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All right, guys. Happy New Year, everybody. Yes, it is that time of the year. The calendar flips, the diets begin, the experts make their guesses, and then, of course, most of them will pretend they were right no matter what happens. Well, I'm not going to do that. I am recording this at the end of December of 2025 before any of these things actually happen. And in this video that we are putting out on January 3, 2026, I will lay out all of my 2026 predictions. What's coming in. Politics, economy, culture, celebrity, and the media narratives that they'll be pushing, whether they're true or not. Some of this stuff, I suppose, will sound obvious, some of it will make you uncomfortable. And a few of these predictions are probably going to age pretty well. I've got a decent track record. But here's the key part. We're going to revisit this at the end of 2026 and see how I did. No moving goalposts, no rewriting history. We're gonna put it all on the record. Oh, and for the record, my team put all these questions in, so I have no idea what I'm about to make predictions on other than the broad topics that I just mentioned. So without further ado, here are my predictions for 2026. Here we go. Will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential campaign? Ugh, that's how we're starting this thing. Will he do it in 2026? That seems very early to me. And with the midterms a common he won't do it before then. And then that really only leaves the rest of November and December. I'm going to say no. Gavin Newsom will not announce a presidential run in 2026. Who will win the NBA Finals? Oklahoma City Thunder, Denver Nuggets, New York Knicks, Houston Rockets, Los Angeles Lakers, or San Antonio Spurs? In that I have not watched a minute of the NBA this year. And I suppose you could have picked any of the teams in that entire thing. I'm going to pick, you know, and the Heat were not on that list. Even I was going to try to pull for my own Miami Heat. I'm going to say the San Antonio spurs because they've got the tall guy Wembawako, who doesn't have to dribble and can dunk from the three point line. Will Russia, Ukraine, War end? Okay, I will predict this. It's something that I said towards the LATTER Half of 25, which is that Trump is gonna need major wins before the midterms. I think there's gonna be A bunch of economic wins. But I think doing something on the Russia, Ukraine thing before the midterms will bode really, really well. I'm thinking like summer of 26, June, July of 26. That's what I would look at. I think. Yes, it will mostly be wrapped up. Maybe not like the perfect peace. You know, it may end up sort of like an Israel Hamas thing. It's not peace, but at least the temporary stoppage of the killing. Yes, I will say that. Will Barack Obama divorce Michael? Well, there is. There are several rumors there that Michelle is actually Michael, that Barack Obama's been dating Jennifer Aniston. No, I think the Obama thing has to continue and they have to keep going with that. So, no, the Obamas will remain married because otherwise you'd have to split up all that neck Netflix money and nobody wants to lose their half of that. Who will win the Super Bowl? The Los Angeles Rams? The Buffalo Bills? The Seattle Seahawks? The Denver Broncos or the Philadelphia Eagles? Again, I'm just getting no love for Florida here. Sorry, Dolphins. I'm going to say the Seattle Seahawks haven't watched the game all year. You know, is. Yeah, okay. Will the Fed cut rates in 2020? Yes, I think the Fed will cut rates in 2026. Again. I think the economy is going to start turning. I think Trump realizes the severity of the hour, that if he doesn't do major, major stuff before the midterms, that the bloodbath will be a coming. So, yes, I do think that the Fed will somehow get involved in this. And if the rates come down and people start seeing they can buy houses again and it just loosens up that liquidity in the economy, that will be real good. Will Tesla's Optimus robot be available for purchase? I think Elon said. Well, didn't he originally say end to 25? If I'm not mistaken, now they're probably looking to end 26. Yeah, I'm going to say yes. I feel like he's got something big coming this year. It's probably not going to be the colony on Mars just yet. You know, people, we've had a sort of joke in the house about, like, whether we're going to get the Optimus robot or not. And it's like, in some sense, you can't fight city hall. These things are always coming. Now, do we want more devices that are listening to everybody and spying on you? And is the robot just going to attack me in the middle of the night, like, all of those things? But to me, when that I think I'm gonna get it when that thing comes out, and it's gonna sit right there, and it's gonna be staring at you guys throughout the show. Will Trump fire anyone in his cabinet? That's a good one. So will anyone get fired this year? Well, look, what do we know? We know that Bongino just left. He hasn't fired anyone yet. Right. It feels like for a little bit of drama, that sort of thing. All right, all right. I'm gonna say Trump will fire somebody. I don't know who it's gonna be, but it will be somebody. Will Elon come on the Rubin Report? You know, for two years, you know, I've met with him several times, and for two years, me and him have been going back and forth on when we could do it, and we wanted to do it on location at the Tesla factory and some other things. Then we were gonna try to pull it off here in Miami, and then there were a lot of other things that went on. We were gonna do it right when I came back on the grid, and then Charlie was killed. Yes. Elon 