
Well, I'll tell you what happened the.
Craig Horlbeck
Last like, do these teams ever play?
Danny Heifetz
Well, they played what is this? I don't know if you're joking or not, but they played last year in the playoffs and the Bills actually kicked the living out of the Broncos.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, I remember Bo Nicks marched down, scored a touchdown. We're like, holy. He threw like a 50 yard touchdown to start the game. And then the Bills, I think it was like 42 7.
Danny Heifetz
It was third. Yeah, the bill. The Broncos literally didn't score again. They were, they had 31, 31 7. Yeah, this is when the Bills really went all out putting six offensive line lineman on the field. And they just bully. They just as Matt LaFleur would say, they big boy. The Broncos, they ran. The Bills ran 44 times for 210 yards in that wild card win over the Broncos last year. The Bills of the ball for 42 minutes, which is about as many as much time a possession you'll see in a game that doesn't go to overtime in the modern NFL. Like it's hard for a team to have the ball less than 18 minutes, which is what the Broncos did like crazy domination. And I just feel like this is, I don't know, it's. I feel like the Broncos like the team that got bullied at the end of a school year and then you have all summer they're trying to like get bigger or trying to get taller and lifting weights. They took like karate and tried to be a yellow belt. And now like school started again. You're going to see the bully again. And. But now it's like it's at their turn. It's like Denver at altitude. Josh Allen's, like, knee. You know, everything with Josh Allen that he's got going on foot injury. And the Broncos, I think, for their own psyche, really, really need to, like, return the favor and kick the shit out of the Bills or else it's, like, going to affect Denver.
Craig Horlbeck
It feels like I'm just like, the same thing is happening as last week where I was like, I think the Jags have a better roster and might be better, but it's Josh Allen, and I'm kind of like, the Broncos are a better roster, and I think they're better. It's Josh Allen. That's kind of where I'm at.
Danny Kelly
Yeah.
Craig Horlbeck
We also haven't seen the Broncos in three weeks. I mean, they didn't really. The week 18 didn't matter. They were off last week. It's been a while since we've seen the Broncos, and they've had a lot of, like, lackluster wins. It's like they win these close games, low scoring. They lost to the Jags, and it's like, all right, we saw them beat the Chiefs on Christmas without Patrick Mahomes. Like, it has been a while. It's really since. I mean, I. Week 14, 15, since we've really been like, all right, that was the Broncos game that mattered.
Danny Kelly
Yeah, they beat the packers in week 15.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
It's funny, too, because the first round buy is also just confirmation bias, because when teams come out look good, you're like, man, that's why they got the one seed. And when teams suck, they're like, oh, look at them. They're rusty. I don't know, man. And the Broncos. I. The truth is, the Bills are weirdly well suited to match up with Denver in a funny way, because the Broncos are incredible getting sacks. They've led the league in sacks for two years in a row. But Josh Allen's the hardest person to convert a pressure into a sack, so that gets mitigated. And then also, the Broncos just are incredible at man coverage because you have Patrick Satan and you have Riley Moss, who, you know, one of the better white cornerbacks we've ever had. So. And we've ever had. I'm just saying, you know, take beggars. Can't beat choosers. But it's funny because the Bills counter the great cornerbacks by. The Bills don't have any receivers worth throwing to. They have, like, Khalil Shakir and they have Brandon.
Danny Kelly
Don't you dare say that. About Khalil Shakir, I mean, he's great.
Danny Heifetz
But I'm just saying, like, the Bills, everyone else is hurt. Drill Shavers is hurt. Gabe Davis is hurt. The Bills receivers suck. So the. They don't have receive. Like, it's locked down the receivers. It's fine. The Bills throw to running backs and tight ends. The Bills throw to James Cook, and they're going to throw to Dawson Knox and Dalton Kincaid. And like, they're the most targets in the NFL per game, I believe, is Josh Allen throwing news running backs and tight ends combined. They had that in ESPN this morning. And that is how you want to attack the Broncos anyway. So they're kind of weirdly suited to. Even if the Broncos decide we don't want to let you run the ball like last time, that is how the Bills are going to attack is like, either spread them out or go heavy, whatever. But, like, I do think they're going to be throwing the ball to running backs and tight ends. Obviously, Josh has to play really well again, probably flawlessly. But I also think this is a huge game for Bo Nix because the difference between a bad game from Bo Nix and the Broncos go one and done versus beating Josh Allen in the playoffs, fair or not, will have a massive swing in how he gets talked about for the entire offseason.
Danny Kelly
Look, I recognize and admit that I'm just being super simplistic about this, but, like, my. If you looked at this on paper, you should. You would think that the Broncos are going to win. But then you look at the fact that the Bills have Josh Allen, and I think that they have. They're going to win. I think the Bills are going to win. So that's kind of where I am. I. I think I base. Craig basically stole all my thunder in terms of, like, talking about, like, the. The way that they've played the last, like, month has been very underwhelming. Even though they did pull out wins. You know, they. They beat a Justin Herbert list Chargers team. They beat him, a homeless Chiefs team. Then they lost the Jags before that, and then they were off last week. So I just don't have a ton of confidence in the way that they're playing right now, even though they. They've set themselves up incredibly well. You know, so that's kind of where I am. I know it's a very simplistic way of looking at it, but, like, a lot of times in the playoffs, honestly, that kind of is really what matters. So, yeah, I don't know. That's where I Am I just think Josh Allen, again, it's the same deal from last week. If he can kind of do his superhero thing, the Bills will win. If he can't, if he doesn't, if he turns the ball over, whatever, then the Broncos will probably cruise.
Danny Heifetz
I think you're right. And if Josh does play at that level, then I think what's going to happen is the Broncos are going to try to run on the Bills, and they're going to try to run them out of, like, two high safeties. And if they bring the safety down and try to get Bonix to, like, look like one high safety, looks, Bonix has to hit the deep throws. And that also is what's going to come out. Like, Sean Payton is saying it out. He's like, we're going to take vertical shots in this game. And part of me is like, mind games. And part of me is like, I actually think he's just so fucking confident.
Danny Kelly
I wanted to bring up Sean Payton at the end.
Danny Heifetz
What did Sean Payton do now?
Danny Kelly
Oh, did you see how he's a total asshole to a reporter the other day?
Craig Horlbeck
Yes, I did.
Danny Heifetz
I actually missed this when he was.
