Transcript
A (0:00)
Hey Priscilla Listeners, you can find every episode on Apple Podcast and Spotify prime members can listen ad free on Amazon Music. The Ryan Marcillo show is presented by DraftKings. We get started today with the conference championship game results in the super bowl set, Seattle and New England, Darnold's big night and May's odd playoff run. Does it matter? We'll talk with Fred Warner about the matchups. Also, some stuff on Wolin, his health. Was he actually going to play in that game? You could check out Fred on his podcast Real Ones, the league, which is really good stuff as he sits down and interviews some of the bigger players from the NFL. And we've got life advice where Kyle Post Celebration is hunkered down county mandate what are you doing tonight at 5 Eastern? Because if you're betting on the NBA, that's when DraftKings puts out their best offers. That daily 5pm drop is a DraftKings exclusive star power Hour limited time offers built around the night's biggest stars. DraftKings Sportsbook is an official sports betting partner of the NBA and they're known for dropping special offers around the league's biggest moments. The triple double threats, the late game closers, the players who can swing a night in five minutes. Open the DraftKings app at five and claim tonight's offer. Once it's gone, it's gone. Star Power Hour runs now until All Star Weekend. Same time new stars don't check late download the DraftKings sportsbook app and use the code Ryan. That's code Ryan R Y E N to claim today's Star Power Hour in partnership with DraftKings. The crown is yours. Gambling problem call 1-800-Gambler. New York call 877-8-HOPE and why or text HOPE and why. Connecticut call 888-78-9-7777 or visit ccpg.org on behalf of Boothill Casino in Kansas. Wager tax pass through may apply in Illinois, 21 and over in most states. Void in Ontario. Restrictions apply daily offers and requirements vary. Check out sportsbook.draftkings.com promos for more details. I'm going to start with that shootout in Seattle last night. So going into the game, if you were worried about Sam Darnold in a big spot, I think that's completely fair. There's a very predictable cycle that will happen with quarterbacks players, you know, where you just don't feel like there's a lot of evidence that this guy's going to respond in a huge spot. Now with Darnold, to be fair There weren't a great amount of opportunities for huge spots. It's the Detroit Minnesota finale last season, and then they got to go on the road against the Rams in the playoffs. And Donald's offense has scored nine points in each of those games. And like I said, there's something that'll happen with the playoffs where it's. Everybody kind of agrees, like, yeah, I don't know. I mean, everybody's kind of thinking in the back of their head, too. Like, you know, the jets, the Panthers, the Niners, the Vikings even decided just, hey, we took JJ McCarthy, so we're good with you. I think all that stuff lingering in the back of your head is, is a totally fair thing to happen. But then a very predictable shift will happen is that this attachment will be on a player at a big spot where there seems to be, like, pretty determined doubt. And then a bunch of people decide, like, I don't know why people say this about this player. Well, you can say it today because he was awesome last night. But I think those things were entirely fair on third downs for his team. In those games against Detroit and the rams, he went 3 of 13 on third downs. Granted, they're not all on him because there's some rushing attempts in there as well, 6 to 17 on third downs, but that usually kind of tells you a story about a team's offense. And The Seahawks were 7 of 13 on third downs against the Rams last night. Donald on throws on third down was six and nine with 102 yards and a touchdown. And there was a moment in the game where they come out of the half, Seattle's up 17 13. Seahawks have the first possession to start the second half. There's a third and 12, and I'm waiting for it. Like, I'll admit I'm waiting for. Is this going to start looking like these regular season matchups where Chris shul of the D.C. like, got six interceptions out of this guy, right? And There was a third and 12 and they, they heated him up, a little bit of pressure. They sent five. Maybe the smart thing is that Darnold took the sack. But it looked like, at least on that snap, I saw something where I'm like, okay, am I going to start seeing more of this stuff? Are they going to adjust something here where now it's a struggle for Darnold here in the second half? Well, we never really got to that because as you all know, they punted it. Xavier Smith fumbles, his second fumble of the night, the only lost one. He got replaced by Kyron Williams on punt returns later on, they fumble that one play later, it's a touchdown and it's a 24 13. It's a nice 11 point buffer for this kind of defense at home even if they did give up 14 more points later on. But that was kind of the story last night that Darnold was everything you needed him to be and buck the trend of these, these pretty poor performances against the Rams. Especially like granted they scored 38 points in, in that overtime win which is still one of the more ridiculous, ridiculous games of the entire season. But you know that was, that was really what I was looking for and I thought he was just terrific throughout it the entire night. And you know what's crazy Too is that 2413 lead, I just have to get it in here. That four play 75 yard touchdown drive by Stafford and the throws that he made to make it 2420, that is one of the all time responses. That's why he could be mvp. That's why Mel Kuiper when he saw Stafford in high school predicted that he'd be the number one overall pick after he got done with college. And in that moment I'm going maybe they are going to give up enough points for the Rams to come back and be able to win this one. But it was just a game where the teams defensively, it didn't really matter. The quarterbacks were really cooking. Except for the Rams once again not being able to figure out as a team on third downs they were 1 8. Stafford on throws on third down 06. Now I'll give Stafford this. There's plenty of quarterbacks with third and they were third in really long a lot last night and they were great on second downs. But Stafford at least will