2026, Rubin Ford. It will finally happen. Will the Tesla Roadster. Well, this is very Elon related. Will the Tesla Roadster come out in 26? I don't know what the roadmap is on that thing. I know there's a new Model X right now. Yeah, let's. I'm bullish on Elon. The Roadster will come out. Will 2026 be the year of the midget? Who put that one in? Will midgets make a major comeback this year? I feel like. I feel like it could. Yeah, Yeah. I feel like midgets are going to be hot this year. You know what I mean? Even though we're. That was a huge thing in the 80s. We were all about midgets. And now I know the 90s is kind of coming back, but I feel like the midget might be able to jump decades right there. Will Bitcoin hit 150? You know, Bitcoin, as the year went by in 2025, it massively spiked, then went down a little bit. I think it's going to be a very good year for bitcoin. I think there's going to be a continued decentralization of the Internet. One of the things I'm very excited about this year is R. Rumble has Rumble Wallet now. So you'll be able to pay creators using various cryptocurrencies and exchange them all within the wallet, which is super cool. Obviously, we're not gonna be the Only company to do that, but that should be pretty awesome. So I'm bullish on the bitcoin. Will Dave Rubin hit 4 million subscribers? If I'm not mistaken, we're around 3.2. Our goal was we wanted to hit 3 mil on YouTube by the time I went off the grid. So end of July of last year, which we hit that 4 million. So another 800,000 this year. Yeah. Yeah. This is the year of sanity. This is the year of normal people. And, you know, that's. That's where I shine, thanks to these lunatics. Will Jasmine Crockett win her Senate race? Oh, God. Well, Jasmine Crockett win her Senate race. I can't see Texas doing it. I'm probably gonna be wrong about this one. Right? Like, that's just. They got Mondami in New York, but, like, will. Will they do it in Texas? I hope not. You know, she's a Houston area person. It's a. It's a very specific thing. Her attitude, the. The dumb commentary, like, no, I don't think so. Will Dave get sick again at arc 20, 26? That's a very specific question. I was extremely ill during all of ARC last time. I get sick maybe once a year. 25. A little under the weather, but there's been some major, like, flu like, thing going out all over Florida, and it's been all over the country. But. But Florida, we don't get sick this time of year. This is when the weather is the best. Had that at the end of the year. Will I get. No, I will be completely fine. ARC is in June this time. Ark, actually, if I'm not mistaken, it's like the 22nd to 25th of June, something like that. And my big 50th birthday is June 26th. 5o people. Will Cory Booker come out of the closet? Well, Mr. Booker just got married to a woman, which to me is like the biggest sign that he's gay. So who knows? Will Trump's tariffs be shut down by the Supreme Court? That's an interesting one. I don't think so, but it seems like some of it will get fought in the Supreme Court. But I. But I don't think so. I think they would ultimately, especially the more conservative members of the Supreme Court would view that as. That. That would be a pretty big bridge to have to say that the judiciary branch is allowed to stop the economic branch as it comes to. As it comes to trade deals and economic policy. So I don't think so. Will White Lotus Season 4 come out? I hope so. Are they definitely doing a White Lotus Season 4? I hope it does. It's a great show. I don't watch too many shows. I really like season three. I know a lot of people thought it wasn't as great. I really enjoy it. It's beautifully shot. If you haven't watched it, the music's great, the acting's great. It's funny and dark and twisted and weird and all that stuff. Will Zorhan and Trump have a public clash similar to Zelensky's meeting this year? You know, that's interesting because Trump definitely did a keep your friends close and your enemies closer with him at the White House. And that whole moment with Trump sitting at the Oval Office at the desk and Sorhan standing there, there's gonna be something. There's gonna be something. I mean, what would be the obvious one is that it's gonn because if ICE continues the raids, which they damn well better, they're gonna be up against it in New York where they're gonna actively. It's not just that they're not gonna work with ice, but he's making it clear the city is going to use its resources against ICE and gin up the people against ice. So, yeah, a clash is a comin there. Will the USA sweep the Winter Olympics in February? Where are the Olympics this year? They're in. Where are they? Anyone know? Anyone know? Olympics. Where are the Olympics this year? In February, I'm told the Olympics are coming. They're gonna be in Cortina. Milano. Cortina. Will the US Sweep them? No, we're not gonna sweep them. You know, we're a world superpower. We do rake in most of the medals, but a clean sweep? It's impossible. It's impossible. Oh, and I see this is the final question and perhaps the most interesting of all. Will anyone be fired at the Rubin report in 2020? Thank you for watching, everybody. We'll recap this at the end of the year.
Date: January 3, 2026
Host: Dave Rubin
In this New Year’s episode, Dave Rubin delivers his notorious annual predictions—this time for 2026—covering politics, economics, sports, tech, and pop culture. Framing the show with transparency and a sense of humor, Dave promises to revisit these predictions at the end of 2026 to see how they held up, emphasizing, “No moving goalposts, no rewriting history.” His team has provided the prediction topics, keeping things spontaneous and unrehearsed.
