Transcript
Ryan Rosillo (0:00)
Foreign on today's podcast we go through all of the NFL playoff games with Ryan Fitzpatrick and we are fired up talk some football with him. So we'll kind of go back and forth with that. I'm going to do a little NBA in the open OKC in Cleveland tonight all time starts chasing history. How much people take a knee when chasing history now. But then a bigger picture thing on what I really like about Cleveland, what I love about OKC and certainly fair questions if you are doubting their chances of winning a championship. And we've got life advice and a massive update. It includes Disney, it includes marathons and includes Mike Oregon. This episode of the Ryan Rosilla podcast is presented by State Farm. Bring home a win with an affordable price when you bundle home and auto with the personal price plan. Talk to Estate Farm Agent today to learn how you can bundle and save with the personal price plan. Like a good neighbor, State Farm is there. Prices are based on rating plans that vary by state. Coverage options are selected by the customer, availability, amount of discounts and savings and eligibility vary by state. There was a bunch of things that I wanted to get to with the NBA, but I'm so excited about this Oklahoma City Cleveland game tonight that, yeah, I'm I'm gonna watch more Kawhi before I talk about him. He looked actually fine, but you know, simple mistakes you'd expect from a guy that has a ton of rust. Just basketball stuff. Zion's first game back after missing two months hurting that Cleveland game. I know because I was there and he had some numbers and you know, even out of shape, Zion has some moments of physicality where you're just like, what the hell was that? Although he did lose a shoe. So we'll have to check Nike's market cap on the day, see if S can update us on that. So as I was prepping all the different things I want to talk about, obviously I would have done a lot on Denver and Boston, but Jokic didn't play. So I just want to talk about Oklahoma City and Cleveland and I want to talk about a bunch of different things. So right now, the way it stands, Cleveland's actually a 2 1/2 point favorite on FanDuel. They've both been off since Sunday, so you can't really play the excuse game if one side gets blown out with that one and there's no result tonight, there's no result. That's probably going to change how I feel about both teams and I'm going to get to how I feel about the Both teams here a little bit later on because, I mean, you can't do anything except admire the way these two teams have been playing basketball. Cleveland is 31 and 4 on pace for 73 wins. Oklahoma City at 30 and 5 on pace for 70 wins. Golden State to remind you, when they went 73. 9, they started 24. 0. That 24. 0 stretch, I think, is the best basketball I've ever seen from a team in my entire lifetime. And that includes the Jordan bulls. They went 36 and 2. They ended up 55 and 5 at one point. 55 and 5. Remember, they lost to Boston late in the regular season. And then when they had beaten him prior, earlier in the year, it was an overtime win. And there were reports that summer that free agency period in the NBA when they were pursuing Durant. I hope this was exaggerated and wasn't true or just some version got out that that was overstated, but that part of the pitch to Durant was that they had figured out solve the Golden State warriors because they went one and one against them. Although one on one against the warriors that year is, like, really good. I hope that wasn't really true. So when Cleveland was asked about this recently in being on pace, you know, for 73 wins, is it important to you? There's a bunch of different quotes, but the general theme felt as if it was the wrong thing to talk about. Because if anyone in Cleveland had said, you know what, we're going for 74, we're awesome, and let's just stay at like full tilt all season long, and that's kind of what you would have to do to. To get there. And I don't. I don't know that I like that. I don't like that. I know that no one can come out. Donovan Mitchell can't say, well, number one priority is 74 wins, and then we'll see what happens there. All right, if you said that, you would get crushed. But I think it wouldn't be so much what anyone from Cleveland would say, whether it be accurate, inaccurate, like misguided. It would be the way we've collectively treated records, the pursuit of records in sports, that I think is just a bummer. I'm going to go over a couple of these things now. Granted, when the warriors end up blowing a 31 lead to the Cavs, there was even some lingering discussion of, well, should they have gone for 73 wins? As if game five is when it kicked in. Game five is when it's happened. I mean, the OKC series probably took more out of Golden State than anything that happened during the regular season. But because a team went for the