Danny Kelly
Like, somebody asked him about getting Dre Greenlaw back and how he's, like, excited. He asked him something about, like, is he excited for him to come play downhill or whatever. I think essentially what he's saying is, like, what the impact does he bring against the run or whatever. And Sean Payton was like, you want him to attack downhill? Like, what do you know about attacking downhill in the run game? You don't know. It's like, dude, have you ever been asked a question before?
Craig Horlbeck
Surprised you didn't see that.
Danny Kelly
Cool. You don't have to be a fucking asshole.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah. The reporter was like, it must be nice to get Greenlaw back as, like, you know, one of your best, like, downhill defenders. And. And Sean Payton was like, here's my chance to downhill. He, like. He, like, chuckled at it. He's like, dad, downhill. He's like, what do you know about downhill tackling?
Danny Kelly
Just so validating for me personally.
Danny Heifetz
That would work for any question, of course. Oh, you must hate that guy.
Danny Kelly
Don't.
Danny Heifetz
The.
Danny Kelly
The Sean Payton don't be an asshole challenge, dude.
Danny Heifetz
That is. Never forget how many different coaches hate Sean Payton. It's funny, though, also, he has, you know, no team has ever won. No coach has ever won a Super bowl with two different teams. So Sean Bate advances. That's, like, all you're going to hear about until they lose. If the Broncos do win, this game. Good coach. Good coach. Anything else in Bills? Yeah, Josh Allen. I also we're all kind of rooting for the Bills, right? It's probably more interesting to have new blood if the Broncos make it. But Josh, that's the best story left probably is Josh dragging the Bills probably AFC and then the Bears and the nfc.
Craig Horlbeck
But I agree with you though. If the Broncos are there, that's kind of frisky and fun. I, I wonder how the analytics like, I, I feel like the average person is going to be like I'll just take the Bills and Josh Allen. But I wonder if this will once again be a situation where a lot of the Sharps are taking Denver.
Danny Heifetz
Well, interesting.
Danny Kelly
Well, maybe Denver's better on paper.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, of course.
Danny Kelly
Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Well, let's play the game on paper. Texas speaking with Texans are at the Patriots this week.
Danny Kelly
Interesting game.
Danny Heifetz
So we honestly because the Steelers, because Tomlin stepped down, Mike Tomlin stepped down on after the Monday football loss to the Texans. We like didn't really talk about the Texans performance washed away. So it's worth going through it again. Texans want beat the Steelers gradually and then like really suddenly because it was seven to six entering the fourth quarter and then it was very quickly like 30 to six and the Texans just went fumble six touchdown. Pick six touchdown. It just got out of hand fast. And I'm curious, Craig, were you more, more impressed by how Houston finished the game on defense than you were a little surprised that the Texans couldn't actually close, close out the Steelers for 53 minutes?
Craig Horlbeck
Well, I, I, no, I would say I was. I was more impressed with their defense and, and it is rock solid. The Steelers could not run the ball at all. I mean the Steelers had six points. It's not like they couldn't close. The Texans offense just couldn't score and Stroud kept throwing interceptions. I mean the, the Steelers kept having great field position and the Texans kept stopping them over and over. So I think the six points that they allowed in the first three in the whole game was even more impressive. I mean, I, there was a big DK Metcalf drop, but like otherwise, I mean Rogers continually had fantastic field position and they couldn't do anything with it. So no, I still feel very confident about Houston's defense.
Danny Kelly
I think they're great.
Craig Horlbeck
The, the, the wrinkle in this game is that Nico Collins, the wide receiver for the Texans unlikely to play with a concussion and then I believe has there been an update on Christian Gonzalez, the top cornerback for the Patriots? I think he's Also unlikely to play. Right.
Danny Heifetz
Whenever I see something like that, I'm like, that advantage goes to the defense. Like the whole point of having Christian Gonzalez is to shut down Nico Collins. If neither are out, then like that's an advantage to the Patriots. In my opinion that's too simplistic.
Danny Kelly
But I think apparently Gonzalez, per Mike Reese, no longer in a red no non contract jersey, grabs his helmet to head to practice. This is as of three hours ago. So maybe he will play it. It's. It's gonna be touch and go.
Craig Horlbeck
This is funny. I mean the, the we are now 19 weeks through the NFL season and there are still questions about like who are the Patriots. Like they just beat a terrible Chargers playoff team in a game that like it feels like they could have won by even more. And it was kind of slow for a while and Drake May did not have a good first half, had a fantastic second half. But I certainly still have questions and I do think a defense like the Texans and I think the streakiness of Stroud, like if you catch him on the right moment, I think this game could be close and I think the Texans could win.
Danny Heifetz
You think we're going to learn a lot about these teams?
Craig Horlbeck
I think we're going to learn a lot about these teams and then this.
Danny Kelly
Is a must win game next week.
Craig Horlbeck
Whichever teams win this week and then are in the they'll play again next week. Those games. We're going to learn a lot about those teams.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah, this is a must win game. I am the, the Drake May part. He didn't play well. I think he had, you know, his butterflies. It was like year two quarterback playing know the Chargers defense in the first half. I think, I think this is if the Patriots win. I hate to, I hate to report. I do think that it would be about Drake May and Drake May like being incredible because the Texans defense is like this death star. We've talked about it a lot and they deserve all the credit where they just, I mean they have no coverage disguises or diversity. Cody Alexander at Match quarters had a great article about this and shout out his substack and he Cody Alexander measures coverage diversity. Basically how much teams mix it up and he scales it 0 to 100. The Texans are a 1 out of 100. They literally are 1 at 100.
Danny Kelly
They're so much like the lob it's crazy.
Danny Heifetz
They are like the league.
Danny Kelly
They line up and they're like okay, go ahead beat us.
Danny Heifetz
Which you have the luxury of doing when everyone on defense was better than everyone on the offense and all. And honestly, it's funny. All it comes down to all their guys who can cover, can tackle. And when you watch the Texans, all of them can tackle. And so in all the corner like, and that matters in the run game and it changes everything. And so the all the, you know, Will Anderson's an amazing pass rusher. He can stop the run. Like everyone just does everything well. Petrie, Jalen Petrie is like the best nickel in the league, probably.
