When news broke of a strike targeting Iran’s Supreme Leader, prediction markets exploded — with more than $54 million wagered on the outcome. Then came the backlash: frozen trades, reversed bets, and accusations of profiting from war. Michael sits down with Rutgers statistician and prediction markets expert Dr. Harry Crane to unpack what really happened — and what it means for the future of betting on politics, war, and government action. Original air date 5 March 2026.