record and then didn't win the championship, it's like, oh, those fucking dopes. They had just won 68 games. They would have had another title. Well, if Draymond Green didn't do a bunch of different things and if a bunch of other guys, you know, and Steph stunk in the last game and, and again LeBron and Kyrie went crazy. And I still think it's the most impressive single championship of any team I'm giving you all time or solo history here today of any team that I've watched in the final. Considering who Golden State was and, and how great we all knew that they were, I know we're not allowed to say it because they lost the title and everything, but because that happened at Golden State, there became this, this kind of like, it wasn't just with that. There were other things that were happening that I'll get to, but I just think those of us that talk about sports for a living, and I think fans are guilty of this too. It's just like, oh, you tried to be awesome all year and then you didn't win it all. Losers. Saquon Barkley sat out the last game of the season. He was a hundred yards away from breaking Eric Dickerson's 40 year record of 2,105 rushing yards. Saquon needed 100. He wanted it, but he was like, ah, it's the right thing to do and everybody's just cool with it. Now there could be a technicality on that where it's like, well, I'm glad Saquon didn't play a 17th game when Dickerson did it in 16 games. So actually Dickerson should have still had the record that some of that genty Barry Sanders stuff that we were getting into. Remember the Colts when they started 2009, 14 0. Well, the Pats had just lost the super bowl recently after an undefeated season. And I remember talking about it and it was like, ah, well, you know, what's the point? I think even some of the Colts players like, well, we saw what happened to the Pats. So the Colts lost to the Jets. Curtis Painter got into that game. Manning actually played a lot. Then they lost because they already lost. They lost their, their 16th game and it, it was, it was almost applauded. I remember it, you know, against 15 years ago. It's like they've got it figured out. They're not trying to go 16 and 0. You're like, what the Hell's the point? Like, what's. What's wrong with trying to better yourself or better your organization? So, look, none of this really matters when it comes to OKC in Cleveland. I don't like when a team is keeping up this kind of pace and then you go back and you're like, wait, Golden State was 55 and 5. Like, maybe it's not even worth trying to pursue something like that. Here's what I really want to dig into, though. I like both teams a lot. I like OKC more, and I think I love okc. If we start with Cleveland and their number one offense, they're the number eight defense, they're the best shooting team by, you know, a gap. There's a. There's a gap in there. Usually those numbers are just so tight next to each other. And when you go through Cleveland's rotation, they have six guys that are shooting 40% or better from three, and that's without Strusk getting right. Who's back? Right. And our boy fan of the podcast, Sam Merrill. Numbers dipping below the standard that we all have for Sam. But this team just lights it up from outside. On top of having a top four that can match up with kind of like anybody's top four when you're just talking about talent from one all the way to four, Allen's clearly four out of those four guys. Garland's had the best stretch that he's ever had in his career. Mitchell's probably at peace for the first time in, like, five years because of actual career certainty, the uncertainty that was fueled by not only his decisions, but all of our inaccurate speculation about him probably wanting out of there at some point. He stayed. Everybody's happy, everybody's good. Mitchell's counting numbers. Like, you can look at this and go, oh, there's there a bit of a decline there for Mitchell? Well, the decline is because he's probably totally comfortable with where he's at in his basketball life. He's taking less shots, he's playing less. Minutes 36, 35 the last two years, minutes per game down to 31 this year because they're generally killing everybody they play. I want to find the fourth quarter stuff with Mobley and Allen in those splits that Atkinson has been on for for a good chunk of the season, because there's always going to be, like, a couple lingering thing I can point to any team. Like, even with Boston last year, I was like, if they get this elbow, stop everything on offense and stand there for 10 seconds, you know, that could be their undoing. Against another team that's dialed in defensively. And then it was like everybody got hurt in the East. Dallas was. Boston was, I should say, a terrible matchup for Dallas. They didn't even really need Porzingis, and it was ugly the entire way. Um, and. And Tatum, I think just even without the. The