Danny Kelly
So exciting and so fun to watch. Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Mario Lasseter is amazing quarterback. So because it's everything simpler, they play faster. That's why they get the wow, this defense is flying to the ball award of the season because there's no complexity. It's just like, see, they run and hit and so they still have to pick how you're going to beat them though, right? Every defense has to pick. You get beat, they pick. Okay, sure. Deep shots to the outside on early, downs on first and 10, second and whatever, second and eight. If you think you can get a deep pass to the sideline and you will have not get sacked or intercepted by Derek Stingley or Kamari Lasseter, go for it. That is what Drake May will win the MVP on is the cross crazy deep passing accuracy. He's had to Diggs Kaan booty down the sideline like Drake May all season is a crazy deep accuracy. Bill Barnwell wrote a great comedy ESPN where he kind of was saying he thinks Drake May should win the MVP in part where if you look at like catches over expectation this season and receiving yards over expectation, it's like puking a co and people. And then it's like three of this top six are Patriots receivers. It's like Matt Collins, Diggs and Booty. And you're like, that's a Drake May stat that three of the top six receivers. So anyway, that is to me the New England in a nutshell is they have to run. You can't go horizontal. They're too Texans defense too fast. You have to run vertically and throw vertically and that's New England's only shot. However, the other thing I wanted to ask you, DK is I think the real chance for New England WINS game is C.J. stroud being New England's best player. C.J. stroud, I really think he's the Darnold of the AFC and I feel like.
Danny Kelly
Yeah, that's weird to say, but yeah.
Danny Heifetz
We need a new term for game manager. When I think of game manager, maybe everyone is different. I think of Alex Smith where he's not likely to be the reason that you can win the game, but he's not going to lose it for you. And I think we need a new term for like Sam Darnold or Stroud where Darnold absolutely has been the reason you've won games, you've started, you've gotten huge leads, you've had comeback wins. Darnold's also absolutely the reason you lose games. Stroud's like that too. And I feel like that is the real concern here is that Vrabel figures out how to get into Stroud's brain.
Danny Kelly
Yeah. Because I mean, if you look at just this last game is a perfect example. Stroud fumbled the ball five times, five fumbles. He lost two of them. He had a couple of the biggest bozo plays I've ever seen him.
Craig Horlbeck
He did. He played really bad.
Danny Kelly
It was like he was pressing. There was a couple plays where he. I think he thought he had it. And so he like tried to make some miraculous play. Just didn't have it in him and he turned it over. But at the same time, I'm looking at. The Texans were 10 of 15 on third down. Like they were really good when it was like in those clutch situations in the ma. In the, in the moments that mattered. Obviously those turnovers were glaring and, and horrific. But you know, compared to the Steelers who went to a 14. Aaron Rodgers, you know, just could not do anything. This was literally. I saw this from Nate Tice, great stat that just kind of like tells you how good Houston's defense is.283 playoff games where a quarterback had 20 pass attempts. Aaron Rodgers game was 283rd in drop back success rate and EPA per drop back. That was the worst game we've seen from a quarterback in the playoffs. Basically.
Craig Horlbeck
All right.
Danny Kelly
You know, so not great, but gentle. More complimentary to the Texans because I think just they were. I think the Steelers were just completely overmatched.
Danny Heifetz
But on that.
Danny Kelly
But yes, I think what you were saying, Stroud is the X factor. I feel exactly the same way I feel about Darnold where Stroud could make some incredible plays. He's got it in him. He could make some, you know, just pinpoint down 30 yards down the field, drop it in a bucket. But he needs to stop with these bozo plays because that, you know, in a different world could have sunk the Texans in the first round. The Steelers couldn't do anything. But the Patriots can do stuff on offense.
Craig Horlbeck
I, I do think that no, Nico Collins is a big deal.
Danny Kelly
Yeah.
Craig Horlbeck
And if Nico Collins are in this game. I think I. I would have taken the Texans, dude.
Danny Kelly
Christian Kirk is like their playmaker right now.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah, it's Xavier Hutchinson, Christian Kirk and two rookies.
Craig Horlbeck
I think. I think that matters a lot.
Danny Kelly
So I think that's fair.
Danny Heifetz
So one other thing here on this game. This is important, guys. So I saw the stat. On Monday night, Houston became the second team in playoff history to score multiple defensive touchdowns in a game without allowing a touchdown, joining the Bears in the 1940 NFL championship game versus Washington, which they won 70 to nothing.
Danny Kelly
The legendary 1940 Bears.
Danny Heifetz
So obviously I looked up the 1940 Bears, and I'm happy to report it.
Craig Horlbeck
Won the game 70 to nothing.
Danny Heifetz
Yes. It's like the.
Danny Kelly
I feel like we've talked about this game before.
Danny Heifetz
It's a hilarious game. Yes. 70 to nothing. In addition to the Bears having a guy on the team named Solly Sherman. Okay, I was going through the names, and I'm getting like, you know, a little immune to it. And then I saw one of the guys names on the 1940 bears was named Eggs Mansky.
Craig Horlbeck
Yes, Eggs. E. Ggs.
Danny Heifetz
Eggs. Yes, his name is Eggs.
Craig Horlbeck
Eggs.
Danny Heifetz
Eggs.
Danny Kelly
Eggs. That's so good.
Craig Horlbeck
And you know, it's like a hobo name. He literally just had eggs every morning, and they were like your eggs called an egg.
Danny Kelly
So that he ate eggs one time, Craig. And then he was eggs for the rest.
Danny Heifetz
Like, that baseball player didn't drink, so they called him sloppy.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
So do me. This never gets old. Do me a favor, dk. I'm sending this guy's Wikipedia page. Do me a favor, dk, Okay, I want you. You've never seen this before. I want you to read the first two sentences of Eggs Mansky's Wikipedia page. Don't read it ahead of time. Just read it out loud for me.
Danny Kelly
Eggs, man.
Craig Horlbeck
Eggs Mansky.
Danny Kelly
Read the first two lines.
Danny Heifetz
Read the first two lines blind.
Danny Kelly
Go, Edgar John Eggs Mansky was an American professional football player who was an end for six seasons in the National Football League. Mansky was the last college football player to play without a helmet. I love it.
Craig Horlbeck
No helmet on his egg.
Danny Heifetz
Do you know how much restraint I've had to have to not share that with.
Danny Kelly
He was the last guy. This is like the freaking old hockey players who didn't play with it without.
Danny Heifetz
Football, with a helmet.
Danny Kelly
Unfortunately, his name is Edgar, which makes eggs make a lot more sense.
Danny Heifetz
Eggs Mansky, though.
Craig Horlbeck
Eggs Mansky was out there running around without a helmet. The last one to do it. How does that.
Danny Kelly
Pretty handsome.
Craig Horlbeck
How wasn't he a part of an entire team that was the last one to do it. It couldn't be just him.
Danny Heifetz
Don't know.
Craig Horlbeck
Was he refusing?
