Ryan Rosillo (2:42)
have an MVP vote, so I'm putting the work in and I want to get it right. I know I can be a bit of a contrarian at times, but I don't do it just to do it because this is important. This is important. It's a part of history and you want to make sure you're thinking about everything here. So I'm not 100% sure. I'm probably pretty sure how I'm going to vote here. I want to go over the four candidates because it's four. If Cade were eligible for this, he'd probably be my fifth place vote. But I think it's pretty clear that it's Jokic, it's sga, it's Wemby, it's Luka. It's not in that order necessarily, but I'm going to go through the cases. It's going to get a and then some factors and then ultimately like what I think might happen as opposed to how I may vote for it. But again, I'm not 100% sure yet on this. So if we start with Jokic, he's seventh in scoring, he's first in rebounds and assists. Okay, there's a Wilt note of did Wilt do it? Did he not do it? I'll update you on what that is a little bit later because I looked it up this morning on did Wilt actually lead the league in rebounds and assists? The way Jokic is right now, from a metric standpoint, Jokic is kind off the charts. Again, some of these numbers are the best of his career. Prior to that Miami injury, he was on pace for like an all time advanced metrics kind of season. I don't know if he would have sustained that for an entire 70 plus games that he probably would have played. So you know, at that point I was kind of looking at it going like, man, I think he's going to win it again this year. But again it was really early. So the box score plus minus stuff, he's always off the charts with that. It's plus 14. His usage is at 30%. He hasn't shot it great in the last two months. So I watch a lot of Denver games because I just love watching him play. I don't know, he's always a little more reluctant than I think we all want him to be pulling it from three, but I just don't know that he's as comfortable with that the last couple months. And I would say if I get a little nitpicky, which I have to to separate these four guys and kind of really dig into all this stuff, there's probably a few turnovers there late in some games that speak to some of the clutch numbers that I'll get to as well where, you know, I just would rather not see those turnovers. SG second in scoring, he's 18th in assists. Not going to get on his case that he's only 4 rebounds per game as a point guard. That's not really a factor here. His metrics are again incredible. His box score plus minus is at 12. The usage is at 33.5. So that's a. That's a healthy number which you'd expect. It's not like historic necessarily or off the charts. And he's the thing that makes it go the best team in the NBA. Wemby is 14th in scoring, fifth in boards assists. Again, we're not going to worry about it with him. His passing's fine, but he's not going to have the totals blocks per game. He's at 3.1, which is actually the lowest of his career, but he's still way ahead of chad, who's number two at 1.8. His usage is at 32. His box score plus minus is right around 10. So really healthy numbers from him. Luca, your NBA leading scorer, 33.8 points per game, just a tenth of a point off of his career high. In 24, he's fourth in assist. He's a fantastic rebounder for a guard because he's so big. Just about eight boards a game, 23rd in the league. His box score plus minus kind of more in line with Wemby here. Plus 9.4. Some of the other advanced stuff is not at the level of Jokic and SGA. His usage is at 38% which is 7th all time for a season. So when I look at some of my standards for this, I've told myself if you have a vote, try to sift through some of the free throw production. That's not really going to be the case this year for me. I think if I had been a voter back when Hardin was flying, I don't know that I would have been as aware of it or as in tune. Clearly we all saw what was going on. But this is one of the issues that I have with some of the free throw merchants is that you are going to be elevated to a level historically that maybe is not where you should be placed. Having said that, about some other players, as much as the Sea stuff and Luca stuff can drive me crazy on certain nights, I still think these are two of the four best players in the world. And I know I've talked about this free throw. I just don't want to get bogged down on all the free throw stuff. So it's something that I would think about every year as a voter, maybe how I'm placing some of the players. We're like, hey, I think that guy's really good and he's obviously had a great year. He's been really productive. But I think so much of what he does is based on the way the game is called and why the officials keep doing this, I have no idea. But I'm not really going to ding SGA or Luka for that. So that's the decision that I've come down on because I just think we all agree, even if you don't even like the players and it drives you crazy on a certain night, I think you have to appreciate, you know, all the other stuff that is incredibly special about all these players. If we get into the defensive box, plus minus stuff, this is where it can get really weird. Luka, I think when he's into it, is a good defender when he's not involved. It's kind of like the Westbrook stuff, where Westbrook on the ball was, like, tenacious, and then as soon as he just didn't have the attention span to pay attention to anything else that was going on, and then it would lead to mistakes. So I felt like Westbrook, because of its athleticism, a lot of people like, oh, he's really good defensively. It's like, yeah, I don't know about that. I would rather have you be in position and understand than be really hyper aggressive and then have zero interest whatsoever in the team defensive concept. When the ball is somewhere else, SGA is hunted unless Isaiah Joe is in the game. But