straightforward, like, all world playoff numbers, I think the way he dictated and controlled the game, playing center defensively, playing point guard on offense, you know, makes you. At least for me, it made me to appreciate him, like, at a. At a whole nother level. Not that I was going to just jump him ahead of a million different dudes. All right, so look back to Cleveland, Ryan, the Allen, Mobley, two bigs to close a play playoff game against another team that may not respect your spacing, even though there's so many spacing options. I wonder how Atkinson will play that. But we may not really even have an answer. Or maybe you don't have that question. So maybe I shouldn't generalize here, but may not have an answer to that question to, like, the second or third round of the playoffs in the East. As much as I try to find, like, what kind of tells are there there? Look, they're plus 14 and a half points in differential the last 15. They were over 15 points in differential in December. So even if you go to the Denver game where it's like Mobley starts the fourth, they bring in Allen at 7:21. And then they were up 15 when they brought Moly back in with three minutes left. Like, it's hard to even find the fourth quarters that matter because they're destroying everyone. So that's the question that I'm going to have with Cleveland, and I'm not going to have an answer of it until, like, May or June. On the other side of this, you have Oklahoma City. If I want to continue out of the question theme with Cleveland, I could say, like, hey, is Jalen Williams actually going to be good enough as a number two, like in the Western Conference finals, in the NBA Finals? Because that's the standard that we're talking about here. With a Thunder, do they have enough shot creation? Could they really use a guy like a Jordan Clarkson just to kind of come in and get your buckets? I think the Jalen stuff is fair. If you look at just the counting numbers from his playoff run last year in 10 games, they're probably better than you would think, which is why I think stats lie more than our eyes do. Stats, people would tell you this other way around. Who knows? All Right. Because I think with Jalen, it's a 16 point, 14 point, 12 point stretch in Games 3, 4, and 5 against Dallas. My eyes at the time told me he was not to the level that we needed him to be at as the number two scorer for a team potentially looking. Look, they're the 1 seed, 57 wins. If you're thinking about winning an NBA championship, your number two has to be a guy that's able to get you buckets when everything else is falling apart. All right? That's who the special players are. That's who SGA has been now for a long time. And he does it all season long with Jalen. All right? You know, it's his first run through it, and I think it's totally fair to see somebody not play well in the playoffs. And you're like, okay, fine, that's what happened. But he's a young, young player. He's super talented. He's put up numbers every other time. I think he's probably going to be fine once he gets a chance at it. And ironically, you can point to his teammate in SGA as somebody that didn't look super comfortable when he started his playoff run. Whether it's the Clippers Pelican stuff where I, you know, I just would completely dismiss that. But I think the 2020 series, where it was OKC against Houston, went seven games. Chris Paul, OKC, SGA, in a handful of those games, looked like a dude, I don't want to say scared, because that's a little harsh, but let's say deferential. He was okay. He was willing to defer in some of those moments, and now he's turned into a, what, top three, top four player in the NBA. So it can happen. Even some of the really, you know, we're not talking Magic Bird here, but like, some of the really special players, there's. There's some playoff resume stuff in the beginning where they just were not up to the challenge. So to assume that's who Jalen Williams is now forever would be a huge mistake because it would have been a mistake with his teammate. But the thing I love about OKC the most, and I've already touched on this a few times, is that every player that comes into the game always seems to make sense. He knows who he's supposed to be. I'd say even some of these guys, like, are willing to understand their own limitations, but ultimately they all play hard and they're all incredibly smart. There's never anybody, even when they're experimenting with some Stuff like they waved somebody the other day. I was like, oh, like, should another team just pick them up? Because they're so smart and they're so good at, like, building this culture where, you know, in today's NBA, to have this many young dudes, like 1 through 12, you know, every now and then the 13th guy gets in. You'd be like, oh, he plays his ass off and knows where to be positionally and knows which shots to take and which shots to