Ryan Rosillo (2:24)
Non withd restrictions apply terms@sportsbook.draftkings.com promos week 10 recap although a big one tonight. Let's do this. Drake Maze, your MVP now. I understand the Stafford position. I understand the Darnold position. I understand, hey, it's only week 10 position. All valid positions. But he's plus 250 right now on DraftKings. I've seen some places where he's tied for the odds on favorite, but he's leading in a lot of different markets. If you're going to tell me that he shouldn't be ahead of Stafford, why Darnold? It's an awesome story, but why shouldn't May at least be tied with Darnold as far as the favorite? Because Darnold's like 8th and I don't know if that's a Seattle thing or know that May's a little bit younger and he has basically been flawless now since the very start of the season after they lost the first two games. How they lost to the Raiders seems strange. We know how they lost the Steelers because they couldn't hang on to the football. But I'm going to run through it for you here. New England's win at Tampa is the best win, only because I think even with the Buffalo win, you're like, hey, there's something spicy going on here in New England. But is it a division game? As we saw division games can be weird, including Buffalo losing to Miami yesterday. So going down to Tampa. And of course there's like another Tampa conversation about who they've been offensively since the start of the season and how things have fallen off. But they've been without Evans, they've been without Godwin. The old lines a mess. Bucky Irving's been out now for a while. So sometimes, like you look at teams surviving a couple of weeks without injuries, then it just starts to take its toll and go on, hey, we're playing backups. Far too many snaps now for three straight weeks. But I still thought it was a significant game for New England because they screwed around with Atlanta, who Atlanta somehow just kind of messes with everybody. And then we'll have other games where they look like they could never beat any team in the league. And that Colts game was was an incredible comeback by Indianapolis and Berlin to start the Sunday. But I really felt like and maybe you think I'm overstating this with some of Tampa's decline recently, but New England going down there with May. And that is not collectively great, that that would be a really impressive win. And it wasn't just they won the game. It's that this offense continues to show that it's got big playability despite most people probably not being able to name their top three starters. Let's run through the resume of this team and why I think May is the MVP of the 25 seasons so far. So he's number one in completion percentage above expected completion percentage. Right. He's tied with Darnold. So there's a Darnold case there. It's just a really, really important number. It shows you the quarterbacks that are like who are the guys doing it at the highest level in spots where you weren't expecting them. By the way, don't look at who's last in that stat, please. He's fifth in qbr. But this Pats team, if we look at some of their stats here, they're 23rd and yard per carry. It's not a great rushing team. His number one wide receiver, Stefan Diggs is 22nd yards. He has seven games this season with under 60 yards receiving. Their turnover margin. This isn't some Jacksonville thing where you're looking there after 10 weeks going, how does Jacksonville have a good record? Well, because they're not good. Trevor Lawrence isn't good. That game they blew to Houston yesterday is embarrassing. And Jacksonville survives because their turnover margin, this, this thing that I've said is unstainable is still absurd. I still think it's like best in the league or maybe it's them or the Bears. But there's a lot of teams where you're just. You're trying to figure out why they have a good record and you may not like them all that much. And then you can just look at the turnover margin. New England's 17th in turnover margin. They're minus one in the entire. Their pass rush numbers are not great. They're 19th in sacks. Their 22nd pass rush win rate. Their pass block grades aren't terrific. They don't have a tackle that's in the top 20 of some of that win rate stuff. Even with Will Campbell looking like a franchise anchor. The team defensively, even though it's gotten better here, there's like a couple numbers like they get off the field on third downs, but they're last in the NFL. Usually there's a death sentence, but if you look at touchdown percentage allowed in the red zone, the Patriots last in the NFL, those numbers may not have been updated over the Weekend here. The point is that May is basically doing all of this on his own. That may seem unfair to some guys that show up, you know, randomly with New England. It's like, hey, Mac, Holland's had a bunch of catches, but you have to dig into what he's doing on some of these throws. The Mac Hollins long play for 50 plus yards, he gets clobbered on that one, hangs in the pocket, delivers the ball. The Kyle Williams touchdown for 72 yards. If you watch the end zone angle of that throw, he has pressure to his right side. The throw he has to lead. Williams, who's basically full speed going from left to right and getting ready to kind of turn up the field. He's going full speed. May has to lead him by probably 5 to 7 yards on that throw while he knows he's about to get hit from the right side. And again as a right handed thrower, all that pressure is right on top of him as the right tackles being pushed right, right back into his torso. Those are two throws where I'm like, man, I don't even know if I care about some of the other stats that he already has. That kind of toughness, that competitiveness, and to be able to deliver a ball that perfectly and lead the receiver, it's not like he just hit somebody who was open. That's an unbelievable throw. It'd be one of the best throws of the entire season. So sure New England's 32nd and strength is scheduled that they've played so far. It's not a tough slate, folks. It's not a tough slate. Depending on what you want to look at a remaining strength of schedule. I've seen it. 27th toughest, 28th toughest. 