that's more because what do you want to do? Hunt Lou Dort, Kayson, Wallace Caruso, one of the bigs, you know, in the standard point guard, center switching stuff. So SGA gets hunted. I don't think he's like a great defender, but I think if we're going to look at SGA and. And Jokic, and I know Jokic has all sorts of clips that are out there, but then he has some metrics out there that say, like, he's terrific defensively, which I'm like, okay, that seems a little crazy. I think Jokic is In position, but he's not exactly scaring anybody when you're going to the rim. And then you have Wemby defensively, that is basically changing what kind of value I'm putting on defense because I still think that he could never score. And it's not like a Rudy Gobert thing where he can't catch and he's so good defensively that it's still kind of worth it. Where Wemby is I think at just another level right now, maybe beyond anything we've ever seen. So the defensive box score stuff is. It doesn't really tell that great of a story. Jokic is plus 4.1. Wemby's at 4.0. So like, what am I supposed to do with that number? SGA is at plus 3.0. Sometimes there'll be players where you're like, this guy's a net negative defensively. And the rest of the team has some good defensive players. That can be really alarming. Luke is at 1.3 again, not going to freak out about this thing. The box score plus minus though, you know, I know some of these numbers get shit on by people all the time when you pull up the career leaders in box score plus minus. And Jokic is number one right now in NBA history, first career. But it's important to point this out is that those years are being like calculated, the non decline years, right? So Jordan's number two all time, LeBron's third, Magic's fourth, David Robinson's fifth, Larry Bird, sixth. So these are heavy hitters. So whenever these numbers get kind of dismissed, you're like, yeah, we'll look up who all the greats are and then see where they rank. It's like, oh, it's all the great players. There's some really friendly rankings for David Robinson historically, because I wouldn't put him necessarily in this class of players. But Jordan to speak to the decline, if Jordan who I was looking it up again, like the fact that he missed his 35, 36 and 37 year old seasons is just so disappointing. You wonder if he's ever just like, that was stupid, like, why would I have done that? But he came back and played for the Wizards, 38, 39 years old. And that dragged down his overall career box, his box score plus minus. So his decline years are already in there in comparison to Jokic. So Jokic, towards the end, maybe that number comes. Well, the number is going to come down. I don't know to what degree if he ends up being number two or number three. All time. So I think based on this season and looking at that stuff like that's something that heavily, heavily favors Jokic on the assist and rebounds thing. Let's get to this Wilt note now because I've seen it brought up that Jokic is going to be the first to ever lead the league in rebounds and assists. Then I've seen that actually Wilt did do it. Here's what happened is wilt in 67, 68 was second in assists per game to Oscar Robertson, but he was number one in total assists because Wilt played 82 games because that's what he did and Oscar Robertson played 65. So from a per game thing, if Jokic ends up doing this, it'll be the first time that it's ever happened. Let's look at some of the clutch stuff because this does not paint a pretty picture for Jokic. As we know, the Nuggets, for whatever reason this year have been abysmal in clutch situations. Just awful numbers. And it doesn't make any sense because for many years because of Jokic, they were always good even when you didn't like the team as much. And so if you look at SGA's clutch net rating, he's plus 26. All the OKC numbers are terrific because they're the best team. His usage goes to 44. All you have to do is even just watch this week and realize like what he did in that Knicks game or every single thing was on him to figure it out. Come back close out that win. The comeback against Detroit was all him. The two threes are because three defenders are all over. SGA at the top coming downhill. Jalen Williams to the left side, Caruso later on to the right side. I mean it's just a nice reminder that it's like even as great as this OKC team is the on ball creativity, especially with Jalen Williams just trying to get back and then not even playing in the Detroit game. Like it's just like, hey sga, like figure it out every single time. And yes, the free throws are part of it, but there's also a lot of other stuff that he's doing that's incredible. Jokic on the other hand for the season in clutch situations is a minus 11.5 net. That's an astounding number that it could be that bad. It doesn't make any sense. The turnover ratio is a little bit higher than the other guys. Lucas net rating is terrific. It's 32.5. Wemby's is a little bit lower than you think at +12 usage wise. Oddly, Lucas is down significantly for where he is in the regular season in clutch games where SGAs is just at 44 usage rate that would. No one's ever had that for an entire season in non clutch right. So clutch can get skewed a little bit here. The shooting numbers, Jokic is 23% from three in clutch spots. If we look at SGA, you know he's at a much better number, 35%. Luca's numbers are better shooting a little bit later. So the way I'm landing on this right now because there's a Wemby defensive thing that is just not showing up in these numbers is I still think I'm going to go sga, Jokic, Wemby and then Luca fourth. Now the standings are always brought up. Is kind of. I feel like the standings are coming up more and more. I think it's why Cannipal there's advanced stuff that tells you Canipple is the obvious choice over Cooper Flag. I think Cooper Flag is tasked with doing everything for a