throw to try to get you the first down. There's plenty of quarterbacks that could end up having some like hey, I was four or six on third down throws. It's like yeah, every throw was like five yards short of the first down marker. So congrats on your completion percentage. So Darnold wins the big game. And I don't know how much of that will be part of the preview for the super bowl matchup against the Pats because generally your quarterback's going to have to have one of these big games for you to get in the super bowl unless you are the Patriots. All right, let's start here. Drake May is not a game manager. He was number one in yards per attempt on the season. Combining that with the best completion percentage of any quarterback you can have A great completion percentage and not be a great quarterback anymore. It used to be a thing, used to be a super important stat to me. It is no longer important stat to me, especially in college, but that's a different conversation. But if you combine what May was on deep balls where basically every yard stat air stat, where it's like how far are you actually throwing the ball to the sticks in the air, he's like number one or number two. I think he had the best QBR and deep balls and on top of that he's got the best completion percentage. That is not a game manager. That is a guy that can win you games with big time throws all on his own and can win a bunch of different games. I'll remind our younger listeners, because this is a second year thing with May, there'll be a lot of parallels with Brady because of the second year with Brady being on the team, being given the starting job over Bledsoe and then them winning a Super bowl in dramatic fashion against a Rams team nobody thought was going to lose that game. But and by the way, Brady never won a playoff game at Denver. So May has that. But there's going to be a lot of that stuff, right? I was looking up some Brady numbers earlier this year and you know, it's something I was tracking. I was looking at again this morning. I just want to shout out Pro Football Reference for continuing my entertainment with nicknames associated to players that I've never ever heard before. I think I'm pretty educated on Brady. Watched a few of the games. They have one of his nicknames as the Pharaoh. I didn't know that. So I don't know. Maybe if you run into him you can say, hey Pharaoh, what's going on? He'll probably be just as confused as everybody else. So I want to get to a bit of the game management part because again, there's going to be a lot of May Brady stuff that's going to happen these next two weeks. Brady threw one touchdown, one passing touchdown in three playoff games. In that first super bowl run where they beat the Raiders in the incredible tuck game. Just awesome game. If you were a Pats fan that night, probably not so much on the Raiders side. The AFC Championship game and then the super bowl, he threw one touchdown pass that entire time. Brady was a game manager. He completed in the ASC Championship and the super bowl. He completed a total of 28 passes. So if you look at May's playoff run, which I think most reasonable people today are factoring in the elements, not just what happened in Denver yesterday, but that game against Houston. But look, next week people are going to forget. People are going to start looking at the game log and going, well, you know, like, look what's happened with this guy. Look what's happened to May in the playoffs versus who he was in the regular season. And Maybe he's the MVP, right? 56 completion percentage, five turnovers, none yesterday. He's taken 15 sacks and the Pats offense has averaged 18 points per game. Now you could say, hey, look, Chargers defense. Priscilla, you love that Houston defense. I still, I might get a poster of that 25 defense just so I never forget it. And then Denver's defense, like, those are really good defenses that he went against. So, you know, why would you rule them out against Seattle? And I'm not necessarily doing that right now. Right. But it just, it just doesn't matter. He was too good in the regular season and too dominant in the special stuff for me to look at these three games and now think that there's some shift of like, who he is now. So, so if you could look at those numbers and say, well, he really managed the game against. I don't think he managed the game against Houston at all. He ran it really well against the Chargers. He managed against Denver. Yeah, maybe, but I'm, I'm just not, I'm not going to get there. And I'm afraid. I guess I'm not afraid, but I'm just warning everybody that I think that's going to be part of the talking point of who is regular season Drake May and who is playoff Drake May. And I really don't think. I'm just not worried about it at all. I don't think that there is some difference. Despite the numbers in production telling you two entirely different stories. Lingering thought in the back of my head watching that game. I think Denver probably wins it with Bo. Nicks, I think is running a couple more throws. But to be fair, the Patriots probably are a lot more aggressive even with those conditions. If they feel, feel like it's an offense that's threatening them at all the beginning of the game. Stidham hits on that big shot of classic Sean Payton thing in the red zone. He's given Stidham a rollout. It's the Sutton throw. It's kind of like one throw. I'm giving you one thing to look at here because I don't want you having to go through all these progressions and then maybe costing us three points with some kind of turnover and you being rattled. It was A nice little start. The broadcast loved him, but in reality, Stidham was. Was in a really tough spot on top of the conditions, everything else. But even when the game was a little clean, once the Pats kind of settled down, didn't think they were worried about necessarily the receivers beating their coverage. Man, it was Stidham having to beat the man coverage with his throws. And I'll tell you, I'm glad I brought it up with Chase Daniels, is that Stidham's a guy that can get moved off his spot pretty quickly. And then the disastrous, disastrous decision to try to get rid of the ball, avoid the sack, which ends up being a fumble, which should have been a touchdown on the field, but the Pats made up for it a little bit later on. So, yeah, the next thing, if you're