32nd toughest. It's not going to get that much harder is the point. You know, when you look at Denver in this win streak and I'm kind of off the Bo Knicks thing, you're like, all right, you know, this is sort of a weird winning streak, but I mean, it's the NFL. Any given Sunday, I mean, winning this many games in a row, it's a huge credit to you and the Broncos being able to pull out some of these games. But their schedule is about to become the toughest remaining schedule in the NFL. New England isn't. So if you look at the standings, New England is a three seed in the AFC behind the Colts, behind the Broncos. That's because conference record, Colts are 6 and 1, Broncos are 5 and 2. New England's 4 and 2, Damian Woody, who we love Said this morning that he felt like the super bowl runs through Foxborough. I'm not ready to go there yet. But that 24 drive class may have its first MVP. And I think it's Rick May worst loss. It's Buffalo at Miami. Miami looked hopeless 10 days ago against Baltimore. Like that looked like, hey, you think just the GMs losing his job. All y' all are losing your jobs. I don't know if anybody saved their job. It was nice to see Happy Mike McDaniel. Just probably just kind of, kind of nice for him to feel good for a day. And it wasn't because of two. It's because they ran against this Bill's defense. It just isn't that good. They're like 20th and opposing yards per play. No, excuse me. They're 24th now after looking at what happened yesterday. They gave up 200 yards on the ground. It wasn't some crazy like Bills minus four and turnovers. And Miami capitalized on that. And the thing is, it's like looking at Allen, that Chiefs game, he's literally perfect. He's playing the game perfectly. And it wasn't like he threw for 450 yards. He just dissected everything that was in front of him and felt like he was just complete control of a football game for 60 minutes. But they've had some weird games. You know, they're four and oh, they're two and three in their last five. The Atlanta game was gross. The New Orleans game, even though they won, it was weird. We've got the New England loss in there, but they weren't even in this game. Like, not even in this game. You know, sometimes Miami has some, some awful season and then they get somebody really good in the division game. You've seen it happen in New England even when Brady was there. So maybe you could chalk it up to that. But if the last five weeks weren't this alarming for Buffalo. So again, you know, are we writing Buffalo off now week to week? Obviously not. We know what they're capable of, of beating Kansas City in there, but I don't know what else would be worse. I mean, I guess you could talk about Jacksonville blowing that lead, but Houston. Harris. Davis. Davis. Millis. Davis. Mills. Get it done. All right. Funds with standings Today, the number one seed in the NFC, your Seattle Seahawks up 35 zip against Arizona, the first team since 1980 to have 30 plus points in the first half three times in a season, thanks to Mike Sando. Your super bowl betting favorite is Kansas City still. And they're not in the playoffs this morning. I don't know how to even begin to look up that number. But when's the latest? The super bowl favorite wasn't in the actual playoffs. Based on standings. How like do we have a week 12 example of this? Because we're week 10. It's almost done. And that means going into week 11, Kansas City, who's eighth in the AFC, is still still the super bowl favorite. That I can't imagine that happens very often. Maybe There's a week 11, week 12 in there. I don't know. All right, fun with some numbers here. Thirteen personnel. You start hearing about it all over the place. It's going to be guy takes you through his fantasy draft, tells you he's like, you know, I've had Devonte Adams. That was really nice. Like our guys felt good about it in the room. Our guys? Isn't it just your team? We get a staff over there for the fucking Nighthawks. 93. The Rams love 13 personnel, right? One running back, one wide receiver, three tight ends. That's where the three is in. So people's this is a bit. I don't know if NBA guys would do this. NBA Media. But like, you want to talk about 13 personnel, I'm going to talk about Draymond Green at center. How about that? I'm going to talk about weird personnel stuff. So the Rams under McVeigh. Eric Edholm had this note with next gen. 84 plays and 13 personnel in the first 137 games of Sean McVeigh's career as head coach of the Rams. In the past four games, they've actually run 13 personnel plays more than those 84. So something that he just wasn't doing the last month. It's all they want to do. Four touchdowns yesterday, four touchdowns last week out of 13 personnel. So get ready for it folks, because the smart people are going to start telling you about it. Drake May has 52 completions between 10 and 19 air yards traveled. That's the most in the NFL. The Colts come back in Berlin. We touched on it against Atlanta. Daniel