Transcript
Ryan Rosillo (0:00)
Foreign get ready for the super bowl with Troy Aikman. We're going to talk about Is there anything that actually makes Patrick Mahomes uncomfortable that the Eagle side of things, as you would expect for the Super Bowl. Some other cool stuff on just Troy doing his job, talking about somebody else. NBA Trade Deadline I did not do anything on Thursday. So here you go. Jimmy Butler to the warriors, the butler dilemma, the KD dilemma that's lingering. Mark Williams, DeAndre Hunter, a couple of the other big moves and I spent the day at a museum and we've got life advice. This episode of the Ryan Rosillo podcast is presented by AT&T. There's a lot in life that should be guaranteed but isn't. Like your favorite team making the playoffs are finding matching socks in the dryer. I hate that. And then there's AT&T guaranty. It means connectivity you can depend on deals you want and service you deserve or AT&T will make it right. Visit att.com guaranty to learn more. AT&T connecting changes everything. Terms and conditions apply. Visit att.comguarantee for details. This episode is brought to you by Pepcid Complete. All right, let's talk game day essentials. How do I spend game day? Well, we already know that. Get out of the house, get the blood flowing, try to get some activities going. But man, I had some wings the other night. My brother ordered them. Table wings. It was awesome. And it was also a little reminder you get a little bit older. But there's one guest that isn't welcome on game day and that's heartburn. Because I remember thinking it was made up. I was like, who gets it? What is it? Do you get dumped and you get it? Nope, you just start to get it. Man, I don't know what to tell you. And if you can't fix it, you're in for a tough, tough afternoon. Maybe even into the night. Thankfully, Pepcid Complete starts to work instantly and lasts all day. Just one great tasting chewable tablet provides dual action heartburn relief with an antacid that starts working instantly in an acid reducer that lasts all day. So I can stay focused on the game. Visit pepcid.com to shop now all day based on 8 hour symptom relief studies during the day. Use product only as directed. We're going to do a lot of stuff today, but since I had like the normal week this week, even with the trade deadline yesterday, I just want to start with the trade deadline stuff because we still had some news and some overall thoughts here. The funny thing is being down in New Orleans and leading up to the super bowl, how many nights everybody is still talking about Luka again. I've never experienced anything like this, a Super Bowl. Maybe it's with the Chiefs, Eagles, people just waiting for the game. Not that this is the best polling of this is what I heard. But every single person I've run into wants to talk about the Luka Doncic trade and there's some other pieces, but let's talk about the news. Jimmy Butler to Golden State so I always talk about waiting for perfect and how it's probably not the best plan, especially in basketball. When you see these trades and then the trade gets done and you go, well, does it make him a championship contender? And the first thing I would usually ask after that question is was there a deal the team turned down that was going to make him a championship contender? And I think the Jimmy Butler acquisition for Golden State is a perfect example of that. Now granted, maybe there was a better deal out there. I would have rather had Durant with Golden State. There's a Durant part of this conversation that's definitely interesting. You know, not to do the legacy updates here, but you know, with Durant, a player I've really liked, a personality that I think when he lets it shine through, feels very authentic in comparison to other high profile athletes. But I was wondering, like, when's Durant happy? Where has he been happy? Maybe in the beginning of the OKC years, certainly not at the end. Golden State, a couple rings, couldn't wait to get out of there, goes to Brooklyn, thinks it's going to be happy with Kyrie. That ends pretty quickly. Has a four year extension, asks for the front office of coaching staff to be fired before the summer. They don't do that. He comes back and plays, he wants out, goes to Phoenix and here we are all over again. But so unhappy with his Golden State experience that he actually didn't want to leave Phoenix. You know, I was thinking about Kyrie a little bit because he also has a few I'm not happy hits on his resume. And you know, when I started thinking about the two players, I was like, is there a possibility that Kyrie's had more I'm happy basketball moments than even Durant has had, which is something that I don't know that anybody would have really been able to argue. But there's also a fact that we're probably going to go through this with Durant again at some point because it's not solved. But Golden State had a trade for Kevin Durant and Durant didn't want to go. So then you move on to Jimmy Butler. I feel like Durant's the better fit basketball wise with Golden State because we've already seen him do it. But at the same time, when I watch Golden State now and I think about like their design of what they're trying to do offensively with really only Steph being a guy you can rely on every single night, I, I, I have to admit that, that Golden State perfection with everybody moving, everybody being complimentary, not having ball stoppers, it doesn't really exist anymore. I mean, it does with Steph because he's constantly moving off the ball. It's what makes him so great. But this free flowing thing with him and Clay flying off the screens, re screening for each other and then having all the shooting all over the place and why Durant was such a great fit for them is that he does necessarily stop the