The Rundown – October 24, 2025
Episode Theme:
This episode of The Rundown, hosted by Zaid Admani, delivers a concise market update with a focus on Intel’s return to profitability post-government investment, Oracle’s ambitious $38B data center debt plan, major earnings highlights, and a fun glimpse at Nike’s forthcoming motorized sneakers. The tone is energetic, conversational, and investor-friendly.
Market Rally & Inflation Report
Timestamps: 00:36 – 02:30
- Stock Market Surge:
- S&P 500 up 0.6%, Nasdaq nearly 1% on Thursday, driven by tech stocks (Nvidia, Oracle, Amazon, Tesla).
- “Tech stocks drove this rally once again.” – Zaid Admani [00:44]
- Inflation Update:
- September CPI increased 3% YoY, slightly below the 3.1% estimate.
- “Inflation is creeping up, but it's not out of control, which I think likely means the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at their meeting next week.” – Zaid Admani [01:38]
- 99% chance of a Fed rate cut per CME Fed Watch tool.
- Looking Ahead:
- Major tech earnings due next week: Microsoft, Meta, Google, Amazon, Apple.
- Fed interest rate meeting and high-profile Xi-Trump meeting also upcoming.
- “We are in for a huge week.” [02:22]
Intel: Back to Profitability & Strategic Rebound
Timestamps: 02:30 – 05:15
- First Profitable Quarter Since 2023:
- Net income: $4.1B; Q3 revenue: $13.7B (estimates were $13.2B); return to profit “since the end of 2023.”
- US Government’s Stake:
- US is now Intel’s largest shareholder (10%).
- Nvidia and SoftBank also injected capital.
- Driving Factors:
- Rebound in PC demand: “Demand for their chips is now outpacing supply, which is a good problem to have if you’re Intel.” [03:24]
- Aggressive cost-cutting and layoffs post-2024 loss.
- CEO Leadership:
- CEO Lip Bhutan credited with transformative moves and restoring investor confidence.
- Stock up over 90% YTD, outperforming Nvidia and AMD.
- National Security Angle:
- US wants Intel as an alternative to TSMC (all advanced AI chips currently made in Taiwan).
- “Intel’s survival has become a matter of national security at this point.” [04:08]
- Challenges Ahead:
- Intel’s foundry business still lags TSMC in advanced AI chip manufacturing; big investments may help close the gap.
- Market Reaction:
- Shares up ~5% on earnings, hitting 52-week highs.
Oracle’s $38B AI Data Center Debt Deal
Timestamps: 05:15 – 07:10
- Record Debt Raise:
- In talks with banks to raise $38B for new AI data centers (largest ever for this sector).
- $23B for Texas facility, $15B for Wisconsin; both operated by Vantage Data Centers, for Oracle’s OpenAI partnership.
- Uncertainty Over Debt Ownership:
- “It’s still not clear who will actually hold the debt on their books… we’ll have to see when more details come out.” [06:07]
- Industry Trend and Warning:
- Until now, AI infrastructure expansions funded from tech giants’ cash flow (Meta, Microsoft, Google).
- Oracle borrowing for AI marks a risky pivot if demand fails:
“That raises the stakes because if the AI boom doesn’t pan out, if the demand never materializes for all these AI data centers, that’s going to hurt a lot more financially.” [06:30]
“That’s usually how the bubble ends up bursting.” [06:51]
- Zaid warns that growing reliance on debt for AI could create systemic risks if expectations fall short.
Earnings Movers: Ford & Deckers Outdoors
Timestamps: 07:10 – 08:32
-
Ford:
- Q3 earnings strong: Revenue +9% ($50.5B), profit more than doubled to $2.4B on truck/SUV sales.
- Fire at supplier will trim full-year profit but impact offset by lower tariffs after Trump’s new rules.
- Ford shares up 4%+ on earnings.
- “Ford is coming off a solid quarter with strong sales and profits.” [08:11]
-
Deckers Outdoors:
- Despite Q3 earnings beat, stock down 10%+ on weaker 2026 sales outlook.
- Tariffs on Vietnam-made Hoka and Ugg shoes expected to hurt demand.
- “The stock has lost more than half its value in 2025.” [08:28]
Fun Fact: Nike’s Motorized Shoes
Timestamps: 08:32 – 09:32
- Project Amplify:
- Nike developing battery-powered, motor-assisted sneakers with startup Defi.
- Aim: ease walking/running for casual athletes and people with mobility impairments.
- Early development; target store release 2028 or later.
- Zaid speculates on smart shoe future:
“I don't know if I want like smart sneakers on my shoes that I have to charge every night… maybe the walk boost feature will be free. But if you want a super Boost feature where you can dunk, you have to pay like a monthly subscription. I don't want to go down that road.” [09:19]
- Invites feedback: “Let me know in the comments if you guys would be down to buy shoes like this.” [09:32]
Notable Quotes
- “Intel’s survival has become a matter of national security at this point…” – Zaid Admani [04:08]
- “That’s usually how the bubble ends up bursting.” – Zaid Admani [06:51]
- “Ford is coming off a solid quarter with strong sales and profits…” [08:11]
- “I don't know if I want like smart sneakers on my shoes that I have to charge every night.” [09:19]
Conclusion
Zaid wraps up with an upbeat call for listener engagement and a reminder to tune in next week for a packed schedule of tech earnings and economic events.
This summary covers all content-rich segments of the episode, excluding ads and outro.