Danny Kelly
Everybody else got grandfathered in.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah. Some guys would still have neck rolls. You know, even though it looked old.
Craig Horlbeck
It's like he just boycotted the helmet. Everybody else had one.
Danny Heifetz
This used to be a sport. Game's not the same as it was.
Craig Horlbeck
What? How old did Eggs Mansky make it?
Danny Kelly
I think he died at the age of 89.
Danny Heifetz
89.
Danny Kelly
He lived a solid 89 years before that helmet.
Danny Heifetz
He lived to 89 years old.
Danny Kelly
This old.
Craig Horlbeck
Has there ever been a better case for no helmets in the NFL than eggs Mansky dying at 89 years old?
Danny Kelly
Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
You know, I have seen radical arguments about like football and concussions. Like helmets are the problem. They would hit less hard and because hit their heads.
Craig Horlbeck
When you put a weapon on your head, essentially with a helmet, naturally our human instinct is to protect the head. So if you played without a helmet, theoretically, you would never lead with your head.
Danny Kelly
He was also In World War II, of course, which is. Which is a given.
Craig Horlbeck
He lived to 89. He died in LA in. In 2002.
Danny Heifetz
Eggs.
Craig Horlbeck
Eggs. Eggs. Wow. What a absolute legend. He was an old 1932 Olympian bronze medalist. Oh, wait, no. He's married to a 1932 bronze medalist.
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Danny Heifetz
More at applecard.com Speaking of which, wow. Pivoting here to college football. So Indiana is playing Miami on Monday. You know, we have a show between now and then. We don't get too in depth into the game, but I want to shout out Roger Sherman for a former ringer colleague who texted me, you'll never guess who. The first head coach of the University of Miami's football team. Was.
Danny Kelly
Who was it?
Craig Horlbeck
Milt Plum?
Danny Heifetz
Better guess.
Craig Horlbeck
Clois Box.
Danny Heifetz
Not as good.
Craig Horlbeck
Buzz Nutter. Chug Jug. Cub Cub Buck.
Danny Heifetz
Cub Buck was the first of the University of Miami Hurricane football tape. Buck was the first coach Miami's ever had.
Craig Horlbeck
There were.
Danny Kelly
Have we ever showed each other a picture of Cub Buck?
Craig Horlbeck
By the way he looks. There were only like 27 people back then, dude.
Danny Heifetz
I tell you, they didn't have enough people.
Danny Kelly
Cup.
Craig Horlbeck
Buck looks like a funny little guy.
Danny Heifetz
He looks like he didn't have a helmet playing football.
Danny Kelly
Yeah, man.
Danny Heifetz
We don't have to get too. Yeah, I know. We don't have to get too deep in any on Miami. I mean, Fernando Mendoza used to walk to the Miami campus. He was like less than a mile away growing up and he's like hundreds of family in the Miami area. So that'll be a big storyline and obviously just kind of. Kind of love when a team actually makes the home stadium. The fact that Miami's playing in Miami, it's unfair, but I kind of love it. The thing I want to ask you guys about briefly is Dante Moore went back the quarterback at Oregon. Went back to Oregon.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Which to me is basically spurning the jets to go back to Oregon. Dk, I'm curious what you think of this Dylan Raiola, who transferred Oregon off a broken leg. He's gonna sit behind Dante Moore for a year. As you know Dylan. You know, Dante Moore did behind Dylan Gabriel. I'm just curious. Just call spade a spade. The draft a lot less interesting now that it's like Fernando Mendoza and then.
Danny Kelly
It'S basically like one first round quarterback. Unless you count Ty Simpson, which some people may. Some people might not. Craig, A lot of people are giving him to the Steelers and mock drafts. It's going to be a very popular pairing. But yeah, I mean, it definitely makes things a little less interesting. This is going to be, I mean, right now, off the. Off the cuff, it's probably not. Not a great class. But you know, we'll get into it and everything.
Danny Heifetz
But we'll talk about it more next Wednesday. And just going forward on the. We're gonna cover the draft all season.
Craig Horlbeck
Like, I don't want Ty Simpson. I would like the record to show that I don't want Ty Simpson.
Danny Heifetz
But do you want to record a social clip in case he's great? We can post.
Danny Kelly
Ty Simpson just has it. He's got the it factor.
Danny Heifetz
I never doubted Ty Simpson.
Craig Horlbeck
I don't care that he's only played 15 games and he's 23.
Danny Kelly
Can't be any. He's. He's nothing like Kenny Pickett whatsoever.
Danny Heifetz
On that, on that note, I. We don't have to. We'll talk more draft on Wednesday. But I just. The question I keep wondering about this Dante Moore think dk. What does it say about the NFL draft, maybe this year's draft or the draft in general, that the narrative is basically, hey, Dante Moore Jr. If you come out, you will definitely be the second pick in the draft to the jets or at worst like the third pick to the Cardinals and.
Craig Horlbeck
You'Ll get 40 to $50 million guaranteed.
Danny Heifetz
And yet everyone who studies the draft and like, advises people the NFL draft, everyone's like, hey, Dante, you're not ready. You should go back to school because you're not even close to ready. And this guy who everyone's like, hey, you need more reps. Would 100% be the second pick in the draft?
Danny Kelly
Desperations is stinky cologne.
Danny Heifetz
I yeah.
Danny Kelly
I think it's. When you saying this, I'll. I think he made the right choice. I think if you look at the list of quarterbacks who have one year, he was like one year and change starter in terms of the number of games that he started is like basically one and a half years. And if you look at the guys throughout history have that few starts in college, it's a lot of misses in the NFL. I think he just looked at that and was like, I need more experience. We talk about this ad nauseum. It's just the rep. He needs the reps. He needs the experience before he gets the NFL. Especially to the freaking jets of all team. Of all teams. So I think he made the right choice for the long term. Obviously people could say like, he's going to make a lot more money if he comes out now. If you wait another year, then there's a lot more variables. You could get hurt. You could have a better quarterback class. There's a bunch of guys that people are excited about next year, which is what we say every year. But it is true with Arch Manning and Lenora Sellers, some other guys, it's going to be a deeper class potentially at quarterback. So that could like have him fall. But at the end of the day, if he wants to have a successful career in the NFL, the odds are he's going to be better off playing more in college and getting more starts and getting more experience. And so when he gets to the NFL, he can hit the ground running rather than try and learn all that shit on a terrible jets team.
Craig Horlbeck
You know what I mean, yeah, I think this is less like he didn't want to play for the jets and more. He just. He wanted more experience. Probably. I mean, spoiler alert, the jets are going to suck again next year and he'll probably. He could still be.