basketball the way a Jimmy Butler would. I'm like, is that really what Durant still is? Is that what Golden State is anymore? And I think the answer is no. I mean, Durant's still terrific. He's an all NBA caliber player. People voted him as an all star starter. He still puts up massive numbers. But I feel like there are moments with him with Phoenix where it's just kind of waiting around to see like what shot is available for him in a, in a way that just doesn't feel as granted. He's older, so it's not peak to ramp, but I think you understand what I'm saying, like moments where he's floating a little bit more as Booker is trying to figure out how to break down whatever defense they're throwing at him. I just think there's a lot of Booker conversation about like, is it that he's declining or he's being tasked with, with trying to like solve everything that's happening to Phoenix. And then Durant can kind of be off to the side with, waiting for some sort of release. And he's such a great shooter, it doesn't mean you have to run a play for the guy. So when I started thinking about like Durant's fit with Golden State now I'm like, you might be talking about ancient history for both the player and the team's concept. So it may be irrelevant that Jimmy Butler is more of a ball stopping, attacking player. He gets it out 15, 17ft, he's on the wing, he's kind of thinking about what he wants to do. Does that Slow them down. I think it's one of the reasons why when Paul George is available, Deck George, during peak Golden State years, it was like, is he actually as good of a fit with what they want to do? Well, now it doesn't really matter because I think Butler is a bit more of a ball stopper. But you know what? Butler is at his best, a much better second offensive option, a second offensive creator beyond what they've had all season long. So when you look at Butler's ordeal throughout all this, the Butler saga here from Miami until now, it's also a good reminder of, like, what you are willing to do. And I think that applies to kind of everybody because you can talk yourself into what you think you're going to do, right? Convince yourself that this is all I'm doing. It's like, you sure about that? And maybe it's more about convincing everybody else to believe that the only thing you're willing to do is to go to Phoenix. Windhorse had an awesome report where he said, quote, it was basically, you know, I'm just kind of using the word. The word was admirable. He's like, this is almost admirable what Jimmy Butler is doing. Turning down trade scenarios to other teams, saying, if you trade for me, I am not going to sign a contract extension because he wanted Phoenix so badly. But then like almost everybody, you're faced with your options and you can be convinced that you would only do one thing in this case, Butler, Phoenix. And yet when it comes down to it, you're like, or I'll just do this. Because Butler had two options. Stay with Miami, continue to be suspended, lose money. He could opt out of the $50 million player option this summer. Be a free agent. When you're in your mid-30s and your likability is at an all time low, and be like, who wants to sign me as a free agent? Or you also could have opted in too if you wanted to try to make it even worse. Or you accept the trade to Golden State, where he did opt out of the player option, but he gets a two year extension at $112.5 million. So facing those scenarios, like, hey, Jimmy, you're not going to get Phoenix, but here's what's on the table. Like, or you can stay in Miami and keep losing money with no clear future. Yeah, you know what? I think I will go the Golden State. I, you know what? I've changed my mind. Golden State, I'd probably rather they didn't do this. They didn't give up Much. It's probably smart to get the first round pick that they're giving up here. Top 10 protected in 25, just to get that draft debt out of the way now, you know, it's not like, I mean, they're going to have the 11th pick with Butler. If things kind of work out, nobody's picking them for a title. I think that'd be a little ridiculous. But if you think about what's going out versus what's coming in, you know, just the asset part of this, it. It makes a lot of sense. And Miami Zebras to salvage something from this and get a first. The market's not going to be very good when you're trading a player that's disgruntled everywhere he's gone, is older, doesn't play a lot, and is also telling all of these teams, I don't want to go there. Like, it's. It's tough to sign off on that, to be the general manager and go to your owner and say, no, no, no, this will be a good idea. So I think it's a good idea for now because it makes Golden State better. And again, it was probably the only real option, especially once Durant says, I don't want to come back. But I am a little worried about, like, say, 26, 27. Butler has a year left on his deal. Whether it's that summer, whether it's going into that trade deadline, Steph will be depending on when it happens. He turns 37 in March, so say 37, 38. Golden State can't figure out, the other pieces around could get really ugly. And even though you think it's a win for Golden State and Steph today, it could be a really ugly stretch if Butler turns back into Butler and you're like, now Steph is dealing with this towards the very end of his career, or he's still a very viable basketball player. So that scares me a little bit. The history of Jimmy and the math on the numbers would scare the shit out of me. The Phoenix part, let's go. Like, I understand once they did the Beal deal, really, once they did the Durant deal, they were all in. So every move since then is we're already all in. Like, we can't. We can't start going the other way on all this stuff. Booker was never available. I think it's kind of funny, just