Gavin Newsom’s 2026 Presidential Announcement (01:25)
“That seems very early to me … I’m going to say no. Gavin Newsom will not announce a presidential run in 2026.”
Russia-Ukraine War Resolution (03:00)
“Yes, it will mostly be wrapped up. Maybe not the perfect peace ... but at least the temporary stoppage of the killing.”
Barack and Michelle Obama Divorce Rumors (04:05)
“No, the Obamas will remain married because otherwise you’d have to split up all that Netflix money and nobody wants to lose their half of that.”
Trump Cabinet Firings (09:25)
“I’m gonna say Trump will fire somebody. I don’t know who it’s gonna be, but it will be somebody.”
Jasmine Crockett’s Senate Race (Texas) (15:55)
“I can’t see Texas doing it … no, I don’t think so.”
Cory Booker Coming Out (18:05)
“Mr. Booker just got married to a woman, which to me is like the biggest sign that he’s gay. So who knows?”
Trump’s Tariffs and the Supreme Court (18:35)
“That would be a pretty big bridge … don’t think so.”
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts (08:15)
“I think the Fed will cut rates in 2026. … rates come down … that will be real good.”
Bitcoin’s Price (14:31)
“It’s going to be a very good year for Bitcoin. … I’m bullish on the bitcoin.”
Tesla Optimus Robot Availability (09:00)
“I’m gonna get it when that thing comes out, and it’s gonna sit right there, and it’s gonna be staring at you guys throughout the show.”
Tesla Roadster Release (12:23)
“I’m bullish on Elon. The Roadster will come out.”
Rumble Wallet and Decentralized Payments (14:55)
NBA Finals Winner (02:05)
“I’m gonna say the San Antonio Spurs, because they’ve got the tall guy Wembawako who doesn’t have to dribble and can dunk from the three point line.”
Super Bowl Winner (05:08)
“I’m going to say the Seattle Seahawks, haven’t watched the game all year.”
Winter Olympics U.S. Sweep (21:25)
“No, we’re not gonna sweep them. … It’s impossible.”
Return of the “Midget” in Pop Culture (13:14)
“I feel like midgets are going to be hot this year. … That was a huge thing in the 80s.”
White Lotus Season 4 (19:47)
“It’s a great show. … The music’s great, the acting’s great. It’s funny and dark and twisted and weird.”
Dave Rubin 4 Million Subscribers (15:17)
“Yeah. This is the year of sanity. This is the year of normal people. And, you know, that’s. That’s where I shine, thanks to these lunatics.”
Dave’s Health at ARC 2026 (17:08)
“No, I will be completely fine. ARC is in June this time ... my big 50th birthday is June 26th. 50 people.”
Elon Musk Appearing on The Rubin Report (11:09)
“Yes. Elon 2026, Rubin Ford. It will finally happen.”
Mocking Prediction Segments
Dave openly mocks strange or tongue-in-cheek questions, such as the “Will 2026 be the Year of the Midget?” exchange, poking fun at his own producers as well as cultural trends.
Memorable Quotes
| Segment | Timestamp | |----------------------------------------------------|------------| | Introduction & Approach | 00:00–01:25| | Gavin Newsom Presidential Bid | 01:25 | | NBA Finals Winner | 02:05 | | Russia-Ukraine War Ending | 03:00 | | Obama Divorce Rumors | 04:05 | | Super Bowl Winner | 05:08 | | Fed Rate Cuts | 08:15 | | Tesla Optimus Robot | 09:00 | | Trump Cabinet Firings | 09:25 | | Elon Musk on Rubin Report | 11:09 | | Tesla Roadster Release | 12:23 | | Year of the “Midget” | 13:14 | | Bitcoin Prediction + Rumble Wallet | 14:31–14:55| | Rubin Hits 4M Subscribers | 15:17 | | Jasmine Crockett Senate Race | 15:55 | | Dave’s Health at ARC 2026 | 17:08 | | Cory Booker | 18:05 | | Trump’s Tariffs & Supreme Court | 18:35 | | White Lotus Season 4 | 19:47 | | Trump–Sorkhan Clash | 20:25 | | Olympics 2026 | 21:25 |
Language & Tone:
Dave is candid, irreverent, and conversational throughout, often injecting humor, asides about popular rumors and cultural trends, and a self-aware critique of prognostication itself. He’s lighthearted with the more outlandish questions, while demonstrating earnestness on topics like free speech, decentralization, and major world events.
Closing Remark:
Dave closes by reaffirming his promise to revisit all predictions at the end of the year, keeping himself and the show accountable to listeners—“Thank you for watching, everybody. We’ll recap this at the end of the year.”
This summary provides listeners and non-listeners alike with a comprehensive look at Dave Rubin’s tone, predictions, and the banter that makes The Rubin Report both a news analysis and entertainment staple.