Danny Kelly
He could still go to the Jets. Yeah.
Craig Horlbeck
So it's like. But yeah, it's. To your point, though, it is funny that, like, the, the guaranteed second overall pick in the NFL draft is like, I'm not ready to go to the NFL. And yet the NFL is like, please, you'll be the second pick in the draft.
Danny Kelly
It's a very mature decision by him.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah, it's very mature. All that money. I was gonna say, yeah, he'll get whatever. How old is Phil Knight?
Craig Horlbeck
80S.
Danny Kelly
I mean, I'm. Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah, I think Phil Knight took care.
Craig Horlbeck
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Danny Heifetz
Okay. Ringer 107. Today's Ringer 107 is brought to you by FanDuel. I think I was convinced during the Bills Broncos thing to go Bills. And you know what? It's so funny. You can talk about whatever you want when the game comes on. You're like, I want the Josh Allen team. Like, it's so simple.
Danny Kelly
Right?
Craig Horlbeck
I agree. It's. It's so fun rooting for him. It's like having like rooting, like picking him in. Ringer 107 is like a 10% of what it feels like to have him in fantasy. It's. It's just nice to have him on your team.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah. Because there's like, it's, it's again, it's the bell curve meme where you're like, actually, you should bet on Josh Allen and then the wise get the end. It's like, you should probably take also.
Craig Horlbeck
Especially because the lines that we were sent. The Bills are underdogs by a point and a half. Like, I'm happy. I'm, I thrilled to get that.
Danny Heifetz
Let's just do it. I thought about doing the Broncos, and then if we lose, we get the Bills to go around. But now let's take the Bills.
Craig Horlbeck
Let's do Seattle -7.
Danny Heifetz
Seattle solid blind solidarity. I don't want any mixed emotions if the Seahawks win.
Danny Kelly
By the way, Darnold says he's gonna play.
Danny Heifetz
Okay.
Danny Kelly
He said he felt something, a little something in his oblique today during practice, but he's gonna play.
Danny Heifetz
Dk, do you want to take the Niners as a reverse jinx and or like an emotional hedge?
Craig Horlbeck
No, that'll be a wuss.
Danny Heifetz
Okay. But when the Seahawks lose to the Niners, are we going to be upset that we did?
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, we will be.
Danny Kelly
Yeah, I'm going to be upset. All right. I'm going to be upset.
Craig Horlbeck
If our good pals team loses, we'll be upset.
Danny Heifetz
But shouldn't we, like, maybe be like, hey, at least we would have another.
Danny Kelly
How many times do we have to say no?
Danny Heifetz
All right. There you go. Okay.
Danny Kelly
All right.
Craig Horlbeck
I want to skip Texans, Pats, Bears, Rams. I want to take the Bears. Getting three and a half. The three and a half is lovely.
Danny Heifetz
I don't want to root against the Bears. The Bears are too cool. Obviously. The Rams are an awesome team, but.
Craig Horlbeck
I love the Rams.
Danny Heifetz
Fun of a story. I don't want to be rooting against Chicago. Chicago is, like, clearly the best story this season. It's not even close to me.
Danny Kelly
I picked the Rams, but I'm okay with taking the Bears.
Danny Heifetz
The Rams are going to win the game. I just, I, I, I, maybe this.
Craig Horlbeck
Is stupid, but, like, I, I don't know. I, I do not feel confident. The ra. I don't feel confident either way, but I don't think it is a lock at all that the Rams are going.
Danny Kelly
To win this game.
Danny Heifetz
I, I just, I just. Look, I'd rather the Rams blow the Bears out and we feel stupid for taking the Bears then rooting against the Bears the entire time. And as they win again and they're like the coolest story and we're like, just rooting against them for bringing one to seven.
Danny Kelly
It's going to be 24 to seven at half and then we're going to be like, we're fucking idiots. And then things we got to double.
Danny Heifetz
Down if they're losing in the middle of the game, we have to double down and put more money on them in the middle.
Craig Horlbeck
Let me ask you a question. If you hurt your finger bad enough to where the next 12 throws you. You throw. You go 2 for 12 on. It still hurts. I bet right now, like, is that.
Danny Kelly
What happened in the game?
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Was the one immediately after?
Craig Horlbeck
Well, there are things you can do in the moment, perhaps, but I'm like, I don't know. A sprained index finger on his throwing hand probably still hurts. Even if it's fine. Sprains do not heal in six days. And I'm kind of just like. And the. The pointer finger of the quarterback's finger hurts.
Danny Heifetz
That.
Craig Horlbeck
That probably matters. Hurts. Even if it just hurts and it's cold.
Danny Kelly
Matters it's cold. So I think could be like 19 degrees to put his hand out. My fingers hurt.
Danny Heifetz
He's landscaping. I don't know.
Craig Horlbeck
I'm just thinking about that. Like, oh, the guy. The quarterback's pointer finger hurts. That probably matters.
Danny Heifetz
All right, Craig, what are you thinking for Texans Patriots?
Craig Horlbeck
I don't know. I was. I actually, my gut was Texans plus three. We talked about it a little bit, and now I think I could be swayed. I think the no Nico Collins thing matters. Variable, I trust. I don't know. I was originally Texans plus three. Now I think I'm open. Where are you guys?
Danny Kelly
I wrote down Patriots the first time, and I'm kind of almost the opposite of you, Craig, where I'm just, like, picturing the Texans defense just smothering everything the Patriots try to do with, like, we're, like, worried about Keisha Booty. We're, like, worried about how old is Stefan Diggs now?
Danny Heifetz
It's like the entire argument is just Drake May is totally legit. Mike Rabel and Josh McDaniels are incredible coaches because frankly, I don't see and. Or you don't believe in Stroud.
Danny Kelly
The only way I see them moving, the only way they see the Patriots moving the ball is they're going to throw a touchdown to their running back somehow. That's how they're going to score.
Danny Heifetz
The argument is the Texans were up seven to six versus the Steelers because Stroud turned over three times and it's Mike Vrabel versus C.J. stroud. That is the argument to be for New England. Let me see if we. Is there an alt line we can mess with if we did, like the Texans getting seven and a half and would you guys want the under.
Craig Horlbeck
I don't like Doing that.
Danny Heifetz
We haven't done that all year.
Danny Kelly
I originally wrote down the Patriots, so I'll stick with that. What do you think? Craig, where are you at? You're with. You're on Patriots. I got every one of my picks right last week, guys. It just straight up.