the scenario of Beal being like, what are you guys doing? You making phone calls? Oh, really? Guys exploring trades? Yeah, actually, I don't want to go anywhere. Just like, I was content to be in Washington the entire time. Like, you think this is bad, you're going to take me off the bench. I hung with the Wizards for like a decade, man, to get that five year extension. I'm good. I can just hang here the entire time. But the fear and the entire reason why Durant was even available in all this stuff is because Phoenix is so all in and they're worried about Durant on an expiring contract next year. The Durant rumblings go back to last summer where you were hearing he wanted to go to Houston. So this stuff is going to start all over again and they're thinking like, well, if we give Jimmy the extension, is that more certainty than an expiring Kevin Durant? And imagine having that conversation with ownership. That can't be a lot of fun. But I doubt next year will be a year free of any of the Durant speculation. A couple other trades that I want to touch on. I love the DeAndre Hunter deal for Cleveland. Asset wise. It's not a ton that they're giving up levert, which I think they had no issue. Moving on from Niang, who is a really serviceable role guy that plays on winning teams. The three seconds and then a swap. Swap's not going to happen this year. I don't know if it happens in 28. The key here is the money that Hunter's owed. He's 21 million this year, then 23, then 25 million. The funny thing for Hunter, when that deal was done, I've always kind of liked Hunter going back to the draft. The size, the shooting. I think he's a little bit better on the dribble than we can see. But when you're playing with Trey, you're just stuck in the corner. When you're playing with dejante and Trey, you're definitely stuck in the corner. But that's a funny contract in that it went from that's terrible to hey, that's a pretty good number for a guy that's been as productive as him. Now there's a tax question there with Cleveland long term where going into next year, I think they're going to have 10 players under contract and they're going to be 20 million projection right now over the tax for the 25, 26 season. But if you're in that win now window, which Cleveland is, it's a credit to the ownership. Like, hey, we'll worry about the rest of that stuff later. They have the other extensions that they have to start worrying about. But when you Watch Cleveland play Boston and it's not just because Boston won the other night against them. Look at the defensive matchups they desperately need. Needed some kind of wing option that they felt good about. So if you look at the start of the game and then how it plays out throughout it, like Tatum has Mobley on him, which at times you feel like Mobley is as good as he is defensively. Is that a waste of his abilities? Then you got to think about the assignments and how they change when Allen and Mobley are split up. Stre is on Jaylen Brown, Garland is on Derek White, Mitchell is on Drew, and then you put Allen on Przingis for the Celtics. Normal starting five. But there are minutes as the rotations, you know, sub in and sub out where you'll see streuss on Tatum. So like they feel like Streuss is their best wing option and Streuss may be their best spacing option depending on how a playoff game is playing out. But the fact that they have Hunter stru, I think flies off the screens a little bit more, maybe a little quicker on the catch and shoot and getting into his three. So Hunter's three point shooting numbers are really good, but Hunter, at least, you know, look, I'm not telling you he's Lou Dort here, but it's just a far better wing option if Cleveland is facing Boston in the playoffs. And I think that's the biggest motivation behind all this stuff. Kevin Pelton at ESPN had a really good number too. When you look at the efficiency and the true shooting improvement for Hunter, it's really not so much about just becoming a better shooter. It's becoming a better decision maker on which shots he wants to take. Here's the number two pointers outside of the paint, 22, 23. He took 212. He took 286 threes this season. Two pointers outside of the paint, 101 going into this week at threes 247. So that's why the true shooting percentage is up and that's why you've seen a big improvement for him. And even with that's the kind of transaction where I think a lot of owners go like, yeah, I know we need it and I know we're in our window, but man, we could have that tax bill. We're still going to have other roster spots. Credit Cleveland for just saying, screw it. The time is right now. The Mark Williams deal. I cannot believe that Charlotte got the swap and Dallas didn't. I know the swap is probably not going to relay to Charlotte, it's almost, like, impossible that it'll actually happen. I know Windhorst had reported that the Lakers went to Dallas and said, if you want the other first, like, we have to talk to Luca about a possible extension. Dallas, again, secrecy being the priority, not maximizing value for the most unlikely trade in NBA history. Like, no, we just need to keep it. We don't need as much. We just want it to be a secret. I also think it's funny, too, when they keep talking about the Kyrie timeline. It's like, well, if Ant were available, is he too young to play with Kyrie? Like, yeah, he's too young. We need somebody north of 30, because Kyrie, like, that's how you have to do it. All right. I could still talk about the Luca trade all day. So it's obviously a need because the Lakers are rolling out a team with Jackson Hayes as the starting center, and that's just not going to work for anybody. Even playing teams. Like, we can't upgrade this a little bit. So. I like Mark Williams a lot at Duke. I loved how active he was, his athleticism. It's