a Denver fan today, you're. You're telling yourself, absolutely, I probably agree with you. But to be fair, the Patriots are probably asking a little bit more out of their offense where that game must be so much fun because you're just going, stidham's not going to do anything against us right now with this snowstorm on top of us. Third and five, 1:57 left to go. Patriots have the ball. I'm at home going, you've got to keep the ball in May's hands. You're probably not going to want to throw this because of clock and conditions and everything else, but if you can get kind of like that touchdown pass from stum, if you can get a rollout where it's an option where you think you have one on one coverage to one side, and then May still has the football so he can decide to just tuck it and run. All you need is the 5 yards. It's tough for defenders to stay as quick as you are because they don't know where you're going, going. You know where you're going when you're running on the snow. I can't believe Denver only had one defender on the backside of that play action. They roll everything to the right. Mace coming around left. It was one of the most predictable plays ever. And they had a linebacker lined up by himself on that side from what I could see. And you're like, there's no way. There's no way he's. There had to be a second guy there, and they just didn't seem prepared for it. Everybody shifted. Great play call on the PAT side. I just felt like Denver had to be thinking about that as the number one thing New England wanted to do, and it didn't look like they were ready. Final thought on all this, the Patriots ahead of schedule. I cannot believe they're in the super bowl like so many other people, and I don't even know that. It's like, hey, I'm doubting these guys the entire time. I just can't believe where this team was at the end of the Belichick run, the Mayo disaster, and bringing in a coach that I'm not even sure wanted to be a head coach, and then having to reset this entire thing. I've brought up the roster, turnover of this. If you go to the 23 roster, to where they started the beginning of this year, over 50% of that entire roster was turned over. If I looked at the 22 starters from last year, which I've done this exercise, of the 22 starters, I think only four with the team. I think five or six of the players are out of the league. And why I say five or six is like, somebody may have been on a practice squad and injured and will play again next year. This group needed a massive, massive overhaul. And between Vrabel coming in with his vision, Elliott Wolf, who I know was there before as a consultant with Bill, but I don't know that, you know, if Bill's there, it's not like Elliot Wolf's going, I'm sorry, Bill, we're going to draft this guy in the third round. The Mayo year, where, you know, to Robert Kraft's credit, he's like, we just kind of ate it. You know, I really was surprised. I mean, it was bad, but I was like, are they really going to fire Mayo? Who was this guy that they handpicked that they wanted to be this coach that they almost had to talk into taking the job? Are they really going to pull a plug on all this so soon? And they did, and here they are. They're in the Super Bowl. So maybe, you know, I'm guilty of. As I start predicting how I want to go with this super bowl matchup, because I was running this exercise this morning, I was like, if you took the 30 best players from both of these rosters combined, how many players would be Seahawks? How many would be Pats? And I was like, 10 Patriots out of the 30, 12 Patriots out of 30. I checked with Daniel Jeremiah this morning, and he was like, I have 18 Seahawks, 12 Patriots. It's going to be tough for me to ignore that when I'm picking the Super Bowl. But I could be guilty, right? Because the storyline of this Patriots thing, of two different things. One, you're going to. Are you kidding me? With the teams they had to play in the playoffs? Look, I thought Houston was good. I thought they were going to beat him. I didn't know Stroud was a double agent. All right? So there's either that part of it where it will feel really dismissive of the Patriots, or it'll be the culture. Bunch of dogs. The thing that everybody gets to say when they're not as talented, they win these games. But Brear on SI.com had this note this morning that I thought was really interesting. Apparently in the pregame, and I'm reading from his piece now. A Broncos front office official told the Patriots staffer how impressed he was with that defensive group, asking who New England even had on defense walking off the field at the end of the warmups. The staffer passed it along to a couple of the defensive starters and they heard it for sure. So I'm picking the Seahawks. It's not hard for me to pick the Seahawks in this matchup. I like May better than Darnold. I am not thrown off for discouraged by the playoff performances because I think there's a lot of factors in there. But I could be just as guilty as this Broncos guy that's going to be going home. This episode is brought to you by Experian. Experian offers features like subscription cancellation, where Experian scans the accounts you link, finds recurring charges and puts the power in your hands. You can keep the subscriptions you want and cancel the ones you no longer need. Experian can cancel over 200 eligible subscriptions from streaming services to entertainment apps and more. I have one for this tracking device for all my hiking that I do. Huge hiker. I couldn't cancel it forever. I tried. They told me it was. It wasn't. Eventually it got so bad I think I just respected them. And then I was able to solve it with Experian. Experian's bill negotiation can also help put money back in your pocket. Their expert negotiators could help you by finding better rates on eligible bills already paying. The best part? You get to keep 100% of your savings. Results will vary. Not all bills or subscriptions are eligible. Savings not guaranteed. Paid membership with connected payment account required. See Experian for details. Get started in the Experian app now. Conference championship games behind us. Super bowl matchup is set. Seattle and New England, as you know by now. And joining us, as he has throughout the football season, it is Fred Warner of the 49ers. How much did you hate watching that game that NFC hated it.