Craig Horlbeck
Hiz, where are you at?
Danny Heifetz
I'm desperately trying to find an al. The alternate total page on fanduel to.
Craig Horlbeck
We've been straight shooting it all season.
Danny Heifetz
I know you don't want to do it now.
Craig Horlbeck
No.
Danny Kelly
All right. We went three and two flipping it last week. Wait, let's.
Craig Horlbeck
Where is your lean, Heitz? In your gut. Your life is on the line. What are you doing?
Danny Heifetz
I like that. Framing. Life is on the line because what matters and you come back to what matters and it's. It's.
Craig Horlbeck
You're probably taking the Patriots if you're.
Danny Heifetz
Like top tier is coaching quarterbacks and defenses. And I. You know what Stroud. I have my issues with. But the truth is Drake May also has Carson Wentz moments in him and he had the first half versus the Chargers. There was a lot of fumbling.
Craig Horlbeck
This is the hardest one for sure.
Danny Heifetz
My brain says Houston.
Craig Horlbeck
Okay.
Danny Heifetz
My gut says Patriots. And I think we go with the gut. Now. Do we want to be rooting for the Patriots, though? Do we want to be staring at our televisions being like, go, Drake May defeat the Texas defense. Well, we want to be.
Craig Horlbeck
Well, yes. Because then if they lose and we lose and Drake May sucks, then we can say he doesn't deserve the mvp.
Danny Heifetz
No. Yeah. Unless they win by one and we. And they win.
Craig Horlbeck
That would suck.
Danny Kelly
That.
Danny Heifetz
That was. That's what's going to happen.
Craig Horlbeck
Like a game winning drive by Drake made a win by two. That would suck.
Danny Heifetz
That would suck. Okay, screw it.
Danny Kelly
All right.
Danny Heifetz
Today's Ringer 107 was brought to you by FanDuel. Odd subject to change.
Craig Horlbeck
Can you guys start calling me Eggs?
Danny Heifetz
Eggs Roll back.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah. Craig's sounds like a breakfast. Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Wow.
Craig Horlbeck
That is correct. My friends jokingly call me eggs sometimes. I should admit.
Danny Heifetz
Egg.
Danny Kelly
Why didn't you bring this up before? What the hell, Craig?
Craig Horlbeck
Eggs Horrible backstory.
Danny Kelly
We had that whole eggs thing and you didn't bring up that.
Craig Horlbeck
Eggs Horrible sounds like. Like a version of eggs Benedict. Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Eggs Horlbeck.
Craig Horlbeck
I'll get the eggs.
Danny Kelly
Eggs Horlbeck Instead of hollandaise, it's what? Salsa? I don't know. I'm just.
Craig Horlbeck
Situation.
Danny Heifetz
Speaking of which, though, we have to talk about. So we were talking about Taco Bell sins as a business Idea that legally you were not allowed to take from us. You are not allowed to take our idea of Zins, but for like Netflix.
Craig Horlbeck
Will sue you if you take the idea you're bringing in the big lawyer. The idea was that like Zins, we invent a Zinn, but for tasty food. So when you're craving fast food, you just pop a Zen and it tastes like Taco Bell.
Danny Heifetz
It's like you put in McDonald's fries, Zinn and you eat broccoli, but you guys get the pouch in.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Can't take that idea. So, Jared E. Milden J. Bone that we got Wonka'd.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Willie Wonka, he said so. This is from the Charlie and the chocolate factory film.fandom.com wiki which is what the Internet's great. In Willie, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, Willy Wonka had a three course dinner chewing gum. That was a piece of gum Willy Wonka invented that feeds a person like they're really eating dinner.
Danny Kelly
Oh yeah, I remember that.
Danny Heifetz
Tomato soup as an appetizer. Roast beef for dinner, baked side and then a blueberry pie and ice cream for dessert.
Craig Horlbeck
And violet beef. Violet turned into a blueberry. A giant blueberry.
Danny Heifetz
She turned into it. Yeah, unfortunately.
Craig Horlbeck
Well, so that's a faulty product. Ours would never do that.
Danny Heifetz
No, no. But yeah, Get Wonka by. By. By our product.
Craig Horlbeck
But ours is not gum.
Danny Heifetz
No, ours is.
Danny Kelly
It put it in your lip.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, exactly. Ours gets into your bloodstream via little shards of glass.
Danny Kelly
Our lawyers very clearly. Ours is not gum.
Danny Heifetz
It's a gordita zin.
Danny Kelly
How dare you suggest that like gum.
Craig Horlbeck
I'm looking this up here. This says the concept inspired real life food scientists to explain explore multi flavor sequential release gums using technology. Yeah, see, it can't be gum.
Danny Heifetz
No, it's not gum.
Craig Horlbeck
Gum not gonna work.
Danny Kelly
You're not chewing on that.
Danny Heifetz
No.
Craig Horlbeck
You don't want to chew on it.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah, I don't.
Craig Horlbeck
You guys like gum? You gum people?
Danny Heifetz
I love gum guy.
Craig Horlbeck
You love gum. Dk.
Danny Kelly
I'm huge on gum.
Craig Horlbeck
Really?
Danny Kelly
Yeah.
Craig Horlbeck
You chew gum daily?
Danny Kelly
No, but I like gum.
Craig Horlbeck
What's your favorite gum brand? I don't care, just say it. Free ads.
Danny Kelly
Orbit.
Craig Horlbeck
Orbit. Do you find that what is the most important? Is it long lasting flavor or is it the integrity type of gum?
Danny Kelly
It's the integrity of the gum if it starts to crumble. That's disgusting. I actually have like, I have dreams where I'm like my. That like the gum is starting to like turn into like paste.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah.
Danny Kelly
For some Reason I have that dream. I don't know what the tone would be.
Craig Horlbeck
Have you guys seen those videos on like Tick Tock and Instagram of people who basically make natural at home gum? And I've always wanted to try one of those, but I'm not going to spend like $35 on a stick of gum.
Danny Kelly
But also super $35 on a sticker.
Craig Horlbeck
It's not. It's like more expensive, obviously, because it's like all natural ingredients, handmade, whatever. But I've always been curious about that and it's like good for your teeth and good for your gut, blah, blah, blah. But yeah, I'm not a gum guy.
Danny Kelly
Yeah.
Danny Heifetz
Email us@ringerfantasyfootballgmail.com about gum.
Danny Kelly
If I go out without gum, it's like going out naked.
Craig Horlbeck
Really?