probably not entirely fair to look at him right now and say, this is the finished product, because the guy has missed 105 of 211 career games. He is a really good lob threat, which is exactly what Luca needs. It's why Gafford's field goal percentage and the lively stuff, you know, there's more to lively and there's. I've always kind of liked Gafford, but, you know, trying to defend Luca on those lobs with his size, like, good luck, so that makes sense. But the Williams defensive numbers are alarmingly bad. Like, at the rim, he's allowing 68% field goal percentage conversion. AD was like, 58%. There's numbers that tell you Williams is really low. I think the biggest thing in watching Williams, and I don't know if it's just a big guy with the health issues and he'll be fine, and he'll figure it out, and he'll get back to being what we thought at Duke, this active defensive player. But he. He just doesn't want to move a lot on defense. That's the alarming part. Maybe that's the best part, is that it's totally fixable. It's not his instincts. It's not the health thing. It's just, hey, I'm in Charlotte and I'm just getting back here. But there's a lot of stuff with him where you just think he's not all that interested in being positioned. So maybe with LA, maybe with guys like LeBron, not that he's going to like, hey, Luke has been my defensive mentor, but you get the point. The stakes are raised, more eyes are on you. You're worried about that next contract. A team is invested in you here. They've invested Dalton Connect who we can talk about his defense, but Even though he's 38 as a rookie Connect was an incredibly efficient shooter and also like more than just a shooter. So these are like real assets. They're moving out for somebody they hope fix their center problems which are evident. But that defense has to improve dramatically. The lobs are cool. The defense is probably more important. 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Each $2.5 million prize pool will be split equally among all eligible participants who made the correct picks. Bonus issued is non withdrawable bonus bets, which expire seven days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms@sportsbook.fanduel.com gambling problem. Call 1-800- gambler or visit rg-help.com and now it's time for a new segment, New Connections, where we're going to talk about new teammates after the NBA trade deadline. Brought to you by AT&T. The new AT&T guarantee connectivity you can depend on deals you want and service you deserve or they'll make it right. I can't wait to see Luke and LeBron play together at this point. And I've mentioned this in the past, but whenever there was speculation about like who the next guy LeBron could play with. And by the way, some of this negativity about LeBron, like look at all of his teammates. He's played 20 years, guess what? He's had a lot of teammates. Some of them are awesome. And he's also changed teams in a way that modern stars. It's the new normal, but it wasn't normal for decades and decades. So I don't know that there's really any way to compare the two. It's kind of like when Kawhi potentially win another ring with the Clippers. Like he could be the first guy to be the main guy to win three championships of three different teams. No one's ever done that before. Like also people didn't do this in the past. But back to the headline of Luka and LeBron as we speculated about different pieces that could go next to LeBron. I never wanted to be somebody that was so ball dominant that it took away from the brilliance of LeBron having the basketball on his hands. And I think we've even seen this year in a way that we just don't ever expect at 40 years old, that the Lakers best options are still when he's initiating the offense. But I think it's very clear to ask him to do that over the course of a full season and then into the playoff matchups. It's a lot to ask of him at this point. I don't know that I'd ever discredit LeBron and call it the Karl Malone phase of his career because Karl Malone ran down, stood there and had the top assist guy for his entire career. And John Stockton throw him the ball as the first option for like a really long time. LeBron moves more than that. He is more active than that. But Luka being there is actually the right time of his career to make LeBron's life easier because Luka can handle every single possession. And I think some of the Luka Kyrie stuff where they took turns, it was good enough in a turn way that it led to wins playing in the NBA finals or other teams where I think, I think their top two guys are like, ah, they just taking turns. Are they playing basketball? Whatever it was with Dallas, it worked last year. And this is going to be something. Despite kind of handing the baton as the face of the franchise, the Lakers, which I don't know about any all time superstars in a hurry to do, I think at least from a basketball standpoint here with LeBron and Luka, it makes a lot of sense. So yeah, there'll be some overlap. Yeah, There'll be some uncomfortable stuff, but both players are so brilliant and such brilliant passers. I don't know how good the team is going to be, but that fit together. This is the perfect time for somebody like LeBron to take on a talent like Luka. That was New connections brought to you by at&t. And the new AT and T guarantee connectivity. You can depend on deals you want and service you deserve, or they'll make it right. Visit att.com guaranty to learn more. AT and T Connecting changes everything. This is cool. We've done this in the past and it's always a great visit when we get Troy Aikman, super bowl winner. And of course with ESPN and eight beer, I wanted some updates on that. He's rocking the hat today. Good to see you, man. Can't wait for you to get here. I'll be leaving.