really bad basketball team where he's playing multiple players. Defensively, he's basically playing point guard and I think his traditional numbers are strong enough where I may lean Cooper. I also think the recency part of this where it's like can anyone do anything here down the stretch where like if Cooper flag had 49 points like he did earlier in the season one of these last two weeks, then I think that would really influence the voters there a ton. But I think the voters are going to prioritize that Charlotte's in it and playing real games, even though Knipple has a much easier life his rookie year than Cooper Flag does. But I think Knippo is going to win it because the advanced stuff, the standings and the priority that I think a lot of voters put on all the standing stuff which gets us back to the mvp because I've seen like the LUCA push where it's like well wait a minute, look at this Lakers team. It's not that great. They're going to end up being the three seed. I'd ask anyone in the LUCA push this, like if you're really focused on standings, are you focused on Lucas standings? Ignoring that SGA and Wemby are way ahead of everybody else, then standings don't matter as much. And if standings matter because you don't think the team is as good because look, the Lakers aren't as good as those other two teams and Luke is doing all this stuff and by the way, the Lakers were fantastic last night. Luca, just another casual 42, just beat up on the Cavs. You know, Cavs team, you're like, hey, they've got a lot of size. Is that going to expose some of the Lakers weaknesses? Not even close. It wasn't a factor at all. They ran away with this game. I thought LeBron played really well last night and, you know, Mitchell was terrible. So you could say, hey, the Clippers Lakers back to back is tougher than the Lakers, than Luca not playing the night before. I don't care. Like, sure, fine, it's a factor. But that was. That was a bit of a statement game from the Lakers last night. But if you're pushing Luca because the Lakers are a three seed. And this is where I think, like, the seed thing gets really annoying. It's like they're a three seed or this team's a five seed. It's like sometimes these teams, especially right now in the west, are separate, separated by like a couple games. Denver, who's won six in a row, is two games behind the Lakers. If Denver caught LA and ended up being the 3 seed, would the Luca push? People go, all right, yeah, now I'm going to give it to Jokic. Of course not. You've picked who you've wanted with mvp and then you'll just change the argument around it the entire time. I do wonder if momentum, boredom, all of these factors that seem to influence voting, if we'll get a result where it's SGA won because of who he is, all right, and what he's done this year and how consistent it's been, and then a Wemby push because it's newer. And did his Jokic end up third or fourth? Because, like, I even was toying with the ideas, like, is there a way? Because, you know, another thing that I would want to do with the voting is that if I think if it's close, I want to reward the player who I think is the best player in the world. And I still think that that's Jokic. Yes, I said it. I still think he's better than sga. But the award is about the season. And I think there's enough of a gap from what we've seen in the way SGA has just controlled all of this stuff on offense to just close out so many of these wins. And I'm not even talking about, like, the Heisman moments. Oh, that shot. Or that shot. I mean, they're supposed to play like 82 of these, right? So we shouldn't let a moment be the defining reason why somebody's going to win this kind of award. But if it were SGA and Jokic like neck and neck, I may still go Jokic because I'm like look, I think he's the better player and I think the way history is tracked it's important to pull up basketball reference in 20, 30 years from now and see where you finish in your MVP to confirm your standing in the game at that time. But if Jokic were to end up outside of the top two, it'd be the first time in five years and SGA winning the MVP is the headline. But I wonder if there'll be a bit of a boredom push, some of the clutch stuff if it'll end up being a wembanyama being new and being recognized for that or kind of like this full circle. Luca like this is why this is why this guy carried a not special Dallas Mavericks team to the NBA Finals in 24. So I'd probably lean right now. SGA 1 Jokic 2 Women Yama 3 Luka 4 I wonder if the media will end up going as I'm a member of it, but if Jokic ends up falling outside of the top two for the first time again in five years Boost your credit score instantly with Experian Boost. Experian Boost is completely free and can instantly raise your credit scores. Add everyday on time payments like phones, utilities and even rent payments to your Experian credit file so your positive history can count. It's fast, secure and free and built for people whose credit doesn't tell the whole story. See results quickly. Many customers get instant score uplift. Look, having bad credit is a bad time, but the problem is when it's bad. You're like, hey, I don't even care. I don't even want to fix it. That's just the wrong way to go about it, brother. Let me tell you from experience, Experian helps you get in that mode where you start counting the wins. You're like, look at this. Plus 12 Lookout World. This guy's improving. Download the app and get started for free. Results will vary. Not all bills or subscriptions are eligible. Savings not guaranteed. Paid membership with connected payment account required. See experian.com for details. He has been the voice of the tournament and the NFL for CBS for years. I was looking up the resume again. I don't know, some of the stuff doesn't even go back. And of course part of my favorite NBA broadcast, the Nets broadcast. It's Iron Eagle. How Are you.