Jones, seven turnovers though, in his last two games after only three turnovers in his first eight games. Bailed out by Jonathan Taylor's 244 yards, his fourth 1,000 yard season. One off the franchise record for the Colts of Edger and James, who had five. All right, final thought here. Play calling from the couch, not tails from the couch. Play calling from the couch. Giants up 17 Nothing in Chicago taking on my Bears. They've got first and goal at the Chicago seven yard line to start the fourth quarter. How'd they get down there? Because Russell Wilson came in because Jackson blue tent dart was gone. Again, concussion knocked out of the game. So Russell Wilson, who I notice at times stands next to Dable during the game on the sideline. I would pay a lot of money to have that mic'd up. I don't know that it happens a ton. I just want to know what's being said and no one will ever tell me. So back to the play. Greg Olson on the call here. First and goal to Chicago 7. They got down there again, the screen pass, some runs, six yard run. So six yard run on first down, they're at the one. Then there's a negative one yard run. So it's third and goal at the two. Russell Wilson runs. And when I tell you he got stopped once he was running, it was horrifying. Like when somebody's just older and still playing in the NFL. Like, Ricky Williams is a great example of this. Ricky Williams is physical, can't tackle him. Two guys can't tackle him. And then once it was over for Ricky Williams, you could breathe on him and he would fall down. In this case, Russell Wilson's trying to escape this red zone play where he's running, and it's like, it looked a lot like some of those Mercedes Benz commercials where you see them test the cars and it was like, oh, that's like a violent stop. Even though I think it was good for a yard. So now it's fourth and goal at the one again. And they kicked the field goal to go up 2010. And Greg Olson, who we think is the best, I think we. I don't know if we're supposed to have him on Wednesday or whatever, we'll bring it up with him. He was saying like, hey, look, you know, it's fourth and goal at the one, you've held them to 10 points, conditions, the whole thing. Go up the two scores and put this game away. I, however, would suggest. Have you watched Russell Wilson in the red zone last year with Pittsburgh where it looked like they didn't even want to let him throw the football? I think his completion percentage in the red zone last year with Pittsburgh was under 30%. I mean, physically, you can't run him. He had a run in this game where he went to slide and he was so slow, he couldn't beat somebody on the edge. He was so slow that he slid. And it's not even where he started the slide. The slide stopped 2 yards short of the line of scrimmage. That was him sliding to get down, trying to get out of a play and still lost two yards on this. So I think from an analytic standpoint, the 4th and 1. Feeling good about your defense? Because again, I still like this Giants defense a lot. Asking Russell Wilson to survive that fourth and goal at the one when you don't want him to throw and he can't run. I understood why they wanted to go up two scores. And then of course they end up losing. And I would tell you if there was anything I've been more certain of this NFL season than that last drive for the Giants was going to be a comical disaster, a fucking horror show. I've never been more certain of anything all season long watching these games. And that's exactly what happened. And now the Giants are 04 on the road when they're up 10 or more points. 0 and 4 on the road, leading these games by 10 or more points. The rest of the NFL is 57 and 1. It's official. The Big Shack is out now. I tried one a few days ago and it lives up to the name. It's a serious burger. Two Angus beef patties, three buns and a new secret sauce. It's stacked, balanced and built in the right way. You get everything you expect from Shake Shack. Fresh ingredients, that toasted potato bun and sauce that pulls the whole thing together for 9.99. It's kind of wild how much burger you're getting, especially one that doesn't taste like typical fast food. It's big, it's fresh, it's legit. One of their best burgers yet. It is bulking season, so you know what that means. We're forgoing all the protein bars. We're driving straight from Equinox right to the Shake Shack and we're going to film this for you post workout. The protein bar of 2025 is the shack Burger. And that's what I'm going with. The Big Shack Burger. If you've been waiting to see what all the hype's about, today's the day. Go to Shake Shack and order the Big Shack. Sounds familiar. Made different he's going to join us throughout the football season. It's Brer Mondays, our breer from the MMQB pod. You can read them on si.com this morning. I do every Monday morning to get my day started. So let's just start in Foxborough. I don't know how good this team actually is and it's been a lot of fun. Kind of looking at all the first rounders from 24, which I probably talked about too much. But this Drake May run is incredible. I think he is the league's mvp. And you know, I don't even know if the team was built. I know they spent a lot of cash in the off season, but it almost now feels like ahead of schedule considering like the rest of the roster. You're close with this team, you've cut them for a long time. So give us some more insight into what they're feeling in the building, around the facility to what looks like, you know, having a guy for the next 10 years, which is what every team's trying to do.