Danny Kelly
Yeah. I hate.
Craig Horlbeck
To me like, I don't.
Danny Kelly
I hate the idea of having like beer breath.
Danny Heifetz
Well, I. You. You were the one who told me. I remember. I.
Danny Kelly
Breath is the worst.
Danny Heifetz
Well, I remember you were the one, like if someone offers you gum, never turn it down. But maybe that's just because you love gum.
Danny Kelly
No, it's probably because you have bad breath. Yeah. Yeah. Unless they're just being polite and they want to offer when they pull out a stick of gun gum, I'd much.
Craig Horlbeck
Rather have a mint. I feel like two minutes into chewing gum. I'm sick of it.
Danny Heifetz
I 100, Craig. That's exactly where I'm at because I'm not a gum guy. So DK gives me gum whenever on our work trips. And I genuinely don't know if it's cuz my breath sucks or he has nice. Like he's being a nice guy. So I put in the gum like five minutes later. I'm like, what the do I do with this gum? I got to reach it in my mouth and put it in a piece of paper in front of all these people. I'm like, I don't want to deal with this thing. What do I do with it? What's the socially acceptable thing?
Danny Kelly
I want a mint.
Craig Horlbeck
Give me a mint.
Danny Kelly
I think a mint is fine, Craig, but what is. There's no good mint carrying systems. Like, are you gonna put a tin of Altoids in your pocket and carry it around? What the are we doing here?
Craig Horlbeck
Well, the real move is a Listerine strip. Those are small.
Danny Kelly
See that? Fine with me. I'm okay with that. But those little intense though.
Craig Horlbeck
But though, yeah, those are so potent that like you cannot eat anything within an hour of having that because It'll just taste like.
Danny Kelly
Feels like it's burning your mouth.
Danny Heifetz
Is that the one where it's like molly, you put it right on your tongue?
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, it's like a tab of acid. Yeah, he.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah, it's like acid. Yeah. Leave it there.
Danny Kelly
If you can. If you can come up with a good like Altoid delivery system, I'd be fine with that.
Craig Horlbeck
But I mean don't want to.
Danny Kelly
I don't want to pack it a loose.
Danny Heifetz
Is this another tax in my.
Craig Horlbeck
You just want a small container to hold mints? Yeah, I feel like that's doable.
Danny Heifetz
Could we make silent mints? If they didn't rattle, I would carry them. He's right. If you didn't sound like an idiot walking around with them, I'd have them.
Craig Horlbeck
I have like you can you have.
Danny Kelly
Like a little pouch, like a little purse of. Of mints and you carry it around. But then if you take it out of that. People think you're taking drugs.
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah, I was going to say if you have like one of those little cocaine bags with like three white pills.
Danny Kelly
In there, you're like hanging it. You know, like people think you're doing drugs.
Danny Heifetz
This is my problem with lactaid. So lactate Jackie. Cuz I am lactose intolerant and so Jackie got me this funny little lactates in a bottle and it's like a milk. A little dare. It's like a keychain and it's this little like dairy container, like a milk carton on my keychain and I could put lactates in it. She's like here, now you don't have to look like an idiot ripping open all these papers at the table and you can just open it.
Danny Kelly
But the problem is eating dinner with high fits. There's just like dozens of just wrappers at our table.
Craig Horlbeck
Sometimes if he's in a real like if he's already eaten a slice of cheese pizza and he needs a lactate, sometimes he'll crush it up into a powder and snort it.
Danny Heifetz
Yes, yes. With his credit card.
Craig Horlbeck
Get into the bloodstream quicker.
Danny Kelly
He carries a like a little mirror around down so he can snort the lactate.
Danny Heifetz
Well, on that note. All right, thank you dk. Thank you Craig. Thank you Cam. Thank you Carlos. Thank you Kai. Thank you Austin. Thank you everyone for listening. Email us at ringer fantasy football gmail.com about gum. I guess I should be more specific, but I don't really have anything. Tell us if you can fix gum. If anyone can help us make a.
Danny Kelly
Good mint delivery system.
Danny Heifetz
We should make silent. Like make the. The mint.
Danny Kelly
A PEZ dispenser.
Craig Horlbeck
I was thinking about that PEZ back. Those are kind of big. You know what? A PEZ dispenser.
Danny Kelly
Kind of clunky.
Danny Heifetz
Imagine pulling one out of your pocket.
Danny Kelly
Also then you look like a nine year old.
Danny Heifetz
Yeah.
Danny Kelly
Eat pez. Although that might be cool. I don't know.
Danny Heifetz
Maybe be pretty cool. Thank you, Lord.
Craig Horlbeck
Lauren.
Danny Kelly
Thank you, Jackson Brown.
Craig Horlbeck
Jackson Brown. Running on empty. Banger.
Danny Kelly
Rosie. Banger. Have you heard that one, Craig? It's about masturbating. Go check.
Craig Horlbeck
No, I haven't. You perverted. But you'll have to tell me about it, I guess.
Danny Kelly
So, Rosie, hold on. I gotta pull up the lyrics because it's actually hilarious. He's talking about how he's like third or fourth in the band in terms of sexiness and all his bandmates always take home the girl. And so he gets to go hang out with Rosie, who is his Rosie Palms. Oh, wow. But Rosie, you're all right. You wear my ring when you hold me tight Rosie, that's my thing. When you turn out the light I gotta hand it to me. Looks like it's me and you again tonight, Rosie. Wow, fucking great song.
Craig Horlbeck
I love that. He was like, you know what? Fuck it. I'm gonna write a song about this.
Danny Kelly
I'm fucking jacking off. Every night we're gonna sing this song.
Craig Horlbeck
You know what's funny? There's another song with Rosie in it by Neil Diamond Cracklin. Rosie. And that song is about how much he loves wine.
Danny Kelly
Really?
Craig Horlbeck
Yeah.
Danny Kelly
All right, Rosie. Yo, right?
Danny Heifetz
Yeah. Sing it.
Danny Kelly
Sing it in my ring. I'm getting up. I'm fucking up the melody here, but it's. It's great.
Danny Heifetz
Well, thank you, Rosie.
Craig Horlbeck
Palm and thank you, Rose Wine. Sometimes the two. The two of those go hand in hand.
Danny Kelly
Just drinking rose sobbing. Are those happy tissues or sad tissues?