turn down. I mean, this is impossible to do in today's NBA. And they're doing it. Watch them. Anticipate the high pick and roll that everybody runs. Like almost every play in the league. You know, I know everybody can talk about there's more variety than ever before. Like, there's also a million pick and rolls at the top of the key. And, you know, you can pretend there's all this different stuff happening off of it, but like, the first thing that happens is very similar in a lot of these basketball games. And it's kind of like what happens when the first action, are you at a disadvantage or have you shut them off? And what Oklahoma City seems to do, especially when it really matters, is they shut down. Your first thing that you want to do, and now you're resetting and now you're lost. Now you're up against a shot clock and now you're trying to swing the ball to your shot maker to like bail you out of the bad possession. They did it to the Knicks. They did it to the Celtics on Sunday. The Boston Celtics scored 27 points in the second half. That Houston cup game, to me, is still horrifying. The Rockets couldn't even get entry passes in the early game in the season against Wemby. They. They ruined him for two hours. Now, again, like, Wemby's fine, but for a game, every dude knew when to help and when to not help too much and when to run at the ball and swipe. Like, if you wait around against Oklahoma City, you are screwed. And to get all of these players to buy in like this at this stage of where this franchise is developmentally, because it's actually still kind of new, right? It's remarkable. It just. I cannot express. Well, I'm trying to, but for the basketball world of like the buy in and hey, man, the way this works, the way we can actually get a title, is like, everybody has to be locked in and everybody has to be on the same page. When you see them defend a high pick and roll, you can see the guy defending the screener like anticipating and thinking of his plan and then somebody on his side is already looking to help, but still like making sure it's not just reckless help to the ball and then screwing up. And now you're in rotation, you're chasing the ball all around. I I can't believe it. I There you go. That's my love letter. And they're doing this all without Caruso for a couple Weeks and Chet 18 mile Homegren, who may actually end up being their second best player. So yes, if it sounds like I like the Thunder a little bit more than the Cavs, it's because I do. I have no idea what will happen tonight. It's one game. Football fans buckle up because for the first time ever, we've got five straight days of playoff football. And FanDuel is celebrating with the great playoff payoff. That's a no sweat same game parlay every day for all five days with a no sweat same game parlay. You can combine your bets from the same game for a chance at even bigger winnings and if it doesn't hit, you get your bonus bets back. All right, let's take a look what we've concocted here. I like the Chargers minus two and a half. I like the Vikings minus one and a half. I think that Vikings line is heavily influenced over what just happened. Yes, the Rams are so much better with Puk Nukua and they're running back combination and you can't put any stock into what happened at the end of the regular season with the Rams. But I think that Minnesota number. It's just that game against Detroit was so horrifying. So I actually think that's a good value number. And then Green Bay plus four and a half. What I really like here is Pittsburgh first drive result punt Saturday night it's going to be cold in Baltimore. Forecast 26, so it'll be colder later. So punt is minus 135. So if you just want to sit around and be like, hey, I'm all in on a Steelers punt on the first drive, you just sit back and relax. The rest of the day, you're good to go. So not only do we get to watch five straight days of playoff football, but that's also five chances to win big, just visit FanDuel.com Ryan R Y E N To be a part of this epic run, that's FanDuel.com Ryan it's the great playoff payoff. And it's only on FanDuel. America's number one sportsbook must be 21 and older and present in select states or 18 plus and present in DC. Opt in required minimum three leg parlay. Refund issued as non withdrawable bonus bets to expire 7 days after receipt. Minimum max refund $5 unless otherwise specified. Restrictions apply including token expiration. See terms@sportsbook.fanduel.com gambling problem. Call 1-800-gambler or visit rg-help.com let's get ready for the NFL playoffs and let's get ready with Brian Fitzpatrick, who you can join for the wild card pregame show on Prime Video this Saturday night at 7:30 Eastern, followed by the Steelers and Ravens game at 8. Also check out his pod with Andrew Whitworth, Fitz and Whitney, wherever you get your podcast. Good to check in again, man. How are you?