Danny Heifetz
All right, goodbye, everyone. Must be 21 plus in present in select states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or 18 plus in present in DC, Kentucky or Wyoming. Gambling problem. Call 1-800- GAMBLER or visit rg-help.com, call 1-888-678-9-7777 or visit ccpg.org chat in Connecticut or visit mdgamblinghelp.org in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit gamblinghelplinema.org or call 800-327-5050 for 24. 7 support in Massachusetts or call 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY in New York.
Date: January 16, 2026
Hosts: Danny Heifetz, Danny Kelly, Craig Horlbeck
The crew kicks off the full divisional round preview with huge coaching news—John Harbaugh is the new head coach of the New York Giants. They dive deep into the Giants’ hire, the implications for other coaching vacancies, and preview all the divisional round playoff matchups. Along the way, the guys riff on football history, odd stats, personal rooting interests (and superstitions), and the legendary Eggs Mansky. Stay for tangents on gum, mints, and fantasy football heartbreaks.
[02:09–15:37]
Danny Heifetz’s Emotional Rollercoaster:
Heifetz is flat-out thrilled with Harbaugh's hire, recounting how numb he’d become to a decade of Giants futility.
“Nine of the last ten Thanksgivings, the Giants had already been mathematically eliminated from the playoffs.” – Danny Heifetz [03:43]
Giants Finally Land a Respected Coach:
For the first time since Tom Coughlin, the Giants have a head coach whose “pedigree” means the franchise isn’t a punchline.
“This is the first time the Giants have had a coach that people respect since Tom Coughlin.” – Craig Horlbeck [06:10]
Roster Talent and Outlook:
The crew breaks down New York’s young nucleus: QB Jackson Dart, WR Malik Nabers, RB Camp Skattebo, a strong D-line, and now a top-10 coach.
“You have all the foundational pieces to really do something.” – Craig Horlbeck [07:06]
Risks and Concerns:
Harbaugh is 63; will he be the right coach for the whole Jackson Dart era? Is passing on a young offensive mind a missed opportunity?
“If there’s a risk…it’s that maybe the Giants should have gone with a younger offensive guy to develop Jackson Dart.” – Danny Heifetz [10:19]
[13:51–17:58]
Todd Monken Likely OC: Monken seems all but locked in as Giants OC unless he lands the Browns head job.
“If Todd Monken doesn't get the Browns job, I think it's very clear Todd Monken will be the Giants offensive coordinator. I love that.” – Danny Heifetz [14:37]
Other Vacancies: Steelers, Falcons, Titans coaching searches and rumors swirl. Super Bowl-winning coaches may shuffle.
Matt LaFleur Drama: Packers’ slow contract talks with LaFleur could cause a shock opening; everyone agrees firing him would be “ludicrous.”
“If Matt LaFleur is a free agent, I would like the Steelers to hire him immediately.” – Craig Horlbeck [17:58]
[18:34–30:31]
Seattle’s Emotional State:
Seahawks fans are equally terrified and hopeful. Having a playoff bye is “the best feeling in the world” (Kelly).
“My God, when your team is not playing in the playoffs… best feeling in the world.” – Danny Kelly [18:50]
49ers Injuries:
San Francisco is depleted (Trent Williams in, Kittle & Warner out), and their LB corps is “signing guys off the couch.”
QB Anxiety:
Sam Darnold is reportedly playing, but the “two wolves inside Darnold” could cost Seattle. Darnold’s “20 turnovers” led the NFL—even as a #1 seed QB (per ESPN).
Seahawks Should Win… Probably:
On paper, Seahawks are better, but playoff chaos looms.
“If Darnold's going to blow it is one… and I'm really confident they're going to kick the 49ers’ ass is ten… I'm probably at a seven.” – Danny Kelly [25:19]
[31:14–36:01]
Cold Weather, Turf Monsters & Comebacks:
The Bears’ homefield (known as “The Turf Monster”) and wild fourth-quarter magic have the guys leaning destiny over logic.
“I’m just taking the Bears territory because, like, this team is magical.” – Craig Horlbeck [35:27]
Injuries and Matchups:
Chicago’s backup LT is a worry. Rams get key players healthy.
Special Teams X-Factor:
LA’s special teams—especially Kicker “Thicker Kicker”—could be a weak link in Chicago’s wind and cold.
The God Factor:
If the Bears win under these fairy-tale circumstances, does it mean “God is real”? The guys debate Bears Super Bowl narratives and whether it would top MJ’s Bulls dynasty for city lore.
“If the Bears win this game, do you think that means God is real?” – Danny Heifetz [36:15]
[43:07–48:48]
Recent Playoff History:
Bills destroyed Denver last year with dominant O-line play. Broncos desperately want revenge; playoff rematches up the stakes.
Josh Allen vs. Broncos Defense:
Denver’s pass rush vs. Allen’s escapability will define this game.
“Josh Allen is the hardest person to convert a pressure into a sack.” – Danny Heifetz [45:19]
Can Bo Nix Step Up?
Winning against Allen would be a narrative-changer for the young Denver QB, with his postseason rep in the balance.
[50:49–58:40]
Texans’ Defensive Dominance:
Houston’s D “lines up and says, beat us.” They don’t disguise coverages because “everyone on defense is better than everyone on offense.” [54:21]
Stroud and Darnold: New-Age "Game Managers"?
C.J. Stroud has wild swings between brilliance and disaster; Danny Heifetz dubs him “the Darnold of the AFC.”
“Stroud absolutely has been the reason you’ve won games… [and] the reason you lose games.” – Danny Heifetz [56:17]
Key Absences:
Texans might miss WR Nico Collins; Patriots’ top CB Christian Gonzalez is questionable. Host consensus: it gives edge to the defense.
Patriots’ Offense Still a Mystery:
Even after 19 weeks, the show can’t figure out “who are the Patriots.”
“There are still questions about who are the Patriots.” – Craig Horlbeck [53:19]
[58:09–61:19]
The hosts delight in discovering “Eggs” Mansky, the last college football player to play without a helmet (and the nickname comes exactly as you’d imagine…egg-based diet).
“Eggs Mansky was the last college football player to play without a helmet.” – Danny Kelly [60:09]
They riff on football names of yore: “Solly Sherman,” “Cub Buck,” et al.
[77:38–80:59]
[69:10–74:59]
The trio maintain their trademark blend of honest fan anxiety, insightful breakdowns, and irreverent humor. Deep dives into X’s and O’s and player stats give way to debates over playoff karma, the existential dread of rooting for your team, and unexpected detours into football history and oral hygiene.
For further info or to chime in with your all-time favorite weird football names or gum recommendations, email the show at ringerfantasyfootball@gmail.com.